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Bitcoin Faces $74k Hurdle as ETF Inflows Rise

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Simon Peters Crypto Analyst Etoro

Editor’s note: Bitcoin is testing a key resistance near $74,000 as ETF inflows help lift prices, but a convincing breakout remains elusive amid evolving macro signals. The upcoming Fed meeting and the potential impact of oil prices add a layer of policy risk that traders will weigh against the market’s appetite for risk, while AI tokens gain momentum and a major payments firm expands its crypto footprint. This note sets up the themes in the press release and what readers should monitor in the days ahead.

The consensus is for the Fed to hold rates on Wednesday, but if Chairman Powell signals in his press conference that the central bank is prepared to raise rates should oil prices remain elevated or continue rising, this could trigger a sell-off in cryptoasset prices,” said Peters.

Key points

  • Bitcoin edged higher last week, gaining 11%, but it remains stuck below the $74,000 resistance.
  • US bitcoin spot ETFs recorded $763 million in net inflows over the past week, with Strategy revealing a purchase of 17,994 BTC (~$1.28B).
  • AI-related tokens TAO and FET surged about 47% as Nvidia’s AI remarks spurred interest in on-chain AI networks.
  • Mastercard launched the Mastercard Crypto Partner Program, connecting 85+ firms to accelerate crypto initiatives.
  • Bitcoin hit the 20 million supply milestone, underscoring scarcity dynamics as the final coins approach.

Why this matters

Bitcoin’s movement near a major resistance, supported by ETF inflows, shows liquidity and macro signals can drive crypto momentum. The Fed meeting and possible policy shifts linked to oil prices could influence risk appetite, while Nvidia’s AI comments and the AI-token rally reflect ongoing sector maturation. The 20 million BTC milestone also reinforces scarcity dynamics that may shape sentiment in coming months.

What to watch next

  • Fed rate expectations and the dot plot release could impact crypto prices and risk assets.
  • Bitcoin’s price action around the $74k level to determine breakout or correction.
  • Continuation of Nvidia-related AI token momentum and implications for on-chain AI networks.

Disclosure: The content below is a press release provided by the company/PR representative. It is published for informational purposes.

Bitcoin struggles to break $74,000 resistance as ETF inflows rise

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates – March 16, 2026: Bitcoin edged higher last week, gaining 11%, yet it continues to struggle to convincingly break through the $74,000 resistance level, according to Simon Peters, crypto analyst at eToro.

US bitcoin spot ETFs recorded $763 million in net inflows over the past week, helping to push prices higher. Strategy, the largest bitcoin treasury company by total holdings, also disclosed another significant purchase of 17,994 bitcoin for approximately $1.28 billion.

Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve meeting this week could prove pivotal in determining whether bitcoin breaks above the $74,000 level or experiences a correction. While markets had previously anticipated a dovish pivot, a sudden spike in oil prices due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East may prompt the Fed to reconsider its outlook.

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Simon Peters Crypto Analyst Etoro
Simon Peters Crypto Analyst Etoro

“The consensus is for the Fed to hold rates on Wednesday, but if Chairman Powell signals in his press conference that the central bank is prepared to raise rates should oil prices remain elevated or continue rising, this could trigger a sell-off in cryptoasset prices,” said Peters.

The meeting will also see the release of the Federal Reserve’s latest “dot plot”, offering insights into where each Federal Open Market Committee participant believes interest rates should be by the end of the year, next year and over the longer term.

AI tokens surge amid Nvidia comments

Among the biggest movers in the crypto market over the past week were AI-related tokens TAO and FET, both rising 47% as investors rotated into the sector following bullish remarks about artificial intelligence by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang.

Ahead of Nvidia’s GTC AI conference this week, Huang described AI as “essential infrastructure”, stating that every company and nation will build and use it.

These comments have renewed interest in on-chain, decentralised AI networks, pushing tokens such as TAO and FET higher.

