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BTC remains modestly lower at $69,500 following in line inflation data

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U.S. inflation, Polkadot upgrade, Solstice-Kamino announcement: Crypto Week Ahead

U.S. inflation data met expectations on Wednesday, reinforcing anticipation that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady not just at its March 18 meeting, but likely at the bank’s April meeting as well.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3% in February, according to a report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economist forecasts had been for a rise of 0.3% and January’s increase was 0.2%.

On a year-over-year basis, CPI was higher by 2.4% against expectations of 2.4% and January’s 2.4%.

Core CPI, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.2% in February versus forecasts of 0.2% and January’s 0.3%. Year-over-year core CPI was higher by 2.5% versus forecasts of 2.5% and January’s 2.5%.

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Under modest pressure for the morning, bitcoin was trading at $69,500 in the minutes following the report, lower by 1.2% over the past 24 hours.

U.S. stock index futures were slightly lower across the board and the 10-year Treasury yield ticked up to 4.18%. The main actor in markets this week, WTI crude oil was higher by 4.2% to $87 per barrel.

Ahead of the data, markets were pricing in a 99% probability that the Federal Reserve would leave interest rates unchanged at its March meeting next week, according to the CME FedWatch tool. For the April meeting, rate cut odds were at just 11% versus 21% one month ago.

February’s inflation numbers, of course, are somewhat old news given the events that have transpired since, namely the war in Iran and spiking oil prices. How much this plays into the Fed’s thinking on interest rates should become more evident following next week’s policy meeting.

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Contrivian Expands Multi-Constellation Connectivity with Amazon Leo

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Crypto Breaking News

Editor’s note: Contrivian’s latest agreement with Amazon Leo signals a shift toward more resilient, software-driven connectivity for government operations. By combining low Earth orbit satellites with Lighthouse performance optimization and NorthStar lifecycle management, Contrivian aims to deliver multi-constellation networking that remains stable even as networks shift across technologies. This editorial prelude highlights how the move expands the company’s mission-critical toolkit, enabling state and local agencies to access high-availability connectivity without disruptive failovers. The collaboration underscores a broader trend toward integrated, monitored networks designed to support critical services at scale.

Key points

  • Contrivian becomes an authorized Amazon Leo reseller to deliver government connectivity.
  • Multi-constellation, software-defined connectivity blends LEO with Lighthouse and NorthStar.
  • Designed to support mission-critical applications with no disruption to end users.
  • Public sector and other critical industries gain access to resilient, high-performance networks.

Why this matters

Downtime threatens operations, safety, and budgets. A unified, monitored network blending fiber, broadband, LTE/5G and satellite offers critical resilience for government work. The Contrivian–Amazon Leo collaboration highlights a shift toward software-driven, multi-constellation connectivity that is continuously observed and managed, helping public sector networks stay online and secure even when individual links fail. By tying Lighthouse performance optimization and NorthStar lifecycle management into a single architecture, Contrivian and Amazon Leo aim to raise overall service reliability.

What to watch next

  • Rollout of integrated connectivity for state agencies under the new reseller arrangement.
  • Broader adoption of multi-constellation, software-defined networking across government operations.
  • Ongoing enhancements in satellite orchestration and lifecycle management.

Disclosure: The content below is a press release provided by the company/PR representative. It is published for informational purposes.

Contrivian Expands Multi-Constellation Connectivity with Amazon Leo

Contrivian signs agreement as an authorized reseller of Amazon Leo for mission-critical applications and services.

San Francisco, CA – Mar. 11, 2026 – Contrivian, a technology company providing intelligent mission-critical connectivity, has signed an agreement as an authorized reseller with Amazon Leo to deliver resilient, high-performance connectivity for state and local agencies in the United States. The agreement expands Contrivian’s multi-modal connectivity solutionsto deliver reliable networking that can support mission-critical applications and services.

Contrivian combines low Earth orbit technology with its proprietary Lighthouse performance optimization technology and NorthStar lifecycle management solution to deliver intelligent, software-defined multi-constellation connectivity. This eliminates the need for failover across networking technologies as well as across satellite constellations, with no disruption to applications or end users.

