The four leadership contenders at the Conservative party conference in Birmingham (Photo: Justin Tallis/AFP)
There was only one reasonable conclusion you could draw after two interminable hours of Tory leadership speeches. It was that James Cleverly was far and away the best candidate. He is the only halfway sensible choice. The question is: do the Tories have enough halfway sensible members left to choose him?
Each of the four aspiring leaders had their time on the conference stage to woo the party membership, one after another. It was immediately obvious that Cleverly was far superior. He stood behind a podium, looking vastly more professional, authoritative and confident than any of the other contenders, who all chose to walk around the stage.
He showed some level of contrition for the Conservatives’ performance, albeit in a shallow manner. He made an apology from the Tory parliamentary party to the membership – presumably for a feckless election announcement and a tepid campaign – but did not have the courage to inform the membership of what will ultimately be required: an apology from the party to the country.
And yet, nevertheless, he said the word “sorry”, which is a necessary but insufficient condition of an improvement in the party’s fortunes. It was far more than any of the other candidates, who all seemed to believe that they lost the election because they weren’t quite conservative enough. He warned the party that it needed to “be more normal”, sensing how strange and angry it had come to seem in government. He marked out his position on Reform clearly – “no mergers, no deals” – and won the biggest round of applause of the event for it.
If party members were rational when they selected leaders, they would imagine how their enemies would react to them. If Cleverly won, Labour would be worried. He is the candidate they do not want. So logically, that is the candidate you go for. He is presentationally intelligent, thoughtful and electable.
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The other supposedly moderate candidate is Tom Tugendhat. If he ever had any chance in this race, it’s surely gone now. His speech was flat, uninspiring, frequently boring and unconvincing. It was a meat-and-potatoes conference speech: attacks on Labour, vague talk about policy, an upbeat ending. All solid six out of 10 stuff. But when you’re lagging at the back of a contest, you need a game What are changer, and he did not provide one.
The two remaining candidates – Robert Jenrick and Kemi Badenoch – are both functionally useless. They are so far removed from the steps required to fix the party’s position that they might as well be living in a distant galaxy.
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Despite their competitiveness, they have far more that unites than divides them. Both of them are catastrophically presentationally inept, although Jenrick is marginally worse. His deep frown gives the image of some kind of night-time creature, a cheap knock-off Dracula, without the make-up to make it truly convincing. He looks like he has never experienced human kindness.
Badenoch is halting, strange, and often nervous. This would be a problem for any politician but it is especially damning when it’s one who repeatedly insists on how tough they are.
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The basic programme is the same for either of them. Tear up international human rights law, cancel the fight against climate change, cut down on immigration. Both made drive-by attacks on trans people – grubby little politicians, scrambling around in the dirt, trying to find ways to turn voters against one another.
Both claim they want to fundamentally change the party. In fact, they are both continuity candidates. They promise more of the same: an attack on institutions, a constant search for electoral dividing lines which can be exploited for the party’s benefit, the perpetual attempt to spread division, and endless culture war, particularly on climate change and immigration.
Badenoch is possibly the more extreme, although it’s marginal. There is a thin layer of conspiracy sludge in her rhetoric. At one point, she baselessly suggested conservative students were marked down by their lecturers as punishment for their political views. She’s not just right-wing. She’s deeply paranoid.
She also laid out her plan to “reboot” the British state, which seemed to involve attacking the ECHR, judicial review, the Treasury, the Bank of England, devolution and the Civil Service. In other words, it is a Liz Truss agenda – the portrayal of democratic liberal institutions as unacceptable obstacles to the “will of the people”. A British version of Donald Trump’s “deep state” fever dream.
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That’s really their secret. It’s not just that they have failed to properly distinguish themselves from Truss. It’s that they share with her the paranoia which made her mini-Budget so disastrous, prompting the sacking of the Treasury permanent secretary, the freezing out of the Office of Budget Responsibility, an absence of meaningful scrutiny, and the catastrophe which followed.
They both exist in a perpetual state of crazed ideological mania, without any of the charisma or intuition which might make it palatable to the public.
Cleverly is at least tangentially connected to the idea of reality. He has considerable presentational qualities. And he has sufficient capacity for introspection to recognise how the party needs to change. He is the obvious candidate, to anyone with an ounce of sense. The question is: has the party gone so far off the rails that such things are irrelevant? Or does it retain enough sanity to make the choice that is obviously in its interest?
