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AIPAC attacks fall flat as Democrat Daniel Biss wins Illinois House primary

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AIPAC attacks fall flat as Democrat Daniel Biss wins Illinois House primary

CHICAGO — Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss won Tuesday’s Democratic primary to succeed Rep. Jan Schakowsky, dealing a blow to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee in a race that had turned into a referendum on the group’s ability to influence the party.

Biss, whose mother is Israeli and whose grandparents are Holocaust survivors, has sharply criticized Israel’s war in Gaza — and faced an onslaught of attack ads from a group aligned with AIPAC as a result.

He defeated a crowded field that included social media influencer Kat Abughazaleh, a Palestinian American who is a more vocal critic, as well as AIPAC’s preferred candidate, state Sen. Laura Fine. Biss is now favored to win the general election in the heavily Democratic district.

The race had become one of the country’s most closely watched Democratic primaries, in large part because of AIPAC’s involvement in a district whose population is more than 10 percent Jewish and which has had a Jewish representative for more than 60 years.

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An AIPAC-aligned group spent more than $5 million dollars in ads to boost Fine and attack Biss, then later, Abughazaleh. That group pulled down its anti-Biss attacks at the end of the race, before a different shell PAC emerged to prop up another low-polling progressive in the race in an attempt to divide the progressive vote.

Biss, meanwhile, had the endorsement of the more liberal pro-Israel organization J Street and publicly slammed AIPAC’s interference in Democratic primaries.

He is a former University of Chicago math professor who also served in the Illinois House and Senate and lost the 2018 Democratic gubernatorial primary to current Gov. JB Pritzker.

Schakowsky, the 14‑term incumbent who announced her retirement last year, formally backed Biss in January, praising his legislative experience and alignment with her priorities (they share similar views on Israel as well as other issues). That endorsement, coupled with his deep roots in the district, helped Biss fend off the crowded field and negative attacks.

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Throughout the campaign, Biss pitched a broad policy platform that included boosting federal investment in affordable housing, expanding Social Security benefits and banning stock trading by members of Congress. He also drew national attention last year for his confrontations with federal immigration enforcement agents at a local gas station and his presence at anti‑ICE protests.

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What Does ‘Mid’ Mean When Kids Say It?

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What Does 'Mid' Mean When Kids Say It?

We’ve already decoded the meanings of choppelganger, chopped and why kids keep saying lowkenuinely.

Now it’s time to shine a spotlight on another favourite term embraced by Generations Alpha and Z: mid.

The critical descriptor has been knocking around for a few years now, but teens and young adults are increasingly using it in everyday life.

While many of us know “mid” as a term to describe something that’s among, or in the middle of, something; for the younger generations (wow, I feel old writing that) it means something else entirely.

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What does mid mean?

When Gen Alpha uses it, “mid” means mediocre or of disappointing quality. If you’re described as “mid” by a teenager then they’re basically saying you are… average.

Possibly even below average.

According to Merriam-Webster, “mid” serves to express that something falls short of expectations, or isn’t impressive.

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It’s not bad, per se, but it’s not exactly good either. (In fact, the way it’s used nowadays is probably veering more towards bad than good.)

The dictionary notes that this slang term is thought to have come from a shortening of the term mid-grade, “a designation in cannabis culture of medium quality”.

Over time it’s evolved to be used as a descriptor of everything from people and food, to film and TV.

Some examples of how it could be used include:

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  • “That burger was mid.”
  • “Did you enjoy the party? I thought it was mid.”
  • “I liked their last album. Their new album’s mid.”

Want to learn more? There’s also been chat, clock it and glazing, as well as aura farming and crash out. Honestly, the kids have been busy.

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AIPAC faces calls to reassess strategy after split results in Illinois

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AIPAC faces calls to reassess strategy after split results in Illinois

The American Israel Public Affairs Committee saw mixed results in the first major test of its political muscle in the midterms, drawing fresh recriminations from its foes — and some allies — for its interference in four competitive Illinois House primaries.

Two of AIPAC’s supported candidates won their races Tuesday night, with Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller denying former Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. a comeback in the 2nd District and former Rep. Melissa Bean defeating a slew of progressive challengers in the 8th District.

But the group faced criticism from within the pro-Israel Democratic community and harsh words from its opponents after it failed to secure its preferred outcome in the two races where it spent the most money.

