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What China’s fading stock rally could mean for investors

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What China's fading stock rally could mean for investors


The recent surge in Chinese stocks hit the pause button on Tuesday after Beijing failed to roll out another large stimulus package, a surprise to investors hoping to add more fuel to the unprecedented rally.

Hong Kong’s benchmark Hang Seng Index (^HSI), which is loaded with large Chinese stocks, dropped around 9% on Tuesday, its worst day since October 2008, after climbing around 20% over the past month on the heels of China unleashing its most aggressive monetary stimulus since the pandemic.

China’s benchmark CSI 300 (000300.SS) also experienced a volatile day as expectations of a large stimulus announcement fueled an initial 10% rise after markets reopened from the country’s weeklong holiday. The index later gave up those gains, finishing the day up a more modest 6%.

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The stimulus, an effort by China to course-correct its struggling economy, was first announced on Sept. 24. Since then, a surge of inflows has dramatically boosted Chinese equities, particularly in real estate and consumer staples, as investors bet on Beijing’s comeback.

But Wall Street remains split on whether or not now is the right time to buy into the market.

“The short-run pop [signals that] people are feeling better,” Jeremy Schwartz, chief investment officer at WisdomTree, told Yahoo Finance’s Market Domination. “Will it be enough to move their economy? That’s very much an open question [because] the sentiment was so, so negative.”

People walk past Hong Kong's stock exchange building as the market closed with a massive fall of more than nine percent in the benchmark Hang Seng Index on Tuesday, Oct. 8, 2024. (AP Photo)

People walk past Hong Kong’s stock exchange building as the market closed with a massive fall of more than nine percent in the benchmark Hang Seng Index on Tuesday, Oct. 8, 2024. (AP Photo) (ASSOCIATED PRESS)

The stimulus, which includes interest rate cuts, lower reserve requirements for banks, liquidity for the stock market, and mortgage relief, among other measures, comes as the nation’s second-largest economy attempts to pull itself out of a long slump spurred by deflationary pressures from a sluggish property market and weak domestic demand.

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At a press conference on Tuesday hosted by China’s top economic planner, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), Beijing said it’s committed to enacting further support in order to reach its economic goals, which include an annual growth target of “around 5%.”

“We are fully confident in achieving the annual economic and social development targets,” Zheng Shanjie, chairman of the NDRC, told reporters. However, he did acknowledge that the Chinese economy is facing a “more complex and extreme” global environment.

At the press conference, the NDRC announced it would issue 200 billion yuan ($28 billion) to local governments for spending and investment projects by year’s end. But economists have been waiting for a fiscal package worth around 2 trillion yuan ($284 billion) to be announced.

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On Tuesday, other Chinese-listed exchanges and companies were also on the move. The Shanghai Composite (000888.SS), a key indicator of the overall performance of the Chinese stock market, eked out gains of around 5% after initially opening the day higher. The index has rallied by double digits, jumping more than 20% from its September lows. It’s up about 30% over the past month.

Similarly, shares of Chinese e-commerce giants like Alibaba (BABA) and PDD Holdings (PDD) have surged over that same period, up more than 35% and 55%, respectively, despite single-digit losses on Tuesday.

WisdomTree’s Schwartz said investing in the region depends on whether or not traders can afford to be “nimble” and “move in and out” of the market depending on the level of risk.

“For strategic, long-term investors, it’s tricky,” he said, noting that a “very dicey” geopolitical environment, coupled with the upcoming US election, further complicates the investment thesis.

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“The ultimate question is: Are you going to be rewarded to be in China as a communist country and all of the other problems with the geopolitics, versus the democratic countries like Japan and India that are more US allies versus US adversaries at the moment?” he said.

Others say it’s only the start of China’s recovery and now could be the time to reassess.

“We’re really in the very, very early innings,” Brendan Ahern, CIO at KraneShares, told Yahoo Finance’s Morning Brief. “And then you have the high probability of better news coming. Instead of looking through the rearview mirror, let’s look through the windshield.”

