Crypto World
Is a 37% Drop Next?
Bitcoin has entered a critical phase after its recent correction dragged the price toward the $70,000 level. Viewed through a macro lens, this move has exposed BTC to elevated downside risk.
Several on-chain and technical indicators now align with a bearish outlook. However, large holders are actively accumulating, attempting to slow or reverse the developing trend.
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Bitcoin Loses A Major On-Chain Support
Bitcoin has dropped below the True Market Mean for the first time since September 2023. This metric reflects the aggregate cost basis of actively circulating supply. Trading below it signals weakening conviction among participants and marks a structural shift in market behavior.
The loss of this anchor confirms deterioration that has been forming since late November. From a mid-term perspective, Bitcoin is now confined within a broader valuation corridor. Upside momentum has weakened, while downside pressure continues to build across multiple timeframes.
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On the downside, the Realized Price near $55,800 represents the historical level where long-term capital re-enters. On the upside, the True Market Mean of around $80,200 has flipped into resistance. This configuration limits recovery potential and increases the probability of further downside exploration.
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Bitcoin’s Macro Outlook Suggests 37% Crash
This structural weakness aligns with a macro bearish setup visible on the charts. Bitcoin is breaking down from a Head and Shoulders pattern that has been developing for months. This formation carries a projected downside of roughly 37%, targeting $51,511 if fully realized.
The sharp 20% decline over the past week accelerated this breakdown. Rapid selling pressure confirmed the pattern’s neckline breach, intensifying bearish momentum. Such moves often lead to follow-through declines as trapped long positions unwind.
The next critical support below $70,000 sits at $68,072. Losing this level would validate the bearish projection. A decisive break would likely trigger additional liquidations, increasing volatility, and accelerating price movement toward lower structural levels.
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BTC Whales Jump In As Rescue
Despite mounting bearish signals, Bitcoin whales are actively attempting to prevent further downside. Addresses holding between 10,000 and 100,000 BTC have accumulated more than 50,000 BTC in just four days. At current prices, this accumulation exceeds $3.58 billion.
This behavior reflects strategic positioning rather than speculative trading. Large holders often accumulate during periods of fear, especially after sharp corrections. Bitcoin slipping below $75,000 appears to have created an attractive entry zone for long-term capital.
If whale accumulation continues, it could absorb sell-side pressure and stabilize the price. Historically, such activity has preceded short-term rebounds. However, sustained impact depends on broader market sentiment and whether retail selling pressure subsides.
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BTC Price Is Close To Falling Below $70,000
Bitcoin price is trading near $69,500 at the time of writing after a 20% weekly decline. For now, BTC is yet to close a daily candle below $70,000 psychological support. This level has acted as a demand zone in previous corrections, making it critical for near-term stability.
From a short-term perspective, downside risks remain elevated. A breakdown below $68,442 would likely trigger accelerated selling. Under that scenario, Bitcoin could fall toward $65,360. Losing that support may expose BTC to a deeper slide toward $62,893.
Alternatively, whale accumulation could influence price direction. A successful defense of $70,000 may allow Bitcoin to rebound toward $75,000. Reclaiming that level as support would invalidate the immediate bearish thesis and reopen the path toward $80,000 if momentum improves.
Crypto investment products posted another week of net inflows, but the pace slowed as markets reacted to the latest US Federal Reserve meeting.
Summary
- Crypto ETPs extended their inflow streak to four weeks, though momentum dropped sharply after FOMC.
- Bitcoin funds added $219.2 million, while Ether products saw $27.5 million in weekly outflows.
- US spot Bitcoin ETFs stayed positive, but spot Ether ETFs recorded fresh weekly outflows.
Data from CoinShares showed that digital asset exchange-traded products brought in $230 million last week, extending the positive run to four straight weeks.
CoinShares reported that crypto ETPs recorded $230 million in net inflows during the week. That figure was well below the $1.06 billion posted a week earlier, showing that investor demand cooled as the week progressed.
James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, linked the slowdown to a “hawkish pause” reading of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting. He said the weekly pattern supported that view, as products saw solid inflows early in the week before flows turned lower after the Fed decision.
