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Wall Street remains split after earnings miss

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Wall Street remains split after earnings miss

IREN’s (IREN) latest earnings offered a snapshot of a company mid-transition, with shares currently paying the price for that transition. The firm reported weaker-than-expected revenue and earnings as bitcoin mining took a back seat to its rapidly expanding AI cloud ambitions.

Crushed by record-low margins after the 2024 halving, bitcoin miners are recasting themselves as digital infrastructure players, converting power-hungry mining sites into AI-ready data centers in a bid for more stable, long-term revenue.

One of last year’s best-performing stocks, not just in crypto, but for the whole market, IREN has come back to earth a bit since hitting a record high near $77 in November. Down about 20% amid Thursday’s market crash, shares are flat on Friday at $39.77.

IREN has secured $3.6 billion in GPU financing tied to its Microsoft contract, alongside a $1.9 billion customer prepayment, funding that management says will cover roughly 95% of GPU-related capital expenditures as it scales its AI business, a development JPMorgan analysts Reginald Smith and Charles Pearce described as encouraging.

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IREN’s fiscal second-quarter revenue fell sequentially as lower average hashrate, fewer coins mined and a quarter-over-quarter drop in bitcoin prices weighed on results, according to the Wall Street bank.

The drag from mining was partly offset by rapid growth in cloud services, where revenue more than doubled from the prior quarter to $17 million. That figure came in above JPMorgan’s $14 million estimate but well short of the Street’s $28 million forecast. Management said all GPUs currently energized are fully contracted, a signal the bank described as encouraging as the company pivots toward AI infrastructure.

Cost controls also helped cushion the quarter. Cash SG&A dropped sharply to $43 million, while power costs declined on lower average hashrate. As a result, adjusted EBITDA reached $75 million, beating the bank’s estimate, driven by lower operating and energy expenses. The bank has an underweight rating on the stock.

Investment bank B. Riley raised its price target on IREN to $83 from $74 while reiterating its buy rating, arguing that the recent pullback has created an attractive entry point.

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The upgrade comes despite a softer fiscal second quarter, during which adjusted EBITDA of $75.3 million missed expectations. B. Riley said the earnings miss is overshadowed by IREN’s progress on its AI pivot, including $3.6 billion in low-cost GPU financing tied to its Microsoft deal, a $1.9 billion prepayment that covers about 95% of GPU capex, and an expanded power portfolio now exceeding 4.5 gigawatts (GW).

Compass Point analyst Michael Donovan reiterated a buy rating and a $105 price target on IREN, saying the latest earnings show a company better positioned for growth, even though recent results were weaker. He said IREN now has more secure power and a clearer plan to fund its expansion, which matters more than one soft quarter.

Donovan described the fourth quarter as a period of change. Revenue fell to $184.7 million as the company mined less bitcoin while shifting its facilities from older bitcoin-focused machines to newer chips used for artificial intelligence. Even so, the mix of revenue improved as AI-related services began to make up a larger share of the business.

He pointed to the $3.6 billion financing package linked to IREN’s Microsoft project as an important milestone. The funding is larger than originally planned and is structured so that money is drawn as construction moves forward and revenue contracts kick in.

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Donovan expects IREN to begin recognizing revenue from Microsoft toward the end of the second quarter of 2026, with revenue increasing in stages after that. By the end of 2026, he sees a path for the business to generate about $3.4 billion in annualized revenue.

Read more: Weak earnings drag IREN, Amazon; bitcoin stocks rebound in pre-market

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Bitcoin Google Searches Surge as Price Dips to $60K

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin drew renewed attention last week as price action met a renewed wave of retail-focused interest. Google Trends provisional data show worldwide searches for “Bitcoin” reached a score of 100 for the week starting Feb. 1, the highest level in roughly 12 months. The price picture reflected the mood: BTC started February around $81,500 and slid to about $60,000 within five days, before a partial rebound toward the mid-$70,000s as markets steadied (CoinMarketCap).

Key takeaways

  • Global search interest for “Bitcoin” surged to a 12-month high, hitting a Trends score of 100 in the week beginning Feb. 1.
  • Bitcoin’s price fell from ~ $81,500 to around $60,000 within five days and then recovered to about $70,700 at press time.
  • Retail participation appears to be returning, with market observers noting renewed shopper enthusiasm on social media.
  • The Coinbase premium turned positive for the first time since mid-January, signaling fresh US buying interest, per CryptoQuant.
  • The Crypto Fear & Greed Index dipped into Extreme Fear, underscoring a cautious mood even as some traders see a potential buying opportunity.

Tickers mentioned: $BTC

Sentiment: Neutral

Price impact: Negative in the near term as BTC slipped toward $60,000, followed by a partial rebound to near $70,700.

Market context: The move highlights ongoing volatility in crypto markets and the sensitivity of retail-driven sentiment to price swings. Elevated search activity and mixed indicators—institutional signals and retail metrics—illustrate how traders are weighing risk in a broader macro backdrop. Watch for whether on-chain and sentiment signals converge as price stabilizes.

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Why it matters

Retail interest can act as a catalyst for direction, and the early February price swing underscores how quickly sentiment can shift in a market known for sharp reversals. The spike in search activity, when paired with signals like the Coinbase premium and the Fear & Greed Index, provides a richer picture of market psychology beyond price alone. For investors and users, this episode reinforces the importance of triangulating signals—price levels, sentiment gauges, and on-chain activity—before drawing conclusions about trend beginnings or endings.

From a broader perspective, the data point to a market that remains comfortable with high volatility and sensitive to both macro cues and microflows. While some market participants view the Extreme Fear reading as a potential bottoming signal, others caution that sentiment can stay negative for extended periods if liquidity tightens or negative catalysts emerge. In this environment, the resilience of price above key support zones and the pace at which sentiment shifts back toward optimism will likely determine the next phase of the cycle.

