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Bitcoin Exchange Inflows Surge as BTC Hits $75K Resistance

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On March 16, hourly inflows into centralized crypto venues spiked to 6,100 units, the highest level in over a month as a broad market rally took hold. Data compiled for the period show that larger transfers dominated the flow, comprising 63% of total inflows—the strongest share dating back to mid-October 2025. The surge in exchange deposits comes as the leading digital asset has advanced roughly 12% for the month, with intraday prints approaching six-week highs near 76,000 in mid-March. Traders frequently move funds to exchanges in anticipation of selling or swapping into stablecoins, a pattern that market participants watch closely for signs of distribution when price momentum wavers.

CryptoQuant’s analysis highlighted that the spike included a notable rise in the share of large inflows, a behavior historically linked to selling pressure. These on-chain dynamics add a layer of nuance to the ongoing rally, suggesting that even as prices push higher, there could be a growing readiness among market participants to monetize gains. The data, reported by Julio Moreno, the head of research at CryptoQuant, underscore the choppy balance between demand and potential supply as the market navigates macro uncertainty and cross-asset risk sentiment. CryptoQuant

Beyond the on-chain signal, the price landscape remains a focal point for traders. Bitcoin’s price action has driven the market to a roughly 12% gain for March, with the asset trading near multi-month resistance levels. In recent days, the market has flirted with a six-week high around $76,000, a level that has proven challenging to break on several attempts. Market observers point to the Realized Price, a measure of the average price at which active supply transacted, as a proxy for potential resistance. The Realized Price currently sits in the neighborhood of $84,700, with the lower band—where many traders previously found concrete resistance during bear phases—acting as a rough guide for possible price ceilings in the near term. This dynamic was evident as the price repeatedly tested the $75,000 area on Coinbase, finding resistance at each try in a short span of time. TradingView data corroborate the near-term challenge around that psychological threshold.

Amid the price action, traders are keenly watching the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory. The forthcoming Fed meeting, scheduled for Wednesday, sits at the center of market expectations, with many participants pricing in no interest-rate changes for March. CME Group’s FedWatch tool showed a high probability—about 98.9%—that the federal funds rate will remain unchanged, with only a 1.1% chance of a hike. The market’s attunement to the Fed reflects a broader risk-off risk-on mood that often drives crypto liquidity and ETF flow dynamics in tandem with macro cues. As coverage in traditional outlets highlights, a hawkish or cautious stance from the central bank could alter risk appetite across assets, including cryptocurrencies. CME FedWatch data and related market commentary underscore the tightrope between growth worries and inflation concerns that has defined the current regime.

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In context, the rally’s momentum appears fragile, and the on-chain signals—while pointing to ongoing demand—also warn of potential distribution if large holders decide to realize gains as headline risk shifts. The price vicinity around $75,000 remains a key focal point; if the asset can push above this zone, it could test the next band near the realized price level, although history shows the lower RP band can act as a stubborn resistance in bear-market cycles. Traders are therefore weighing whether the current flow pattern represents a temporary flush of liquidity to exchanges or the onset of a broader reallocation into longer-term holdings or other assets, including stablecoins.

Why it matters

For investors, the observed spike in exchange inflows—especially with a rising share of large transfers—serves as a reminder that on-chain activity does not always align with short-term price strength. If sellers emerge from notable exchange deposits, price weaknesses could follow, even in a currently constructive market backdrop. The Fed’s rate stance, coupled with macro headlines, can influence liquidity and risk sentiment, which in turn shapes how and where capital flows. For market builders and liquidity providers, monitoring the balance between on-chain realized prices and exchange inflows could offer early clues about shifts in supply-demand dynamics and potential volatility around key technical levels.

From a macro perspective, the interplay between monetary policy expectations and crypto price action remains a critical driver of flows and risk tolerance. The Fed’s decision on Wednesday—alongside ongoing inflation readings and geopolitical developments—will likely set the tone for near-term momentum. Traders keeping a close eye on the on-chain data and the official communications should be prepared for rapid shifts in sentiment, especially if the Fed signaling strengthens or weakens the case for rate cuts later in the year.

