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Strategy (MSTR) Stock: Analyst Slashes Target 60% Yet Keeps Buy Rating

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MSTR Stock Card

TLDR

  • Strategy stock dropped 5.7% to $125.66 Wednesday, tracking toward its lowest close since September 2024
  • Canaccord Genuity maintained a Buy rating while cutting its price target from $474 to $185, a 60% reduction
  • The company’s 713,502 Bitcoin holdings are valued at $53.6 billion as Bitcoin trades around $73,000
  • Strategy’s premium to Bitcoin assets compressed to 1.06x from previous multiples exceeding 2x
  • Analyst expects Bitcoin to rally 20% in 2026 and Strategy to reach a 1.25x valuation multiple

Strategy stock extended its losing streak Wednesday with a 5.7% decline to $125.66. The drop followed Canaccord Genuity’s decision to cut its price target by 60%.


MSTR Stock Card
Strategy Inc, MSTR

The firm lowered its target from $474 to $185. Canaccord maintained its Buy rating despite the substantial reduction.

Strategy shares are down 72% since July. Wednesday’s decline put the stock on pace for its lowest close since September 9, 2024.

The price target cut reflects Bitcoin’s sharp decline. The cryptocurrency dropped to around $73,000 after hitting record highs above $126,000 in October.

Strategy holds 713,502 Bitcoins worth approximately $53.6 billion. The company’s average purchase price is $76,052 per coin.

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Bitcoin Premium Evaporates

Strategy’s valuation premium has collapsed. The stock’s market-to-net-asset-value ratio now stands at 1.06. Investors previously paid more than 2x the value of Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings.

Bitcoin recently traded below Strategy’s average cost. This sparked worries about the company’s debt and dividend payments.

Canaccord analyst Joseph Vani dismissed those concerns. Strategy carries $8 billion in convertible debt against $53.6 billion in Bitcoin assets.

Vani said dividend payments on preferred stock can be funded through modest share sales. He described Strategy’s structure as built to survive a prolonged crypto downturn.

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Bitcoin Rebound Expected

The analyst believes Bitcoin has been incorrectly treated as a risk asset. Vani argues it should trade as a store of value based on scarcity and verifiability.

“MSTR shares remain a bit of a lightning rod for media attention when BTC is weak,” Vani wrote. He suggested the business model was designed for market volatility.

Canaccord projects Bitcoin will rebound approximately 20% in 2026. The firm acknowledged uncertainty around timing the recovery.

Strategy won’t recapture its previous premium anytime soon. Canaccord expects shares to reach a 1.25x multiple relative to Bitcoin assets.

Strategy reports fourth-quarter earnings Thursday. The company will likely post an unrealized loss due to Bitcoin’s quarterly decline.

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Vani emphasized Bitcoin’s outlook matters more than quarterly results. Strategy’s performance remains directly tied to cryptocurrency prices.

The company pioneered the digital-asset treasury strategy. Strategy issues equity and debt to accumulate Bitcoin holdings.

Bitcoin hit its lowest point in over a year Tuesday. The cryptocurrency’s weakness has pressured Strategy stock throughout the downturn.

Canaccord believes Bitcoin’s sell-off may be nearing an end. The firm sees the cryptocurrency as undervalued at current levels.

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Strategy’s convertible debt remains manageable relative to its Bitcoin position. The company’s holdings provide substantial coverage for its obligations.

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Bitcoin Dips Below $70K After FOMC Meeting, Ethereum Loses $2.2K Support: Market Watch

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BTCUSD Chart March 19.. Source: TradingView


There are several double-digit movers from the altcoin space, including HASH and RIVER, both of which have skyrocketed by over 12% daily.

Bitcoin’s price rejection at $76,000 a couple of days ago only accelerated yesterday and earlier today, with the asset dipping below $70,000 for the first time since last Thursday.

