Further pump or crash to $40K: what’s next for BTC?

Bitcoin (BTC) surpassed $74,000 briefly earlier today, reaching its highest point since the start of February.

Some analysts are optimistic that a more substantial move to the upside could be forming, especially if the asset breaks above key resistance levels.

‘Stop Shorting BTC’

The primary cryptocurrency started the business week on the right foot, with its valuation surging to almost $74,400 (per CoinGecko’s data) following Donald Trump’s latest remarks regarding the war in Iran. The US President threatened to send troops to Kharg Island and urged America’s NATO allies to form a coalition to reopen the Strait of Hormuz by deploying military ships in the area.

Meanwhile, spot BTC ETFs have attracted hundreds of millions of dollars in inflows over the past several days, a factor that could also have contributed to the asset’s recent price strength.

According to the popular analyst Ali Martinez, a more significant rally could be on the way. In a recent post on X, he claimed that BTC might be forming a local bottom that often comes before a big move north. Martinez noted that Bitcoin’s funding rates have recently flipped negative: a development that has preceded “every major relief rally” in the last four years.

The most recent example dates back to May 2025, when BTC was trading near $95,000. Once funding rates turned negative, the market quickly shifted, and the asset climbed to a historical peak of over $126,000 within months, the analyst reminded.

Besides that, Martinez pointed out that more than 33,000 BTC have been withdrawn from exchanges in the past week. CryptoQuant’s data shows that just a few days ago, the amount of coins stored on such platforms dipped to a six-year low of approximately 2.73 million. This is considered a bullish factor because it reduces immediate selling pressure.

You may also like:

Other analysts on X also think BTC could chart further gains in the near future. Ted, for instance, described the $72,000-$74,000 range as “strong resistance zone,” predicting that a decisive break above it could open the door for an uptrend to as high as $78,000.

Still on Uncertain Ground

Analysts like Leshka.eth remain somewhat cautious about BTC’s short-term prospects. The X user argued that the price is slowly grinding higher within a descending channel toward the $76,000-$80,000 region, warning that a rejection here could trigger a painful crash to as low as $40K.

The analyst who goes by the moniker Klarck also envisioned a potential pullback. They foresaw a bull trap at around $74,000, a “liquidity grab” at $65,000, $62,500, and $60,000, and an eventual plunge to new lows.

BTC’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one technical indicator suggesting a price plunge could be imminent. The ratio has surpassed 70, meaning the price has pumped too much in a short period and could be due for a pullback. In contrast, readings under 30 suggest the asset is oversold and on the verge of a potential rally.

Skywinex highlights an infrastructure-driven model as web3 platforms prioritize automation and system control.

As web3 platforms evolve, infrastructure is becoming just as important as product design. Beyond user interfaces and token mechanics, long-term viability increasingly depends on architecture, automation, and system control.

Skywinex, a web3 investment platform built on smart contracts, positions its technical infrastructure as the core of its model. Rather than relying solely on third-party services, the company combines on-chain logic with dedicated server systems designed for continuous automated operation.

Smart contract as the control layer

At the center of the Skywinex ecosystem is a smart contract deployed on the blockchain. This contract governs the key operational processes of the platform, including:

• Acceptance of user deposits
• Allocation of funds to trading modules
• Calculation of daily returns
• Distribution of earnings

Because smart contracts execute predefined logic and cannot be altered retroactively, the structure ensures consistency in how transactions are processed. Users interact directly with the smart contract by connecting their crypto wallets. No traditional registration or personal data submission is required. Authorization occurs through blockchain interaction rather than centralized account systems. This approach shifts the operational trust model from internal management to code execution.

Dedicated server infrastructure

While the smart contract handles on-chain logic, trading execution takes place off-chain within Skywinex’s server infrastructure. The company operates its own dedicated server farm where trading bots run continuously. These are not temporary cloud instances but configured servers designed for uninterrupted, 24/7 performance.

