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Bitcoin (BTC) price stays calm while other markets panic. Key levels to watch: Crypto Daybook Americas

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CD20 compoennts

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

Bitcoin and the broader crypto market stayed resilient Monday as an oil price surge above $100 shook Asian markets and triggered a drop in U.S. stock futures. The crypto calm may be shattered if bitcoin moves outside the $60,000- $75,000 range, data on major market participants’ positions suggests.

It’s solidly within that range at the moment, though. The leading cryptocurrency by market value has risen over 3% since early Asian hours to trade around $68,000. The rally follows a week of back-and-forth action that saw the price rise to nearly $74,000 only to drop back to $67,000 over the weekend. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), ether (ETH), XRP (XRP), solana (SOL) saw similar increases.

This resilience to the war in the Middle East and risk-off sentiment in global stocks likely stems from the earlier outperformance of U.S. equities and the cryptocurrency’s oversold status. Nothing reflects the crypto calm better than BTC’s 30-day implied volatility index, BVIV, which remains steady around 60%. Wall Street’s volatility indexes, meantime, the equity VIX, the oil VIX and the gold VIX have all surged to multiweek highs, indicating panic in traditional markets.

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Bitcoin market makers — those entities tasked with creating order book liquidity and ensuring seamless trading — are “short gamma” at $60,000 and $75,000. This means that if the market moves beyond those levels, they could trade in the direction of the price movement to rebalance their net exposure back to neutral. In other words, they may sell BTC as its price drops and buy when it rises, accentuating volatility.

“If we look at the Deribit GEX (gamma exposure chart) we see dealers are short a lot of gamma at the $60k level and the $75k levels … essentially the ceiling and floor of the box. Should markets actually trade beyond the box, negative gamma will make things worse from a dealer rebalancing perspective,” Amberdata’s Director of Derivatives Greg Magadini said in an email.

He added that traders are looking at the same levels and have hedged their own exposure at the ceiling and floor. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today

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What to Watch

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

  • Crypto
    • March 9: Solstice and Kamino to announce a new product or feature.
  • Macro
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • March 9: Sharplink (SBET), pre-market, $0.31

Token Events

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

  • Governance votes & calls
    • Convex Finance is voting on Curve Ownership DAO Vote ID: 1358, which would onboard GHO as a Pegkeeper with a 3 million crvUSD debt ceiling. Voting ends March 9.
    • Lido DAO is voting to make the delegate incentivization program (DIP 2.0) a permanent governance mechanism. Voting ends March 9.
    • Lido DAO is voting to authorize a one-time $5 million DAO Treasury allocation into the upcoming Lido Earn ETH and USD Vaults. Voting ends March 9.
    • Lido DAO is voting on whether Stakin (recently acquired by The Tie) should continue operating as a node operator and whether to approve updating Stakin’s on-chain name and reward address. Voting ends March 9.
  • Unlocks
  • Token Launches
    • March 9: Nexira’s (NEXI) token generation event occurs, token to be listed on KuCoin.

Conferences

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

Market Movements

  • BTC is up 0.68% from 4 p.m. ET Sunday at $67,649.34 (24hrs: -0.36%)
  • ETH is up 1.89% at $1,995.45 (24hrs: +1.12%)
  • CoinDesk 20 is up 1.04% at 1,943.48 (24hrs: +0.12%)
  • Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is down 9 bps at 2.64%
  • BTC funding rate is at -0.0025% (-5.8613% annualized) on Binance
CD20 compoennts
  • DXY is up 0.30% at 99.2812
  • Gold futures are down 0.70% at $5,110.00
  • Silver futures are up 0.21% at $84.00
  • Nikkei 225 closed down 5.20% at 52,728.72
  • Hang Seng closed down 1.35% at 25,408.46
  • FTSE 100 is down 1.22% at 10,159.26
  • Euro Stoxx 50 is down 1.70% at 5,622.84
  • DJIA closed on Friday down 0.95% at 47,501.55
  • S&P 500 closed down 1.33% at 6,740.02
  • Nasdaq Composite closed down 1.59% at 22,387.68
  • S&P/TSX Composite closed down 1.57% at 33,083.70
  • U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is up 4 bps at 4.18%
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures are down 0.90% at 6,682.75
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are down 0.96% at 24,434.00
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 1.04% at 47,024.00

