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‘Let’s be more normal’ — and rival Tory strategies

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This is an audio transcript of the Political Fix podcast episode: ‘‘Let’s be more normal’ — and rival Tory strategies

Lucy Fisher
Stephen, George, one word to describe the mood at Tory conference this week.

Stephen Bush
I’m gonna go with delusional.

Lucy Fisher
(Laughter) George.

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George Parker
If I could have two words, I’d say light and delusional. (Laughter)

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Lucy Fisher
Hello, I’m Lucy Fisher and this is Political Fix from the Financial Times. Coming up, “Let’s be more normal”. That was the soundbite this week from the Conservative party leadership candidate James Cleverly. But his rivals have other ideas. Plus, the latest in Sir Keir Starmer’s “freebiegate”. And we’ll discuss what the prime minister got up to in Brussels this week. Did his visit change anything in EU-UK relations? Joining me in the studio are Political Fix regulars Stephen Bush. Hi, Stephen.

Stephen Bush
Hi, Lucy.

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Lucy Fisher
And political editor George Parker. Hi, George.

George Parker
Hello, Lucy.

Lucy Fisher
So I don’t know if you two have recovered yet from the four-day jamboree in Birmingham from Sunday to Wednesday this week. But George, I was expecting something of a sort of funereal tone after this party suffered its worst-ever election defeat. It was strangely upbeat, wasn’t it?

George Parker
It was very odd. I mean, you arrived at the conference centre, the skies were grey. It was pouring with rain. And you thought this is gonna be a funereal atmosphere for four days in Birmingham at the International Convention Centre. In fact, as you say, the opposite was true. As one former Tory MP put it to me, Anthony Browne, he said that we had our low point three months ago at the election and we’ve reconciled ourselves to be in opposition. But the Labour party don’t seem to have reconciled themselves to being in power, which was quite an interesting way of putting it. And yeah, I mean the mood was light. There was a certain amount of schadenfreude going on about the difficulties that Keir Starmer’s endured, finding being in government is actually quite a tricky thing to do. But at the end of the day, you know, was it delusional? You know, you sort of lock yourself away from the real world, don’t you, at the party conference and you couldn’t help feeling there was a sort of slight sense of unreality throughout the whole event.

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Lucy Fisher
Stephen, what was your take?

Stephen Bush
My main take was it gave me an overwhelming sense of déjà vu to the Labour conference of 2010 and the Liberal Democrat conference of 2015, where obviously in both cases you had a party that had been sharply rejected by the voters. And in both cases there was a surprisingly upbeat mood, in both cases because the new government was struggling a bit in its first couple of days in the way that new governments tend to do.

It felt to me that the weird thing about these conferences is you have a governing party which is suddenly going, oh God, this is really quite difficult and an opposition which is both enjoying the government finding things difficult, but also enjoying the fact that it’s not having to do the difficult stuff and kind of having a sort of wilful blindness to the damage to the party brand. The fact that for all Labour’s difficulties, we are yet to see an opinion poll in which the Labour party is not ahead of the Conservatives. And broadly speaking, although Keir Starmer’s numbers have collapsed quite a bit, the one thing that they are still higher than is all of the alternative candidates for the leadership.

Lucy Fisher
It did feel like they were enjoying being untethered from the realities of governing in some senses and indulging some of their more radical instincts on policy. So, George, this was, of course, a sort of beauty parade for the four candidates — four days of speeches and fringe events, and Q&As on the main stage. Let’s talk first about James Cleverly. I think we all agree from conversations we’ve had before the pod and probably in line with the general commentariat that James Cleverly had a great conference. He seemed to crescendo throughout and his speech on the final day definitely met with the biggest standing ovation in the hall, didn’t it?

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George Parker
Yes. I don’t think that will come to any great surprise to listeners of Political Fix because we’ve been buying stocks in James Cleverly for quite a while. But yes, I mean, look, he looked the part, he plainly enjoys party conferences, he plainly enjoys the company of party members. He was a former party chairman. And sometimes his critics say he gave the speech of a party chairman rather than a leader saying what the party membership wants to hear. I don’t really agree with that. I thought he sounded like he understood what the problem was. And his diagnosis I thought was interesting. He sort of talked about Ronald Reagan, the optimism, new morning for Britain, sounding optimistic about your country.

And as you mentioned earlier, we need to be more normal. And he didn’t quite say it in those terms, but it reminded me a bit of Tim Walz’s, you know, sort of talking about some of the Republican leadership sounding a bit weird. And he didn’t say that, but I mean, that was the implication. And we’ll come on to some of the things that Kemi Badenoch and Robert Jenrick was saying during the course of the week.

But I thought he struck the right tone. He looked like a leader. He’s gonna come under a lot of pressure over the next few days. The dirty tricks are gonna start against him, the briefing wars will start. He’s largely remained above that stuff until now because he’s been seen as a rank outsider. Now, if you look at the betting odds, he’s the second favourite behind Robert Jenrick and closing the gap very quickly indeed. So I think over the next few days we’ll see a lot of criticism of James Cleverly, including incidentally, a story you’ve been writing about, Lucy — the decision to hand back sovereignty of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius, a negotiation of which started when James Cleverly was foreign secretary, and that is being used already by his opponents to target him.

Lucy Fisher
Yeah, really good point. I mean, Stephen, I thought it was quite brave of Cleverly to tell his party we need to be more normal. He also used the word relatable as well as, you know, enthusiastic, talked about selling conservatism with a smile. But telling your party membership, you know, they’re at risk of looking a bit weird. I mean, that is quite a bold thing to do, isn’t it?

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Stephen Bush
Yeah. I mean, look, the easy thing to do in this type of contest is to do what Kemi Badenoch and Robert Jenrick both did in their speeches, which was basically stand up and go, we lost because we weren’t rightwing enough, right? And instead he said, well, I’m afraid I think anyone who was at that conference who’s not a dyed-in-the wool Tory could observe, which is a problem that although there are a large number of Conservative MPs for whom this is not true, there is a problem in both their parliamentary party and their grassroots and there are people who say deeply odd things who appear to hate the country that they wish to govern and who say things that are far removed of the things you would need to win.

I mean, to go for one of them, Kemi Badenoch speculating out loud about the national minimum wage. William Hague in 2001 did not go into that election suggesting the minimum wage was up for grabs, right? It is both politically mad and negligent to even to allow both the Labour party and the Liberal Democrats to credibly attack you as having opened that issue. I think, you know, it was a brave thing to say, it was the right thing to say. I think it was speech and in addition to being well-delivered, showed that he gets the essential diagnosis of what that party needs to do in order to be a viable governing force again.

Lucy Fisher
Well, let’s move on to Kemi Badenoch then, Stephen. I mean, she entered this contest as the favourite. She did have a few kind of moments of controversy, didn’t she? You mentioned the minimum wage trial. Also on maternity pay, she seemed to ricochet several times between suggesting that it was excessive, it had gone too far, was too much of a burden on business, then claimed it was her rivals or the media that was misrepresenting her and then seemed to repeat her initial point. And I just lost track of where she was on it. Also, comments on the NHS. Where do you think she ended up at the end of the conference?

Stephen Bush
I think Kemi Badenoch has had a pretty disastrous conference. I think in terms of the question marks Conservative MPs had about her, you know, is she too combative? Also, does she actually have a serious grounding? You know, would her leadership just be one controversy after another? The fact that she said she wandered into a row about statutory maternity pay, she then acted as if she’d somehow been tricked into this. Then, in defending herself, both wandered back into it and decided to go like, oh yeah, let’s bring the minimum wage into it as well, suggested the idea that, you know, maybe we should at some point consider charging for the NHS. I mean, why would anyone think that was a good idea for an opposition politician four years out from the next general election debacle?

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Oh like, hey, guys, you know, I think would be really great for the Conservative party, for the Labour party to be able to credibly say the Conservative leader — leader — has said that they might charge for the NHS. I mean, that’s bonkers! And that has deepened the fear among some Conservative MPs, including the ones who backed Mel Stride, who are, of course, the ones who will, one way or the other, shape the final shortlist now because those are the votes that are up for grabs, that she would be a bit of a liability. So, yeah, I think she’s had a pretty awful conference, all things told.

Lucy Fisher
I wouldn’t go as far as you. I’m interested in your take, George. I mean, we were in the hall for the speeches. She was getting a lot of love when she was talking about her hardline views on transgender issues, describing herself as a net zero sceptic. And there was a lot of kind of rhetoric about how she was gonna stand up and fight leftwing nonsense. That got a lot of applause. I mean, there is something about her analysis. You know, she claims it’s a Blair-Brown conspiracy almost still persists in society — Blair’s rewriting of the legal system, Brown’s Treasury rules. She’s got this big prospectus of starting from first principles, and there are some on the right to whom that’s really attractive.

George Parker
I think that’s true. I think, you know, we were sitting in the hall and I think we agreed, Lucy, that James Cleverly was the standout performer in the speeches. But Kemi Badenoch came second. See, I thought she gave a good speech and it was well-received in the hall.

But interestingly, there was some work done by More in Common, the think-tank, which did a focus group of people who previously voted Conservative but had switched to either Labour, Reform, or the Liberal Democrats. And they found that the overwhelming view was that Kemi Badenoch was the standout performer. They found her sparky, interesting, engaging and so forth. So I don’t think it was as disastrous for Kemi Badenoch as Stephen was suggesting.

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But this is the really fascinating bit. The next round next week is a matter for the Tory MPs, and what they will be looking at is not so much how she performed on the stage, but some of the things that Stephen was discussing. The “perma gaffe” that every time she was in front of the microphone she said something which could be exploited by her opponents and she ends up spending the whole week trying to explain herself and claiming she has been misrepresented. It was no coincidence that she wasn’t allowed to do media rounds during the election campaign because they, the Tory leadership, couldn’t trust her.

And the question for the Tory MPs next week is do we trust putting Kemi Badenoch on to a shortlist of two, which then goes to the membership, where she could win? And if she does win, what does that mean for the party? And I think that’s a huge decision for Tory MPs next week. And my guess is in the end, they might balk at that and they might keep her off that shortlist.

Stephen Bush
Yeah, I mean, so, yeah, to be clear, I completely agree that in terms of the membership, what she’s saying, lots of them would love to reopen the conversations that she reopened and then claim she hadn’t reopened last week. But there are still a lot of Conservative MPs among the 121 who do, broadly speaking, get what the party needs to do to win. And they understand that speculating out loud about charging for the NHS, implying that you think statutory maternity pay is too generous . . . 

George Parker
Or jailing civil servants. Ten per cent of civil servants have to be in prison. We forgot about that one.

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Lucy Fisher
Fifty thousand-odd less civil servants.

Stephen Bush
They understand that these are not things that would serve the Conservative party’s interests electorally, and they also understand that if Kemi Badenoch gets out to the membership round, she will certainly win. And I think that she has done enough to stiffen the resolve of Conservative MPs who kind of went into this week looking for a reason not to put her before the members. You know, her big problem has always been the parliamentary stage. If they let her out, of course, yeah, it is a slam dunk.

Lucy Fisher
So let’s be fair to Robert Jenrick. So he’s topped the first round of two rounds of MP ballots. George, he wasn’t entirely gaffe-free. You know, he made this extraordinary claim that UK special forces are killing rather than capturing terrorists because European law is hemming them in, refused to back down on that claim, essentially accusing UK special forces of murdering people, which drew a lot of condemnation both from James Cleverly and Tom Tugendhat, who’ve both served in the armed forces previously. What did you make of his conference overall?

George Parker
I thought that was a really bad mistake, you know, to find yourself being criticised by the armed forces for making wild assertions like that. It’s all the kind of populist rhetoric that you might expect at a Republican convention in the US, to be honest. I thought it’s a bad conference for Robert Jenrick. I think even his supporters would admit that he didn’t knock the ball out of the park, to put it mildly, in that crucial final speech on Wednesday. He suffered from coming on straight after James Cleverly put in a barnstorming performance. He didn’t grab the audience right from the start. He said, I’m from Wolverhampton and there was chill silence in the hall than what he expected.

