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News diary 7 – 13 October: Tory leadership contest down to two, 7 October anniversaries

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News diary 7 - 13 October: Tory leadership contest down to two, 7 October anniversaries

A look ahead at the key events leading the news agenda next week, from the team at Foresight News.

Leading the week

Parliament returns next week after a conference season which saw the UK’s main parties trying to cement their post-election identities: the Lib Dems and Reform vying for the role of alternative opposition, the Conservatives waiting to discover who’ll lead them into the next election, and Labour struggling to focus on the business of governing amid the background noise of scandals, policy disputes, and unhappy MPs. But party politics may need to take a back seat when MPs return to Westminster on Monday (October 7) as escalating tensions in the Middle East threaten to overshadow the scheduled business.

Monday’s agenda in the House of Commons (DWP questions and a debate on Lord Darzi’s review of the NHS) is likely to be superseded by post-recess ministerial statements, with Keir Starmer’s relationship reset in Brussels, David Lammy’s diplomatic discussions on Ukraine and the Middle East, and efforts to remove British citizens from Lebanon likely to merit an update to MPs.

Starmer will be hoping to tout his early achievements ahead of Labour’s 100th day in office on Saturday (October 12), so we may be treated to some orchestrated cheering from the backbenches during PMQs on Wednesday (October 9) as the prime minister talks up policy work on energy and business investment. The party’s most significant 100-day pledge, an overhaul of employment rights, is still pending, so look out for details on those plans before the week is out.

The identity of Starmer’s future PMQs sparring partner will be a little clearer next week after votes on Wednesday and Thursday (October 10) to whittle down the four Tory contenders to a final two.

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Kemi Badenoch, James Cleverly, Tom Tugendhat and Robert Jenrick spent conference attempting to woo the Conservative faithful, and will spend the next few days trying to secure the backing of enough MPs to make it through to the membership vote which will decide the winner of the contest. Helpfully for the final pair, members will get a reminder of what they could have won with the release of Boris Johnson’s memoirs on Thursday. Extracts from the former prime minister’s modestly-titled Unleashed have already revealed some surprising anecdotes from his time in office – a mooted invasion of the Netherlands foremost among them – but the former journalist in Johnson will surely have kept back the choicest morsels for publication day.

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Looking abroad

Amid a series of recent developments ratcheting up already sky-high tensions in the Middle East, Israel and the world will on Monday (October 7) mark the anniversary of Hamas’s devastating attack, which saw some 1,200 people killed and 250 people kidnapped and taken to Gaza, with over 100 still held hostage.

Events marking the anniversary, which falls just days ahead of the start of Yom Kippur on Friday (October 11), include an event organized by victims’ families in Tel Aviv’s Yarkon Park that aims to honour victims in a depoliticised fashion, as well a broadcast of a pre-recorded state-organised event in the southern town of Ofakim, which was attacked on October 7. A state memorial is scheduled to take place at Mount Herzl in Jerusalem on October 27, though at least one of the Kibbutz communities attacked last year, Yad Mordechai, is planning to commemorate the Jewish calendar anniversary of the attacks on Tishrei 22 (October 24), coinciding with the start of the holiday of Simchat Torah.

The anniversary also means it’s the one year mark for Israel’s operations in Gaza, with protests planned this weekend to commemorate the over 40,000 Palestinians believed to have been killed since the war began. Israeli airstrikes on Gaza began in the immediate aftermath of the October 7 attack, and the Israeli government formally declared war on October 8. Sunday (October 13) marks the anniversary of the first evacuation warning, which saw tens of thousands of Gazans flee south amid rumours of an impending Israeli ground invasion.

US President Joe Biden heads to Germany on Thursday (October 10) as part of a trip that will also see him visit Angola. In addition to bilateral talks with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, likely to take place on Friday (October 11), the conflict in Ukraine is set to be a major focus of the visit.

