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BTC’s next big move hinges on oil, and right now it’s a total coin flip

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BTC's next big move hinges on oil, and right now it's a total coin flip

Bitcoin’s next big move may have less to do with crypto fundamentals and more to do with the direction of oil prices.

The leading cryptocurrency by market value has rebounded to $70,900 from early-week lows near $67,000, tracking a broader risk-on move after the U.S. and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire late Tuesday that sent oil prices tumbling roughly 15% to below $100 a barrel.

Bitcoin has been here before – prices have climbed above the $70,000 mark several times in recent weeks, only for the rallies to fizzle out quickly, underscoring the lack of sustained upside momentum.

Will it be different this time? It largely depends on whether oil price weakness sustains, according to analysts at crypto exchange Bitfinex.

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“A 15–16 percent collapse in crude, if sustained, materially brings forward the potential cut window. Futures markets will likely reprice additional rate-cut probability for late 2026, which is a structural tailwind for non-yielding risk assets, including bitcoin,” analysts said in a market update.

A sustained decline in oil prices could ripple through the global economy, partially unwinding the inflationary shock triggered by the March surge and giving the Federal Reserve and other major central banks greater room to cut rates later this year.

Should that happen, bitcoin could rally to $80,000, with gains driven by the unwinding of short positions.

“Bitcoin is sitting at $72,000, pressing into a massive cluster of short liquidity. Derivatives heatmaps show roughly $6 billion in leveraged shorts concentrated between $72,200 and $73,500, with peak density around $72,500. If spot demand can force the price through that zone, the resulting liquidation cascade would likely catapult Bitcoin through the supply gap toward $80,000,” Adam Saville Brown, head of commercial at Tesseract Group, said in an email.

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However, as of now, rate-cut expectations remain muted. Per some analysts, the recent rise in energy costs risks keeping inflation elevated without significantly denting demand, potentially locking the Fed into a prolonged holding pattern in which rates stay at 3.5% with neither hikes nor cuts on the table.

The ceasefire between Iran and the U.S. appears to have already unraveled, according to media reports. Tensions flared after Israel launched intense strikes in Lebanon, saying the territory was not covered under the agreement — a claim that contradicted the supposed mediator, Pakistan. In a further escalation, an Iranian news agency reported that oil traffic through the Strait of Hormuz was halted again, just hours after the first tankers were allowed to pass, citing the renewed hostilities.

This means that oil could rally again, triggering risk aversion if the warring parties fail to reach an agreement in the coming days.

“The bear case is simpler: if talks collapse, oil rips back above $100, and we’re back to where we were ten days ago. The two-week window creates a binary setup that derivatives markets will price aggressively,” Brown said.

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Bitfinex analysts said that oil could rise to $120 if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, denting prospects of Fed rate cuts.

“This creates a known binary event approximately 13 days out. Participants holding risk exposure are working within a two-week window. The oil move has been priced; a ceasefire collapse would be incrementally more damaging than the original shock,” analysts noted.

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MEXC Launches VVIP System Powered by M Score, Redefining Elite Access Beyond Asset Thresholds

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MEXC, one of the world leaders in zero‑fee digital asset trading, announced the launch of the industry-first VVIP system that went live on April 2, 2026. The system redefines VVIP access by moving beyond traditional asset-based eligibility toward a dynamic, multi-dimensional user value-based model. It gives every trader the opportunity to access elite privileges and lays the foundation for a more user-centric ecosystem. 

At the core of the VVIP system is M-Score, a dynamic metric that reflects user value based on trading activity, account security, and platform engagement. Unlike conventional models that rely primarily on asset holdings or trading volume, M-Score is continuously updated to capture real-time user behavior, offering a more comprehensive and flexible framework for tier qualification.

The MEXC VVIP system unlocks a comprehensive suite of premium benefits for users with an M Score of 800 or above. Eligible users can receive exclusive loss coverage to help manage downside during volatile markets, claim APR boosters to earn enhanced interest on their idle assets, and access 24/7 rapid-response support along with expedited handling for large withdrawals through a priority channel. In addition, users can participate in popular platform events with rewards credited instantly, with no manual review required, and receive Elite Experience Cards to share top-tier privileges with their friends. Users at Standard and Premier tiers also receive tier-appropriate benefits, with full details available on the VVIP page

The system is being rolled out in phases, with initial access granted to eligible users. Eligible users can access the VVIP section via the MEXC platform. MEXC will also unveil a major platform event on April 13, with further details to be announced in due course. Access will be reserved for users who achieve a minimum M-Score of 600 (Premier tier and above). 

