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How Much Longer Will Donald Trump and American Democracy Survive Political Violence?

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When Eric Trump said, “My father is running out of lives here,” it served not only as an expression of concern for a potential cataclysm that would affect his family but as a warning that the violence creeping into politics and the frequency of threats might upend the election altogether. In two months, there have been two assassination attempts against former President and now presidential candidate Donald Trump.

The first attempt came on July 13 by Thomas Matthew Crooks, a bright, quiet 20-year-old who had recently graduated with an associate degree. His motives remain uncertain, but he conducted searches for public appearances of a variety of political and governmental figures leading up to his attempt and death.

Crooks attempted to join his high school’s rifle team, but they rejected him. Years later, he climbed up a building and crouched on the roof, where several people noticed him before his assassination attempt. A split second before Crooks fired his first shot, Trump was saved by a turn of his head as he referred a graph behind him just as the first bullet nicked his ear in one of eight shots taken. Soon after that, police killed Crooks with a single sniper shot.

A mere two months later, on September 15, Ryan Wesley Routh was chased and then captured after a Secret Service agent noticed a gun barrel sticking through a chain link fence as Trump golfed at one of his courses. Routh had been a rebel in search of a cause, with much of the last few years ineffectually presenting himself as an ally to Ukraine and coordinator of foreign recruits. Souring on Ukraine, he then pivoted to Taiwan, claiming on Twitter last year that he could supply thousands of “economical NATO trained Afghan soldiers to help defend Taiwan” as part of a foreign defense force. His other positions included pro-Palestinian and anti-China rants in his self-published book.

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A restless and disturbed soul, he sought meaning in his life. “I would tremendously enjoy the invitation to join any monumental worthy cause to bring about real change in our world,” according to Routh’s LinkedIn profile. “I am certainly free to relocate to any remote location on the planet that might render the most positive impact.”

The repercussions

The media coverage, President Joe Biden’s statement and Democratic candidate Kamala Harris’s statement on the attempt focused on the Secret Service and its funding. Admittedly, more robust Secret Service protection is now necessary for presidential candidates, but recruiting, training and deploying Secret Service resources in the brief weeks before the election will be a serious strain on resources if not impossible. Little addressed underlying causes and the possible consequences that would have followed had the assailant been successful. 

For starters, how would an election proceed? At this post-convention point, party rules allow the Republican National Committee (RNC) to select a new candidate. How, then, would that new candidate, so near election day, become familiar to voters or develop and explain policies? How would he or she make a pitch to voters? Simple answer: the task would be impossible. The result would be the most partisan election ever, with impulse buys right and left to determine the leader of the free world.

As though that weren’t bad enough, a Harris win by a sizable margin after a neck-and-neck race against Trump would be viewed as wholly illegitimate by many. Having secured no votes in the primary from her party and with the opposing candidate dead weeks before the election, she would have no mandate to govern, and half the country would see her as effectively unsanctioned. Some would feel her rhetoric precipitated the murder. The mood in America would be raucous. 

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A new sotto voce election theme would arise: kill the other candidate close enough to the election and you have a better chance of winning. Death threats to Harris would be overwhelming. Political discourse would be the least of our worries. Democrats emphasize that democracy is on the ticket, but the country would erupt if either candidate were killed and democracy were entirely removed from the ticket.

The causes

Trump blames the rhetoric of Harris and others, and the left has indeed long disparaged him as a threat to democracy itself, often styled possessively as “our democracy.” For a period, “threat to democracy” was the albatross Biden and then Harris hung around his neck and hoped would carry them to victory. On January 5, 2024, Biden said, “We’re living in an era where a determined minority is doing everything in its power to try to destroy our democracy for their own agenda.” On July 3, a mere 10 days before the first assassination attempt, Harris posted on her Facebook and Instagram page, “It’s simple: Donald Trump is a threat to our democracy and fundamental freedoms. With your vote, we will stop him this November.” 

By decrying Trump as the end of America, it’s not difficult to understand how those seeking a cause might find appeal in the immortalizing notion of the man (in these cases) who single-handedly saved the republic.

Meanwhile, the justification for violence to achieve social or political ends has become the norm. Everyone recalls the January 6 riot, which elicits no lack of disgust in yours truly, but the institutions held. The mobsters came nowhere near altering the course of the election, yet the coverage continues to this day. Almost no one reported on three days of riots in May of 2020 that saw 60 Secret Service agents injured near the White House during George Floyd protests. Even where the event was reported, Trump was to blame. The Guardian quickly pointed out in its subheading, “Trump has inflamed tensions as protests rage across the US,” before noting, “the unrest has come to Donald Trump’s doorstep.” Few mentioned the broken bones sustained by the Secret Service or that the “protesters flung rocks, urine and alcohol at them.” Political violence is not the exclusive domain of one party, and it needs to end across the board.