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On Saturday (October 12), Biden hosts a meeting of the Ukraine Defence Contact Group at Ramstein Air Force Base, with some 50 leaders expected to attend. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who attended a defence ministers’ gathering of the grouping last month, is likely to take part as he seeks to ensure support for his country’s fight against Russia regardless of the outcome of the US election in November. The winner of this year’s Nobel Peace Prize is announced on Friday (October 11) to round off Nobel Week, which sees daily announcements of the big prizes in science, economics and literature.

The deliberative process is extremely secretive, though we do know that there are 285 candidates for this year’s peace prize, of which 196 are individuals and 89 are organisations – slightly down on last year’s numbers. Henrik Urdal, the head of the Peace Research Institute Oslo who puts together an annual list of potential winners, has this year included UNRWA and its Commissioner-General Philippe Lazzarini. If this does turn out to be the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s pick, it would provoke quite the reaction from leaders in Israel.

Also look out for…

October 7

  • Trial begins for family charged with Sara Sharif murder
  • Judgment in Andrew and Tristan Tate tax evasion case
  • APP fraud reimbursement requirement takes effect
  • Donald Trump speaks at October 7 remembrance event
  • Kamala Harris’ 60 Minutes interview
  • North Korea’s Supreme People’s Assembly session opens
  • Nobel Physiology/Medicine Prize announced
  • ESA launches Hera mission

October 8

  • National Grid publishes Winter Outlook
  • Post Office interim chair appears at Horizon IT system inquiry
  • Michael Gove becomes editor of The Spectator
  • Donald Trump Univision town hall airs
  • Joe Biden visits Pennsylvania
  • European Parliament debate on the Middle East
  • Laos hosts ASEAN Summit
  • Nobel Physics Prize winner announced

October 9

  • Renters’ Rights Bill in the Commons
  • Post Office CEO appears at Horizon IT system inquiry
  • Court hearing in Diddy sex trafficking case
  • Victor Orban addresses European Parliament
  • Nobel Chemistry Prize winner announced
  • General election in Mozambique

October 10

  • England v Greece Nations League match
  • Tesla 10/10 event
  • Nobel Literature Prize winner announced
  • Sentencing for woman who murdered her parents
  • Kamala Harris Univision town hall airs
  • French Budget announcement expected
  • Taiwanese President makes National Day speech
  • NASA launches Europa Clipper mission

October 11

  • Monthly GDP estimate
  • Jay Blades in court on controlling behaviour charges
  • Plaid Cymru Annual Conference
  • Cyprus hosts MED9 leaders’ summit

October 12

  • Lisa Nandy and Jim McMahon speak at Co-operative Party conference
  • Newly-discovered comet makes closest passage to Earth
  • Bivol v Beterbiev undisputed title fight

October 13

  • 100 days ago: new UK government formed
  • Joe Biden visits Angola
  • Finland v England Nations League match
  • Olaf Scholz speaks at World Health Summit
  • Legislative elections in Lithuania
  • NFL London: Jaguars v Bears

Statistics, reports and results

October 7

  • JRF report on poverty in Scotland
  • Halifax house price index
  • IHS Markit/REC Report on Jobs

October 8

  • Population estimates for the UK (mid-2023)
  • OBR Budget forecast round
  • BRC retail sales monitor
  • Forbes World’s Best Employers
  • Results from: PepsiCo

October 9

  • Times Higher Education World Rankings 2025
  • Transport Focus strategic roads users survey
  • IEA Renewables 2024
  • India interest rate decision
  • US Federal Reserve minutes of interest rate decision meeting

October 10

  • OBR forecast evaluation report
  • OBR welfare trends
  • Estimated take-up of income related benefits (2022/23)
  • NHS key services performance data
  • Hate crime in England and Wales (2023/24)
  • PEEL report on police response to antisocial behaviour
  • IFS Green Budget
  • WWF Living Planet Report 2024
  • Bank of England credit conditions survey
  • US consumer price index
  • Results from: TATA Consultancy Services, Delta Airlines, Fast Retailing

