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Bitcoin Faces $3.4B Long Liquidation Risk Near $66.5K Zone

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • $3.44B in leveraged long positions sit near $66.5K, risking forced liquidations.
  • Bitcoin trades around $71,544, consolidating below resistance at $72K.
  • MACD shows fading bullish momentum, RSI at 58 indicates moderate buying strength.
  • Breakdown below $70K could trigger rapid liquidation of billions in longs.

Bitcoin faces a critical liquidation risk as over $3.4B in leveraged long positions sit near $66.5K. A $5,000 drop from the current $71,595 level could trigger significant forced liquidations.

Leveraged Long Positions and Market Pressure

According to Coinglass data, the largest cluster of long liquidations is concentrated around $66,500. Over $3.44 billion in cumulative leveraged positions sit below Bitcoin’s current price, spread across major exchanges such as Binance, OKX, and Bybit.

If Bitcoin drops roughly $5,000, these positions would be automatically closed. Exchanges sell Bitcoin to cover losses, creating additional downward pressure on the market. 

This process can accelerate price declines and trigger a short-term cascade of forced liquidations.

Traders and institutional participants monitor these clusters closely. Large liquidation pools often act as liquidity magnets, attracting strategic buying and selling. 

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Price can move toward these zones before reversing sharply once excess leverage is cleared. Currently, the market is long-biased. 

The dominance of long positions near the downside indicates traders are heavily leveraged on bullish bets, which may increase the potential for a rapid downward move if selling pressure accelerates.

Consolidation, Momentum, and Key Levels

The 4-hour chart shows Bitcoin consolidating just below the $72,000 resistance, trading near $71,544. Price action forms a series of higher lows since the late February drop to $65,000, signaling a short-term bullish trend.

Range-bound consolidation between $70,000 and $72,000 indicates buyers defending support and sellers limiting rallies. Momentum indicators show moderation: 

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MACD lines are flattening, and the histogram has begun turning negative, while RSI at 58 suggests moderate bullish sentiment.

Critical levels to watch include resistance at $72,000–$73,500 and support at $70,000. A breakdown below $70,000 could test the $68,000–$66,500 range, exposing billions in leveraged long positions. 

Conversely, a break above resistance may target $74,000–$75,000, providing room for controlled upward movement.

Overall, the market remains cautiously bullish but fragile. Traders should monitor the $66,500 liquidation cluster, as forced liquidations could trigger rapid price swings in either direction.

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Crypto World

Aave to Roll Out Aave Shield After $50M User Loss Incident

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Aave to Roll Out Aave Shield After $50M User Loss Incident

Decentralized finance protocol Aave said it is introducing a new feature to block swaps with a price impact above 25% after a user lost $50 million in a trade while interacting with Aave’s interface last week. 

“We are soon deploying a new feature, Aave Shield, which provides more protections for users who use the swap feature in the Aave interface aave.com,” Aave said in a post-mortem statement on Saturday.

Aave said users would need to manually disable the Aave Shield protection feature to proceed with high-risk trades.

The incident occurred on Thursday, when the user went to convert $50.4 million worth of USDt (USDT) for Aave (AAVE) via decentralized exchange CoW Swap, but received only $36,500 worth of Aave due to a lack of liquidity and other infrastructure failures, generating a loss of just over $50 million. 

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Part of this loss was also a result of a Maximal Extractable Value (MEV) bot that executed a sandwich attack on the user, profiting nearly $10 million.

User ignored multiple warning signs

Aave said the user signed the transaction despite multiple warnings appearing on the platform’s interface. 

This included alerts about a “high price impact” and a notice stating the route might return less due to low liquidity or small order size. 

The user also ticked a confirmation box stating, “I confirm the swap with a potential 100% value loss,” Aave said. 

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What the user would have seen on Aave’s interface before signing the transaction. Source: Aave

Incident shows DeFi still needs work: CoW DAO 

While Aave and CoW DAO, the team behind CoW Swap, said poor liquidity led to the “extreme price impact,” CoW DAO added that multiple infrastructure failures also played a role.

CoW DAO said a solver — a third-party service that finds the best way to do a trade — was affected by an outdated gas limit, which blocked better-priced quotes and left only a much worse option for the user to consider.