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The normalization of political violence

Politicians are no better in their choice of words. Many use wild language and then condemn the violence as though it were a get-out-of-jail-free card. They toe the line, something happens, they say something like “political violence has no place in America,” and claim they have “distanced themselves” from what they incite. In such cases, I feel people have become like Ricky Bobby, thinking the phrase “with all due respect” washes everything away and, in this case, entitles them to threaten others.

Such incendiary, hyperbolic language is bound to elicit passion in some and murderous psychosis in others. It was a notable low point when Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) told conservative Justices of the Supreme Court, “You have released the whirlwind, and you will pay the price. You won’t know what hit you if you go forward with these awful decisions.” Justices have life tenure. What was going to “hit” them? Since his remarks, there have been multiple attempts on the lives of sitting justices. Justice Amy Coney Barret was sent home one day in a bulletproof vest.

I could go on with such examples, but politicians, judges and even voters are now “threats.” Aside from the “threat to democracy” comments about Trump, there are the ad nauseam misrepresentations of his statements that make him sound not merely objectionable but malign. “Dictator on day one,” “bloodbath,” and “very fine people on both sides” comments have all been wholly taken out of context by the media and politicians for votes, views, and clicks.

My point is not to say Democrats behave worse than Republicans. My point is that you cannot represent someone as an existential threat to the country’s existence without expecting irrational people to take action. While I am staunchly in favor of free speech, we should appeal to our better angels and use the First Amendment to speak about ideas rather than engage in overwrought vilifications. Allowing the public to decide which ideas are better is how this country has governed itself from the beginning, and ideas should be the focus rather than the relatively unpersuasive politics of personal enmity.

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I can’t argue against those who call Trump a convicted felon. Still, virtually no one who yells about his felonious transgressions can explain the novel two-step legal theory or other aspects of his conviction. For them, the Queen of Hearts will do: “Sentence first – verdict afterwards.” All that matters is that he is a convict.

Treasonous, too, is something used to describe Trump, but Special Counsel Jack Smith has refiled a revised indictment that does not include such a charge. Only the original four claims are in the document: conspiracy to defraud the United States, conspiracy to obstruct an official proceeding, obstruction of an attempt to obstruct an official proceeding, and conspiracy against rights. Even so, there hasn’t been so much as a trial date set.

The end of reasoned debate

The question arises as to why political violence has become the norm such that an attempted assassination of a former president and current candidate is news for one day. Why is the focus on Secret Service personnel and not who we have become and why? How has there not been a more significant examination of what we invite should an assassin be successful?

I’m not saying Trump is a puppy dog or that he doesn’t bear blame for escalating rhetoric, but the recent past did not bring claims of an existential threat posed by a single nominee who nevertheless has the ear of a lot of voters. Hillary Clinton called a group of voters “deplorables” and said they were “basically irredeemable.” Okay, not a good look, but she didn’t point to one person and say it’s all over because of him. I also recall the past chants of “Bush lied, people died.” It was a bit simplistic, but that was not about the end of the US. Portraying Mr. Trump as Hitler, as The New Republic did on its June cover, paints an ominous future using unambiguous imagery that metastasizes this country’s fury without informing.

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When you portray someone as the singular manifestation of all that is wrong with the country, when every ill is concentrated in a sole personification, when you present an entire system of government that hangs in the balance but for an individual, you invite lunacy. Reasoned debate should prevail, and while individuals may bring a litany of problems and concerns to the feet of various politicians, the end of the country should not be among them. If we continue down these paths of Mephistophelian metaphors, by our own hands and not by policy positions the country may eventually “run out of lives here.”

[Liam Roman edited this piece.]

The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect Fair Observer’s editorial policy.

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Wizz Air passengers fume as flights are ‘cancelled or changed’ after ‘technical issue’ hits airline – The Sun

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Wizz Air passengers are fuming after being told their flights have been scrapped

WIZZAIR passengers have been told their flights are CANCELLED amid a confusing “technical issue”.

Airline customers were baffled after their travel plans were suddenly scrapped at the last moment.

Wizz Air passengers are fuming after being told their flights have been scrapped

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Wizz Air passengers are fuming after being told their flights have been scrappedCredit: Alamy

A confusing statement has been issued by the Hungarian ultra-low cost carrier with holidaymakers still in the dark about their trips.

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One customer even alleged they’ve spent “hours sitting on the terminal floor” with no information and branded the company “disgraceful”.

A spokesperson wrote on X: “Dear customers,

“We are experiencing a technical issue affecting our booking system. As a result, you may notice changes to your booking on the app or website or receive related notifications.

“Please disregard these changes, and rest assured that we will update you as soon as the issue is resolved.

