Connect with us

Business

Rising geopolitics and indigenisation push place India’s defence sector in a structural growth cycle

Published

on

Rising geopolitics and indigenisation push place India’s defence sector in a structural growth cycle
India’s defence sector is entering a new phase of expansion as geopolitical tensions, government procurement initiatives and a strong push for domestic manufacturing reshape the industry’s growth outlook. Rising global security concerns—particularly in regions such as the Middle East—are prompting nations to increase military spending, which in turn is creating opportunities for defence equipment manufacturers worldwide.

For India, this shift coincides with a policy framework that prioritizes self-reliance in defence production. The government’s continued emphasis on indigenisation, alongside initiatives aimed at strengthening domestic manufacturing capabilities, is expanding the sector’s addressable market. Increasing participation from private industry, start-ups and MSMEs is also improving the depth of the domestic defence ecosystem while encouraging innovation and cost efficiency across projects.

A key driver of sector growth is the steady pipeline of procurement programs and capital acquisition approvals across the armed forces. Recent approvals of large defence acquisition proposals underscore the government’s ongoing commitment to modernizing military capabilities and enhancing operational readiness. Such approvals not only support order inflows but also provide greater revenue visibility for the sector over the medium term.

Export opportunities are emerging as another significant catalyst. With several countries increasing defence spending and seeking diversified supply sources, Indian manufacturers are gradually expanding their presence in global markets. The Middle East already accounts for a significant share of global arms imports, and continued demand for equipment such as missiles, air-defence systems, surveillance technologies and electronic warfare solutions could open new avenues for Indian defence exporters.

Advertisement

At the same time, the sector continues to face certain operational challenges. Supply-chain constraints—particularly for specialized components and imported subsystems—could occasionally affect production schedules or execution timelines for complex defence platforms. Addressing these bottlenecks through greater localization and technology development remains a key priority for policymakers and industry participants alike.


Despite these near-term constraints, the broader outlook for the defence industry remains positive. Increasing budget allocations, emergency procurement programs and technology-focused development roadmaps are likely to sustain order inflows and improve long-term revenue visibility for sector participants.
Taken together, rising defence spending, a robust procurement pipeline and growing export opportunities suggest that India’s defence sector is transitioning into a structurally stronger growth phase. As indigenisation deepens and domestic capabilities expand across platforms—from electronics and missiles to aerospace systems—the sector appears well positioned to benefit from both domestic modernisation and global demand for defence equipment.

Bharat Electronics: Buy| Target Rs 520

Supported by a robust INR730b order book and sustained inflows, Bharat Electronics remains well placed to benefit from large platform programs across the Army, Navy, and Air Force. A strong addressable market underpins expectations of sustained revenue growth exceeding 15% over the coming years.
Strong execution drove revenues and margins above expectations, aided by disciplined cost control and operating leverage. Effective supply-chain management has insulated the company from semiconductor shortages and commodity volatility, while higher indigenisation levels continue to support better-than-expected profitability.

Looking ahead, Bharat Electronics is positioned to capitalise on sizable orders, including QRSAM, Akash-NG, next-generation corvettes, and base programs. Improved margins and healthy execution underpin management’s guidance, with revenue and PAT expected to grow at 18% and 16% CAGR over FY25–28.

Kirloskar Oil Engines: Buy| Target Rs 1600

Kirloskar Oil Engines continues to strengthen its market position across both low and high-horsepower power generation segments, supported by ongoing capability expansion and a consultant-led sales approach.

Advertisement

The company is witnessing improving order visibility driven by increasing opportunities in the nuclear and defence sectors, CPCB 4+ replacement demand, and growing export traction. The transfer of the B2C business enables a sharper focus on the higher-margin B2B portfolio.

In 3QFY26, revenue grew 35% YoY to INR13.8b, led by strong performance in the power generation and industrial segments. EBITDA margin stood at 12.2%, impacted sequentially by higher other expenses, while adjusted profit after tax was INR1,022m.

Over 9MFY26, revenue, EBITDA, and profit after tax recorded steady growth, reflecting healthy demand momentum and improving operating performance.

(The author Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Research – Wealth Management, Motilal Oswal Financial Services)

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Business

U.S. Gasoline Prices Are Up by Nearly a Quarter Since War Broke Out

Published

on

A gas station in downtown Los Angeles.

U.S. gasoline prices have now climbed 23.5% since the war began, climbing to a national average of $3.68 a gallon on Saturday. The global price of oil has surged even more sharply, rising 40% over the same period to $103.14 a barrel on Friday. Historically, gas prices tend to lag behind shifts in crude oil costs, suggesting further increases could be on the horizon.

Continue Reading

Business

Goldman cuts near-term TOPIX targets on heightened geopolitical concerns

Published

on


Goldman cuts near-term TOPIX targets on heightened geopolitical concerns

Continue Reading

Business

Market crash wipes Rs 34 lakh cr in March so far; can tax harvesting help investors?

Published

on

Market crash wipes Rs 34 lakh cr in March so far; can tax harvesting help investors?
Sensex and Nifty have seen a massive selloff amid the raging Iran-Israel war, wiping out nearly Rs 34 lakh crore from the total market capitalisation of BSE in March so far. As bears dominate the markets, investors may consider tax harvesting as a way to save on taxes.

