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CFTC Chair Mike Selig Says AI Offsets Crypto Staff Cuts

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • CFTC Chairman Mike Selig told lawmakers that AI tools help the agency maintain oversight despite a reduced workforce.
  • About 25% of the CFTC staff has left since 2025 following federal workforce cuts.
  • Selig said Microsoft Copilot supports internal workflows and investigations across the agency.
  • The enforcement division seeks three additional staff positions but remains below 2025 staffing levels.
  • Lawmakers questioned whether the CFTC has enough resources to oversee crypto and prediction markets.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission is expanding oversight of crypto and prediction markets despite fewer staff. Chairman Mike Selig told lawmakers that AI tools help maintain enforcement capacity. He said the agency continues rulemaking and investigations while operating with reduced personnel.

AI Tools Support Oversight as Workforce Shrinks

Selig told the House Agriculture Committee that AI supports surveillance and investigations. He said Microsoft’s Copilot assists staff across internal workflows and case reviews. He added that the agency runs “more efficiently and effectively” despite staff reductions.

About 25% of CFTC employees have left since 2025 under federal workforce cuts. Agency records show the enforcement division seeks three new hires next year. The request would raise staffing to 108, still 23% below the 140 positions in 2025.

Committee Chairman Glenn “GT” Thompson addressed the expanding mandate over digital assets and prediction markets. He asked Selig to request more qualified staff if operational needs rise. Selig replied, “Absolutely,” and reiterated that enforcement remains a “top priority.”

Representative Angie Craig questioned whether the workforce can meet current demands. She said the agency serves as the primary regulator of two fast-growing markets. Craig urged Congress to provide staff, funding, and statutory authority.

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The commission currently operates with only Selig as a member. Federal law calls for five commissioners, including two from the minority party. Lawmakers asked whether Selig would advance major rules alone.

Selig said the agency cannot slow rulemaking for the public’s sake. He confirmed plans to proceed with regulatory actions as a single commissioner. The CFTC has started a preliminary rule process for U.S. prediction markets.

Bitcoin and Ethereum Fall Under Expanding CFTC Role

The Senate continues work on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. The bill would assign the CFTC central authority over non-securities crypto trading. That mandate would include bitcoin at $75,158.21 and Ethereum’s ether.

Selig’s predecessor, Rostin Behnam, had argued for more staffing to oversee crypto. He said the agency lacked resources to police expanding prediction markets. Selig now leads the regulator during rapid growth in those markets.

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Platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi have expanded from millions to billions in annual volumes. Selig said the CFTC claims legal jurisdiction over these prediction markets. He acknowledged “numerous investigations ongoing” but declined to share numbers.

Selig said regulated platforms serve as the first line of defense. He described the CFTC as a second line against insider trading and fraud. He warned that violators will face “the full force of the law.”

He said the agency regularly rejects contracts that fail review. He stated, “We’re actively reviewing what’s out there,” and emphasized a “zero tolerance” policy. The CFTC continues to assess hundreds of new binary event markets each day.

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Nomura survey shows rising institutional crypto adoption driven by regulation and diversification

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Nomura pushes back on crypto retreat concerns as it tightens risk controls

Institutional investors are warming to digital assets, with improving sentiment and broader use cases emerging as key drivers of adoption, according to a new survey from Tokyo-based bank Nomura and its crypto unit Laser Digital.

The study, based on responses from more than 500 investment professionals in Japan, found that 31% of respondents now hold a positive outlook on crypto over the next year, up from 25% in 2024. Meanwhile, negative sentiment has declined, pointing to a gradual shift in perception as the asset class matures.

A central theme is diversification. Some 65% of respondents said they view crypto as a portfolio diversifier, while 79% of those considering exposure plan to invest within three years. Most expect relatively modest allocations — typically between 2% and 5% — suggesting institutions are still in the early stages of adoption.

That shift is being supported by a changing regulatory and policy backdrop. In Japan, policymakers have spent the past year refining crypto frameworks, including discussions around classification, taxation and investor protections. Globally, clearer rules in major markets — alongside the approval and expansion of crypto investment products such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and tokenized assets — have reduced some of the uncertainty that previously kept institutions on the sidelines.

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As a result, interest is expanding beyond simple price exposure. More than 60% of respondents expressed interest in staking, lending, derivatives and tokenized assets, reflecting growing demand for yield-generating strategies and more sophisticated portfolio construction.

Stablecoins are also gaining traction, with 63% of respondents identifying potential use cases ranging from treasury management to cross-border payments and investment in tokenized securities.

Still, barriers remain. Concerns around volatility, counterparty risk and the lack of established valuation frameworks continue to weigh on adoption. Regulatory uncertainty, while improving, has not fully disappeared.

Even so, the survey suggests the conversation is shifting. Rather than debating whether to invest in crypto, institutions are increasingly focused on how to do so — a sign that digital assets are moving closer to becoming a standard component of institutional portfolios.

