Crypto World
China’s DeepSeek AI Predicts the Price of XRP, Bitcoin and Ethereum by The End of 2026
Global geopolitical tensions may be rattling markets, but after some carefully calibrated prompting, DeepSeek AI suggests the three biggest cryptocurrencies could still be heading for a very bullish year.
Its data-driven outlook draws on improving technical indicators, positive industry developments, and a regulatory environment that is slowly becoming clearer.
Here’s why DeepSeek’s predictions are gaining attention.
XRP (XRP): DeepSeek AI Predicts an Explosive Move Soon
In a recent update, Ripple reiterated that XRP ($XRP) remains central to its long-term strategy to transform the XRP Ledger (XRPL) into a global payments infrastructure designed for enterprise adoption.
Ripple designed XRPLedger (XRPL) for extremely fast and low-cost transactions, while giving the network an early advantage in two rapidly expanding sectors: stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets.
XRP is currently trading around $1.40, and DeepSeek suggests the asset could potentially rise toward $8 before year-end, producing gains of nearly 6x.
Chart patterns also support the possibility of a breakout. XRP forms a bullish flag pattern between recent support and resistance levels, often foreshadowing bullish price action.
It’s mid-to-long-term narrative hinges on continued institutional inflows through recently launched U.S. XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Ripple’s expanding global partnerships, and the possibility that the CLARITY Act could be approved by Congress this year.
Bitcoin (BTC): DeepSeek AI Says Bitcoin Will Be $260k By Christmas
Bitcoin ($BTC) reached an all-time high (ATH) of $126,080 on October 6 before losing nearly half its value in the following months.
Regardless, DeepSeek’s analysis indicates Bitcoin could still be on track for substantial growth, potentially peaking at $266,000 by 2027.
Often referred to as digital gold, Bitcoin continues attracting investors who view it as both a diversification tool and a hedge against inflation and global economic instability.
Bitcoin capitalizes $1.4 trillion of the $2.4 trillion cryptocurrency market. Its recent decline coincided with heightened geopolitical tensions involving the United States, Iran, and Greenland, although the subsequent armed conflict did little to spook investors.
Additionally, if Donald Trump delivers his promise to create a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, the “Bitcoin to $1 million” scenario becomes plausible.
Ethereum (ETH): Will Ether Hit Five Digits This Year?
Ethereum ($ETH) is the dominant smart contract platform serving as the backbone of decentralized financ (DeFi).
With a market capitalization approaching $248 billion and around $55 billion TVL, Ethereum is the primary settlement layer blockchain commerce.
The network’s strong security, its leadership in stablecoins, and its growing involvement in real-world asset tokenization all support the case for broader institutional adoption.
However, regulatory clarity plays a critical role in future growth. The passage of the CLARITY Act in the United States could provide the legal framework institutions require before deploying lots of capital on chain.
ETH is currently trading slightly above $2,000. Significant resistance lies at $5,000 range, close to its previous ATH of $4,946.05 recorded last August.
If Ethereum decisively breaks through $5,000, DeepSeek sits it rising to a new high watermark of $7,500.
Maxi Doge: Enter Dogecoin’s Risk-Loving, Hard Pumping Cousin
If a new bull run emerges, meme coins could absorb the most hype, as they historically amplify market price trends.
One new meme coin attracting attention is Maxi Doge ($MAXI). It already raised $4.7 million through its ongoing presale as investors speculate it could eventually challenge BONK, Floki and even Dogecoin.
Maxi Doge introduces himself as Dogecoin’s louder, risk-on gym bro cousin, leaning into the viral “degen” internet culture that helped fuel the meme coin explosion during the 2021 bull market.
MAXI is an ERC-20 asset on Ethereum’s proof-of-stake blockchain, giving it a smaller environmental footprint compared with Dogecoin’s proof-of-work design.
Early presale investors can currently stake MAXI tokens for 67% APY, although those yields gradually decline as the staking pool grows.
MAXI currently sells for $0.0002808, with nominal increases planned through each funding round.
To participate, you can visit the official website and connect a supported wallet such as Best Wallet.
Purchases can also be made using a bank card.
Visit the Official Website Here
The post China’s DeepSeek AI Predicts the Price of XRP, Bitcoin and Ethereum by The End of 2026 appeared first on Cryptonews.
TLDR:
- February CPI rose 2.4% YoY with core inflation at 2.5%, remaining above the Fed’s 2% target.