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It felt to me like a slightly lazy speech rehearsing some of the things we’ve heard him say repeatedly during the course of the contest so far. And he just failed to ignite the hall. And you could see in that. In fact, we spent some time after speaking to people coming out of the hall, and it was very easy to find people who’d come into the Birmingham conference at the start week thinking they were gonna support Robert Jenrick who had switched on the basis of those appearances, switched. In fact, all the people I spoke to had switched from Jenrick to Cleverly.

And I think, you know, there’s even some suggestions that, you know, he maybe won’t even make it on to the final ballot. I think that’s unlikely. I think Jenrick, up until that point, his campaign has been the most slick. He looks like he really wants to win. And that’s important, I think, for the party. So I think he will go through to the final two, but I think it’s gonna be much tougher than for him than many people thought a few days ago.

Lucy Fisher
Yeah, I mean, Stephen has a small kind of aside on style. I felt he was unlucky to have to go after James Cleverly, who’s tall, has a sonorous, you know, voice and a great sense of timing, a great sort of speaker, whereas Robert Jenrick, quite short, has a reedier voice, not a lot of presence on stage even if he did try and pull off the David Cameron trick of learning his speech off by heart. He was the only one not using a teleprompter. What did you make of his performance?

Stephen Bush
Well, as a fellow member of the guild of people with nasal voices, I feel I should probably stand up for Robert Jenrick. (Lucy laughs) I mean, look, it wasn’t very good, was it?

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The thing which is sort of fascinating about Robert Jenrick’s campaign is it’s so slick and well put together, but it’s kind of ironic given he’s one of the few Conservatives who was very pro-building. He’s kind of a supply side crisis made flesh in that he sees that there’s this unmet demand in the Conservative leadership election and it works really well when it’s the videos and the kind of controlled stuff. But occasionally he does something I think, and that speech was an example, where the cynicism of it is just a little bit too obvious. It just was so cynical and artificial and you could kind of feel the oxygen coming out of the campaign as he spoke.

George Parker
That little video beforehand where he was having a chat with a bloke from Bolton in a café. It was so sort of contrived.

Stephen Bush
And yeah, this kind of weird thing where he’s like pretending that his parents were less successful than they were, and I just don’t really get that because it’s like, mate, you know, to the Tory party, you know, you’re a West Midlands success story. You’re the heart of like what makes that party what it is. Why are you being so weird? I mean, this is the thing, he is the weird candidate in lots of ways.

He had the misfortune of going after the best performer, someone who is comfortable in their skin. But also, we all know what we should be normal is a coded reference to. So when you have a bravura speech where someone goes, let’s for goodness sake be normal, and then you have this — I’m allowed to say it because again, I’m also nasal — this nasal weird speech. It was just a terrible moment for him. And I think it did do him some damage. Of course, he does have the advantage that the argument he’s making is very, very seductive and very powerful to parties who have just been defeated, that the argument he’s making, albeit one he articulated poorly in his speech, usually wins most leadership elections for defeated parties.

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Lucy Fisher
And that is a rightwing argument and his particular focus has been on migration, right? He’s the only candidate of the four who has said he’d outright he would definitely take the UK out of the European Convention on Human Rights and replace that in UK law with a new British bill of rights. And he’s one of two candidates along with Tugendhat who said that he would cap inward net legal migration at 100,000 a year. I think we spend just a tiny amount of time on Tugendhat. It’s probably instructive we barely mentioned him. I mean, he’s a bit of a busted flush now, is he, George?

George Parker
He is, I’m afraid to say. I thought he was actually very good in the question and answer format on the Monday. I thought he was actually probably the best in that format, that conversational style I thought was very good. He, you know, you can laugh about the way he mentions his military service in every other sentence, but he always did it quite deftly, I think, on Monday. But by the time he came to the speeches on Wednesday, it fell very flat indeed. And his odds have drifted out. And given the fact that Tom Tugendhat is, you know, fighting from the centre in this campaign, you can see some of those people supporting him will now move across into the Cleverly camp in the next few days.

Stephen Bush
Yeah, I mean, essentially, Tom Tugendhat’s problem is not that he’s done anything wrong. It’s what James Cleverly has done right. They’re existing in a similar bit of the marketplace, as it were, and one or the other of them was going to come out of this conference carrying a wound. I think simply his problem was that his speech was not as well delivered or as effective as James Cleverly.

Lucy Fisher
I just wanted to touch on one other thing, which obviously this was all playing out against the backdrop of huge developments on the world stage in the Middle East. You know, conference started on the Sunday after we had the news that Hassan Nasrallah, the head of Hizbollah, had been killed by Israeli air strikes in Lebanon. And then, of course, on the Tuesday night, we saw that Iranian barrage of missiles fired into Israel. And the sort of strange spectacle of people at the conference, you know, watching the screens of some of the broadcasters who’d set up shop in the exhibition hall. George, it just struck me as very interesting that Israel was quite like a theme during the conference and almost became a test of rightwing credentials. All four candidates were really at pains to stress how pro-Israel they were; Robert Jenrick wearing that quite remarkable hoodie saying Hamas are terrorists.

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George Parker
Yes, I mean, in that respect, it felt a bit like an American political convention as well, the sort of out-and-out support for Israel and to be honest, in the Tory leadership contest, there’s only one side to be on in this conflict. You know, you’ve got the rightwing government in Jerusalem versus Hamas and Hizbollah, two organisations that are designated as terrorist organisations, role in Iran, you know, autocracy, dictatorship, whatever you want to call it. It’s fairly obvious where they’re going to come down.

We were talking earlier about the idea that in the past Tory party we had quite a strong Arabist streak you don’t hear so much about any more. That was what feels to me like a sort of different generation, people who, you know, come through the Foreign Office, which had that very strong Arabist ethos about it. But things have changed and you know, the Conservative party is now out-and-out pro-Israel.

Lucy Fisher
And Stephen, do you think it’s become more of a dividing line between the left and the right that Labour have, you know, in ways we’ve discussed on the podcast recently, have overhauled the UK’s foreign policy on Israel with some decisions, most recently suspending some arms export licences to Israel, whereas the Tories are kind of more uniformly pro-Israel?

Stephen Bush
Well, it’s interesting, isn’t it? Because if you, if you look at the text of what David Cameron was doing and saying before the election, that joint op-ed he had with his German counterpart, broadly speaking, the UK has been fairly within the mainstream of European politics on this, and has continued to be under Labour.

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But now the Conservatives are in opposition. They are able to occupy a more maximal position, which I think reflects a number of things. One, I think it reflects on the part of many activists and MPs in the party a sincere political belief, but also it’s sort of the ambient view as well of life. If you’re a Conservative who’s not that into foreign policy and you just don’t want anyone to shout at you, you know what your position on this conflict is. It’s fascinating historically, because exactly as George says, for a very long time, the Conservative party was much the less pro-Israel of the two political parties.

I mean, Margaret Thatcher, it’s a fascinating sliding-doors moment. Margaret Thatcher came very close to losing her seat in 1974. She herself was very pro-Israel’s right to defend itself in ’73; Ted Heath was not. It took a lot of backbench pressure and pressure from the Labour opposition led by Harold Wilson, who particularly, you know, asserted himself to force the Labour party into that position.

But it’s, I think, also partly about a consequence of who lost their seats and who kept them. You know, the voice of the Conservatives, which might have been saying things like, oh no, we need a ceasefire is no longer in the hall. And so all of that creates this drift towards that being the kind of house opinion in the same way that, you know, being pro-European was the house opinion in New Labour in the noughties, even among people who when you ask them follow-up questions, clearly didn’t know anything about it.

And that was one of the amusing things I thought about, some of the Q&A, was once Kemi Badenoch was put on to the question of Israel (inaudible), she was like, oh well, you know, there are some issues around the occupation. And visibly just like, what are those issues, Kemi? (Laughter) Like, she . . . you know, obviously she just didn’t know, right? You know, which is, you know, it’s fine. Not everyone has to be into foreign policy. But yeah, it’s historically interesting, I think.

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Lucy Fisher
Well, on another subject of foreign policy, we saw the first meeting this week between Keir Starmer and Ursula von der Leyen on Wednesday in Brussels to discuss the big UK-EU reset. And we’re joined now by the FT’s public policy editor, Peter Foster, to discuss it. Hi, Peter.

Peter Foster
Hi.

Lucy Fisher
So you’ve written an interesting newsletter this week questioning whether it’s even really right to call this a reset at all. Tell us how important this moment is and if we’ve really learned anything more about how close the relationship can get under the new Labour administration.

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Peter Foster
Right, you don’t wanna be churlish. It is an important moment. It builds on what happened with Rishi Sunak during the Windsor framework agreement. Relations have been much better, and to have Keir Starmer go to Brussels and say that Ursula von der Leyen, the commission president, and I have decided we can work together, we can do better stuff.

So on that sense, it’s a moment. And there’s gonna be summits from 2025 onwards. Although lots of countries have summits with the EU — Canada and Brazil, etc. So let’s not overstate that. You know, the thing about whether it really is a reset or not, that wasn’t something that I raised. Actually, member states raised that. If you have no single market, no customs union, no free movement, well, those are the same red lines — Keir Starmer’s red lines — that actually led to the Boris Johnson trade deal that Labour likes to deride.

You know, that’s what happens if you take those red lines to the European Commission, put them in their machine and wind the handle, what drops out the bottom is the UK-EU Trade and Cooperation Agreement. So Labour says it wants to tear down the barriers to trade, but actually what it’s asking for is gonna do nothing of the sort.

Lucy Fisher
And what Labour said in its manifesto — it’s three quite concrete discrete things it wants — aren’t hugely ambitious, as we’ve discussed before on the podcast: veterinary deal, professional qualification recognition and easier access for musicians to tour on the continent. We’ve heard from your news stories that EU figures, diplomats, they want Keir Starmer to spell out more clearly what he’s willing to trade away to get there.

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Peter Foster
Yeah, indeed. You know, there’s always a horse trade in Europe and actually one of the things people miss is that there’s like a tripwire clause in the Trade and Cooperation Agreement trade deal, which says that unless there’s a new deal negotiated on fishing rights from June 2026, there won’t be another deal on energy exchange, right?

So what you’re seeing there is that EU member states are saying, look, there’s not gonna be any cherry-picking here. We’re still in a situation where the foundations of our relationship are this Trade and Cooperation Agreement, which is frankly an inadequate agreement for a €1tn trading arrangement.

But it is what it is. It’s a reverse trade agreement, the TCA, and Labour, as you said at the top, Labour’s ambitions for resetting it are incredibly shallow. It’s not a reset, it’s a bit of sanding round the edges, a bit of tinkering.

But that’s not a reset. A reset would be saying, actually, we don’t want what Boris Johnson asked for. We actually do want a customs union. We do want, you know, some kind of better mobility arrangement. But actually, if you listen to Keir Starmer, he says we want the same as what Boris Johnson asked for.

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George Parker
The other thing that he wants to talk about and he does talk about a lot is this idea of a defence or security pact between the UK and the EU. I just wonder what you thought, Peter, about how significant that could be, because we know they want to move beyond just security questions into energy, into migration and so forth. Could that be a useful mechanism?

Peter Foster
I think one of the laws of Brexit is you can’t parlay security into single-market access into trade.

George Parker
Yeah.

Peter Foster
Actually, you know, most security already happens. It happens via Nato, happens via the G7, sanctions co-operation happened in the peak of the Brexit stand-off. You know, before Rishi Sunak got there.

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So, you know, do we really get some massive dividend out of security co-operation? I’m not sure that we do. I think we can show willing. So we can rejoin Operation Althea, as it’s called, which is the EU operation, the Balkans, you know, that would show willing. Send some advisers to that. Maybe in the context of Ukraine, etc we could start to join things like the European Defence Fund.

But that’s about us putting money in and saying to the EU, we now want to be part of wider European defence procurement, which is part of Ursula von der Leyen’s second-term agenda. But does our defence establishment want to start putting money into potentially reasonably inefficient burden-sharing structures in the EU? I’m not sure that it does. You’d know better than me, Lucy, on that.