October 11

  • UK indices of production and services
  • UK overseas trade statistics
  • Fitch Ratings sovereign review of France
  • South Korea interest rate decision
  • Results from: JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, BNY Mellon, Blackrock, Hays

October 13

  • China consumer price index

Anniversaries and awareness days: Asher

October 7

  • Vladimir Putin turns 72
  • World Day for Decent Work
  • World Habitat Day
  • National Work-Life Week (to October 11)
  • Dyslexia Awareness Week (to October 13)
  • Kinship Care Week (to October 13)
  • Hospice Care Week (to October 13)

October 8

  • Fat Bear Tuesday
  • Ada Lovelace Day

October 9

October 10

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  • North Korea Party Foundation Day
  • World Mental Health Day
  • World Day Against the Death Penalty
  • World Sight Day
  • World Homeless Day

October 11

  • International Day of the Girl Child
  • National Coming Out Day

October 12

  • National Bookshop Day
  • World Arthritis Day
  • World Hospice and Palliative Care Day
  • World Migratory Bird Day
  • Fiesta de la Hispanidad (Spain)
  • Día de la Raza (Latin America)
  • National Hate Crime Awareness Week (to October 17)
  • Five years ago: Atatiana Jefferson killed by police officer

October 13

  • International Day for Disaster Reduction
  • World Thrombosis Day
  • Secondary Breast Cancer Awareness Day
  • No Bra Day
  • International Infection Prevention Week (to October 19)
  • Prisons Week (to October 19)

The news diary is provided in association with Foresight News.

Email pged@pressgazette.co.uk to point out mistakes, provide story tips or send in a letter for publication on our “Letters Page” blog

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Travel

European airlines to increase hidden costs for passengers – with seats to be more expensive

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Airlines like Lufthansa are increasing the cost of seat reservations on its flights

SEVERAL airlines in Europe are set to bump up the price of their hidden costs with UK holidaymakers impacted by the measure.

British holidaymakers will be affected as UK routes won’t be an exception in the hike.

Airlines like Lufthansa are increasing the cost of seat reservations on its flights

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Airlines like Lufthansa are increasing the cost of seat reservations on its flightsCredit: Alamy

The Lufthansa Group covers Lufthansa, Eurowings Discover, Austrian Airlines, Brussels Airlines, Swiss and Air Dolomiti.

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And from the start of this month, Austrian Airlines, Lufthansa and Swiss raised the cost of seat reservation prices.

Seat reservation prices aren’t often included in the initial price, making them a hidden charge to customers.

Most economy class passengers travelling on short-haul flights won’t be affected by the measure, with seat reservations for “regular seats” remaining free of charge.

However, anyone who wants to book certain seats like an extra legroom seat will now need to pay.

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Meanwhile, holidaymakers flying on an Economy Light Fare on short and medium-haul flights will need to pay to have their assigned seat changed.

This means passengers will be issued an assigned seat for free but will have to pay for any changes.

A Lufthansa spokesperson has said assigned seats can be changed at an airport desk without a charge.

Those passengers travelling on medium and long-haul flights will also pay a fee if they want to pick their seats.

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Just like on short-haul routes, seats will be assigned for free but holidaymakers will pay to change their seat reservation.

Airport mistakes to avoid: From gate delays to overpriced currency exchange

This amount will not be fixed. Instead, it will be based on factors like a passenger’s route and the type of seat they’d like to book, such as a regular seat compared to an extra legroom seat.

The cost of seat reservations will start at €14 (£11.70) but cost as much as €115 (£97) for economy passengers travelling on long-haul services.

Families travelling with children and groups of holidaymakers on a joint booking will be seated together where possible.

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Earlier this year German carrier Lufthansa also increased the price of its flights by up to £60 in a bid to cover new EU regulations.

Lufthansa introduced an environmental charge of up to £60 to its fares.

