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Ford Motor (F) earnings Q4 2025

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Ford Motor (F) earnings Q4 2025

2026 Ford Mustang Dark Horse SC on display during the Media Preview of the 2026 Chicago Auto Show at McCormick Place on February 6, 2026, in Chicago, Illinois.

Jacek Boczarski | Anadolu | Getty Images

DETROIT – Ford Motor reported its largest quarterly earnings miss in four years in its fourth-quarter results released Tuesday, while guiding for 2026 to be a rebound year for the automaker.

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Ford’s 2026 guidance includes adjusted EBIT of between $8 billion and $10 billion, up from $6.8 billion last year; adjusted free cash flow of between $5 billion and $6 billion, up from $3.5 billion in 2025; and capital expenditures of $9.5 billion to $10.5 billion, up from $8.8 billion.

Here’s how the company performed in the fourth quarter compared with average estimates compiled by LSEG:

  • Earnings per share: 13 cents adjusted vs. 19 cents expected
  • Automotive revenue: $42.4 billion vs. $41.83 billion expected

The EPS coming in 32% below consensus was the company’s first quarterly miss since 2024 and its worst since a 42% difference when reporting its 2021 fourth-quarter results, according to LSEG.

The earnings miss was largely due to unexpected tariff costs of roughly $900 million related to credits for auto parts not taking effect as early as expected, the company said. Ford, as of Dec. 15, had confirmed $7.7 billion in earnings before interest and taxes for the fourth quarter, but the additional costs dropped that to $6.8 billion.

Ford CFO Sherry House said the lower-than-expected earnings were also related to additional impacts from fires at a Novelis aluminum supplier plant last year in New York, which now isn’t expected to be fully operational until the middle of this year. The plant supplies Ford’s lucrative F-Series pickup trucks.

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“We will see a billion-dollar benefit roughly in 2026; however, this year, due to the Novelis impact, we’re going to have tariffs increasing in order to secure aluminum that is roughly the same amount of that savings,” House told reporters.

Ford’s net tariff impact is expected to be roughly flat year-over-year at $2 billion in 2026, she said. The Novelis fire had an impact of $2 billion during the second half of the year for Ford, she added.

House and Ford CEO Jim Farley said the company’s 2025 results continue to demonstrate the company’s underlying business is improving despite the special items impacting results.

The company’s 2025 revenue was a record $187.3 billion, up 1% from $185 billion a year earlier. That includes $45.9 billion during the fourth quarter, down 5% from a year before.

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On a business unit level, the automaker’s traditional and fleet operations are expected to offset an expected $4 billion to $4.5 billion in losses this year for its “Model e” electric vehicle unit. Pre-tax earnings from its “Ford Pro” fleet business are expected to be between $6.5 billion to $7.5 billion, followed by $4 billion to $4.5 billion for its traditional “Blue” business.

On an unadjusted basis, the company’s net loss of $8.2 billion last year was its largest since the Great Recession in 2008, according to FactSet. That included $15.5 billion in special charges during the fourth quarter largely related to a pre-announced pullback in its all-electric vehicle plans.

Automakers commonly exclude “special items” or one-time charges from their adjusted financial results to provide investors with a clearer picture of their core, ongoing business operations.

Ford reported a fourth-quarter net loss of $11.1 billion, or a loss of $2.77 per share, compared with net income of $1.8 billion, or 45 cents per share, in the same period in 2024. Adjusted for the one-time charges, the company reported earnings of 13 cents per share.

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US stocks drift to a mixed finish as yields fall

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US stocks drift to a mixed finish as yields fall

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq has closed lower, while the Dow edged up to its third record close in a row, as investors digested disappointing retail sales figures and waited for ‌a key labour market report.

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Ex-WA chief scientist Peter Klinken says education system ‘under threat’

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Ex-WA chief scientist Peter Klinken says education system ‘under threat’

Former Western Australian chief scientist Peter Klinken has called for more progress in the education sector, calling it “under threat” and slow to adapt.