Oil prices (CL=F, BZ=F) are on the move, registering its third consecutive day of gains. This surge comes in the wake of escalating Middle Eastern tensions, as Iran launched a ballistic missile attack on Israel on Tuesday, sparking fears of potential oil supply disruptions in the region.
Yahoo Finance Senior Markets Reporter Ines Ferré delves into the details, analyzing the factors driving the commodity’s price higher.
For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Catalysts.
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Top Wall Street block trader Andrew Liebeskind has left hedge fund LMR Partners after less than a year, according to people with knowledge of his exit.
Liebeskind had joined the $11bn multi-strategy hedge fund in New York at the end of December last year to lead its equity capital markets division. He was previously head of primary strategies at Surveyor Capital, which is an equity investing part of Ken Griffin’s Citadel, the world’s best-performing hedge fund.
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The reason for Liebeskind’s departure is unclear. LMR declined to comment. Liebeskind did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
Block trading is a lucrative corner of equity markets, in which banks auction large stakes in listed companies on behalf of shareholders. It is highly relationship driven: investment banks typically seek to gauge demand for potential deals before they have been made public, while not divulging private information to hedge fund clients.
Liebeskind was one of a group of prominent hedge fund traders subpoenaed by US authorities as part of a Securities and Exchange Commission probe into block trading practices, according to two people with direct knowledge of a subpoena issued in 2021.
The fact that Liebeskind’s communications were sought by US authorities as part of the probe was public knowledge when LMR hired him. Liebeskind was not accused of any wrongdoing.
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As part of this investigation, the SEC charged Morgan Stanley’s former head of the bank’s US equity syndicate, Pawan Passi, with fraud. The bank entered into a non-prosecution agreement with the US attorney’s office in Manhattan, paying a $249mn penalty earlier this year to settle civil and criminal charges.
Passi admitted to misconduct and agreed a deferred prosecution agreement with the US attorney. US authorities ultimately found no wrongdoing beyond Morgan Stanley and Passi.
LMR was founded in 2009 by Ben Levine, Andrew Manuel and Stefan Renold. They received seed capital from Donald Sussman’s Paloma Partners. Manuel left in 2015.
In 2018 Goldman Sachs’ Petershill Partners, which buys minority stakes in alternative asset managers, bought a stake in LMR. Last month Petershill announced it had sold its entire LMR stake back to the firm’s leadership team for a total consideration of up to $258mn.
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LMR employs more than 300 people in offices in London, Hong Kong, New York, Zurich, Glasgow, Dubai and Dublin. It adopts a market-neutral approach to trading systematic and discretionary strategies, across a range of markets including equities, fixed income and commodities.
AN unearthed rare King Charles III coin could be sitting in your spare change worth thousands of pounds.
An error £1 piece has been spotted by an online coin enthusiast that may be worth a hefty sum.
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A rare ‘Bee’ £1 has been spotted by collectors who haveCredit: TIKTOK @COINCOLLECTINGWIZARD
“Bee” £1 coins were first put into general circulation in August this year with three million making their way into tills and pockets.
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But an error version of the coin appears to have also entered circulation.
TikTok user @coincollectingwizard explains in one their recent videos how the rare coin is made up of just brass instead of being struck with nickel-plated brass alloy on the inner ring and nickel brass on the outer ring like it should have been.
In the video, which has had almost 80,000 views, they say: “All new £1 coins are made with two metal rings.
“The outside is made from nickel brass while the inside is nickel-played brass alloy.
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“But the rare £1 coin that has been found recently is all one colour.”
The rare piece still comes with the King’s portrait on the front side and two bees on the reverse side, in honour of the monarch’s loves of nature.
Change Checker, which writes blogs on rare coins in the UK, said it had not seen the coin previously.
However, it said a similar error coin was released in 2017 that sold for £2,375.
Rachel Barnes, coin specialist at Change Checker, said the error coin released in 2017 was believed to have been struck in error when an old round pound blank was mistakenly used, or the brass outer ring did not have the middle punched out.
She added: “We could likely see the same thing here (with the bee £1 coin), which will undoubtedly make the error coin incredible sought-after.”