Bitcoin (BTC) investment products drew the largest share of last week’s inflows. CoinShares data showed that Bitcoin funds added $219.2 million, accounting for nearly all of the week’s net gains across the digital asset product market.
Ether products moved in the opposite direction. They posted $27.5 million in outflows, ending a three-week inflow streak. The reversal came as investors reduced exposure after the Fed meeting and a broader change in risk appetite.
In addition, Solana continued to stand out among altcoin-focused products. Solana ETPs brought in $17 million last week, marking the seventh straight week of inflows. That pushed the total for the streak to $136 million.
Other digital assets also posted gains. Chainlink products recorded $4.6 million in inflows, while Hyperliquid products added $4.5 million. These numbers showed that interest in selected altcoins remained in place even as broader market momentum slowed.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs stay positive for the week
US spot Bitcoin ETFs contributed a large share of Bitcoin-related inflows. SoSoValue data showed that these funds brought in $95.2 million last week, helping extend their winning run to four consecutive weeks.
The four-week stretch lifted total gains for US spot Bitcoin ETFs to $2.2 billion over that period. Even so, the funds still showed about $400 million in net outflows for the year. US spot Ether ETFs also lost momentum, recording about $60 million in weekly outflows and $599 million in outflows year to date.
Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the world’s largest public holder of Bitcoin (BTC), bought another 1,031 Bitcoin last week in a much smaller purchase than its previous two weekly buys, funding the acquisition with sales of Class A common stock.
Strategy acquired 1,031 Bitcoin for $76.6 million last week, according to an 8-K filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday.
The purchases were made at an average price of $74,326 per coin, below the company’s overall average acquisition price of $75,694. Bitcoin averaged around $70,871 for the week of March 16-22, based on daily closing prices.
The new acquisitions bring Strategy’s holdings to 762,099 BTC, acquired for a total cost of roughly $57.69 billion, the company said.
Common stock funded the latest buy
Strategy’s relatively modest purchase follows larger Bitcoin acquisitions recently, including a 22,337 BTC buy reported last Monday and a 17,994 BTC buy a week earlier.
The 22,337 BTC ($1.6 billion) purchase ranks among Strategy’s largest on record and was largely funded through sales of its perpetual preferred equity, Stretch (STRC). The stock generated approximately $1.2 billion, accounting for about 75% of the total purchase.
Related: Strategy records biggest STRC issuance day with estimated 1,420 BTC buy
Unlike the prior week’s funding mix, the latest purchase appears to have been funded through sales of Strategy’s Class A common stock rather than preferred equity.
Strategy has bought 41,362 Bitcoin for around $2.93 billion in March. With Bitcoin trading at $70,430 at the time of writing, the company is down around 7% on its BTC holdings, now worth around $54 billion, according to data from CoinGecko.
Related: Strategy halts Bitcoin buying via STRC: Will BTC price dip again?
Strategy’s holdings are roughly 3% below the Bitcoin holdings of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), which held about 785,300 BTC on behalf of its clients after the close of trading on Friday.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs collectively held nearly 1.3 million BTC as of March 20, representing roughly 6.1% of the 21 million maximum Bitcoin supply, according to data from WalletPilot.
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Arkham data shows a wallet cluster holding 644 million SIREN, about 88% of the 728 million circulating supply, raising manipulation concerns.
Crypto token Siren surged 340% in the last week, amid claims that a large portion of the circulating supply may be concentrated among a small group of wallets.
Siren markets itself as the “first AI analyst agent deployed on BNB Chain.” At the time of writing, CoinGecko data shows SIREN trading at $2.81, up over 340% from $0.63 on March 16. In the past month, the token exploded by nearly 1,300% from $0.22. The rally drew scrutiny after analysts said a large share of the token’s supply may be concentrated in a small group of wallets, a dynamic that could amplify volatility if confirmed.
Citing an unverified custom entity created by Arkham Intelligence, onchain analyst EmberCN said the party cornered nearly all spot supply to profit off contracts. He said this was the secret behind the token’s surge in the past month.
According to the Arkham Intelligence page, the entity holds 644 million SIREN (worth around $1.8 billion). The amount accounts for 88% of the entire circulating supply of 728 million tokens.