But nonetheless, the danger here is that actually we get stuck in this very narrow negotiation talking about fish and free movement ability and lose sight of the fact — and I think there are diplomats who are worried about this — lose sight of the fact that we are in a real inflection point strategically. You know, you’ve got migration pressures, you have obviously Putin menacing Europe in Ukraine, etc. This should be a moment where the UK and EU really do harness their strategic co-ambitions.

The trouble is that history tells us that trying to look past fish and free movement and we’re not giving any freebies, etc is really difficult. And that’s why these summits could become just a talking shop, essentially a buffer to allow us to say, oh, we’re all still friends, but nothing really material comes out of them.

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Lucy Fisher
And Peter, what difference might Donald Trump re-entering the White House make to the way that kind of strategic inflection point is viewed by both the UK and the EU not only in terms of sort of security and defence in sort of an increasingly polarised world, but I don’t know — Trump can be so unpredictable on all range of manners. Would that sort of shake up thinking at all, you know, in a wider sense, do you think?

Peter Foster
I mean, it might do, but we have forums for that., you know, in the G7, in Nato, etc. And clearly, an erratic Donald Trump presidency is gonna change the calculation. Does it mean that suddenly the EU are gonna start to go soft on fish and start gonna give us mutual recognition, professional qualifications deal? I’m not sure that it does.

Stephen Bush
I suspect, if there is a Trump presidency, then that will be the thing which becomes the excuse for many people in the Labour party to say what they want to say anyway, which is, look, there’s an unpredictable president talking about tariffs; let’s go back into the customs union. Look, there’s a bleak defence situation; let’s go back into, yeah, like let’s align on energy, let’s align on X, Y, Z.

So I think actually the significance of a Trump return is that it gives the excuse to people who want to try and push the Labour government who already know that they can and they know they’re not still pushing an open door, but they know that there’s not an angry dog behind the door, as it were, which there definitely was under the last government.

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Peter Foster
And do you think that changes Starmer’s calculation on the hero voter and concerns about Reform? Do you think that makes it easier for him to move? The pressure is sort of already there.

Stephen Bush
I think in many ways, Keir Starmer’s a sort of reset to Labour’s default and Labour’s default is best characterised by what Jim Callaghan said when he came into the Foreign Office in 1974. The permanent secretary said, they tell me you care a lot about Europe. That’s OK as long as you remember that I really care about the Labour party. And essentially, Keir Starmer’s European policy will always be based on, you know, no votes lost for Europe. But if you have a situation where a bunch of liberal voters are scared about Trump, the Lib Dems maybe feel more able to be more vocal about Europe.

Then of course, Labour’s no-votes-lost-for-Europe position moves. And ditto, if you have a situation where Trump doesn’t come back but there’s an eruption of a migrant crisis in Europe because of the war in the Middle East continuing to expand, then suddenly Labour’s no-votes-lost-for-Europe position moves in another direction. And really in some ways actually, what Keir Starmer thinks I think is kind of the least significant part of EU-UK relationship. It will all be defined by what is the minimum electoral cost that the Labour party has to pay.

Lucy Fisher
Final word to you, Peter. What’s the next staging post on these talks and negotiations?

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Peter Foster
So I think there is a plan for another meeting in the autumn that will start to scope out what the first round of talks, if we’re gonna have a round of talks, is gonna look like. You know, we don’t actually really know whether this is gonna be one big fat negotiation or lots of siloed negotiations. That veterinary deal you mentioned, is that gonna be carved out separately from the TCA? Is it gonna be part of the 2026 review of the TCA? All of that is to be decided.

And a lot of that, I think, will depend on how the Labour government can resolve its own internal differences about where it wants to set the cursor on Europe. And it’s, you know, not entirely clear that it’s really decided, to Stephen’s point about the calculation, where that cursor should be. And that is annoying Europe, you know, one of the very large European countries, their ambassador said to me, they just need to tell us what they want.

Lucy Fisher
Peter Foster, thanks for joining.

Peter Foster
Pleasure.

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Lucy Fisher
Well when Keir Starmer should have been enjoying headlines about his reset meeting with Von der Leyen and a big press conference in Brussels, just about that time Downing Street decided to drop out the news that Starmer has decided to repay £6,000 worth of the gifts he has accepted in freebiegate. George, I have no idea what Number 10 were thinking. Just when we thought the story had finally died, they gave it new legs.

George Parker
It’s just incredible the way this is being handled. And you have to wonder what the mastermind is coming up with this media strategy to, you know, he’s in Brussels talking about something he wants to talk about and have to answer questions about free tickets to Taylor Swift concerts. I mean, it’s extraordinary. And obviously he thinks now having not really given much consideration at all to how this might look before the election. Now he’s caught in a real problem because you’ve juxtaposed the idea of him being somebody who’s living the high life of freebies and taking painful decisions. That’s why it’s really hit Keir Starmer.

So having not really thought about it very much now, now he’s probably thinking about it a little bit too much and he’s setting the bar extremely low for what ministers can accept as part of their ministerial jobs, you know? I mean, if you look at someone like David Lammy, for example, who will now be under pressure to pay back the value of the gift he received going to sit in the Tottenham Hotspur executive box. He’s a Tottenham MP, he supports Tottenham. But, you know, a lot of people sitting around the cabinet table would now be totting about how much money they’re gonna have to repay because of what Keir Starmer’s just done.

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Lucy Fisher
And Stephen, it seems quite arbitrary, doesn’t it, that he’s gonna pay back the gifts he’s accepted since July when he became PM, but that’s only about 5 per cent of the gifts he’s accepted since 2019, even though he was an MP. And it also prompts the question, does he accept he’s done something wrong? He’s paying the money back, clearly he accepts he shouldn’t have taken these gifts in the first place and therefore is gonna face questions about whether, you know, he admits this is an error of judgment on his part.

Stephen Bush
Yeah, I mean, I think the underlying problem here is that for whatever reason, the new Downing Street could not quickly get to a point of what do we need to do to kill this story? And you can see that in lots of, you know, more trivial ways than they still haven’t got a grip on how to manage the grid and that you know, they had a day in which they had speech by Lisa Nandy on culture policy, speech by Ed Miliband on energy policy and Keir Starmer’s big intervention on border security.

So, yeah, I mean, I think part of the problem is isn’t Keir Starmer doesn’t think he’s done anything wrong. He, you know, he has a very sort of well, I followed the letter of the rules, so therefore it’s fine perspective. But he, they can read the same polls we have. I’m sure that Morgan McSweeney and Adam Ludlow, the party’s head of strategy and insight, will be looking at their own focus groups and going, we’ve got a problem here. Fix it, fix it, fix it. And so you end up with this weird halfway house.

Now, I think where the government will get to is, we did these things because they were in the rules, we accept that was wrong. We now have a new modern gifting policy that will look, broadly speaking, like the gifting policy that all of us, most of our listeners, will recognise from their own workplaces.

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That is going to, I think will have quite an interesting knock-on effect throughout parliament. Now for most of the newly elected MPs, that will be the only gifting policy they’ve had to work under, so that’ll be fine. But imagine that you’re a Labour MP elected in 2005 or 2010 who’s grown used to a very generous gifting policy. You kind of know that if you’re not on the front bench or you’re not a select committee chair now, you are never, ever going to rise under Keir Starmer.

George Parker
And you’re not going to get freebies either.

Stephen Bush
And you’re not gonna get your free tickets. But just as that was that coterie who became particularly difficult for Boris Johnson of men elected in 2010 who kind of started to feel that they were going nowhere and so they became a bit grumpy, I think the long run consequence of this story is gonna be some parliamentary difficulties for the Labour party.

But I think the interesting thing about this story as well has been watching Conservative MPs who’ve never known opposition before, who’ve only known the stricter rules that ministers operating under have said things where I’ve looked at that and gone, are you sure you want to put the bar there? Because I suspect the way that freebiegate will eventually die off will be a freebies regime that is very strict and will be very strict in ways that make it more difficult for the opposition, who of course have fewer resources, than it does for the government.

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Lucy Fisher
Well, we’ve just got time left for Political Fix stock picks. George, who are you buying or selling this week?

George Parker
Well, I think my portfolio is already well loaded up with Cleverlys, otherwise I would be adding to it. So I’m gonna go for something a bit left field here, Lucy, which is Mel Stride, who’s the former work and pensions secretary, who did extremely well earlier on in this leadership contest and stayed in the contest much longer than people expected. He gave a very combative speech in the House of Commons on winter fuel payments. And I think, you know, how he goes and whether he endorses a candidate or how he operates behind the scenes I think will be important. I think we can see quite a big role for him in future on the front bench for the Tory party, whoever wins this leadership contest.

Lucy Fisher
Stephen, how about you?

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Stephen Bush
I similarly feel I have more than enough James Cleverly in my portfolio, so I’m going to hold on that one. I am actually going to do a defensive acquisition in some Robert Jenrick. Yes, he’s had some slightly difficult moments at this conference, but I just feel like it’s what parties usually do. It’s Ed Miliband, it’s Michael Foot, it’s William Hague beating Ken Clarke. And I just think history does tend to repeat itself. So yeah, I might as well buy some Jenricks as a hedge against history repeating itself. Who are you buying or selling?

Lucy Fisher
I’m gonna buy Kim Leadbeater, who is a Labour MP who has topped the ballot for the private members’ bills. And she has decided to take forward a bill on legalising assisted dying. So we know that Keir Starmer has supported the idea of this getting time this parliament to be debated. It’s going to be kind of unwhipped. It’s a matter of private conscience and I think we’re gonna hear a really, really interesting debate and I feel good on Kim Leadbeater for being the person to bring it forward. George, you and I were talking to a senior Labour figure who was warning that, you know, they feel whoever brought this bill forward is potentially in line for a lot of abuse. But Kim Leadbeater is a tough cookie. She’s taken on George Galloway before, so probably the right woman to do it.

Well, that’s all we’ve got time for this week. George, Stephen, thanks for joining.

George Parker
Thanks, Lucy.

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Stephen Bush
Thanks, Lucy.

Lucy Fisher
And that’s it for this episode of the FT’s Political Fix. I’ve put links to subjects discussed in this episode in the show notes. Do check them out. They’re articles we’ve made free for Political Fix listeners. There’s also a link there to Stephen’s award-winning Inside Politics newsletter. You’ll get 30 days free. And don’t forget to subscribe to the show. Plus, please do leave a review or a star rating. It really helps spread the word via the algorithm.

Political Fix was presented by me, Lucy Fisher, and produced by Clare Williamson. Manuela Saragosa is the executive producer. Original music and sound engineering by Breen Turner. The broadcast engineers were Rod Fitzgerald and Andrew Georgiades. Cheryl Brumley is the FT’s global head of audio.

We’ll meet again here next week.

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Why it took 25 years to solve the greatest prison break in British history

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There was nothing to suggest that October 22 1966 would be anything other than a typically dismal Saturday at Wormwood Scrubs, a dingy Victorian prison in north-west London. Late that afternoon, inmate 455 told a guard that the idea of spending his free time watching TV with the other high-security prisoners in D Hall was a “farce” and he’d prefer to read in his cell.

He then made his way to the second-floor landing, where he squeezed through a broken window and shimmied down the outside wall into the rain-slicked exercise yard sometime between 6pm and 7pm. An accomplice waited in a hiding place on Artillery Road nearby. After a brief burst of communication over walkie-talkie, a handmade rope ladder fell into the yard as the guards and inmates settled down to their weekly film night. The most audacious prison break in modern British history had begun.