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“We aren’t just providing satellite connectivity. We’re enabling mission-critical applications and services on a global scale. We’re providing software-enabled connectivity that is intelligently integrated, continuously monitored, and managed as part of a unified operational model,” said Grant Kirkwood, CEO of Contrivian. “Our agreement with Amazon Leo strengthens that architecture. It reflects how resilient networks must now be designed. It adds true diversity at the satellite layer and gives our customers greater control, greater performance stability, and greater assurance when failure is not an option.”

Contrivian engineers, orchestrates, and manages mission-critical connectivity for organizations that operate in environments where downtime carries operational, financial, or safety risk. The company integrates fiber, broadband, LTE/5G, and low Earth orbit satellite into a single, performance-driven architecture.

“Amazon Leo is developing the world’s most advanced satellite communication network. Through this agreement with Contrivian, we will provide essential connectivity to state and local government agencies, enabling them to stay connected and share vital information, even in isolated areas or during service disruptions,” said Carolyn Cuppernull, Business Development at Amazon Leo for Government.

Contrivian serves public sector agencies, healthcare providers, energy operators, financial institutions, and other critical industries. It designs, deploys, monitors, and supports connectivity across fixed sites, remote facilities, and mobile operations worldwide. The company continues to invest in advanced satellite orchestration capabilities as the global low Earth orbit ecosystem evolves.

About Amazon Leo

Amazon Leo is Amazon’s low Earth orbit satellite network. Its mission is to deliver fast, reliable internet to customers beyond the reach of existing networks, from individual households and small businesses to large enterprise and government customers and anyone in between. Amazon Leo is powered by an initial constellation of more than 3,000 satellites, connected to a secure, global network of ground gateway antennas and dedicated fiber, and includes a lineup of compact, high-performance customer terminals – Amazon Leo Nano, Amazon Leo Pro, and Amazon Leo Ultra – that communicate with satellites passing overhead. The entire system is designed and operated in-house at Amazon and aims to connect tens of millions of customers around the world.

https://leo.amazon.com

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About Contrivian

Contrivian is a technology company specializing in mission-critical connectivity for enterprise and government organizations. The company integrates fiber, broadband, LTE/5G, and low Earth orbit satellite into a unified, software-defined architecture designed for performance and resilience.

Its proprietary Lighthouse solution continuously monitors network conditions and dynamically routes traffic based on real-time performance data. Its NorthStar solution provides centralized visibility and lifecycle management across global deployments.

Contrivian serves public sector agencies, healthcare providers, energy operators, financial institutions, and other organizations operating in environments where connectivity must remain stable and predictable. Headquartered in San Francisco, the company delivers managed connectivity services worldwide.

www.contrivian.com

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Mastercard Unveils ‘Crypto Partner Program’ with Major Industry Players

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Mastercard Unveils 'Crypto Partner Program' with Major Industry Players

The initiative brings together a broad spectrum of well-known, global crypto firms and blockchain projects including Circle, Solana, Binance, Polygon, and Ava Labs.

Mastercard announced today, March 11, that it launched a new Crypto Partner Program. The global initiative brings together more than 85 crypto firms, payments providers, and financial institutions to collaborate on the next phase of on-chain payments.

Mastercard said the aim of the new partner program is “to create a forum for meaningful dialogue and collaboration as this space continues to mature.”

Per a video from Mastercard as part of the announcement, the crypto-native participants include Anchorage Digital, Aptos, Arc, Ava Labs, Binance, BitGo, Bybit, Circle, Cosmos, Fireblocks, Gemini, Mercuryo, MoonPay, Optimism, Paxos, Polygon, Rain, Ripple, and Solana — a broad, global cross-section of blockchain networks, custodians, exchanges, and stablecoin issuers.

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The program is designed to let participants engage directly with Mastercard teams on the design and direction of future products and services, with a focus on connecting digital asset infrastructure to established card rails and global commerce flows, per Mastercard’s announcement.

The move formalizes what has been a rapidly expanding series of crypto partnerships for Mastercard over the past year, in some cases with crypto firms that are now part of the Crypto Partner Program, including Ripple, Gemini, and MoonPay.

