The price of XRP is stabilizing near a key technical level even as institutional flows weaken, raising questions about the token’s next move.

The Ripple token (XRP) was trading around $1.41 on March 13, gaining roughly 2.4% on the day, according to data from Crypto.News. The token has been consolidating in a narrow range after declining from highs near $1.90 earlier this year, suggesting that the market is searching for a new directional catalyst.

Institutional sentiment appears to be softening. Data tracking XRP spot exchange-traded funds shows daily net outflows of about $6.08 million, while total net assets across these products remain close to $967 million.

The chart indicates that after several sessions of inflows earlier in March, ETF activity has turned negative with multiple red days in a row, signaling that some institutional investors may be reducing exposure or locking in profits following previous gains.

Despite the cooling ETF demand, XRP has managed to maintain support above the $1.40 level, an area that traders are closely watching as a potential pivot for the next move.

XRP price analysis

From a technical perspective, momentum indicators suggest that bearish pressure is gradually fading. The relative strength index (RSI) currently sits near 50, reflecting neutral momentum and a balance between buyers and sellers.

Meanwhile, the Awesome Oscillator has steadily climbed toward the zero line after spending several weeks in negative territory, a shift that typically indicates weakening downside momentum and the possibility of a trend reversal.

Additional support for market sentiment could come from developments around Ripple, which recently launched a $750 million share buyback program aimed at repurchasing shares from early investors and employees.

While the buyback does not directly affect XRP supply, it is often viewed by market participants as a sign of confidence in the broader ecosystem surrounding the token.

Technically, XRP faces immediate resistance near $1.45 to $1.50, a zone that has repeatedly capped recent rallies.

A decisive breakout above that level could open the path toward $1.60 and potentially $1.70, while failure to hold above $1.30–$1.35 could expose the token to renewed downside pressure.

Ethereum’s price rallied to a weekly high of $2,144 on Friday following the strong debut of investment manager BlackRock’s staked Ethereum ETF.

According to data from crypto.news, Ethereum (ETH) price shot up nearly 6% to $2,144 during Friday morning Asian time before stabilizing around $2,100 at the time of writing. At this valuation, the second-largest crypto asset by market cap sits 11% above its weekly low and over 18% from its lowest point in February.

The rally gained momentum after BlackRock recorded a very strong debut with its iShares Staked Ethereum ETF (ETHB) on Nasdaq. The first Ethereum ETF from the world’s largest asset manager to include staking pulled in around $15.5 million in trading volume on its first day.

For context, the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust (ETHB) operates by holding spot Ethereum and dynamically staking between 70% and 95% of its reserves directly on the Ethereum network. This structure allows investors to receive 82% of staking rewards through monthly distributions. This largely differs from existing Ethereum ETFs, where investors forego staking rewards, making those older products much less appealing.

As such, there is a strong possibility that investors could begin rotating their capital from other ETH ETFs, including BlackRock’s own ETHA, which offers no staking, into the new ETHB. 

Investors who have previously stayed on the sidelines due to the lack of yield could now also enter the market while enjoying the added benefits of staking rewards. This shift, driven by those who finally see the ETF as a productive asset, could likely act as a fresh catalyst to sustain the current uptrend.

Meanwhile, besides the ETF news, a sharp drop in crude oil prices provided extra tailwinds. Brent crude dropped 7% today, renewing investor demand for risk assets, including Ethereum, as they rotate away from traditional safe-haven assets.

On the daily chart, technical indicators seem to suggest that Ethereum’s price could sustain its rally above $2,100 in the short term.

Notably, the 20-day moving average appears to be close to confirming a bullish crossover with the 50-day moving average. Meanwhile, the Aroon Up remains at 35.71%, which is comfortably above the Aroon Down at 7.14%. Ethereum’s RSI has also yet to enter the overbought area. 

This suggests there is still room for the uptrend to continue before any potential exhaustion or reversal occurs.

For now, $2,200 could act as the immediate resistance that traders will be watching closely for signs of a breakout. A move above that level could act as a definitive confirmation of a positive shift in market sentiment.

A rally above that mark would also invalidate a major bearish pattern. As previously reported by analysts at crypto.news, the price has been forming a bearish flag pattern over multiple months. 

Bearish flag patterns are considered some of the most bearish formations in technical analysis. If ETH falls towards $1800, it would confirm the pattern.

Despite clear warnings, a trader confirmed a massive $50M swap and received just 324 Aave tokens

A user attempted to purchase the AAVE token with $50 million worth of Tether through the Aave interface on March 12, but the trade executed poorly after the user accepted a warning about extreme slippage.