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“Out team work diligently to fix the problem and restore the affected flights.

“Thank you for your understanding and patience, Wizz Air.”

Passenger vented their frustration underneath the social media post.

“No email confirmation received yet for a flight booked yesterday. Customer services said it was been sent,” wrote one.

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Another penned: “I have a flight this weekend and I have a notification my flight is cancelled, this is less than 72 hours before the flight and it’s a total sham! Please can you provide an update on the process and a CLEAR statement to say that the flights are not cancelled and this isn’t clear.”

A third claimed: “Still no info on why flights from Naples were cancelled? Hours sitting on the floor of terminal with no information and not even a bottle of water. Disgraceful.”

“Are flights cancelled or not? I have rebooked my flight because my flight is this weekend. This is unacceptable,” wrote a fourth.

Fuming passengers have so far complained that flights to and from Istanbul, Jordan, and Albania have been scrapped.

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A Wizz Air spokesperson told The Sun: “We are currently experiencing a technical issue affecting our flights. As a result, customers may notice changes to their bookings on the app, website, or receive related notifications.

“We kindly ask the customers to disregard these changes, and rest assured that we will update them as soon as the issue is resolved.

“Our team is working diligently to fix the problem and restore the affected flights.

“Thank you for your understanding and patience.”

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Wizz Air statementCredit: Wizz Air

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Foreign Spending to Influence US Elections Beyond Russia

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Foreign Spending to Influence US Elections Beyond Russia

Steve Macek

On September 4, the Department of Justice seized 32 internet domains alleged to be part of a Russian government “covert operation to interfere in and influence the outcome of” US elections. That same day, the DOJ unveiled an indictment of two employees of RT, a Russian state-controlled media outlet, for money laundering and spending $10 million to co-opt online US commentators in an effort to distribute “pro-Russian propaganda and disinformation” to American audiences.

Stories about Russian attempts to influence American elections are, of course, nothing new. After all, during the four years of Trump’s presidency, the big commercial news media devoted hours of programming and countless column-inches of coverage to  “Russiagate,” the now-largely-debunked theory that Donald Trump or his campaign actively colluded with Russia to sway the 2016 presidential election. While there is no question that Russian intelligence operatives attempted to spread misinformation and purchased digital ads designed to impact the 2016 election, claims by news outlets, such as the New York Times, that these operatives were responsible for “the most effective foreign interference in an American election in history” are almost certainly overblown and exaggerated.

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The fact is that the minions of Vladimir Putin are not the only foreign nationals scheming to influence our politics. Ongoing under-the-radar efforts by foreign-influenced companies and lobbyists for other countries designed to shape US elections and policy-making may not get the headlines that Russian propaganda operations do, but may ultimately be more effective and potentially even more damaging to our democracy.

Ignoring Dark Money Meddling by Foreign-Influenced Companies

Federal law prohibits contributions or expenditures made directly or indirectly by foreign nationals intended to influence US elections.

The first things that come to most people’s minds when they think about foreign meddling in US politics are cases in which American politicians or campaign operatives knowingly accept illegal contributions from foreign donors. Such cases do occur. For instance, New York City Mayor Eric Adams was recently indicted for knowingly accepting campaign donations from Turkish businessmen over a number of years. Last year, Republican campaign strategist Jessie Benton was sentenced to eighteen months in prison for soliciting an illegal contribution from a Russian businessman to Donald Trump’s presidential campaign.

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But far more common and far more troubling are cases in which foreign-influenced companies make use of what are, in the United States, perfectly legal campaign finance mechanisms to obscure independent expenditures aimed at influencing the outcome of elections in ways that are not coordinated with a particular candidate or party.

In a pair of 2010 cases, Citizens United v. FEC and SpeechNow.org v. FEC, the Supreme Court held that legal restrictions on independent political expenditures by corporations, unions, and nonprofits violate the First Amendment and that organizations may raise and spend unlimited amounts of money on elections as long as they do not coordinate their spending with candidates, parties, and campaigns. Much of the independent money spent on elections is funneled into two sorts of organizations—super PACs, independent political action committees that can spend unlimited amounts on political messaging and campaign ads but must disclose their donors, and tax-exempt 501(c)4 “social welfare” organizations, which cannot spend the majority of their budgets on political activity but do not have to disclose their donors. Moreover, 501(c)4 organizations can, in turn, donate funds to super PACS, thereby rendering anonymous or “dark” expenditures by corporations and other deep-pocket donors intended to sway voters. Since 2010, the watchdog organization Open Secrets has tracked more than $2.8 billion in “dark money”—political expenditures from undisclosed sources—that has flooded into our elections.

