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SanDisk (SNDK) Stock Tumbles 8% as Citi Analyst Hikes Target to $875

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SNDK Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • SanDisk (SNDK) shares tumbled 8.08% Friday with no apparent trigger for the decline
  • Citi’s Asiya Merchant increased her price target to $875 from $750 while maintaining a Buy recommendation
  • The target increase comes after Micron indicated NAND supply will trail demand indefinitely
  • SNDK has gained more than 201% year-to-date and approximately 1,200% over the trailing twelve months
  • Consensus analyst target of roughly $700 trails the stock’s current level near $734

Shares of SanDisk experienced a steep decline Friday, losing more than 8% of their value, despite receiving an upgraded price target from a prominent Wall Street analyst. The contrasting signals have investors debating whether this represents an attractive entry point or a red flag.


SNDK Stock Card
Sandisk Corporation, SNDK

Asiya Merchant from Citi increased her SanDisk (SNDK) price objective to $875, up from her previous $750 target, while reaffirming her Buy recommendation. Her analysis followed Micron’s recent quarterly results, where the company projected NAND demand would outpace available supply indefinitely. Merchant identified this supply-demand imbalance as a fundamental reason for maintaining optimism about SNDK.

Despite the Friday selloff, the stock’s performance has been exceptional. SNDK has climbed approximately 201% since the start of the year and skyrocketed over 1,200% during the past twelve months. The company’s market capitalization currently stands at approximately $114 billion.

The optimistic outlook for SanDisk is rooted in AI-powered demand growth for data storage solutions. Data centers have emerged as the primary purchasers of NAND flash memory, eclipsing traditional markets like smartphones and personal computers. SanDisk’s CEO David Goeckeler noted that data center demand projections were substantially revised upward twice in succession — initially from mid-20% growth to mid-40%, then escalating to mid-to-high 60% growth expectations for calendar 2026.

Goeckeler clarified that AI enterprises aren’t merely reselling storage capacity. Their usage continues expanding independent of NAND pricing trends. “Their business model is not dependent on the volume of NAND they buy,” he stated during a recent industry conference.

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Constrained Supply Meets Surging Demand

SanDisk posted 64% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth in its data center segment last quarter, propelled by enterprise SSD certifications at leading hyperscalers translating into actual sales.

Regarding supply dynamics, NAND capital equipment investment has decreased even as market conditions grow tighter. Bringing new production capacity online requires multiple years. SanDisk allocated over $1 billion to secure fabrication facility space extending through 2030 to 2035 — a strategic wager on persistent demand strength.

Executives also highlighted a prospective growth catalyst: key-value cache technology for AI inference workloads. Preliminary projections suggest this application could generate incremental demand of 75 to 100 exabytes in 2027 alone.

Strategic Multi-Year Agreements Taking Shape

Instead of transacting on a quarterly basis, SanDisk is transitioning toward extended contracts with data center clients. These agreements, spanning one to five years, aim to safeguard profit margins throughout market cycles and secure expanding exabyte commitments. The company has finalized one such arrangement and reports additional deals are under negotiation.

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Analysts following SNDK project revenue climbing from $7.36 billion in fiscal 2025 to $26.78 billion by fiscal 2027. Earnings per share are anticipated to surge from $2.99 to $87.40 during that timeframe.

Among 21 analysts monitoring SNDK, 14 assign it a Strong Buy rating, one recommends Moderate Buy, and six advise Hold. The mean price target stands at $700.94 — beneath the current trading level around $734. This divergence between the consensus estimate and actual price adds complexity to interpreting Friday’s pullback for potential buyers.

Citi’s $875 projection represents the most aggressive bullish target on Wall Street and substantially exceeds the analyst consensus.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Drops 7.7% in Biggest Cut Since February

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Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Drops 7.7% in Biggest Cut Since February

Bitcoin’s mining difficulty fell by around 7.7% at the latest adjustment on March 20 to 133.79 trillion at block 941,472, the sharpest drop since February, according to CoinWarz data.

The latest move takes difficulty down from around 145 trillion in mid-March and roughly 148 trillion at the start of the year. A lower difficulty means it takes less computational work to earn the same block reward, slightly improving revenue per unit of hashrate for firms that stay online.

The adjustment followed slower-than-target block production over the prior 2,016 blocks. CloverPool data showed average block times at about 12 minutes 36 seconds, well above Bitcoin’s 10-minute target, forcing the network to recalibrate lower.

In February, difficulty dropped sharply after weather-related disruptions in the United States temporarily knocked large American mining facilities offline, and it later rebounded by about 15% as hashrate returned to the network once power conditions normalized. 

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Bitcoin (BTC) difficulty measures how hard it is for miners to find a valid hash for the next block and is automatically adjusted to keep issuance steady at one block every 10 minutes.

When more computing power, or hashrate, joins the network, difficulty rises to prevent blocks from being mined too quickly, while a decline in hashrate triggers a lower difficulty, making it easier for remaining miners to earn rewards. 

Bitcoin difficulty drops 7.7%. Source: CoinWarz

Related: Cango reports $285M Q4 loss as Bitcoin mining costs surge in 2025

The next difficulty adjustment is currently estimated for April 3, though that projection changes with each new block.

Miners pivot to AI as power costs bite

The difficulty reset also comes as several listed miners push further into AI and high-performance computing infrastructure in search of steadier returns on power and data-center capacity.

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Last week, crypto trader Ran Neuner argued AI had become Bitcoin mining’s biggest competitor as both industries compete for electricity, even going as far as to say that “AI has killed Bitcoin forever.” 

Bitcoin miners such as Core Scientific, MARA Holdings, Hut 8 and Cipher Mining have begun reallocating capacity or pivoting toward AI workloads, while some operators have reduced hashrate or shut down less efficient rigs as profitability tightens.

On Feb 21, Bitdeer liquidated 943 BTC from reserves and sold newly mined coins, cutting corporate holdings to zero. In its latest weekly update on March 21, it confirmed that its BTC holdings remained at zero.

Big questions: Would Bitcoin survive a 10-year power outage?

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