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A Conversation with Ihab Abou Letaif

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A Conversation with Ihab Abou Letaif

Ihab Abou Letaif is a business professional with experience in retail operations and consumer goods. His work focuses on how businesses operate day-to-day, especially in complex, high-pressure markets. He is known for a practical and disciplined approach to management.

His career has been shaped by hands-on roles in operations, finance, and business development. He has worked closely with store performance, inventory control, and supply chain coordination. This has given him a clear view of how small decisions affect margins, cash flow, and long-term stability.

Operating in Venezuela has required adaptability and strong financial discipline. Ihab has spent years working in environments marked by inflation, supply volatility, and shifting consumer behaviour. His experience in these conditions has strengthened his focus on efficiency, risk control, and realistic planning.

A large part of his work has involved building and managing teams. He believes that clear processes and shared responsibility are essential for scale. He places importance on training, accountability, and steady execution rather than rapid expansion.

Ihab’s leadership style is calm and analytical. He prioritises data, systems, and repeatable results. Instead of chasing trends, he focuses on fundamentals that support sustainable growth.

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His professional interests include retail economics, inventory management, and supply chain resilience in emerging markets. He continues to study how convenience and food retail are evolving across Latin America. Through this work, he is recognised as a knowledgeable operator with a grounded understanding of the retail industry.

Q: You grew up around business. How did that shape your early interest in retail and operations?

From a young age, I was exposed to how businesses actually run. Not just ideas, but responsibility. I saw how daily decisions affected staff, suppliers, and cash flow. That early exposure made me curious about operations. Retail stood out because results are immediate. You see what works and what does not very quickly.

Q: What did your education add to that early experience?

My education focused on business and management, but with a practical angle. It was less about theory and more about application. I learned how to read numbers, understand costs, and think in systems. That helped me later when I moved into operational roles, where decisions need to be fast and grounded in reality.

Q: How did your professional career begin?

I started working in retail and consumer goods in hands-on roles. Early on, I was involved in daily operations. Stock levels, supplier coordination, and staff scheduling. These roles are demanding, but they teach discipline. You learn quickly that small inefficiencies add up.

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Q: What lessons stood out during those early years?

Inventory control was a major one. Having too much stock ties up cash. Having too little loses sales. I remember dealing with supply delays and learning how to plan around uncertainty. That experience shaped how I think about risk and preparation.

Q: You have worked in Venezuela, a challenging environment for retail. How did that influence your approach?

Operating in a high-inflation environment requires precision. Cash flow management becomes central to survival. You cannot rely on assumptions. You need updated data and clear controls. It also teaches humility. External conditions matter, and flexibility is essential.

Q: How did those conditions affect your leadership style?

They pushed me towards clarity and calm. In volatile markets, panic spreads fast. I try to keep processes simple and communication clear. Teams perform better when they understand priorities. My focus has always been on execution rather than ambition.

Q: What role did team management play as your responsibilities grew?

As operations scaled, team structure became critical. Training people to understand why processes matter made a real difference. I learned that leadership is not about control, but alignment. When people understand the system, they make better decisions on their own.

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Q: Can you share an example of a practical challenge you faced?

One recurring issue was balancing supplier reliability with cost. Sometimes cheaper options caused delays or quality issues. Over time, I learned to value consistency. A stable supply chain reduces hidden costs and operational stress, especially in emerging markets.

Q: How do you view the convenience and food retail sector today?

It is becoming more disciplined. Margins are tight, so efficiency matters more than scale. Convenience stores in Latin America are growing, but success depends on understanding local demand and logistics. Copying models without adapting them rarely works.

Q: What topics continue to interest you professionally?

I focus on retail economics, inventory systems, and supply chain resilience. I also study how consumer behaviour changes under economic pressure. These factors shape long-term sustainability more than short-term trends.

