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XRP Reclaims Fourth in Crypto Rankings After Flipping BNB: Is Ethereum Within Reach?

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

    • XRP reclaimed fourth place in global crypto rankings with a market cap of around $91 billion.
    • The SEC and CFTC jointly classified XRP as a digital commodity on March 17, boosting trading volume 250%.
    • Only 16% of XRP ETF assets come from institutions, leaving significant room for larger capital inflows.
    • XRP would need to reach roughly $4.79 per token to match Ethereum’s current $295 billion market cap.

XRP price has reclaimed fourth place in global crypto rankings, overtaking BNB with a market cap near $91 billion. The two assets have swapped positions multiple times since March 2026.

XRP trades around $1.50 as of writing, following a 10% rally. Ethereum holds a much larger market cap of roughly $295 billion. Three key developments, however, could close that gap considerably in the months ahead.

The Structural Shift Behind XRP’s Rise Over BNB

For much of the past three years, XRP and BNB have exchanged the fourth-place ranking repeatedly. XRP grabbed it in early 2025, lost it, then reclaimed it in July at a cycle high of $3.65. The token slid back as the broader market corrected through late 2025 and into early 2026.

The March 2026 flip carried more weight than previous ones. On March 17, the SEC and CFTC jointly classified XRP as a digital commodity. Banks and asset managers that had previously avoided XRP over securities concerns could now hold and trade it freely.

XRP spiked to $1.60 that day, with trading volume surging roughly 250%. The rally faded after the Fed held rates and raised its inflation forecast. BNB briefly reclaimed fourth on March 23 before XRP pulled ahead once again.

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Three Catalysts That Could Drive XRP Higher

The CLARITY Act remains the most closely watched catalyst for XRP price. It cleared the House in July 2025 and is targeting a Senate Banking Committee markup in late April. Unlike March’s regulatory guidance, the CLARITY Act would permanently cement XRP’s commodity classification.

XRP ETFs represent another growing driver in the market. Currently, six XRP ETFs operate in the U.S., with retail investors holding about 84% of assets. Institutions account for only 16%, leaving substantial room for larger inflows as legal certainty grows.

Real-world adoption through Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity service adds consistent organic buying pressure. ODL uses XRP to settle cross-border payments in seconds without pre-funded destination accounts.

Expanding ODL corridors throughout 2025 and 2026 have steadily built a foundation of transaction-driven demand.

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What XRP Realistically Needs to Reach Ethereum’s Level

XRP at $1.50 carries a market cap of about $91 billion, compared to Ethereum’s $295 billion. Matching Ethereum’s current valuation would require XRP to reach approximately $4.79 per token. That translates to a 219% move from where it trades today.

A more achievable target for 2026 is a range between $3.00 and $4.00. That range would roughly double XRP’s market cap, placing it about halfway toward Ethereum’s current standing. Getting there still requires the CLARITY Act to pass and macro conditions to stabilize.

Flipping Ethereum this year would need nearly every catalyst aligning at once. A legislative win, a macro recovery, and accelerating ETF inflows would all have to converge simultaneously. That combination is not impossible, but remains a considerable stretch within a single calendar year.

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Crypto World

Caitlyn Jenner Memecoin Not a Security, Judge Rules

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Court, Memecoin

US media personality and former Olympian Caitlyn Jenner has escaped a class-action lawsuit after a federal judge ruled her memecoin was not a security under US law.

California federal judge Stanley Blumenfeld Jr. wrote in an order on Thursday that the lawsuit failed to plausibly plead that Caitlyn Jenner (JENNER) tokens were investment contracts, as they didn’t pool investor money or use funds to develop “any related product or technology.”

“Defendants stated that ‘[t]he $JENNER token is a memecoin on the Ethereum blockchain intended solely for entertainment purposes,’ and that its value would increase because Jenner would use her fame and influence to promote it, increasing demand,” the order said.

“Promotion alone, however, does not establish a common enterprise absent pooling or a structure linking investor fortunes,” it added.

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A group of JENNER memecoin buyers first sued Jenner and her late manager, Sophia Hutchins, in November 2024, claiming they lost thousands of dollars as the token’s price collapsed and that JENNER was an unregistered securities offering.

Court, Memecoin
Caitlyn Jenner, pictured at a conference in 2017, was sued by a group of buyers of her memecoin that claimed they lost thousands of dollars. Source: Web Summit

Blumenfeld tossed the suit in May 2025 for failure to state a claim, and the group filed an amended complaint later that same month, led by Lee Greenfield, a UK citizen who claimed he lost more than $40,000 investing in JENNER.

The amended complaint had argued that investors had pooled their assets as Jenner promised that once the token reached a market value of $50 million, a 3% transaction fee would fund token buybacks, marketing, donations to Donald Trump’s presidential campaign and a token for ownership in Jenner’s Olympic gold medal.

Blumenfeld wrote that the amended complaint heavily focused on planned donations to Trump, but didn’t explain how investors believed that doing so would provide a financial return to them.

“Nor is it clear that the alleged plan to distribute fractionalized ownership interests in Jenner’s gold medal has any bearing on Greenfield’s claim, since the plan was not announced until August 2024—after the last of his purchases—and was never executed,” he added.

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Blumenfeld denied allowing the class group another chance to amend the lawsuit and added that claims regarding contracts and common law fraud under California law were best sent to state court.

JENNER was first launched on the Solana blockchain via the memecoin creator Pump.fun in May 2024. It was soon embroiled in controversy after Jenner and other memecoin launching celebrities claimed they were scammed by Sahil Arora, a claimed collaborator on the tokens.

Jenner relaunched the token on Ethereum, which investors claimed diminished the value of the original Solana token. The token has since essentially lost all of its value after hitting a peak value of nearly $7.5 million in June 2024.

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