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BTC, ETH, XRP, and SOL Holdings Revealed

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BTC, ETH, XRP, and SOL Holdings Revealed


The investment bank’s positions are through crypto ETFs, not direct token holdings.

The behemoth in investment banking published its Q4 2025 Form 13F disclosure, outlining its positions in four of the largest cryptocurrencies by market cap.

Given the recent price declines in the digital asset space, their USD value has declined, but the disclosure still shows an interesting pattern.

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Goldman’s Crypto Portfolio

The filing, which went viral on X yesterday, shows that Goldman has indirect exposure to approximately 13,740 BTC through the US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs. Since the filings reflect the value of the holdings at the end of the quarter, not the current value or the price paid upon purchase, there’s a significant discrepancy between what they are worth now and what they were reported to be then, due to the infamous crypto volatility.

At the end of Q4, the BTC position was valued at around $1.7 billion. Since then, the asset has declined by almost 50%, bringing these holdings’ current value to $920 million. Also, there’s a difference between Terrett’s post and today’s valuation as BTC tumbled once again this morning to under $67.000.

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Nevertheless, it’s worth noting that this doesn’t represent a realized loss. Moreover, the filings indicated that Goldman has not reduced its BTC position.

Additionally, the investment bank now has exposure to three of the largest altcoins, including XRP and SOL, whose ETFs tracking their performance launched in Q4 last year.

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Wall Street Warming Up to Crypto?

As mentioned above, the filing was quickly reposted yesterday on social media, and the crypto community embraced it as a definitive sign of Wall Street and institutions putting billions in the digital asset market.

The timing is also intriguing as the White House continues to work on a crypto bill, the CLARITY Act, which has faced some resistance from the banking industry. In fact, some commentators believe that Goldman’s filings being published now indicate the bank is “positioning” itself in a power move and should not be regarded as a simple transparency act.

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Crypto World

Volatility ahead of US jobs report

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Bitcoin price prediction ahead of U.S. jobs report: Volatility back in focus - 2

Bitcoin price is back on shaky ground ahead of Wednesday’s nonfarm payrolls release. The 8:30 a.m. ET data drop has traders on edge, as macro catalysts often trigger sudden volatility.

More than $250 million in leveraged trades were flushed out in just one day, hammering long positions the hardest. The move below short-term support blindsided bulls and reinforced how quickly this market can unravel.

Summary

  • Bitcoin is trading near $66,700, slipping below $67,000, and triggering over $250 million in leveraged liquidations, mostly affecting long positions.
  • Short-term momentum is bearish, with the $69,000–$71,000 range acting as key resistance and $72,000 needing a decisive breakout to shift momentum.
  • Failure to reclaim $69,000–$71,000 could push Bitcoin toward $64,000, with $60,000 as a critical psychological support where panic selling may intensify.

Current market scenario: Technical weakness builds

As of February 11, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near $66,700 after breaking below $67,000 and triggering another flush of liquidations.

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Bitcoin price prediction ahead of U.S. jobs report: Volatility back in focus - 2
BTC 1-day chart, February 2026 | Source: crypto.news

Traders see this as a break on the daily chart. The two-week support that had absorbed recent dips is gone, and momentum in the short term is clearly bearish.

Spikes in liquidations often reflect forced selling, not a steady trend. Still, the lack of a strong bounce is raising concerns about broader weakness.

All eyes are on Wednesday’s Nonfarm Payrolls report at 8:30 a.m. ET. Delayed by last month’s brief federal shutdown, the data is expected to move markets. Some Trump administration officials have suggested the numbers might come in weaker than expected, which could fuel rate-cut bets and support risk assets — though volatility is likely before any clear trend emerges.

Key levels to watch

From a technical view, the battle zone is clearly $69,000–$71,000. But even if Bitcoin rallies into that range, it’s resistance until proven otherwise.

A meaningful shift in momentum requires a decisive breakout above $72,000, confirmed by a strong daily close. Without it, any rally could quickly fizzle and remain part of the larger corrective move.

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Failing to reclaim $69,000–$71,000 within 24 hours could open the door toward $64,000. Beneath that, the psychological $60,000 level comes into focus — an area where panic selling has historically intensified.

It’s a narrow window with high stakes. Bulls need to act fast. Bears are waiting patiently.

BTC price prediction: What comes next?

Macro catalysts are steering short-term moves. Should the jobs report fall short of expectations and risk appetite improve, Bitcoin price could climb toward resistance. But without decisively reclaiming $72,000, any rally risks fading quickly.

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Should selling continue and a $64,000 break, the market could accelerate toward $60,000, where long-term buyers may step in. That zone may ultimately decide whether the broader uptrend holds.