According to Skywinex, this decision was intentional. “We believe infrastructure defines reliability,” says Richard Lennox, CEO of Skywinex. “Automation only works when the technical foundation is stable. That’s why we built a system where both blockchain logic and physical infrastructure operate in sync.”

The server layer is responsible for:

• Real-time market data analysis
• Processing large volumes of exchange data
• Executing algorithmic trading strategies
• Returning results to the smart contract

By maintaining control over the execution environment, the company aims to optimize latency, stability, and operational consistency.

Modular trading architecture

Each trading bot functions as an independent software module. This modular structure allows:

• Separate strategy deployment
• Independent performance tracking
• Scalable infrastructure expansion

Bots operate according to predefined algorithms. Once a trading cycle is completed, generated results are transmitted back to the smart contract, which performs automated calculations and credits user balances.

The separation between on-chain control and off-chain execution creates a dual-layer architecture:

• Blockchain layer for transparency and settlement
• Server layer for speed and data processing

User perspective: Simplicity over complexity

Despite the technical depth behind the system, user interaction remains minimal. From the investor’s perspective, the process consists of:

1. Connecting a crypto wallet
2. Selecting a trading bot
3. Signing a transaction

All complex infrastructure processes operate in the background. Users do not interact with servers directly and do not manage trading execution manually. Every transaction, however, remains visible on-chain.

Infrastructure as a competitive factor

As algorithmic trading and web3 finance expand, infrastructure design may become a defining factor in platform sustainability. By combining smart contract governance with dedicated server operations, Skywinex represents a hybrid approach to automated investing, one that integrates blockchain transparency with controlled execution environments.

Whether this architectural model becomes standard in the web3 investment space remains to be seen. However, the emphasis on infrastructure suggests a broader industry shift toward systems built around automation, verification, and operational resilience.

For more information, visit the official website, Telegram, or X.

TLDR

• Abra will go public through a $750 million merger with New Providence Acquisition Corp. III.
• The combined company will trade on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol ABRX.
• The transaction sets Abra’s pre-money valuation at $750 million.
• Existing investors will roll their shares into the new public entity.
• The deal may provide up to $300 million in cash held in trust.

Abra will enter public markets through a merger with New Providence Acquisition Corp. III. The deal values the company at $750 million before new capital. The combined entity will trade on Nasdaq under the ticker ABRX.

Abra to Merge With SPAC at $750 Million Valuation

Abra signed a definitive agreement with New Providence Acquisition Corp. III to complete a reverse merger. The transaction sets a pre-money equity valuation of $750 million. After closing, the combined company will operate as Abra Financial. It expects to list on Nasdaq under the ticker ABRX.

The deal allows existing investors to roll their shares into the public company. These investors include Pantera Capital, Blockchain Capital, RRE Ventures, Adams Street, and SBI. They will not cash out during the merger process. The transaction may provide up to $300 million in cash held in trust. Abra plans to use the proceeds for growth, sales, marketing, and operations.

Abra Financial will offer SEC-registered investment advisory services and a digital asset wealth platform. The company will target institutional clients, high-net-worth individuals, and registered investment advisers. Its services will include custody, segregated accounts, trading, yield strategies, and crypto-backed loans. It will also provide treasury management solutions for clients.

CEO Bill Barhydt said the firm will focus on regulated, on-chain crypto wealth management. He stated, “We aim to provide regulated, on-chain crypto wealth management as digital assets become central to finance.” Abra targets $10 billion in assets under management by the end of 2027. The company expects the merger to strengthen its capital base and support expansion plans.

Abra operates through Abra Capital Management LP, which is registered with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. This registration allows the firm to provide portfolio management services. The company founded operations in 2014 under Barhydt’s leadership. It serves institutions, family offices, and high-net-worth investors.

In 2024, Abra settled with regulators in 25 US states over its Abra Earn product. The company agreed to return assets to investors and wind down the program for US clients. After the settlement, it shifted focus toward institutional and wealth management services.

