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Gemini (GEMI) Stock Surges 6% Following Strong Q4 Revenue Performance

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GEMI Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • Gemini (GEMI) shares climbed as high as 14% in after-hours trading following better-than-anticipated Q4 results
  • Fourth-quarter revenue jumped 39% compared to the previous year, reaching $60.3 million—the strongest quarterly performance in three years
  • The company’s net loss expanded to $140.8 million during Q4, compared to $27 million in the year-ago period; annual 2025 losses totalled $585 million
  • Approximately 30% of Gemini’s staff has been eliminated since early 2026, with AI automation replacing numerous coding functions
  • The exchange is withdrawing operations from the UK, EU, and Australia to concentrate resources on the American market

Gemini (GEMI) delivered fourth-quarter revenue totalling $60.3 million, representing a 39% increase from the comparable period last year and exceeding Wall Street’s consensus forecast of approximately $51.7 million. Shares initially jumped 14% in extended trading before moderating to roughly a 6% gain.

These quarterly figures marked the crypto exchange’s second earnings report since its September Nasdaq debut. Since reaching its post-IPO peak, the stock has plummeted approximately 82%.

While revenue exceeded expectations, the company’s loss situation deteriorated significantly. The Q4 net loss reached $140.8 million, translating to $1.22 per share, versus $27 million during the identical quarter one year prior. For the complete 2025 fiscal year, losses amounted to $585 million, a sharp increase from $156.6 million recorded in 2024.


GEMI Stock Card
Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock, GEMI

Founders Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss credited the revenue expansion to a restructured fee system implemented during the latter portion of 2025, combined with increased uptake of Gemini’s credit card offering. This growth materialized despite declining trading volumes—typically an unfavorable indicator for exchange platforms.

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The Winklevoss twins characterized Q4 as delivering the company’s strongest revenue quarter across the past three years, representing a positive headline figure. However, the expanding losses highlight the substantial gap between the company’s expenditures and income generation.

Staff Reductions and Artificial Intelligence

Gemini disclosed that approximately 30% of its workforce has been eliminated since the beginning of 2026. The organization had previously announced in February that 25% of personnel would be laid off, with artificial intelligence adoption serving as a partial driver.

In their communication to shareholders, the twin founders revealed that AI now generates over 40% of Gemini’s production code modifications, with expectations for that percentage to approach 100%. “Failing to utilize AI at Gemini will soon be comparable to arriving at the office with a typewriter rather than a laptop,” they stated.

Three senior leadership positions—Chief Operating Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and Chief Legal Officer—have also seen departures within recent months.

This unfolds against a challenging cryptocurrency market environment. Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline from its record peak above $126,000 in October 2025, creating headwinds for cryptocurrency-related equities.

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Gemini revealed in February its decision to cease operations in the UK, EU, and Australia, attributing the move to challenging market dynamics. The organization stated its intention to “concentrate and intensify efforts on America,” highlighting what it perceives as a more accommodating regulatory landscape in the US under present market oversight.

Forecasting Platform and Payment Card

Gemini introduced its proprietary prediction market platform, Gemini Predictions, throughout all 50 US states during December 2025, following approval from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

The Winklevoss founders indicated the company intends to enhance and broaden that offering throughout 2026. They additionally signaled intentions to leverage identical infrastructure for perpetual futures trading, subject to US regulatory clearance.

The payment card product and primary exchange operations remain central strategic focuses alongside the predictions platform for the upcoming year.

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Citigroup analyst Peter Christiansen has previously noted that Gemini requires distinct competitive advantages to challenge larger competitors such as Coinbase. “In the absence of genuine differentiation and unique value propositions that competitors lack, we believe it will remain challenging for them to close the gap,” he commented.

GEMI concluded Thursday’s standard trading session essentially unchanged at approximately $6.00.

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Crypto World

South Korea Turns to Private Firms for Crypto Custody Following $4.8M Security Breach

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Highlights

  • National Tax Service transitions to external custodians following $4.8M breach.

  • Public exposure of seed phrase triggers comprehensive custody reform.

  • Custodian selection prioritizes insurance coverage and proven track records.

  • Dedicated oversight team will centralize confiscated asset management.

  • Reform initiative matches international best practices for digital custody.

Following a significant security incident, South Korea’s National Tax Service has announced plans to engage private custody solutions for managing confiscated digital currencies. The agency inadvertently revealed a wallet’s recovery phrase in publicly released documentation on February 26, enabling unauthorized withdrawals totaling $4.8 million. Officials are implementing comprehensive safeguards to eliminate similar vulnerabilities and enhance asset protection protocols.

The security lapse centered on an insufficiently redacted photograph displaying a Ledger hardware wallet alongside its complete mnemonic recovery sequence. This episode exposed critical gaps in South Korea’s current framework for managing government-controlled digital holdings. The tax authority intends to transfer custody responsibilities to specialized providers equipped with robust security infrastructure and comprehensive insurance policies.

This strategic pivot occurs as regulatory expectations intensify for appropriate virtual asset stewardship. The National Tax Service has established a target completion date within 2026’s first two quarters for finalizing custodian partnerships. The initiative represents South Korea’s commitment to professionalizing its approach to handling seized cryptocurrency holdings.