In the 9th District, the group spent $7 million, some of it aimed at attacking Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss, whose mother is Israeli, making an enemy of a likely soon-to-be U.S. representative who has been critical of Israel’s actions in Gaza but who had previously been willing to engage with the group. Biss won the crowded primary Tuesday night, after AIPAC pivoted from attacking him to instead concentrate its negative ads on progressive social media influencer and Palestinian American Kat Abughazaleh. And in the 7th District, an AIPAC-affiliated super PAC spent nearly $5 million backing Chicago Treasurer Melissa Conyears-Ervin, who lost to state Rep. La Shawn Ford.

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The split scorecard comes a month after AIPAC angered its own centrist allies by going after  another fairly pro-Israel candidate, former Rep. Tom Malinowski (D-N.J.) — a move that ended up handing the primary to a stronger critic of Israel, progressive Analilia Mejia.

“There was once again a vast amount of money spent and wasted trying to dust up a candidate who, by almost anybody’s reasonable analysis, Israel should be happy to have in Congress supporting a strong U.S.-Israel relationship,” one longtime AIPAC member, granted anonymity to speak candidly, said of the group’s spending against Biss.

AIPAC, the person added, “should take a look at the results in [the 9th District] and New Jersey and reconsider their strategy.”

AIPAC-aligned super PACs spent nearly$22 million in the Illinois primaries, more than one-fifth the total $100 million warchest it has in hand so far for the 2026 midterms, to win two of four open-seat races while losing the one that drove the most national attention.

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At his victory party Tuesday night, Biss slammed the group for spending heavily “to buy this seat to support the idea that we can’t accept nuance” on the U.S.-Israel relationship.

“AIPAC found out the hard way — the 9th District is not for sale,” Biss told supporters.

AIPAC pushed back against the notion that the group struggled in Tuesday night’s elections.

“Illinois voters rejected half a dozen anti-Israel candidates across several heavily Democratic open-seat races,” Deryn Sousa, an AIPAC spokesperson, said in a statement Tuesday night. “These results further demonstrate that campaigns defined largely by opposition to AIPAC, our members, and the values we represent continue to fall short on election night.”

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The controversial organization, already a foil for Democrats grappling with growing anti-Israel sentiment in their party, is facing fresh animosity and renewed scrutiny over its campaign spending as the U.S. and Israel wage a joint war on Iran that’s further soured Americans on their longtime ally.

Recent polling shows Americans — and Democrats, in particular — shifting further away from Israel. A NBC News poll released this week showed 57 percent of Democrats view Israel negatively, a dramatic shift from when just 35 percent held a negative view of the country after Hamas attacked it on Oct. 7, 2023. A Quinnipiac University survey showed 44 percent of voters think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel — the highest percentage since the pollsters started asking the question in 2017. Among Democrats, 62 percent think America is too supportive of Israel, compared with just 22 percent who think the support is about right and 8 percent who think it’s not supportive enough.

It’s clear the organization is aware of its standing in Democratic primaries — its ads focused on everything but Israel, accusing candidates of not being progressive enough on other issues. But AIPAC’s involvement became a major talking point for those it was attacking, especially in the 9th District.

The Illinois Democratic delegation likely won’t have a significant ideological shift on Israel from the races’ results. Bean will replace Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi, another pro-Israel candidate, who lost his Senate primary contest to Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton. Biss’s views on Israel aren’t far from those of outgoing Rep. Jan Schakowsky, who endorsed him and has sharply criticized AIPAC in the past. Rep. Danny Davis has supported Israel but denounced its Gaza intervention; Ford doesn’t appear to have said much publicly on the issue.

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The biggest potential change is Miller replacing Rep. Robin Kelly, who has called the war in Gaza a “genocide.” She also didn’t advance through the Illinois Senate primary.

“We consider this a pro-Israel win. We are better off in the Chicago delegation than we were yesterday,” said Patrick Dorton, the spokesperson for the AIPAC super PAC United Democracy Project, pointing to the new incumbents in the Kelly, Schakowsky and Davis seats.

Dorton also argued that if the group’s pop-up super PAC “didn’t go negative with more than a million dollars in spending to defeat Abughazaleh, she may well have beat Biss.”

And AIPAC allies took a more generous read on their group’s performance.

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“You win some, you lose some,” said AIPAC ally Rep. Brad Schneider (D-Ill.), who backed Fine, Miller and Bean in their races. Schneider added that if a group wins every race they’re involved in, “you probably haven’t pushed the boundaries as far as you can.”