The altcoins have faced enhanced volatility as well, with ETH dropping below $2,200 and XRP slipping beneath $1.50. ZEC, WLD, and MNT have plummeted by double digits.

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BTC Price Dips Below $70K

The primary cryptocurrency touched $74,000 last Friday when it was stopped and pushed south toward $70,000 during the weekend after the latest bombings in the Middle East. However, it maintained that level, and the bulls stepped up as the new business week began.

The culmination took place on Tuesday morning when bitcoin shot up to its highest price level in roughly six weeks at $76,000. Nevertheless, its progress was quickly halted, and the asset retraced to $74,000.

Although it remained there at first on Wednesday, more volatility ensued in the hours leading up to the highly anticipated second FOMC meeting of the year. BTC dropped by several grand to just under $71,000 when the Fed announced what many expected that it wouldn’t change the interest rates.

Bitcoin bounced to $72,000 at first, but nosedived once again on Thursday morning, dropping below $70,000 for the first time in a week. Despite rebounding to just over that level now, it’s still 5% down on the day. Its market cap has dropped to $1.410 trillion, and its dominance over the alts is down to 56.3% on CG.

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BTCUSD Chart March 19.. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD Chart March 19. Source: TradingView

Altcoins Bleed

Most larger-cap alts have followed BTC on the way south. Ethereum is down by over 6% daily and sits well below $2,200. XRP lost the $1.50 support after a 3.5% decline. BNB has dipped beneath $650, SOL is down to $90, while ADA, LINK, and XMR have posted even more significant losses.

The biggest daily declines are evident from ZEC (-14%), WLD (-13%), MNT (-11%), and TAO (-10%). In contrast, HASH and RIVER have surged by double digits to $0.144 and $26.6, respectively.

The total crypto market cap, though, has erased $100 billion since yesterday’s peak and is down to $2.5 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview March 19. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview March 19. Source: QuantifyCrypto

 

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XAG/USD Analysis: Silver Drops to March Low

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XAG/USD Analysis: Silver Drops to March Low

As seen on the XAG/USD chart, the price of silver fell to the $70 level and briefly pierced it, marking the lowest level since early February.

Although geopolitical tensions typically support demand for safe-haven assets, silver is under pressure from expectations of a fresh inflationary surge driven by rising energy prices (as noted earlier, Brent crude has risen above $110).

Yesterday’s “hawkish” comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also played a role. The Fed maintained interest rates, signalling that any future cuts would only occur if inflation stabilises.

Technical Analysis of XAG/USD

On 4 March, analysing the XAG/USD chart, we:
→ drew a blue ascending channel;
→ suggested that price action around the channel’s median could provide key signals.

Over time, the median proved to be a strong resistance. By 10 March, point C had formed, after which:
→ on 13 March, the blue channel was breached;
→ on 17 March, price showed an intraday bearish reversal from the breakout level.

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Trading volume analysis indicates that the market remains under considerable pressure.

Although the long lower shadow on the candle near the psychological $70 mark indicates some buyer activity, the overall picture remains bearish. A red descending channel can be drawn on the silver price chart, with its median potentially acting as resistance in the near term, thereby confirming the validity of the constructed channel.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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XRP Treasury Evernorth Submits SEC Filing for Planned Nasdaq Listing

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XRP Treasury Evernorth Submits SEC Filing for Planned Nasdaq Listing


Evernorth said its $1 billion proceeds will support building what it expects to be Nasdaq’s largest publicly traded XRP treasury firm.

Nevada-based Evernorth has formally submitted a Form S-4 registration statement to the US Securities and Exchange Commission tied to its planned merger with Armada Acquisition Corp. II.

The latest move advances a deal that would take the XRP-focused treasury firm public on Nasdaq.

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Evernorth’s SPAC Deal

The filing introduces Evernorth as a regulated corporate vehicle structured to give public market investors exposure to XRP through an actively managed treasury strategy. The disclosure provides the first look at the firm’s operational blueprint, including how it intends to allocate, manage, and report its XRP holdings within a public company framework.