Bitcoin is down 15.51% over the past seven days. Source: CoinMarketCap

Beyond price, observers continue to weigh how these signals translate into longer-term momentum. The conversation around a potential recovery hinges not only on how quickly Bitcoin stabilizes but also on the durability of renewed retail demand, the direction of institutional interest, and the evolving regulatory and macro backdrop. The current mix of indicators—some suggesting cautious optimism, others signaling caution—reflects a crypto market still navigating a high-velocity environment where news, liquidity shifts, and investor sentiment can diverge for extended periods.

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Ethereum’s Trillion-Dollar Security Dashboard: A Six-Pillar Framework for Ecosystem Safety

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21Shares Introduces JitoSOL ETP to Offer Staking Rewards via Solana

TLDR:

  • User experience is Ethereum’s weakest security link, with only 7 of 29 controls currently live.
  • Smart contract attestations now verify deployed code, reducing reliance on one-time audits alone.
  • Consensus protocol remains Ethereum’s strongest pillar, with robust anti-censorship mechanisms.
  • Social governance risks like stake centralization now tracked alongside technical vulnerabilities

 

Ethereum Trillion Dollar Security Dashboard shows a new structured view of ecosystem safety. It is currently tracking six key areas, including UX, smart contract security, infrastructure, consensus, monitoring, and social governance. 

The Ethereum Foundation launched this initiative to assess risks and progress, aiming to support large‑scale value safely.

The dashboard emphasizes transparency and measurable security for developers and institutional users. 

User Experience and Smart Contract Security

The Ethereum Trillion Dollar Security Dashboard starts with user experience, the area where most losses occur. Users do not interact with the protocol directly but with wallets, dapps, browser extensions, and signing prompts. 

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Because Ethereum transactions are atomic and irreversible, a single mistake can lead to substantial loss. Key subdomains, including key management, blind signing, approvals, privacy, and interface fragmentation, closely align with observed exploit patterns. 

Phishing attacks, malicious approvals, and fake frontends remain primary causes of user loss. Only seven out of twenty-nine controls are currently live, signaling UX as Ethereum’s most urgent frontier. 

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Clear signing standards and wallet safety protocols are prioritized to protect users effectively.Smart contract security has matured but continues evolving. 

Audits, formal verification, bug bounties, and hardened libraries like OpenZeppelin help ensure that deployed contracts remain secure.

This highlights a shift toward verifiable on-chain attestations, solving the problem with the audited contract version. 

These measures make security more transparent and reliable, improving overall ecosystem trust. Security tools now focus on making smart contract interactions legible for users.

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Bytecode-to-audit linking ensures that contracts are identifiable and auditable, reducing dependency on one-off audit assurances.

The Ethereum ecosystem demonstrates consistent improvement in smart contract resilience while emphasizing usability. It helps bridge technical rigor and practical safety for participants.

Infrastructure, Consensus, and Social Governance

Infrastructure and cloud security remain essential components of Ethereum’s ecosystem defense. Reliance on centralized RPC providers, cloud-hosted nodes, and opaque Layer 2 solutions exposes the system to hidden failure points. 

Outages, censorship, or data logging on these services can impact user experience even if Layer 1 remains stable. The dashboard prioritizes community-run RPCs and self-hosted nodes, emphasizing verifiability and decentralization. 

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Most controls are live, reflecting an understanding of evolving risks. Ethereum’s consensus protocol remains the ecosystem’s strongest pillar. 

Through it, clients can diversify, stake decentralization, and actively enforce anti-censorship mechanisms. 

Forced transaction inclusion ensures neutrality, and preparation for quantum-resistant cryptography, and long-term security planning. Monitoring, incident response, and mitigation strategies reduce systemic impact when failures occur. 

Live monitoring, coordinated responses, and emerging insurance solutions help contain risk. Social governance, though slower to mature, is identified as a critical security surface. 

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Stake centralization, regulatory pressures, and organizational capture are measured, ensuring the ecosystem addresses risks beyond technical vulnerabilities.

This holistic approach reframes security from protecting the protocol to supporting a multi-trillion-dollar ecosystem.

Ethereum balances strong consensus and contract security with infrastructure vigilance and social awareness, demonstrating comprehensive security planning for both users and institutions.

 

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Erebor Secures First New US Bank Charter of Trump’s Second Term

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Erebor Secures First New US Bank Charter of Trump’s Second Term

The United States has approved a newly created national bank for the first time during President Donald Trump’s second term, granting a charter to crypto-friendly startup Erebor Bank.

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) confirmed the approval on Friday, allowing the lender to operate nationwide, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter.

The institution launches with about $635 million in capital and aims to serve startups, venture-backed companies and high-net-worth clients, a segment left underserved after the 2023 collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.

Erebor is backed by a roster of prominent technology investors, including Andreessen Horowitz, Founders Fund, Lux Capital, 8VC and Elad Gil. The project was founded by Oculus co-creator Palmer Luckey, who will sit on the board but not manage daily operations.

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Related: Nomura-backed Laser Digital seeks US bank charter amid crypto banking push: Report

Erebor targets defense tech, robotics, AI

The bank is reportedly positioning itself as a specialist lender to emerging industries such as defense technology, robotics and advanced manufacturing. Prospective clients include companies developing AI-driven factories, aerospace research and pharmaceutical production in low-gravity environments.

“You can think of us like a farmers’ bank for tech,” Luckey reportedly told the WSJ, arguing that traditional banks often lack the expertise needed to assess startups with unconventional assets.