According to Aave Labs founder and CEO Stani Kulechov, the transaction involved a single order of significant size placed through the Aave interface, which integrates routing infrastructure provided by CoW Swap. Because of the unusually large order size, the interface displayed a warning about extraordinary slippage and required explicit confirmation before the swap could proceed.

$50M Trade Gone Wrong

The warning appeared as a confirmation checkbox, which the user had to manually accept before completing the transaction. Kulechov said the user confirmed the warning on a mobile device and chose to proceed with the trade despite the slippage notification. Due to the execution conditions and the liquidity available through the routing path, the user ultimately received only 324 AAVE tokens in return for the $50 million USDT order.

Kulechov stated that the transaction could not have moved forward without the user explicitly acknowledging the warning and confirming acceptance of the associated risks through the interface. He said the routing infrastructure functioned as designed and that the integration with CoW Swap followed standard practices commonly used across the DeFi sector.

However, the final execution was significantly worse than what would typically be expected in a more liquid market environment. Kulechov noted that events involving high slippage can occur in DeFi when users attempt to execute trades that are far larger than the liquidity available in the relevant markets, although he said the scale of this specific transaction was significantly larger than what is normally seen in the space.

In response to the incident, the exec said the Aave team sympathizes with the user and will attempt to establish contact with them. He added that the protocol plans to return approximately $600,000 in fees that were collected from the transaction. Kulechov said that while maintaining the permissionless nature of DeFi remains important, the industry can still build additional guardrails to help reduce the likelihood of similar incidents in the future.

User Freedom vs Protection

CoW Protocol, which is a DEX aggregator, took to X and explained that “preventing users from making trades removes choice and can lead to terrible outcomes in some situations.” It also added that trades like these demonstrate that “DeFi UX still isn’t where it needs to be to protect all users. As a team, we are now reviewing how we balance strong safeguards with preserving user autonomy.”

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The platform asserted that it will refund any fees sent to CoW DAO.

The incident quickly drew reactions across the crypto community. A popular crypto analyst, Autism Capital, described the event as a “teachable moment about money.”

Meanwhile, another crypto commentator, KJ Crypto, questioned the motivation behind such a large purchase attempt and tweeted that it raises questions about why someone would want to acquire $50 million worth of Aave in a single transaction.

The Bitcoin Policy Institute said it plans to review and respond to an upcoming proposal from the Federal Reserve that could shape how U.S. banks treat Bitcoin under international banking standards.

Bitcoin Policy Institute to weigh in as Fed prepares Basel proposal for banks

According to Conner Brown, the Federal Reserve is expected to issue a public proposal next week outlining how American banks should implement risk-weighting guidance under the Basel Accords.

The proposal will apply to the largest U.S. banks and will open a 90-day public comment period, allowing industry participants, policy groups and financial institutions to submit feedback before the rules are finalized.

Brown said the institute intends to participate in the process to ensure regulators “get Bitcoin’s treatment right.”

Under the Basel framework, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently assigned a 1250% risk weighting, which effectively treats the cryptocurrency as a highly risky asset on bank balance sheets. Such a requirement forces banks to hold significantly higher levels of capital against Bitcoin exposure compared with most traditional assets.

Critics argue that this classification makes it difficult for banks to provide financial services to Bitcoin users and companies, as the capital requirements can discourage institutions from interacting with the sector.

“The Federal Reserve just announced that next week they will issue a public proposal for how banks should implement Basel risk weighting guidance,” Brown said in a post on X, adding that the think tank would review the document and submit a formal public comment.

The upcoming consultation comes as policymakers in the United States continue to debate how digital assets should fit within the global banking regulatory framework.

Industry advocates say the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s proposal could play a key role in determining whether traditional financial institutions expand or limit their engagement with Bitcoin-related services in the future.

In crypto’s latest infrastructure race, blockchains are competing to host perpetual futures exchanges. Many are now launching or incubating decentralized derivatives markets themselves, even as centralized platforms continue to dominate.

Derivatives make up most of today’s crypto trading activity, often accounting for the majority of total volume. On Tuesday, Bitcoin (BTC) spot trading volume across centralized exchanges reached about 55,230 BTC while derivatives volume totaled more than 506,600 BTC, according to CryptoQuant.

Perpetual decentralized exchanges, or perp DEXs, now act as core infrastructure as they give traders, market makers and institutional participants access to leveraged products, according to Nina Rong, executive director of growth at BNB Chain.

“When these players are active on a chain, they bring liquidity, hedging activity, and arbitrage flows, which significantly increase overall onchain volume and strengthen the ecosystem’s trading environment,” she told Cointelegraph.

While several blockchains are exploring their own derivatives venues, launching one does not automatically translate into meaningful or sustained trading activity. Derivatives liquidity has historically consolidated around a small number of dominant exchanges rather than spreading evenly across platforms.