Crypto analysts point to wallet clustering
On X, pseudonymous crypto analyst Mlmabc warned his followers on Sunday to be careful trading the token, adding that “supply is heavily cornered.” Mlmabc said a cluster of wallets is currently sitting on $950 million in unrealized profit, implying that it could dump the tokens on potential buyers.
Citing his own Dune Analytics dashboard, Bitcoin Strategy analyst Gerhard Kuschnik said most of the Siren token trading activity over the last month, when SIREN surged, was not from new users. Kuschnik said these were trading activities by existing holders, arguing that the token is not gaining new interest.
Related: ‘Hawk Tuah’ girl Haliey Welch says memecoin implosion ‘traumatized’ her
“The vast majority of trading happens by returning users,” adding that the average new user that bought into the token during its surge averaged between 100 and 200.
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Key takeaways
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This $3.4 million scam shows how modern crypto fraud increasingly relies on social engineering rather than technical exploits.
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Scammers used a gradual grooming process, engaging victims in friendly conversations over time to build emotional trust before introducing any financial discussion. It closely resembled the pig-butchering model.
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The investment pitch combined Ether’s growth potential with the perceived stability of gold. This created a compelling but fraudulent narrative that convinced victims they were gaining access to an exclusive, low-risk opportunity.
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Victims were told to buy Ether themselves on legitimate platforms and transfer it to provided wallets. This gave them a false sense of control and legitimacy.
This scam did not begin with a phishing link or hacked wallet. It started with a simple message: “Sorry, wrong number.”
According to US prosecutors, the interaction evolved into a social engineering scheme that defrauded victims of millions and led to the seizure of $3.4 million in USDt (USDT).
From innocent messages to multimillion-dollar fraud
Federal prosecutors in Boston have initiated a civil forfeiture proceeding to recover approximately $3.44 million in USDt linked to a suspected online investment fraud.
According to authorities, the funds were seized in early 2025 as part of an investigation launched in late 2024 after complaints from victims in multiple US states who reported significant financial losses.
The operation did not involve sophisticated technical exploits. Instead, it relied on a well-known yet remarkably effective tactic: social engineering. Fraudsters used ordinary, everyday interactions to deceive unsuspecting victims.
Victims received texts or chat messages that appeared to have been sent by mistake. Fraudsters used apps like WhatsApp and Telegram to send these messages.
On the surface, the communication appeared completely ordinary. There was no pressure, no immediate request and no clear warning signs.
This lack of an obvious threat is one reason the method can be so effective.
Unlike crypto scams that trigger immediate suspicion, the “wrong number” approach:
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Appears natural and socially appropriate
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Encourages polite replies
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Creates an opportunity for ongoing dialogue
In this case, as in similar ones, what begins as an apparent mistake soon evolves into an opening for further contact.
The grooming stage: Gradually establishing trust
Following the initial exchange, scammers avoid rushing the process. They cultivate trust gradually through friendly conversations, the sharing of seemingly personal information and the maintenance of a consistent, reliable persona.
Rather than introducing financial topics too early, the scammers:
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Create a sense of emotional ease
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Make regular communication feel normal
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Foster the appearance of a genuine personal connection
This strategy aligns with a broader category of fraud commonly known as pig-butchering, in which victims are methodically “groomed” before being targeted for financial gain.
By the time money becomes part of the discussion, victims often believe they are interacting with someone familiar rather than an unknown fraudster.
Did you know? The “wrong number” scam technique evolved from earlier email scams in which fraudsters pretended to contact the wrong person. Messaging apps have made this tactic more effective by enabling real-time, casual conversations that feel more authentic.
The pitch: A fake Ether investment tied to gold
After building initial trust, scammers subtly shifted the discussion toward lucrative investment opportunities. Victims were presented with what appeared to be a privileged Ether (ETH) investment opportunity, supposedly tied to tangible gold holdings.
This pairing appears to have been deliberate.
It merged:
Together, these elements created an attractive narrative: the promise of substantial returns while minimizing perceived risk.
Victims were told they were being given access to a rare, exclusive opportunity that was not available to the general public.