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MEXC continues to put users first by combining multi-dimensional user value-based evaluation with platform participation, making it easier for users to access premium benefits. This approach reflects the company’s broader commitment to supporting the sustainable development of the digital asset industry. Looking ahead, MEXC will further enhance its VVIP system to help users seize opportunities in a changing market. 

About MEXC 

Founded in 2018, MEXC is committed to being “Your Easiest Way to Crypto.” Serving over 40 million users across 170+ countries, MEXC is known for its broad selection of trending tokens, everyday airdrop opportunities, and low trading fees. Our user-friendly platform is designed to support both new traders and experienced investors, offering secure and efficient access to digital assets. MEXC prioritizes simplicity and innovation, making crypto trading more accessible and rewarding. 

MEXC Official Website X TelegramHow to Sign Up on MEXC

Risk Disclaimer: This content does not constitute investment advice. Given the highly volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market, investors are encouraged to carefully assess market fluctuations, project fundamentals, and potential financial risks before making any trading decisions.

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Easily earn passive income through automated crypto trading

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Easily earn passive income through automated crypto trading

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

AI-driven crypto tools are becoming essential as traders seek automation to manage volatility.

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Summary

  • AI trading tools surge in 2026, helping crypto traders automate strategies and manage risk more effectively
  • AccuQuant offers 24/7 automated trading with real-time AI optimization and one-click setup for beginners
  • AI bots democratize crypto trading, enabling users to capture market opportunities without constant monitoring

In the ever-changing world of cryptocurrency, automation is more than just a buzzword; it’s a necessity. With the rapid rise of AI-powered solutions for cryptocurrency trading, traders are increasingly relying on automation to navigate volatile markets. 

This article highlights 10 innovative tools that combine intelligent analytics with user-friendly design to give traders a competitive edge. Whether they’re a beginner or a seasoned trader, these AI-driven tools can improve their trading strategies and better manage risk.

The evaluation criteria for these robots are:

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  • Key features include advanced tools such as a visual strategy builder, backtesting capabilities, and automated risk management.
  • Unique value lies in its unique elements, including AI integration, community support, open-source flexibility, and seamless multi-exchange support.
  • Use cases: Specific scenarios where each robot can excel, from entry-level automation to complex algorithmic trading.

After extensive research, we selected three outstanding solutions that have proven their value in the field of artificial intelligence for cryptocurrency trading.

Best AI-powered cryptocurrency trading bots:

1. AccuQuant

With its easy setup and fully automated system, AccuQuant captures market opportunities 24/7. No experience is required to get started quickly and easily generate passive income amidst market fluctuations.

AccuQuant’s main functions:

  • One-click trading start: No complicated setup required, start intelligent trading in minutes.
  • AI real-time optimization: Automatically identifies market opportunities and dynamically adjusts strategies to improve performance.
  • Automated profit mechanism: No need to constantly monitor the market; the system runs 24/7, and you can start earning passive income.

How AccuQuant works: A step-by-step guide for beginners

  1. Register and create an account: New users will receive a $20 real bonus upon registration!
  2. Choose a strategy: Select a strategy that fits a particular budget and purchase.
  3. Start automated trading: Once the purchase is successful, activate the AI ​​system to process all trades 24/7.

For more information, visit the official website.

2. PionexGPT

PionexGPT combines the insights enabled by GPT with customizable robots, making it one of the best solutions. This platform leverages natural language market analysis to help traders enhance their decision-making process, making it a versatile option for anyone looking to improve their strategies.

3. 3Commas

3Commas is known for its cloud-based automation, featuring advanced tools such as trailing stops and portfolio management. Its vibrant community and strategy marketplace allow traders to exchange ideas and adopt proven strategies, solidifying its reputation as a top AI-powered cryptocurrency trading platform.

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Why use artificial intelligence in cryptocurrency trading?

Speed ​​and Efficiency

Artificial intelligence (AI) can process massive amounts of data and execute trades far faster than humans. This speed allows traders to capitalize on even the smallest market fluctuations, gaining a competitive edge.

Data-Driven Decision Making

AI utilizes advanced algorithms to analyze vast amounts of data, including historical price trends, market news, and social media sentiment.

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Automation

AI allows for automated trading, eliminating the human element in the trading process. Automated systems can continuously monitor the market and execute trades according to predefined criteria without constant supervision.

Risk Management

AI can create personalized risk management strategies, dynamically adjusting trading positions, stop-loss orders, and portfolio allocation to minimize risk in volatile markets such as cryptocurrencies.