Bitcoin Stats

  • BTC Dominance: 59.04% (0.62%)
  • Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.02951 (0.51%)
  • Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 1,005 EH/s
  • Hashprice (spot): $29.61
  • Total fees: 1.96 BTC / $131,828
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 100,675 BTC
  • BTC priced in gold: 13.3 oz.
  • BTC vs gold market cap: 4.56%

Technical Analysis

Daily swings in bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility index, BVIV, in candlestick format. (TradingView)
Bitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility index, BVIV. (TradingView)
  • The chart shows daily swings in bitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility index, BVIV, in candlestick format.
  • The index is hovering close to the upper end of its recent range.
  • A potential breakout would mean higher volatility and risk aversion, leading to losses in bitcoin.

Crypto Equities

  • Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Friday at $197.22 (-4.13%), -0.84% at $195.57 in pre-market
  • Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $20.56 (-9.57%), -0.17% at $20.52
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $8.01 (-8.67%), -0.12% at $8.00
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $14.16 (-9.20%), -1.38% at $13.97
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $14.86 (-7.13%), -0.54% at $14.78
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $9.21 (-7.44%), -0.43% at $9.17
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $10.90 (-2.50%)
  • CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF (WGMI): closed at $36.07 (-8.10%), -0.80% at $35.78
  • Circle Internet Group (CRCL): closed at $101.91 (-3.62%), +1.24% at $103.17
  • Bullish (BLSH): closed at $34.96 (-0.17%), -1.34% at $34.49

Crypto Treasury Companies

  • Strategy (MSTR): closed at $133.53 (-4.49%), +0.25% at $133.86
  • Strive Asset Management (ASST): closed at $8.70 (-5.95%), -0.23% at $8.68
  • Sharplink (SBET): closed at $7.36 (-7.19%), +2.45% at $7.54
  • Upexi (UPXI): closed at $0.90 (-6.44%), +4.44% at $0.94
  • Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $1.14 (+0.88%)

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs

  • Daily net flows: -$348.9 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $55.35 billion
  • Total BTC holdings ~ 1.28 million

Spot ETH ETFs

  • Daily net flows: -$82.9 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $11.66 billion
  • Total ETH holdings ~ 5.64 million

Source: Farside Investors

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Crypto World

WIF price forms bullish divergence, bottom forming?

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WIF price forms bullish divergence in oversold conditions, bottom forming? - 2

WIF price trades below $0.18 range support while RSI prints bullish divergence. A reclaim of this level could signal a deviation and potential move toward $0.26.

Summary

  • Key Level: $0.18 range low must be reclaimed to confirm a deviation.
  • Momentum Signal: Bullish RSI divergence suggests selling pressure is weakening.
  • Upside Target: Successful reclaim could drive rotation toward $0.26 range resistance.

Dogwifhat (WIF) is currently trading at a crucial technical level after losing the key range support near $0.18. Price action has now been finding acceptance below this region since the February 6 low was established, signaling that the market has temporarily shifted below its previous trading range.

While a break below support often indicates further downside risk, the current setup is presenting a potential deviation scenario that traders are watching closely.

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Wif price key technical points

  • Range Low Support: $0.18 is the key level that must be reclaimed to confirm a potential deviation.
  • Bullish RSI Divergence: RSI is forming higher lows while price prints lower lows.
  • Upside Target: Reclaiming range support could trigger a move toward range high resistance at $0.26.
WIF price forms bullish divergence in oversold conditions, bottom forming? - 2
WIFUSDT (4H) Chart, Source: TradingView

The recent breakdown below the $0.18 level marked an important development in WIF’s market structure. This level previously acted as the range low of the broader trading environment and had provided multiple reactions in previous price cycles. Once price broke below this level, the market entered a lower trading zone where acceptance beneath support began to develop. Sustained trading below a key range boundary typically increases the risk of further downside expansion, but this scenario may be evolving differently due to the appearance of momentum divergence.