Tax harvesting involves two methods tax loss harvesting and tax gains harvesting. Investors are liable to pay capital gains tax on equities only when the shares are sold. While taxes are payable on gains, investors also have an opportunity to save taxes if they incur losses.

What is tax loss harvesting?

Tax loss harvesting involves selling equities that are at a loss and then carrying forward the loss to offset gains in future years. The loss can be carried forward for up to eight assessment years from the assessment year in which it was incurred.

Advertisement

Example: An investor named John sold shares of X Company on Friday (bought in February last year) and made a profit of Rs 5 lakh. Since the holding period is more than 12 months, this is treated as a long-term capital gain (LTCG).

Breaking down his tax liability: Rs 1.25 lakh of the profit is exempt, while the remaining Rs 3.75 lakh is taxed at a flat rate of 12.5%. John wants to reduce his tax liability using tax loss harvesting.


John also owns shares of Y Company, which have fallen significantly below his purchase price. By selling Y shares and incurring losses of Rs 3.75 lakh, his overall tax liability for the year is reduced to zero, as the losses offset the gains from X shares.
“This method is called tax loss harvesting. Normal human tendency is to sell shares that are profitable and hold shares that are in loss. Tax loss harvesting is about selling shares incurring substantial loss so that it can offset profits already made. Unless you sell the shares, you cannot claim the loss under Income Tax law,” said tax and investment expert Balwant Jain.For short-term capital gains (STCG), i.e., profit from selling shares held for less than 12 months, the tax is 20% flat and does not enjoy the Rs 1.25-lakh exemption like LTCG. You can book losses up to the gains made during the year to reduce STCG liability, Jain explains.

What if the stock you want to sell for tax loss harvesting is expected to rally in the future? In John’s example, if he believes Y shares will rise, he can still book a loss and buy the same stock in a different trading account on the same day. If he has only one demat account, he can repurchase the stock the next day. However, intraday sale and purchase on the same day using the same account will not qualify for tax loss harvesting.

What is tax gains harvesting

Consider an investor named Harry. He holds 100 shares of A Company for more than 12 months. Today, the total profit from selling all shares would be Rs 3 lakh.

Advertisement

If Harry sells only 41 shares and continues to hold the rest, his LTCG reduces to Rs 1.23 lakh, which falls under the exemption limit, resulting in zero tax liability. This strategy is called tax gains harvesting.

In the July 2024 budget, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman revised STCG and LTCG rates:

  • STCG: increased from 15% to 20% for shares held less than 12 months.
  • LTCG: increased to 12.5% on gains exceeding Rs 1.25 lakh for shares held 12 months or more.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times.)

Continue Reading

Business

US airline CEOs urge Congress to end standoff, pay airport security officers

Published

on

US airline CEOs urge Congress to end standoff, pay airport security officers


US airline CEOs urge Congress to end standoff, pay airport security officers

Continue Reading

Business

Is Your Business Developing New Products? It Could Qualify for Tax Breaks.

Published

on

Is Your Business Developing New Products? It Could Qualify for Tax Breaks.

This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com.

Continue Reading

Business

TPG Can Navigate the Private Credit Unwind. Hold on to the Stock.

Published

on

TPG Can Navigate the Private Credit Unwind. Hold on to the Stock.

TPG Can Navigate the Private Credit Unwind. Hold on to the Stock.

Continue Reading

Business

Bitcoin: Strategy and ETF demand provide 6% weekly lift amid regional conflict

Published

on


Bitcoin: Strategy and ETF demand provide 6% weekly lift amid regional conflict

Continue Reading

Business

How the Oil Trade Rippled Across Wall Street in a Chaotic Week

Published

on

How the Oil Trade Rippled Across Wall Street in a Chaotic Week

Shaia Hosseinzadeh bet that a war in the Middle East would upend global markets.

This was the week his wager paid off.

His OnyxPoint Global Management had already been snapping up shares in liquefied natural-gas companies, rare-earth firms and energy producers when missiles and drones started to fly to and from Iran. Wall Street’s initially sanguine response to conflict, Hosseinzadeh said, “gave us more conviction to lean in to the trade.”

Just last month, when the hedge fund founder was discussing opportunities and risks ahead with investors at the Ritz-Carlton South Beach in Florida, U.S. oil prices had largely languished below $65 a barrel for months. Some forecasters projected more declines to come, leaving oil bulls on the outside looking in. But as U.S. warships massed near the Middle East and rumors swirled of huge trades for pricier oil, Hosseinzadeh saw one risk that loomed large.

Advertisement

Copyright ©2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

Continue Reading

Business

FedEx Overtakes UPS as the New King of Delivery

Published

on

FedEx Overtakes UPS as the New King of Delivery

All hail the new king of packages. 

For the first time in history,

FedEx

FDX

Advertisement

-0.41%

decrease; red down pointing triangle eclipsed United Parcel Service UPS -0.69%decrease; red down pointing triangle this week in market capitalization, a sign of how much Wall Street is rewarding the delivery giant that can shrink the fastest to boost profits.

Copyright ©2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Business

Oil poised for further gains as Middle East conflict threatens export facilities

Published

on


Oil poised for further gains as Middle East conflict threatens export facilities

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2025