In November, The Defiant reported that Ripple, Gemini, and WebBank teamed up with Mastercard to test settling Gemini Credit Card transactions using Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin on the XRP Ledger — a move that would mark one of the first instances of a regulated U.S. bank settling traditional card transactions with a regulated stablecoin on a public blockchain.

Earlier, MoonPay issued a stablecoin-powered virtual card in collaboration with Mastercard.

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As The Defiant reported last June, Mastercard partnered with blockchain oracle provider Chainlink — which was not in the list of participating firms today — to allow its more than 3 billion cardholders to purchase cryptocurrencies directly on-chain.

This article was generated with the assistance of AI workflows.

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Why QCP Capital says BTC is a ‘stress barometer’

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Bitcoin Investors
Bitcoin Investors
  • QCP sees Bitcoin as a ‘stress barometer’ amid macro, geopolitical risks.
  • BTC continues to eye $70,000 as support, with gains key to upside continuation.
  • Breakdown risks BTC retesting $63k lows, where prior dip-buying emerged.

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to show resilience near the critical $70,000 level after today’s US CPI data.

The bellwether digital asset had traded slightly off this mark earlier in the day.

According to analysts at Singapore-based trading firm QCP Capital, Bitcoin’s uptick from lows of $63,000 suggests stabilisation.

However, the continued fluctuation around the $70k mark signals that the market is yet to return to full risk-on sentiment.

QCP sees Bitcoin as a ‘stress barometer’ amid geopolitical risks

While bulls have been patient, the broader context of BTC’s next move combines factors around escalating Middle East risks and the US economic outlook.

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QCP has highlighted this in its latest forecast for cryptocurrencies, noting that BTC acts as a “cleaner stress barometer” amid stagflationary pressures.

Bitcoin held relatively firm even as equities came under pressure amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, with the US-Israel conflict with Iran weighing on stocks and pushing Treasury yields higher.

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The benchmark cryptocurrency also remained close to the $70,000 level as oil prices retreated after a sharp rally toward $120.

However, QCP Capital said the recent swings in crude oil have exposed fragile liquidity and positioning across macro markets, a dynamic that could keep digital assets on edge.

Derivatives markets reflect this cautious tone. Implied volatility has eased, but risk reversals remain negative, suggesting traders continue to favour short-dated downside protection rather than aggressive bullish positioning.

According to QCP, the current setup also underscores Bitcoin’s growing role as a “cleaner stress barometer” during periods of macro uncertainty.

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Bitcoin’s outlook after the US CPI print

Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released on March 11, 2026, showed consumer price inflation rose broadly in line with expectations.

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.3% on a seasonally adjusted monthly basis and 2.4% from a year earlier.

Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.2% for the month and 2.5% annually.

The figures were largely in line with consensus forecasts.

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Bitcoin moved modestly higher following the release, climbing back above $70,000 to trade around $70,230 at the time of writing.

Meanwhile, US stock futures edged lower after the report as investors also reacted to news that Iran had attacked two ships in the Strait of Hormuz, adding to geopolitical uncertainty.

The February CPI reading reflects inflation conditions before the escalation of the Iran conflict and the recent surge in oil prices.

Analysts say upcoming macro data, next week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, and developments in the Middle East will remain key drivers of near-term market sentiment.

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From a technical perspective, Bitcoin needs to reclaim the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA), which continues to act as a significant supply zone despite recent attempts to move above it.

Immediate resistance is seen in the $72,000–$75,000 range, while support is located around $63,000–$64,000.

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Goldman Sachs Takes Lead With $153.8M in XRP ETFs

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • Goldman Sachs disclosed a $153.8 million position in spot XRP ETFs in its Q4 2025 13F filing.
  • The bank holds about 73% of the $211 million reported by the top 30 institutional investors.
  • Goldman Sachs spread its XRP ETF exposure across four issuers to diversify allocation.
  • Spot XRP ETFs have attracted $1.4 billion in net inflows since launching in November 2025.
  • Total assets under management for XRP ETFs reached $1.44 billion by early March 2026.

Goldman Sachs has disclosed a $153.8 million position in spot XRP ETFs in its Q4 2025 13F filing. The bank now holds about 73% of the $211 million reported by the top 30 institutions. The filing places Goldman Sachs at the forefront of institutional exposure in the newly launched XRP ETF market.