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Predictive Capabilities

AI models, especially those driven by machine learning, can predict market trends based on historical data.

Factors to Consider

Choosing the right AI-powered cryptocurrency trading bot depends on needs. Here are some factors to consider:

  • Skill Level: Assess whether the platform is suitable for beginners or advanced traders with technical expertise.
  • Cost Structure: Understand subscription fees, commission models, or any hidden costs that could impact trading success.
  • Integration: Ensure the bot supports your preferred exchanges and integrates seamlessly with your existing trading tools.
  • Community and Support: A strong user community and reliable customer support can significantly enhance your experience.
  • Testing: Validate performance starting small, even with the best AI-powered cryptocurrency trading bots, the cryptocurrency market is unpredictable.
  • Security: Always check for robust security protocols to protect funds and personal data.

Summary

In summary, AI-powered cryptocurrency trading bots offer significant advantages through automated trading and the provision of insights based on key technical indicators, making them indispensable tools for both novice and experienced traders. They address the 24/7 challenges of the cryptocurrency market, allowing traders to capitalize on opportunities without constant monitoring.

These bots not only improve performance but also democratize profitable trading strategies, enabling non-professional traders to participate effectively. With so many bots available, each with unique features and capabilities, traders can choose the one that best suits their needs and preferences.

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Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.

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Lending Pool Heist: Are Trump Crypto Insiders Setting Up To Crash DOLO Crypto?

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Lending Pool Heist: Are Trump Crypto Insiders Setting Up To Crash DOLO Crypto?

Are Trump crypto insiders back at it again? $484 million in Trump WLFI crypto tokens deposited on Dolomite Protocol. Borrowed against for USDC. And a governance token with almost no real market depth sits as the collateral backstop.

If this unwinds, Dolomite lenders don’t get a haircut; they get wiped.

DeFi analyst Ignas flagged the pattern on X, identifying the leverage structure as a potential systemic threat to Dolomite’s lending pools. The on-chain footprint is already public. The question isn’t whether the risk exists – it’s whether lenders understand what they’re sitting inside.

Key Takeaways:
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  • The Deposit: Approximately $484M in $WLFI tokens has been deposited into Dolomite Protocol as collateral.
  • The Mechanism: That collateral is being used to borrow USDC – extracting real stablecoin value against a token with minimal on-chain liquidity.
  • The Bad Debt Risk: If $WLFI price drops sharply, collateral value falls below outstanding USDC debt, leaving Dolomite lenders with unrecoverable DeFi bad debt.
  • The Yield Trap: USDC lending APY on Dolomite has spiked to 13.5% – attractive on the surface, but potentially unredeemable if a bank run triggers on bad debt confirmation.
  • The Political Trigger: Analysts tie the likely $WLFI dump window to the fading political utility of the token post-cycle – a timeline tied directly to the Trump orbit’s exit incentives.
  • What to Watch: DOLO’s $15M market cap makes it acutely vulnerable to protocol insolvency fears; any public confirmation of bad debt could detonate the token in hours.

Explore: The best pre-launch token sales with asymmetric upside potential

How the $484M Trump WLFI Crypto Leverage Play Actually Works – and Where It Breaks

The structure is direct and that’s what makes it dangerous. Entities linked to World Liberty Financial deposited $484M worth of WLFI into Dolomite Protocol, using those tokens as collateral to borrow USDC.

On paper, it looks like a standard DeFi leverage position. In practice, it’s a liquidity time bomb.

Source: Ethan on X

WLFI is a governance token. It has politically generated demand and almost no organic secondary market depth.

That means the $484M figure is a valuation on-paper, not $484M that can actually be liquidated into the open market without collapsing the token’s price by 60%, 70%, or more in a single session.

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The collateral isn’t real in any liquidation scenario that matters.

When collateral value drops below the outstanding USDC borrow, and with WLFI’s liquidity profile, the threshold is not far, Dolomite’s liquidation engine cannot recover the debt.

No buyer exists at the price needed to make lenders whole. That’s the DeFi bad debt scenario: the USDC is gone, the collateral is worthless at scale, and the protocol is left insolvent in all but name.

Source: Ignas on X

Ignas’s alert on X specifically called out the borrow pressure dynamics, USDC lending rates on Dolomite have already spiked to 13.5% as the protocol attempts to attract fresh liquidity to service the growing borrow demand.

That rate spike is not a yield opportunity. It’s a distress signal. Similar warning patterns preceded the Stabble protocol’s 62% TVL collapse on Solana, where liquidity pressure built silently before the exit hit.