When the alarm sounded at roll call less than an hour later, the prison governor picked up the phone to call Shepherd’s Bush police station. “One of our chaps has gone over the wall,” he explained to a PC Frankling. Inmate 455 was no ordinary prisoner. George Blake, the 43-year-old ex-MI6 spy turned Soviet agent, had been unmasked in 1961 following a tip-off from a Russian defector. At the Old Bailey that May, Blake was handed a 42-year sentence, the longest non-life sentence ever given by a British court. It represented, the media reported, a year for every intelligence agent killed due to Blake’s betrayal — a claim that has been contested ever since. The severity of the punishment shocked even the prime minister Harold Macmillan, who the presiding judge had consulted the night before the verdict. “The LCJ [Lord Chief Justice] has passed a savage sentence — 42 years!” Macmillan noted in his diary.

Blake had served just five years of his sentence by the time he escaped. After a months-long manhunt, he resurfaced in East Berlin, then moved permanently to Moscow. Speculation as to the identity of his accomplices dominated the news cycle, with theories ranging from the plausible to the absurd. The novelist John le Carré mused on a potential KGB operation. Others that the escape was an elaborate inside job, with British intelligence releasing Blake in order to redeploy him against the Soviets. Perhaps he had flown incognito to Sydney, or been driven up the M1 motorway in a hearse. Some even whispered that a deep-cover Czech orchestra had smuggled Blake out of Britain in a cello case. To many, the Russian connection seemed most likely. “[Blake’s] escape was [probably] engineered indirectly by the Russians, and he is now well on the way to, if not yet behind, the Iron Curtain,” declared one broadsheet editorial.

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The truth, when it finally emerged more than 20 years later, was even more extraordinary. Michael Randle and Pat Pottle were a pair of English peace activists, now middle-aged, who had met Blake at Wormwood Scrubs during a stint inside for organising a non-violent protest at Wethersfield military base in Essex. They worked on the escape plan with another inmate, Sean Bourke, a charismatic Irish career criminal with a penchant for violence and literary quotation. Their respective motivations were clear. For Randle and Pottle, Blake’s sentence represented a “vicious and indefensible” case of cold war-era political malice. For Bourke, the prison break offered an unmissable chance to inject some adventure and sense of purpose into his life.

A black and white photo of a man smiling as he walks away from imposing prison gates. The man in question is Michael Randle on his release from Wormwood Scrubs prison in February 1963, after serving an 18-month sentence for his involvement in a sit-in at a US air base in Essex
Michael Randle leaving Wormwood Scrubs in February 1963, after his 18-month sentence. It was here that he and fellow peace activist Pat Pottle met George Blake © Evening Standard/Hulton Archive/Getty Images
A black and white image taken in 1961 of a young man sitting at a typewriter. The man is Pat Pottle, a peace activist. He is in the offices of the anti-war group the Committee of 100; the CND logo can be seen on a poster hanging on a wall behind him
Pat Pottle in 1961. While firm friends, Pottle and Randall were very different men: ‘[Pottle] drank gin and smoked, while Randle was a kind of Quaker vegetarian’ © Evening Standard/Hulton Archive/Getty Images

When Randle and Pottle’s roles were publicly revealed by The Sunday Times in 1987, the blowback was immediate. They were charged with three historic offences. “It would be poetic justice,” sniffed The Sun, “if this nasty pair could be locked away for the remaining 40 years of Blake’s sentence.”

When the case went to trial at the Old Bailey in June 1991, it was in the same courtroom in which Blake had been convicted 30 years earlier. The new trial, studded with Special Branch agents, bombshell testimonies and novel legal arguments, was every bit as dramatic as its predecessor. But its impact ran even deeper, its shockwaves felt today in the British criminal justice system.

Whatever the shifts in geopolitics since Blake’s day, our collective fascination with the world of international espionage is undimmed. In April this year, two young British men were accused of spying for China and subsequently charged under the Official Secrets Act. This summer, it was difficult to scroll through social media without some reference to the unmasking of Artem Viktorovich Dultsev and Anna Valerevna Dultseva, two Russian agents arrested on espionage charges in Slovenia in 2022, who were shipped back to their homeland in early August, to an effusive welcome from President Vladimir Putin. So committed were they to their cover story — an entrepreneurial Argentine family setting up home in Slovenia — that their two young children had no idea about their parents’ double life, nor spoke a word of Russian. It didn’t take a cultural critic to note the similarities to the cult TV drama The Americans.


Blake was born George Behar in Rotterdam in 1922 to a Dutch mother and Sephardic Jewish father, who was a naturalised Brit on account of his service in the first world war. Blake’s upbringing was peripatetic, with spells in the Netherlands and Egypt. Britain was a distant place experienced mostly second hand; before the outbreak of the second world war, he had visited only once. “To betray, you first have to belong. I never belonged,” he later said. The war made Blake. A talented linguist, he was recruited by MI6 in the early 1940s after a spell in the Dutch resistance under the nom de guerre Max de Vries. He arrived in Britain after a daring, circuitous journey through Belgium, France and Spain.

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Following stints reading Russian at Cambridge University after the war, and working with naval intelligence in East Germany, Blake was posted to Seoul at the start of the Korean war. He later claimed that the brutality of the war is what fully converted him to the communist cause, after a brief university flirtation with Marxist theory: “I saw the Korean war with my own eyes — young American PoWs dying and enormous American Flying Fortresses bombing small defenceless villages. And when you [have seen] that, you don’t feel particularly proud to be on the western side.”

He was captured in 1950 and, after three years in captivity, he was released and sent to Berlin by MI6 with the goal of recruiting Soviet and East German double agents. The British had no idea that Blake had long since passed a note from his captors to the Soviet embassy offering his services as double agent. For the next eight years, he would meet his Soviet handler in London and Berlin. When he was finally summoned for interrogation in London, following a tip-off from a Polish communist defector, he quickly confessed.

The news of Blake’s treachery was met with revulsion and disbelief. One MI6 training instructor reportedly burst into tears. Leniency was not likely to be on the cards. Blake did not command the same protection afforded to the more establishment “Cambridge Five”, none of whom were ever prosecuted for their decades as Soviet double agents. Blake — unapologetic, cosmopolitan, icily intellectual — didn’t have the bonhomie of Kim Philby or booze-soaked melancholy of Guy Burgess or Donald Maclean. While Philby was offered immunity in return for his full co-operation, no similar deal was offered to Blake. “But then Blake, a foreigner, was not a gentleman,” wrote historian Ben Macintyre.

A black-and white photo of a man in a suit and tie standing on a bridge. He is Sean Bourke, the third member of the trio who helped George Blake escape from prison. The picture was taken in 1968 in Bourke’s native Dublin
The trio’s third member, Sean Bourke, in 1968, back in his native Ireland, from where the British government tried, and failed, to extradite him. After enjoying a period of minor celebrity, he died penniless and alone © Bentley Archive/Popperfoto/Getty Images

I first learnt of the Blake escape long after it happened, in Thomas Grant’s Court No.1 The Old Bailey: The Trials and Scandals that Shocked Modern Britain, published in 2019. I found myself less drawn to Blake himself than to Michael Randle and Pat Pottle, the genial peace activists, and to Sean Bourke, their squiffy accomplice. How had this unlikely trio pulled off such a daring act? Were their professed motivations really so straightforward? And why had it taken decades for the might of British intelligence to catch up with them?


In January this year, I travelled from London to Saltaire, a pretty Victorian model village on the outskirts of Bradford, West Yorkshire. The walk from the station to the Randle family home took me past a preserved former cloth mill and cluster of 19th-century terraces. On arrival, I was greeted by Michael, now well into his nineties, and his youngest son Gavin, a middle-aged musician.

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I’d initially spoken to Gavin on the phone at the end of last year. It wasn’t an easy time for the family. Anne Randle, Gavin’s mother and Michael’s wife of over half a century, had recently died after a long illness. When I arrived at their home, Gavin offered up a photo of his beaming newly wed parents in the early 1960s. “I still think, ‘Oh, I must tell Anne this [or] that,’ before I realise that it isn’t possible,” Michael told me. Though there were signs his short-term memory had begun to decline, it quickly became apparent there was little wrong with his recall of the more distant past. During our afternoon together, I found both Randles urbane, winning company, the conversation serious, though laced with mischief.

Michael Randle was born in Worcester Park, Surrey in 1933. He lived in England for much of his childhood, though he spent the duration of the second world war in Ireland with his mother’s Republican family in County Carlow and Kildare. “It taught me there was more than one perspective to take [on] an issue”, he explained with wry understatement. “They lived near a prison [during] the Easter Rising and [they] could hear the executioners’ rifles from their home.” Randle, following his father, registered as a conscientious objector in his teens. In his twenties, he joined the anti-nuclear-weapons protest movement, and served as secretary of the Committee of 100, the direct action group founded by Bertrand Russell, among other grandees of the British peace movement.

Pat Pottle was born into a large, working-class family in London in 1938. His upbringing was marked by the influence of his socialist father, a trade union official. On the urging of his mother, he trained as a printer before going into business in London. Like Randle, his political commitments crystallised early on. By the end of the 1950s, Pottle was organising his first anti-war protests. He became one of the founding members of the Committee of 100 in 1960. The following year, he defended himself against charges under the Official Secrets Act relating to a sit-in at the US air base at Wethersfield, Essex. Despite putting up a spirited fight in court, Pottle, Randle and several others were jailed for 18 months and sent to Wormwood Scrubs. It was there they met George Blake.

“Pat was very outgoing. There was no side to him. He was straightforward,” said Randle when I asked him about his friend, who died in 2000 aged 62. The two men had strikingly different temperaments. “Pottle was [always] a great raconteur. He drank gin and smoked,” said Richard Norton-Taylor, The Guardian’s longtime former security editor and a close friend of both men. “Randle was quite ascetic and skinny. Sort of a vegetarian Quaker.” What they shared was faith in non-violent resistance.

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Randle and Pottle first met Blake at a prison music class. Pottle later wrote that the sympathy between the three was mutual. Blake admired their principled anti-nuclear stance, while they considered him to be a political prisoner. Do you ever think of escaping, Pottle asked him one day. Blake replied that he thought of little else. Pottle was soon shipped out to an open prison, while Randle remained at Wormwood Scrubs, but they continued to mull over the idea of Blake’s escape.

Randle met Sean Bourke working at the prison bakehouse. In a story crammed with unlikely, outsized characters, he is perhaps the loudest. The 32-year-old had had an eventful upbringing in Limerick. At 12, he was sent to a reformatory for stealing a bunch of bananas. After moving to England in his late teens, he was packed off to borstal for handling stolen goods. From then, his criminal career escalated. In 1961, he posted a biscuit tin containing a home-made bomb to the address of a police officer he suspected of spreading false rumours about his sexuality. The device shot into the would-be victim’s ceiling, landing Bourke a seven-year sentence. What had attracted Randle, the vegetarian pacifist, to Bourke, apart from a shared acquaintance with Blake? “He was charming and intelligent,” Randle offered, by way of explanation. “Entertaining. He had a very good sense of humour.”

By 1963, Randle was back home in north London, now with a young family to support. But this period of domesticity was soon interrupted by a phone call from Bourke. It was mid-May, 1966, and he was living in a halfway house in west London. He said he was anxious to meet up. Delighted, if surprised, to hear from him, Randle told Bourke to make his way to his family home in Kentish Town. After a brief burst of reminiscence, Bourke grew sombre. Blake’s mood had deteriorated drastically in prison, he told Randle. Bourke had agreed to work on an escape plan and had made some progress, including getting a walkie-talkie to Blake. But financing remained an issue. The Randles immediately agreed to help.

After months of preparation, Randle telephoned Pottle, who had spent a brief spell working as Bertrand Russell’s secretary following his release from prison. Randle had something to discuss in person, he told his friend. Pottle understood straight away that it must be about Blake. They met that evening at Holborn Tube station, near Pottle’s printing press, and he agreed to help.

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The success of the plot relied on a mix of courage and good fortune. Bourke sourced a getaway car, knitted a rope ladder and rented a bedsit near the prison under an assumed name. Randle drummed up some money from a small circle of well wishers in the peace movement. The escape itself passed with just one significant hitch: Blake broke his wrist on landing. A friendly doctor was rapidly procured, though it became apparent Blake would have to be moved before the bedsit’s landlady appeared for her weekly cleaning day. He then lived between a series of unsuitable safe houses before Pottle agreed to lodge him and an increasingly truculent Bourke in his Hampstead flat.