Brian Romick, president of the Democratic Majority for Israel, which often overlaps in its preferred candidates with AIPAC, said Tuesday’s results showed that “Israel wasn’t a determinative factor in these primaries” and “none of the extremist anti-Israel candidates won.”

Opponents of AIPAC crowed that voters had spurned the groups’ hardline tactics, including AIPAC’s use of shell PACs to obscure the source of the outside spending. And they held up Biss’ victory in particular as reassurance for candidates wary AIPAC will wade into their primaries that the group can be defeated. Democratic candidates and strategists are bracing for the group to intervene in a range of upcoming House primaries, as well as the Michigan and Minnesota Senate primaries.

Tuesday’s results “should send a clear message to candidates across the country: you do not have to fear AIPAC’s spending or intimidation,” Jeremy Ben-Ami, the president of J Street, a rival organization that spent $350,000 backing Biss and worked to counter AIPAC in other Illinois House races, said in a statement.

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Yet AIPAC is poised to remain formidable through the midterms. One pro-Israel Democratic donor adviser, granted anonymity to speak candidly, said even with AIPAC’s misfires, the money is likely to keep pouring in.

“Their donor talking points aren’t going to be, ‘we only got half.’ They’ll say, ‘we took out two of the worst people,’” said the donor adviser of Tuesday’s results. “They know how to sell it, and there’s no shortage of money.”

Shia Kapos contributed to this report.

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King of Illinois: Pritzker swings Senate race as he targets Trump

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Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton, speaks during a primary election night watch party after winning the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, Tuesday, March 17, 2026, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Erin Hooley)

CHICAGO — Gov. JB Pritzker emerged as the kingmaker in deep-blue Illinois after pouring millions of dollars and staking his political reputation to deliver his hand-picked Senate candidate a primary victory on Tuesday.

The result strengthens Pritzker’s standing within his party at a critical moment, as he prepares for a November gubernatorial campaign for his third term and looks ahead to a potential presidential run in 2028.

It’s going to reflect well on him,” retiring Rep. Jan Schakowsky said Tuesday night shortly after Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton was declared the winner in the Democratic primary for Illinois Senate. 

Robyn Gabel, the Illinois House Majority Leader, added: “I think it will show that he has coattails, and that he has a big following, and that people respect his opinions on who to vote for.”

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Pritzker has built a reputation as an influential governor by leveraging institutional authority, strong party support, and his own vast financial resources to shape policy statewide, including addressing energy challenges, cost-of-living concerns and making infrastructure improvements. With Democrats holding control of the state legislature, he has also been able to further strengthen his dominance in Springfield.

And on the national stage, Pritzker has positioned himself among the chief antagonists of President Donald Trump, regularly attacking his immigration enforcement surges, among other issues.

Pritzker’s grip on the party was on full display in downtown Chicago, where he celebrated his uncontested gubernatorial primary victory by touting his accomplishments and attacking Trump as Illinois Democrats stood behind him.

“For working families, the Trump presidency has been an unmitigated disaster. Oil prices are up. Measles is back. Farms are folding. Tariffs have raised the price of groceries and cars, and Illinoisans have been sent abroad to fight another Middle East war,” Pritzker told dozens of cheering supporters. “In response, what is the Illinois Republican Party doing to help everyday people? Nothing.”

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The crowd’s enthusiasm was aided by an open bar — a detail noted by some attendees after reports circulated from the watch party of Stratton’s well-funded opponent, Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi, that his campaign was charging for drinks at the event.

Pritzker, who put millions of dollars into a super PAC supporting Stratton and campaigned regularly alongside his former running mate, brushed off concerns that a potential Stratton loss could tarnish his image. Another candidate he supported, Brad Schneider, won the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 10th Congressional District.

“I’m not choosing candidates because I’ve taken a poll ahead of time and decided that I can only support a candidate that I know absolutely 100 percent is going to win otherwise,” Pritzker said at a candidate luncheon at Manny’s Deli on Chicago’s near South Side before polls closed. “Here’s what I know, when you’ve got somebody that is hyper-qualified for the job, that’s who I’m supporting.”

Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton, speaks during a primary election night watch party after winning the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, Tuesday, March 17, 2026, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Erin Hooley)

But later at Stratton’s watch party on Chicago’s West Side, Pritzker, who belongs to one of the nation’s wealthiest families, acknowledged the stake he held in Tuesday’s outcome.

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“A lot of people have suggested this was personal to me,” he told hundreds of Stratton campaign staff and supporters, his voice noticeably strained late into the evening. “They were right. It was.”