Crypto Firms Pursue Public Listings Through SPACs and IPOs

Abra joins other digital asset firms seeking access to public markets. SPAC transactions have regained traction for crypto companies in the past year. Jessica Groza, partner at Kohrman Jackson & Krantz, commented on the structure. She said, “While this model offers rapid liquidity and valuation flexibility, it also carries risks such as volatility and regulatory uncertainty.”

Several crypto firms chose traditional IPO routes in 2025. Stablecoin issuer Circle Internet Group listed on the New York Stock Exchange in June 2025. Crypto exchange Gemini debuted on Nasdaq later that year. Figure Technologies and Bullish also completed public listings through IPOs.

Other firms continue to evaluate public offerings. Hardware wallet maker Ledger and institutional custodian Copper have explored potential listings. Abra confirmed that it expects its shares to trade on Nasdaq under ABRX after the merger closes.

A $10m SOFR options win on “higher for longer” rates shows where real money is made upstream of crypto, as oil‑driven inflation forces markets to kill early Fed cuts.

Macro just handed one trader the kind of P&L most crypto desks pretend they’re running. A short‑term interest‑rate options position tied to the Federal Reserve’s policy path has reportedly booked around 10 million dollars in profit this month, as surging oil prices forced markets to reprice the timing and depth of U.S. rate cuts.

According to Jinshi News, the bet was initiated in January using options linked to the secured overnight financing rate (SOFR), the key benchmark closely tracking the Fed funds corridor. At entry, the trade was effectively a leveraged expression that the market was too dovish on how quickly the Fed would ease. That thesis has snapped into focus over the past two weeks as Middle East tensions pushed crude to its highest levels since 2022, reviving inflation concerns and killing off hopes of early, aggressive cuts.​

The mechanical impact is brutal but simple: higher oil feeds into inflation expectations, which pushes Treasury yields and SOFR‑linked rates higher, revaluing the entire options surface. As traders slashed the implied probability of near‑term cuts and shifted toward a “higher for longer” path, payoffs on structures positioned for stickier policy—payer swaptions, call spreads, and similar rate‑hike or no‑cut expressions—exploded in value. That repricing is what generated the roughly 10 million dollars in profit on the January position.​

For crypto, this is not some distant TradFi side plot. A slower, shallower cutting cycle supports the dollar and front‑end yields, which traditionally caps risk appetite for duration‑heavy trades, from long‑dated tech to high‑beta altcoins. You can see the same mechanism in 2020–2022: every shift in the Fed dots and real‑yield curve bled straight into crypto’s funding rates, basis trades, and eventually spot flows as ETF and macro funds adjusted risk.​

The signal here is clear: serious money is being made upstream of crypto, in the rate complex that sets the discount rate for every “growth” story on‑chain. If you are still treating Fed meetings and oil as background noise, you are already the liquidity for someone else’s SOFR trade.

If ETH continues to climb, the next major resistance is expected at $2,450, said one analyst.

On March 16, Ethereum (ETH) climbed to almost $2,300 for the first time since early February, posting an 8% gain in 24 hours.

This happened even as large holders kept offloading hundreds of millions of dollars worth of the token, as a broader crypto rally appeared to defy ongoing geopolitical tensions that have pulled traditional markets apart.

Whales Sell Into the Rally

Despite the uptick, there hasn’t been the kind of investor confidence that usually comes before a sustained breakout. Data shared by analyst Wise Crypto showed that in the last seven days, big ETH holders sold 380,000 ETH worth about $800 million. They suggested that a lot of those sellers were treating the short-term price spikes as a chance to get out, which could slow further upward movement.

Based on their analysis, Ethereum is currently trading between $1,917 and $2,338, which are its support and resistance levels, respectively. Wise Crypto projected that if the price goes below the lower boundary, ETH could drop to just above $1,700. However, if the asset stays above resistance for a while, it could test levels close to $2,450.

The analyst also noted that the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Long/Short Difference for ETH is very negative, which means that long-term holders may be losing money while short-term traders are making money. The MVRV ratio compares the current price of ETH to the average price at which all coins last moved, giving a rough idea of how much unrealized profit or loss there is among holders.

When short-term holders make most of the money, like they seem to be doing right now, selling pressure usually follows quickly.

