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Labor Market and Housing Data Raise New Fears of a U.S. Economic Slowdown

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21Shares Introduces JitoSOL ETP to Offer Staking Rewards via Solana

TLDR:

  • Layoffs and declining job openings show employers preparing for slower growth and tighter financial conditions 
  • Housing demand is weakening as sellers outnumber buyers, creating a record imbalance and reduced market liquidity 
  • Bond and credit markets reflect rising stress tied to debt levels and long-term growth uncertainty 
  • Rapid disinflation and firm monetary policy increase the risks of tightening into an already fragile economy

 

U.S. economic indicators are showing coordinated signs of strain across labor, housing, and credit markets. Layoffs are rising while hiring slows, reducing job security for many workers. 

Housing demand is weakening as sellers outnumber buyers. Bond and credit markets also reflect growing caution. Together, these trends suggest the economy is entering a fragile late-cycle phase.

Labor and Housing Data Point to Late-Cycle Fragility

Labor and housing data are moving together in a pattern associated with late-cycle slowdowns. January layoff announcements exceeded one hundred thousand, the highest level for that month since the global financial crisis. 

Weekly jobless claims have trended higher, while job openings have fallen to levels last seen in 2020. This combination reduces worker mobility and weakens income security across sectors. 

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Companies are not only cutting staff but also limiting recruitment, with hiring plans reaching record lows for the month. Consumer confidence surveys now reflect growing caution toward discretionary spending and long-term purchases.

Housing markets mirror this shift in behavior. Sellers outnumber buyers by a wide margin, creating the largest recorded gap between supply and demand participants. 

Elevated mortgage rates continue to restrict affordability, while existing owners hesitate to reduce prices because of low-rate loans locked in earlier years. Listings remain visible, yet transactions slow as liquidity dries up. 

This imbalance delays price discovery and increases carrying costs for households and developers.

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Employment weakness directly affects housing demand. Fewer stable incomes mean fewer qualified buyers, placing additional pressure on inventories struggling to clear. 

Together, labor deterioration and housing imbalance suggest that economic momentum is being supported by inertia rather than expanding demand, a condition that historically precedes slowdowns across consumption-driven industries.

Bond, Credit, and Inflation Signals Reinforce Economic Stress

Financial markets are reflecting stress through bond and credit indicators. The Treasury yield curve has entered bear steepening, where long-term yields rise faster than short-term rates.

Investors demand higher compensation to hold extended maturity debt, signaling concern over fiscal deficits and long-term growth expectations. Similar curve movements have preceded economic contractions in previous cycles.

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Corporate credit conditions show parallel weakness. A rising share of lower-quality bonds now trades at distressed levels or faces elevated default risk. 

When financing tightens, firms cut costs, postpone investment, and reduce payroll. These actions feed back into employment and consumer demand, reinforcing pressure already visible in labor data.

Business bankruptcy filings continue to trend upward, reducing liquidity within supply chains and tightening lending standards across financial institutions. Inflation readings have shifted quickly, with real-time measures pointing toward levels near one percent. 

Rapid disinflation increases the risk that consumers delay spending in anticipation of lower prices, slowing transaction activity across goods and services markets.

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Monetary policy remains focused on inflation control despite weakening forward indicators in labor and housing. A restrictive stance during slowing growth raises the probability of misalignment between financial conditions and economic capacity. 

Combined with credit strain and yield curve signals, the environment reflects fragility rather than expansion.

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Ethereum’s Trillion-Dollar Security Dashboard: A Six-Pillar Framework for Ecosystem Safety

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TLDR:

  • User experience is Ethereum’s weakest security link, with only 7 of 29 controls currently live.
  • Smart contract attestations now verify deployed code, reducing reliance on one-time audits alone.
  • Consensus protocol remains Ethereum’s strongest pillar, with robust anti-censorship mechanisms.
  • Social governance risks like stake centralization now tracked alongside technical vulnerabilities

 

Ethereum Trillion Dollar Security Dashboard shows a new structured view of ecosystem safety. It is currently tracking six key areas, including UX, smart contract security, infrastructure, consensus, monitoring, and social governance. 