- Monthly CPI growth slowed slightly, aided by stable vehicle prices and lower rental inflation.
- Rising oil prices after the Iran conflict may push March inflation higher than February levels.
- Weak payroll growth and higher unemployment complicate the Fed’s March 18 policy decision.
February CPI data showed stable inflation in the United States during February. The figures matched expectations and indicated slower price growth.
However, rising oil prices and weaker employment data now place the Federal Reserve in a difficult position before its March policy meeting.
February CPI Shows Cooling Trend Before Energy Shock
February CPI increased 2.4% compared with the same period last year. The figure matched January’s reading and aligned with market expectations.
Core inflation also remained steady at 2.5%, still above the Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation target. Monthly price growth reached 0.3% in February after a 0.2% increase in January.
Core CPI rose 0.2%, slightly lower than the previous month. Lower rental inflation and stable vehicle prices helped keep monthly increases relatively moderate.
Some consumer categories still experienced rising costs. Grocery prices climbed 0.4% during February and rose 2.4% compared with a year earlier.
Clothing prices also increased sharply, rising 1.3% during the same month. Energy prices moved higher during February but remained manageable.
Gasoline prices increased 0.8% during the month yet remained lower than last year’s levels. These numbers represent conditions before the recent geopolitical conflict affected global energy markets.
Bull Theory noted the timing challenge surrounding the data release. The post stated that the Federal Reserve received the “perfect inflation report at the worst possible time.”
Oil Price Surge and Weak Jobs Data Complicate Fed Decision
Energy markets changed rapidly after the conflict involving Iran began near the end of February. Shipping disruptions in the Persian Gulf pushed oil prices sharply higher within days.
Energy costs, therefore, started rising after the February CPI measurement period ended.
Oil prices briefly approached $120 per barrel before falling back to near $87.
The market remains unstable because shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz face ongoing risks. Around 20% of global oil shipments normally pass through this route.
Fuel prices are already increasing in the United States. The national average price for regular gasoline reached about $3.58 per gallon.
That represents an increase of roughly 20% within one month. Higher fuel costs often affect transportation, logistics, and airline travel.
Businesses may also experience higher shipping expenses if energy prices remain elevated. Economists, therefore, expect fuel costs to influence inflation in the next report.
At the same time, labor market data shows signs of slowing. Payroll growth reached only 58,000 jobs in February, far below expectations of 126,000.
The unemployment rate also rose to 4.4%. The Bull Theory summarized that policymakers now face three signals: cooling inflation, weakening jobs, and rising energy costs.
VanEck has made some of its digital asset exchange-traded products (ETPs) available to 401(k) holders in the United States, signaling a push to integrate crypto-focused investments into traditional retirement accounts.
On Wednesday, the fund issuer said a selection of its digital asset ETPs will be offered through Basic Capital, a fintech platform that provides employer-sponsored 401(k) plans.
The companies did not specify which VanEck digital asset ETPs will be available on the platform. Within crypto, VanEck is best known for the VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and the VanEck Ethereum Trust (ETHV), its spot Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The asset manager also offers the VanEck Digital Transformation ETF (DAPP), often referred to as its “Onchain Economy” ETF, which invests in companies involved in the digital asset ecosystem.
VanEck expanded its crypto product lineup earlier this year by launching a spot Avalanche ETF in the United States.
The US Department of Labor in May backtracked on previous federal guidance that discouraged 401(k) plan providers from offering crypto among their investment options.
Basic Capital was founded in 2021 and raised $25 million in a Series A funding round last year led by venture capital firms Forerunner and Lux Capital. The company’s 401(k) platform gives investors access to alternative assets beyond traditional stocks and bonds.
Related: Ethereum is very much ‘the Wall Street token,’ VanEck CEO says
Policy shift opens retirement plans to alternative assets
The move comes amid growing regulatory momentum to integrate digital assets into traditional retirement planning.
In August, US President Donald Trump signed an executive order directing federal agencies to expand access to alternative assets in 401(k) plans, including digital assets.
The directive called on agencies such as the Treasury Department and the Securities and Exchange Commission to coordinate on potential rule changes to support the broader adoption of alternative investments in retirement accounts.
The policy shift comes as more Americans rely on workplace retirement plans to build long-term savings.