Even with the mixed signals, ETH was up 13% over seven days at the time of this writing, moving well above $2,200. The jump happened during a larger rise in the crypto market, which also, for a short period, pushed Bitcoin (BTC) above $74,000, to hit its highest level in about six weeks, following a U.S. attack on Iran’s Kharg Island, which exports 90% of the country’s oil shipments.

You may also like:

Futures Markets Dominate ETH Trading

Elsewhere, data from analyst Darkfost shows that even though ETH has recovered in the spot market, derivatives activity points to short-term trading still dominating the asset’s market structure.

The on-chain technician reported on Sunday that the volume of Ethereum futures trading on Binance is now more than six times greater than the volume of spot trading, with the ratio between them falling to its lowest level since the tail end of the 2023 bear market.

When futures trading is much more active than spot trading, it usually means that the market is driven by leveraged positions instead of steady accumulation.

“This reflects genuine weakness in Ethereum’s spot market at the moment,” Darkfost wrote. “It is possible that sales from the Ethereum Foundation or even Vitalik Buterin are contributing to investor caution.”

Still, not everyone thinks that ETH will stay in a range, as, according to crypto commentator Ash Crypto, a daily close above $2,400 could lead to a move toward $2,800.

The US, UK, and Canada have today launched a new joint initiative aimed at raising awareness of crypto fraud while simultaneously tackling crypto-related organized crime.

Known as “Operation Atlantic,” the initiative will see the US Secret Service (USSS), the UK’s National Crime Agency (NCA), and Canada’s Ontario Provincial Police contact victims, and potential victims, of crypto fraud and advise them on how to keep their crypto assets safe. 

A USSS spokesperson told Protos that the operation will last a week, and that the agencies are working alongside “private industry partners” to identify and contact victims of approval phishing.

They added, “Law enforcement personnel will then provide advice and instructions on how to secure their assets to prevent further losses. Additionally, teams will work to trace and seize stolen funds with the goal of victim restitution.”

Ripple’s new partner praised it for its infrastructure.

In a statement called “real-time cross-border payouts into the US and Canada,” i-payout, which is a global payments platform enabling businesses to deliver fast, compliant payouts to workers, merchants, and partners, said it has tapped Ripple Payments to enhance its platform.

The main goal of the collaboration is to “enable fast, transparent cross-border payouts” into the two North American markets, while “reducing settlement delays and minimizing working capital requirements for global platforms.”

Integrating Ripple Payments will allow i-payout to leverage “enterprise-grade digital asset infrastructure to accelerate settlement, improve payment transparency, and support high-volume cross-border payout flows.”

“The digital marketplace is important to the future, and Ripple is the right partner to take us there.” — Eddie Gonzalez, President, i-payout

Ripple Payments helps i-payout deliver real-time payouts into the U.S. & Canada, from days to seconds. 🌎

See how →… pic.twitter.com/WWNmJc9utQ

— Ripple (@Ripple) March 16, 2026

Advertisement

The company was founded almost two decades ago, and it operates as an API-first payout platform. The statement reads that before tapping Ripple, cross-border payments into North America could take days to be completed, which ties up working capital and limits how quickly platforms could deliver funds to users.

Last week, the company behind the popular XRP token outlined plans to secure an Australian Financial Services License, which would allow it to expand its payments offering further in the country to financial institutions, fintech businesses, and enterprises.

Separately, Ripple also began a share buyback program to repurchase up to $750 million in shares from employees and investors. According to Bloomberg, this would put its valuation at a whopping $50 billion.

You may also like:

Strategy and Bitmine — the two largest digital asset treasury companies by crypto holdings — disclosed fresh crypto acquisitions on Monday, continuing the aggressive accumulation that defined their activity last week.

Strategy acquired 22,337 BTC for approximately $1.57 billion at an average price of ~$70,194 per Bitcoin. The Michael Saylor-led firm now holds 761,068 BTC, acquired for a total of ~$57.61 billion at an average cost of about $75,696 per coin — meaning the entire treasury sits just 1.8% underwater at current prices, with BTC currently trading around $74,300.