The fractious Senate primary was defined by massive spending, racial dynamics and lingering intraparty rivalries. Krishnamoorthi had a $30 million war chest and significant outside support but couldn’t compete with Pritzker’s financial muscle and institutional backing of Stratton.

Rep. Robin Kelly, who came in third in the race, drew criticism from some for potentially splitting the Black vote. She, like Stratton, is Black and there were fears they’d cancel one another out, opening a path for Krishnamoorthi, who took advantage of that and even ran ads propping up Kelly to give himself an edge.

Rep. Yvette Clarke (D-N.Y.), the chair of the Congressional Black Caucus, which backed Kelly, issued a rebuke of Pritzker’s involvement in the race earlier this month, accusing the billionaire governor of trying to “tip the scales in Illinois” which she said was “beyond frustrating.”

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Kelly reiterated that sentiment before polls closed Tuesday.

“He’s put his thumb on the race. Seventy-three percent of her donations came from one family,” Kelly said Tuesday afternoon, referring to Pritzker’s financial backing of Stratton.

The tensions between Pritzker and Kelly date back to a 2022 power struggle over control of the Illinois Democratic Party, when Kelly was pushed out amid concerns from Pritzker’s allies about her ability to fundraise while serving in Congress. While both sides have since publicly downplayed the feud, the Senate primary reopened old wounds with outside groups and Democratic factions lining up behind different candidates.

Another CBC member, Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey, who previously ran for the White House, said on Capitol Hill prior to polls closing in Illinois that “it would be a damn shame if Robin Kelly” lost.

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“Isn’t it a shame that I don’t have billions of dollars?” Booker said. “Look … the way the rules are right now, JB Pritzker as the governor of that state is free to support anybody he wants and he has a tremendous amount of resources. I hold no ill will there.”

Illinois state Rep. Kam Buckner, the speaker pro tempore and a member of the national Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, defended Pritzker getting involved in the race.

“Political capital is a lot like financial capital, it does not grow because you admire it. It grows because you deploy it,” Buckner said in an interview. “He’s putting his political equity into circulation, which I think is the right thing for him to do.”

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Stratton wins Illinois primary, giving Dems another Black female senator

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Stratton wins Illinois primary, giving Dems another Black female senator

CHICAGO — Democrats are now all but certain to elect another Black woman to the U.S. Senate after Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton won Tuesday’s bitter and expensive primary in Illinois.

Stratton overcame a crowded Democratic contest for the state’s open Senate seat, defeating front-runner Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi with the help of millions of dollars of outside spending — much of it from her old running mate, Gov. JB Pritzker.

She is widely seen as the favorite to succeed Sen. Dick Durbin in the blue state and would become the sixth Black woman to have ever served in the upper chamber.

The contest was defined by heavy outside spending and intraparty fissures over race. It became contentions during the final weeks, with Krishnamoorthi and Stratton trading sharp attacks on the debate stage and blasting each other in TV ads over corporate money and immigration policy.

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Members of the Congressional Black Caucus — who backed a different contender, Rep. Robin Kelly, in the primary — also warned that Pritzker’s interference could split the Black vote and cost Democrats a chance at electing a Black woman to the Senate this year.

Stratton’s late surge was powered by a combination of endorsements, outside spending and targeted messaging. She benefited from the support of Pritzker and Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-Ill.). Illinois Future PAC, which received major cash infusions from Pritzker and other allies, spent at least $11.8 million boosting Stratton’s campaign and attacking Krishnamoorthi.

Stratton will face Don Tracy, a former Illinois Republican Party chair, in November. If elected, she would become the second Black woman to be nominated to the Senate from Illinois, following Carol Moseley Braun — who endorsed Stratton in the contest.

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AIPAC, AI money propels Melissa Bean to comeback victory in Illinois

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AIPAC, AI money propels Melissa Bean to comeback victory in Illinois

CHICAGO — Former Rep. Melissa Bean won the Democratic primary for Illinois’ 8th District, cementing her political comeback in a solidly blue seat more than a decade after she left Congress.

Bean, a moderate who served in the House from 2005 to 2011, defeated several progressive challengers on Tuesday in the race to replace Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi, who launched a bid for the Senate.

Her win was heavily boosted by outside spending: A group called Elect Chicago Women, aligned with the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, poured nearly $4 million into the race to support Bean, and another AI-focused committee ran ads in favor of her.

