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MSTR stock eyes rebound, Strategy’s Michael Saylor: Bitcoin’s not for sale

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The MSTR stock price remains in a deep bear market amid the ongoing crypto winter.

Summary

  • The MSTR stock price could be on the verge of a strong bullish breakout.
  • Michael Saylor insisted that Strategy will not sell Bitcoin.
  • Instead, he believes that the company will keep buying Bitcoin forever.

Strategy was trading at $138 on February 10, down sharply from the all-time high of $542. Its market capitalization has slumped from a record high of over $133 billion to the current $39 billion.

Technical analysis: MSTR stock poised for rebound 

The weekly timeframe chart shows that the MSTR share price has remained in a bear market in the past few months as Bitcoin (BTC) has plunged from its all-time high of $126,300 to the current $69,000.

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There are signs that the stock is about to bottom. The most important sign is that the Relative Strength Index has plunged to 27, its lowest level since June 2022. 

Strategy, previously known as MicroStrategy, jumped by over 2,700% the last time the RSI moved to this level. It jumped from ~$20 to a record high of $542.

The spread of the two lines of the Percentage Price Oscillator has narrowed, a sign that a bullish crossover is possible. 

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At the same time, the stock has settled at the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level, a sign that a rebound may happen soon.

If this happens, the next key target to watch will be the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level at $216 followed by $232, its lowest level in March and April last year. 

mstr stock
MSTR stock price chart | Source: crypto.news

Saylor confirms Strategy will not sell Bitcoin 

Meanwhile, Saylor, the company’s founder and chairman, maintains his bullish outlook on Bitcoin, arguing that claims over whether the company would sell were unfounded and that he will continue buying.

Strategy bought 1,142 coins last week, bringing the total holdings to 714,644, which are now valued at over $49 billion. The company remains in the red, with an average cost per Bitcoin of $76,052.

Strategy’s balance sheet also has over $2.4 billion in cash, which is enough to cover dividends and debt maturities. He said:

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We have two-and-a-half years’ worth of dividends in cash, our net leverage ratio is investment grade. We will not be selling. Instead, I believe we will be buying Bitcoin every quarter forever.

Saylor believes that Bitcoin will eventually bounce back as it has done in the last crypto bear markets. He also expects the coin to outperform traditional assets such as gold and the stock market.

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Crypto World

Cardano price forecast: will ADA breakout or decline further from here?

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A Cardano (ADA) cryptocurrency token placed on a table with a blurred upward-trending market chart in the background.
A Cardano (ADA) cryptocurrency token placed on a table with a blurred upward-trending market chart in the background.
  • Cardano (ADA) may rebound if it breaks resistance near $0.31–$0.35.
  • Leios upgrade aims to boost Cardano’s speed, security, and decentralisation.
  • CME futures launch adds regulated institutional exposure to ADA.

Cardano (ADA) has struggled to regain momentum over the past year.

Currently, ADA is trading at $0.2635, with a slight 0.7% increase in the last 24 hours.

The 24-hour range spans from $0.2611 to $0.2723, reflecting modest intraday volatility.

Over the last seven days, ADA has lost about 11%, and its one-year performance remains down 62.4%.

Despite the persistent bear market, Cardano’s trading volumes over 24 hours remain significantly high at $407.8 million, indicating that the token continues to see active trading.

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Market catalysts and institutional support

Cardano’s broader market outlook is influenced by the upcoming layer-1 upgrade dubbed Ouroboros Leios.

The Ouroboros Leios upgrade, confirmed at a Tokyo community event on the Midnight Japan Tour by Input Output’s Michael Smolenski and Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson, is expected to improve scalability, security, and decentralisation.

Leios will introduce parallel block processing to increase transaction throughput dramatically.

If successful, this upgrade could address the blockchain trilemma and attract more developers and users to the network.

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On the institutional front, the CME Group recently launched ADA futures, including standard and micro contracts.

These futures provide regulated exposure to Cardano for professional traders and investors.

The addition of micro contracts lowers the entry barrier and may boost liquidity in the short to medium term.

Historical price data also provides context.

ADA’s all-time high was $3.09 in September 2021, while its all-time low of $0.01925 in March 2020 demonstrates the token’s extreme volatility.

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Despite its current decline, ADA has grown by over 1,200% from its lowest point, showing long-term resilience.

Cardano technical outlook

From a technical standpoint, ADA faces key resistance around $0.28 to $0.31, which could define the short-term trajectory.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 33, suggesting the token is approaching oversold conditions.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator also shows bearish momentum, although the potential for reversal exists if buyers step in.

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Cardano price analysis
Cardano price market | Source: TradingView

Bollinger Bands indicate that the price is near the lower range, hinting at some room for a bounce.

On the upside, a recovery above $0.31 could open the path toward $0.35, while a failure to hold support near $0.25–$0.26 may push ADA lower.

Analysts note that an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern may be forming, signalling a potential trend reversal.

They highlight that a breakout above $0.275–$0.28 could target $0.346, representing roughly a 30% upside from current levels if the selling pressure continues to ease and trading volume confirms the move.

Ultimately, ADA’s next move will depend on whether buyers gain confidence and push the token above resistance.

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UK Central Bank to Launch Onchain Settlement Infrastructure Pilot

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UAE, Singapore, China, Business, New York, Bank of England, United Kingdom, CBDC, Tokenization

The Bank of England has launched a new industry experimentation initiative to explore how tokenized assets could be settled using synchronized, atomic settlement in British pounds sterling as part of efforts to modernize the UK’s real-time gross settlement (RTGS) infrastructure.

The Synchronisation Lab initiative will allow 18 selected companies to test delivery-versus-payment and payment-versus-payment settlement between the BoE’s next-generation RTGS core ledger, known as RT2, and external distributed-ledger platforms, in a non-live environment without using real money, according to a bank statement.

The six-month pilot, scheduled to start in spring 2026, is intended to validate the central bank’s design choices for synchronized settlement, assess interoperability between central bank money and tokenized assets, and inform the development of a potential future live RTGS synchronization capability.

Originally announced in October, the initiative brings together 18 participants, including market infrastructure providers, banks, fintechs and decentralized-technology companies to test use cases spanning tokenized securities settlement, collateral optimisation, foreign exchange and digital-money issuance.

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UAE, Singapore, China, Business, New York, Bank of England, United Kingdom, CBDC, Tokenization
Source: Chainlink

Among the Web3 participants, Chainlink and UAC Labs will test decentralized approaches to coordinating synchronized settlement between central bank money and assets issued on distributed-ledger platforms. Companies such as Ctrl Alt and Monee will focus on delivery-versus-payment settlement for tokenized gilts and other securities.

Other participants, including Tokenovate and Atumly, will test conditional margin payment workflows and digital-money issuance and redemption flows designed to coordinate with RTGS settlement. The roster also includes Swift and LSEG.

The bank said the work of the lab initiative will be used to refine the design of its RTGS synchronization capability and support further development work, with participants expected to present their use cases and findings following the conclusion of the program.

Related: UK Lords launch stablecoin inquiry as Bank of England moves to finalize rules

Global central banks expand pilots

The Bank of England is just one of a roster of central banks exploring how tokenization, programmable settlement and digital currencies could reshape their core monetary and payment systems.

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In May, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the Bank for International Settlements published research from Project Pine examining how smart contracts could support monetary policy in tokenized financial systems, including a prototype toolkit for faster and more flexible central bank actions on programmable ledgers.

In October, the Monetary Authority of Singapore announced BLOOM, an initiative aimed at expanding settlement infrastructure to support transactions in tokenized bank liabilities and regulated stablecoins.