The recent surge in Chinese stocks hit the pause button on Tuesday after Beijing failed to roll out another large stimulus package, a surprise to investors hoping to add more fuel to the unprecedented rally. (Courtesy: Getty Images)

The recent surge in Chinese stocks hit the pause button on Tuesday after Beijing failed to roll out another large stimulus package, a surprise to investors hoping to add more fuel to the unprecedented rally. (Getty Images) (Tomas Ragina via Getty Images)

Goldman Sachs added to bullish commentary in a note on Monday titled “China strategy: if not now, when?” The team, led by analyst Kinger Lau, upgraded China stocks to Overweight from Marketweight and argued for potential upside between 15% and 20% for both the MSCI China Index (2801.HK) and CSI 300 Index.

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Other big banks, including HSBC Holdings and BlackRock, also upgraded mainland Chinese stocks in recent days, building on expectations that the rally still has more room to run.

“Many China watchers may have suffered ‘policy fatigue’ over the past 1 to 2 years, with the policy delivery in the post Covid-era generally being perceived as underwhelming,” Goldman Sachs wrote in its report. “Given low market expectations, the latest easing package has positively surprised investors and altered the policy narrative along a few dimensions.”

The analyst team added, “More stimulus is probably needed to turn things around, but the profit outlook [for Chinese companies] has moderately improved,” with valuations still below historic averages amid depressed stock prices.

“Even if the rally falters, [Chinese equities] still have a place in investor portfolios,” the report read.

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As investors look ahead to the next possible catalyst for Chinese stocks, analysts say positive momentum will likely hinge on the magnitude and execution of more fiscal policy, rather than just monetary support.

“A well-targeted fiscal stimulus, aimed at rejuvenating the property sector and reviving animal spirits, could significantly improve China’s economic prospects, potentially generating positive spillovers for the global economy,” Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, wrote in a note on Monday.

“While investors have reason for cautious optimism, much will depend on the size and implementation of the various measures, details of which are still pending.”

Alexandra Canal is a Senior Reporter at Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X @allie_canal, LinkedIn, and email her at alexandra.canal@yahoofinance.com.

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Argentina overtakes Brazil in crypto inflows — Chainalysis

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Argentina overtakes Brazil in crypto inflows — Chainalysis


Argentina’s stablecoin market is one of the largest in the world in terms of share of stablecoin transactions, beating the global average by 17%.



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Trump crypto project proposes Aave link in governance proposal

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Trump crypto project proposes Aave link in governance proposal


The Donald Trump-backed crypto platform, World Liberty Financial, wants to run as an instance on the DeFi protocol Aave.



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I’m 68 with a $600 Monthly Long-Term Care Premium-Is This Too High?

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Long-term care insurance can help offset the significant costs of long-term care, including nursing home stays and in-home help.


Long-term care insurance can help offset the significant costs of long-term care, including nursing home stays and in-home help.

Long-term care insurance can help offset the significant costs of long-term care, including nursing home stays and in-home help.

SmartAsset and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue through links in the content below.

Imagine that you’re 68 years old and have a long-term care insurance policy in place that will help you pay for this all-important type of care later in life. You pay $600 per month in premiums and tell yourself it’s a good investment, considering how expensive long-term care can be.

Consider working with a financial advisor if you need additional help planning for long-term care and other needs you’ll have later in life.

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The problem? Your premiums are well above the average monthly cost of long-term care coverage. Here’s what you should be thinking about if you’re interested in buying long-term care insurance or evaluating whether you’re paying too much for it.

What Is Long-Term Care Insurance?

Long-term care insurance helps pay for extended or residential treatment such as in-home care (like a home health aide) or residential/custodial care (such as a nursing home or assisted living).

Long-term care insurance generally doesn’t cover medical bills outside of the extended treatment itself. For example, if you stay in a nursing home and need to see the doctor, your long-term care insurance would pay for the nursing home while health insurance/Medicare would pay for the doctor’s appointment.

Health insurance and Medicare, on the other hand, don’t pay for residential care. This is what makes long-term care insurance so important for retirement planning. As the American Council on Aging found in 2021, staying in a nursing home can cost more than $100,000 per year. Meanwhile, the median cost of a private room in a nursing home is expected to reach $13,267 per month by 2034, according to Genworth. This is beyond the means of most households to pay out of pocket. While Medicaid can cover these costs you must fall below the program’s income and asset limits, which forces some middle-class retirees spend down their assets until they can qualify for care.