Employer-sponsored defined contribution plans held about $13.9 trillion in assets as of September, including roughly $10 trillion in 401(k) plans, according to the Investment Company Institute.
Separate data from Vanguard’s “How America Saves 2025” report suggests savings rates are also rising. Nearly half (45%) of participants increased their contribution rates in 2024, reflecting the growing use of automatic contribution features in employer plans.
Related: Crypto’s 2026 investment playbook: Bitcoin, stablecoin infrastructure, tokenized assets
The one thing that remains constant in the crypto market, irrespective of whether it’s booming or not, is hacks. Thursday, hackers grabbed Bonk.fun’s domain, the Raydium- and BONK-backed Solana token launchpad, and planted a wallet drainer there.
Operator Tom announced the hack to the community through his X account @SolportTom. “Do not use the http://bonk.fun domain until further notice, hackers have hijacked a team account forcing a drainer on the DOMAIN,” he said. Bonk’s official X handle confirmed the same.
The breach underscores persistent vulnerabilities in crypto frontends, even as institutional participation booms and ecosystems become bigger.
Tom added that past connections to bonk.fun remain safe, as do trades executed through third-party terminals. Only those who signed a bogus terms-of-service message on the compromised site after the breach were hit and swift community alerts appear to have limited the damage.
“We’re doing everything in our power to fix the situation,” the operator said, prioritizing users who have trusted the platform for the past eight months. The operator did not disclose the exact amount of dollar losses, but emphasized that the incident was caught quickly.
TLDR:
- Marathon transfers 298 BTC to Cumberland, adding miner-linked supply to the market.
- Spot Taker CVD shows buyers absorbing miner sell pressure efficiently.
- Bitcoin NVT drops 33.8%, indicating rising transaction activity across the network.
- Funding Rates turn negative, signaling increased short positioning in derivatives markets.
Marathon moves 298 BTC to Cumberland, introducing miner-linked supply into Bitcoin markets. Spot buyers continue absorbing sell pressure, while derivatives funding rates indicate rising bearish positioning among traders.
Miner Transfers Add Supply While Spot Buyers Absorb Pressure
Marathon Digital recently transferred 298 BTC, valued at approximately $20.57 million, to Cumberland. Lookonchain data indicated multiple transactions leaving MARA-linked wallets roughly six hours before reporting.
Such miner movements often attract attention because miners tend to liquidate coins to meet operational or liquidity requirements. Despite the influx, the transfer’s size remains moderate relative to overall Bitcoin liquidity.
Historically, similar miner distributions have been absorbed without creating substantial price disruptions. Traders still watch these flows closely, as miner selling has previously preceded short-term volatility spikes.
Spot order-book dynamics indicate strong buyer absorption of the incoming supply. The Spot Taker CVD (90-day) shows that aggressive buyers continue executing trades at the ask.
When taker demand dominates, sellers must incrementally raise offers to match ongoing buying activity. Such market behavior contributes to price stability during periods of miner distribution.
Even amid new supply, buyers maintain control, preventing abrupt declines or disorderly trading conditions. The MARA transfer has so far not disrupted broader demand across Spot exchanges, signaling market resilience.
Additionally, social sentiment reflects trader awareness, with discussions around miner transfers and buyer absorption circulating online. Monitoring these conversations complements quantitative metrics in assessing short-term market behavior.
Combined Spot data and social tracking provide insight into how miner-linked supply interacts with active demand.
On-Chain Metrics and Derivatives Indicate Mixed Market Signals
Bitcoin’s NVT Ratio fell to 27.7 after a 33.8% decline, signaling rising network transaction activity. A lower NVT suggests more coins are moving relative to market capitalization, reflecting a more active ecosystem.
Analysts often combine NVT data with other metrics to evaluate broader market conditions, including miner-related movements. The Stock-to-Flow Ratio increased by roughly 100%, showing heightened structural scarcity.
Fewer newly minted coins relative to the circulating supply reinforce Bitcoin’s long-term scarcity narrative. This metric remains relevant for assessing the ecosystem’s fundamental strength, even during minor distribution events.
Derivatives markets reveal contrasting sentiment, with Funding Rates dropping to −0.0007 after a 294.54% decline. Negative funding indicates growing short positioning, where short traders receive payments from long traders in perpetual futures.
Such heavily negative funding can also create short-squeeze conditions if spot prices stabilize or rise. Market participants interpret these dynamics as a divergence: Spot demand absorbs supply efficiently while derivatives sentiment grows bearish.
