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Uniswap price charts bearish crossover as network fees decline, will it crash?

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Uniswap network fees and TVL.

Uniswap price risks a drop to $3.3 in the coming sessions if it confirms a break below a key trendline support on charts.

Summary

  • Uniswap price fell to $3.85 after repeated rejection at $4.20, with a potential drop to $3.30 if key trendline support breaks.
  • Network activity weakened, with TVL falling to $3.31 billion and weekly fees dropping sharply, signaling reduced usage.
  • Bearish momentum builds as futures open interest declines and indicators turn negative, while a rebound above $4.10 could revive bullish structure.

According to data from crypto.news, Uniswap (UNI) price fell 3.8% on Wednesday, March 18, to $3.85 at the time of writing. The token fell after a series of failed attempts by bulls to break past $4.20, a resistance level that held firm at least three times this week.

Beyond the price action, Uniswap has been struggling with a significant slump in network activity. Data from DeFiLlama shows that the total value locked on the platform has plummeted to $3.31 billion, which is significantly below the $6.3 billion record set in August last year.

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At the same time, the weekly fees generated by the DeFi protocol on the network have shrunk to nearly one-fourth of the levels recorded in October.

Uniswap network fees and TVL.
Source: DeFiLlama

Demand in its futures market has also dropped, leading to a visible cooling of investor sentiment. According to data from CoinGlass, the open interest in Uniswap futures has dropped 5.8% over the past 24 hours.

The altcoin also tanked as investors turned cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve rate decision scheduled for later today. At press time, the broader crypto market had dropped 1.8% to $2.56 trillion, while Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and other major coins also printed red.

On the daily chart, the Uniswap price is on the cusp of breaking below an ascending trendline that has been acting as a dynamic support for the token since early February this year.

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UNI/USDT daily price chart.
UNI/USDT daily price chart — March 18 | Source: crypto.news

A break below this trendline support could lead bears to push for lower prices, potentially triggering a drop to the $3.3 support area where bulls previously managed to stage a recovery.

Technical indicators seem to support such a bearish outlook as they show bears gaining momentum. Notably, the Supertrend indicator has flashed red while the MACD lines are moving closer toward a bearish crossover, suggesting that the path of least resistance is currently to the downside.

However, a more nuanced outlook comes from the fact that the ascending trendline forms a part of an ascending triangle pattern on the chart with a horizontal resistance at $4.1. If Uniswap price manages to rebound above this level, it could confirm the bullish pattern and potentially end the current correction by sparking a fresh rally toward previous highs.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Crypto World

Crypto Traders Eye ‘Bullish Relief Rally’ After Fed Interest Rate Hold

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption

Crypto traders have become hopeful for a market rally after the US Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday, according to crypto sentiment platform Santiment.

However, analysts are split on whether a near-term market surge is a reliable signal for traders.

“For now, traders are expecting a bullish relief rally in spite of no changes being made,” Santiment said in an X post on Wednesday, pointing to an increase in bullish sentiment among crypto market participants on social media who are linking the Fed’s steady rates to a potential crypto rally.

The social media discussion score surged from roughly 9 to 71 in the hours after the Fed’s “expected outcome” on Wednesday to hold rates steady at 3.5-3.75%

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Fed policy is a strong catalyst for Bitcoiners

“This is likely due to the fact that the bearish price action related to the lack of cuts already occurred yesterday,” Santiment said.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption
Bitcoin is up 3.56% over the past 30 days. Source: CoinMarketCap

Fed policy has historically been a major catalyst for optimism among crypto market participants, with traders eyeing rate cuts in 2025 as a signal for a possible bull year for Bitcoin. 

However, a pause in rates can increase expectations that cuts could come next.

Several analysts said they are expecting a crypto rally, but they are divided on how long it could last.

“Bull trap” may be on the horizon

Bitcoin (BTC) onchain analyst Willy Woo recently warned that a potential “bull trap” may be forming, a false signal that Bitcoin is entering an uptrend before reversing lower.

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Bitcoin has fallen 4.35% over the past 24 hours, trading at $70,790 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap. 

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Matthew Hyland said that Bitcoin and the broader crypto market will “see a significant rally” once the stock market finds its low and rebounds. The S&P 500 has fallen 3.73% over the past 30 days, according to Google Finance.

Echoing a similar sentiment, crypto trader Moustache said in an X post on Monday, “What you’ll see in the coming months is a massive rally.”

Related: ‘Rich Dad, Poor Dad’ author says ‘pin is near’ on TradFi ‘bubble burst:’ Predicts $750K Bitcoin

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Other indicators suggest that crypto investors are still taking a cautious approach to the market.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which measures overall crypto market sentiment, fell back into “Extreme Fear” territory on Wednesday, after briefly moving up into “Fear” the day prior.

Magazine: Big Questions: Can Bitcoin save you from the dreaded Cantillon Effect?