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It is not uncommon for people to sell off family homes and liquidate their retirement portfolios to afford assisted living. This can be tragic, particularly if you want to come home someday or leave those assets to your children. Long-term care insurance can potentially prevent that and a financial advisor can help you plan for it.

What Determines the Cost Of Long-Term Care Insurance?

A nursing home resident sits on a couch   after getting out of his wheelchair.

A nursing home resident sits on a couch after getting out of his wheelchair.

Long-term care is structured around a monthly or annual premium that’s set when you buy the policy. Then, if you need care, the insurer pays your costs up to the limit of your coverage. For example, if you have a $100,000 per year policy your insurer will cover the first $100,000 in care that you receive each year and you will pay for the remainder. Many, if not most, policies offer lifetime coverage, meaning that if you need permanent care the program will cover you indefinitely.

The costs of a long-term care policy are based on a few key factors, including:

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  • Your age when you buy the policy

  • Your gender

  • The policy’s coverage amount

  • The duration of coverage (if it covers lifetime stays vs. a limited stay)

  • Inflation coverage (if the policy grows by a percentage each year)

The younger you are when you buy the policy the longer it will be until you will likely need it. As a result, your premiums will likely be lower. Women pay significantly more than men because they have a longer life expectancy, and so will likely use more care if they need assisted living.

Coverage growth protects your policy from inflation. At a 2% rate of inflation, prices will double roughly every 30 to 35 years, meaning that a policy you buy at 55 may lose half its spending power by the time you’re 85. If you need help assessing your options for long-term care insurance or even purchasing a policy, speak with a fiduciary financial advisor.

Is $600 Per Month Too Much For Long-Term Care Insurance?

A couple reviews the price of different long-term care insurance policies.

A couple reviews the price of different long-term care insurance policies.

The question is, what should your policy cost, and more specifically, is $600 per month too much for a 68-year-old single person to be paying? Long-term care insurance isn’t cheap, and it gets more expensive the later in life you purchase it but it doesn’t have to be this expensive.

According to the American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance, you should probably pay somewhere between $100 and $400 per month for your insurance. While there’s a lot of variability, if you’re an individual with $165,000 in coverage and 2% inflation protection, an average policy will cost:

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  • $1,650 per year ($137.50 per month) for a male purchasing at age 55

  • $2,725 per year ($227 per month) for a female purchasing at age 55

  • $2,600 per year ($217 per month) for a male purchasing at age 65

  • $4,230 per year ($352.50 per month) for a female purchasing at age 65

Just going off these average premiums, a 68-year-old can pay a lot less than $600 per month for long-term care coverage. However, a premium that high isn’t completely out of the ordinary. For example, the average cost of coverage for a 65-year-old woman who wants an annual 5% inflation adjustment is $7,225 per year or just over $600 per month.

Like all insurance, long-term care policies tend to get more expensive the longer you wait to purchase one. Buying a new policy at 68 won’t be cheap, but it may be cheaper than doing so at 73. Consider working with a financial advisor to determine how much coverage you may need and how much you’ll be able to afford.

Bottom Line

A year at a nursing home can cost over $100,000, placing immense financial strain on the person who needs it and/or their family. While Medicare typically does not cover these costs, long-term care insurance can fill that gap. However, it isn’t cheap. If you can buy it well in advance, though, it can protect your future for a couple hundred dollars per month.

Retirement Insurance Tips

  • Insurance in retirement can be a very complicated subject. Among the many moving pieces here is the concept of life insurance as a savings account. Depending on the policy you hold, your life insurance policy can act as a retirement portfolio from which you can withdraw assets. See how these policies stack up against standard investments.

  • A financial advisor can potentially help you plan for your insurance needs. Finding a financial advisor doesn’t have to be hard. SmartAsset’s free tool matches you with up to three vetted financial advisors who serve your area, and you can have a free introductory call with your advisor matches to decide which one you feel is right for you. If you’re ready to find an advisor who can help you achieve your financial goals, get started now.

  • Keep an emergency fund on hand in case you run into unexpected expenses. An emergency fund should be liquid — in an account that isn’t at risk of significant fluctuation like the stock market. The tradeoff is that the value of liquid cash can be eroded by inflation. But a high-interest account allows you to earn compound interest. Compare savings accounts from these banks.