What to watch next

  • Federal Reserve decision and accompanying statement (Wednesday): assess any changes to forward guidance and inflation outlook.
  • Next batch of on-chain data from CryptoQuant: watch for shifts in the share of large inflows versus overall inflows and any corroborating metrics on exchange net flows.
  • Price action around the $75,000 level and the realized price vicinity near $84,700: look for breakout or rejection patterns and volume confirmation.
  • Market reaction to Fed commentary: observe risk appetite shifts that could impact liquidity, ETF flows, and spot market participation.

Sources & verification

  • CryptoQuant insights on exchange inflows and the share of large inflows for March 16–17, including the 63% figure.
  • CME FedWatch tool data on the probability of rate hold versus hike.
  • Associated Press reporting on Fed policy expectations and inflation considerations in the current environment.
  • Cointelegraph market coverage discussing Bitcoin’s price around $70k and near-term resistance levels.
  • TradingView BTCUSD data for price action on Coinbase as a reference for breakout and resistance testing.

Bitcoin exchange flows rise ahead of Fed decision; on-chain signals warn of selling pressure

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) exchange flows surged ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, with on-chain data indicating a potential tilt toward distribution despite a broader rally. On March 16, centralized exchanges recorded inflows totaling 6,100 coins—the highest since February 20—according to CryptoQuant. A closer breakdown shows large transfers dominating the flow, making up about 63% of total inflows, the strongest proportion observed since October 2025. These signals emerge as the asset has climbed roughly 12% in March, drawing near $76,000 in intraday trading on March 17. The behavior of inflows and on-chain metrics has historically foreshadowed price dynamics, and traders are weighing whether the current momentum can be sustained or whether a wave of selling could emerge as participants seek risk-adjusted gains. CryptoQuant notes the potential for selling pressure when large deposits to exchanges spike, a pattern that has played out in past cycles.

The price backdrop remains a mix of resilience and caution. After a month characterized by a steady ascent, the asset touched six-week highs near $76,000, underscoring renewed risk appetite among investors. Yet the on-chain Realized Price, which represents the average break-even price for active holders, sits well higher at approximately $84,700. This creates a ceiling effect, as the current price remains below the lower band of the realized-price metric, a zone historically associated with resistance during bear-market phases. Market data from TradingView show the asset testing the $75,000 mark on Coinbase multiple times in the past 24 hours, underscoring the psychological and technical significance of that level.

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The broader market is anchored by expectations around the Federal Reserve’s policy stance. CME FedWatch data indicated a near-ceremonial stance for the March meeting, with markets pricing in a substantial probability of no rate change. The implications of the Fed’s decision—or even its language around rate paths—could influence liquidity cycles across crypto markets, where ETF interest, spot demand, and derivative positioning interact with macro risk sentiment. Associated Press reporting on the Fed’s trajectory highlights ongoing inflation concerns and the possibility that the central bank could refrain from rate cuts in the near term, a scenario that could shape risk-on versus risk-off temperament in the weeks ahead. CME FedWatch Associated Press

Looking forward, the market will likely calibrate its expectations around the Fed’s guidance and the pace of any potential policy normalization. Should the Fed acknowledge persistent inflation risks while signaling a cautious path, traders could see continued volatility as liquidity shifts between risk assets. Conversely, a more accommodating read could sustain the current momentum, allowing the rally to extend and on-chain inflows to reflect renewed demand rather than distribution. The next few sessions will be telling, as investors parse macro cues against the backdrop of on-chain indicators that have in the past proven prescient about fundamental shifts in supply and demand.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Rebound Continues as USD/CHF Nears Key Inflection Point

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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Rebound Continues as USD/CHF Nears Key Inflection Point

EUR/USD is attempting a recovery wave from the 1.1400 zone. USD/CHF climbed higher above 0.7900 before it started a downside correction.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF Analysis Today

· The Euro declined toward 1.1400 before it started a recovery wave against the US Dollar.