The near-term Bitcoin price prediction leans toward continued volatility. The market is perched at a technical crossroads, and macro data may spark the next big move.

For now, the Bitcoin outlook is cautiously neutral-to-bearish, though a decisive breakout above $72,000 could swing sentiment sharply back toward the bulls.

Traders should prepare for rapid price action, as sharp moves could come in either direction.

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Why Bitcoin Is Reacting More to Liquidity Than to Interest Rate Cuts

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Why Bitcoin Is Reacting More to Liquidity Than to Interest Rate Cuts

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin now responds more to liquidity than to rate cuts. While rate cuts once drove crypto rallies, Bitcoin’s recent price action reflects actual cash availability and risk capital in the system, not just borrowing costs.

  • Interest rates and liquidity are not the same. Rates measure the price of money, while liquidity reflects the amount of money circulating. Bitcoin reacts more when liquidity tightens or loosens, even if rates move in the opposite direction.

  • When liquidity is abundant, leverage and risk-taking expand, pushing Bitcoin higher. When liquidity contracts, leverage can unwind quickly, which has often coincided with sharp sell-offs across stocks and commodities.

  • Balance sheets and cash flows matter more than policy headlines. The Fed’s balance sheet policy, Treasury cash management and money market tools directly shape liquidity and often influence Bitcoin more than small changes in policy rates.

For years, US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have been a key macro signal for Bitcoin (BTC) traders. Lower rates typically meant cheaper borrowing, boosted risk appetite and sparked rallies in crypto. However, that classic link between Fed rate cuts and Bitcoin trading has weakened in recent months. Bitcoin now responds more to actual liquidity levels in the financial system than to expectations or incremental changes in borrowing costs.

This article clarifies why anticipated rate cuts have not pushed up Bitcoin recently. It explains why episodes of liquidity constraint have triggered synchronized sell-offs across crypto, stocks and even precious metals.

Rates vs. liquidity: The key difference

Interest rates represent the cost of money, while liquidity reflects the quantity and flow of money available in the system. Markets sometimes confuse the two, but they can diverge sharply.

The Fed might lower rates, yet liquidity could still contract if reserves are drained elsewhere. For instance, liquidity can tighten through quantitative tightening or the US Department of the Treasury’s actions. Liquidity can also rise without rate cuts through other inflows or policy shifts.

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Bitcoin’s price action increasingly tracks this liquidity pulse more closely than incremental rate adjustments.

Did you know? Bitcoin often reacts to liquidity changes before traditional markets do, earning it a reputation among macro traders as a “canary asset” that signals tightening conditions ahead of broader equity sell-offs.

Why rate cuts no longer drive Bitcoin as strongly

Several factors have diminished the impact of rate cuts:

  • Heavy pre-pricing: Markets and futures often anticipate cuts well in advance, pricing them in long before they happen. By the time a cut occurs, asset prices may already reflect it.

  • Context matters: Cuts driven by economic stress or financial instability can coincide with de-risking. In such environments, investors tend to reduce exposure to volatile assets even if rates are falling.

  • Cuts do not guarantee liquidity: Ongoing balance sheet runoff, large Treasury issuance or reserve drains can keep the system constrained. Bitcoin, as a volatile asset, tends to react quickly to these pressures.

Bitcoin as a liquidity-sensitive, high-beta asset

Bitcoin’s buyers rely on leverage, available risk capital and overall market conditions. Liquidity influences these factors:

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  • In environments with abundant liquidity, leverage flows freely, volatility is more tolerated, and capital shifts toward riskier assets.

  • When liquidity is constrained, leverage unwinds, liquidations cascade, and risk appetite vanishes across markets.

This dynamic suggests Bitcoin behaves less like a policy rate trade and more like a real-time gauge of liquidity conditions. When cash becomes scarce, Bitcoin tends to fall in tandem with equities and commodities, regardless of the Fed funds rate.

What lies behind liquidity

To understand how Bitcoin reacts in various situations, it helps to look beyond rate decisions and into the financial plumbing:

  • Fed balance sheet: Quantitative tightening (QT) shrinks the Fed’s holdings and pulls reserves from banks. While markets can handle early QT, it eventually constrains risk-taking. Signals about potential balance sheet expansion can at times influence markets more than small changes in policy rates.

  • Treasury cash management: The US Treasury’s cash balance acts as a liquidity valve. When the Treasury rebuilds its cash balance, money moves out of the banking system. When it draws the balance down, liquidity is released.

  • Money market tools: Facilities like the overnight reverse repo (ON RRP) absorb or release cash. Shrinking buffers make markets more reactive to small liquidity shifts, and Bitcoin registers those changes rapidly.