The transaction method: Why victims purchased Ether
Instead of requesting direct transfers, the fraudsters instructed victims to:
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Buy Ether through established, legitimate exchanges
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Send the purchased Ether to designated wallet addresses
This approach had a significant psychological impact.
Victims felt reassured because they:
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Conducted transactions on genuine, well-known platforms
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Personally handled and authorized the purchase
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Could observe and verify the funds in their own wallets before the transfer
As a result, the process never felt like directly giving money to fraudsters. Instead, it appeared to be genuine participation in a legitimate investment opportunity.
Did you know? In many fraud cases, scammers appear to operate in organized groups using scripted playbooks. Some teams specialize only in the “conversation phase,” while others handle crypto transactions, showing how modern fraud has become structured like a business operation.
What occurred after the Ether transfer
After victims sent their Ether to fraudsters:
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The funds were routed through various intermediary wallet addresses
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They were then converted into USDt, a stablecoin pegged to the US dollar
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Finally, the stablecoins were transferred to unhosted wallets controlled by the perpetrators
This sequence was designed to:
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Conceal the transaction path
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Disconnect the funds from their original source
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Significantly complicate efforts to recover them
Nevertheless, blockchain records, combined with investigative tools, helped authorities trace the money trail. The process ultimately resulted in the seizure of assets.
Part of a larger fraud pattern
This prosecution fits into a broader wave of cryptocurrency-related fraud cases. Authorities across the US have taken action against pig-butchering frauds and romance scams. They have also launched crackdowns on laundering operations involving stablecoins.
Across these incidents, common traits appear:
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Initial outreach through social media, dating apps or informal platforms
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A slow, deliberate process of cultivating trust
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A pivot toward cryptocurrency “investment” opportunities
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Fund transfers through layered transactions
While the specific methods and technologies may vary, the intent and strategy remain consistent.
Did you know? Crypto scams often use multiple blockchains to move funds, not just one. After converting assets into stablecoins, scammers may bridge them across networks to make tracking and recovery efforts even more difficult.
Why this scam proved effective
The core reason these schemes succeed is that they are rooted in psychology rather than in any technological flaw.
The perpetrators did not exploit vulnerabilities in the system itself. Instead, they targeted and manipulated predictable patterns of human behavior.
Several critical psychological elements contributed:
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Politeness bias: Individuals tend to reply politely even to messages that appear accidental.
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Trust formation: Consistent, repeated contact creates a growing sense of familiarity and comfort.
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Perceived control: Victims personally handled the purchase and transfer of funds.
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Credibility: Linking the high-growth promise of cryptocurrency with the time-tested stability of gold gave the proposal greater believability.
By the time the fraud unraveled, the victim had already become deeply committed both emotionally and financially.
The legal response: Moving from seizure to permanent forfeiture
The US government initiated a civil forfeiture proceeding to recover the seized assets.
Through this legal mechanism, authorities are able to:
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Assert ownership over property suspected of being linked to criminal conduct
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Obtain judicial authorization for the permanent forfeiture of those assets
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Allow victims or other third parties an opportunity to file legitimate claims to the property
Unlike criminal prosecutions, civil forfeiture proceedings focus on the assets themselves and do not necessarily require a criminal conviction to move forward.
Warning signs to recognize
Scams of this nature tend to follow well-established patterns. Important red flags to watch for include:
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Unsolicited messages claiming to have been sent in error
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The rapid development of rapport and trust by previously unknown individuals
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Discussions that gradually shift toward investment suggestions
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Promises of exclusive access or guaranteed high returns in cryptocurrency
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Instructions to send funds or cryptocurrency to external wallet addresses
Any investment proposal that arises from a random conversation should be approached with the highest level of skepticism.
What to do if you receive similar messages
If you receive an unsolicited message about a lucrative crypto investment, you should:
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Refrain from responding to or engaging with unfamiliar contacts
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Resist the urge to continue the conversation simply to be polite
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Never transfer money or cryptocurrency to wallet addresses provided by strangers
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Immediately block and report suspicious phone numbers, accounts or profiles
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Promptly notify law enforcement and the relevant platforms or exchanges if any funds have already been sent
Prompt action can sometimes improve the chances of authorities tracing the funds or freezing them.