The same legal loopholes that allow all wealthy corporations and individuals to spend millions in “dark money” to shape the political process also permit US corporations that are subsidiaries of foreign companies, or that have significant foreign ownership, to pour untraceable money into US elections. According to one estimate, 40 percent of US corporate equity is owned by foreign investors. A recent Open Secrets study of political expenditures by foreign-influenced corporations—corporations with more than 5 percent aggregate foreign ownership or individual foreign ownership of more than one percent—in state elections in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, New York, and Washington found that such companies were responsible for $163 million in contributions from 2018 to 2022. Meanwhile, foreign-connected company PACs spent nearly $20 million on federal elections in 2022 alone.

And just like domestic dark money funders, foreign-connected corporations often funnel their political spending through various “shell” and “front” organizations that make their spending exceedingly difficult to trace. For example, oil and gas giants BP and Shell are both wholly owned subsidiaries of foreign corporations. They are also both members of the US Chamber of Commerce, which is a major front of dark money spending, shelling out millions each year on “electioneering communication” in support of candidates it favors. The Chamber refuses to disclose its members or how much they each contribute to the funding of the organization’s vast lobbying and political influence operations. As a result, there is no way of knowing how much of the dark money the group disperses originates with foreign-connected companies.

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The issue of dark money spending by foreign-influenced companies, like dark money spending in general, has been largely ignored by the corporate media. Two years ago, the Federal Election Commission fined Canadian billionaire steel magnate Barry Zekelman’s businesses nearly a million dollars for making $1.75 million in illegal campaign contributions to American First Action, a pro-Trump political action committee, in 2018. The fine was so unusual—and so large—that it received coverage in the New York Times and Newsweek. But, sadly, the FEC’s actions received more coverage in Zekelman’s home country of Canada than it did in the country whose election laws he violated.

Scant Coverage of Donations from Lobbyists for Foreign Powers

Another channel of foreign influence on our elections is campaign contributions made by foreign lobbyists.

Under the Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA), individuals or entities engaged in lobbying or advocacy for foreign interests in the United States must register with the Department of Justice, report their activities, and disclose the pay they receive. According to Open Secrets, registered foreign agents “during the 2020 election cycle made at least $8.5 million in political contributions. Another $25 million in 2020 political contributions came from lobbyists representing foreign clients, including US subsidiaries owned or controlled by foreign parent companies, registered under the Lobbying Disclosure Act.” In July, Ben Freeman and Nick Cleveland-Stout of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft released a brief, “Foreign Lobbying in the US,” in which they report that “in 2022 and 2023, FARA registrants reported $14.3 million in political contributions.” Even more concerning, their research shows that “authoritarian regimes represent a majority of the most active countries—including Saudi Arabia and the UAE, which placed first and fourth, respectively, among the countries most engaged in political activities under FARA from 2022–23.”

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Consider, for example, the political fundraising and lavish campaign spending orchestrated by Norm Coleman, former Republican Senator for Minnesota and a registered foreign agent representing the interests of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. As Responsible Statecraft reported in 2022, Coleman and his colleagues at the law firm of Hogan Lovells have a $175,000 per month lobbying contract with Saudi Arabia. Coleman is also the founder and chairman of the Congressional Leadership Fund (CLF), a super PAC that raised and spent some $165 million to elect Republicans to the House of Representatives in 2019–2020. So far, in the 2023–2024 cycle, the super PAC has raised approximately $131 million.

Coleman also chairs the dark money group American Action Network (AAN), a 501(c)4 “social welfare” organization that can devote some of its budget to electioneering but is not required to disclose the names of its donors. The organization describes the CLF as its “sister super PAC.” According to Responsible Statecraft, AAN—helmed by a foreign agent for Saudi Arabia—contributed some $30 million to the CLF’s pool of funds for the 2020 campaign cycle. Because AAN is not required to disclose its donors, there is no way of knowing whether some of the dark money it funneled to the CLF originated from non-US sources or not. At the very least, the arrangement is enough to arouse suspicion.

Over the past eight years, the establishment press has run perhaps a dozen articles on Saudi lobbying that contain brief allusions to Coleman’s post-Congress career as a shill for the Kingdom. He was name-checked in passing as Hogan Lovells’s “point person for Saudi work” in an October 11, 2018, New York Times article on the PR fallout from the murder of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi. Coleman’s use of his “Hill contacts” to work on the Saudi’s behalf was referenced in a 2021 Washington Post report about the firms that dictators hire to clean up their images. Stunningly, however, only one of these articles, an October 21, 2018, Washington Post article on “the Saudi’s Washington influence machine,” bothered to mention that Coleman “also founded a super PAC,” but even then failed to identify the Congressional Leadership Fund by name or to mention the tens of millions it spends on electioneering. The New York Times has run a few articles discussing Coleman’s role as chair of AAN and/or the CLF. Amazingly, though, no establishment news outlet connected Coleman’s vigorous fundraising for the CLF and AAN with his advocacy work for the Saudis.

