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How the English courts reached breaking point

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An illustration of a judge wearing a wig, black coat and holding a blue and red folder in one hand and a cup of takeaway coffee in the other

In court, it’s usually the defendants who apologise to the judges. But at Snaresbrook Crown Court in east London, the roles have been reversed. 

“I’m so sorry,” Judge Charles Falk tells a man charged with sexually assaulting a neighbour while they walked their dogs together. “I shouldn’t be having to say this, but that’s the position in the court at the moment.” The reason for Falk’s apology is time: the man’s trial will not begin until May 2026, two years after the alleged offence. This is despite the case being designated “high priority”. 

What about cases that are only “medium priority”? A luxury hotel worker walks to the dock, accused of grabbing another man’s buttocks in the toilets of a Canary Wharf shopping centre. It doesn’t seem the most complex matter to resolve, but after pleading not guilty, the defendant is told the earliest available trial date is November 2026. 

“I’m terribly sorry,” Falk says. “I recognise that your life is on hold.” The apology is incongruous, juxtaposed with stern warnings about sanctions for not turning up to trial. The alleged victim is not in court, but the judge asks the prosecution to provide him with all the support possible. 

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So these defendants and victims learn what barristers have said for years: the criminal justice system of England and Wales is blocked and probably broken. Public debate focuses on whether the police will catch criminals and whether the courts will sentence them correctly. But lawyers are increasingly concerned about the bit in the middle, the part of the process that rarely features in TV thrillers: the slow wait for court time. In early 2019, there were 33,000 cases outstanding in the Crown Courts. By the end of 2023, there were nearly 68,000 — a record. 

There are no up-to-date figures because embarrassingly the Ministry of Justice has discovered problems with its data. But almost no one thinks the audited numbers will be better. “We’re drowning in cases. It’s totally unmanageable,” says Max Hardy, a criminal barrister. “The government inherited a crisis in our criminal justice system,” says the Ministry of Justice. 

If justice delayed is justice denied, then English courts are regularly denying justice. And the worst effects may only be felt in the next few years — as prosecutions finally come to trial, only to fall apart because witnesses’ memories have corrupted with time. Barristers told me that defendants are less likely to plead guilty because they see the prospect of conviction as remote. Meanwhile, victims are deciding not to pursue complaints. 

Convincing a jury that a rape victim is telling the truth, and their attacker is lying, is hard enough. It becomes harder if, because of the passage of time, the victim seems less sure of the details. Delays are not just an inconvenience, says the charity Rape Crisis: for some victims and survivors of rape, “there are profound, life-changing consequences”, including the risk of suicide attempts.  

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An illustration of a judge wearing a wig, black coat and holding a blue and red folder in one hand and a cup of takeaway coffee in the other
© Ciaran Murphy

Justice sometimes seems swift: nearly 500 people involved in anti-immigrant riots in July and August have already been sentenced. But those cases were exceptional. The authorities wanted quick justice to help end the riots (it helped that many rioters pleaded guilty). Since 2019, the average time between a crime happening and the Crown Court case ending has gone from 16 months to 22 months

It’s not just the courts to blame. At Snaresbrook, a man appears in front of Judge Falk. He is accused of trying to rape a girl at her 15th birthday party, when he was 16. The alleged offence was in 2018. The girl went to the police in 2019. But this day — in September 2024 — is the first court hearing. 

Somewhere, between the police and the Crown Prosecution Service, the investigation has gone terribly wrong. “Why does a case of this nature take six years?” exclaims Falk. “What’s a jury going to make of something that’s so old?” 

The courts, like in the health service, are seeing a fundamental break with expected standards. Those involved want more funding. Without it, the choice seems to be between stagnation and a radical shake-up. 


Between 2009/10 and 2022/23, the justice budget for England and Wales fell 22 per cent per person in real terms, while overall government spending rose 10 per cent. David Cameron’s pledge to fix the roof while the sun was shining feels especially hollow in a dilapidated court with a leaking roof and no heating. But his calculation was political. Most voters wouldn’t go to a court. And they certainly wouldn’t set foot in Britain’s even more crumbling prisons, as rehabilitation became an ever more distant prospect.

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The Conservatives’ calculation was also technical. As violent crime dropped in the 2010s, in Britain, as across many western countries, there seemed to be less need for criminal courts. The government cut barristers’ fees and sold off court buildings: 43 per cent of courts were closed after 2010. (One of these, Blackfriars Crown Court, was later used to film courtroom scenes for Netflix drama Top Boy.) But the number of cases awaiting trial still fell. 