After discarding a series of ludicrous schemes — one had Blake using chemicals to black up in order to flee Britain under a false passport — a second-hand Commer camper van was procured and modified with a hidden compartment in which Blake could be stowed. Just before Christmas 1966, the Randles took what appeared to be a family road trip to Berlin. After days of relentless, amphetamine-fuelled driving, Blake was released from his hiding place into the freezing East German night. “He waved, and almost at once was lost in the darkness,” Randle recalled.


© Cristiana Couceiro

Meanwhile, in London, Bourke’s flair for self-sabotage was becoming apparent. Not only did he fail to dispose of the getaway car, but he rang a west London police station to report its precise whereabouts. During his time at Pottle’s flat, supposedly in hiding, he would regularly walk the streets of Hampstead, even accosting a local boy to post a photo of himself to the office of a tabloid newspaper. Later, it transpired that he’d made tape recordings of his and Blake’s walkie-talkie conversations, to be auctioned off to the News of the World.

Despite Bourke’s best efforts at conducting a one-man publicity campaign, the furore died down and normality gradually returned. Randle and Pottle went back to their busy lives devoted to various leftwing causes. “I remember when George Blake’s name came up when we were playing Trivial Pursuit,” recalled Pottle’s son Casper, when we spoke on the phone. “My parents started creasing up and I had no idea why.”

Blake’s and Bourke’s trajectories were less happy. Bourke followed Blake to Moscow in 1967 and the two men were placed in a lavish flat. There their relationship drifted into mutual resentment. Blake was “sullen, intolerant, arrogant and pompous”, Bourke later wrote, intimating that Blake was spying on him (almost certainly true) and even manoeuvring to have him assassinated (this more outlandish claim has never been proven). As for Blake, his flatmate’s grandstanding quickly lost its charm. “I soon began to resent him,” he wrote. “I thought at least he should do some housework.”

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In 1968, Bourke returned to Ireland, riding a wave of self-generated publicity. By now, he was speaking openly to the press about his role in the escape. Attempts at extradition by the British government failed and Bourke was left to bask in his new celebrity. His sensational tell-all, The Springing of George Blake, appeared in 1970. It set out for the first time — with major lacunae and harsh criticism of Blake — the events of the escape and its aftermath. Michael and Anne Randle became “Michael and Anne Reynolds”, and Pat Pottle became the equally easy to decode “Pat Porter”.

“Why on earth did you use our actual Christian names?” Randle demanded on the first of several visits to Bourke in Ireland during the 1970s. Bourke replied he wasn’t “the simple, uncomplicated Irishman people . . . take me for”. But the book attracted positive reviews and surprisingly little blowback from the British state. Randle and Pottle spent months waiting for a knock at the door that never came. During Randle’s second visit, Bourke said he’d taken a call from a detective from Scotland Yard who’d told him they had long known about Randle and Pottle’s involvement in Blake’s escape and decided not to prosecute, not least because they were now leading “useful lives in the community”.

Sean Bourke died penniless and alone in January 1982, having spent his last years in a caravan on the coast of County Clare. The cause of death was heart failure, likely brought on by chronic alcoholism. Public interest in Randle and Pottle continued, with a series of books dropping more unsubtle hints about their involvement in the now historic escape. When The Sunday Times named the pair outright in early October 1987, Scotland Yard finally made contact. Randle and Pottle arrived at Holborn Police Station on October 30. Their “no comment” interviews were polite and perfunctory. A formal reopening of the enquiry into the Blake escape was announced shortly afterwards, on the urging of the rightwing press and 101 MPs who signed a motion backing the new investigation.


To set out their side of the story, and counter any suggestion that they or the wider peace movement had been in thrall to the KGB, Randle and Pottle co-authored a book, The Blake Escape: How We Freed George Blake — And Why. When the two men, now well into their fifties, were charged following its publication in 1989, the enormity of their situation finally began to sink in. The maximum sentence on charges of aiding the escape of a convicted prisoner, conspiring to harbour him and conspiring to prevent, hinder or interfere with his arrest ran up to nine years each. “I was really proud of my dad,” said Casper Pottle, “[but] when the police search the house it gets real, doesn’t it? We were teenagers, it makes an impression.”

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Despite pressure to plead guilty, Randle and Pottle refused. They instead pleaded not guilty on grounds of “necessity of conscience”, a rarely invoked defence with its roots in 17th-century religious nonconformism. Its only previous modern usage was during the 1985 trial of Clive Ponting, a Ministry of Defence official who was tried and acquitted under the Official Secrets Act for revealing to an MP that government ministers had misled Parliament over the sinking of the Argentine warship General Belgrano during the Falklands war. For Randle and Pottle, Blake’s sentence had represented a moral outrage, and aiding his escape was therefore justified.

Pottle engaged Geoffrey Robertson, one of Britain’s leading human rights lawyers. “We [wanted] to argue that it was an abuse of process . . . [because] the authorities had known of their involvement since at least 1970,” Robertson explained when we spoke. In 1970, a detective named Rollo Watts had written a report outlining the case against Randle and Pottle, new evidence had revealed. The defence suspected that his report offered the truth as to why neither man had been brought to book. That it had simply been too humiliating for the state to admit that such a high-profile prisoner had been freed by a ramshackle group of outsiders.

The case moved to judicial review at the High Court in July 1990. The now retired Watts, a squat, nervous man with long, slightly out-of-time sideburns, was called to testify. He denied ever suggesting that the proposed prosecution of Randle and Pottle had been halted due to political pressure. When Watts left the witness box, two nameless men, likely intelligence agents, handed the judge a memo written by an MI5 officer in 1970. In it, the officer alleged Watts had openly said that “[prosecuting] Randle and Pottle . . . might be persecution — a big fish had got away so they were taking it out on the little fish.”

Still, the law pressed on. On November 15 1990, the “abuse of process” argument was dismissed out of hand. As Randle and Pottle’s new “conscience defence” was not formally recognised by the law, neither Robertson nor the other lawyers engaged by Randle could represent them beyond the preliminary hearings. They were on their own. The trial finally began on June 17 1991.

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A balding, grey-haired man standing by a car, in a suit and tie. He is the Soviet double agent George Blake, who escaped prison and returned to Moscow in 1996, where he lived until he died in 2020
George Blake in 2001 in Moscow, where he died in 2020. None of the more establishment ‘Cambridge Five’ spies was prosecuted, whereas Blake was serving a 42-year sentence when he met Pottle and Randle in prison © Kommersant Photo/AFP/Getty Images

For the next nine days, the public gallery was packed with supporters, and journalists jostled for space on the press benches. The atmosphere was electric. “It might sound weird, when your father’s liberty is in the balance, but it was good fun,” recalled Casper Pottle. “There was a real camaraderie. We’d be spending every day together, going to the pub at lunch.” It was remarkable, he added, to see how seamlessly his father and Randle slipped back into the campaigning mode of their youth. “They’d built up so many contacts in the press. All sorts of people showed up,” he said. “Dave Gilmour, Harold Pinter, Alexei Sayle . . . I think Dad needed the adrenaline.” John Berger, another ex-member of the Committee of 100, sent a letter of support. “I wanted to tell you how happy I was to read [about you] . . . And to tell you how much you have my admiration,” he wrote. 

Randle and Pottle pressed on with the abuse-of-process argument, despite protestations from the judge. Randle appeared in court each day with a pile of legal texts procured from London’s public libraries, citing ever more obscure cases as defence. Pottle’s approach was more direct. “If you or the jury think [our defence is] a load of old codswallop, then you can say so . . . But at least give us the chance to say it.” Neither denied their role in the escape, which they considered a humanitarian act. “I refuse to believe that George Blake would have been better rotting in some English jail than living a semi-ordinary life back in Moscow,” Pottle told the jury.

Then he called his next witness: George Blake. Over video link, Blake stressed that there had been no KGB interference in his escape and that no money had changed hands. His appearance dominated the next day’s news cycle. “I think the jury were amazed [to hear from Blake]. Almost stunned. No one seemed to be thinking, ‘Oh, how awful we’ve got this bloody spy coming from Moscow,’” said Richard Norton-Taylor, who covered the trial for The Guardian.

Despite the outpouring of support, both defendants fully expected a guilty verdict. “I remember [someone] asking what they’d take with them to prison if they were convicted,” said Norton-Taylor. “Michael said Ulysses. Pat said rolling tobacco. That summed them up.” In his closing speech, Pottle said he could understand the moral indignation about Blake’s espionage, but that Blake’s original sentence had never been about justice. Its severity could at least partly be explained by the fact that Blake was “not of the ‘old school’, not ‘one of us’. He was a foreigner and half-Jewish to boot,” Pottle told the jury. “You are 12 individuals with minds of your own . . . we think what we did was right. If you think the same, then obviously you will not find us guilty.” Then he quoted Bertrand Russell: “Remember your humanity and forget the rest.”


On a damp midweek morning in February this year, I travelled to Inner London Crown Court. I made my way to the shabby public gallery overlooking Court Four, which was packed with supporters of five climate activists charged with criminal damage after smashing a door at JPMorgan’s London headquarters in 2021 during a protest against the bank’s status as the world’s largest investor in fossil fuel expansion.

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In March 2023, two of the accused had served seven-week stints in prison after flouting a court order not to invoke the climate crisis during an unrelated trial. The judge had banned them from explaining to the jury that they had been protesting to raise awareness of climate change and fuel poverty. The past few years have witnessed a steady spate of acquittals in climate activism cases involving defendants who have deployed the same defence of conscience used by Michael Randle and Pat Pottle in the 1990s. “[The] Randle and Pottle trial has been an inspiration for the work we’ve been doing,” Tim Crosland, an Extinction Rebellion legal adviser, told me. “Juries have an absolute right to acquit . . . [that depends] on understanding why people did what they did.” 

This rash of acquittals has been a source of embarrassment for the state. Judges have taken to banning any mention of climate change, fuel poverty or even the history of the civil rights movement, and jail sentences have been passed down for contempt of court for activists who have refused to comply. In one case, government lawyers pursued Trudi Warner, a 68-year-old retired social worker, for contempt of court. She had stood alone outside Inner London Crown Court during the March 2023 trial involving the same defendants I’d seen in court. “Jurors have an absolute right to acquit a defendant according to their conscience,” read her placard. This April, the High Court finally threw out the charges against her. “[It can] have a chilling effect”, said Crosland. “If people hear the story they say, ‘No, that can’t have happened’. Yes it did.”


The judge’s summing-up on June 26 1991 began with reference to Randle and Pottle’s ready admission of their guilt. Whether or not their being taken to trial after decades of inaction was an abuse of process was not a matter for the jury to concern themselves with, he said. Though he could not order a conviction, he implored the jury to “loyally honour my ruling on the law whatever view you may have formed of the defendants”. The jury retired just before noon, and Randle and Pottle waited in the court canteen. After an hour of inaction, they made their way to the pub for what they expected to be their final meal as free men.

At 3pm, the announcement filtered through the court. The jury had returned their verdict. “If you can cope, so can I,” Anne Randle whispered in her husband’s ear. In the same dock they had stood in 30 years earlier, before their fateful spell at Wormwood Scrubs, Randle and Pottle peered at the jury for any clues. Silence descended across the courtroom. “Members of the jury, in the respect of count one . . . do you find the defendants guilty or not guilty?”

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“Not guilty,” came the foreman’s reply. The verdict was greeted by a wall of noise. Randle’s sons burst into tears. Somewhere from the back of the court came a shout straight from the football terraces. “It was my brother,” laughed Casper Pottle when I asked him about it. “All the accounts have said he shouted ‘Come on you Spurs’, but he’s a Queen’s Park Rangers fan. It was ‘Come on you Rs!’”