Traders track both on-chain metrics and funding rates to gauge potential volatility and supply-demand shifts. Overall, miner transfers, network activity, and scarcity measures continue to support Bitcoin’s structural fundamentals despite mixed short-term signals.
Mobile phone chipmaker MediaTek patched a vulnerability affecting its chipsets in January that could have allowed an attacker to steal crypto seed phrases on affected devices using just a USB cable and the right software.
The flaw was discovered by Ledger’s white-hat security team, Donjon, who had shared the vulnerability with MediaTek before a patch was rolled out on Jan. 5, though users who have not installed the latest security patches are advised to do so, said Ledger.
Test device compromised in 45 seconds
According to Ledger, the flaw came from MediaTek’s secure boot chain, a security mechanism built into its chips that ensures a phone starts safely and only with authorized software during startup.
In a statement shared with Cointelegraph, Ledger explained that the flaw meant an attacker with access to an Android phone could connect it to a computer via USB and bypass security protections, potentially gaining access to sensitive data on the device, including crypto wallet seed phrases.
Around 25% of Android phones use the Trustonic Trusted Execution Environment (TEE) and MediaTek processors, which the security flaw exploits.
Donjon demonstrated the hack by connecting a Nothing CMF Phone 1 to a laptop and compromising the device’s security in approximately 45 seconds.
“Without ever even booting into Android, the exploit automatically recovered the phone’s PIN, decrypted its storage, and extracted the seed phrases from the most popular software wallets: Trust Wallet, Base, Kraken Wallet, Rabby, Tangem’s Mobile Wallet and Phantom,” Ledger said.
While Ledger urged users to update their devices, a Ledger spokesperson told Cointelegraph they “don’t anticipate this to be an ongoing issue.”
Mobile phones are never safe, Ledger says
With almost 36 million people managing digital assets on their phones as of early 2025, even a single vulnerability could put a significant number of wallets at risk.
In December 2025, Ledger revealed that it tested an attack on the MediaTek Dimensity 7300 (MT6878), and bypassed its security measures to gain “full and absolute control over the smartphone, with no security barrier left standing.”
Ledger chief technology officer Charles Guillemet told Cointelegraph in June 2020 that mobile phones, whether Android or iPhone, are “very difficult to have secure applications.”
Related: SlowMist introduces Web3 security stack for autonomous AI agents
He reinforced a similar view on Wednesday, posting on X: “Smartphones aren’t built for security. Even when powered off, user data – including pins & seeds – can be extracted in under a minute.”
“This research highlights a fundamental architectural difference: General-purpose chips are built for convenience. Secure Elements are built for key protection. A dedicated Secure Element isolates secrets from the rest of the system, protecting them even under physical attack,” he said.
Magazine: All 21 million Bitcoin is at risk from quantum computers
TLDR:
- U.S. inflation steady at 2.4% in February 2026, unchanged from January’s rate.
- Core CPI held at 2.5%, marking the lowest reading since 2021, showing easing pressures.
- Energy prices rebounded, with natural gas rising 10.9% and fuel oil up 6.2%.
- Shelter and food costs contributed steadily to monthly CPI changes, supporting stability.
U.S. inflation in February 2026 remained stable at 2.4%, reflecting moderate price growth and balanced sector performance.
Energy and core inflation trends offset other declines, indicating a steady and predictable price environment for the early 2026 economy.
Energy Prices Influence Headline Inflation
Energy costs were a primary factor in February 2026 inflation trends. Overall energy inflation rose to 0.5%, reversing the -0.1% decline from January.
This shift contributed to maintaining headline inflation at 2.4% year-over-year. Gasoline prices declined at -5.6%, a smaller decrease than January’s -7.5%, while fuel oil surged 6.2%, counteracting disinflation in other categories.
Natural gas prices continued strong growth, rising 10.9%, slightly higher than January’s 9.8% increase. These energy price movements reflect ongoing volatility within the sector.
Despite the rebound in energy, overall inflation remained moderate, suggesting that price increases are currently controlled. This stability aligns with market expectations and indicates a predictable inflation environment.
Monthly changes show how energy prices affected headline CPI. Gasoline contributed 0.8%, fuel oil added incremental pressure, and natural gas continued to elevate costs for households and businesses.