Where is the Reporting on Legislation to Limit the Influence of Foreign Money on Our Politics?

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Not surprisingly, the corporate media have also consistently ignored efforts by citizens and elected officials to limit the influence of foreign money on our politics.

On April 13, 2023, the governor of Minnesota, Tim Walz, signed into law the Democracy for the People Act that, among other things, prohibits “any company that is five percent or more owned by multiple foreign owners, or one percent or more owned by a single foreign owner, from spending money in Minnesota state or local elections or donating money to a super PAC or other entity to spend.” The law had been pushed by a coalition of unions and civic groups called Expanding Democracy. Shortly after Walz signed the law, the Minnesota Chamber of Commerce sued to invalidate the prohibition on campaign spending by foreign-influenced corporations. US District Court Judge Eric Tostrud granted a preliminary injunction preventing the law from going into effect while the Chamber of Commerce lawsuit wends its way through the courts.

Despite this, Minnesota’s law has become a model for other states. Over the summer, the Pennsylvania House passed identical legislation, and supporters of the bill marched thirty-five miles to the state capitol in Harrisburg to urge the Pennsylvania Senate to ratify the bill. In July, Ohio passed a bill that banned spending by foreign-influenced businesses and green-card holders on ballot initiative campaigns (which was subsequently blocked by a judge’s order). At the federal level, Democratic legislators in both the Senate and the House introduced the Get Foreign Money Out of US Elections Act, which would “ban firms with either 5% of foreign ownership in aggregate or 1% ownership by a single foreign entity from electoral spending.” Opinion polling suggests that strong, bipartisan majorities of voters want to prevent foreign-controlled corporations from influencing our politics.

Yet, the establishment media have, to date, not reported on legislative initiatives to limit foreign influence on US elections. Most reporting on bills like the Democracy for the People Act has come from independent, not-for-profit, and local media. If the issue of foreign dark money corrupting our elections received even a fraction of the attention that Russiagate or Trump’s bogus claims about undocumented immigrants voting illegally have, Congress and state legislatures would have no choice but to act.

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Italy seeks to raise more windfall taxes from companies

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Unlock the Editor’s Digest for free

Giorgia Meloni’s government will seek to raise more taxes from companies currently earning windfall profits, as Rome struggles to plug a budget deficit that has raised alarm bells in Brussels.

Italian finance minister Giancarlo Giorgetti said Thursday that the upcoming budget “will require sacrifices from everyone”. He did not clarify whether that meant increased tax rates or how they planned to avoid a repeat of last year’s failed attempt to slap banks with a levy on windfall profits.

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“There will be a general call for everyone to contribute, not just banks,” Giorgetti said. “We’re all part of a country that has been called to put its accounts in order . . . and everyone must contribute.” 

He mentioned defence companies as possible targets, noting that they had been doing extremely well owing to growing conflict in the world, like Russia’s war in Ukraine.

“Paradoxically, today, one could say that with all these wars, companies that produce weapons are doing particularly well.”

Share prices of Leonardo, the state-owned Italian defence company, fell 2.56 per cent just after the minister’s comments, while bank stocks also fell slightly.  

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“There won’t be a repeat of the narrative or a discussion on banks’ extra profits because at that time, banks were making extra profits,” he said in reference to last year’s surprise move put forward in August and then significantly watered down after bank shares tanked.

Italy is under intense pressure to raise additional revenues to bring its deficit — projected to be 3.8 per cent this year — down to the EU target of 3 per cent. Meloni has so far resisted to cut back on electoral promises that require extra spending, including plans to grant a €100 Christmas bonus to low income families. Her government says it is still on track to reach 3 per of GDP by 2026.

In recent weeks, government officials have held talks with banks, insurance companies and other financial companies about raising more revenues, sparking speculation that companies were under pressure to make “voluntary contributions” to public coffers. 

Giorgetti on Thursday dismissed such suggestions, saying: “Companies don’t engage in charity, so voluntary contributions don’t exist.”  

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The Italian Banking Association said last week that it was evaluating “further measures that may make greater liquidity available for the state budget”.

It added that such measures should be temporary and not be applied retroactively “so as not to penalise the competitiveness of banks operating in Italy” compared with their European rivals. 

The Italian parliament is also set to approve a tax amnesty for small businesses to encourage them to declare incomes they received between 2018 and 2022 which would be taxed at a discounted rate.

Participants in the so-called “repentance scheme” will also be obliged to commit to pay a fixed amount of taxes on their expected earnings for the next two years — regardless of how much they actually earn.