The Ethereum Foundation launched this initiative to assess risks and progress, aiming to support large‑scale value safely.

The dashboard emphasizes transparency and measurable security for developers and institutional users. 

User Experience and Smart Contract Security

The Ethereum Trillion Dollar Security Dashboard starts with user experience, the area where most losses occur. Users do not interact with the protocol directly but with wallets, dapps, browser extensions, and signing prompts. 

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Because Ethereum transactions are atomic and irreversible, a single mistake can lead to substantial loss. Key subdomains, including key management, blind signing, approvals, privacy, and interface fragmentation, closely align with observed exploit patterns. 

Phishing attacks, malicious approvals, and fake frontends remain primary causes of user loss. Only seven out of twenty-nine controls are currently live, signaling UX as Ethereum’s most urgent frontier. 

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Clear signing standards and wallet safety protocols are prioritized to protect users effectively.Smart contract security has matured but continues evolving. 

Audits, formal verification, bug bounties, and hardened libraries like OpenZeppelin help ensure that deployed contracts remain secure.

This highlights a shift toward verifiable on-chain attestations, solving the problem with the audited contract version. 

These measures make security more transparent and reliable, improving overall ecosystem trust. Security tools now focus on making smart contract interactions legible for users.

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Bytecode-to-audit linking ensures that contracts are identifiable and auditable, reducing dependency on one-off audit assurances.

The Ethereum ecosystem demonstrates consistent improvement in smart contract resilience while emphasizing usability. It helps bridge technical rigor and practical safety for participants.

Infrastructure, Consensus, and Social Governance

Infrastructure and cloud security remain essential components of Ethereum’s ecosystem defense. Reliance on centralized RPC providers, cloud-hosted nodes, and opaque Layer 2 solutions exposes the system to hidden failure points. 

Outages, censorship, or data logging on these services can impact user experience even if Layer 1 remains stable. The dashboard prioritizes community-run RPCs and self-hosted nodes, emphasizing verifiability and decentralization. 

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Most controls are live, reflecting an understanding of evolving risks. Ethereum’s consensus protocol remains the ecosystem’s strongest pillar. 

Through it, clients can diversify, stake decentralization, and actively enforce anti-censorship mechanisms. 

Forced transaction inclusion ensures neutrality, and preparation for quantum-resistant cryptography, and long-term security planning. Monitoring, incident response, and mitigation strategies reduce systemic impact when failures occur. 

Live monitoring, coordinated responses, and emerging insurance solutions help contain risk. Social governance, though slower to mature, is identified as a critical security surface. 

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Stake centralization, regulatory pressures, and organizational capture are measured, ensuring the ecosystem addresses risks beyond technical vulnerabilities.

This holistic approach reframes security from protecting the protocol to supporting a multi-trillion-dollar ecosystem.

Ethereum balances strong consensus and contract security with infrastructure vigilance and social awareness, demonstrating comprehensive security planning for both users and institutions.

 

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Erebor Secures First New US Bank Charter of Trump’s Second Term

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Erebor Secures First New US Bank Charter of Trump’s Second Term

The United States has approved a newly created national bank for the first time during President Donald Trump’s second term, granting a charter to crypto-friendly startup Erebor Bank.

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) confirmed the approval on Friday, allowing the lender to operate nationwide, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter.

The institution launches with about $635 million in capital and aims to serve startups, venture-backed companies and high-net-worth clients, a segment left underserved after the 2023 collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.

Erebor is backed by a roster of prominent technology investors, including Andreessen Horowitz, Founders Fund, Lux Capital, 8VC and Elad Gil. The project was founded by Oculus co-creator Palmer Luckey, who will sit on the board but not manage daily operations.

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Related: Nomura-backed Laser Digital seeks US bank charter amid crypto banking push: Report

Erebor targets defense tech, robotics, AI

The bank is reportedly positioning itself as a specialist lender to emerging industries such as defense technology, robotics and advanced manufacturing. Prospective clients include companies developing AI-driven factories, aerospace research and pharmaceutical production in low-gravity environments.

“You can think of us like a farmers’ bank for tech,” Luckey reportedly told the WSJ, arguing that traditional banks often lack the expertise needed to assess startups with unconventional assets.