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One of Switzerland’s most prominent banking dynasties has officially fractured. Marc Syz has walked away from his family’s CHF 24 billion legacy at Banque Syz to bet the firm’s future on a Bitcoin treasury strategy that his father rejected.
The split centers on Future Holdings AG, a corporate treasury vehicle holding 5,000 BTC. Marc Syz and partner Richard Byworth pushed to integrate the $450 million position directly into the bank’s alternative asset arm.
Eric Syz refused.
Now Marc is taking the unit public independently. The move exposes a deep fault line in Swiss wealth management between capital preservation and digital asset adoption. The window for compromise has closed.
- The Asset: Future Holdings AG holds over 5,000 BTC in its corporate treasury, valued at approximately $450 million as of March 2026.
- The Event: Marc Syz has filed regulatory papers for a dual listing on Nasdaq and SIX Swiss Exchange to raise CHF 500 million later this year.
- The Friction: While 28% of private banks plan crypto allocations by 2027, CRD VI compliance deadlines are forcing institutions to choose between integration and exclusion.
The Mechanics of the Syz Separation Explained
This is not a simple resignation. It is a fundamental divergence on how value is stored. Marc Syz previously led Syz Capital, managing CHF 1.2 billion in alternative assets. His proposal was to absorb Future Holdings AG and its Bitcoin stack directly into the bank’s offering.
The structure was modeled explicitly on MicroStrategy. With 5,000 BTC on the balance sheet, the entity acts as a high-beta proxy for Bitcoin price action. Richard Byworth, a former HSBC and Ripple executive, joined as co-founder to build the infrastructure.
Banque Syz leadership balked at the volatility. The bank, founded in 1995, prioritizes the stability required by its private banking clientele.
While major US institutions like Morgan Stanley advance Bitcoin ETF applications to capture fee revenue, holding physical Bitcoin on a family bank’s balance sheet remains a bridge too far for the older guard.
Marc responded by filing for an IPO. Regulatory filings submitted to FINMA on March 15 confirm the plan for a dual listing on Nasdaq and the SIX Swiss Exchange. The goal is to raise CHF 500 million to expand the treasury further. The split is now administrative reality.
Can Old Money Survive the Bitcoin Transition?
The Syz family split is bigger than a boardroom disagreement.
Swiss wealth managers are staring down a relevance crisis. PwC data shows 28% plan to allocate 5-10% to crypto by 2027. Execution is stalling because of exactly this kind of internal governance clash.
Marc Syz is taking the corporate treasury route. 5,000 BTC in custody. Future Holdings heading for a public listing. The thesis is straightforward: Bitcoin is the only real hedge against monetary debasement available to family offices.
At completion, this deal sees @H100Group become the #1 BTCTC in Europe. — Richard Byworth ∞/21M (@RichardByworth) March 23, 2026
Then Switzerland 
Then tackling the 800bln bond market with zero yield
Just like Bitcoin: tick tock next block
Quiet continuous execution with @Sanderandersenn, @Wiik_Johannes, @HUGESKY852, @SYZCAP 
https://t.co/1xq5PKOXAv
Eric Syz and the main Banque Syz branch are not following. They are sticking to traditional digitization, modernizing without putting the balance sheet anywhere near crypto volatility.
The market is moving faster than both of them.
By taking Future Holdings public, Marc Syz is not just making a bet. He is forcing the market to price his vision against his father’s. The prospectus is with FINMA. The split is official.
The dynasty is no longer hedging. It is dividing.
Discover: The best new crypto in the world
The post Switzerland Private Banking Dynasty Is Tearing Itself Apart Over Crypto appeared first on Cryptonews.
Bitcoin moved back above $71,000 after US President Donald Trump postponed Iran strike for five days, sending oil price crashing below $100.
Bitcoin (BTC) broke back toward $71,000 during Monday’s European trading session as US President Donald Trump said attacks on Iran’s power infrastructure would be postponed.
Key takeaways:
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Bitcoin bounces 5% to $71,000 after President Trump said US attacks on Iran’s infrastructure would be postponed.
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$270 million in short positions were liquidated in an hour.