Holidaymakers now have to splurge extra when flying from EU countries as well as Britain, Norway and Switzerland.

The increase will be effective as early as Wednesday but will cover flights starting from January 1, 2025, onwards.

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EU regulations force airlines to use more sustainable jet fuel in a bid to reduce emissions, and subsequently, drive up costs.

The German airline said: “The surcharge is intended to cover part of the steadily rising additional costs due to regulatory environmental requirements.”

It comes as flight experts have warned travellers that plane tickets will likely skyrocket this summer.

A group of aviation industry leaders have revealed that worldwide inflation and jet fuel costs are significant factors in the price hike.

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Earlier this year, Lufthansa has launched a new airline with routes across Europe, including Hanover, Düsseldorf, Bordeaux and Birmingham.

Holidaymakers in Birmingham will be able to fly directly to Munich when the new route takes to the skies tomorrow.

It comes after the German carrier scrapped all of its flights to a popular UK airport in February.

Lufthansa only started running flights between Liverpool’s John Lennon Airport and Frankfurt in May 2022.

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Flight compensation rules

A look at your rights if a flight is delayed or cancelled, when your entitled to compensation and if your travel insurance can cover the costs.

What are my rights if my flight is cancelled or delayed?

Under UK law, airlines have to provide compensation if your flight arrives at its destination more than three hours late.

If you’re flying to or from the UK, your airline must let you choose a refund or an alternative flight.

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You will be able to get your money back for the part of your ticket that you haven’t used yet.

So if you booked a return flight and the outbound leg is cancelled, you can get the full cost of the return ticket refunded.

But if travelling is essential, then your airline has to find you an alternative flight. This could even be with another airline.

When am I not entitled to compensation?

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The airline doesn’t have to give you a refund if the flight was cancelled due to reasons beyond their control, such as extreme weather.

Disruptions caused by things like extreme weather, airport or air traffic control employee strikes or other ‘extraordinary circumstances’ are not eligible for compensation.

Some airlines may stretch the definition of “extraordinary circumstances” but you can challenge them through the aviation regulator the Civil Aviation Authority (CAA).

Will my insurance cover me if my flight is cancelled?

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If you can’t claim compensation directly through the airline, your travel insurance may refund you.

Policies vary so you should check the small print, but a delay of eight to 12 hours will normally mean you qualify for some money from your insurer.

Remember to get written confirmation of your delay from the airport as your insurer will need proof.

If your flight is cancelled entirely, you’re unlikely to be covered by your insurance.

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However, the route was scrapped, despite an increase in the number of flights between the two airports in the summer of 2023.

Meanwhile, Lufthansa will also be introducing “business class style” economy seats without the hefty price tag.

European airlines will increase the price of their seat reservations

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European airlines will increase the price of their seat reservationsCredit: Alamy

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Nick Knowles to miss Strictly Come Dancing due to injury

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Nick Knowles to miss Strictly Come Dancing due to injury

Nick Knowles has pulled out of this week’s Strictly Come Dancing show after sustaining an injury.

The DIY SOS presenter and his partner Luba Mushtuk will not perform on Saturday night’s show, which is movie week.

The pair were due to perform the charleston to Rain On The Roof from the film Paddington 2.

A post on Strictly’s Instagram page said that Knowles, 62, had sustained an injury during rehearsals and will not dance this weekend.

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“As per the rules of the competition, Nick and Luba will receive a bye through to next week when he is hopefully able to dance again.

“Everyone at Strictly Come Dancing wishes Nick a speedy recovery.”

No further details about the injury have been disclosed.

Two days after this series’ first live show, Knowles revealed he had injured his arm and shoulder while changing a tyre, but was given medical clearance to perform last weekend.

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He told Strictly spin-off show, It Takes Two, that he had suffered the “painful” injury on the way to a family party on 22 September to celebrate his birthday and now had to wear a sling.