Randle and Pottle were found not guilty on every count of the indictment. Outside the court, the jurors embraced the pair they’d just acquitted. “Thank God for the jury system and the independence of jurors,” a jubilant Randle told assembled reporters. Passers-by offered their congratulations, as did Blake when he telephoned from Moscow that evening during the raucous celebrations. Not everyone was pleased. “A Bad Day for British Justice,” stormed The Telegraph. “Stinkers of the Old Bailey,” fumed The Sun.

Norton-Taylor summed up the prevailing opinion on what became known as the “perverse verdict”. By the early 1990s, the controversy of Blake’s treachery and escape had begun to feel like a relic of the past. The cold war was nominally over and the Berlin Wall had fallen. “That atmosphere had changed, really. Juries can smell oppression. The state knew who it was years before.” Even those unsympathetic to Blake didn’t doubt the sincerity of Randle and Pottle. “They were a brilliant double act really. It was one of the reasons they were acquitted,” said Casper Pottle. “It was a DIY jailbreak and a DIY defence. I’ve always thought those were contributing factors.”

Some regard Randle and Pottle’s acquittal as evidence of a more decent epoch in British justice. A time when fair-mindedness could trump relentless pressure from the tabloid press. “Perhaps the biggest heroine of the case was English justice itself and its tradition of independent juries and equality before the law,” wrote Thomas Grant in his history of the Old Bailey. Still, the lack of an earlier prosecution had less to do with high mindedness, than a desire to avoid humiliation. Randle and Pottle’s acquittal was down to the jury and not the beneficence of the state.

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George Blake died in December 2020, aged 98, having lived long enough to see his reputation move from highly controversial to cold war curio. Randle and Pottle continued to take an interest in politics and protest. “My father was political right up until his death,” said Casper Pottle. “He kept that anarchist streak. He always kept his own mind. I remember just before the trial, it was during the Gulf war, I went down to a demo with some friends from school. We sat down in the road by Parliament Square. A policeman told us to move and we did.” Later, he returned to find that his parents had joined the same protest. When they refused to move, they were both arrested and taken to the police cells for processing.

LONDON LEGENDS

This is the final in a series on urban legends. Francisco Garcia’s first piece was about the cult of personality around Britain’s most prolific hangman, Albert Pierrepoint. The second was about the compulsive digger known as the Hackney Mole Man.

Francisco Garcia is the author of “We All Go Into the Dark: the Hunt for Bible John”, published by Mudlark/HarperCollins

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We started travelling 350 miles in the WRONG direction to Germany after bus mix-up – now we can’t get a refund

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We started travelling 350 miles in the WRONG direction to Germany after bus mix-up - now we can’t get a refund

Q) FLIXBUS is refusing to refund me and my wife £115 after it let us board a coach in Slovenia travelling to Germany instead of Croatia.

We were waiting in Ljubljana, Slovenia for a coach to Umag in Croatia – the service 943.

The customers ended up going north instead of south

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The customers ended up going north instead of south

When a 943 service finally showed up half an hour late, we boarded and asked if it was the right bus and the driver nodded, scanned our tickets and let us board.

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But we later found out it was going to Munich, Germany, 350 miles in the wrong direction.

Flixbus has refused to take responsibility, but I feel the driver should have told us it was the wrong bus when we gave him our tickets to board.

Can you help us get some compensation?

Stuart McCulloch, Edinburgh

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A)WHAT a nightmare you had when you realised you were on a bus heading to Munich, Germany, 350 miles away from your intended destination of Umag in Croatia.

You arrived at Llublana bus station 20 minutes early and waited for 50 minutes before a Flixbus coach labelled service 943, the service you needed, finally showed up.

As no other 943 buses had come and gone, you assumed it was yours and handed your tickets to the driver.

They scanned your tickets before allowing you to board, without mentioning it was a 943 service going in the other direction.

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A little while into the journey, you realised you were going the wrong way and asked the driver, who then confirmed you were on the wrong bus.

You got off the coach in Bled, Slovenia, around 55km North of Ljubljana, and contacted Flixbus for help – but no one responded.

Eventually, you managed to get another bus back to Ljubljana, and then booked another coach to Umag a few hours later.

Having already lost the £43 you paid for your original tickets, you forked out another £75 for the new tickets, plus £10 to get back to Ljubljana from Bled.

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You were hopeful you would at least get a refund for the original unused tickets.

But when you eventually got through to Flixbus, it said your case was “an exception, not the standard” and refused to take any responsibility for what happened.

It eventually agreed to refund you £13 after deducting various fees. But this meant you were still £115 out of pocket.

When I spoke with Flixbus, it acknowledged that the driver should have told you it was the wrong 943 service when you asked and showed your tickets.

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What is Flixbus?

FLIXBUS is a cheap coach service that travels across the UK and Europe.

Originally from Germany, the brand now runs over 400,000 routes across Europe to over 5,000 locations.

It also has some routes in North America, South America and Asia.

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Tickets are typically a lot cheaper than getting a train or plane.

A coach from London to Bristol this month has seats for as little as £8.99.

It said it believed your original bus had departed on time and couldn’t explain why you hadn’t seen it come and go.

But, it has now agreed to refund all your extra travel expenses, plus your original tickets in full, amounting to £115 extra compensation.

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A spokesperson for FlixBus said: “We apologise that the passengers ended up travelling in the wrong direction, as their tickets should have been more thoroughly checked by the driver. 

“FlixBus acknowledges the inconvenience caused and has offered a full refund for the original tickets purchased and the additional tickets needed for travel.”

Our Squeeze Team has won back £183,110 for readers with refunding and billing issues.

How to contact our Squeeze Team

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Our Squeeze Team wins back money for readers who have had a refund or billing issue with a company and are struggling to get it resolved.

We’ve won back thousands of pounds for readers including £22,000 for a man asked to pay back benefits to the DWP, £2,800 for a family who had a hellish holiday and £635 for a seller scammed on eBay.

To get help, write to our consumer champion, Laura Purkess.

I love getting your letters and emails, so do write to me at squeezeteam@thesun.co.uk or Laura Purkess, The Sun, 1 London Bridge Street, SE1 9GF.

Tell me what happened and don’t forget to provide your phone number so I can ring you if I need more information. Share with me any reference number the company has given you relating to your case, or any account name/number if you’re a customer.

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Include the following line so I can go to the firm on your behalf: “I give permission for [company’s name] to discuss my case with Laura Purkess at The Sun”.

Please include your full name and location in your email/letter.

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The search for Japan’s ‘lost’ art

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On a weekday morning in late September, an hour and a half from Tokyo off a side-road near the town of Sakura, the ticket queue for the Kawamura Memorial DIC Museum of Art is long. Cars wait along a cedar-lined lane for a spot in the second overflow parking zone. The gift shop has been so overwhelmed by customers in recent days that management has shut its doors. By 11:45am, the digital screen outside the museum’s Belvedere Italian restaurant declares the waiting time for a table is now 181 minutes; a special notice on the website recommends bringing a packed lunch instead.

The museum has said it will close in early 2025, and thousands of art lovers, in their stampede to the Chiba countryside, can sense an emergency. Large parts of corporate Japan can sense something far, far more alarming.

The unfolding saga of this comparatively obscure museum — and of the hundreds of artworks owned by the listed chemicals company behind it — is also an unfolding saga of corporate Japan and what version of shareholder capitalism the country as a whole wants to subject itself to. A belated reckoning now looks to be rearing back up from the murky late 1980s, when banks encouraged Japanese company founders to borrow wildly against what were then soaring domestic real estate values.

It is a first, potentially trailblazing instance of a company revealing the extent of its art collection under explicitly governance-driven pressure. Of the 754 works in the Kawamura collection, 384 are owned by DIC — pretty much all of the most famous works belong to the company and thus their ownership is now caught in an ideological limbo.

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Japanese visitors stepping off a bus marked ‘Kawamura Memorial DIC Museum’
People arrive by bus at the Kawamura Memorial DIC Museum © Photographs for the FT by Androniki Christodoulou
A queue of people forms after disembarking from a museum bus, its side emblazoned with a large portrait of an Old Master
Since news of the museum’s imminent closure, there have been long queues of visitors © Androniki Christodoulou

One argument — now more visibly gathering steam as Japanese companies are held to ever higher standards by their investors — is that art is simply an asset of a company that they, the shareholders own, and should be treated like any other asset.

The counter is that however compelling the argument above, companies have a wider societal function than simply service to shareholders, and that their asset portfolios should be assessed accordingly. That same argument holds that Japan, as a whole, has benefited from this much broader interpretation, and would be the poorer if everything were subjected to the hard rules of shareholder capitalism. The debate, raging around the vast expanse of “non-core” assets and business ventures maintained by Japanese companies, is now at the heart of a tectonic structural shift.

One of the nation’s most exquisite dirty secrets — the ambiguous ownership of highly valuable art, the exploitation of listed companies to protect generational wealth and habitual asset-mingling between families and public companies — has broken the surface after lying relatively undisturbed for decades. In this instance, it has been exposed by Oasis Management, a notoriously catalytic shareholder activist. But it is part of a broader, inexorable-looking trend.

“Japanese companies were told they were worth billions. It was funny money, so they did funny things,” says Toby Rodes of Kaname Capital, a fund manager whose strategy includes delving into the art collections hidden on the Tokyo stock market, using their existence as a signal of more profound governance shortcomings.

There is no particular allegation that anything illegal has taken place — simply that the Japanese market has been supernaturally tolerant of blurred lines. In his particular focus on art, Rodes is a rarity, but the hunt for governance failures and the potential returns that come with repairing those has attracted scores of activist and value funds to Japan.

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A male auctioneer in black tie presides over a Sotheby’s auction room with Renoir’s painting on display
Renoir’s ‘Bal du moulin de la Galette’ set a record in 1990 when it was purchased at auction for $78mn by Japanese papermaking company Daishowa Ashitaka © Getty Images

Not all of the buying in the late 1980s and early 1990s was ostentatious. But the escapades that the era fuelled became the stuff of legend. Japanese company bosses — in some cases with bankruptcy lurking quite soon in their future — set jaw-dropping records for purchases of Van Gogh’s “Sunflowers”, Renoir’s “Bal du moulin de la Galette”, Picasso’s “Les Noces de Pierrette” and many other gems.

The bursting of the bubble triggered a quiet, bad-debted and, to many, face-losing outflow of Japan’s art throughout the downturn of the late 1990s. Some instances, such as the efforts to trace the whereabouts of Van Gogh’s “Portrait of Dr Gachet” after it fell into the hands of creditors, have been multi-decade international mysteries. But these outflows were not, by any means, a full clearance sale. Across corporate Japan, major works accumulated in the heyday still loom over the rarefied exclusivity of boardrooms.

It is a subject about which very few in the art-dealing world like to talk on the record; often because they now see that governance improvements in Japan and the enforcement of transparency on listed companies could actually flood “lost” art on to an illiquid market, and reveal more of its murky past.

$500mn (¥74bn)Estimated value of DIC’s Kawamura Rothko collection

¥11.2bnDIC’s formal book value for its entire art collection

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Where is it now? Funds and art experts suspect that an unknowable trove, technically owned by listed companies, has made its way into the private homes of their founders or the founders’ descendants. Masterpieces almost certainly sit, undeclared, in company-owned warehouses around the country, art dealers say. VIP visitors to the Tokyo headquarters of Nomura may find themselves sitting at a table with a Monet at one end and a Chagall at the other. Special guests of Marubeni may catch a glimpse of Botticelli’s “La Bella Simonetta”.

“I will never forget when I stumbled across a ‘museum’ that doubled as the executive floor of a Japanese broadcaster,” said one veteran US-based fund manager. “Being protected from a change of control by legal regulation, the entrenched management team had a penchant for very fine works of art. The team escorting me to the elevator after a meeting got nervous when I paused in front of a Cézanne.”

Now, in an era when urgent corporate governance reforms are being ordered by both the Japanese government and Tokyo Stock Exchange, when greater transparency is being demanded and shareholder activism has become more emboldened, the debate around these assets threatens a painful rethink of Japan’s relationship between companies, their founders, society and shareholders.