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Focus now shifts to $72,000–$75,000 liquidity zones to see if BTC price will rise further to grab these.
Bitcoin erases weekend losses with 5% rebound
Data from TradingView showed BTC price rose as much as 4.7% within 60 minutes to an intraday high of $71,500, recouping all the losses made over the last three days. The last time BTC/USD traded above $71,000 was on March 19.
The price reacted to President Trump’s announcement of a five-day pause on planned US military strikes against Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure after “very good and productive” discussions with Tehran.
“And this shall henceforth be known as the ‘TACO PUMP,’” Coinbureau CEO Nic Puckrin said in response to Bitcoin’s reaction following the news.
The move in Bitcoin was accompanied by $270 million in short liquidations within an hour, with BTC short liquidations accounting for $120 million.
This brought the total liquidations across the crypto market over the last 24 hours to $781 million.
Gold erased almost all its earlier losses, now down just 1% on the day and rebounding to $4,440 per ounce, while the dollar index (DXY) has slipped to 99.3.
Related: Gold bear market and sub-$50K BTC: Five things to know in Bitcoin this week
Oil, a key macro risk factor, dropped as much as 16% to $92 from an intraday high of $110, while WTI crude dropped below $85 — the steepest single-day decline since late 2025.
However, Iranian officials quickly denied the reports of substantive productive talks, insisting no meaningful concessions had been made and reiterating demands for a complete halt to US and Israeli actions before any broader resolution.
Bitcoin price fills CME gap at $70,000
Bitcoin started the week with a significant CME gap around $70,000. This gap has now been filled with the latest price rise. Traders will now focus on the next one near the $80,000 region.
Meanwhile, the liquidation heatmap showed BTC price eating away ask orders below $72,000. A close above this level would push the BTC/USD pair toward $75,000, where the next major liquidity cluster sits.
On the downside, “the $64K-$65K region is interesting,” analyst Daan Crypto Trades said, adding:
“Currently there’s a lot of fear for the latter which is why most markets have been selling off a lot the past few trading days.“
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Crypto investment products maintained their inflow streak last week but momentum slowed amid ongoing Middle East tensions and a “hawkish pause” interpretation of the US Fed’s meeting.
Crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) recorded $230 million in inflows last week, with $405 million in outflows following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in the US, CoinShares reported Monday.
The inflows extended the streak to four consecutive weeks, but the latest total was sharply lower than the previous week’s $1.06 billion.
CoinShares head of research James Butterfill largely attributed the slowdown to the market’s “hawkish pause” interpretation of the US Federal Reserve’s Wednesday meeting, rather than broader geopolitical tensions.
“The intra-week data supports this,” Butterfill said, referring to strong inflows in the first two days of the week before reversing sharply in the wake of the FOMC meeting.
Bitcoin funds lead inflows, while Ether reverses
Bitcoin (BTC) accounted for nearly all of last week’s crypto ETP inflows, posting $219.2 million in gains. Ether (ETH) funds saw $27.5 million in outflows, ending a three-week inflow streak.
Solana (SOL) saw $17 million in inflows for the seventh straight week, bringing the total to $136 million and making it one of the most popular ETP assets in recent months.
Additionally, notable gains came from Chainlink (LINK) and Hyperliquid (HYPE), with inflows netting $4.6 million and $4.5 million, respectively.
Related: NYSE exchanges scrap crypto options cap on 11 Bitcoin, Ether ETFs
Crypto ETPs have clocked $1.4 billion of inflows year-to-date, with Bitcoin ETPs leading at $1.2 billion. Total assets under management stand at $138 billion, according to CoinShares.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs account for 43% of gains
About half of Bitcoin ETP inflows were driven by the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) last week, which ended the week with $95.2 million in inflows.
The inflows marked four consecutive weeks of gains totaling $2.2 billion, according to SoSoValue data. Despite the gains, spot Bitcoin ETFs remain underwater year-to-date, with roughly $400 million in outflows.
Similar to broader investment products, US spot Ether ETFs failed to maintain the inflow streak after three weeks of inflows, with last week’s outflows totaling around $60 million.
The US spot Ether ETFs have seen $599 million in outflows year-to-date, while broader ETPs were roughly $50 million underwater.
