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Wall Street Lunch: U.S. CPI Holds Steady In February As Fed Eyes Oil Shock, Core PCE

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Wall Street Lunch: U.S. CPI Holds Steady In February As Fed Eyes Oil Shock, Core PCE

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Listen below or on the go on Apple Podcasts and Spotify

February CPI meets expectations, but oil shock threatens renewed inflation surge. (0:15) Campbell’s shares slide after it cuts full-year outlook. (1:27) JPMorgan tightens lending against private-credit loans tied to software. (2:32)

This is an abridged transcript of the podcast:

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Our top story so far, inflation holds steady, for now.

The February CPI showed modest monthly increases in both the headline and the core, matching expectations.

Annual CPI held at 2.4%, and core CPI stayed at 2.5%.

But the numbers don’t yet reflect the shock from the U.S.–Israel–Iran war, which pushed crude oil above $100 a barrel from about $65 before the action. Oil is currently around $87.

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Economist Joseph Brusuelas of RSM sees the CPI topline rising to 3% year over year in March — and 3.5% or more in April.

“That will not provide much comfort to an American central bank now focused like a laser beam on short- and medium-term inflation expectations — and on notice for any bleeding of topline inflation into the core,” he said.

Skyler Weinand, CIO of Regan Capital, says tariff refunds — if they appear — will also juice prices.

The Fed’s attention now turns to the February core PCE price index, out Friday.

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Pantheon Macroeconomics notes the CPI components feeding into that gauge were “hot.”

“The jump in prices for computer software will boost the core PCE deflator by 0.08 percentage point alone,” they said.

And bad news for travelers — airfares jumped 7% last month, even before the surge in jet fuel.

Among active stocks, Campbell’s (CPB) is the biggest S&P decliner after it lowered its full-year outlook, reflecting a more cautious view for the balance of the year.

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Campbell’s now expects full-year organic sales growth of –1% to –2%, versus its prior –1% to +1% range. Adjusted EPS of $2.15 to $2.25 — midpoint $2.20 — is well below the prior $2.40 to $2.55 outlook and the $2.41 consensus.

Starz Entertainment (STRZ) said its board has adopted a poison pill to stave off hostile takeover attempts.

The rights activate only if a person or group acquires 17.5% or more of the equity. Each right allows shareholders to purchase one share at $93.

The move comes days after media mogul Byron Allen bought a 10.7% stake in the company — a stake previously held by Hollywood producer and former Trump Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin.

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And Nebius (NBIS) is popping after announcing that Nvidia (NVDA) will invest $2B in the Dutch AI infrastructure provider as part of a strategic partnership to develop the next generation of hyperscale cloud for the AI market.

The partnership will help Nebius deploy more than 5 gigawatts of Nvidia systems by the end of 2030.

And in other news of note, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) has marked down the value of certain loans held by private-credit groups and is tightening its lending to the sector, according to the Financial Times.

The move limits how much the bank will lend against those loans going forward.

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The devalued loans are tied to software companies — a sector that’s been in the spotlight in recent weeks.

CEO Jamie Dimon told investors at the bank’s leveraged-finance conference last week that JPMorgan is being more prudent in lending against software assets, the FT said.

A source added the shift was made preemptively to reduce the amount of credit available to the funds. Private-credit executives told the paper they haven’t seen other banks take a similar approach.

And in the Wall Street Research Corner, Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives is pushing back against the ongoing software-sector (IGV) selloff, calling it the “most disconnected” technology trade he has seen in 15 to 20 years.

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Ives argues that fears of AI disrupting traditional software companies have been overblown — leading to what he calls an “AI ghost trade” that has unfairly punished the group.

“It’s ultimately software — the use cases from Salesforce (CRM) to ServiceNow (NOW) to cybersecurity — that’s gonna protect CrowdStrike (CRWD), Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and others,” Ives said. “I think it’s the most sold off I’ve seen this sector in decades.”

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Outlook For Global Economy As Middle East Conflict Creates A Critical 'Chokepoint'

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Geox FY2025 presentation: net loss halved despite 8% sales decline


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Total Energy Services Inc. (TOT:CA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Conference Call Participants

Josef Schachter – Schachter Energy Research Services Inc.
Tim Monachello – ATB Cormark Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Presentation

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Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. My name is Krista, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome you to the Total Energy Services Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Thank you.

I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Daniel Halyk, President and Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

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Daniel Halyk
President, CEO & Director

Thank you, Krista. Good morning, and welcome to Total Energy Services Fourth Quarter 2025 Conference Call. Present with me is Yuliya Gorbach, Total’s VP, Finance and CFO. We will review with you Total’s financial and operating highlights for the 3 months ended December 31, 2025, and then provide an outlook for our business and open up the phone lines for questions. Yuliya, please go ahead.

Yulia Gorbach
VP of Finance & CFO

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Thank you, Dan. During the course of this conference call, information may be provided containing forward-looking information concerning Total’s projected operating results, anticipated capital expenditure trends and projected activity in the oil and gas field industry. Actual events or results may differ materially from those reflected in Total’s forward-looking statements due to a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors affecting Total’s businesses and the oil and gas service industry in general. These risks, uncertainties and other factors are described under the heading Risk Factors and elsewhere in Total’s most recently filed annual information form and other documents filed with Canadian provincial securities authorities that are available

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Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. (XERS) Presents at Barclays 28th Annual Global Healthcare Conference Transcript

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. (XERS) Barclays 28th Annual Global Healthcare Conference March 11, 2026 11:30 AM EDT

Company Participants

John Shannon – CEO & Director
Steven Pieper – Chief Financial Officer

Conference Call Participants

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Jenna Davidner – Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division

Presentation

Jenna Davidner
Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division

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All right. I think we’re all set.