A man takes a photo of a building that resembles a round castle tower set amid lawns
The Kawamura museum is home to a large art collection amassed by listed company DIC © Androniki Christodoulou
Women resting on a bench with a view towards Henry Moore’s sculpture in the distance
The museum garden features a Henry Moore sculpture © Androniki Christodoulou

Despite its somewhat awkward location in the sticks, the Kawamura Memorial museum, elegantly constructed at the end of Japan’s 1980s bubble era and set in gardens dotted with a Henry Moore and other sculptures, has plenty to justify a visit. Some would argue, excessively so: a financial anomaly hiding in plain sight for decades.

The collection was assembled by the founding family of the Dainippon Ink and Chemicals Corporation (DIC) from the 1970s. Whatever it lacks in thematic coherence it more than makes up for in stunning reminders of just how acquisitive Japan became at the peak of its financial powers.

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It is no coincidence that the museum opened in 1990 — the year in which, according to FT data analysis, imports of paintings to Japan hit an all-time peak of almost ¥500bn ($3.3bn), or more than 10 times higher than in 1985. By 1992, the value had plummeted again to ¥34bn ($229mn).

Inside the museum’s softly lit galleries hang works by Matisse, Chagall, Ernst, Monet, Picasso and Renoir. There is a remarkable Pollock, two works by Twombly and a special alcove housing Rembrandt’s “Portrait of a Man in a Broad-Brimmed Hat”.

A 17th-century painting of a man in black coat and hat, with a white frilly ruff around his neck
Rembrandt’s ‘Portrait of a Man in a Broad-Brimmed Hat’ (1635) is housed in one of the museum’s special alcoves © Alamy
A 19th-century painting of a nude woman with her hair tied up and a white sheet on her legs
‘Bather’ (1891) by Renoir, whose works hang in the museum’s galleries © Alamy

But Kawamura’s most valuable show-stopper is upstairs, in a dedicated room walled with seven panels by Mark Rothko, from a collection originally painted for the Four Seasons restaurant in New York’s Seagram Building. The huge works are widely seen as part of the most important commission Rothko ever undertook. The auction record for just one Rothko painting stands at $86.9mn. According to art experts consulted by investors, the ones in Kawamura might, together, be worth well over half a billion dollars.

Despite the qualities of this extraordinary collection, it has been on display here for 34 years without ever generating more than a modest stream of visitors at an average rate of just a few hundred people a day.

But on August 27 the board of indebted, unprofitable DIC, which owns the museum and much of the art inside, made a surprise announcement. Because of the relationship between the company and the museum, and because of the “opinions expressed by investors”, said the statement, it had now become impracticable to maintain and operate the museum in its current state. The museum, it declared, will “temporarily close” from January 2025. It then, on September 30, sent out a second notice saying that it would postpone the closure until March 2025 “taking into account visitor numbers” since its earlier notice.

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A black and white photo of a bald man standing in front of large painting
Kawamura’s most valuable show-stoppers include seven panels by Mark Rothko © Getty Images

Crucially, though, the DIC statement addressed one of the great enigmas that have hung, permanently, over the museum. Until now, the company has never specified how much of the art it displays in its museum it actually owns, and how much is owned by the family. It has, accordingly, not ascribed a precise market-to-market value to the art in the published accounts.

But in its August 27 statement the company came partially clean. Of the 754 works in the collection, it said, 384 are owned by the company — and thus, activists would argue, by the shareholders. DIC put a formal book value of just Y11.2bn ($77mn) on the company’s art — an extremely low reckoning of its potential value were the art to come on to the market.

Several things have happened since that bombshell. The first is that many Japanese have seen the news, panicked that the days of a great national treasure are now numbered — even though most had not previously bothered to visit — and decided that they must trek over there in their thousands. A second is that the decision has been vehemently challenged. Prominent “DON’T CLOSE IT!” signs have popped up along the roads around the museum, and an online petition against the closure appeared on the local municipality’s website. As of last weekend, it had more than 47,000 signatures.

The third and arguably most life-changing effect for Japan has been to focus the attention of investors on how many other DICs there may be lurking around the country. Hedge funds that now specialise in this sort of socially fraught treasure hunt, and have spoken to the FT over recent months, suspect that there are dozens of companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that bear a close resemblance.

The background to DIC’s decision to close the museum was more than a decade in the making. The country’s first governance code setting best practice for companies was introduced in 2015, and was accompanied by a stewardship code that set out the obligations on investors to hold companies’ managements to account. Since then, the situation has begun to change. Companies have gradually begun to raise governance standards, even when they have not fully accepted the premise of shareholder primacy. Well-known shareholder activists, such as ValueAct Capital and Elliott, have focused heavily on the opportunities in Japan, while smaller funds, such as Oasis, 3D and the group headed by Yoshiaki Murakami, have managed to run a series of hard-hitting campaigns.

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There was — and still is — a great deal to fix. Japanese boards were not diverse, were very rarely controlled or overseen by a majority of independent directors, and shareholder activism was decried as a barbaric western practice. This, in effect, conferred huge freedom on the managements of listed companies to run them as they pleased, rather than more directly in the interests of shareholders.

To doubly secure their freedom, Japanese companies created great networks of shareholdings in other, friendly listed companies on the understanding that those blocs of shares would never vote against management.

And to triple-lock it in, Japanese companies constructed a collective narrative that they existed for a higher purpose than simply expanding shareholder value and maximising profits. Long before BlackRock’s Larry Fink reversed years of investment dogma and began urging a more responsible recalibration of corporate focus and a broader definition of corporate “purpose”, Japanese companies were comfortably citing their grander purpose and sense of duty to multiple stakeholders. They have argued, forcefully, that Japanese society has benefited from this, no matter how inefficiently they have deployed capital.

An obvious question, now asked with ever more frequency and consequence, is why should so many — 3,951 at the last count — Japanese companies be listed at all, given the lengths they have gone to avoid the structures, scrutiny and potential pressure that comes with being listed?

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A large white sign with Japanese writing on it. The sign is attached to railings. There is a white car and a person in the background
A protest sign at the museum car park reads: ‘100 Kamakura Memorial Museum of Art, a cultural symbol for the local community for over 30 years. Don’t lose it!!’ © Androniki Christodoulou
People line up to board the special museum shuttle bus at Kawamura
Special shuttle buses are being used to transport the increased influx of visitors to the museum © Androniki Christodoulou

Several can see the governance writing on the wall. Within the past year, the managements of two companies still closely tied to their founding families have decided to undertake management buyouts and de-list from the exchange — away from activists, governance strictures and the general scrutiny now in prospect. They are Benesse, the education company whose founding family established the famous Benesse Art Site on Naoshima island, and Taisho Pharmaceutical, whose founding family’s art is displayed in the Uehara Museum and include works by Cézanne, Renoir and Corot.

“The common thread [is that] both company founders are art collectors and were likely feeling the pressure of needing to come clean on the conflicts of interest and poor governance that put the art on the walls,” said one private equity executive in Tokyo who knows of at least half a dozen other companies contemplating a similar move.

The key to understanding what is happening, says Rodes, co-founder of Kaname Capital, is Japan’s long history with extremely high levels of inheritance tax — a levy of around 50 per cent on large estates that can, in theory, wipe out family wealth over a few generations.

One of the most popular ways to deal with this was for families to list their companies and hold on to significant stakes so that there was always a cache of shares that could be liquidated to pay the taxman. The stock market, in that light, has been abused as a means of securing generational wealth, rather than as a mechanism for growing good companies. Families would maintain their control over the listed companies’ boards by installing favourable directors.

Because of this extremely common pattern, say Rodes and others, families came to see the balance sheets of listed companies as, in effect, their own asset. It was a critical psychological leap that lies right at the heart of the corporate governance problems that investors are now shining the brightest of lights upon.

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“Looking at the art collections is one way of bringing bad governance to the surface,” says Rodes. “It is our way of saying, ‘We know what you did’. Art is the governance sledgehammer. Could the companies do more with these notoriously illiquid assets? Absolutely.”

Joji Kaneko, a visitor to the Kawamura museum who has travelled more than 400km by car from Nagoya, is now admiring a wall of art by Frank Stella. “I’m here because I’ve heard that this museum is going to close in January and this could be my last chance to see everything here,” Kaneko says. “It’s a sad thing, but I guess it’s just something that can’t be helped. Money always wins in these situations, doesn’t it?”

The statement by DIC in which it announced the closure of its museum referred to “the opinions of investors” — euphemistically, the questions raised by certain shareholders, including Oasis Management, around whether the corporate ownership of art can be justified when the company is heavily indebted and the Tokyo Stock Exchange itself is calling for listed companies to demonstrate greater capital efficiency.

Beyond the polite protest posters outside the Kawamura museum, there is a low-level outrage that shareholders should be able to force companies to behave differently than they have done in the past. But change is in the air.

“Owning art and pretending you are doing God’s work is crazy. Boards can no longer pretend there is nothing to see here,” says Rodes.

Leo Lewis is the FT’s Tokyo bureau chief. Additional reporting by Dan Clark

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Why thousands of pensioners WON’T see State Pension rise by full £460 next year

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Why thousands of pensioners WON’T see State Pension rise by full £460 next year

PENSIONERS are in for a windfall next year, as weekly State Pension payments are due to rise by around 4%.

But how much extra you’ll get in pounds and pence depends on whether you receive the old version of the benefit or the newer full state pension.

Pensioners might not realise they won't get the full headline amount

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Pensioners might not realise they won’t get the full headline amount

How much will the state pension increase by next year?

Increases to the State Pension are determined by something called the Triple Lock, which was introduced by the Conservative and Lib Dem coalition government in 2010.

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It promises that each year, payments will go up by the higher of:

  • Inflation, according to the Consumer Prices Index (CPI)
  • Average wage increases 
  • 2.5%.

This year, preliminary figures from the Office for National Statistics, show that earnings increased by 4% in the relevant month (which is July).

By comparison, the September inflation figures came in at around 2.2%, significantly lower than earnings growth.

That means that state pensions should rise by the earnings figure. However, the final decision will be made by the Work and Pensions Secretary, usually around the time of the Autumn Statement, which is on October 30.

If the official earnings or inflation figures are revised, the amount the state pension increases by could also change.

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For people on the new state pension

Currently, the new full state pension is £221.20 a week, which works out as £11,502.40 a year.

If pension payments do go up by 4%, that means weekly payments will go up to £230.05 a week, which works out as £11,962.50 a year.

That’s an increase of just over £460 per annum. However, that number only applies to people who get the full new state pension. 

To get the full state pension, you need to have 35 years of national insurance contributions. 

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If you’re only getting some of the new state pension, for instance because you have less than 35 years of NI credits but more than 10, then your payment increase will be less. You’ll still get a 4% uplift, but the total amount will continue to be lower.

For instance, someone with just 20 years of National Insurance contributions or credits would get around £126.40 a week. Per year, that works out as £6,572.80.

If that increases by 4% in line with the current earnings data, then it will rise to £6,835.71. So, someone would be better off by just under £263 a year. 

You can check your national insurance record on gov.uk. To calculate what state pension payment you’d receive, divide £221.20 by 35 and then multiply that by the number of years of contributions you expect to have. 

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For people on the old basic state pension

If you’re a man born before 6 April 1951 or a woman born before 6 April 1953, you’ll get the basic state pension instead. 

This currently pays just £169.50 a week, which adds up to £8,814 a year. If it’s boosted by 4%, the annual payments would rise £9,167.60 – which is an increase of over £353.

To get the full basic State Pension you still need a certain number of qualifying years of National Insurance.

If you’re a man, you usually need:

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  • 30 qualifying years if you were born between 1945 and 1951
  • 44 qualifying years if you were born before 1945

If you’re a woman you usually need:

  • 30 qualifying years if you were born between 1950 and 1953
  • 39 qualifying years if you were born before 1950

If you don’t have enough qualifying years, then your basic State Pension will be less than £169.50 per week. 

If you qualify for additional state pension

Lots of people who get the basic state pension, also qualify for the additional state pension. This is extra money on top of the basic payment.

