Sen. Cynthia Lummis says the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act “must be completed by the end of the year,” with Republicans planning a late‑April Banking Committee markup after months of delay.

Senator Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) delivered her clearest deadline yet for the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act on Wednesday, declaring during discussions reported by crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett that the landmark cryptocurrency market structure bill “must be completed by the end of the year” — regardless of the obstacles that have repeatedly delayed its progress. Lummis also revealed that the Republican side of the Senate Banking Committee is planning to initiate the bill’s markup process in late April, after the Easter holiday recess.​

The remarks represent a significant hardening of Lummis’s posture on the CLARITY Act — formally the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act — which has been the most consequential piece of pending crypto legislation in Congress since the passage of the GENIUS Act stablecoin law in July 2025. Lummis, who chairs the Senate Subcommittee on Digital Assets, has been the bill’s most prominent champion, framing it as essential to U.S. leadership in digital finance and arguing that it would establish regulatory protections that future administrations could not easily reverse.​

The late-April markup timeline is more concrete than any previously announced. Earlier in the year, the Banking Committee had scheduled a markup for January only to pull it the day before, after Lummis acknowledged that the bill needed further agreement — particularly around the concerns of banks and credit unions worried about stablecoin-driven deposit outflows. The delay prompted open frustration from Lummis, who had urged Democratic colleagues not to retreat from months of bipartisan progress.

With the GENIUS Act already signed into law and its implementing regulations now under OCC review, the CLARITY Act represents the remaining pillar of what the industry has long called a comprehensive U.S. digital asset regulatory framework. Lummis has set a year-end deadline. Whether Washington can hold to it — in a legislative calendar already crowded by geopolitical crises and a contentious Fed cycle — will determine whether 2026 becomes the year crypto finally gets its rules.

Pi has morphed from a hyped IOU into a battered $0.18 L1; 2026’s open mainnet will decide whether it earns real usage or just fuels another round of unlocked sell pressure.

Pi Network (PI) has moved from a hyped IOU narrative to a battered, liquid L1 asset trading around the mid‑$0.17–$0.18 range, with its next leg entirely dependent on whether the 2026 open mainnet phase actually delivers real usage instead of just unlocked sell pressure. Treat it like any other high‑beta alt: structurally cheap on optics, structurally dangerous on tokenomics and execution risk.

Where Pi Trades Now

Pi sits near $0.18 with a market cap around $1.7–1.8 billion, down sharply from its speculative IOU blow‑off in 2022 when prices briefly printed triple‑digit wicks on thin order books. Recent price action tells you everything: the token rallied roughly 80–90% into late February–mid March 2026 toward $0.30, then faded back toward $0.20 as momentum stalled and RSI divergences flashed. Unlocks are biting – the token has logged several sessions near its all‑time low area as supply from long‑time “miners” meets underwhelming demand on centralized venues. Liquidity is decent but not deep enough to absorb aggressive distribution from a 10‑figure fully diluted supply without persistent slippage.

What Actually Changes In 2026

The core fundamental catalyst is the move toward an “open mainnet” with real transactions, dApps and stricter KYC/security, after years of closed‑ecosystem promises. The team is rolling out enhanced verification (KYC, palm‑print, AI checks) and has cleared roughly 2.5 million users for migration, crucial to get coins off the grey zone and into a compliant, transferable state. A broader 2026 roadmap ties this to supporting real‑world finance integrations and payments, but so far the market has treated each technical milestone (like the Pi Launchpad testnet) as a sell‑the‑news event rather than a re‑rating trigger.

Price Scenarios: 2026–2030

External models cluster Pi’s fair‑value band for the next few years somewhere between “modest grind” and “permanent underperformance.” Gate.io’s internal work sees an average near $0.20 for 2026, with a rough range between about $0.16 and $0.27 – effectively where it is already trading. Other forecasters project that, if the ecosystem scales and listings proliferate, Pi could grind into the low single digits by 2030, with some estimates around $2.50–$3.50 under constructive conditions. Those paths assume three things that are not yet proven: successful open mainnet, sustained user activity beyond mining, and a crypto macro environment that rewards L1 risk instead of choking it.

Verdict: Trade The Range, Don’t Worship The Narrative

For now, Pi looks like a liquid, range‑bound beta play rather than a structural compounder. Bulls get a clear technical invalidation: hold above the mid‑$0.17 pivot and reclaim the $0.23–$0.25 resistance band, and the market can start repricing toward the psychological $0.30–$0.40 area on any mainnet or listing surprise. Bears lean on the opposite logic: continued unlocks plus weak on‑chain usage send Pi into a slow bleed, with each rally sold by early miners finally getting exit liquidity. In this tape, smart money treats Pi as an event‑driven trade around roadmap milestones and macro risk cycles, not as a religion – position small, respect liquidity, and assume volatility is the rule, not the exception.

Large XRP holders added 200 million tokens over two weeks, quietly building their stack even as the price failed to hold $1.50.

XRP has pulled back under $1.50 after briefly surpassing $1.60 yesterday, with a popular analyst saying the token now sits at a critical decision point and that a single piece of legislation could determine whether it breaks higher.

According to EGRAG CRYPTO, the CLARITY Act is the primary catalyst standing between XRP’s current price and a potential run past the $1.65 to $1.70 resistance band they dubbed “Zone 1.”

An Ascending Triangle With One Condition Attached

In their analysis, posted on X on March 18, EGRAG pointed out that XRP was forming an ascending triangle just below the $1.65-$1.70 range.

This is a pattern that usually leads to upward breakouts, and, according to the analyst, it shows rising lows, which would suggest that buyers were stepping in. The chart also showed that resistance has so far been flat, meaning that liquidity is concentrated above the current level.

EGRAG estimated that there is a 65% chance the XRP price will break above Zone 1, mainly due to structure and building compressions. However, the other 35% points to a rejection or fakeout, which they believe could happen if the CLARITY Act is postponed.

The Ripple token has gone up about 6.5% in the last seven days, with a range stretching from $1.37 to $1.60. That breakout happened around the same time as a buildup in derivatives positioning, as revealed by CryptoQuant contributor Amr Taha. According to him, XRP’s open interest delta rose by $16 million on March 13 and another $18 million on March 16, with the second wave coming just before the cryptocurrency’s jump above $1.50.

Whale activity followed suit, with chartist Ali Martinez reporting that large addresses had added 200 million XRP in the last two weeks, bringing their total from 10.88 billion to 11.08 billion.

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But despite all this, XRP was rejected at $1.60, and was trading near $1.45 at the time of writing, a price that another market watcher, Tara, stated they were closely monitoring, referring to it as the macro 0.618 Fibonacci support level.

What Zone 1 Doesn’t Unlock

EGRAG’s analysis made it clear what the $1.65 to $1.70 zone can trigger, as well as what it cannot deliver on its own. According to them, while breaking above that range would be a meaningful technical event, getting to the next level at $2.60 and beyond requires additional conditions.

These include institutional flows or ETF-style exposures, stable BTC prices, or a drop in the number one cryptocurrency’s dominance, as well as weekly XRP closes above the $1.85-$2.00 band.

The CLARITY Act itself is moving, with negotiations possibly concluding as early as next week, according to investor Paul Barron. U.S. President Donald Trump had publicly blamed banks for holding the bill back in order to protect their deposit base.

Key takeaways:

• Spot market demand through US-listed ETFs and Strategy buying BTC supports Bitcoin’s bullish momentum.

• Low leverage among Bitcoin bulls reduces the risk of cascading liquidations even if prices drop another 5%.

• Rising inflation concerns negatively impact fixed-income returns, paving the way for an eventual rotation from gold into Bitcoin.

Bitcoin (BTC) faced a 7% correction after flirting with the $76,000 level on Tuesday. The downturn followed a decline in the US stock market after oil prices surged due to Israel attacking Iran’s largest gas processing facility and the US producer price index rising above expectations.

Despite the recent losses, there is no indication that Bitcoin’s bullish momentum has faded, given how the S&P 500 and US Treasuries have behaved amid worsening macroeconomic conditions. Additionally, Bitcoin bulls have avoided excessive leverage, reducing the risks of cascading liquidations.

The S&P 500 index traded merely 4% below its all-time high on Wednesday despite recent weak US job market data and continued pressure from the ongoing war in Iran. The US reported continued jobless claims relatively steady at 1.85 million in the week ending March 7. On Wednesday, the US announced that wholesale prices gained 3.4% in February versus the prior year, the largest gain in 12 months.

As oil prices jumped above $98, investors became more convinced that the US Federal Reserve will not be able to ease monetary policy throughout 2026. CME FedWatch Tool showed that odds for a steady interest rate by September plummeted to 42% on Wednesday, from 89% one month prior, according to implied odds on futures markets.

Bitcoin under pressure as prolonged war risks heighten investors’ risk aversion

Sticky inflation and the prospect of a prolonged war reduced the odds of economic stimulus focused on expansion, causing investors to avoid risk. However, there is no reason to believe that traders anticipate an imminent crash, at least judging by how interest rates are priced relative to inflation expectations.

The 2-year Treasury yield traded at 3.71% on Wednesday, while the Cleveland FED 2-year inflation expectation stood at 2.27%, resulting in a 1.44% adjusted return. During periods of extreme fear, higher demand for government bonds tends to result in near zero or negative returns. Conversely, a lack of confidence in US monetary policy can push the indicator to 2.5% or above.

Even if Bitcoin drops another 5% in the upcoming weeks, there is no indication of excessive leverage demand from bulls, meaning low risk of cascading liquidations. Recent bullish momentum has been supported by the spot market, especially through US-listed spot Bitcoin ETF accumulation and Strategy’s (MSTR) aggressive buying activity.

CoinGlass estimates that $450 million worth of leveraged long Bitcoin futures would be forcefully terminated down to $68,000, representing less than 1% of the current $49 billion aggregate open interest. The Bitcoin perpetual futures funding rate confirms that bears are becoming overconfident as demand for leverage on short positions has increased.

Related: 74% of institutions expect crypto prices to rise in 12 months–Survey

A negative funding rate means shorts are the ones paying to keep their positions open. More importantly, the indicator stood below the neutral 6% to 12% range even as Bitcoin price surged above $76,000, reinforcing the thesis of spot demand sustaining momentum rather than speculation using derivatives markets.

Gold prices dropped to $4,900 on Wednesday, showing signs of exhaustion after holding levels above $4,800 for four weeks. An eventual rotation out of gold could be the trigger for a sustained Bitcoin rally, especially as inflation concerns negatively impact expected returns for fixed-income assets. Overall, there is little indication that Bitcoin’s current bullish momentum has faded.