Q: How do you define effective leadership in this industry?

Effective leadership is quiet and consistent. It is about building systems that work without constant intervention. Data, discipline, and trust matter more than visibility. Results should speak for themselves.

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Q: Looking back, what has been most important in your career journey?

Staying grounded. Retail teaches you that fundamentals matter. Cash flow, stock control, and people are always at the centre. No matter the market, those principles remain the same.

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Climate Funds Are Out of Favor. Not for These Investors.

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Climate Funds Are Out of Favor. Not for These Investors.

Climate Funds Are Out of Favor. Not for These Investors.

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Madison Moderate Allocation Fund Q4 2025 Investment Strategy Letter

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Madison Moderate Allocation Fund Q4 2025 Investment Strategy Letter

On the red surface there are money symbols, an arrow and a sign with the inscription -

Dzmitry Skazau/iStock via Getty Images

Market Recap

While the final quarter of 2025 resulted in a more modest, +2.7%, gain for the US stock market, as measured by the S&P 500 Index, the year’s +17.9% advance caps a historical 3+ year run that has seen the

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Smith Chad M. sells better home & finance (BETR) shares for $57526

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Smith Chad M. sells better home & finance (BETR) shares for $57526

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Why The ‘Fail Fast’ Mentality Is Actually Failing UK Small Businesses

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Many of the challenges faced by businesses today are complex, multifaceted and interconnected – requiring a combination of human ingenuity and technological capabilities to solve. 

For the better part of a decade, the Silicon Valley mantra of “move fast and break things” has permeated the global business consciousness.

It suggests that speed is the ultimate competitive advantage and that failure is merely a stepping stone to success. While this philosophy might work for venture-backed software unicorns with millions in runway, it is proving to be a dangerous, often fatal, strategy for the average UK small business owner. For the proprietor of a logistics firm in Leeds or a digital agency in Manchester, “breaking things” usually means breaking cash flow, damaging client relationships, and risking insolvency.

Examining Reliability Standards In Competitive Digital Markets

In the digital realm, the “fail fast” methodology is often conflated with releasing buggy software, but in saturated markets, reliability is the primary differentiator. Consumers have become intolerant of friction; if a digital service fails to load or process a transaction, the user moves to a competitor instantly. This is particularly true in high-stakes industries where user trust is paramount and the technical infrastructure must be bulletproof.

Consider the highly competitive sectors where platform stability is directly tied to revenue. For example, operators vying to be the best online casinos UK users can visit must prioritise flawless uptime and security over experimental features. In such a crowded marketplace, a platform that “breaks” during a peak usage time does not just lose a transaction; it loses the customer’s lifetime value to a more reliable competitor. This principle applies across the digital spectrum, from e-commerce checkouts to SaaS dashboards. The user experience must be boringly predictable to be effective.

The Hidden Dangers Of Rapid Iteration Strategies

The concept of rapid iteration encourages businesses to launch minimum viable products (MVPs) and fix issues on the fly. However, this approach often underestimates the reputational damage caused by delivering subpar experiences to early adopters. In tight-knit local economies or niche B2B sectors, word travels fast. A business that gains a reputation for being unreliable or unfinished rarely gets a second chance to make a first impression. When a small business “fails fast,” it often depletes its limited capital reserves before it can rectify the error, leading to premature closure rather than the promised enlightenment.

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Regional data highlights the stark reality of business fragility in the UK. The risks of instability are not distributed evenly across the country, with certain areas seeing alarming closure rates. Recent statistics reveal that 44.6% of new businesses incorporated in Hull since 2020 have closed, marking the highest new business closure rate in the UK for that period. This figure contrasts sharply with more affluent hubs, suggesting that in resource-constrained environments, the “fail fast” approach is simply a fast track to bankruptcy. Without the safety net of deep investor pockets, the cost of experimentation is often terminal.