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The math on DOLO exposure is brutal at this scale. A $15M market cap token absorbing a protocol-wide insolvency event involving nine figures of bad debt doesn’t survive the news cycle intact.

What DOLO Lenders Are Actually Facing – The Bad Debt Exposure Quantified

DOLO sits at approximately $15M in market cap. That number matters because it tells you exactly how much bad news the token can absorb before the math becomes unsurvivable.

Dolomite does not appear to operate a protocol-level insurance fund sufficient to cover a nine-figure bad debt event. There is no backstop that absorbs $484M in underwater collateral.

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The 13.5% USDC APY that Dolomite is currently advertising to new depositors is the yield trap Ignas explicitly warned about.

Depositors chasing that rate are walking into a pool that may not be redeemable at par if the borrow position unwinds badly. This is the same dynamic that burned depositors in DeFi platform controversies where advertised yields masked structural insolvency risk.

If bad debt is confirmed on-chain – whether through a WLFI price collapse or a forced liquidation event – DOLO’s reaction will be immediate. A $15M cap token doesn’t need institutional selling pressure to crater. Retail panic alone is sufficient at that size.

Discover: The Best Crypto Presales Live Right Now

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The post Lending Pool Heist: Are Trump Crypto Insiders Setting Up To Crash DOLO Crypto? appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Bitcoin $80,000 play is now the most popular bet in derivatives: Crypto Daybook Americas

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Crypto daily April 9 (CoinDesk)
Crypto daily April 9 (CoinDesk)

Sentiment in the bitcoin market appears to have flipped after a long time, suggesting an investor positioning for a potential rally to $80,000.

On Deribit, which accounts for a majority share of the multi-billion dollar global crypto options market, the $80,000 call — a derivatives bet that prices will rise beyond that level — has emerged as the most popular trade. It has overtaken the $60,000 put, which dominated positioning in recent months as prices declined.

As of writing, open interest at the $80,000 strike stands at over $1.6 billion, with each contract representing one bitcoin, according to Deribit data. The $60,000 put has an open interest of $1.41 billion.

BTC has already rebounded above $70,000 from early-week lows near $67,000, supported in part by a temporary ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran that weighed on oil prices. Analysts say continued weakness in oil could help ease inflation concerns, potentially strengthening the case for Federal Reserve rate cuts — a backdrop that tends to support risk assets, including bitcoin.

On-chain data offers some additional supports the bullish case.

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“For only the second week in 2026, Bitcoin wallets holding more than 10,000 BTC have recorded net inflows. This points to whale accumulation rather than ETF-driven demand. If sustained, it raises the likelihood of a supply squeeze that could push Bitcoin toward the $75,000–$80,000 range,” said Paul Howard, senior director at crypto liquidity provider Wincent.

Separately, analysts at 21Shares see scope for further upside, with a potential move toward $100,000 by the end of June under favorable conditions.

“Over the past month, we’ve seen more than $1.5 billion in net inflows into BTC ETFs, alongside an increase in holdings by larger investors of around 6% since the start of the year — pointing to continued demand from more sophisticated participants,” said Matt Mena, crypto research strategist at 21Shares. “If geopolitical tensions ease and regulatory clarity improves, a move toward $100,000 by the end of Q2 cannot be ruled out.”

Still, risks remain. The ceasefire is fragile, and any renewed escalation could send oil prices higher again, potentially dampening risk appetite and capping bitcoin’s gains.

Later today, the U.S. fourth-quarter GDP data is due. While the backward-looking release may have limited immediate impact, a significant surprise in either direction could still trigger short-term volatility. Stay alert!

What’s trending

Today’s signal

BTC's daily price swings in candlestick format. (TradingView)

The chart shows bitcoin’s daily price swings in candlestick format since October 2025. It also has a yellow trendline drawn off the record high of over $126,000 in October represents the brutal bear market.

As of writing, BTC’s price traded close to that trendline resistance, a make or break level.

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A decisive breakout above the trendline – ideally on strong volume and sustained follow-through – would mean the downtrend has likely tun its course. That could open the door for a broader bullish trend reversal, with scope for a move toward the $75,000–$80,000 region initially, and potentially higher if momentum builds.

On the other hand, a rejection at the trendline would reinforce it as a valid resistance level, suggesting continuation of the bear market. This would raise the risk of another pullback toward recent support levels, potentially ito $65,000 or lower.

Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today . For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

Premarket data (CoinDesk)

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Bitcoin under $71,000, ETH, SOL, XRP drop as Iran ceasefire frays within 48 hours of being signed

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Bitcoin under $71,000, ETH, SOL, XRP drop as Iran ceasefire frays within 48 hours of being signed

Bitcoin traded at $70,981 on Thursday, down 0.5% over 24 hours but still up 6.1% on the week, as the two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran that triggered Tuesday’s broad rally began showing cracks less than 48 hours after it was announced.

Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said three clauses of the ceasefire proposal had been contravened, without specifying which ones. Israeli attacks continued in Lebanon.

And the Strait of Hormuz, the critical shipping lane whose reopening was supposed to be the centerpiece of the deal, remains effectively closed with minimal tanker traffic passing through despite Iran’s pledge to allow “coordinated” transit.

Brent crude rebounded 2% to about $97 after Wednesday’s collapse of more than 10%, its worst single-day plunge in six years. The reversal reflects how quickly the market has moved from pricing in peace to pricing in uncertainty about whether the ceasefire holds through the weekend, let alone for the full two weeks.

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Ether fell 2.6% to $2,180 after leading the ceasefire rally with a 5.2% weekly gain. Solana’s SOL dropped 3.1% to $81.96, XRP lost 3% to $1.33, and dogecoin slid 3.4% to $0.091. BNB held relatively flat at $600, down 2.2%.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 0.9% with two stocks declining for every one that rose, after surging the most in a year on Wednesday’s ceasefire euphoria. S&P 500 and European futures pointed to a 0.2% decline, signaling the four-day winning streak for global equities was about to end. Treasuries were steady after wiping out an earlier rally on concern that higher oil prices would feed back into inflation.

Meanwhile, The Federal Reserve continues to highlight upside inflation risks alongside softening labor conditions, keeping the higher-for-longer rate narrative intact. Japan’s wage growth has hit multi-decade highs, strengthening expectations for further rate hikes.

That combination amounts to what one analyst described as “uncoordinated tightening” across major economies, layered on top of geopolitical uncertainty that prevents any stable anchor for rate expectations.

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For bitcoin specifically, the move from $67,000 to $72,700 on the ceasefire and the subsequent hold above $70,000 despite Thursday’s wobble is the most constructive price action since the war began six weeks ago.

The $65,000 to $73,000 range that has contained every move since late February is still intact, but bitcoin is now testing the upper half rather than grinding along the bottom.

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South Korea Court Cancels Dunamu Suspension Over FIU Case

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South Korea Court Cancels Dunamu Suspension Over FIU Case

A South Korean court has canceled the Financial Intelligence Unit’s (FIU) three-month partial business suspension of Dunamu, the operator of crypto exchange Upbit, according to local reports.

Yonhap News Agency reported on Tuesday that the Seoul Administrative Court sided with Dunamu in its lawsuit against the FIU, overturning the sanction tied to alleged Anti-Money Laundering (AML) violations. 

The court said clear rules existed for transactions above 1 million won (about $675), but found that regulations for smaller transfers were not specific enough, weakening the basis for enforcement within the case. 

The ruling narrows the FIU’s ability to impose major AML sanctions on crypto exchanges where the underlying compliance standards are not spelled out clearly enough in practice. It also ends a dispute that began after FIU imposed the sanction in February 2025, and that was later paused by the court while Dunamu’s challenge was under review.

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Court cites lack of guidance in Dunamu decision

Addressing the FIU’s claim that Dunamu failed to take adequate measures, the court said the regulator had not provided specific guidance on what actions were required. In that context, the court found that the company had taken its own measures. 

The court said that even if those measures appear insufficient in hindsight, it is difficult to conclude that Dunamu failed to fulfill its obligations due to intent or gross negligence, undermining the basis for the sanction. 

Related: Bithumb launches legal action to recover 7 Bitcoin from payout error

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FIU sanction triggered a legal challenge from Dunamu

On Feb. 25, 2025, the FIU imposed a three-month partial suspension on Dunamu, restricting new Upbit users from transferring digital assets. 

The regulator said the measure followed an on-site inspection that found Dunamu had facilitated transactions with unregistered overseas virtual asset providers (VASPs) and failed to meet customer due diligence requirements. 

The FIU previously said it identified over 600,000 suspected Know Your Customer violations during a review of Upbit’s exchange business license. 

In response to the sanction, Dunamu filed a lawsuit and requested an injunction to halt its enforcement shortly after the penalty was announced. On Feb. 28, 2025, Dunamu said it had submitted the case seeking to overturn the partial suspension order.

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On March 27, 2025, the court granted the injunction, allowing Upbit to continue onboarding new users while the case was under review. 

Magazine: Asia Express: Phantom Bitcoin checks, China tracks tax on blockchain