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Peter Schiff raises concerns over MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin funding strategy

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Goldbug Peter Schiff says the U.S. dollar is facing massive deleveraging as metals surge and crypto stalls

Peter Schiff, a well-known Bitcoin critic and gold advocate, has raised concerns about MicroStrategy’s ongoing Bitcoin acquisition strategy. 

Summary

  • Peter Schiff says MicroStrategy Bitcoin funding model may increase shareholder dilution through repeated share issuance.
  • Company shifts toward 11.5% yield preferred shares as earlier funding methods become less effective.
  • Debate continues as analysts disagree whether MicroStrategy faces risk or retains financial flexibility.

The company has continued to expand its holdings through a mix of debt and equity issuance.

Schiff stated that MicroStrategy’s approach is becoming harder to sustain under current market conditions. He said “the company is shifting toward more expensive capital” while referencing recent financing changes linked to preferred shares.

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He added that earlier funding methods, which included issuing shares at higher valuations, are becoming less effective in the present environment.

MicroStrategy has recently relied more on preferred share offerings with higher yield obligations. Schiff noted that the company is now issuing instruments with yields around 11.5 percent.

He said ”these obligations cannot be covered by software earnings alone” when describing the firm’s financial position. The company’s core software business has limited profit contribution compared to its Bitcoin exposure.

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Schiff stated that funding future purchases may require additional issuance of preferred shares, discounted equity, or Bitcoin sales. He argued this could increase pressure on shareholders through dilution over time.

Claims of structural risk and market reaction

Schiff described the company’s financing approach as vulnerable if market conditions weaken. He said the structure depends heavily on continued access to capital markets.

Canadian billionaire Frank Giustra also commented on the strategy, calling it ”a giant ponzi that will unravel when the next financial crisis hits” according to remarks cited in reports. He suggested that macroeconomic stress could expose weaknesses in the model.

The comments reflect ongoing debate over corporate treasury strategies that rely on digital assets as a primary reserve.

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Additionally, market research group BitMEX Research provided a different view on MicroStrategy’s approach. The firm stated that MicroStrategy is not under forced liquidation pressure and still has financial flexibility.

BitMEX Research said ”nobody is forcing MSTR to do this” and described the strategy as potentially beneficial under current conditions. It noted that the company can adjust financing terms, including coupon rates, instead of selling assets.

The discussion continues as MicroStrategy maintains one of the largest corporate Bitcoin holdings while using structured financial instruments to support its accumulation strategy.

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Bitcoin Halts Gains as US-Iran War, Hormuz Closure Make a Comeback

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Bitcoin Halts Gains as US-Iran War, Hormuz Closure Make a Comeback

Bitcoin foreshadows fresh market mayhem as it appears that the US-Iran war has returned, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz oil route.

Bitcoin (BTC) sought to protect $75,000 into Sunday’s weekly close as crypto surfed fresh uncertainty over the US-Iran war.

Key points:

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  • Bitcoin price action sinks from ten-week highs amid fears that the US-Iran war has returned in full force.

  • Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, bringing back the risk of an oil-price surge.

  • BTC price action faces ongoing resistance at a 21-week trend line into the weekly close.

Bitcoin abandons highs as US-Iran war fears return

Data from TradingView showed BTC price pressure reentering after a trip to ten-week highs of $78,400 on Friday.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Mixed signals from US and Iranian sources characterized the weekend, with an assumed ceasefire and mutual agreements between the two sides now seemingly undone.

Among the latest developments was the repeat closure of the Strait of Hormuz, putting the focus on oil futures on the day. News of a ceasefire had sent WTI crude below $80 per barrel for the first time since March 10.

“We expect an eventful Sunday ahead,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter summarized in ongoing analysis on X.

CFDs on WTI crude oil one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

As BTC/USD circled local highs, and sentiment with it, market participants stayed cautious. Trading resource Material Indicators noted that the entire market mood could flip on relatively little input, such as a social media post.

“Sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish at the moment, but that could change with one Tweet in the coming days. Know your invalidations,” it told X followers.

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Data from CoinGlass showed long positions coming under fire during the BTC price retracement, with total crypto liquidations at $260 million over the past 24 hours.

Crypto seven-day liquidation history (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

BTC price capped by resistance trend line

Continuing, trader Daan Crypto Trades eyed a potential gap in CME Group’s Bitcoin futures market opening as a result of the weekend comedown.

Related: Bitcoin can grow ‘probably a lot bigger’ than $30T+ gold market — Analysis

As Cointelegraph reported, such gaps often act as short-term price magnets when the new week begins.

“It’s going to be interesting to see the futures open today and how $OIL will react to the recent headlines regarding the strait,” he added.

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BTC/USDT 15-minute chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

Looking at the weekly close, trader and analyst Rekt Capital placed importance on Bitcoin’s 21-week exponential moving average (EMA) near $78,900.

“Bitcoin is rejecting from the 21-week EMA (green),” he observed alongside the weekly chart. 

“It is this rejection that could force a post-breakout retest of the top of the Double Bottom (~$73k) next week, provided Bitcoin Weekly Closes just like this.”

BTC/USD one-week chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X