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Solana (SOL) Struggles After $93 Rejection: Bearish Flag Signals Potential Drop to $40s

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Solana (SOL) Price

Key Takeaways

  • SOL faced rejection at the $93 level, declining 5.7% over 24 hours to approximately $87
  • The token trades beneath its 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages
  • Technical indicators including RSI and MACD reflect diminishing price momentum
  • A developing bearish flag formation on the daily timeframe suggests potential downside to the $40–$45 zone
  • Despite price weakness, Solana handled 44% of worldwide cryptocurrency transactions

Solana (SOL) faces mounting pressure following an unsuccessful attempt to breach the $93 resistance threshold. The digital asset has retreated and now hovers around a critical support area that market participants are monitoring intently.

Solana (SOL) Price
Solana (SOL) Price

Currently, SOL changes hands at $87.45. The cryptocurrency recorded $5.62 billion in trading volume during the previous 24-hour period, while maintaining a market capitalization of $50.21 billion. The asset experienced a 5.70% decline within the last day.

Cryptocurrency analyst BitGuru highlighted the $93 rejection in an X platform post dated March 26, 2026. The analyst emphasized that SOL has retreated to a significant historical support area following the failed breakout attempt. The price action at this juncture may determine the token’s trajectory in the coming sessions.

Should demand materialize at current levels, SOL might stage a recovery toward upper resistance thresholds. Conversely, a breach of this support zone could trigger additional losses.

Technical Indicators Point to Weakening Momentum

Solana currently trades beneath all primary moving average benchmarks. The 20-day moving average registers at $88.63, while the 50-day stands at $86.09. The 100-day moving average is positioned at $106.54, and the 200-day rests at $143.24.

Trading below both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages indicates the cryptocurrency remains distant from establishing consistent upward momentum.

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The Relative Strength Index reads 47.66, positioned below its signal line of 52.54. Meanwhile, the MACD line registers 0.127, trailing its signal line of 0.232. The relatively neutral MACD histogram suggests minimal directional strength in either direction.

Bearish Flag Formation Suggests Downside Potential

Chart analysis reveals a bearish flag pattern developing on the daily timeframe—a technical setup resembling a formation observed earlier this year. During that previous occurrence, Solana experienced a substantial breakdown following the pattern’s completion.

The present formation displays price consolidation within an ascending channel following a significant decline. Should a breakdown materialize from these levels, technical projections point toward the $40 to $45 price range within approximately one to two weeks.

Notwithstanding the price challenges, Solana’s blockchain activity demonstrates remarkable strength. The network handled 825,729,338 transactions from a total of 1,867,616,231 blockchain transactions recorded during the assessment period—representing 44% of global cryptocurrency transaction volume.

Analyst Ali Charts observed via X that more than 100 million SOL tokens changed hands between $91.45 and $82.60, identifying this range as the most critical demand area. Should this zone fail, subsequent support levels worth monitoring include $53.10, $35.40, and $23.60.

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Crypto World

Lumentum (LITE) Stock Plunges 11%, Then Rebounds on NVIDIA Partnership Announcement

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LITE Stock Card

Key Highlights

  • Shares closed down 11.37% at $688.80 Thursday, then climbed 1.50% to $699.10 after hours.
  • Company disclosed plans for a 240,000-square-foot Greensboro, NC production site purchased from Qorvo, with operations expected by mid-2028.
  • NVIDIA named as a confirmed customer through existing strategic supply agreements linked to the facility.
  • Previous quarter showed Lumentum exceeding EPS forecasts ($1.67 actual vs. $1.41 projected) while revenue jumped 65.5% annually to $665.5M.
  • Wall Street price targets vary significantly — BNP Paribas projects $1,040 while the average consensus hovers at $575.06; company insiders offloaded approximately $38.9M in shares recently.

Shares of Lumentum Holdings (LITE) experienced significant volatility Thursday, plummeting 11.37% before settling at $688.80. Trading volume reached approximately 6.18 million shares — representing a 4% increase over typical daily activity.