The buy is Strategy’s largest this year so far, and 4,343 BTC larger than the previous purchase, disclosed last week, which had an average per coin price of $70,946, as The Defiant reported.

MSTR shares were trading around $146, up about 5% on the day so far, according to Yahoo Finance.

Also today, March 16, the CEO of Metaplanet, Simon Gerovich, added to that momentum, announcing a new capital raise for the Japanese Bitcoin treasury firm. Metaplanet raised $255 million from investors, and said an additional monetization of its equity could bring in another $276 million. The move gives the firm up to $531 million to invest in Bitcoin, toward Metaplanet’s goal of holding 210,000 BTC.

Per data from Bitcointreasuries, Metaplanet is currently the fourth-largest Bitcoin DAT, holding 35,102 BTC.

ETH Moves

Bitmine Immersion Technologies, the dominant Ethereum treasury company, also reported a fresh purchase this week. Bitmine announced today that its ETH holdings have reached 4,595,562 tokens, at an average price of $2,185 per token. The firm bought 60,999 ETH in the past week, per a press release. The latest purchase is only slightly larger than the previous week’s of 60,976 ETH, but both are notably above Bitmine’s average weekly buy of 45,000-50,000 ETH.

Bitmine now owns 3.81% of the total ETH supply, advancing toward its stated “alchemy of 5%” target. Chairman Tom Lee also noted that Bitmine acquired 5,000 ETH directly from the Ethereum Foundation to enable the EF to fund its operations without selling into the open market.

BMNR shares rallied 11% today, trading at $22.80, per Yahoo Finance. The spot price of ETH is up over 9% today to trade near $2,300.

The moves are part of a broader wave of institutional DAT activity. As The Defiant reported in August, DAT companies collectively held over $100 billion in digital assets at the time, led by publicly listed companies such as Strategy, Metaplanet, and SharpLink Gaming. The crypto treasury strategy for public firms moved from an experiment, led by Strategy, to a trend last year, as The Defiant reported.

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

The crypto market news today is looking strong for Ethereum holders and anyone watching network activity. Recent data shows that Ethereum’s mainnet is seeing a comeback in daily active addresses, beating all layer 2 solutions combined for the first time in months, according to CoinDesk.

This shift is one of the most significant stories in crypto market news today because it proves the base layer still matters. Meanwhile, the real presale opportunity lies with Pepeto the God of Frogs, a mythology backed project positioned for massive returns because of its real meme economy infrastructure.

Ethereum’s mainnet is now processing more daily active addresses than all Layer 2 networks combined. The comeback shows that even with higher fees, users still value the security that only the base layer delivers.

High value transactions, DeFi protocols, and institutional capital are choosing mainnet. This puts Ethereum as a key holding heading into 2026, per Bloomberg.

Top market movers to position in for 2026

1. Pepeto the God of Frogs: The mythology that commands $7.99 million

If you are hunting for a mythology that transforms a presale into a movement, Pepeto the God of Frogs is building a kingdom on real infrastructure that has drawn $7.99 million from believers across the meme economy. The God of Frogs mythology solves the meme economy’s critical infrastructure problem by uniting swapping, bridging, and verification under one kingdom.

PepetoSwap delivers zero tax cross chain meme trading. Pepeto Bridge connects fragmented liquidity. Pepeto Exchange curates only verified tokens for the kingdom. All three products are close to being ready under the PEPE cofounder’s direction. SolidProof has verified every contract that anchors the kingdom. The PEPE cofounder who built $7 billion commands the build with his reputation staked alongside the believers.

Over $7.99 million has flowed into the presale, with the God of Frogs sitting at just $0.000000186 per token while over 4 billion tokens have been permanently burned. The mythology targets 269x at $0.00005 and 537x at $0.0001, and 200% APY staking compounds every position daily.

The mythology is not aesthetic decoration. It is the cultural force that transforms meme coin traders into loyal kingdom subjects who carry conviction through every market condition.

