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Solana price near key $75 support as RSI oversold signals potential bounce

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Solana price outlook
Solana price outlook
  • Solana (SOL) currently trades near $83 after a nearly 39% monthly drop.
  • Weekly and daily RSI signal the token is oversold, hinting at a possible short bounce.
  • The key support around $75 is critical to prevent further decline.

Solana (SOL) has been under intense pressure in recent weeks.

The altcoin currently trades around $83, down nearly 39% over the past month.

This decline comes amid broader weakness in the crypto market and low retail engagement.

Technical analysis shows that SOL’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is deeply oversold.

Some are suggesting that the token may have reached a “final dip,” referencing a long-term structural support around the $75 level, and eyes are now on whether this support can hold.

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Solana price technical analysis

From a technical standpoint, Solana’s trading volume remains high, with over $3.9 billion exchanging in the past 24 hours.

But despite this high activity, the token is trading well below key moving averages.

The 50-day and 200-day averages now act as the immediate resistance levels and remain out of reach for now.

Short-term momentum indicators, including the MACD histogram, have flattened, reflecting waning bearish momentum.

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In addition, on the daily and weekly charts, RSI remains near historic lows, indicating extreme oversold conditions.

Solana price chart
Solana price chart | Source: TradingView

This combination suggests potential for a short-term relief bounce, though trend reversal is not guaranteed.

Market sentiment shows a muted retail engagement

Retail interest in Solana remains muted, with recent reports showing low futures open interest, signalling that traders are reducing exposure.

Derivatives funding rates are also negative, suggesting bias toward short positions.

Solana ETFs have also recorded outflows, reinforcing weak institutional participation.

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Analysts note that these factors add to the bearish pressure on the token.

Still, technical indicators hint at a potential stabilisation near critical support zones, with the $75 level having been repeatedly cited as key support in recent forecasts.

Breaking below this threshold could open the door to further downside, possibly toward $67 or even $51 in extreme scenarios.

On the upside, recovery faces resistance around $111 and $138, which would need to be breached to shift the market sentiment positively.

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Long-term Solana market analysis

Long-term forecasts for Solana remain mixed.

Some analysts foresee recovery toward the mid-$100s if support holds and broader market conditions improve.

Bullish projections even extend toward $250, though these are contingent on sustained buying pressure and macro-level stability.

For now, the focus remains on short-term price stability.

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Investors and traders should keep a close eye on the $75 support, viewing it as a potential floor for consolidation.

SOL’s trajectory will likely depend on a combination of market sentiment, institutional flows, and technical momentum.

As it stands, Solana is navigating a critical juncture where its next move could define the tone for the coming months.

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Crypto World

$80M Hyperliquid Whale Bet Predicts Bitcoin Crash and Oil Rally

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$80M Hyperliquid Whale Bet Predicts Bitcoin Crash and Oil Rally

Key takeaways:

  • A Hyperliquid whale placed an $80 million bet against Bitcoin and the S&P 500 while going long on Brent crude oil prices.

  • The whale’s history of massive losses and inconsistent signals suggests the trade could fall on the wrong side of the market.

Bitcoin (BTC) showed strength on Wednesday, bouncing back from Tuesday’s $66,000 low after President Donald Trump teased a potential ceasefire in the US and Israel-Iran war. Even with Bitcoin trading above $68,000, one whale used Hyperliquid DEX to place an $80 million bet on a market collapse. 

Traders are now watching closely to see if this whale’s massive position signals a looming Bitcoin price drop.

Hyperliquid whale 0x94d373…c933814 position. Source: CoinGlass

The Hyperliquid whale, linked to address 0x94d373…c933814, carefully built this nearly $80 million leveraged position between Tuesday and Wednesday. The trade includes a $40 million short (sell) on Bitcoin futures near $68,760, a $2 million short on synthetic S&P 500 Index contracts, and a $37 million long (buy) in synthetic Brent oil contracts.

Crude Brent oil (left) vs. Bitcoin/USD (right). Source: TradingView

The whale’s aggregate position leverage stood at 7 times, indicating high conviction. The Bitcoin futures liquidation price was $80,083, while the Brent oil position would be forcefully terminated above $93. The timing of the trade is curious as S&P 500 Index futures gained 4% between Tuesday and Wednesday as traders anticipate the US and Israel-Iran war dissipating over the next few weeks.

On Wednesday, President Trump said “Iran’s New Regime President” is considering a “ceasefire,” although the conditions to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz remain unknown. Iran demands reparations and sovereignty. Thus, one could assume that the Hyperliquid whale is counter-trading the market’s optimistic take, betting that Brent crude oil prices will jump while Bitcoin loses its value.

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This Hyperliquid whale previously lost $40 million

This address belongs to a particularly unlucky whale, or at least one who has been extremely unsuccessful since late January. The Hyperliquid whale apparently uses bots for execution, given the sheer number of small trades that build into huge positions, but it still managed to lose $37 million in its first month of activity in December 2025.

The same user was flagged by X user ‘lookonchain’ on Feb. 5 after taking a massive loss on leveraged bullish bets on Ether (ETH), Bitcoin, Solana (SOL), and XRP (XRP). 

Source: X/lookonchain

According to the analysis, the whale had previously made $25 million in profits from shorts in multiple cryptocurrencies, but decided to flip the position on Feb. 4, resulting in a $40 million loss. There is no way to know exactly what triggered this entity to place those bets, but the event proves that even whales can misinterpret the market.

Related: Warren Buffett bought $17B in US T-bills: A bad omen for Bitcoin price?

The erratic signals from President Trump regarding a potential full-on invasion and the war in Iran leave room for opposing views. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi denied there were talks for a ceasefire but confirmed to Al Jazeera on Tuesday that there was an intention to end the war, according to CNBC.

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Given the history of this whale’s market positioning and its track record of losing trades, it’s possible that the current $80 million bet may fall on the wrong side of the market.