Meloni has long vowed to improve the tax system, which she said this year should not “oppress families with obtuse, incomprehensible rules, and an unjust level of taxation that often does not correspond to the level of services that the state provides”.

However, critics, including members of the opposition Democratic party, have described the amnesty schemes as a reward for tax evaders and say it will incentivise further cheating. 

Analysts also warn that the measures may be poorly received in Brussels, where Italy is expected to make long-term structural changes to its taxation and spending policies rather than look for piecemeal solutions to raise revenues year by year.

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Additional reporting by Giuliana Ricozzi

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New Spymasters Piece Is Too Optimistic About a Foul Situation

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In a significant collaboration display, the spymasters of the United States and Britain recently co-authored an opinion piece for Financial Times. Titled “Bill Burns and Richard Moore: Intelligence Partnership Helps the U.S. and U.K. Stay Ahead in an Uncertain World,” the piece underscores the joint efforts of both spymasters in navigating the current global uncertainty and emerging threats, particularly from Russia and global terror outfits like ISIS. It also highlights the difficulties of maintaining peace and stability in the midst of multiple wars.

In their joint effort, CIA Director William Burns and MI6 Chief Richard Moore must recognize the weakening of the Western security architecture and the rapid rise of China. And the reality of the international situation is graver than their piece expresses.

A fragile security framework amid global unrest

The intelligence chiefs deliver a sobering assessment of the mounting hardships facing the world today, particularly those compounded by rapid technological advancements. They argue that the international system is now more contested than ever, with unprecedented threats necessitating global cooperation and swift action. However, while they acknowledge the dangers that lie ahead, their call for a strengthened security architecture and partnership is open to scrutiny.

Simply strengthening the existing architecture may no longer be viable given recent failures: the breakdown of European security, growing instability in Asia, the US’s disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan and the current crisis in Bangladesh. Each event has contributed to a growing wave of anti-US sentiment across several regions.

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Although a strong partnership between the US and UK may work on a bilateral level, their vision of it serving as a reliable counterweight to the shifting geopolitical landscape seems overly optimistic at best. For Burns and Moore, the idea of such a partnership standing firm in the face of current global upheavals remains a distant hope.

Europe’s crumbling security net

Europe’s security architecture has been deteriorating for years. The US has experienced mounting pressure to provide a sustainable defense against the looming threats from Russia and the possible resurgence of ISIS. Despite widespread anti-Russian rhetoric across Europe, the region’s security response has been lackluster. Many European nations have failed to adequately fund their militaries. Critical arms deals, such as the pledge to supply 155mm artillery shells to Ukraine, have seen delays. Meanwhile, the US has received criticism from NATO for its military assistance to Ukraine, further straining relations.

Russia’s escalating offensive along Europe’s frontlines highlights the disjointed coordination between Europe and the US on both security and strategic fronts. The notion of preemptively halting Russia’s invasion no longer holds weight, as the post-invasion reality has seen the transatlantic alliance weaken, leading to significant setbacks for Ukraine. Even with occasional Ukrainian victories, sustaining the fight against Russia without US support appears increasingly improbable.

As the US heads into an election this November, Europe faces added uncertainty. In his campaign rhetoric, former US President Donald Trump openly criticized Europe’s failure to meet defense spending commitments, declaring that Russia can “do whatever the hell they want” about countries that don’t pull their weight. His words underscore a glaring issue: Europe’s defense sector remains outdated and underfunded, lacking the modernization necessary to confront modern threats.

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On the economic front, Europe is equally strained. Former Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi recently warned that the EU is at risk of “slow and agonising decline,” according to his scathing report. With Europe struggling to keep pace on both security and economic fronts and the US grappling with its own “American Decline,” the prospect of a strong transatlantic partnership to counter Russian aggression seems more like a political talking point than a realistic solution to bridging the deepening strategic gaps.

The US’s soft decline in Asia

The abrupt and chaotic US withdrawal from Afghanistan in August 2021 left South Asia teetering on the edge of security and humanitarian crises. Although the assassination of al-Qaeda chief Ayman al Zawahiri in 2022 attempted to salvage some strategic credibility, it did little to mask the US’s broader challenge: its diminishing influence in the region. As China’s rise continues to reshape Asian dynamics, the US has struggled to maintain its foothold through both strategic and tactical efforts.

US-led initiatives like the Quad and the AUKUS military alliance, aimed at containing China’s growing power in the Indo-Pacific, have so far delivered underwhelming results. Australia’s maritime defense remains underfunded and underdeveloped, despite the country’s capital of Canberra being a critical frontline for AUKUS. Politically, the Quad has also struggled, with consensus-building proving elusive. Former Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull added to the skepticism, pointing out that the US will not exacerbate its own submarine deficit by selling vessels to Australia — a decision Canberra residents have received poorly.