Rachel also said that as few of the coin have been found, if you do stumble across the error version, to make sure you get it verified by The Royal Mint, the official maker of British coins.
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A spokesperson for The Royal Mint added: “The Royal Mint has tight quality controls in place and the chance of encountering any UK coin with error is exceptionally low.
“We always urge collectors to be cautious and to do their research.”
How to spot if your coin is rare
The most valuable and rare coins are usually the ones with low mintage numbers or an error.
A mintage number relates to how many of a certain coin were made, so the lower the number, the rarer and, generally, the more valuable a coin is.
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Meanwhile, error coins are pieces that were incorrectly struck during the manufacturing process.
There are three ways you can sell rare coins – on eBay, Facebook, or in an auction.
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If you’re selling on Facebook, there are risks attached.
Some sellers have previously been targeted by scammers who say they want to buy a rare note or coin and ask for money up front to pay for a courier to pick it up.
But the courier is never actually sent and you’re left out of pocket.
Rather than doing this, it’s always best to meet a Facebook seller in person when buying or selling a rare note or coin.
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Ensure it’s a public meeting spot that’s in a well-lit area and if you can, avoid using payment links.
Next, you can sell at auction, which is generally the safest option.
Last fall, Enbridge(NYSE: ENB) made a bold strike. The Canadian pipeline and utility giant agreed to buy three natural gas utilities from Dominion in a $14 billion deal. The transaction would create the largest natural gas utility franchise in North America.
At the time, Enbridge’s CEO Greg Ebel stated, “Adding natural gas utilities of this scale and quality, at a historically attractive multiple, is a once-in-a-generation opportunity.” While it took a little more than a year, the company has finally closed this generational opportunity to expand its gas utility business. The deal significantly enhances the company’s ability to sustain and grow its 6.5%-yielding dividend.
Closing the final phase
Enbridge recently announced that it has closed its acquisition of Public Service Company of North Carolina (PSNC) from Dominion. The deal adds over 600,000 service customers in the state, which it serves with over 13,000 miles of gas distribution and transmission pipelines and other related gas infrastructure assets.
The utility should supply Enbridge with stable, low-risk cash flow backed by government-regulated rate structures and steady gas demand. That cash flow should grow in the coming years as Enbridge invests in expanding PSNC’s infrastructure to support rising gas demand in its service region.
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Closing the PSNC acquisition was the final phase of this transformational transaction. Enbridge previously closed the purchase of The East Ohio Gas Company in March and completed its deal for Questar Gas Company in June.
The trio of gas utilities significantly expands Enbridge’s gas distribution platform. It will supply 22% of the company’s annual adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), up from 12% before the deal. It further diversified the company’s business while increasing its exposure to lower carbon energy.
The new gas utilities also increased the company’s cash flow from stable regulated assets and enhanced its growth profile. Enbridge expects to invest 5 billion Canadian dollars ($3.7 billion) over the next three years into low-risk, quick-return projects, which will increase its earnings from these utilities.
Enhancing an already strong foundation
Enbridge has built one of the lowest-risk businesses in the energy infrastructure sector. The company has a diversified platform focused on four core franchises: liquids pipelines (50% of its EBITDA), gas transmission and midstream (25%), gas distribution and storage (22%), and renewable power (3%).
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About 98% of the EBITDA generated from those businesses comes from cost-of-service or contracted assets, which are very predictable and stable. As evidence, Enbridge has achieved its annual financial guidance for 18 straight years, despite two major recessions and two additional periods of oil market turbulence.
The company targets to pay 60% to 70% of its very stable cash flow to investors in dividends. It retains the rest to invest in its large backlog of commercially secured capital projects. The utility acquisitions pushed its backlog to CA$24 billion ($17.8 billion) of projects it should complete through 2028. Those projects give it lots of visibility into its future earnings growth.
The company expects those projects will help grow its EBITDA by about 5% annually. Meanwhile, it has additional investment capacity, thanks to its strong balance sheet, which it can use to sanction additional expansion projects and make accretive acquisitions, further enhancing its growth rate.
With a strong financial profile and visible earnings growth, Enbridge should have plenty of fuel to continue increasing its dividend. It could grow its dividend by as much as 5% per year over the medium term, further extending a streak that is currently at 29 straight years.