Did you know? Some of Bitcoin’s sharpest intraday moves have occurred on days with no Fed announcements at all but coincided with large Treasury settlements that quietly drained cash from the banking system.

Why recent sell-offs felt macro, not crypto-specific

Lately, Bitcoin drawdowns have aligned with declines in equities and metals, pointing to broad liquidity stress rather than isolated crypto issues. This cross-asset synchronization underscores Bitcoin’s integration into the global liquidity framework.

  • Fed leadership and policy nuances: Shifts in expected Fed leadership, particularly views on balance sheet policy, add complexity. Skepticism toward aggressive expansion signals tighter liquidity ahead, which affects Bitcoin prices more intensely than small rate tweaks.

  • Liquidity surprises pack a bigger punch: Liquidity shifts are less predictable and transparent, and markets are not as adept at anticipating them. They quickly affect leverage and positioning. Rate changes, however, are widely debated and modeled. Unexpected liquidity drains can catch traders off guard, with Bitcoin’s volatility magnifying the effect.

How to think about Bitcoin’s macro sensitivity

Over long periods, interest rates shape valuations, discount rates and opportunity costs. In the current regime, however, liquidity sets the near-term boundaries for risk appetite. Bitcoin’s reaction becomes more volatile when liquidity shifts.

Key things to monitor include:

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  • Central bank balance sheet signals

  • Treasury cash flows and Treasury General Account (TGA) levels

  • Stress or easing signals in money markets.

Rate cut narratives can shape sentiment, but sustained buying depends on whether liquidity supports risk-taking.

The broader shift

Bitcoin was long seen as a hedge against currency debasement. Today, it is increasingly viewed as a real-time indicator of financial conditions. When liquidity expands, Bitcoin benefits; when liquidity tightens, Bitcoin tends to feel the pain early.

In recent periods, Bitcoin has responded more to liquidity conditions than to rate cut headlines. In the current phase of the Bitcoin cycle, many analysts are focusing less on rate direction and more on whether system liquidity is sufficient to support risk-taking.

Cointelegraph maintains full editorial independence. The selection, commissioning and publication of Features and Magazine content are not influenced by advertisers, partners or commercial relationships.

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Arkham Exchange Denies Shutdown Reports, CEO Says Shifting to DEX

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Arkham Exchange Denies Shutdown Reports, CEO Says Shifting to DEX

Arkham Exchange is not shutting down, despite reports to the contrary, and is instead redesigning itself as a decentralized trading platform, the company confirmed to Cointelegraph.

The crypto trading platform launched by data analytics firm Arkham Intelligence is shifting from a centralized model to a fully decentralized exchange (DEX), Arkham CEO Miguel Morel told Cointelegraph on Wednesday.

“The future of crypto trading is decentralized, and that’s what we’re building towards,” Morel said.

Launched in 2024, Arkham Exchange allows users to trade both spot crypto and perpetual contracts. The platform launched a mobile app in late 2025. At the time of writing, Arkham reports average daily trading of around $640,000, according to CoinGecko data.

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Centralized platforms have become “unresponsive” to user needs

Arkham’s shift to a DEX comes as debate intensifies over how centralized exchanges (CEXs) manage token listings, with decentralized rivals increasingly viewed as offering greater flexibility and openness.

“Centralized incumbents have become bloated and unresponsive to user needs, becoming worse than the traditional financial systems they pretend to improve on,” Morel noted, adding: “We don’t want to invest in that.”

Source: Binance co-founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao

The move also aligns with a broader industry trend, as DEX-to-CEX trading volume ratios reached new highs in 2025 after more than tripling since 2020, according to CoinGecko.

Perpetual DEXs in particular saw explosive growth. In 2025, perp DEX volumes almost tripled their volumes, from $4.1 trillion at the start of the year to as much as $12 trillion. The surge reflected a sharp spike in onchain derivatives usage, as perp DEXs absorbed a growing share of leveraged crypto trading activity.

Related: Ledger adds OKX DEX integration for on-device token swaps

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“Decentralized trading, especially for perpetuals, has exploded because it is a return to what made crypto so exciting in the first place,” Morel said, adding:

“It is cheaper, faster, and gives users custody of their own assets. We are excited about returning to the financial frontier and delivering the best trading experience for our users.”

Arkham did not immediately respond to Cointelegraph’s request for additional details on the timeline for its transition to a DEX. This article will be updated if and when further information becomes available.

Magazine: Bitcoin difficulty plunges, Buterin sells off Ethereum: Hodler’s Digest, Feb. 1 – 7