· There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance at 1.1500 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.

· USD/CHF climbed higher above 0.7850 and 0.7900 before it faced hurdles.

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· There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at 0.7870 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair extended the decline below 1.1500. The Euro even declined below 1.1440 before the bulls appeared against the US Dollar.

The pair tested 1.1410 and recently started a recovery wave. There was a move above 1.1450 and 1.1480. The pair climbed above the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1667 swing high to the 1.1410 low.

More importantly, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance at 1.1500. The pair is now trading above 1.1520 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Immediate hurdle on the EUR/USD chart is near the 61.8% Fib retracement at 1.1570.

The first key breakout zone sits at 1.1605. An upside break above 1.1605 might send the pair toward 1.1665. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1700 zone. If there is a fresh decline, the pair might find bids near 1.1505.

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The next major support is 1.1470. A downside break below 1.1470 could send the pair toward 1.1410. Any more losses might send the pair to 1.1360.

USD/CHF Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair started a decent increase from 0.7750. The US Dollar climbed above the 0.7800 handle against the Swiss Franc.

The bulls were able to pump the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.7850. Finally, the pair tested 0.7920. A high was formed near 0.7923 and the pair is now correcting some gains. The pair dipped below the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7748 swing low to the 0.7923 high.

Besides, there was a break below a bullish trend line at 0.7870. On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is near the 50% Fib retracement at 0.7835. The first key area of interest might be 0.7790.

A downside break below 0.7790 might call for a drop to 0.7750. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward 0.7720.

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On the upside, the pair could struggle near 0.7875. The first major barrier for bulls is 0.7890. If there is a clear break above 0.7890 and the RSI climbs above 50, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could test 0.7925.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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TRUMP rallies over 50% as Mar-a-Lago event drives whale activity

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TRUMP rallies over 50% as Mar-a-Lago event drives whale activity

Whale activity around the Official Trump (TRUMP) token, which is tied to United States President Donald Trump, has hit a five-month high according to on-chain data.

Summary

  • Whale wallets holding over 1 million TRUMP tokens have risen to a five-month high of 83, with combined holdings valued at around $3.7 million, according to Santiment.
  • TRUMP price has climbed more than 50% from recent lows after a Mar-a-Lago luncheon announcement for top holders, though the token remains over 95% below its all time high.

According to Santiment, there are now 83 wallets that hold more than 1 million Official Trump (TRUMP) tokens. Collectively, these holdings amount to roughly $3.7 million worth of the tokens, marking the highest level recorded since Oct. 8 last year.

TRUMP has remained in a steady downtrend since the start of the year, but activity picked up pace after the project’s team announced a luncheon event at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence, where the U.S. president is expected to host top token holders.

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Beyond the main event, those ranked among the top 297 holders are eligible to attend, while the top 29 wallets will qualify for a private reception with the president, subject to background checks.

Several figures across the crypto sector are expected to take part in the gathering, which appears to have driven the recent surge in interest around the token.

Additional data from CoinCarp shows that TRUMP has 642,882 holders, though concentration remains heavily skewed. Over 91% of the supply is held by the top 10 wallets, while roughly 97% sits with the top 100 wallets.

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TRUMP started rallying from multi-month lows near $2.7, climbing more than 50% to reach a peak of $4.35. As of press time, the token is up over 26% in the past 7 days, though it remains down more than 95% from its all time high of $73.43.

For TRUMP holders, this pattern is not new. Last year, a similar gala-style event was announced, which saw the token rally sharply in the lead-up.

However, after the initial momentum faded, the token entered a prolonged downtrend, and unless market conditions change meaningfully, the latest event could follow a similar trajectory.

Regulatory concerns remain

While the upcoming event has generated renewed interest among crypto participants, it is also likely to draw scrutiny in Washington, where lawmakers have continued to question whether such initiatives present conflicts of interest.