Bean, who had lost her seat during the 2010 Tea Party wave, built her campaign around a message of pragmatism — an approach she argued voters were seeking amid a hyper-partisan national political climate.

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“What I’m hearing mostly from people is they would love to see a little more boring and a lot less drama from government,” Bean said during the race. “They just want to know [if] they elect you, you’ll put your head down, you’ll get the work done and you’ll deliver.”

After leaving office, Bean worked in the private sector at finance firms including JPMorgan Chase and Mesirow Financial before deciding to run again.

The race drew a crowded Democratic field of candidates who positioned themselves to Bean’s left. Among them was tech entrepreneur Junaid Ahmed, who had challenged Krishnamoorthi four years ago. He argued during this year’s campaign that the district needed someone prepared to challenge President Donald Trump directly, and he was endorsed by prominent progressive lawmakers, including Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) and Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.).

The AIPAC affiliate backing Bean saw his candidacy as a threat. In the final days of the race, the group spent $664,000 in ads against him.

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Another candidate, Cook County Commissioner Kevin Morrison, also emphasized a progressive agenda, arguing the Trump administration poses a threat to health care access, LGBTQ+ rights and reproductive freedom.

The progressive Justice Democrats PAC spent $56,000 in attack ads on Bean, but that hardly made a dent against the millions of dollars outside groups spent to assist her.

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Jesse Jackson Jr.’s comeback bid fails in Illinois primary

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Jesse Jackson Jr.’s comeback bid fails in Illinois primary

CHICAGO — Former Illinois Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. fell short in his attempt to return to Congress on Tuesday, after resigning more than a decade ago amid a federal corruption investigation.

Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller defeated him and a host of other candidates to win the Democratic primary for Illinois’ 2nd district, a seat currently held by Rep. Robin Kelly, who left to run for the Senate.

Jackson’s comeback bid transformed the race into a high-profile showdown, with the former representative leaning on his deep name recognition. But Jackson — who resigned in 2012 and served prison time after pleading guilty to wire and mail fraud for misusing $750,000 in campaign funds — was unable to successfully reframe his past as a redemption story.

Meanwhile, Miller consolidated support across key parts of the district and benefited from spending by a group aligned with the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, which funneled more than $4 million into ads promoting her campaign. The contest drew national attention in part because the group, Affordable Chicago Now, gave Miller’s campaign substantial airtime in the Chicago media market and funded mail pieces highlighting her record.

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The spending helped elevate Miller’s profile even as a separate political action committee, the Leading the Future PAC, which is funded by OpenAI stakeholders, spent more than $1 million to promote Jackson after he signaled support for the industry with op-eds and ads.

Miller focused her campaign on her work on public health, public safety and budget oversight. She also underscored her longstanding ties to Democratic women’s organizations, as vice president of Illinois Democratic Women, former president of the Democratic Women of the South Suburbs and past board chair of Planned Parenthood of Illinois and its political action committee.

She made a concerted effort not to attack her opponents, saying she was “the only candidate in the race” to do so.

Other notable names in the race included state Sens. Robert Peters and Willie Preston.

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The 2nd District, which stretches from Chicago’s South Side into the south suburbs and rural counties, is heavily Democratic and Miller is expected to win easily in November.

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Politics Home Article | Travelodge Pulls Out Of Meeting With MPs About Hotel Security

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Travelodge Pulls Out Of Meeting With MPs About Hotel Security
Travelodge Pulls Out Of Meeting With MPs About Hotel Security

(Alamy)


3 min read

Travelodge has pulled out of a planned meeting with MPs who wanted to raise issues of room security with the hotel chain.

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It comes after a woman was sexually assaulted in one of its hotels in 2022 by a man given a key card to her room by hotel staff.

An MP involved in organising the meeting said the move had sent “entirely the wrong message to victims and undermines confidence in their commitment to safeguarding”.

In February, Kyran Smith was jailed for seven-and-a-half years for sexually assaulting a woman in a Travelodge in Berkshire in December 2022. Smith had attended the same party as the woman and had later acquired a key card to her room after falsely claiming to hotel staff that he was the victim’s boyfriend.

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The BBC reported that the company had initially offered the woman a £30 refund, which the victim described as “insulting”. 

Labour MPs Matt Bishop and Jen Craft wrote to Travelodge CEO Jo Boydell last week, demanding a meeting about the case.

MPs Bishop and Craft met with Boydell on Monday, alongside the victims minister Alex Davies-Jones and the safeguarding minister Jess Phillips, with Boydell pencilled in to meet with a larger group of MPs later today. 