In a video posted to X, Knowles admitted it had been a “tough week”, but he was “very excited” to dance and his shoulder was “getting stronger every day”.

On last weekend’s programme, head judge Shirley Ballas said that what Knowles and Mushtuk had achieved with only 16 hours of rehearsal time was “absolutely amazing”, after they performed an American smooth to Blur’s Parklife.

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Business

Springer Nature shares surge 8% on first trading day in Germany

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Shares in academic research publisher Springer Nature gained on their first day of trading in Frankfurt on Friday, with Europe’s first major initial public offering since the summer boosting prospects for equity markets.

Springer Nature shares gained 8.2 per cent to close at €24.24 in Frankfurt, having priced the stock in the IPO around the middle of its targeted range at €22.50. The rise valued Springer, which sold €600mn of shares as part of the deal, at €4.8bn.  

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Holtzbrinck Publishing Group and BC Partners own 53 per cent and 47 per cent, respectively, of the Berlin-headquartered publisher of journals such as Nature and Scientific American. Privately owned Holtzbrinck did not sell any of its shares in the IPO.

Springer’s first day of trading contrasts with the fortunes of some big European IPOs earlier this year. Spanish fashion company Puig Brands and beauty retailer Douglas, Germany’s biggest listing this year, have fallen sharply since they commenced trading and remain down 18.3 per cent and 24 per cent, respectively.

The publisher had delayed a previous plan to float in 2020 because of the Covid-19 pandemic, but this year joined a list of companies seeking to tap a rebound in investor interest.

The IPO market has been buoyed by falling interest rates, with a backlog of companies whose flotations were delayed during a two-year slump in activity now coming to the market.

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On Tuesday, CVC-backed Żabka, Poland’s largest chain of convenience stores, said it hoped to raise 6.45bn zlotys ($1.7bn) in what is expected to be the country’s largest listing since e-commerce retailer Allegro’s $2.8bn IPO in 2020.

Last week Spain’s Europastry, one of the world’s top makers of frozen baked goods, launched its own IPO seeking to raise more than €500mn.

Private equity groups have sought to take advantage of investor appetite to exit their holdings, with flotations earlier this year of Douglas, owned by private equity company CVC, and dermatology group Galderma, controlled by Swedish buyout group EQT, as well as the €2.6bn IPO of Puig in Madrid and the €2bn Amsterdam IPO of CVC.

BC Partners first bought into Springer in 2013. Group revenues were €1.9bn and adjusted operating profit was €511mn in 2023.

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Money raised from European IPOs in the first half of 2024 more than quadrupled compared with the same period last year, according to PwC analysis, with 23 IPOs in Europe in the second quarter alone raising €6.6bn. 

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Money

IPS moves closer to £1bn AUM with Greenwood acquisition

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Premier Miton hires ex-Quilter director as COO

Investment and wealth management firm IPS Capital has moved closer to £1bn of assets under management with the acquisition of Greenwood Financial Planning.

The acquisition of Saffron Walden-based Greenwood bolsters IPS’s financial planning services and enhances Greenwood’s investment management offering.

It also boosts IPS’s AUM to £950m.

Mike Passfield and Richard Mumford will remain partners of Greenwood, with Passfield becoming a partner of IPS.

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IPS managing partner, Jonathan Blain, said: “We are delighted to have joined forces with Mike, Richard and the team.

“They have a solid, well managed business, providing great client outcomes.

“This is another step towards the next milestone of £1bn AUM, delivering a professional well-rounded service offering to our clients.

“We are proud that the firm remains 100% in the hands of the working partners with the culture that this engenders, allowing us to make selective transactions such as this and adopting the best from both sides.”

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Passfield said: “We’ve got to know Jonathan and the team at IPS over a couple of years and have been impressed with their business and culture, putting client needs at the absolute centre of their business, in a similar way to us.

“Richard and I consider this an ideal fit and are really looking forward to working closely with them and continuing the growth of Greenwood.”