One of the most notable signals currently present on the chart is the bullish divergence forming on the Relative Strength Index (RSI). While WIF price action has continued to print lower lows, the RSI indicator has begun forming higher lows.

This divergence between price and momentum often indicates that selling pressure is weakening and that the bearish trend may be losing strength. In many cases, bullish divergence appears during late stages of a downtrend when the market is preparing for a potential reversal or relief rally.

However, momentum signals alone are not enough to confirm a trend reversal. The broader crypto market also remains under bearish pressure, with Bitcoin and most altcoins still trading significantly below their all-time highs after double-digit declines.

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As a result, the key technical confirmation for WIF will be a reclaim of the $0.18 range low. If price can push back above this level and hold it as support, it would suggest that the recent breakdown was likely a deviation rather than a true continuation move. Such a reclaim would shift market structure back into the previous trading range and increase the probability of a rotation toward the upper boundary.

From a broader market structure perspective, range-bound markets tend to rotate between support and resistance levels as liquidity moves between participants. Once a deviation occurs and price re-enters the range, the probability often favors a move toward the opposite side of the range. In WIF’s case, the next major technical target would be the range-high resistance near $0.26.

Volume and momentum behavior will also play an important role in confirming this potential shift. If price begins reclaiming support alongside increasing buying pressure and strengthening RSI momentum, it would add further confirmation that a local bottom may be forming. Conversely, continued rejection below $0.18 would keep the market vulnerable to further downside exploration.

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What to expect in the coming price action

WIF remains at a key technical turning point as bullish divergence develops while price trades below major support. A confirmed reclaim of $0.18 would strengthen the case for a deviation and open the door for a rotation toward $0.26 resistance, while failure to reclaim the level could allow bearish momentum to persist.

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Bithumb Receives Business Suspension Notice for AML Violations

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Bithumb Receives Business Suspension Notice for AML Violations

Bithumb, South Korea’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, is reportedly facing a possible partial business suspension of up to six months as regulators step up enforcement over anti-money laundering controls.

South Korea’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) gave Bithumb a preliminary notice of a six-month partial suspension over alleged anti-money laundering and know-your-customer failures under the Act on Reporting and Using Specified Financial Transaction Information, according to local media reports on Monday. The regulator reportedly cited concerns over dealings with unregistered overseas virtual asset service providers and shortcomings in customer due diligence.

The FIU also issued a reprimand warning to Bithumb’s CEO, a warning considered a heavy penalty, which may lead to restrictions on his reappointment or future roles. Regulators are expected to hold a sanctions review later in March before deciding on any final measures. Bithumb told News1 that the action remains at the pre-notification stage and that the scope of any sanctions could still change.

“This measure is not yet a confirmed sanction, but is a pre-notification stage, and there may be some adjustments in the sanctions trial,” a Bithumb spokesperson said, adding that “restrictions only apply to the transfer (withdrawal) of virtual assets by new members.”

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If finalized, the suspension would restrict new users from transferring digital assets off the platform, according to the report. Bithumb did not immediately respond to Cointelegraph’s request for comment.

Related: South Korea moves to cap crypto exchange shareholder stakes at 20%: Report

The notice follows scrutiny on South Korea’s Financial Services Commission’s failure to detect critical flaws tied to Bithumb’s internal systems after the exchange mistakenly credited 2,000 Bitcoin (BTC) per user instead of 2,000 Korean won ($1.40) during a promotional event on Feb. 6, distributing a total of 620,000 BTC (worth around $43 billion at the time).

Related: Hacker returns $21M in Bitcoin stolen from South Korean authorities: Report

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South Korean regulators impose stricter money laundering regulations

South Korean regulators are seeking to impose stricter sanctions on crypto exchanges suspected of AML and KYC violations. 

In November 2025, FIU imposed a partial three-month suspension and a 35.2 billion won ($25 million) fine on cryptocurrency exchange Upbit’s parent company, Dunamu, for similar violations. 

Crypto exchange Korbit also received a warning and a 2.73 billion won ($1.9 million) fine in December 2025.

Both administrative penalties stemmed from concerns related to dealings with overseas crypto service providers and neglect of customer verification practices.

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