LITE Stock Card
Lumentum Holdings Inc., LITE

However, the semiconductor stock staged a comeback during extended trading hours. Shares climbed 1.50% to $699.10 after the company disclosed details about a significant domestic manufacturing investment.

Lumentum revealed its purchase of a 240,000-square-foot production campus in Greensboro, North Carolina, from fellow semiconductor company Qorvo. The facility will focus on manufacturing indium phosphide optical components, including continuous wave lasers and ultra-high-power laser systems utilizing 6-inch InP wafers.

Operations are scheduled to reach full capacity around mid-2028. Chief Executive Michael Hurlston noted that clients are “constructing the technological backbone that will shape the future generation of computing.”

NVIDIA received confirmation as a client through existing strategic partnership agreements connected to this manufacturing expansion. Debora Shoquist, NVIDIA’s EVP of Operations, stated the development “reinforces supply chain reliability and enables us to address increasing infrastructure requirements with assurance.”

The after-hours recovery indicates investors interpreted Thursday’s selloff as an attractive entry point rather than evidence of underlying business deterioration.

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Impressive Financial Performance and Upgraded Outlook

Lumentum’s latest quarterly earnings provided substantial reasons for investor confidence. The firm reported earnings per share of $1.67, surpassing Wall Street’s $1.41 consensus by $0.26.

Total revenue reached $665.5 million — representing a 65.5% increase compared to the same period last year and exceeding analyst expectations of $646.74 million. Management issued Q3 2026 EPS guidance ranging from $2.15 to $2.35.

Despite this positive momentum, shares have retreated from their 52-week peak of $808.80. The stock nevertheless trades 84% higher than its 52-week bottom of $45.66, with an extraordinary 941.90% gain over the trailing twelve months.

Current pricing remains substantially above key technical indicators — the 50-day moving average sits at $567.66 while the 200-day moving average rests at $363.11, both considerably beneath today’s levels.

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Wall Street Remains Divided

Analyst perspectives vary considerably. BNP Paribas maintains a bullish $1,040 price objective, suggesting roughly 47% appreciation potential from present valuations.

Morgan Stanley kept its Equal-Weight stance while increasing its target from $520 to $595. Mizuho holds an “outperform” recommendation with a $645 price goal.

The aggregated view from 19 Wall Street analysts indicates a “Moderate Buy” rating with a mean price target of $575.06 — presently trading below the stock’s current market value.

Regarding insider activity, company executives have disposed of approximately 65,775 shares valued at roughly $38.9 million during the previous 90-day period. Institutional investors control about 94% of outstanding shares.

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LITE’s relative strength index registered 52.34 entering Friday’s session, with the company’s total market capitalization standing near $49.18 billion.

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Australia Court Fines Binance $6.9 Million over Client Onboarding Failures

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Australia Court Fines Binance $6.9 Million over Client Onboarding Failures

An Australian court ordered Binance Australia Derivatives to pay $6.9 million after misclassifying retail clients and exposing them to high-risk crypto products.

The Federal Court of Australia has ordered Oztures Trading Pty Ltd, trading as Binance Australia Derivatives, to pay a 10 million Australian dollar ($6.9 million) penalty after the company admitted to misclassifying more than 85% of its Australian client base and exposing retail investors to high-risk crypto derivatives without required protections.

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) said the affected group included 524 retail investors who were wrongly treated as wholesale clients between July 2022 and April 2023. Those clients later incurred $6.3 million in trading losses and paid $2.6 million in fees.

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Binance also admitted in a statement of agreed facts to multiple compliance failures, including not providing product disclosure statements to retail clients, not making a target market determination and not maintaining a compliant internal dispute resolution system.

The penalty comes on top of the around $9 million in compensation that Binance’s local derivatives unit was ordered to pay to affected clients in November 2023.

Court order against Binance Australia Derivatives. Source: The Federal Court of Australia

Binance did not immediately respond to Cointelegraph’s request for comment.

Related: White House clears review of proposal to allow crypto in 401(k) retirement plans

This is a developing story, and further information will be added as it becomes available.

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