Good morning. It’s still morning. Good morning, and welcome to the Barclays Miami Healthcare Conference. My name is Jenna Davidner. I’m one of the analysts here on the Specialty Pharmaceuticals team. And on stage with me, I have Xeris Biopharma. And from the company, we have the CEO, John Shannon. And on the end, we have Steve Pieper, the CFO.

Thank you, guys, for joining, and welcome to the conference.

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John Shannon
CEO & Director

Thanks for having us.

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Question-and-Answer Session

Jenna Davidner
Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division

So maybe just to level set the conversation, John, can you just give investors that are less familiar a brief overview of the company and your current product portfolio?

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John Shannon
CEO & Director

Yes. I’ll just go really high level because I know we’re going to dig into some of this. So Xeris is a — it’s a fast-growing commercial biopharma company. We have 3 commercial products on the market, Gvoke for hypoglycemia. It’s a rescue pen for hypoglycemia, basically an EpiPen for diabetics.

Keveyis. Keveyis is for primary periodic paralysis, which is an ultra-rare hereditary genetic disorder. We can talk a little bit about that asset in a little bit. And then Recorlev. Recorlev is for hypercortisolemia and Cushing’s syndrome, which is our big grower in the business.

On top of that, we have XP-8121, which is our next potential blockbuster, and that’s a once-weekly subcu levothyroxine for hypothyroidism. And that’s Phase III ready. We’re going to get that

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Labour’s housebuilding target ‘impossible’ says construction boss

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Breedon Group CEO Rob Wood warns Labour’s 1.5m homes target will fail due to lack of government support for construction industry, cement supply threats and falling housing stock additions

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Breedon Group is based in Derbyshire(Image: Breedon Group)

Labour’s ambitious housebuilding pledge was destined to fail from the moment it was unveiled, according to the head of a prominent construction materials company.

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Rob Wood, chief executive of materials specialist Breedon Group, told City AM that the government’s commitment to deliver 1.5m homes before the next general election is doomed because Labour has failed to adequately support its construction sector.

Mr Wood is urging ministers to safeguard the UK’s domestic cement supply, which he argues faces significant threats from inconsistent carbon regulations, elevated energy costs, climbing labour expenses and a growing influx of imported cement.

He argued that Labour’s failure to properly value the broader construction industry represents a key factor in why it will fall short of its housing ambitions.

Mr Wood said: “The day they announced it, it was already impossible. I can’t believe they still talk about it.

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“They haven’t got that long left, and if you look at the current run rates they’re not going to get anywhere near it.”

According to the Office for Budget Responsibility’s most recent projections, net additions to Britain’s housing stock are set to decline from an average of 260,000 annually to a low of 220,000 in 2026-27.

Labour’s relaxation of planning regulations has yet to “meaningfully materialise” in accelerated housebuilding rates, the watchdog noted.

Whilst the next election – Labour’s deadline for meeting its housing target – is anticipated in 2029, the OBR indicated that construction activity will not see a substantial upturn until 2030.

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Mr Wood is urging the government to tackle the cost of electricity in the UK and champion domestically produced cement in public procurement, to counter the “serious risks” confronting the cement industry.

“If there isn’t a robust and healthy domestic cement industry, everything will have to be imported, […] and ultimately it will all depend on the availability of products from overseas,” the boss of Derbyshire-based Breedon said.

Demand for essential construction materials such as concrete (-9.9 per cent), aggregates (-1.6 per cent) and asphalt (-1.1 per cent) declined for a fourth successive year in 2025, according to a Mineral Products Association (MPA) report.

Mr Wood argued the inflationary risks stemming from the Iran conflict – and the strain it places on mortgage rates and consumer confidence – demonstrate that the government should be able to depend on its domestic construction sector.

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The costs confronting British construction firms threaten their capacity to deliver Labour’s industrial strategy and could jeopardise jobs, he warned.

Breedon Group continues to grow

Breedon Group says the UK needs more infrastructure investment(Image: Breedon Group)

Earlier this month, the head of a leading construction industry body revealed inheritance tax pressures on material and machinery suppliers, which are frequently family-run, are placing companies at risk.

Productivity levels are a crucial indicator of the UK’s economic health and the government celebrated improvements to these forecasts at last year’s Budget, but Breedon Group cautioned crumbling infrastructure is hindering productivity growth. Mr Wood said: “We don’t have enough schools, we don’t have enough hospitals, our road network is in a terrible state of repair, and the government keeps talking about productivity. “.

“If we don’t have the distribution networks, if we don’t have rail or road networks that are operating efficiently, no wonder productivity can’t improve.”

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The FTSE 250 company unveiled its annual results for the year ending December 2025 on Wednesday, revealing a nine per cent revenue increase to £1.7bn.

However, pre-tax profit dipped by 16 per cent to £105m, whilst Breedon posted a record post-pandemic free cash flow generation of £133m, a rise of 17 per cent from 2024.

The firm’s results statement highlighted a “subdued” construction sector, with a “dynamic” economic environment overshadowing indications that growth might be on the upswing.

The Ministry for Housing, Communities and Local Government was approached for comment by City AM.

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