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Royal escort motorcycle crash death: Met Police officer charged

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Royal escort motorcycle crash death: Met Police officer charged
Family handout Helen HollandFamily handout

Helen Holland died two weeks after she was struck by a police motorbike

A Metropolitan Police officer has been charged over the death of an 81-year-old woman who was killed in a crash with a motorcycle that was part of an escort for the Duchess of Edinburgh.

Helen Holland, 81, was struck in Earl’s Court, west London, on 10 May 2023. She died in hospital two weeks later.

The Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) said it had authorised a charge of causing death by careless driving against Christopher Harrison, 67, following a review of the evidence by the Independent Office for Police Conduct.

He is due to appear at Westminster Magistrates’ Court on 6 November.

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‘Massive internal injuries’

Rosemary Ainslie, head of the CPS special crime division, said that with criminal proceedings now active there should be “no reporting, commentary or sharing of information online which could in any way prejudice these proceedings”.

Ms Holland was fatally injured at the junction of West Cromwell Road and Warwick Road.

Following the crash, her son Martin told the BBC she died after sustaining “multiple broken bones and massive internal injuries”.

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After her death was announced, a Buckingham Palace spokesperson said: “The Duchess of Edinburgh is deeply saddened to hear that Helen Holland has passed away.

“Her Royal Highness’s deepest condolences and sympathies go to all of Ms Holland’s family.”

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Business

Thames Water risks falling behind on crucial equity raise, potential investors warn

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Troubled UK utility Thames Water has not yet provided crucial financial details, according to several potential investors in a multimillion pound equity raise, limiting their ability to submit offers by a key deadline. 

Thames Water, which provides water and sewage services to around 16mn households in England, risks having to declare a default to keep it from running out of cash around Christmas. Its existing investors, which include the Abu Dhabi and Chinese sovereign wealth funds, UK pension fund USS and Canadian pension fund Omers, have refused to inject any more equity.

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The company has previously said it needs at least £750mn by early next year and more than £3bn by 2030 to keep operating and to upgrade creaking infrastructure.

Rothschild is currently running an equity-raising process for the company. An initial sales pitch, which has been seen by the Financial Times, was sent to potential investors in July.

That document says they should submit proposals by “late October” after the “launch of the formal equity solicitation process . . . expected to commence post summer”.

According to the potential investors, more detailed information that would allow them to look at Thames Water’s books and complete crucial due diligence before submitting non-bindings offers has not yet been received.

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Rothschild declined to comment but a person with knowledge of their position said that “progress was as planned”. Thames Water declined to comment.

The company, England’s largest privatised water utility, is struggling with a £19bn debt load and trying to fend off renationalisation.

An additional challenge is that while its banks have agreed to roll over £410mn of debt due for repayment on Monday, more debt needs to be extended by the end of the year.

The 16-page pitch sent by Rothschild to global investors in July flags the “UK’s mature transparent regulatory framework” and argues shareholders would benefit from “cash flow stability and inflation linked hedges”.

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It also points to the benefits of serving the “fastest growing and wealthiest population in the UK”, and cites the “critical nature of its services and natural monopoly position”.

One potential investor who received the initial document said: “They need to open the books up and give complete transparency” adding that the document “appears to ignore reality; it fails to mention any chance of bankruptcy, or even just the financial distress”.

Another said the document “tells you nothing”. “No one can invest on that basis,” they added.

Thames Water’s 90 creditors are working on a separate restructuring plan to try to keep the company out of the government’s special administration regime. The creditor group has access to the company’s books and is in discussions with regulator Ofwat about making Thames Water more appealing to investors.

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The group is in discussion with potential equity investors who want to negotiate directly, according to people close to the creditors.

Any equity injection or restructuring would also be shaped by Ofwat’s ruling on how much water companies will be allowed to increase bills and what they must spend on infrastructure in the next five years. This is expected in December.

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