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However, MPs were informed on Tuesday night that the CEO would no longer be attending the meeting. It was unclear at the time of writing why Travelodge had decided to no longer attend.

Bishop told PoliticsHome: “I am extremely disappointed that Travelodge has chosen not to meet with us as a group of MPs.

“When serious concerns are raised about the safety of women, there is a clear responsibility to engage openly and transparently. Refusing to do so sends entirely the wrong message to victims, and undermines confidence in their commitment to safeguarding.”

PoliticsHome reported on Tuesday that Bishop, who is a former police officer, was working on a new law to improve hotel security following the assault, after concerns that any new guidance would not go far enough.

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The proposals, set to be introduced as a Ten Minute Rule Bill, would introduce industry standards to ensure the safety of individuals staying in hotels. PoliticsHome understands that the government is willing to work with Bishop on the plans.

Boydell previously apologised to the victim and said that Travelodge had done an internal review of its security policies, making “immediate changes to ensure that an additional or replacement room key is only issued with explicit permission from the person, or people, staying in the room”.

In a statement on Tuesday night, Boydell said that the meeting on Monday had been “productive and helpful”.

Travelodge has commissioned an independent review and agreed to work with ministers and MPs to ensure that a leading violence against women and girls expert is appointed who can work closely with the KC leading the review.

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Boydell said the review “will look at the lessons we can learn to help us improve the way we handle complex and sensitive cases, as well as how we can improve our room security procedures and what additional training we can offer to our colleagues over and above our existing health and safety, security and safeguarding training, including a specific focus on violence against women and girls”.

“As part of the review we will be seeking inputs from the wider group of MPs and Peers who care passionately about this topic.”

Boydell said she was “deeply sorry for the significant distress experienced by the victim and for our handling of her case”, and “would welcome the opportunity to meet with her to personally apologise and hear her thoughts on how we can improve our processes, if she would like to”. 

 

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Trump’s illegal war threatens UK jobs

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Trump's illegal war threatens UK jobs

Trump and Netanyahu’s illegal war on Iran has sent energy prices skyrocketing. The effect on energy-intensive industries in the UK has been immediate and severe. And, as a knock-on effect, as many as 100,000 jobs could be lost across the UK.

Of course, we won’t shed a tear for the impact on highly polluting industries themselves. However, the situation is a striking illustration of the vulnerability created by the UK’s desperate reliance on increasingly volatile fossil fuels.

The Straight of Hormuz

The current grab for fuel began after Iran closed off the Straight of Hormuz. Around a fifth of the world’s oil passes through the narrow waterway. As such, the US and Israel have accidentally made Iran a global oil superpower.

This is the view of air warfare scholar Professor Robert Pape, whose damning critique of the attack on Iran has generated wide interest recently. On 12 March, Pape said that:

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Iran hit 16 vessels so far in Strait of Hormuz.

That’s all it takes for Iran to control 20% of the world’s oil and become an oil hegemon — the number 1 strategic outcome US has sought to prevent in Middle East since 1970s.

The Iran war has already caused a spike in Brent crude oil prices, up from $60 in January to around $100. This is already being called the biggest disruption to oil supplies in history.

Likewise, wholesale gas prices in the UK have risen to 171p a therm, more than double last month’s 78p. This is the highest they’ve been since the beginning of Russia’s war on Ukraine.

The already-failing UK chemicals industry is also being hit hard. The sector uses fossil fuels not only for power, but also as raw materials for its products. Production in the industry had already dropped by 60% since 2021, with 25 sites shuttering, with more are teetering on the brink as the Iran war rages on.

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Unemployment ‘closer to 6 percent’

As a direct consequence, some economists have suggested that over 100,000 jobs could be cut within months. Likewise, the uncertainty over energy prices has led to speculation that the Bank of England won’t make its expected cuts to interest rates anytime soon.

James Smith, of investment bank ING, opined that employers may seek to make up for rising energy costs by slashing jobs. Smith said:

It depends how long energy prices stay high. If we’re in a scenario where the disruption lasts three months or so, then I would imagine [unemployment would be] be pushing above 5.5pc.

Smith also stated that the previous shocks from the war on Ukraine had left the economy in a weakened state. He said:

Now, it’s very different. We saw this last year with the hospitality sector, where we had the big rise in National Insurance and the minimum wage. We saw a sharp drop in employment and no discernible impact on prices.