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XRP is trading at the $1.40 price level, down just 1% over 24 hours, as the prediction says crypto markets will pull back further despite new U.S. regulatory clarity classifying the token as a digital commodity.
The classification, confirmed by the SEC and CFTC, handed bulls a headline victory, but the rally fizzled fast. We hit a wall of macro aggression: a hawkish Federal Reserve stalling rate cuts and a geopolitical oil spike to above $100 per barrel, before dropping this hour to under $90.
The $1.40 level, once a floor, has turned into a ceiling and a battleground for the week ahead.
XRP Price Prediction: Will Ripple Reclaim $1.50 Amid Macro Headwinds?
The technical landscape for Ripple’s native token is precarious. While the asset benefits from established support following the May 2025 SEC settlement, the failure to hold above $1.45 suggests buyer exhaustion. Trading volumes have thinned as capital rotates into commodities; oil prices above $112 act as a liquidity sponge, soaking up risk capital.
If bulls cannot reclaim $1.45 within 48 hours, the next logical support sits significantly lower. Conversely, a clean break above $1.45, fueled perhaps by institutional flows into spot ETFs, could target $1.55.
On-chain data signals XRP may be near a bottom, but the macro environment demands caution. With rates stuck at 3.50%-3.75%, the cost of capital remains high, dampening the leverage needed for a sustained breakout.
BREAKING: — Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) March 18, 2026
Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged, remains at 3.50% – 3.75%.
Traders should watch the $1.30 support level closely. A breakdown here validates the pressure seen since the start of 2026, potentially exposing the asset to a deeper flush toward $1.30. Is the market pricing in a delay to altcoin season? The data points to a temporary risk-off sentiment.
Maxi Doge Targets Early Mover Upside as XRP Tests Key Levels
While major cap assets like XRP wrestle with interest rate realities and oil shocks, a subset of traders is rotating into high-velocity presales unaffected by Brent crude charts. Capital is seeking volatility in new narratives. Enter Maxi Doge ($MAXI), a new entrant aggressively targeting the “degen” trading subculture with a distinct leverage-king aesthetic.
The project has raised more than $4,6 million thus far, priced at $0.000281 per token and a staking reward bonus of 66%. Unlike standard meme tokens that rely solely on cute imagery, Maxi Doge integrates holder-only trading competitions and a “Maxi Fund” treasury designed for liquidity injections. It appeals to the high-risk demographic with the tagline “Never skip leg-day, never skip a pump.”
Meme coin liquidity is thinning elsewhere, yet $MAXI continues to attract inflows due to its specific market fit: a 240-lb canine juggernaut embodying a 1000x leverage trading mentality. For traders exhausted by XRP’s slow grind against the $1.40 resistance, this presale offers a high-variance alternative built for the current volatility. However, early-stage tokens carry inherent risks; dynamic APY staking provides an incentive for holding, but market timing remains critical.
The post XRP Price Prediction: SEC Clarity Meets Fed and Oil Shock as We Watch 1.40 appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto fear index slumps as investors dump XRP, SOL and AAVE, rotate into cash and stables, and test whether extreme fear sets up the next recovery leg.
Summary
- Crypto Fear & Greed Index falls to 8, locking in one of the deepest “extreme fear” readings of this cycle as traders dump risk across majors like XRP, SOL and DeFi plays such as AAVE.
- Total crypto market cap holds around $2.36 trillion even as investors aggressively de‑risk and rotate out of high‑beta altcoins into cash and stablecoins.
- Analysts warn that “extreme fear grips the market,” but note that structurally, such levels have historically preceded major recovery phases in both Bitcoin and large altcoins.
Crypto investors woke up to a sharply darker mood as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to 32, cementing the market’s return to “extreme fear” territory after weeks of mounting macro and geopolitical pressure. The single‑digit reading underscores how quickly sentiment has flipped from cautious optimism to outright risk aversion, even though the total cryptocurrency market capitalization still hovers near $2.36 trillion.
According to data provider Alternative.me, a score of 8 sits at the bottom of the index’s 0–100 range and signals that “investors are extremely worried” about near‑term downside. A flash note from CoinEx described the latest move bluntly: “Crypto Fear & Greed Index drops to 8, extreme fear grips the market,” highlighting that selling has been broad‑based across spot and derivatives venues, with names like XRP and SOL now firmly in correction territory.