Without these energy rebounds, the 2.4% inflation rate might have fallen further. Food and shelter trends further shaped inflation dynamics.
Food prices held at 3.1%, while shelter increased by 0.2% monthly, reflecting consistent demand. Together, these sectors moderated the net impact of volatile energy prices.
Used vehicle prices declined by -3.2%, accelerating from January’s -2% drop, further balancing inflation. The vehicle market continues to normalize after supply disruptions, helping prevent excessive overall price growth.
Producer and consumer indicators support this stabilization. PPI fell slightly to 2.9%, while consumer inflation expectations dropped to 3.0%, reflecting confidence in moderate inflation.
The combination of energy, food, and shelter trends demonstrates how sector-specific movements influence headline inflation. February 2026’s 2.4% rate shows that price growth remains contained despite volatility in select areas.
Core Inflation and Economic Stability
Core inflation, excluding food and energy, remained at 2.5% year-over-year in February 2026. Monthly core CPI increased 0.2%, lower than January’s 0.3%, indicating a modest slowdown in underlying price pressures.
This moderation highlights that services and housing costs are growing steadily, without extreme fluctuations. The lowest core inflation reading since 2021 reflects a stable environment for policy and economic planning.
Shelter, contributing the largest weight in the consumer price index, remained at 3.0% annual growth. Food stayed at 3.1%, while energy’s rebound offset declines elsewhere.
Combined, these movements created a balanced CPI outcome for the month. Used car and truck prices, declining 3.2% monthly, point to a normalization in markets previously disrupted by supply shortages.
These declines also provide relief to consumers, helping maintain overall inflation stability. Historical trends illustrate that 2025 saw inflation peaks around 3.0% in September before gradually falling to 2.4% by early 2026.
This cyclical pattern confirms that inflationary pressures are easing steadily across sectors. Producer Price Index movements also support this view, with PPI easing to 2.9%.
Consumer expectations fell to 3.0%, indicating moderated perceptions of future inflation. The stable headline and core inflation, combined with predictable sector trends, signal that price growth is under control.
Energy rebounds and shelter costs balanced disinflation elsewhere, producing steady and manageable U.S. inflation.
Bitcoin price has jumped by 16% from its lowest point this year, and is hovering at the crucial resistance at $70,000. This recovery may continue in the near term amid robust ETF inflows and falling core inflation.
Summary
- Bitcoin price remained above the key resistance level at $70k.
- Data shows that the US core inflation eased to 0.2% in February.
- Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows are nearing $1 billion this month.
Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $70,000 today, March 11, up from the lowest point this year. Its daily volume soared to $47 billion, while the market capitalization moved to $1.3 trillion.
US core inflation cooled, while Bitcoin ETF inflows rose
Bitcoin price may benefit from the ongoing demand from American investors. After shedding over $6 billion in assets in the last four months, data shows that spot Bitcoin ETFs are adding millions in assets this month.
They added $250 million in assets on Tuesday after adding $167 million a day earlier. As a result, they have now added $986 million this month, erasing the $206 million losses made in February.
The ongoing ETF inflows are happening even as the Iran war and instability in the Middle East continues. As such, there are signs that some investors are embracing Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset as geopolitical risks rise.
Meanwhile, data released on Wednesday showed that the US core inflation slowed in February from a month earlier. The figure, which excludes the volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.2% from 0.3% in the previous month.
The headline and core CPI held steady at 2.4% and 2.5% on an annualized basis. These numbers mean that inflationary concerns were ending before the Iran war started earlier this month.
Inflation will likely bounce back in the near term now that crude oil prices have rebounded. Brent jumped to $90, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) jumped to $86.
On the positive side for Bitcoin, there is a possibility that this conflict will end soon, driving energy prices and inflation lower.
Bitcoin price may jump to $80k if it flips key resistance
Technicals suggest that Bitcoin may be ripe for a strong comeback if it flips the key resistance level at $74,715, its lowest point in April last year.
It has already moved above the Supertrend indicator for the first time since January this year. Also, it has remained above the ascending trendline that connects the lowest swings since February.
BTC price has moved above the 14-day moving average. Therefore, the coin may keep rising in the coming weeks, potentially to the psychological level at $80,000.
Aave price is trading near $111 as traders react to a $27 million liquidation error that briefly shook confidence in the lending protocol.
Summary
- Aave price dropped after a $27M liquidation caused by a CAPO oracle error.