These sectors that are most affected by higher energy prices, particularly in the service sector, don’t have the pricing power that they did in 2022. They’re more likely to deal with higher energy costs by cutting back their worker numbers.

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Jordan Rochester, of Mizuho bank, echoed this sentiment. He suggested that the UK’s unemployment rates—already at a worrying peak—will likely increase:

If the rate of unemployment’s ascent matches that of the past year, it would defy forecasts again and put us closer to 6% rather than 5%.

Environmental fallout

Similarly, industry body Make UK highlighted that UK businesses are putting up their prices at the fastest rate since 2023. The trade body’s senior economist, Fhaheen Khan, stated that:

While output and investment show some improvement after a challenging end to last year, rising costs and weakening domestic demand are creating real pressures for businesses.

With UK industrial energy costs among the highest in the developed world, any sustained increase in oil and gas prices could quickly push up input costs, squeezing margins and limiting investment.

Meanwhile, the soaring price of fossil fuels will not be accompanied by a corresponding drop in pollution. US and Israeli strikes have hit Iranian nuclear facilities, munitions stockpiles,  and oil refineries.

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As a result, Iran is suffering toxic black rain, clouds of unbreathable smog, and catastrophic environmental effects that will be felt for generations to come.

The situation—in the UK, Iran and across the world—is a stark reminder of the fact that the decisions of tyrants like Trump and Netanyahu have consequences far beyond their own countries—and those of the foreign citizens they murder with impunity.

Featured image via Unsplash/the Canary

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Media panic over meningitis has made a bad situation far worse

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Media panic over meningitis has made a bad situation far worse

With hindsight, it was clear that something was wrong in Canterbury at least a couple of days before the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) notified the public of a meningitis outbreak. Walking through the city centre on Friday evening, I noticed the pubs and restaurants that would normally be teeming with students were standing largely empty. Far from its usual raucousness, Canterbury High Street was eerily quiet.

It was 48 hours later that news broke of the tragic deaths of a pupil from a nearby school and a student at the University of Kent, from what has now been identified as meningitis B. Fifteen people remain severely ill in hospital. This is an incredibly difficult time for those mourning the loss of a relative or friend, worried about those still unwell, or concerned that they are at risk of infection.

Meningitis needs to be treated with the utmost seriousness. Amid concern that the UKHSA was too slow in alerting the public, health officials spent yesterday tracing those who may have come into contact with the disease and issuing precautionary antibiotics to those at risk. This was a sensible response to a worrying situation.

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But elsewhere, the response to Canterbury’s meningitis outbreak has been far from rational. ‘TERROR ON CAMPUS’ screams the headline in today’s Daily Mirror. ‘Killer meningitis outbreak’, warns Channel 4 News. Images have been published of paramedics in hazmat suits wheeling a sick student out of university accommodation and into the back of a waiting ambulance – even though this is absolutely not happening routinely.

As I walked through the University of Kent’s grounds yesterday, it wasn’t petrified students I noticed, but journalists intent on whipping up hysteria. National camera crews had assembled at dawn, and by midday, helicopters were circling my house, capturing aerial footage of students queuing for antibiotics. Yet reporters, vox-popping teenagers and seemingly desperate for hysteria, were, at least at first, often met with boredom and resignation. It was only as the day wore on that ‘fear and panic’ began to be recorded.

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Some journalists seem to go beyond describing what’s happening in Canterbury in their bid to summon a medical emergency, with the media at the centre of the action. This can have dangerous and unintended consequences. For example, reports suggest that some scared students have now returned to their family homes, when they may have been far better off staying put to avoid spreading the infection. Indeed, the first case outside of Kent was recorded in London earlier today, leading health officials to declare the outbreak a ‘national incident’. French officials have also reported a case involving a Kent University student.

‘Students queue in “Covid-esque” scenes’, claimed the Independent, turning to a comparison being drawn in much of meningitis reporting. Indeed, it soon became apparent that it wasn’t just journalists drawing Covid parallels. ‘Lockdown’ now provides the script for responding to serious illness. In Canterbury this week, people have all too readily returned to once-familiar routines with university exams moved online, masked-up students queuing for medication, and pubs falling silent.

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What’s troubling is not just the readiness with which people retreat from social life, but that Covid comparisons fail to take into account the specific nature of meningitis and the way it is transmitted. Unlike Covid, meningitis B spreads through close and direct contact with an infected person through kissing, sneezing, and sharing drinks or cutlery. It is, thankfully, far less contagious than Covid – although this is not obvious from much of the reporting.