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An elite dividend stock
Enbridge has closed its once-in-a-generation opportunity to add three high-quality gas utilities to its portfolio. They enhance the stability of its earnings base, increase its diversification, and bolster its growth profile.
Because of that, Enbridge is in an even stronger position to continue growing its dividend. That makes it an excellent dividend stock to buy for the long term.
Should you invest $1,000 in Enbridge right now?
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Matt DiLallo has positions in Enbridge. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Enbridge. The Motley Fool recommends Dominion Energy. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Supermicro And Fujitsu Partner For AI-Powered Server: What’s In Store?
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) has entered a long-term strategic partnership with Fujitsu Limited to develop and market a platform that will feature Fujitsu’s future Arm-based “FUJITSU-MONAKA” processor.
The platform is designed for high performance and energy efficiency and is scheduled for release in 2027.
The partnership will also focus on creating liquid-cooled systems for high-performance computing (HPC), generative AI, and next-generation green data centers.
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Fujitsu and Supermicro will combine their expertise to create a leading server portfolio.
Supermicro’s flexible Building Block design enables quick customization of servers for AI, HPC, and general computing, supporting both cloud and edge deployments.
The collaboration will involve Fsas Technologies Inc., a Fujitsu subsidiary, to deliver global generative AI solutions using Supermicro’s GPU servers and support services for data centers and enterprises.
“Supermicro is excited to collaborate with Fujitsu to deliver state-of-the-art servers and solutions that are high performance, power efficient, and cost-optimized,” said
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Charles Liang, president and CEO of Supermicro.
“These systems will be optimized to support a broad range of workloads in AI, HPC, cloud and edge environments. The two companies will focus on green IT designs with energy-saving architectures, such as liquid cooling rack scale PnP, to minimize technology’s environmental impact.”
Investors can gain exposure to Super Micro through iShares Future AI & Tech ETF (NYSE:ARTY) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Long SMCI ETF (NASDAQ:SMCX).
Price Action: SMCI shares are down 0.26% at $41.89 premarket at the last check Thursday.
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US stocks drifted lower on Thursday as the focus tentatively turned back to the economy and the monthly jobs report. Meanwhile, worries over the Middle East conflict rumbled in the background.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) dropped 0.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell about 0.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) moved roughly 0.4% lower. All three gauges closed Wednesday slightly above the flatline.
Some calm has returned to a market rattled by escalating Mideast tensions that have driven sharp gains in oil prices. Israel has yet to launch its promised retaliation to Iran’s missile strike on Tuesday, amid efforts by Western and regional leaders to stabilize the situation.
Investors received more signs of general cooling in the labor market on Thursday. Weekly jobless claims ticked up slightly from the prior week. Meanwhile, planned layoffs in the US dipped from a five-month high, according to a report from Challenger, Gray and Christmas. But the firm’s vice president said the data showed the labor market is at an “inflection point.”
Any new signs of deterioration in the labor market could prompt the Federal Reserve to follow up its 0.5% interest-rate cut last month with another jumbo move, despite policymakers’ expectation of a 0.25% cut in November.
Meanwhile, the Israel-Iran crisis helped drive oil prices higher for a third day, another potential drag on economic activity. Brent crude (BZ=F) and West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) futures were both up over 2% on Thursday.
On the corporate front, Levi Strauss (LEVI) shares tumbled over 10% in premarket after the jeans giant posted a disappointing revenue forecast and said it is considering a sale of its Dockers brand. Tesla’s (TSLA) stock continued to slide in the wake of downbeat delivery figures, as Reuters reported the EV maker has halted US online orders for its cheapest Model 3.
Live1 update
Stocks open lower with monthly jobs report on deck, Middle East tensions high
Stocks opened lower on Thursday as investors turn their attention this week to monthly jobs data for clues about the health of the economy, while keeping a close eye on the Middle East conflict.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell 0.3%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell 0.3% while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) moved lower 0.5% after all three averages closed above the flatline on Wednesday.
In commodities, oil prices were up Thursday as the Israel-Iran crisis has raised concerns of supply disruptions in the region. Brent (BZ=F) and West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) each up more than 2% in early trading.
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