  • Are you a financial advisor looking to grow your business? SmartAsset AMP helps advisors connect with leads and offers marketing automation solutions so you can spend more time making conversions. Learn more about SmartAsset AMP.

Photo credit: ©iStock.com/Hailshadow, ©iStock.com/kazuma seki, ©iStock.com/brizmaker

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The post I’m 68 and My Long-Term Care Insurance Now Costs $600 Per Month. Is This Too Much? appeared first on SmartReads by SmartAsset.



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10 States Where Property Is At The Lowest Risk

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Hurricane Helene's Destruction Sparks Search For Safety: 10 States Where Property Is At The Lowest Risk


Hurricane Helene's Destruction Sparks Search For Safety: 10 States Where Property Is At The Lowest Risk

Hurricane Helene’s Destruction Sparks Search For Safety: 10 States Where Property Is At The Lowest Risk

As Hurricane Helene’s devastating toll rises to at least 215 fatalities, with thousands still missing, homeowners across the country are taking a hard look at where they live and the risks they face.

According to data issued by Realtor.com, more than 730,000 homes remain without power over a week after the storm, prompting many Americans to consider safer ground for their next move.

The scope of 2024’s extreme weather has been unprecedented. According to the report, natural disasters have inflicted over $25 billion in damage nationwide just this year. Climate change has driven a 20% increase in global floods since 2000, while U.S. wildfire-burned acreage has surged 320% since 1996.

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For homeowners seeking refuge from nature’s fury, Realtor.com identified the top 10 states with the lowest risk of extreme weather damage:

  1. Nevada leads with 90.6% of homes at the lowest risk, representing $440.4 billion in property value.

  2. Nebraska follows at 90.2%, though with a lower total property value of $159 billion.

  3. Colorado ranks third at 89.5%, with over $1 trillion in low-risk property value.

  4. Kansas claims fourth place, with 88.8% of homes in safe zones.

  5. Minnesota rounds out the top five at 88.5%.

See Also: This Jeff Bezos-backed startup will allow you to become a landlord in just 10 minutes, and you only need $100.

Iowa, Washington, Ohio, South Dakota, and Missouri complete the list, all with over 87% of homes in low-risk areas.

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“Hurricanes present substantial challenges for homeowners, including property damage, increased financial costs, community recovery issues, and emotional stress,” said Realtor.com economist Jiayi Xu. “Opting for a property in states with a lower hurricane risk can help alleviate these concerns.”

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The impact of extreme weather extends beyond immediate damage. Insurance premiums have skyrocketed in high-risk areas, with some Florida homeowners abandoning coverage. Each region faces challenges: the West battles wildfires while the Southeast contends with floods. Cities like Austin, Baton Rouge, and Coral Gables grapple with extreme heat damage to properties.

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For those contemplating relocation, Xu suggests using a Realtor’s environmental risk scores to evaluate potential homes. “Prospective homeowners can use these scores to identify safer locations before making their final decision,” she notes.

Trending: These five entrepreneurs are worth $223 billion – they all believe in one platform that offers a 7-9% target yield with monthly dividends

The reality remains. According to data issued by insurance company Universal Property, Florida has endured 120 hurricanes since 1851, with 37 reaching Category 3 or higher. Texas follows with 64 hurricanes, while North Carolina – surprisingly, the most hurricane-prone state outside the Gulf Coast – has weathered 55.

As recovery efforts from Helene continue, Florida is preparing for another hurricane, Milton, which could make landfall as early as Wednesday. Now, it seems the broader conversation is shifting to long-term safety and resilience. For many Americans, the next move might not just be about finding a home but finding a haven.

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This article Hurricane Helene’s Destruction Sparks Search For Safety: 10 States Where Property Is At The Lowest Risk originally appeared on Benzinga.com

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© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.



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Bitcoin 'capitulation incoming' as liquidity risks sub-$50K BTC price

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Bitcoin 'capitulation incoming' as liquidity risks sub-$50K BTC price


Bitcoin faces a volatile trip among shifting liquidity conditions, with bulls getting squeezed first, new BTC price analysis predicts.



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South Korea allows division of crypto in divorce settlements

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South Korea allows division of crypto in divorce settlements


South Korean law now allows spouses to claim cryptocurrency and Bitcoin holdings during divorce proceedings, recognizing them as marital assets.



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