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Mastercard launches crypto partner program

Mastercard has launched its Mastercard Crypto Partner Program, a new global initiative bringing together more than 85 companies across the crypto ecosystem, including exchanges, stablecoin issuers and blockchain development teams.

The program aims to foster dialogue and collaboration as the crypto sector continues to mature. Participants will work with Mastercard teams to combine the speed and programmability of blockchain technology with Mastercard’s merchant network spanning more than 210 countries.

The initiative builds on Mastercard’s existing digital asset activities, including its Start Path blockchain track, Engage platform and Crypto Card program.

Bitcoin reaches 20 million supply milestone

Bitcoin reached a historic milestone last week when the 20 millionth bitcoin was mined, marking the issuance of more than 95% of the cryptocurrency’s total capped supply of 21 million coins.

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The milestone was reached on 10 March at block height 931200, 17 years after the network first launched. Due to Bitcoin’s halving schedule, the remaining one million coins are expected to take approximately another 114 years to be mined, with the final bitcoin projected to enter circulation around the year 2140.

Crossing the 20 million milestone again highlights Bitcoin’s scarcity dynamics. With demand continuing to outpace the new supply issued daily by miners and many holders unwilling to sell at current prices, the market could be positioned for a significant move higher over the coming months and years.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bitcoin price hits six-week high driven by short liquidations and ETF inflows

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Bitcoin price is forming a rounded bottom pattern on the daily chart.

Bitcoin price briefly surged to a six-week high of $75,937 on Tuesday, as over $330 million in short positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours.

Summary

  • Bitcoin price briefly surged to a six-week high as over $330 million in short positions were liquidated across the crypto derivatives market.
  • Technical indicators point to strengthening momentum, with a potential rounded bottom forming while traders watch resistance near the February highs.

According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin (BTC) price touched an intraday high of $75,937 on March 17, morning Asian time, as it broke past the $75,000 resistance for the first time since early February. The bounce past the key psychological level triggered a market-wide rally with altcoins such as MemeCore (M), FET, and Zcash (ZEC) leading gains with double-digit rallies on the day.

Bitcoin’s surge led to large-scale liquidations across leveraged crypto markets. According to data from CoinGlass, nearly $498 million was liquidated, with over $330 million coming from short positions as traders closed bearish positions opened during the early February market sell-off. Bitcoin alone specifically accounted for $118 million of those short liquidations.

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Another major tailwind that supported today’s rebound is the return of consistent inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, signaling strong institutional demand. Data compiled by SoSoValue shows that the 12 U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs drew in over $200 million over the past day, extending their inflow streak to 6 straight days that drew in nearly $1 billion in total.

Investors are also viewing Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset amid geopolitical tension in the Middle East, especially since traditional safe-haven assets such as gold and silver have shown relative weakness in recent days.

On the daily chart, Bitcoin price seems to be forming a rounded bottom pattern, a typical reversal pattern in technical analysis. The 20-day SMA is closing in on a bullish crossover with the 50-day SMA, a sign that short-term momentum is turning positive.

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Bitcoin price is forming a rounded bottom pattern on the daily chart.
Bitcoin price is forming a rounded bottom pattern on the daily chart — March 17 | Source: crypto.news

For now, the next key resistance level that traders are watching currently lies at $79,000 highs seen during February, and aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.

A sharp breakout from this level could push prices to as high as $89,850, which would be the neckline of the double bottom formed. On the contrary, failure to hold $72,000 support could lead to a retest of lower levels.

At press time, Bitcoin price was hovering around $74,000, still holding onto 6% gains over the weekly period.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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SEC proposal could remove crypto from OTC reporting requirements

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SEC proposal could remove crypto from OTC reporting requirements

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has put forward a proposal which, according to SEC commissioner Hester Peirce, could help clear up years of confusion around how a key broker-dealer rule applies across markets.