2. Ethereum

ETH trades at $2,283 on March 16 according to CoinMarketCap. Mainnet dominance returning is some of the most bullish crypto market news today for holders.

Smart contract activity and DeFi protocols are still building on mainnet because that is where the real security exists. Price projections for late 2026 call for ETH to push toward $2,600 to $3,000 if the bull cycle continues and institutions keep accumulating.

3. Hyperliquid

HYPE trades at $36 on March 16. The project has seen major activity on its network, including significant daily revenue and leading open interest figures. Bullish price targets sit in the $40 to $55 range by year end if market conditions stay strong.

Conclusion

The crypto market news today confirms that the strongest presale opportunities combine mythology, infrastructure, and founder credibility into something that commands conviction. The God of Frogs has spoken. The kingdom is being built on SolidProof verified contracts, three products approaching launch, and a mythology that commands loyalty no marketing budget can manufacture.

The gates will not remain open much longer. When exchange listings arrive and the God of Frogs enters the open market, the presale believers will rule the kingdom while everyone else watches from outside.

Click To Visit Pepeto Website To Enter The Presale

FAQs

What is the biggest crypto market news today for traders?

Ethereum mainnet reclaiming activity dominance is major. But the real opportunity is Pepeto the God of Frogs with $7.99 million in presale capital, SolidProof verification, and three meme economy products approaching exchange listings.

Why is Pepeto the God of Frogs attracting so much capital?

The PEPE cofounder’s $7 billion track record, SolidProof verified contracts, and three infrastructure products create a mythology that commands conviction no marketing can replicate.

How does Pepeto compare to Ethereum for long term growth?

Ethereum provides stability but limited percentage upside from its massive market cap. Pepeto the God of Frogs at $0.000000186 with the PEPE cofounder offers return potential ETH cannot structurally deliver.

Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.

Ethereum (ETH) is outpacing other large-cap crypto assets today, March 16, gaining over 9% in the past 24 hours. The price surge comes against a backdrop of large ETH buys, including from two early crypto investors, on-chain data shows.

ETH briefly touched $2,300 today and is currently trading around $2,280, up 9% on the day. Bitcoin (BTC) is up 2.8% today, while the remaining top-20 large-caps are mostly seeing gains between 2-6%. After ETH, Layer 1 Cardano (ADA) is up the most, gaining about 8% today, while total market cap surged 3.4%.

While today’s rally pushed ETH to its highest price in a month, the asset is still down about 30% from its mid-January levels, when ETH was trading over $3,300, and over 50% below its all-time high near $5,000, which it hit last August.

The move has been accompanied by a flurry of high-profile accumulation. Erik Voorhees, the founder of ShapeShift and one of Bitcoin and crypto’s earliest and most vocal advocates, today purchased nearly $50 million worth of ETH via two separate transactions at an average price of $2,098 per token, Lookonchain reported, citing data from Arkham. The on-chain analytics firm noted that this is Voorhees’ first ETH purchase in two years.

Separately, Arkham also today flagged that pseudonymous early Ethereum participant 0xbilly — who was an active voice in governance forums in Ethereum’s early days — purchased more than $17 million worth of ETH for about $2,270 per coin.

Corporate accumulation, at least from the largest ETH holders, is also continuing. Today, Tom Lee’s Bitmine announced its latest ETH purchase — slightly higher than last week’s and well above its weekly average — continuing to double down on its target of holding 5% of the Ethereum supply, as The Defiant reported.

Meanwhile, 5,000 ETH of Bitmine’s latest buy (worth over $10 million) was purchased from the Ethereum Foundation itself in an over-the-counter sale over the weekend.

The surge comes at a moment of renewed discussion and interest in Ethereum’s roadmap. The Ethereum Foundation recently outlined its 2026 protocol priorities, with a focus on scalability, user experience, and security ahead of the anticipated Glamsterdam upgrade. More recently, on Friday, the Foundation published the EF Mandate, a part manifesto, part guide for the ecosystem and the EF that has sparked renewed debate.

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.