Prioritising Operational Stability Over Constant Innovation

In the quest for the next big disruption, many founders neglect the operational bedrock that keeps a company alive. Innovation is expensive; stability pays the bills. The obsession with growth hacking often comes at the expense of establishing robust financial controls, supply chain resilience, and consistent customer service protocols. When the market turns volatile, it is the businesses with strong fundamentals, not the most innovative product roadmaps, that weather the storm.

The survival statistics for UK startups paint a sobering picture of the challenges facing new entrants. The drop-off rate after the initial excitement fades is precipitous. According to recent data, only 47% of start-ups registered in 2020 survived to 2023, and the long-term outlook is even starker with a 10-year survival rate of just 10%. These figures indicate that half of all new ventures do not have the operational stamina to last three years. This high attrition rate suggests that too many businesses are launching without a viable long-term model, perhaps encouraged by a culture that prioritises the “start” over the “sustain.”

Stability allows for compounding returns. A business that focuses on retaining existing customers through reliable service will eventually outperform a competitor that is constantly chasing new customer acquisition through flashy, untested initiatives. Operational stability also makes a business more attractive to lenders. In an era where access to finance is tightening, banks are looking for predictable cash flows and proven track records, not wild growth projections based on untested pivots.

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Building A Sustainable Culture Of Measured Growth

The current economic landscape demands a shift in mindset from hyper-growth to sustainable resilience. The post-pandemic era has seen a significant contraction in the overall business population, driven largely by the exit of those who could not adapt to rising costs and operational pressures. The UK small business population fell from 5.94 million in 2020 to 5.64 million in 2025, representing a net loss of 300,000 enterprises. This contraction signals a flight to safety, where only the most operationally sound businesses are managing to keep their doors open.

This trend towards consolidation and caution is also reflected in the rise of non-employing sole traders. Many entrepreneurs are choosing to remain small and agile rather than taking on the risk and overhead of hiring staff and expanding premises. This is a rejection of the “scale at all costs” mentality. By keeping overheads low and focusing on profitability from day one, these micro-businesses are insulating themselves against market shocks. Measured growth allows a business owner to retain control, maintain quality standards, and ensure that every expansion step is funded by actual revenue rather than speculative debt.

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Person Detained for Questioning Hours After FBI Release Photos of Masked Man

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Masked Man Outside Nancy Guthrie's Home
Masked Man Outside Nancy Guthrie's Home
FBI Director Kash Patel / X

A person has reportedly been detained for questioning over the disappearance of Nancy Guthrie, the mother of US “Today” show host Savannah Guthrie.

The 84-year-old was allegedly kidnapped on February 1 after she was last seen on January 31.

Person Detained for Questioning

According to USA Today, the person was detained south of Tucson, Arizona, which is where Guthrie’s home is located.

The Pima County Sheriff’s Department refused to share any information when approached for comment, per The Hollywood Reporter.

As of press time, no update on Nancy Guthrie’s whereabouts have been provided.

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FBI Releases Images, Footage of Masked Man

The new development comes just hours after the FBI released footage and images of a masked man outside Guthrie’s home.

The footage was recorded by her doorbell and security cameras.

“Working with our partners – as of this morning, law enforcement has uncovered these previously inaccessible new images showing an armed individual appearing to have tampered with the camera at Nancy Guthrie’s front door the morning of her disappearance,” FBI Director Kash Patel said in a statement posted on X.

Savannah Guthrie has also shared the images on her Instagram account, saying that “We believe she is still alive. Bring her home.”

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Charles Schwab co-chairman Bettinger sells $7.04m in shares

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Charles Schwab co-chairman Bettinger sells $7.04m in shares

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Thailand’s Manufacturing Sector Struggles with Underutilization as Chinese Competition Intensifies

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Thailand’s Manufacturing Sector Struggles with Underutilization as Chinese Competition Intensifies

Thailand’s once-robust manufacturing sector is facing a protracted slowdown, with factory capacity utilization hovering below 60 percent for the past two years, raising concerns about the country’s economic competitiveness and industrial policy effectiveness.