Summary

  • SEC has proposed limiting Rule 15c2-11 to equity securities, reversing its broader 2021 interpretation that raised questions for crypto assets.
  • A 60-day public comment period has been opened as regulators seek feedback on how the rule should apply and whether crypto falls outside its scope

On Monday, the SEC proposed an amendment to Rule 15c2-11 that would limit reporting requirements for broker-dealers in the over-the-counter market to equity securities only, effectively reversing the broader interpretation introduced in 2021.

The SEC Rule 15c2-11 was first introduced in 1971 to ensure broker-dealers maintain up-to-date issuer information before they can publish over-the-counter quotes.

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By placing obligations for firms to review and maintain current information about an issuer, the rule was designed to reduce risks in thinly traded markets, particularly in penny stocks.

Without this information, a broker-dealer is not allowed to initiate or resume quotations for a security in OTC markets.

However, the rule was reinterpreted in 2021 to extend beyond equities into other asset classes, and as a result, there have been questions around whether it can apply to crypto assets if they are classified as securities.

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The SEC’s proposal would limit the rule’s scope to equity securities.

As such, broker-dealers won’t be required to apply these reporting requirements to crypto assets, even in cases where questions around their classification as securities remain unresolved.

This could make it easier for broker-dealers to support crypto trading and quote digital assets without having to rely on disclosure standards that do not align with how these assets function.

A public comment period has been opened where the commission is seeking feedback on whether the definition of equity securities should extend to crypto assets and how the rule should apply going forward.

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According to Commissioner Peirce, who also leads the agency’s crypto task force, the proposal could help address confusion created by the earlier interpretation.

“By its terms, the text of Rule 15c2-11 always has applied to quotations of a ‘security.’ Market participants and other observers including me, however, understood the rule to apply only to quotations of over-the-counter (‘OTC’) equity securities,”

However, it must be noted that there is still no final decision on whether “equity securities” could include crypto assets.

Peirce said she would closely watch “questions about the definition of ‘equity security,’ the rule’s application to crypto assets, and the appropriate next steps with respect to the formation of an ‘expert market.’”

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Polymarket banned in Argentina after regulatory probe

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Polymarket banned in Argentina after regulatory probe

Argentina has ordered a nationwide block of prediction market platform Polymarket, tightening its stance on what authorities describe as unlicensed online betting activity.

Summary

  • Argentina has ordered a nationwide block of Polymarket, citing illegal gambling concerns and risks tied to crypto payments and lack of identity checks.
  • Regulators have directed ENACOM to enforce the ban and asked Google and Apple to remove the app following complaints from local gaming bodies.

According to local media, a Buenos Aires court has directed regulators to move forward with enforcement after concluding that the platform operated outside the country’s legal gambling framework.

Authorities highlighted consumer protection risks among others, including the use of crypto payments, credit card deposits, and the absence of robust age or identity verification checks that could allow minors to participate.

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There are also broader regulatory concerns behind this decision, tied to how prediction markets blur the line between financial speculation and gambling.

Authorities raised concerns about Polymarket’s handling of Argentina’s February inflation rate of 2.9% before the official release. Reports say the platform reportedly reversed its prediction just 15 minutes before the data was published, which authorities found suspicious.

The authorities concluded that the platform functioned as an online betting system rather than a neutral prediction market.

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Subsequently, authorities asked the telecom regulator ENACOM to coordinate with internet service providers to enforce the block. Meanwhile, Google and Apple have been ordered to remove the platform’s apps, limiting access for local users.

The latest order also follows multiple complaints from entities such as the Buenos Aires City Lottery and the Argentine Chamber of Casinos and Bingos, which pushed for action against the platform.

Argentina now joins a long list of countries, notably across Europe and Latin America, that have taken action against the platform.

Last year, Colombia and Romania banned the platform, classifying it as unauthorized gambling activity within their jurisdictions.

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Similar concerns have been raised across several states in the U.S., where regulators are examining whether event-based contracts offered by platforms like Polymarket fall under existing gambling or derivatives laws.