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Last year, Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff called for Trump’s impeachment over the memecoin dinner, while Senators Elizabeth Warren and Adam Schiff urged ethics officials to review the president’s involvement with the event.

Meanwhile, Representative Sam Liccardo introduced the Modern Emoluments and Malfeasance Enforcement (MEME) Act in February 2025, seeking to bar federal officials and their families from issuing or promoting digital assets.

Similar concerns could resurface this time around, as lawmakers have already raised questions over potential foreign influence and financial interests tied to Trump-linked crypto ventures.

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Shibarium Indexing Hits 45% as Shiba Inu Eyes ETF Inclusion

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Crypto Breaking News

Shibarium’s recovery process shows steady progress as indexing levels improve and system stability returns. Network data accuracy remains limited, yet activity continues to build across the ecosystem. Meanwhile, broader developments around Shiba Inu add new context to the current market positioning.

Shibarium indexing recovery gains traction

Shibariumscan reports that 45% of network blocks are now indexed, showing clear progress from earlier levels. This improvement follows ongoing restoration efforts after infrastructure changes. Consequently, the network continues to rebuild visibility across transactions and wallet activity.

Earlier, the team initiated a migration to a new server environment to boost performance and reliability. This move aimed to address system limitations that affected data tracking and user experience. As a result, indexing resumed gradually while stability improved across the network.

However, incomplete indexing still affects the accuracy of key metrics such as total transactions and wallet counts. Users may see partial data until the process reaches completion. Nevertheless, the steady increase signals continued backend recovery and system alignment.

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Temporary display issues and network adjustments

At the beginning of the month, users reported missing tokens and NFTs within wallet interfaces and the explorer. These display issues created confusion across parts of the Shiba Inu ecosystem. However, developers linked the problem to indexing delays and a temporary bridge update.

Indexing plays a central role in how blockchain explorers present on-chain data. Without full indexing, systems cannot display complete transaction histories or asset balances. Therefore, partial indexing directly impacts how users interact with network data.

Meanwhile, ongoing updates aim to restore full functionality across the explorer and connected services. The community expects improvements as indexing progresses toward completion. Additionally, future upgrades may strengthen data handling and network performance further.

Broader developments shape Shiba Inu outlook

Beyond technical updates, Shiba Inu has entered discussions around inclusion in a proposed exchange-traded fund. T. Rowe Price submitted plans for an actively managed crypto ETF that includes multiple digital assets. This development places Shiba Inu within a broader institutional framework.

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The asset manager oversees significant capital, which adds weight to the filing despite pending regulatory decisions. Inclusion in such a fund could expand exposure to digital assets beyond direct trading platforms. Consequently, it reflects ongoing integration between traditional finance and crypto markets.

At the same time, Shiba Inu price activity remains subdued amid wider market conditions. The token declined slightly over the past day while trading near the lower end of recent ranges. However, macroeconomic factors continue to influence short-term price direction.

The current market focus centers on the Federal Reserve meeting and interest rate expectations. Market data suggests a high probability of unchanged rates within the existing range. As a result, traders position cautiously while awaiting further signals from monetary policy decisions.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bittensor (TAO) Crypto Surges 46% as Covenant-72B Launch Triggers Subnet Explosion

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Bittensor (TAO) crypto just surged 46% in March. Trading near $277.

The network successfully deployed its Covenant-72B model on Subnet 3. That is not a roadmap promise. It is a live heavy-compute model running on-chain.

The market responded immediately. The subnet-native τemplar token pumped nearly 200% in under a week.

TAO is no longer just a governance play. Actual utility demand is driving this move.

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Key Takeaways:

  • TAO posts 46% monthly gain driven by Covenant-72B model deployment.
  • Subnet 3 activity explodes, pushing the τemplar token up 194% in days.
  • Institutional inflow accelerates ahead of potential Grayscale ETF approval.