Key takeaways

  • Thailand’s manufacturing sector is operating at below 60% capacity for two consecutive years, with only one-third of industries recovering to pre-pandemic lockdown levels.
  • Ultra-low priced Chinese imports and the influx of Chinese FDI (21% of total by 2024) are displacing Thai manufacturers, particularly in rubber, plastics, and food production sectors.
  •  Stagnant credit access since 2022 is preventing Thai manufacturers from upgrading technology and innovating, trapping the economy in a low-growth equilibrium that requires long-term financial policy intervention.

The manufacturing sector, which accounts for 24 percent of Thailand’s GDP, 15.7 percent of total employment, and approximately 80 percent of exports, has been operating in the doldrums despite government stimulus measures, according to recent analysis by Professor Archanun Kohpaiboon of Thammasat University.

Pandemic Recovery Remains Elusive

Data from Thailand’s Office of Industrial Economics reveals a troubling trend: in the first ten months of 2025, only one-third of industries achieved capacity utilization rates exceeding levels seen during the strictest COVID-19 lockdown period of April-December 2021. The sectors showing resilience include beverages, leather footwear, processed foods, kitchenware, and vehicle engines.

“The low and declining capacity utilization found in many industries indicate that the demand for locally manufactured products is weak,” Kohpaiboon noted, adding that while export performance has remained stable with Thailand maintaining a 1.3-1.5 percent global market share, domestic-oriented manufacturers face particularly acute challenges.

The China Factor

Analysts point to three primary factors behind the manufacturing malaise, with Chinese economic influence looming large in each.

First, an influx of ultra-low priced Chinese imports appears to have undermined government demand-boosting initiatives. Between October 2020 and October 2023, Thailand implemented its “half-half” subsidy program five times, spending THB234.5 billion (approximately $6.5 billion) to stimulate consumer spending. However, experts suggest these programs may have inadvertently increased demand for cheap Chinese imports rather than domestically produced goods.

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Second, the surge in Chinese foreign direct investment has reshaped Thailand’s industrial landscape. By 2024, Chinese investors accounted for 21 percent of total FDI inflows. While this investment has brought capital, it has also led to displacement of Thai firms in key sectors.

Between January 2021 and October 2025, 3,796 Thai manufacturing firms deregistered while 650 new Chinese firms entered the market, particularly in rubber and plastics, food production, and fabricated metal products. Many of these Chinese-owned operations maintain limited supply chain linkages within Thailand, preferring to import inputs from China and thereby reducing demand for Thai-manufactured components.

Credit Crunch Compounds Problems

The third factor is a stagnation in credit extended to the manufacturing sector. After years of steady growth, lending to manufacturers has remained virtually flat from 2022 to 2025, constraining firms’ ability to upgrade technology, pursue innovation, or explore new market opportunities.

“Businesses experienced great financial strain during the pandemic and were not able to get adequate financial support,” Kohpaiboon observed, noting that government pandemic measures focused primarily on worker relief rather than keeping businesses operational.

Call for Strategic Intervention

To revitalize the sector, experts are calling for a fundamental shift in policy approach. Rather than short-term stimulus measures, Kohpaiboon argues the government needs a comprehensive strategy to improve firms’ access to long-term financial resources.

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“These activities will incur short-term investment costs and need to be carried out continuously,” he said. “They cannot be achieved by relying solely on short-term financing, such as commercial bank lending.”

The analysis warns that the current low-capacity utilization is trapping Thailand in a low-growth equilibrium, representing a critical gap in policymaking that demands urgent attention.

As Thailand navigates increasing regional competition and technological disruption, the health of its manufacturing sector will prove pivotal to the nation’s economic trajectory. With Chinese competition intensifying and domestic industrial capacity languishing, the pressure is mounting on Bangkok to craft more effective, long-term industrial policies.

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