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Ethereum (ETH) Price Retreats to $2,130 Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty and ETF Outflows

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Ethereum (ETH) Price

Key Takeaways

  • Ethereum retreated to approximately $2,130 following a peak of $2,390 earlier this week
  • BitMine Immersion acquired 60,999 ETH, expanding total reserves to 4.59 million ETH
  • Large holders are exiting long positions and establishing short bets while smaller traders buy
  • Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded net withdrawals totaling $192.1 million across two consecutive days
  • Price filled the CME futures gap at $2,117, with significant buy support clustering near $2,100

Ethereum kicked off the week with impressive upward momentum, surging to $2,390—marking its strongest performance since the beginning of February. The rally was fueled by institutional accumulation, significant whale buying, and heightened activity in the derivatives market.

Ethereum (ETH) Price
Ethereum (ETH) Price

Early this week, Ethereum treasury company BitMine Immersion (BMNR) announced the acquisition of 60,999 ETH, pushing its cumulative position to 4.59 million ETH. Simultaneously, open interest across ETH derivatives markets reached levels not seen since September of last year.

However, the upward trajectory lost momentum. Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East drove oil prices higher and diminished market expectations for interest rate reductions in 2026, creating a risk-off environment that impacted cryptocurrency valuations.

ETH encountered resistance near its realized price—the average on-chain acquisition cost—hovering around $2,310. This metric has consistently acted as a profit-taking zone during fragile uptrends, as holders reach breakeven points and liquidate positions.

Institutional Outflows Intensify Downward Pressure

Following six consecutive days of capital inflows, US spot Ethereum ETFs reversed course with net outflows. Approximately $192.1 million exited these investment vehicles over a 48-hour period, compounding the selling pressure on ETH.

Source; SoSoValue

Within a single 24-hour window, Ethereum experienced $39 million in forced liquidations, with long positions accounting for $21.2 million of that total, based on Coinglass tracking data.

On-chain researcher Boris identified what appears to be a developing liquidity trap. As Ethereum approached the $2,400 threshold, the Whale vs Retail Delta indicator shifted decisively negative. Major holders were systematically closing bullish positions and initiating bearish bets, while retail participants moved in the opposite direction—aggressively accumulating.

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Boris observed that although buying demand remained robust temporarily, it was ultimately absorbed by available sell-side liquidity. The market has now transitioned into a consolidation period. Liquidation heatmaps reveal substantial long position accumulation, with critical liquidation zones identified at $1,850 and lower price points.

Futures Gap Closure at $2,117 Level

Market technician CW verified that Ethereum successfully closed its CME futures gap positioned at $2,117. A substantial accumulation zone has developed around the $2,100 price point, which coincides with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Should a rebound materialize from this area, the subsequent upside target sits at $2,686.

Ethereum is presently challenging the $2,110 support area, which corresponds with the 20-day exponential moving average. A decisive breakdown beneath this threshold could expose deeper support levels at $1,740, followed by $1,524. For bullish continuation, ETH requires a daily candle close above $2,390 to validate renewed upward momentum.

The Relative Strength Index remains positioned near the neutral 50 mark, indicating equilibrium with diminishing bullish pressure.

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Cryptocurrency analyst Ted shared his perspective on X: “$ETH bounced back from its $2,100 support zone. The move is looking a bit weak, as spot buyers aren’t here. This means Ethereum could drop below the $2,100 level again given rising macro uncertainty and low institutional demand.”

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Current market conditions show ETH maintaining a precarious position just above $2,100, with ETF outflows persisting and macroeconomic headwinds from Middle Eastern geopolitical developments continuing to influence trading sentiment.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Drops 7.7% in Biggest Cut Since February

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Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Drops 7.7% in Biggest Cut Since February

Bitcoin’s mining difficulty fell by around 7.7% at the latest adjustment on March 20 to 133.79 trillion at block 941,472, the sharpest drop since February, according to CoinWarz data.

The latest move takes difficulty down from around 145 trillion in mid-March and roughly 148 trillion at the start of the year. A lower difficulty means it takes less computational work to earn the same block reward, slightly improving revenue per unit of hashrate for firms that stay online.

The adjustment followed slower-than-target block production over the prior 2,016 blocks. CloverPool data showed average block times at about 12 minutes 36 seconds, well above Bitcoin’s 10-minute target, forcing the network to recalibrate lower.

In February, difficulty dropped sharply after weather-related disruptions in the United States temporarily knocked large American mining facilities offline, and it later rebounded by about 15% as hashrate returned to the network once power conditions normalized. 

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Bitcoin (BTC) difficulty measures how hard it is for miners to find a valid hash for the next block and is automatically adjusted to keep issuance steady at one block every 10 minutes.

When more computing power, or hashrate, joins the network, difficulty rises to prevent blocks from being mined too quickly, while a decline in hashrate triggers a lower difficulty, making it easier for remaining miners to earn rewards. 

Bitcoin difficulty drops 7.7%. Source: CoinWarz

Related: Cango reports $285M Q4 loss as Bitcoin mining costs surge in 2025

The next difficulty adjustment is currently estimated for April 3, though that projection changes with each new block.

Miners pivot to AI as power costs bite

The difficulty reset also comes as several listed miners push further into AI and high-performance computing infrastructure in search of steadier returns on power and data-center capacity.

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Last week, crypto trader Ran Neuner argued AI had become Bitcoin mining’s biggest competitor as both industries compete for electricity, even going as far as to say that “AI has killed Bitcoin forever.” 

Bitcoin miners such as Core Scientific, MARA Holdings, Hut 8 and Cipher Mining have begun reallocating capacity or pivoting toward AI workloads, while some operators have reduced hashrate or shut down less efficient rigs as profitability tightens.

On Feb 21, Bitdeer liquidated 943 BTC from reserves and sold newly mined coins, cutting corporate holdings to zero. In its latest weekly update on March 21, it confirmed that its BTC holdings remained at zero.

Big questions: Would Bitcoin survive a 10-year power outage?

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