To qualify you need to be either:

  • a man born before 6 April 1951
  • a woman born before 6 April 1953

There is no fixed amount and how much you get depends on your national insurance record, your income, and whether you contracted out of the schemes.

But NI Direct says that the maximum amount anyone can get is £218.39 per week, not including the state pension top up. This means that between your basic state pension and your additional payments, you could be getting significantly more than the new full state pension. 

The Additional State Pension is made up of 3 schemes, and you might have contributed to more than one of them.

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For instance, you might have been eligible for the State Second Pension if you were employed and earned over a certain threshold or claimed certain benefits between 2002 and 2016. 

Equally, people could choose to top up their basic State Pension between 12 October 2015 and 5 April 2017. If you did this, you will get some additional state pension.

Finally, those people who were employed between 1978 and 2002 may have benefitted from the State Earnings-Related Pension Scheme (SERPS).

You do not have to do anything to claim the Additional State Pension. If you’re eligible, you’ll automatically get it when you claim your State Pension.

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Whatever amount you’re given should also rise by 4% from next April. 

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Es Devlin’s next act

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“When a bird flies through this garden, it doesn’t know it’s not allowed to go anywhere so it just goes everywhere,” says Es Devlin, tracing an imaginary flight with her hand across the sunlit space. “And we would have once been like that, before the Enclosure Acts and all that happened. So I think we long for the commons. We long to be reminded of systems greater than ourselves.”

That sense of connection vibrates through much of Devlin’s work. Artist, writer and stage designer, she — a little like that bird — defies borders. Many know the 53-year-old for her theatre designs — wonderful, often kinetic sets that sculpt space and animate the ideas of a play: The Lehman Trilogy, encased in a revolving glass cuboid, has just returned to London; her stunning, monumental set for the National Theatre’s new Coriolanus has the play unfold in a museum of antique statues and treasures — a silent testimony to imperial might.

For others, her name is synonymous with vast arena designs — sending Miley Cyrus sliding down a giant pink tongue; framing Stormzy in a veil of rain at the Brit Awards; wrapping the audience for U2’s residency at the giant Las Vegas Sphere in a gorgeous kaleidoscope of images of the natural world. Certain leitmotifs run like connecting rivers through her work. A line of light cutting through darkness derives from her earliest memory: falling into water as a tiny child; cubes and spheres, reflecting an endless fascination with fundamental forms such as the circle, the triangle and the square, pop up frequently.

A man standing in front of a microphone under heavy rainfall with one arm outstretched above him
Devlin’s set design for Stormzy at the 2018 Brit Awards had the artist performing under rainfall © Getty

But underpinning all this is her work as an artist. She’s always regarded design work as art in itself: for her a stage set is a protagonist. And for the past decade, her visual arts practice has soared to the fore, powering her output, as she’s created multiple exhibitions, films and installations that are themselves concerned with tracing connections. Her work for art galleries — often durational, often involving music and interaction — builds on “having sat in the dark with an audience for 30 years”.

“I just enjoy it all, I really do,” she says. “If you were Robert Hooke [the 17th-century English polymath] and you spent your day drawing creatures through a microscope, then you helped Christopher Wren do the engineering on St Paul’s Cathedral and then you probably wrote a motet in the evening, you would just be practising everything that you could. And that’s always how I’ve approached it.”

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That porosity is expressed even in her home in south London, where the studio spills into the living space and the living space into the garden, the large glass doors open wide on the warm afternoon on which we meet so that the threshold seems to melt away. Life and work, outside and inside tumble over one another: one of her cats picks its way through the stacks of drawings and paint pots.

Right now that house is occupied by dozens of huge charcoal and chalk portraits, rising metres high, gazing out at you from the walls and floor. These are the drawings for her new installation, Congregation. All the sitters arrived in the UK as forcibly displaced people — some recently, some in childhood, many after considerable trauma.

A woman dips a paintbrush into a pot, large black and white portraits are laid out on the floor and propped up on the wall behind her
In ‘Congregation’, each person will hold an empty box illuminated with film © Cian Oba-Smith
A small paper model of people in a tiered choir formation
A model of the installation © Cian Oba-Smith

In the finished work, mounted in several tiers inside St Mary le Strand Church in central London, they will form an assembly of gift-bringers, each person holding an empty box that will illuminate with film, like animated stained glass windows. The content is co-authored by the sitters and is accompanied, at dusk each evening, by a free choral performance. It will be, says Devlin, a “collective portrait of those who bring their gifts to London”. “The boxes will behave like mini theatres. So it’s drawing the theatre practice into the art practice. They really are hard to separate at this point.”

The idea emerged in 2022. Devlin was struck by contradictory public and political attitudes towards displaced people from different countries, the welcoming of Ukrainian refugees contrasting with harsh rhetoric about an “invasion” of asylum seekers crossing the English Channel. Working with the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, she invited 50 individuals to collaborate with her and sit for a portrait. For the first 45 minutes, she encountered them as strangers, drawing only what she saw. Then, after a conversation about their lives, she would return to the drawing. That process was significant — in part an attempt to root out her own biases and assumptions. 

“I put music on to stop us both talking — the Max Richter reworking of Vivaldi’s Four Seasons — and I asked them to look right into my eyes. And then we’d stop and they would tell me about themselves.”

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The results were revealing. She recalls one sitter, Maya, who arrived in the UK, aged 16, from Damascus.

A stage set: ancient objects and artefacts, such as a bust and a vase, sit on plinths. Large concrete cuboids are suspended from the ceiling above. Four actors move along the front of the stage
The set for ‘Coriolanus’ has the play unfold in a museum © Daniel Devlin

“I had never drawn anyone in hijab before. My own overlays and associations were almost like static interference. So I’m thinking about demure Renaissance sculptures of women and I’m trying to really do justice to this beautiful curve of fabric and how it bounces off the face. And then she tells me her story and she’s a commercial airline pilot. And the picture is just aching at me, going ‘What were you thinking of! It was her watch you should have been looking at, her big chunky black pilot watch.’”

So did the portrait change? “Totally. I became obsessed by the strength of her arm. All my other biases about what pilots must be like came in.”

She laughs. We’re sitting beneath the trees at the end of the garden. Devlin, in a sunshine yellow top and white cargo pants, is as vividly present as her work. She often wears yellow, I observe.

“It’s a good colour,” she replies, good-humouredly. “The day goes well when I’m wearing yellow. And I try to pack so much into my waking life that not having any choice of clothes has made my life so much simpler.”

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Even sitting still there’s a compressed energy to her. Director Lyndsey Turner, with whom Devlin often works, describes her approach as both “forensic and associative”. She’ll drill into the meaning of a word, but equally a chance encounter as she cycles around London might find its way into her work. One of her great skills is to craft those connections into sculpted experiences for an audience: a way of feeling themselves to be part of a greater whole.

An office setting inside a glass-walled cube. Three men in suits  are inside. One sits and one stands on the table. One stands at the front
In ‘The Lehman Trilogy’, the actors build the world of the play from grey cardboard boxes © Caitlin Ochs/New York Times/Eyevine

In her set for The Lehman Trilogy, the three actors build the world of the play — shop counters, desks, towering skyscrapers — from grey cardboard boxes like those used by Lehman employees to remove their belongings when the company collapsed in 2008. It’s an approach that matches the actors’ ingenuity to that of the three Lehman brothers. But, importantly for Devlin, it also allows the audience “to be the set designer”.

“It’s magical to feel everybody reading one small cardboard box and in their mind creating their own world,” she says. “In the theatre you know that you’re part of making the work. I think that’s why you feel quite alive when you leave.”

She views audiences as temporary societies: communities where a slight shift in perspective is possible. In the theatre, or in a piece like Congregation, that might translate into empathy for others. In the installation Come Home Again, a “choral sculpture” of drawings and sound erected outside Tate Modern in 2022 to celebrate 243 endangered species common to London, it became about decentring the human: urgently reconsidering our place in existence and our relationship with the planet.

So what might AI contribute to this discourse, with its potential to mimic or even outstrip human intelligence? Devlin has used AI creatively — her Pavilion for Expo 2020 in Dubai was a huge cone-shaped structure that displayed a constant stream of verse — collective poems generated by an algorithm from words suggested by visitors. She’s both pragmatic and philosophical.

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“I think artists engaging with it makes sense — rather than just being eaten,” she says. “Yes, be fearful, but also see where these things could really work with us.

“And maybe we’re not the centre of intelligence. There are intelligences that are beyond our own all around us. The intelligence in each of these plants, for instance. There are so many things that are other than us.”

‘Congregation’, to October 9, unrefugees.org.uk; ‘The Lehman Trilogy’, Gillian Lynne Theatre, to January 5, lwtheatres.co.uk; ‘Coriolanus’, to November 9, nationaltheatre.org.uk

Find out about our latest stories first — follow FTWeekend on Instagram and X, and subscribe to our podcast Life and Art wherever you listen

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dispatch from the Russian border

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SUMY

In July, I visit a special forces unit near Sumy in the north-east. A group of soldiers has returned from across the Russian border — wet, dirty, tired, yet satisfied. They review their GoPro and drone footage, read books, watch movies, eat and rest on couches, cleaning their weapons and chatting. I spend four days with them, watching them train and have fun by the nearby lake, joining in their volleyball games.

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One day, during a game, we hear a distant but powerful noise. The servicemen take a quick glance up, and one of my teammates turns to me: “It’s Himars,” he says, referring to a rocket launcher used to strike Russian targets. “Come on, hit the ball!” A few days later, back in Kyiv, I discover that two of the guys I’d spent time with at the lake were killed on their next mission.


© Sergiy Maidukov

SUMY DRONE UNIT

At the top of a hill in a field of high fresh green wheat, a drone falls. It is not easy to find — the men have to use another drone to spot where it landed. These drones had been used a couple of days before, during the mission across the border. They imitate attacks to drive the Russian servicemen inside while sappers lay mines to cut off access to the main road.


© Sergiy Maidukov

KHARKIV CONTROL CENTRE

The Russian army occupied a piece of land in the north of the Kharkiv region in May. In the city of Kharkiv, there is an unremarkable building with shuttered windows. The entrance looks abandoned, but the door opens from inside when certain people want to enter. This is a base for the Khartia Brigade, a branch of the National Guard that was founded in Kharkiv in 2022. Inside, there is a drone workshop and an observation point to manage drones in the battlefield. Several large TV screens show around 20 video streams at the same time. There’s an active operation going on. Footage of the cratered soil being hit by thousands of projectiles moves slowly across the muted screens.


© Sergiy Maidukov

KHARKIV DRONE UNIT

The next day, late in the evening, I am taken by the large drones unit to where they are stationed. It is about 5km from the front line. We are meant to arrive and leave in the dark. The car looks like one from Mad Max, with steel sheets attached to it and several large radio-electronic warfare pylons on the roof. Because the front line is so near, the car speeds along the rough, narrow roads at more than 120kph, despite the darkness. At one point, we nearly crash into a tank. In the village, the guys set up antennas and a drone, then quickly move into a basement for launch. The Vampire drone is loud. Above us, the starry sky buzzes with different types of drones.

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© Sergiy Maidukov

TSYRKUNY

In the middle of a hot day, we arrive at a sappers’ point, close to the front line. The sappers work with a huge range of ammunition, adapting them to attach to different types of drones. The ground is littered with explosive devices ready to be used. Some are homemade, from plastic bottles, some have been printed on a 3D printer. There are parts of an RPG-7 rocket launcher, some thermobaric vacuum bombs and other grenades. The sapper works carefully and confidently. He doesn’t talk much until I show him what I’ve drawn. Then he smiles.

Sergiy Maidukov’s work has appeared in the FT Magazine, as well as The New Yorker, The New York Times and The Washington Post. He was born in Donetsk, eastern Ukraine, which is currently occupied by Russia and its militant proxies. Maidukov has been working with servicemen to cover the conflict

Follow @FTMag to find out about our latest stories first and subscribe to our podcast Life and Art wherever you listen

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