Covenant-72B: Why This Release Moved the Market

Covenant-72B is a 72 billion parameter large language model. A significant jump from the lighter models Bittensor has run previously. It means the network can now handle enterprise-grade compute loads.

That scale directly impacts validator staking. Running a model this size requires higher quality miner inputs and more TAO staked to secure the bandwidth. Demand for compute on Subnet 3 created direct demand for the collateral backing it. The pricing mechanism worked exactly as designed.

The biggest winner was not TAO itself. It was τemplar, the Subnet 3 native token, which rallied 194% following the deployment. That is the ecosystem feedback loop in action. High-performance subnets attract speculative capital, which deepens liquidity for the miners running there.

Volume backs the move. TAO’s volume-to-market-cap ratio is sitting between 17% and 19%, with over $254 million traded in 24 hours. That is not a thin order book pump. That is real participation.

When subnet tokens outperform the parent chain like this, it typically signals the start of an application layer season for the protocol. That is the next phase traders are positioning for.

TAO Crypto Price Analysis: Can Bulls Breach $300?

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TAO is consolidating at $277.49, just below the $300 psychological level. Structure stays bullish as long as $250 holds.

The 46% impulse already flushed weak hands. OI is building. Traders are positioning for a breakout.

Bittensor (TAO)
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Bull case: daily close above $300 opens $350. Grayscale ETF filing provides the fundamental narrative. Volume needs to stay above $250 million daily to keep the momentum alive.

Bear case: rejection at $300 retests $240. If the broader altcoin recovery stalls, TAO could chop sideways for weeks. Watch $265 closely. Lose that level and the immediate breakout setup is invalidated.

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The post Bittensor (TAO) Crypto Surges 46% as Covenant-72B Launch Triggers Subnet Explosion appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Bitcoin ETFs on Track to Turn Positive YTD as XRP Rebounds

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Bitcoin ETFs on Track to Turn Positive YTD as XRP Rebounds

US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) extended their inflow streak to seven consecutive days, marking the longest run since October 2025.

Spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs added $199.4 million on Monday, bringing their seven-day streak to around $1.2 billion, according to data from SoSoValue. The latest inflows suggest continued institutional interest, though total inflows remain far below the roughly $6 billion seen during the October 2025 run.

Total trading volumes fell to $2.6 billion on Monday, while total assets under management in Bitcoin ETFs climbed to $96.7 billion. Net year-to-date flows remain negative, following $1.8 billion in cumulative monthly outflows and $1.7 billion in cumulative inflows.

The ETF rebound has coincided with broader strength in crypto investment products, which drew about $2.7 billion over three straight weeks, lifting year-to-date inflows to roughly $1.2 billion, according to CoinShares.

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Daily spot Bitcoin ETF inflows from March 9–March 17, 2026, versus Sept. 29–Oct. 9, 2025. Source: SoSoValue

XRP funds post first gains after eight-day losing streak

Spot altcoin ETFs also saw a broad uptick, led by Ether (ETH) with $138.3 million in inflows, the largest since March 4. Solana (SOL) followed the trend with $17.8 million in inflows, also the biggest since March 4.

XRP (XRP) stood out with $4.64 million inflows, the first gains since March 4. The ETFs saw $56.8 million outflows in the period from March 5-16.

Daily XRP ETF flows from March 4–March 17, 2026. Source: SoSoValue

Despite $33.5 million in outflows so far in March, XRP ETFs remain in the green year-to-date, supported by $73.7 million in inflows during January and February.

Solana leads all crypto ETFs year-to-date with $223 million in net inflows.

Related: Bernstein says Bitcoin rebound reflects more resilient long-term holder base

In contrast, Ether ETFs remain underwater, with $364.5 million in year-to-date outflows, following $358.5 million in inflows in March and $723 million in outflows during the first two months of the year.

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Magazine: Spot Bitcoin ETFs first green week, crypto ATM losses surge 33%: Hodler’s Digest, Mar. 8 – 14