Blockchains begin building or incubating their own perp DEXs

The logic is quite straightforward. If derivatives drive a large share of crypto trading volume, a perp DEX can help a blockchain attract more trading activity.

“In many ways, it has become a competitive race: the chains that host the largest number of successful derivatives platforms are more likely to attract and sustain higher trading volume within their ecosystem,” said Rong.

For BNB Chain, that platform is Aster. On Thursday, it had the second-highest open interest among perp DEXs, according to DefiLlama. Rong claimed that Aster’s rise has helped BNB’s ability to maintain its market share.

Some chains are actively incubating perp DEXs instead of waiting for an external team to select their network to build on. One such example is Decibel, which went live on the Aptos mainnet on Feb. 26.

“What you actually see in the crypto ecosystem as a whole is different L1s and different blockchains starting to think about what is actually going to use the block space,” Brylee Whatley, the head of Decibel Foundation, told Cointelegraph.

“A lot of L1 teams realize they are in the best position to understand the mechanics of their own chains and build applications on top of them,” he said. 

Related: Aster delisting exposes DeFi’s growing integrity crisis

Whatley added that Decibel itself was not part of the recent rush by blockchains to build perp DEXs. Aptos has been incubating Decibel for about a year, many months before Hyperliquid, Aster and Lighter vied for market dominance.

Liquidity tends to consolidate around dominant venues

Launching a perp DEX will not guarantee a fountain of eternal liquidity. According to Stephan Lutz, CEO of BitMEX, derivatives trading has historically tended to cluster around a few platforms.

“All markets (derivatives and spot) rely heavily on market makers and strong risk management systems. These participants usually favor platforms that already have liquidity and a track record,” Lutz told Cointelegraph.

This means in the long run, it is inefficient to separate trading venues per chain or coin. Given that traders often trade across multiple chains and coins, we believe that consolidation is an almost natural process.”

A similar pattern has played out in traditional financial markets over the past three decades. The shift to electronic trading in the 1990s led to a wave of exchanges and alternative platforms entering the market. Over time, liquidity often reconsolidated around venues with deeper order books, lower spreads and more reliable infrastructure, according to research published by the Bank for International Settlements.

Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) dominates much of the US futures market in TradFi today. The Intercontinental Exchange leads in energy derivatives and Eurex Exchange is a major venue for European index futures. 

In crypto, the majority of Bitcoin and Ether (ETH) derivatives trading has historically concentrated on a few exchanges like Binance, OKX, Bybit and Deribit. More recently, decentralized platforms such as Hyperliquid have emerged as significant players for perpetual futures activity.

Centralized exchanges still provide advantages such as order handling, risk management, liquidity and trading infrastructure, while fully onchain platforms are limited by block times, leading to delays and slippage, Sidrah Fariq, head of retail sales at Deribit, told Cointelegraph.

“In addition, centralized exchanges can offer greater privacy, which can be important for institutional traders,” she added.

Meanwhile, proponents of onchain exchanges argue that decentralization and composability allow derivatives liquidity to embed itself within specific ecosystems.

Related: Why institutions still prefer Ethereum despite faster blockchains

“Your order book is on the blockchain and verifiable, and order matching follows price-time priority set by the blockchain itself,” said Decibel’s Whatley. 

“When you send an order you know exactly how it’s getting matched and that it’s entering the order book fairly instead of being routed somewhere else,” he said.

The “U” shape of derivatives markets

The long-term picture for derivatives may depend on whether perp DEXs differentiate themselves across networks or simply replicate the same products. Rong of BNB Chain said networks that offer distinct features may have an advantage.

“Chains win by offering unique yield opportunities or distinctive trading venues that are not available elsewhere,” she said. But if similar platforms emerge everywhere, “the result will likely be fragmentation across multiple ecosystems, rather than a single dominant hub.”

At the same time, market dynamics may eventually push liquidity back toward a smaller set of venues. Lutz from BitMEX said market makers and professional traders tend to cluster where they can deploy capital efficiently and manage risk across many assets without jumping between platforms.

“If liquidity is too spread out across several derivatives platforms, it often leads to wider spreads and more volatile markets,” he said.

That dynamic may produce what Lutz described as a cyclical pattern for ecosystems experimenting with their own derivative platforms. 

“We expect a U-shaped technical liquidity development per ecosystem,” he said, where new venues initially see a surge of activity before momentum fades.

Perpetual futures markets now influence where liquidity forms, how traders hedge risk and which platforms dominate trading activity. As blockchains compete to host those markets, derivatives trading is increasingly becoming core infrastructure for crypto ecosystems.

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