The company said it has secured more than $1 billion in gross proceeds from a group of institutional backers, among them Ripple Labs, SBI Holdings, Pantera Capital, Kraken, and Arrington Capital, the sponsor behind Armada II. The proceeds will be used to support the creation of what it expects to be the largest public XRP treasury company on Nasdaq. The registration statement, which includes a preliminary proxy statement and prospectus, remains under SEC review and has not yet been declared effective.

Completion of the transaction is subject to approval by Armada II shareholders and other standard closing requirements. Upon closing, the combined entity is expected to trade on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the ticker “XPRN,” pending exchange approval.

Commenting on the development, Michael Arrington, founder of Arrington Capital, said,

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“Evernorth continues to emerge as a key gateway for capital markets, underscoring XRP’s rising influence in bridging traditional finance and real-time innovation. This continued progress by Evernorth reflects a wider wave of achievement and momentum of the XRP ecosystem as it expands utility across global finance.”

Evernorth’s announcement comes just days after the SEC issued new guidance, where XRP was included in a group of assets treated as digital commodities. According to the agency, securities regulations typically extend only to tokenized securities, excluding most other digital assets from such legal classification and regulatory scope.

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Price Struggle

On the price side of things, $1.50 remains a major hurdle for XRP. The crypto asset surged past this level at the beginning of the week but failed to sustain the momentum. After shedding almost 4% over the past 24 hours, it was trading near $1.46.

Experts say the CLARITY Act could be a major catalyst for XRP. According to EGRAG CRYPTO, the bill may determine whether the token breaks above the $1.65-$1.70 resistance range. The analyst found that the token is forming an ascending triangle, a pattern which is often linked to breakouts, and sees a 65% chance of an upward move. However, a delay in the legislation could lead to a rejection or false breakout.

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ECB Opens Work on ATM, Payments for Digital Euro

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ECB Opens Work on ATM, Payments for Digital Euro

The European Central Bank (ECB) is seeking industry experts to contribute to workstreams focused on how the digital euro central bank digital currency would function across ATMs, payment terminals and acceptance infrastructure. 

In an announcement published Wednesday, the ECB opened applications for two workstreams under its Rulebook Development Group (RDG), covering implementation specifications for ATM and terminal providers, as well as certification and approval frameworks for payment solutions. 

The initiative revolves around defining how a potential digital euro would integrate with existing payment systems and hardware, including support for offline transactions and interoperability with standards used across Europe. 

The move signals a deeper shift from policy design toward implementation planning, with the ECB seeking input on how a digital euro would work across ATMs, payment terminals and related infrastructure, including offline use and existing technical standards.

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Related: ECB reveals Appia roadmap for central bank money in Europe’s tokenized markets

Workstreams target ATM integration, certification frameworks

According to the ECB, one workstream will focus on developing implementation specifications for ATM and terminal providers. This includes communication technologies, offline functionality and the reuse of existing payment standards. 

The second workstream will develop proposals for testing, certification and approval processes for payment solutions and infrastructure used by payment service providers within the digital euro ecosystem. 

Related: Stablecoins could weaken bank lending and monetary policy in Europe: ECB

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The workstreams will report to the RDG, which includes representatives from merchants, payment service providers and consumers. 

The ECB said selected experts are expected to provide technical input to support the development of a standardized rulebook.

ECB targets 2027 digital euro pilot

The ECB previously outlined plans to start selecting European Union-licensed payment service providers (PSPs) ahead of a 12-month digital euro pilot expected to start in the second half of 2027

On Feb. 18, ECB Executive Board Member Piero Cipollone said the pilot would involve a limited number of merchants, Eurosystem staff and PSPs. 

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Digital euro pilot information. Source: ECB

While the developments point toward continued progress on a digital euro, the ECB said a final decision on whether to issue it will only be taken after the relevant legislation is adopted.