Despite the collapse in sentiment, several trackers show aggregate market cap holding or even rising slightly, with some estimates pointing to roughly $2.36 trillion in total crypto value after a modest 2–3% 24‑hour gain. As one March market recap put it, “the total cryptocurrency market capitalization has actually increased by about +2.87% in the last 24 hours, reaching approximately $2.36 trillion,” suggesting that fear and flows are no longer perfectly aligned.
Within that headline number, however, rotation has been brutal under the surface. Large‑cap altcoins such as XRP (XRP) and SOL (SOL) have seen outsized intraday swings as traders shed beta, while DeFi bellwether AAVE (AAVE) has become a high‑conviction short for some funds concerned about leverage and protocol risk. Milk Road’s composite sentiment gauge echoes that bifurcation: the market has spent roughly 62% of the past eight years in “fear” or “extreme fear,” yet major assets have still trended structurally higher over that period. “The boilerplate interpretation,” the site notes, is simple – “be greedy when others are fearful, and be fearful when others are greedy.”
The latest plunge to 8 extends what some analysts describe as one of the longest “fear streaks” since at least 2019, with social metrics now matching the kind of stress last seen during mid‑2022 liquidations. In an early‑March note titled “The Heartbeat of the Crypto Market,” one strategist wrote that escalating conflict and the effective closure of key oil chokepoints have pushed investors into “capital preservation mode,” driving the index down from 22 to low‑teens readings in a matter of days.
For traders, the key question is whether this 8 print marks a capitulation low or just another step down in a longer deleveraging cycle that continues to pressure altcoins and DeFi names like AAVE. While history offers no guarantees, previous extreme fear clusters have often coincided with discounted entry points for long‑term capital — a dynamic that some institutional desks are already watching closely as they weigh when to step back into XRP, SOL and the broader market.
Crypto World
Stablecoin yield in crypto Clarity Act won’t allow rewards on balances, latest text says
Crypto industry insiders got their first look at the revised market structure bill in the Senate, and the opening impression was that the language on allowable stablecoin yield was overly narrow and unclear, according to a person familiar with the current draft.
The new language, which was announced Friday by Senators Angela Alsobrooks and Thom Tillis, would ban yield payments for simply holding a stablecoin. It would also restrict any approach that makes the program in any way equivalent to a bank deposit, and it applies further limits to other potentially allowed activities, the person said, adding that the mechanics of determining activities-based stablecoin rewards is left uncertain.
The crypto industry got this first look at the revised section of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act on Monday in a closed-door review on Capitol Hill in Washington, representing an attempt to clear a roadblock in the effort to get a hearing in the Senate Banking Committee. Bankers had insisted that stablecoin rewards look nothing like interest-bearing bank deposits, because they argued the competing product could hamstring the industry and strangle lending. So, the compromise will allow rewards programs on users’ stablecoin activities but not balances.
A similar version of the Clarity Act passed in the House of Representatives last year, and another version cleared a markup hearing in the Senate Agriculture Committee. The banking panel represents a big step that would get the legislation to a place where lawmakers could prepare a final, combined version that would get a vote of the overall Senate.
The stablecoin yield lobbying fight between the crypto sector and the banking industry had stifled progress on the legislation for a while. But it’s not the only sticking point. The industry will still need to see the final approach to oversight of the decentralized finance (DeFi) space, which had remained an area of concern for Democrats who had wanted to ensure illicit finance protections. And the Democrats have also insisted on a need for a ban on senior government officials profiting personally from the crypto industry — a provision aimed squarely at President Donald Trump.
Though the industry recorded a tremendous win last year when the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act became the first major U.S. law to govern a segment of the crypto industry, it was meant as the less important first step of a one-two policy approach that concludes with the Clarity Act.
That full-fledged arrival of crypto into the U.S. financial system will eliminate regulatory uncertainty for any investors who have been hesitant about involvement in the sector. Digital assets insiders believe it will open flood gates among institutional investors and developers who want to build atop the technology.
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