Goldman Sachs Builds $154 Million Position Across XRP ETFs

Goldman Sachs allocated its XRP ETFs exposure across four separate issuers instead of a single fund. The bank reported about $40 million in the Bitwise XRP ETF and $38 million each in the Franklin XRP Trust and Grayscale XRP ETF. It also disclosed roughly $36 million in the 21Shares XRP ETF.

This structure shows a diversified allocation within the same asset class. The XRP position forms part of a wider $2.3 billion crypto ETF portfolio. That portfolio includes $1.1 billion in Bitcoin ETFs and $1 billion in Ethereum ETFs.

Millennium Management ranked second with $23.1 million in disclosed XRP ETF holdings. However, its position is less than one-sixth of Goldman Sachs’ exposure. As a result, Goldman holds the dominant institutional share based on current filings.

XRP ETFs Record $1.4 Billion Inflows Since Launch

Spot XRP ETFs began trading in November 2025 after the SEC resolved its lawsuit against Ripple in August. Since launch, the funds have attracted $1.4 billion in net inflows. Total assets under management reached $1.44 billion by early March 2026.

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The ETFs recorded net outflows on only nine trading days during that period. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart said, “About 84% of XRP ETF assets sit with retail investors.” Eric Balchunas also stated that most holders fall below the 13F reporting threshold.

Standard Chartered revised its XRP price target to $2.80. The bank’s forecast implies close to 100% upside from recent levels. Broader institutional estimates place year-end 2026 projections between $3.00 and $8.00.

Prediction markets currently assign a 67% probability that XRP closes above $1.50 by late March 2026. On the infrastructure side, Binance integrated Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin on the XRP Ledger. The RLUSD stablecoin now carries a market capitalization of $1.59 billion.

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Banks, including SBI Holdings, Santander, and PNC, continue using XRP for cross-border settlements. Monthly transaction flows through these channels exceed $15 billion, according to reported figures. These developments follow the ETF launch and reflect ongoing activity across the XRP ecosystem.

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Bitcoin Sees Modest Relief as US CPI Inflation Avoids Surprises

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Bitcoin Sees Modest Relief as US CPI Inflation Avoids Surprises

Bitcoin (BTC) broke back above $70,000 around Wednesday’s Wall Street open as US inflation data soothed anxious markets.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin bounces around a narrow range as US inflation data offers a modest tailwind.

  • Oil prices stay lower as an emergency release of 400 million barrels is confirmed.

  • BTC price expectations focus on future liquidations in the mid-$60,000 zone.

Bitcoin edges higher as CPI matches expectations

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action eking out modest gains, while failing to match local highs from the day prior.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The February print of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was in line with expectations at 2.4% year-on-year, per data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). 

“Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.4 percent before seasonal adjustment,” it confirmed in an official statement.

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US CPI 12-month % change. Source: BLS

This was a relief for risk assets already on edge over geopolitical instability and its potential impact on inflation. The Middle East conflict and global oil supply squeeze, however, were likely only to be truly reflected in March’s inflation data.

“The market will now await March’s data,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter thus wrote in a response on X.

Other recent inflation gauges missed anticipated levels both to the upside and downside, making for a shaky overall picture of inflationary forces even before events in Iran.

Oil, a key risk factor for CPI going forward, stayed below the $90 mark on the day as the International Energy Agency (IEA) approved the emergency release of 400 million barrels — the largest such release ever recorded. 

CFDs on WTI crude oil one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Trader eyes BTC price “breakout upwards” in March

With price still rangebound, Bitcoin market participants chose not to bet big up or down.

Related: Bitcoin faces ‘highly volatile’ setup as bulls eye return to $80K by month-end

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“Very simple; buy the lower bounds, sell the higher bounds,” trader, analyst, and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe told X followers. 

“I still think we’ll see that breakout upwards in this month to test higher grounds, but if not, I’m a buyer on lower levels.”

BTC/USDT four-hour chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

Trader Lennaert Snyder eyed downside liquidity for a potential local low, suggesting that this could come at around $65,000.

Data from monitoring resource CoinGlass put 24-hour crypto market liquidations at $240 million, with short positions accounting for a larger slice of the total.

Crypto liquidation history (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass