Crypto World
2 Bullish Signals for Ripple’s XRP Despite Ongoing Correction
The negative ETF streak finally came to an end, which is the first good sign for XRP.
Ripple’s native cross-border token was rejected at over $1.60 yesterday and has dropped by over 10% since that local peak to $1.45 as of press time.
Nevertheless, there are a couple of positive signs for its short-term price movements, including the reactivation of whale wallets.
2 Bullish Signs
The spot XRP ETFs in the United States had entered their worst streak in terms of consecutive daily net outflows (or lack of any flows) that lasted nearly two straight weeks – from March 5, when investors pulled out just over $6 million, to March 16, when the withdrawals were just shy of that number. In the meantime, there were two days with zero reportable activity.
However, that negative trend was finally broken yesterday as the funds attracted $4.64 million – the highest single-day figure since March 3. As such, the total net inflows have remained above $1.2 billion.
The second positive news for the XRP Army comes from whales. After a prolonged period of lack of any substantial activity, these large market participants have resumed their accumulation spree. Citing data from Santiment, Ali Martinez asserted that they have bought 200 million tokens in the past two weeks. In terms of USD, this stash is worth roughly $300 million at current prices.
200 million $XRP have been bought by whales in the last two weeks! pic.twitter.com/sMQNef3VZN
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) March 18, 2026
XRP Price Rejected
Yesterday’s positive net inflow day for the ETFs, aligned with the accumulation from whales and the overall market-wide resurgence, led to an impressive rally for XRP. The token surpassed BNB in terms of market cap after it jumped to a monthly high of around $1.63.
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Although analysts began praising the move and setting new big targets ahead, XRP was rejected at that point and driven south by over 10%. It currently struggles to remain above $1.45. This correction comes despite the recent expansion news from the company behind the asset, as well as the fact that the top traders on Binance have been “quietly buying XRP long positions,” according to data from popular analyst CW.
Binance top traders are quietly buying $XRP long positions. pic.twitter.com/01QV7hj7AC
— CW (@CW8900) March 18, 2026
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The Kingdom of Bhutan has transferred over $72.3 million in Bitcoin (BTC) from its wallets over the last 24 hours, as it continues to sell portions of its holdings.
Druk Holding and Investments (DHI), a state-owned investment company that manages the country’s Bitcoin mining operations and crypto investments, has moved more than 973 BTC over the past 24 hours, in six separate transactions, according to Arkham Intelligence.
DHI also moved more than 175 BTC, valued at $11.8 million, on March 10. “Bhutan periodically sells portions of its Bitcoin in clips of $5 million to $10 million, with a particularly heavy period of selling around mid-late September 2025,” Arkham said.
The landlocked South Asian country has adopted a national Bitcoin Development Pledge, which aims to support the Kingdom of Bhutan’s long-term economic development through its Bitcoin stash and mining operations. In December, the Kingdom said it will tap into 10,000 BTC from its stash to help build its special administrative region, the Gelephu Mindfulness City (GMC).
That leaves Bhutan holding more than 4,400 BTC, valued at over $322 million using current market prices, according to data compiled by Arkham.
Wallet addresses controlled by Bhutan have not seen BTC inflows greater than $100 million in over a year, Arkham said, raising speculation that the country has ceased or curtailed its mining operations.
Cointelegraph sought comment from DHI about its Bitcoin mining operations, but did not receive a response by the time of publication.
The country made headlines in 2024 and 2025 for mining BTC using renewable energy sources, establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve, and adopting pro-crypto regulations.
Related: Bhutan moves $11.8M in BTC from its national stash: Arkham
Bhutan has significantly downsized its holdings since 2024
Bhutan transferred more than 284 BTC in February, valued at over $22 million, amid a broad crypto market downturn that has dragged on since the October 2025 market crash.
The crash took the price of BTC to a low of $60,000, down by over 50% from its all-time high of about $126,000, before a limited recovery to current price levels.
Bhutan held about 13,295 BTC in October 2024, when its holdings peaked, and has been selling BTC from its reserve since that time, according to Arkham Intelligence.
The 13,295 BTC reserve would have been worth over $1.6 billion at the all-time high price reached in October 2025, immediately before the market crash.
Magazine: AI may already use more power than Bitcoin — and it threatens Bitcoin mining
Bitcoin financial services firm Fold reported an 8% surge in revenue in Q4 to $9 million as it gained another 2,000 customers and rolled out more products aimed at integrating Bitcoin reward schemes into consumer spending.
The results come just weeks after it released a Fold Bitcoin Rewards Credit Card, a Visa and Stripe-powered product, offering users cashback and rewards.
During Fold’s Q4 and 2025 full-year earnings call on Tuesday, CEO Will Reeves said they believe that “Bitcoin rewards will overtake the airline miles as the preferred consumer reward in the US.”
“That means that these card programs and our card program needs to scale to millions of cardholders,” Reeves said, adding that better risk and fraud controls must be implemented before it can “really open the floodgates” for mass adoption.
Coinbase, Gemini, Swan Bitcoin and River Financial are among the other crypto platforms offering Bitcoin (BTC) credit card rewards in the US.
Despite the optimism, Fold recorded a 3% year-on-year fall in transaction volume to $215 million and an operating loss of $6 million, contributing to a full-year net loss of $69.6 million for 2025, the company reported in its latest financial statement.
However, Reeves said Fold still hit its goals in its first full year as a public company, stating:
“We continued to add customers and expand our platform while building the foundation to scale a Bitcoin-native financial services ecosystem across multiple interconnected product lines.”
Fold’s more recent products include Fold for Business, enabling companies to include Bitcoin in payroll, bonuses, and corporate financial programs.
One of its most notable partners is Steak ‘n Shake, which accepts Bitcoin and pays employees bonuses in Bitcoin.
Reeves noted that Fold has strengthened its balance sheet by “extinguishing our two outstanding convertible debt instruments.”
This “removes structural overhang and directs financing solely to the growth of our operating businesses,” he said.
“With the credit card now live, the launch of an enterprise product, and a cleaner capital structure in place, 2026 is about scaling what we’ve built across customer acquisition, engagement, cross-sell, and retention.”
Fold has been selling Bitcoin
Despite Reeves’ confidence for the remainder of 2026, Fold has nearly sliced its Bitcoin treasury in half.
Its holdings, which stood at 1,527 BTC at the end of last year, have dropped to 827 BTC as of March 17.
FLD shares continue to slide
The Bitcoin selloff comes as Fold (FLD) shares have now fallen 59% so far in 2026 and 83.8% over the last 12 months, Google Finance data shows.
Related: Bitcoiner Jack Mallers vows not to let Twenty One distract from Strike
FLD rose in after-hours on Tuesday after its results came out, increasing 13.4% to $1.27.
However, the company’s shares then fell 4.46% on Wednesday, sending its share price back to $1.07.
Magazine: Big Questions: Can Bitcoin save you from the dreaded Cantillon Effect?
A California court on Wednesday dismissed a Coinbase user’s attempt to block an IRS summons for his financial records, in at least the second such case in the past year to fail to reach trial.
Roger Metz filed a petition in the Northern District of California in May 2025 to quash an IRS summons ordering Coinbase to hand over his financial records in connection with an audit of his 2022 federal tax return.
His lawyers argued the summons violated his privacy rights, was overbroad and failed to meet basic administrative requirements.
Metz’s lawyers also contended that by the time the IRS issued the summons in 2024, he had already identified the error himself, filed an amended return, and paid the additional tax owed.
US District Judge Araceli Martínez-Olguín ruled against Metz on Wednesday, finding that he had failed to notify the required government officials of the petition within the 90-day window and dismissed the case on procedural grounds.
Under the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure, defendants must be formally notified of lawsuits to ensure they receive notice and the opportunity to respond. In this case, suing the federal government required notifying three parties within 90 days of filing: the local US Attorney for the district, the US Attorney General in Washington, D.C., and the specific agency being challenged.
Case dismissed over “insufficient service of process”
Metz acknowledged serving the US Attorney’s Office for the Northern District of California and the IRS, but admitted he did not notify the US Attorney General in Washington within the 90-day deadline, according to the court documents. Government lawyers argued it was sufficient grounds for dismissal.
“In his opposition brief, Metz does not offer any explanation for his failure to serve the United States within 90 days after filing his petition, much less that he had good cause,” Judge Martínez-Olguín said in her ruling.
“Dismissal of a case is proper when there is insufficient service of process,” she added.
The case was dismissed without prejudice, meaning Metz could file the same petition again at a later date.
Exchanges are required to share user data with tax agencies
Major crypto exchanges are legally required to collect user information and report the taxable income to the IRS, according to Miles Brooks, the director of tax strategy at tax software company CoinLedger.
Related: SEC Chair explains why NFTs fall outside of securities laws
The agency can also issue “John Doe Summons,” which are used to identify large groups of unidentified taxpayers by legally compelling crypto exchanges to turn over records for customers within specific parameters, such as those who transacted $20,000 or more between 2016 and 2020.
In a related case last year, James Harper accused the IRS of violating his Fourth Amendment rights after the agency used a John Doe Summons to collect his data from a crypto exchange. The Supreme Court declined to hear his case.
Magazine: Clarity Act risks repeat of Europe’s mistakes, crypto lawyer warns
Blockchain prediction markets platform Polymarket is acquiring Brahma, a crypto startup that provides decentralized finance (DeFi) infrastructure.
“As part of this transition, our team will dedicate itself to evolving Polymarket’s stack and product suite,” Brahma stated in an announcement on Wednesday.
Brahma, founded in 2021, says it has processed over $1 billion in volume and may be used by Polymarket to reduce friction around wallet creation, deposits, and token redemptions.
The acquisition could also bring more liquidity to niche, low-volume prediction markets on Polymarket.
“Building reliable infrastructure across blockchain networks and traditional financial rails is hard—there are no shortcuts,” Shayne Coplan, founder and CEO of Polymarket, told Fortune.
He added that the Brahma team has shown it can design, operate and scale complex products for sophisticated users. Financial details of the acquisition were not disclosed at the time.
Brahma to wind down products
In its four years of operation, Brahma has developed three main products: Strategy Vaults for automated DeFi strategies; Brahma Accounts, smart accounts for DeFi users; and Swype.fun, a Visa card linked to DeFi positions for real-world spending.
The firm stated that each product will be wound down over the next 30 days as the acquisition proceeds.
Related: Prediction markets boom on Iran bets as Congress eyes ban
Polymarket has quickly grown to a reported $20 billion valuation amid rapid growth in prediction markets.
Polymarket acquisition spree continues
Polymarket has continued to invest in expansion despite a broader crypto market decline and a surge in interest in AI.
The company announced on March 10 that it was partnering with Palantir Technologies and TWG AI to develop an AI-powered sports integrity platform.
It also acquired Y Combinator-backed startup Dome in February, which provides developer tools for prediction markets, and Lunch, a boutique firm specializing in recruiting and assembling teams for tech startups.
However, the platform has faced resistance across the globe, most recently in Argentina, over its unregulated gambling markets and war bets.
Magazine: Metaplanet’s Japan Bitcoin bet, Bithumb ordered suspension: Asia Express
Hyperliquid price rallied over 20% in the past seven days, reclaiming $40 as support, driven by record commodities trading activity on its perpetual futures markets.
Summary
- Hyperliquid price rose over 20% in a week, reclaiming $40 support amid record trading volumes in commodity perpetual futures like oil and silver.
- Whale activity surged, with over $3.6 billion in leveraged positions boosting liquidity and supporting continued price momentum.
- Bullish technical indicators and strong inflows signal potential upside, with $50 as the next key resistance and all-time highs in focus.
According to data from crypto.news, Hyperliquid (HYPE) price rallied 22% to a four-month high of $42.1 on Wednesday, March 18, before stabilizing around $41.3 at the time of writing. At this price, it remains up over 38% in the past month and 100% above its year-to-date low.
Hyperliquid’s price surge can primarily be attributed to record-breaking activity in commodity perpetual futures, specifically Crude Oil (WTI) and Silver, enabled through its HIP 3 framework.
On-chain data shows that oil-linked perpetual contracts on Hyperliquid surpassed $1.2 billion in 24-hour trading volume, making them the second most traded assets on the platform after Bitcoin.
Another major catalyst supporting HYPE tokens’ gains is the surge in whale activity on the platform. According to recent reports, whales have positioned at least $3.6 billion in positions across its leveraged markets. This, in turn, increased the liquidity and market depth, creating a virtuous cycle for further price appreciation.
Adding another layer of utility, Hyperliquid has become a 24/7 macro barometer for traders seeking to hedge or speculate on oil and metals prices that have soared to record highs amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Traditional markets like the CME and ICE remain closed during weekends and holidays.
Meanwhile, the surge in the platform’s trading fees driven by this commodity frenzy is fueling expectations of increased token buybacks, as the protocol is mandated to use a vast majority of revenue to support the HYPE token via its Assistance Fund.
On the daily chart, Hyperliquid price seems to be rising within an ascending parallel channel pattern, a popular bullish continuation pattern in technical analysis.
Amidst its recent surge, HYPE price has surpassed its Feb. 3 high of $38.4, which had been acting as a stubborn resistance level.
Technical indicators seem to confirm this strength. Notably, the Aroon Up showed a reading of 100% in comparison to a 14.29% reading on its down counterpart, a sign that the uptrend is exceptionally strong and trending toward new highs.
At the same time, the Chaikin Money Flow index showed a positive reading of 0.16. Positive readings on this metric indicate that buying pressure is dominant and that capital is flowing steadily into the asset.
Hence, the path of least resistance for Hyperliquid price suggests a potential rally past the $50 psychological resistance.
A sharp break above this key resistance amid strong bullish momentum could push prices towards its all-time high of $59.30, especially if the ongoing tensions in the Middle East continue to drive traders toward decentralized commodity markets over the coming weeks.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Crypto World
Solana Price Prediction: DeepSnitch AI Frenzy Takes Over Traders As March 31 Launch Approaches, SOL Challenges $95 and ETH Bulls Eye $2.6K
Two Democratic lawmakers introduced the BETS OFF Act this week, aiming to put an end to insider government information being used in prediction markets related to the US-Iran conflict.
With government officials once again pushing back against prediction markets, the retail sector is primarily focused on the market-wide recovery. The Solana price prediction is gaining a lot of attention as SOL prepares to challenge the $95 resistance, but those looking to achieve higher returns are already rotating into the DeepSnitch AI presale.
Securing $2.2M ahead of its March 31 launch, the DeepSnitch AI community is confident in the project’s 100x-300x potential.
BETS OFF Act to crack down on insider trading
On March 17, Greg Casar and Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy introduced the Banning Event Trading on Sensitive Operations and Federal Functions Act that targets prediction market accounts that place bets that could indicate insider information.
Casar was blunt, saying that decisions about war and peace, life and death, should not be driven by financial positions riding on the outcome.
California Senator Adam Schiff’s DEATH BETS Act, introduced last week (targets event contracts related to war, terrorism, assassination, and individual deaths), which deepened the controversy after a military correspondent received death threats tied to resolving a Polymarket prediction.
Both Polymarket and Kalshi are logging high volumes as they navigate growing regulatory pressure.
Many traders are steering clear of prediction markets, though, and still prefer tracking the Solana price prediction and exploring presale projects like DeepSnitch AI.
Coins you should keep an eye on in March
1. DeepSnitch AI: The highest upside opportunity in 2026?
Although the Solana price prediction is finally showing signs of life, DeepSnitch AI is making rounds due to its unique offering that brings potential gains and solves existing problems for traders.
For starters, the project raised $2.2M at $0.04487, and the trending launch is confirmed for March 31. However, utility is still the star of the show.
Powered by five AI agents, the analytics platform includes multiple life-saving and advantage-centric features, such as a risk scanner and a real-time sentiment and FUD tracker.
These two alone are worth your time as the risk scanner will help you avoid rug pulls and honeypots, while tracking sentiment assists you in finding the perfect time to exit a position.
Two weeks away from launch, and 41.7 million DSNT tokens have been staked, and with the conviction reaching its pinnacle, traders are convinced the toolset behind the project will lead to mass adoption and ensure the project’s long-term growth.
FOMO for DeepSnitch AI is quickly building as the entry room shrinks and traders continue throwing out 100x-300x predictions, much more than any realistic short-term SOL price target can get you.
2. Solana price prediction: Will SOL close above $95?
According to CoinMarketCap, SOL hovered right below the $95 breakdown level on March 18.
This line will determine the short-term Solana market outlook. Closing above will allow recovery to $117.
Yet, since the bear market has deepened, the Solana forecast 2026 is unlikely to be clear-cut, and SOL will pull back from the test of $117.
If it holds $95 after the breakdown, the bullish case will remain in play, putting the SOL price target at $147.
Those watching the Solana price prediction are also fearing an extended correction, which could happen if SOL plummets below $87.
3. Ethereum price prediction: ETH at $2.4K next?
Ethereum started climbing up from $2.3K on March 18, according to CoinMarketCap.
Similar to the Solana price prediction, ETH is quite close to breaking out, and the consolidation is slowly turning into a bullish crossover.
The path to $2.6K is open, and on the technical level, the $3.45K as the extended target.
Bears could still muck up the chart if the price closes below the 20-day EMA around $2K, as it will likely lead to a decline to $1.9K.
Final words: Maintain the momentum
Despite prediction market warfare deepening on a regulatory level, the last few days were surprisingly bullish for traders. The Solana price showing potential is one of the clearest signs, for instance.
However, volatility could still come back to erase the gains, which is why the best way to maintain the bullish momentum is to capitalize on DeepSnitch AI’s March 31 launch.
You can even take it a step beyond and go for bullish wins by participating in the exclusive bonus program (applicable until TGE) and apply DSNTVIP300 at your $30K+ allocations to unlock 300% extra tokens.
Make this count – join the DeepSnitch AI presale and become a part of the community discourse on X or Telegram.
FAQs
1. What is the Solana price prediction, and what levels matter most right now?
SOL is pressing the critical $95 resistance level. A clean break above it targets $117 first, then $147 if $95 holds on any pullback.
2. What is the BETS OFF Act, and what does it mean for prediction markets?
The BETS OFF Act is legislation introduced by Representative Greg Casar and Senator Chris Murphy targeting prediction market accounts that allegedly used insider government information to bet on the US-Iran conflict.
3. Why is DeepSnitch AI grabbing attention right now?
DeepSnitch AI has announced a March 31 launch, and since the project offers a unique approach to AI-sourced trading analytics and provides daily usability, traders are anticipating the project to pump by 100x-300x.
The post Solana Price Prediction: DeepSnitch AI Frenzy Takes Over Traders As March 31 Launch Approaches, SOL Challenges $95 and ETH Bulls Eye $2.6K appeared first on Blockonomi.
Crypto World
Dogecoin Price Prediction Turns Bullish, but Smart Money Is Moving to Pepeto for the Returns That DOGE Cannot Deliver, Here is Why
Peter Brandt believes Ethereum might have bottomed out at $2,300, targeting $4,000. The dogecoin price prediction for 2026 has turned bullish as DOGE reclaims its footing after months of correction.
But while the dogecoin price prediction plays out from a $15 billion cap, the wallets building real wealth have moved to early projects with room for exponential growth.
According to analyst ARI ZAIM, the Dogecoin price has been trading inside a descending channel since September, and a breakout could push the price to $0.116 according to CoinGecko.
In the long run, ARI ZAIM expects the Dogecoin price to rally to $0.280. DOGE climbed 5.9% on the weekly timeframe to $0.100, and the 200 SMA at $0.152 is the next major target according to CoinGecko. The dogecoin price prediction is building on real signals, but even the bullish case delivers growth measured in percentages from $15 billion.
Dogecoin Price Prediction and the Early Projects With 100X Potential Before Their Listings Arrive
Smart Money Is Tapping Into Pepeto While the Dogecoin Price Prediction Plays Out Slowly at $15 Billion
While some investors are still watching the dogecoin price prediction move candle by candle, the wallets building real wealth have moved into early projects with room for exponential growth. One project pulling that capital is Pepeto. It has attracted a growing community of holders with its zero fee exchange and cross chain tools, raising more than $8.1 million in presale funding.
The token is priced at $0.000000186, giving every new holder an entry that large cap meme coins stopped offering years ago. The Pepeto token is central to the entire ecosystem. Holders earn 196% APY staking rewards that compound daily, and the token powers every transaction across PepetoSwap. With a 420 trillion supply matching Pepe and three working products built, this token could deliver the kind of returns the dogecoin price prediction simply cannot promise from $15 billion.
Holders who enter the Pepeto ecosystem get access to three tools that work together. PepetoSwap handles every trade at zero cost, the bridge moves tokens across Ethereum, BNB Chain, and Solana for nothing, and the risk scorer flags dangerous contracts before your capital goes near them. Together, they form a complete trading layer that protects your money, moves it across chains, and scores every new token before you decide to enter.
The SolidProof audit was completed before the presale opened, the cofounder of the original Pepe coin leads the project, and the Binance listing is approaching. Given the working tools, the original team, and an entry that disappears at listing, Pepeto might be the early project that delivers returns Pepeto offers far more than the dogecoin price prediction delivers in 2026.
Dogecoin Price Prediction: DOGE Targets $0.116 Breakout With $0.280 as the Long Term Goal
DOGE trades at $0.094 with a $15.96 billion market cap according to CoinMarketCap. The descending channel breakout targets $0.110, and if buying pressure holds, the long term target sits at $0.280.
Technical analysis shows bulls gaining control with the RSI climbing.
Monad Approaches Two Month Resistance but Needs a Clear Breakout Above $0.025
Monad climbed 10.2% on the weekly chart to $0.024 and now it’s trading around $0.023, approaching a two month resistance at $0.025 according to CoinGecko.
The RSI at 68 shows buying pressure building. A break above could open a path to $0.030, but unproven fundamentals and low liquidity make it speculative.
A Bullish Dogecoin Price Prediction Offers Comfort but Imagine What Pepeto Does After It Actually Lists on Binance
A bullish dogecoin price prediction is comforting after a correction, but the real energy has shifted toward early projects like Pepeto that offer tools DOGE never built and an entry price DOGE can never offer again. Pepeto has raised over $8.1 million while the market corrected, proving that capital flows into real products even when the Fear Index sits at 37.
Imagine how far it goes after the Binance listing puts it in front of millions of traders who have never seen it.
Click To Visit Pepeto Website To Enter The Presale
FAQs
What is the dogecoin price prediction for 2026?
The dogecoin price prediction shows a breakout to $0.110 with a long term target of $0.280 based on the descending channel pattern.
Why are dogecoin price prediction followers looking at Pepeto?
DOGE at $15 billion delivers percentages. Pepeto is still in presale with a Binance listing approaching and 196% APY staking live.
Is Pepeto a good early project to buy before the listing?
More than $8.1 million raised, SolidProof audit, original Pepe coin team, and working tools built. Visit the Pepeto official website.
The post Dogecoin Price Prediction Turns Bullish, but Smart Money Is Moving to Pepeto for the Returns That DOGE Cannot Deliver, Here is Why appeared first on Blockonomi.
Bitcoin slips to $72.3k as the Strait of Hormuz conflict spikes oil, U.S. inflation runs hot, and traders slash Fed cut bets, pressuring crypto and stocks.
Summary
- Strait of Hormuz closure sends oil above $100, adding fresh inflation pressure before it even hits official data.
- Hot U.S. PPI print forces traders to reprice 2026 Fed cuts, pushing equity futures and Bitcoin lower in a correlated risk-off move.
- Elevated energy prices, sticky core inflation and an entrenched Gulf conflict leave the near-term path for crypto and other risk assets highly uncertain.
Cryptocurrency markets came under sharp pressure on Wednesday as two converging macro forces — an escalating military conflict centered on the Strait of Hormuz and a worse-than-expected U.S. inflation print — sent Bitcoin tumbling to approximately $72,300, a 24-hour decline of roughly 2%. Ethereum, Solana, and XRP each fell close to 3%, dragging the broader digital asset market into a broad risk-off retreat that also hit equity futures.
The geopolitical backdrop has been deteriorating since late February, when U.S. and Israeli forces launched coordinated strikes on Iran — killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei — triggering retaliatory missile campaigns across Gulf states and an effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. As of mid-March, tanker traffic through the strait had dropped by approximately 70%, with over 150 vessels anchored outside the chokepoint. The IRGC has since confirmed more than 21 attacks on merchant ships, and Iran’s new supreme leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, has vowed to maintain the blockade, with the IRGC navy pledging to deliver “the harshest blows” to enforce it.
The disruption of the Strait of Hormuz — through which roughly 15% of global oil supply transits — has sent energy prices soaring. On Wednesday, Brent crude broke above $104 per barrel, rising 3.22% intraday, while WTI crossed $97 per barrel. The spike compounds an already difficult inflation environment.
Data released Wednesday morning by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the Producer Price Index rose 0.7% month-on-month in February, more than double the consensus forecast of 0.3%. Core PPI — which strips out food and energy — climbed 0.5% MoM against an expected 0.3%, and rose 3.9% year-on-year. Critically, these figures do not yet reflect the surge in oil prices triggered by the Hormuz closure, meaning the inflationary pipeline is likely to worsen in coming months.
The report follows a February CPI reading that held steady at 2.4% year-on-year, but with core PCE — the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge — estimated at approximately 3.1%, well above the central bank’s 2% target. Capital Economics noted ahead of Wednesday’s PPI release that preliminary estimates already pointed to a “much firmer rise in the core PCE deflator.”
For markets, the implications are stark. Traders have now materially reduced bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, and S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures widened their declines to 0.5% following the PPI release. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) climbed 1.22 points to 23.59, reflecting rising investor anxiety ahead of the Fed’s rate decision later this week.
Bitcoin, which had been testing resistance near $74,000 in recent sessions, proved unable to hold those levels against the twin headwinds. The asset’s correlation with risk assets such as equities has reasserted itself sharply, undermining near-term narratives around its use as an inflation hedge. The Fed’s policy meeting and Chair Powell’s anticipated remarks on growth risks and price stability will now be closely watched for any signal that could shift the current trajectory.
With oil prices elevated, inflation proving stickier than models anticipated, and a military conflict showing no signs of de-escalation, the path of least resistance for risk assets — crypto included — remains uncertain at best.
The Algorand Foundation, the organization behind the Algorand layer-1 blockchain, said it had made the “difficult decision” to reduce its headcount by 25% on Wednesday, blaming the crypto slump and wider uncertainty.
“This decision was not taken lightly and is in response to the uncertain global macro environment as well as the broader downturn in crypto markets,” the Algorand Foundation said in an X post.
The Algorand Foundation said the affected employees were “best-in-class contributors” and described the decision as “incredibly tough,” adding that it would support staff through the transition.
“We believe that we now have a more sustainable alignment of Algorand Foundation resources with the protocol’s long-term business, technology, and ecosystem priorities,” the foundation added.
Algorand Foundation is gearing up for a big year ahead
The staff cuts come as the Algorand Foundation prepares for several milestones for the year ahead, including the next major release of its developer toolkit AlgoKit, the launch of the user-friendly Rocca Wallet, the development of a more robust commercial toolkit, and a focus on post-quantum security.
The Algorand Foundation said in its roadmap progress report in December 2025 that it made “significant progress” toward greater decentralization, having increased Algorand’s (ALGO) online stake from approximately 1 billion to 2 billion ALGO in just over a year.
The crypto industry has a history of cutting staff during market downturns. Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $71,067 — 44% below its October all-time high of $126,000 — after falling as low as $60,000 on Feb. 6, according to CoinMarketCap.
Related: SEC Chair explains why NFTs fall outside of securities laws
Bullish CEO Tom Farley recently predicted that the crypto sector could see more projects acquired by larger firms in the coming months, potentially leading to redundancies, layoffs, and internal restructuring.
Meanwhile, on Monday, blockchain data provider Messari announced a series of layoffs while its CEO, Eric Turner, stepped down to make way for the company’s “next phase” as an AI-first company.
During the 2022 bear market, Coinbase reduced its workforce by around 18% as Bitcoin hit two-year lows near $21,000. Around the same time, Gemini, the trading platform founded by the Winklevoss twins, reportedly cut 10% of its staff amid the broader crypto slump.
More layoffs could follow if history repeats, with veteran trader Peter Brandt predicting the crypto market may not reach its bottom until the third quarter of this year.
Magazine: Big Questions: Can Bitcoin save you from the dreaded Cantillon Effect?
Fold, the Bitcoin-focused payments and financial services firm, delivered an 8% sequential revenue gain in Q4, reaching $9 million as it added roughly 2,000 customers and expanded an array of products designed to weave Bitcoin rewards into everyday spending. The company also rolled out its Fold Bitcoin Rewards Credit Card, a Visa– and Stripe-enabled offering that promises Bitcoin-backed cashback to users and points toward broader consumer adoption of crypto-native rewards.
During Fold’s Q4 and 2025 full-year earnings call, CEO Will Reeves framed the results within a longer-term outlook: “Bitcoin rewards will overtake the airline miles as the preferred consumer reward in the US.” He emphasized that for this vision to translate into mass adoption, the card programs must scale to millions of cardholders and be supported by stronger risk and fraud controls before the model can really “open the floodgates.”
Fold’s earnings also underscore the competitive landscape in crypto rewards. With rivals including Coinbase, Gemini, Swan Bitcoin and River Financial already piloting Bitcoin-backed card programs in the US, Fold is betting on scale and product breadth to capture a larger share of a nascent but rapidly evolving market.
Nevertheless, the quarterly improvement did not erase a tough year on the metrics side. Fold reported a 3% year-over-year decline in transaction volume to $215 million, and an operating loss of $6 million for the period. Those figures contributed to a full-year 2025 net loss of $69.6 million, according to Fold’s financial statements. The company said the results reflect ongoing investments to build out a Bitcoin-native financial services ecosystem across multiple product lines, including consumer and enterprise offerings.
In a nod to its evolving capital structure, Reeves noted that Fold had extinguished two outstanding convertible debt instruments, describing the move as removing a structural overhang and directing financing toward growth initiatives rather than debt management. He outlined a plan for 2026 built around customer acquisition, engagement, cross-sell, and retention—the core levers the company believes will scale its Bitcoin-focused platform.
Beyond consumer products, Fold has been building a broader ecosystem around Bitcoin payrolls, bonuses, and corporate financial programs through Fold for Business. One notable partner cited by Fold is Steak ’n Shake, which has explored paying employees in Bitcoin and offering Bitcoin-based bonuses as part of its compensation mix. This line of effort reflects Fold’s strategy to embed Bitcoin more deeply into corporate payroll and benefits workflows, broadening the utility of the token beyond speculative holding into everyday financial operations.
On the balance sheet side, Fold has pursued a strategy of maintaining a Bitcoin treasury as a strategic asset. Yet the company has been reducing its holdings, with its treasury down to 827 BTC as of March 17, from 1,527 BTC at the end of last year. The reduction mirrors a broader trend of concentrated crypto treasuries being deployed for operating needs or risk management, and it adds a layer of complexity for investors watching Fold’s capital efficiency and liquidity alongside its growth ambitions.
Key takeaways
- Q4 revenue rises 8% to $9 million as Fold adds about 2,000 customers and expands Bitcoin-linked products, including a newly launched Bitcoin Rewards Credit Card.
- CEO Will Reeves frames Bitcoin rewards as a potential US consumer reward leader, contingent on scaling to millions of cardholders and tightening risk controls.
- Strategic shifts accompany growth: Fold extinguishes two convertible debt instruments to reduce financial overhang and focuses 2026 on scaling customer engagement and cross-sell opportunities.
- Financials show a divide between growth investments and bottom-line pressure: 2025 saw a 3% YoY drop in transaction volume to $215 million and a net loss of $69.6 million, despite revenue gains.
Fold’s expansion into Bitcoin rewards and enterprise tooling
With the Fold Bitcoin Rewards Credit Card now live, the company is aiming to convert consumer spending into Bitcoin accrual at a scale that could rival existing reward ecosystems. The card’s integration with Visa and Stripe signals an attempt to remove friction for mainstream users who want crypto rewards alongside familiar payment rails. Reeves stressed that a successful rollout hinges on risk and fraud controls that can withstand mass adoption, hinting at a compliance-first approach as a prerequisite to broader consumer rollout.
Fold’s product suite has grown beyond consumer cards. Fold for Business is designed to bring Bitcoin into payrolls, bonuses, and corporate programs, signaling a push to embed Bitcoin rewards into business workflows. Partnerships such as Steak ’n Shake illustrate a real-world test bed for how crypto incentives can translate into employee compensation and consumer engagement, a pattern other operators are watching closely as a potential model for corporate crypto compensation programs.
The competitive backdrop adds urgency. Fold sits among a growing cadre of platforms experimenting with Bitcoin-friendly cards and rewards structures, as consumer interest in crypto-backed perks persists even as the macro environment remains uncertain. The broader market’s willingness to embrace Bitcoin rewards will hinge on the reliability of issuers’ risk controls, the efficacy of KYC/AML processes, and merchants’ willingness to participate in crypto-native cashback arrangements.
Financials in focus: growth, losses, and a restructured balance sheet
On the surface, Fold’s Q4 and full-year results underline a company investing aggressively to build a broader, Bitcoin-native financial services stack. Revenue rose by 8% in the quarter, aided by new customer acquisitions and product expansion. Yet the year delivered pressure on the top line’s profitability. The company reported a 3% YoY decline in transaction volume to $215 million and an operating loss of $6 million for the period, contributing to a full-year net loss of $69.6 million for 2025.
Corporate leadership framed these numbers as the cost of building a platform tuned for scale. The extinguishment of two convertible debt instruments was presented as a turning point, eliminating a structural overhang and steering capital toward operating growth rather than financing costs. In Reeves’ words, the pathway to 2026 centers on “scaling what we’ve built across customer acquisition, engagement, cross-sell, and retention.”
From an investor relations perspective, the balance between growth investments and financial discipline remains a watch item. Fold’s ability to translate product expansion into durable, cross-sell-driven revenue will be critical, particularly as it expands into enterprise services and payroll-related offerings that could yield higher-margin revenue streams if customer adoption aligns with retention targets.
Bitcoin treasury dynamics and market reception
One notable tension in Fold’s narrative is its shrinking Bitcoin treasury. The firm’s holdings declined to 827 BTC by March 17, from 1,527 BTC at year-end, a move that has implications for both liquidity and crypto exposure management. For a company whose value proposition centers on Bitcoin-native financial services, treasury management will remain a focal point for investors who monitor balance sheet discipline alongside growth metrics.
Fold’s stock has experienced significant volatility in 2026. Data from Google Finance shows FLD down 59% year-to-date and 83.8% over the last 12 months. The company reported an after-hours surge of about 13% following earnings, only to retreat and trade around $1.07 in the subsequent session, underscoring the market’s sensitivity to both operational updates and the broader crypto funding environment.
Against this backdrop, Fold’s emphasis on Bitcoin as both an asset and a core enabler of product strategy resonates with a broader market narrative: if consumer demand for crypto rewards can be monetized at scale, a few high-quality, risk-managed programs could begin to shift mainstream consumer behavior toward crypto-augmented spending. Yet the path remains contingent on execution, risk controls, and the pace at which enterprise and consumer adoption outstrip ongoing losses.
Broader implications for crypto rewards and the consumer fintech landscape
Fold’s quarter signals a broader industry testing ground: can Bitcoin-powered rewards move from a niche product to a mainstream consumer feature? Reeves’ assertion that Bitcoin rewards could overtake airline miles points to a potential realignment of reward economics, but it requires durable merchant participation, transparent risk management, and predictable redemption dynamics. The presence of established players in the space suggests that competition will intensify, compelling Fold to demonstrate superior value through cross-sell, retention, and merchant partnerships.
Regulatory and macro factors will also shape the trajectory. As crypto-native financial services mature, issuers will need to navigate evolving oversight around consumer protections, data security, and anti-fraud controls. Fold’s emphasis on building a compliant, scalable backbone could position it favorably if it can align product milestones with rigorous risk management, especially as it expands Fold for Business and enterprise-facing offerings that bring Bitcoin into everyday corporate workflows.
In this evolving landscape, investors will be watching not only the headline revenue gains but also the quality of growth: how quickly Fold can transform user acquisition into durable engagement, how efficiently it can monetize via cross-sell across product lines, and whether treasury management can support a sustainable capital structure during an era of rapid product experimentation in crypto rewards.
For readers, the coming months will reveal how a Bitcoin-native financial services ecosystem can translate ambition into measurable scale. Watch for quarterly updates on customer growth, card activation and spend, enterprise adoption of Fold for Business, and any further refinements to risk and fraud controls that could unlock broader consumer uptake.
What remains uncertain is how quickly the market will normalize around crypto-native rewards as a mainstream consumer feature and how Fold’s strategic pivots translate into profitability. If the company can demonstrate that its product suite yields meaningful cross-sell momentum and improved capital efficiency in 2026, the roadmap may start to look less like a bet on early adopter enthusiasm and more like a blueprint for a durable, Bitcoin-centered fintech platform.
Looking ahead, Fold’s path will hinge on its ability to scale its card program, strengthen risk frameworks, and convert enterprise engagements into recurring revenue while maintaining prudent treasury management. The coming quarters should reveal whether the “Bitcoin-native” advantage can translate into durable, broad-based adoption or remain a defining but contested niche in the crypto rewards landscape.
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