Even Europe’s stance on AUKUS has been fraught with tension. The submarine deal between the US and UK sparked fears that the transatlantic relationship could be undermined. These developments highlight a stark truth: Trust and transparency in defense alliances are far more difficult to build than they appear.

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A recent report by the Lowy Institute titled, “Asia Power Snapshot: China and the United States in Southeast Asia,” paints an even grimmer picture. It concluded that the US has steadily lost influence to China in Southeast Asia over the past five years across key sectors, including diplomacy, culture, defense and economics. This soft decline, coupled with alleged backdoor politics and clandestine psychological maneuvers in countries like Bangladesh, underscores the depth of America’s waning influence in South Asia. Meanwhile, the UK grapples with its own politico-economic struggles, further complicating its role in transatlantic security and broader geopolitical challenges.

Intelligence and terrorism: a new battleground

Burns and Moore have underscored the growing dangers posed by artificial intelligence in their analysis of evolving warfare tactics, particularly in the Russia–Ukraine conflict. They argue that AI has dramatically altered war-fighting techniques, with implications far beyond the current battlefields. These threats, however, are not confined to Ukraine; they are global in scope and demand collective action.

Similarly, terrorism — despite facing setbacks in recent years — has seen a quiet resurgence. The re-emergence of ISIS in Europe’s periphery, coupled with recent terror incidents in West Africa and even the Russian capital of Moscow, has forced the US to reconsider its position amid the deterioration of European security.

Both the CIA and MI6 chiefs have also pointed to sabotage operations conducted by Russia and China, taking a firm stance on countering such threats. Yet even intelligence operations face significant challenges. The US has suffered setbacks in China regarding its covert presence, while Russia’s GRU intelligence unit has orchestrated several subversive activities across Europe, such as cyberattacks against NATO and the EU. The GRU’s meddling has revealed cracks in the Western security structure.

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The fragile facade of the CIA–MI6 partnership

Despite the tough rhetoric, the CIA and MI6 chiefs have publicly endorsed ideals such as “trust, openness, constructive challenge, and friendship.” They assert that these qualities will sustain the US–UK partnership well into the future, and that the relationship will continue to serve as a pillar of “global peace and security.”

However, the hard truth is that these characteristics are in constant tension. The fragility of this so-called special relationship is apparent, as it has delivered few lasting results in recent years. While such words make for polished diplomacy, both spymasters must now grapple with the uncomfortable fact: Real progress in strengthening their partnership has been slow and insufficient. It remains to be seen if their renewed efforts can finally solidify the bond that has been repeatedly tested by mounting global pressures.

[Lee Thompson-Kolar edited this piece.]

The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect Fair Observer’s editorial policy.

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Ex son-in-law of F1’s Ecclestone on trial in £200mn money laundering case

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Socialite James Stunt allowed his offices in London’s Mayfair to become a “trusted hub” for criminality, prosecutors claimed on Thursday at one of the UK’s biggest money laundering trials.

The former son-in-law of Formula 1 head Bernie Ecclestone was accused of being part of a scheme that allowed criminals to funnel more than £200mn of “dirty money” into the banking system over two years.

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Stunt, 42, is one of five individuals standing trial at Leeds Crown Court charged with money laundering alongside Gregory Frankel, 47, Daniel Rawson, 47, Haroon Rashid, 54, and Arjun Babber, 32.

A Bradford-based precious metals and jewellery dealer owned by Frankel and Rawson, Fowler Oldfield, was a financial “gateway” for criminals between 2014 and 2016, the court heard.

Prosecutors said that the scheme allowed the criminals, whose identity was unknown, to circumvent financial due-diligence checks. This allowed them to hide the illicit sources of their funds as it “appeared to be a legitimate source” and most of it was used to buy gold, jurors were told.

“A reputable bank or trader would have insisted on proper due diligence being carried out before accepting the cash or exchanging it for gold,” said Jonathan Sandiford KC, opening the prosecution case.

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The barrister claimed that Stunt & Co, owned by Stunt, took the “lion’s share” of profits — about 70 per cent — from the scheme. Tens of millions of pounds in cash was dropped by couriers at the offices in Mayfair and deposits were made into Fowler Oldfield’s NatWest bank account, he said.

Sandiford told jurors that Stunt, the former husband of Petra Ecclestone, allowed the location “to be used for the delivery of criminal cash and some of the gold that had been purchased with it” and it “became a trusted hub for money laundering”.

The court was told that Stunt denies knowing or suspecting that the cash was criminal property.

It heard that while Frankel accepts that at least part of the cash delivered to Fowler Oldfield was criminal, he denies knowing or suspecting it to be criminal property. Rawson, along with the two other defendants, dispute that the cash was criminal property.