- 34 accounts using wstETH were liquidated, but the protocol stayed solvent and users will be reimbursed.
- AAVE trades in a descending channel with support at $110–$115, resistance at $125–$130, and weak momentum.
Aave (AAVE) slipped on Wednesday as traders reacted to a recent liquidation incident on the protocol. At press time, AAVE was trading at $111.45, down 2.2% over the past 24 hours.
During the past week, the token moved between $105.31 and $118.70. The price has attempted to recover from the February lows, but it has repeatedly stalled. The market has not yet returned to the levels observed prior to the earlier decline, and momentum is still weak.
Trading activity has cooled slightly. Daily trading volume reached about $29 million, which is 11% lower than the previous day. CoinGlass data also shows softer activity in derivatives markets. Futures volume fell 14% to $300 million, while open interest dropped 4.97% to $190 million.
When both volume and open interest fall at the same time, it usually means traders are stepping back and closing positions.
Liquidation glitch sparks concerns among traders
The decline in sentiment follows an unusual liquidation event on March 10 that affected several users of the Aave lending platform.
The incident was not caused by a hack or a sudden market crash. Instead, it stemmed from a configuration problem in CAPO, Aave’s internal risk management oracle used to monitor collateral prices.
The issue affected positions that used wstETH, the wrapped staked ether token issued by Lido, as collateral. A mismatch between an exchange-rate snapshot and its timestamp caused the system to read the wstETH-to-ETH price incorrectly.
Because of the error, the oracle undervalued the asset by roughly 2.85%. Several accounts suddenly appeared under-collateralized even though their positions were healthy on-chain.
As a result, around 34 user accounts were liquidated, and approximately 10,938 wstETH, worth about $27 million, was sold through automated liquidation processes. Liquidation bots earned close to 499 ETH through bonuses and fees.
After the issue was identified, Chaos Labs, which helps monitor risk parameters on Aave, worked with the protocol team to correct the configuration. The protocol itself remained solvent and did not accumulate bad debt.
Aave said affected users would be compensated using recovered funds and DAO resources. The Aave DAO and Lido both signaled support for reimbursing impacted accounts.
Although the problem was quickly fixed, the event reminded traders that technical errors can still trigger liquidations in DeFi systems.
Technical analysis: Aave price stuck inside descending channel
On the chart, Aave is trading inside a descending channel, a pattern that appears when prices register lower highs and lows. The upper trendline of the channel continues to act as resistance, while the lower boundary has provided support during recent dips.
This structure often shows a bearish bias until a breakout occurs. The token is also trading below its short-term moving averages, such as the 50-day and 20-day averages, which act as overhead resistance.
Sellers will probably maintain control of the trend until the price rises above these levels. Volatility has been relatively muted. Bollinger Bands are slightly narrowing, which can happen when the market pauses before the next larger move.
Momentum indicators also lean negative. Buying strength is still restricted, as indicated by the relative strength index, which is below the 50 mark. However, the indicator is not yet in oversold territory, allowing for additional declines.
Within the channel, $110 to $115 is currently serving as a short-term support zone. If the price breaks below that range, it may move into the next demand zone.
On the upside, resistance sits around $125 to $130, where the upper channel trendline and short-term moving averages meet. A clear move above that range would be needed to shift momentum back in favor of buyers.
Bitcoin (BTC) failed to break the $72,000 resistance on Tuesday, as onchain data suggested that BTC was entering the most “challenging” phase of the cycle.
Key takeaways:
-
Bitcoin price stays range-bound following another rejection at $72,000.
-
Rising supply in loss suggests the most “psychologically challenging” phase of the bear market is here.
-
Bitcoin must break resistance at $72,000 for a chance to end the downtrend.
Bitcoin faces the most frustrating phase of the cycle
Bitcoin is entering a period of “elevated uncertainty” where market participants display more hesitation than conviction, according to CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_.
“A combination of 3 key onchain metrics suggests that the market may be navigating one of the most psychologically challenging phases of the cycle,” MorenoDV_ said.
Related: Arthur Hayes says he’s waiting to buy Bitcoin until Fed eases policy
These include the Bitcoin bull-bear market cycle indicator, a metric that tracks phases of investor sentiment in the BTC market, which shows a bear market consolidation phase following the aggressive drawdown from cycle highs.
This is “a period that historically tends to frustrate both bulls and bears,” the analyst said.