Evaluation Framework and Administrative Safeguards

The tax agency is constructing comprehensive benchmarks for assessing prospective custody partners. Security qualifications encompass cutting-edge cybersecurity protocols, multi-party authorization systems, and hardened storage infrastructure. Candidates must carry insurance mandated by South Korea’s Virtual Asset User Protection Act, providing safeguards against system breakdowns and operational mishaps.

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Company scale and fiscal soundness represent critical evaluation components in South Korea’s vetting framework. Prospective custodians must showcase expertise managing substantial digital currency portfolios for governmental or institutional clientele. Operational clarity, comprehensive audit mechanisms, and robust contingency planning will serve as fundamental prerequisites during the selection phase.

South Korea’s NTS is assembling a dedicated supervisory unit to manage the custodian selection initiative. This team will develop standardized operating procedures, employee education programs, and comprehensive management strategies for confiscated digital holdings. The centralization effort seeks to consolidate functions presently distributed among various administrative units.

Historical Context and Legal Framework

South Korea’s recent custody failure adds to previous incidents, including municipal law enforcement’s loss of 22 Bitcoin. Responding to these setbacks, government authorities initiated a multi-department investigation examining asset management practices and identifying preventive measures. This coordinated response demonstrates a systematic commitment to protecting South Korea’s expanding inventory of confiscated cryptocurrencies.

The Virtual Asset User Protection Act establishes the regulatory foundation supporting South Korea’s custody transformation. This legislation requires insurance coverage, regulatory compliance, and reserve holdings for all authorized service operators. South Korea’s policy direction aligns with worldwide patterns where governmental bodies increasingly depend on specialist custodians for blockchain-based assets.

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The forthcoming custody infrastructure will create uniform processes governing seizure activities, secure storage, and eventual liquidation of digital currencies. South Korea plans to strengthen technical capabilities, encompassing wallet administration, cryptographic key management, and distributed ledger surveillance. This framework additionally prepares South Korea to extend professional custody services throughout various governmental departments.

South Korea’s National Tax Service anticipates that engaging private custodians will substantially diminish security vulnerabilities and procedural breakdowns. This strategic shift demonstrates enhanced institutional capacity for cryptocurrency-related enforcement activities. The implementation of specialized custody partnerships underscores South Korea’s dedication to secure, compliant administration of seized virtual assets.

 

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Bitcoin vs. Gold Bottom Emerges as BTC Bulls Defend $70K

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Bitcoin vs. Gold Bottom Emerges as BTC Bulls Defend $70K

Bitcoin (BTC) has endured a 14-month bear market against gold, with the BTC/gold ratio and momentum indicators at historic lows that previously marked cycle bottoms.

Key takeaways:

  • The BTC/GOLD ratio is at historic lows as multiple indicators hint at a cycle bottom.

  • Bitcoin price must hold $70,000 to avoid a deeper drop over the coming weeks.

BTC/GOLD RSI, MACD print classic reversal signal

Data from TradingView reveals that the relative strength index (RSI) of the BTC/GOLD ratio has begun climbing.

The weekly RSI reached its most oversold level of 21 in mid-February, signaling fading bearish momentum.

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Related: Bitcoin tests old 2021 top as gold falls to six-week lows under $4.7K

Similarly, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator has dropped to its lowest level ever and is about to produce a bullish cross.

Note that previous bullish crosses, particularly coming after the RSI has recovered from oversold conditions, have marked macro bottoms for the ratio.

This ultimately led to 280%-620% Bitcoin price breakout against gold, as seen in 2019, 2021, and 2023.

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BTC/XAU weekly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The RSI has now recovered to 33 from 21 in mid-February. When combined with a buy signal on the MACD, the picture begins to resemble previous cycles.

“Bottom is in for $BTC vs Gold,” technical analyst James Easto said in an X post on Friday, adding that the “stage is set” for Bitcoin’s recovery.

The last time Bitcoin bottomed against gold was in November 2022. It marked the beginning of a 700% BTC price rally to its current all-time high of $126,000.

Analysts at GeoMetric said the past 3 BTC/GOLD bear markets have taken between 12-14 months, with the drawdowns ranging from 75% to 84%.

About 13 months have elapsed in the current cycle, which has “so far gone down 81%, surpassing the 2021 bear market,” the analysts said, adding:

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“I think there is a solid case for a potential bottom here.”

BTC/XAU monthly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Investor and analyst Crypto Fergani echoed both scenarios discussed above saying:

“For over 13 years, we’ve seen the same pattern:
Bitcoin enters a bear market against gold
that lasts roughly 400 days. During that time, the RSI
falls into deeply oversold territory. Historically, these phases have always marked the bottom.”

Bitcoin price must hold above $70,000

Meanwhile, BTC/USD remains cautiously bullish as long as it holds the $68,000-$70,000 support zone. This is where the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) and 50-day simple moving average sit.

The 200-week EMA forms a key support band for BTC price during bear markets, and analysts warn that its reliability could be tested on Sunday’s weekly close.

Bitcoin analyst AlphaBTC said he had faith that Bitcoin will recover to $80,000 before dropping toward $50,000, as long as the price stayed above the weekly low at $68,800.

“I don’t want to see this week’s low lost, otherwise it’s going to break back down to range lows or lower!”

BTC/USD 8-hour chart. Source: X/AlphaBTC

As Cointelegraph reported, holding $70,000 would align with a previous fractal recovery path, opening a move toward $76,000-$80,000.