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Sandiford said the most likely source of the cash was drug dealing, although it could also be other illegal activities including fraud, human trafficking or illegal gambling.

The case continues.

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The Range brings back gadget for drying clothes without turning heating on this winter scanning at £60 instead of £95

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The Range brings back gadget for drying clothes without turning heating on this winter scanning at £60 instead of £95

THE Range is slashing the price of a bestselling gadget that is perfect for drying clothes this winter.

Shoppers at the discount store can now save £35 on the regular cost of this 3-Tier Tower Heated Airer, which is now £59.99.

The range has cut the price of this heated airer by £35

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The range has cut the price of this heated airer by £35Credit: The Range
A heated airer is a lot cheaper than switching on the heating to dry laundry

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A heated airer is a lot cheaper than switching on the heating to dry laundryCredit: The Range

Rather than switching on your central heating or using your tumble dryer for your washing when the weather’s bad, simply hang in on the airer. 

“Now we’re talking,” said one eager shopper, replying to a social media post from the company.

“Need to invest in one,” said another.

Heated airers are more popular than ever and in previous winters have flown off the shelves as shoppers try to find ways to deal with increases in the cost of living and energy bills.

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They look like regular airers but have heated bars to dry clothes quicker.

This 3 Tier version has a generous 21m of drying space so is large enough for a family load and it will save you a fortune. 

For every hour of use the 300W heated airer will cost around 7p, compared with around 61p for your tumble dryer.

Handily, it also folds down when not in use, which is handy for storage and at 5kg, it’s not too heavy to put up and take down.

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This is not the only heated airer deal we’ve seen this past few weeks. Aldi brought back its massively popular heated airer which quickly sold out, while Lidl stocked the Addis heater airer – though this is smaller, holding just 10kg laundry.

Currently, Wilko has a Black & Decker heated airer on offer for £92, down from £149, while Lakeland has cut the price of its Dry Soon heated airer and cover bundles by £50, so they now start from £174.99.

How to cut energy costs and get help with FOUR key household bills

Before buying a heated airer always take into account the size of your room – you don’t want to be overwhelmed by an airer that is far too big for the space.

It’s also worth comparing prices from several retailers, taking into account how much wet washing the airer can hold as well as the amount of electricity it consumes per hour.

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Shopping around will save you money so using online tools that compare prices is a great idea.

Take a look at Google Shopping and Price Spy to check prices across the web from a variety of retailers, such as Argos, Amazon and eBay.

When ordering online don’t forget to take delivery costs into account and avoid a shock at checkout.

Many retailers offer free delivery when you spend over a certain amount, but not all do.

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Ways to save this winter

Heated airers are a great way to save money when you can’t dry your clothes outdoors, but they’re not the only gadget you should seriously consider investing in.

Heated throws are great for keeping warm without switching on the heating. Pop one over you while you’re on the sofa watching TV, drape one over your bed – there’s even one from Lakeland you can wear. They offer several temperature levels and often have timers to automatically switch off.

Dehumidifiers remove moisture from the air and when it’s drier in your home you tend to feel warmer. They can also be great for drying washing and some brands even have a laundry setting.

Air Fryers are the kitchen must-have of the last few years. They generally cook food quicker than your main oven does and in less time, using much less electricity.

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Heavy or lined curtains can help keep out the cold, while draft excluders not only help keep cold air out but warm air in.

Before it gets really cold and you turn to your central heating for the winter, check to see if your radiators need bleeding. It’s a simple job whereby you use a radiator key to release any build-up of air bubbles that can stop the radiator from functioning effectively.

How to bag a bargain

SUN Savers Editor Lana Clements explains how to find a cut-price item and bag a bargain…

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Sign up to loyalty schemes of the brands that you regularly shop with.

Big names regularly offer discounts or special lower prices for members, among other perks.

Sales are when you can pick up a real steal.

Retailers usually have periodic promotions that tie into payday at the end of the month or Bank Holiday weekends, so keep a lookout and shop when these deals are on.

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Sign up to mailing lists and you’ll also be first to know of special offers. It can be worth following retailers on social media too.

When buying online, always do a search for money off codes or vouchers that you can use vouchercodes.co.uk and myvouchercodes.co.uk are just two sites that round up promotions by retailer.

Scanner apps are useful to have on your phone. Trolley.co.uk app has a scanner that you can use to compare prices on branded items when out shopping.

Bargain hunters can also use B&M’s scanner in the app to find discounts in-store before staff have marked them out.

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And always check if you can get cashback before paying which in effect means you’ll get some of your money back or a discount on the item.

Do you have a money problem that needs sorting? Get in touch by emailing money-sm@news.co.uk.

Plus, you can join our Sun Money Chats and Tips Facebook group to share your tips and stories

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