Separately, Polymarket is also facing scrutiny over its handling of markets tied to sensitive events, including contracts linked to death and violent outcomes, which have drawn criticism from lawmakers and prompted fresh legislative efforts.

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Ripple-linked token flips BNB as open interest toward pre-crash level

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(CoinDesk)

XRP just reclaimed a ranking it hasn’t held in weeks, and the derivatives market suggests traders are positioning for more.

The token surged to $1.53 on Tuesday, up 11% on the week, overtaking BNB to become the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap at $93.4 billion. The move broke through $1.40 resistance, per CoinDesk analytics, with trading volume exploding 125% to $3.22 billion.

Coinglass data shows XRP open interest on Binance has climbed to 353.49 million XRP as of March 17, up from 222.79 million on Oct. 24, 2025, when XRP was trading at $2.39. That’s a 59% increase in open interest while the price is 37% lower. New leveraged positions are building into the recovery rather than unwinding, which is a fundamentally different setup from the deleveraging that dominated January and February.

The Binance OI chart shows the full arc. Open interest peaked above 400 million XRP in September 2025, collapsed during the October crash that took the price from $3.65 to below $2, and spent the next four months slowly rebuilding.

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(CoinDesk)

The current 353 million is approaching but hasn’t yet matched those pre-crash levels, which means the market has room to add leverage before hitting the concentration that preceded the last wipeout.

Traders will likely now monitor whether the $1.50-$1.60 zone holds or becomes another failed breakout in a token that has been full of them since October. Open interest building into the move gives it more structural support than previous attempts, but XRP approaching pre-crash leverage levels at 58% below the pre-crash price is a setup that works until it doesn’t.

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Bitcoin ETF Inflows See 6-Day Streak

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Bitcoin ETF Inflows See 6-Day Streak

US-based spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded their sixth day of inflows on Monday as Bitcoin rose over 12% over the period, marking the longest streak of fresh capital into the ETFs since October last year. 

Data from Farside Investors shows Bitcoin ETFs raked in $199.4 million of net inflows on Monday. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund led with $139.4 million and $64.5 million in inflows, respectively.

The Bitwise Bitcoin ETF and Franklin Bitcoin ETF tallied inflows of $2.8 million and $2.1 million, while the VanEck Bitcoin ETF and ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF saw outflows of $6.3 million and $3.1 million, respectively.

This brings the total net inflows since March 9 to $962.8 million, coinciding with Bitcoin (BTC) rising 12.5% from $65,960 to $74,250 over the period. 

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The inflow streak follows a much larger nine-day run between September and October 2025, which saw Bitcoin products tally nearly $6 billion worth of inflows.

Bitcoin was significantly higher at the time, hitting an all-time high of $126,080 during that stretch. 

Flow data for the US spot Bitcoin ETFs in March. Source: Farside Investors

The recent rise in Bitcoin ETF inflows and the cryptocurrency’s spot price comes amid ongoing uncertainty between the US and Iran and volatility in the oil markets.

Rumors of progress have helped Bitcoin

However, blockchain analytics platform Santiment said rumors swirling about progress being made by the US, Iran and Israel have been a contributing factor to Bitcoin soaring above the $74,400 mark for the first time in six weeks.

“This bullish momentum has been enough to push FOMO to its highest level since January 2nd,” Santiment noted.

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Related: Crypto Biz: Circle stock defies Wall Street and digital asset selloff 

“In spite of global uncertainty at the moment, traders are once again seeing crypto as a sector with rise potential in the coming weeks and months.”

Santiment data shows Bitcoin FOMO (fear of missing out) is at its highest point since Jan. 2. Source: Santiment

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index score, a measure of Bitcoin and crypto market sentiment, also increased five points to 28 on Tuesday — escaping the “Extreme Fear” zone for the first time since late January.

Magazine: Bitcoin’s ‘narrative vacuum,’ Ethereum now inevitable: Trade Secrets