The ease with which lockdown routines are being revived means that students queuing for antibiotics at the University of Kent are being given masks, which likely serve little purpose, only to be spotted sharing vapes, which is far riskier than simply lining up outside in the fresh air.

Another unhelpful hangover from the Covid years is the way disease becomes incorporated into the culture war. Within minutes of footage of students queuing beginning to circulate, vaccinations became a topic of discussion once more. On one side, students were condemned for not having been vaccinated against meningitis, while others pointed out that repeated lockdowns and school closures meant that entire cohorts of teenagers missed out on routine vaccinations that would normally have been administered during the school day. Some note that vaccines are less effective against meningitis B, the particular strain thought to be spreading in Canterbury, while others argue that only a lack of NHS funding prevents this specific vaccine from being issued more widely.

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Right now, Kent’s meningitis outbreak has led to the tragic loss of two young lives. There is a worrying wait for news of those who are still gravely ill. But we cannot afford to let a more generalised media hysteria, or a desire to replay an old Covid script, make this serious situation far worse than it already is.

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Louis Theroux’s Inside the Manosphere asks all the wrong questions

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Louis Theroux’s Inside the Manosphere asks all the wrong questions

Over the past week or so, you could be forgiven for thinking you’d stepped into a time machine and been transported back to March 2025. Cast your mind back: Adolescence had just dropped on Netflix, and a moral panic was starting to set in about white working-class boys. Lurking in the background of the four-part series, which follows the arrest of a teenage boy accused of stabbing his female classmate to death, was the pernicious influence of Andrew Tate and the so-called manosphere in which he operates. Blaming the worst of all crimes on this self-proclaimed ‘misogynist’ influencer went down a storm at the time.

The Guardian hailed Adolescence as the ‘closest thing to TV perfection in decades’, while the Independent described its exploration of the ‘pernicious influence of the manosphere’ as ‘harrowing but compelling’. UK prime minister Keir Starmer wanted it to be shown in every British secondary school.

Exactly one year on, Louis Theroux’s latest documentary has once again put the manosphere under the microscope. The current moment feels like déjà-vu or, as Tate might say, a ‘glitch in the matrix’, because Louis Theroux: Inside the Manosphere also provides a superficial insight into a complex problem.

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That hasn’t stopped critics from falling over themselves to praise the zany documentarian’s deep dive into the online world of hypermasculine content creators. Bragging about ‘one-way’ monogamy and the importance of material wealth above all else, these rage-baiting clowns have also sent celebrities into a tizzy. Everyone from Simon Cowell’s wife to Made in Chelsea’s Spencer Matthews – the same Spencer Matthews who gained notoriety as the bad-boy womaniser on the reality show – took to Instagram shortly after the credits rolled to issue a casting call for ‘better role models’ in society.

While documentaries like Inside the Manosphere offer celebrities an opportunity to declare to the world which way their moral compass points and to atone for past sins, they ultimately fail to grapple with why figures like Tate have such a hold on young boys.

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Theroux does, at one point, attempt to unpack what motivates the main protagonists in this machismo movement. But he doesn’t get very far. Delving into the difficult ‘origin story’ of controversial streamer HSTikkyTokky (real name Harrison Sullivan), Theroux observes that ‘carrying the wounds of childhood can project trauma into the wider world’. Sullivan, we learn, was abandoned by his father.

It is to some extent understandable that Theroux ducked the question of why so many men find the ‘manosphere’ compelling. Honest answers may prove radioactive. But it is surely the most important question, and certainly would have led to far more interesting conversations, rather than shallow psychologising about the ‘wounds of childhood’.

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For starters, what did the advent of the pill mean for gender relations? Did the #MeToo movement go too far? How about wokeism in general? Unintended consequences lurk everywhere, from sexual ethics to feminism.

And you don’t have to search hard to find them. The contradictions inherent in being a modern man are easily found on dating apps, where women routinely specify that they are seeking a ‘real man’ who is both ‘emotionally aware’ and ‘assertive’. It should be possible to traverse this thorny terrain without endorsing misogyny. In fact, dodging the hard questions in favour of platitudes will only reinforce the masculinity crisis.

The Tates of this world have gone where others fear to tread. That they have gone too far, and ended up in a sexist abyss, should not prevent the rest of us from asking whether the long assault on manhood has been a good thing. The old Louis Theroux would have asked these questions, and given us a much better documentary as a result.

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Adam Chapman is a writer and editor.

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