The apparent demand further reinforces this picture. The chart above reveals that the spike in Bitcoin’s apparent demand in mid-February was short-lived, “with demand quickly slipping back into negative territory,” MorenoDV_ said.
The lack of sustained buying pressure indicates that market participants remain cautious and unwilling to aggressively accumulate at current levels.
Moreover, the Long-Term Holder SOPR is now below the key threshold of 1, a sign that even long-term investors are realizing losses.
“Historically, this phase tends to emerge in the later stages of bear markets, when prolonged uncertainty begins to erode even the strongest conviction. ”
Meanwhile, Bitcoin supply in loss is rising again, currently approaching the 40–45% range, up from 22% in mid-January.
Historically, such levels appeared during deep corrective phases, as seen in 2015, 2019, and 2022, reflecting growing market stress and capitulation among sellers.
The chart below shows that macro market bottoms are historically formed when supply in loss rises above 50%.
“Supply in loss is increasing again, indicating rising market stress,” CryptoQuant analyst Woominkyu said, adding:
“If historical patterns repeat, the current level may represent the early phase of a bear market rather than the final bottom.”
As Cointelegraph reported, analysts forecast Bitcoin extending its bear market into late 2026, with some predictions as low as $30,000.
Bitcoin’s key resistance remains $72,000
Bitcoin has made several unsuccessful attempts to rise above $72,000, a level that has suppressed the price since early March.
“Another rejection at the range high for the time being,” said analyst Daan Crypto Trades in an X post on Tuesday, referring to Bitcoin’s pause below $72,000 on Tuesday, adding:
“Still in the range and markets are in general very indecisive.”
An accompanying chart showed $72,000 was the key level to watch on BTC’s four-hour chart. Breaching this level could attract new buyers if the price breaks out of its range.
Fellow analyst BenCrypz said a clean breakout above $72,000 “could trigger stronger bullish momentum and open the path toward higher levels.”
“However, if this resistance holds again, BTC could rotate back toward the $69K mid-range or even revisit the $66K support zone.”
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
TLDR:
- The 20 millionth Bitcoin was mined; only one million remain to enter circulation over 100+ years.
- Bitcoin’s halving mechanism gradually slows new coin creation, ensuring predictable scarcity.
- Mining secures the network, while future transaction fees will sustain miner incentives.
- Bitcoin’s decentralized, inflation-resistant design continues to attract global investors.
Bitcoin’s 20 million mined marks a historic milestone as the network reaches over 20 million coins. Only one million remain to be mined, reinforcing Bitcoin’s scarcity, decentralized structure, and long-term inflation-proof economic design in global finance.
Mining Milestone Highlights Scarcity
Bitcoin reached a new stage as the 20 millionth coin was mined, leaving only one million coins yet to enter circulation.
Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase, highlighted the milestone on X, noting the remaining coins will take over 100 years to mine.
Mining remains the core process of Bitcoin’s issuance. Miners validate transactions and secure the network while receiving newly minted coins as rewards.
When Bitcoin launched in 2009, the block reward was 50 BTC. The halving mechanism reduces rewards approximately every four years.
The latest reduction brought the block reward to 3.125 BTC, significantly slowing the creation of new coins. This ensures Bitcoin approaches its 21 million cap gradually, maintaining predictable scarcity.
Mining also supports network security. Over time, transaction fees are expected to replace block rewards as the primary incentive for miners.
This allows the network to remain decentralized and functional even after all coins are mined.
Decentralized, Inflation-Resistant Money
Bitcoin’s fixed supply positions it as an inflation-resistant asset. Unlike fiat currencies, which can be printed at will, Bitcoin’s 21 million maximum ensures it remains scarce and predictable over time.
Global interest continues to grow. Institutions, corporations, and individual investors are increasingly recognizing Bitcoin as a decentralized, inflation-proof store of value.
The milestone reinforces its long-term economic design and transparency. The remaining one million coins will enter circulation slowly due to halving.
This controlled release preserves scarcity, while mining efficiency, hardware, and renewable energy use shape the network’s evolution. Brian Armstrong emphasizes Bitcoin’s role as global money, offering a decentralized alternative to traditional finance.
Bitcoin 20 Million Mined represents more than just a number; it reflects the asset’s scarcity, long-term value proposition, and unique design as decentralized, inflation-resistant money.
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