An illustration of a judge’s wig on top of an open book
© Ciaran Murphy

Before the pandemic, the then Lord Chief Justice Lord Burnett warned that things had gone too far. Ministers disagreed. In early 2019, the backlog started to rise, as Burnett predicted. Then Covid hit, the courts were closed, and the backlog jumped (even though crime also fell during the pandemic). A strike by barristers over pay worsened the situation. 

No one had planned for the pandemic. But ministers also hadn’t planned for the rise in prosecutions of sexual offences, linked to societal outrage at low conviction rates. Such cases strain the courts: they tend to be complex and defendants tend not to plead guilty. For all criminal cases, the percentage of guilty pleas is about 66 per cent. For sexual offences, it’s 39 per cent. For adult rape cases, it’s just 15 per cent. Between 2019 and 2023, the number of adult rape cases awaiting trial trebled to 2,786.

Ministers also failed to plan for prison overcrowding: this year, some prisons such as Wandsworth had 50 per cent more prisoners than they could decently accommodate. The crises in the courts and the prisons are interlinked. An increasing part of the swelling prison population is made up of people awaiting trial. (By law, defendants should be in custody for a maximum of six months before trial; these limits are now routinely extended.)

In 2022, to reduce the backlog, the Ministry of Justice made more cases triable by magistrates — allowing them to sentence people for offences worth up to 12 months in prison, instead of the usual six. In 2023, it suspended the measure because there weren’t enough prison cells for the resulting prisoners. Even so, Labour is expected to revive that measure: the ministry’s models suggest that the prison population will go up slightly, but the new prisoners can be dispersed around the country, in a way that prisoners awaiting trial cannot be.  

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Overwhelmed prisons are also a major source of court delays: they fail to produce prisoners for hearings. At Snaresbrook, I saw the court wait in vain for a prisoner to appear via video from Manchester. “It’s just ringing through. They’re not answering,” said the court clerk, phone in hand. The judge sighed: “It’s a comfort to know that it’s not just Pentonville and Thameside that have problems connecting.” Eventually the hearing was abandoned. “There’s nothing I can do without your client. You can hardly plead guilty on his behalf,” the judge told the defence barrister. 

An illustration of a stack of papers tied in red twine, with a takeaway cup of coffee
© Statistics from the National Audit Office, Ministry of Justice , Rape Crisis England and Wales

262

Days that the Crown Court took to complete a case on average in late 2023, up from 145 days in late 2019

32%

Proportion of outstanding cases that were for sexual offences, as of late 2023

68,000

Cases outstanding in the Crown Courts in late 2023, up from 33,000 cases in early 2019

Judges regularly fume at Serco, the company that is paid £80mn a year to transport prisoners in southern England to court and accompany them in the dock, but that often seems unable to do so. Officially prisoner escort companies meet their contractual obligations 99.93 per cent of the time. Serco and the Ministry of Justice both declined to explain how this is calculated.

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I was told a variety of reasons why prisoners don’t turn up, including: Serco lacks enough drivers qualified for 12-seater vans, so has to use small vans that are less efficient; prisoners refuse to come and inexperienced prison officers don’t know how to cajole them; prison staff aren’t sure where a prisoner is in the jail; and prison overcrowding means prisoners are now scattered in different jails. Serco says it is working “under very challenging conditions”, and is trying to recruit more staff.

One in four trials now doesn’t go ahead as scheduled. A growing reason is a lack of lawyers. In 2019, only 71 trials were cancelled on the day they were due to begin because a barrister wasn’t available for one side. Last year, the figure had risen 20-fold — to 1,436. 

Why aren’t there enough barristers? Crime has long been the worst paid field for advocates. Experienced junior barristers are paid £713 a day for prosecuting a murder (this also covers costs and rent). They earn more doing family cases. If they work on one of the many public inquiries, they can earn £120 an hour. So they switch. Those remaining criminal juniors try to do as many cases as possible: “churn and earn”. 


As lawyers are overstretched, quality drops. “People are turning up for hearings constantly and nothing has been done,” one young barrister told me. Psychiatric reports haven’t been requested, witnesses’ telephone data hasn’t been processed, and so on. That is partly due to cuts to the Crown Prosecution Service and legal aid solicitors. The number of criminal law duty solicitors has fallen by a quarter since 2018. In a recent case, a man accused of raping a woman walking home from a bus stop was allowed out on bail for a year because the CPS had made so many errors in prosecuting; he was later convicted.

In the courts, as elsewhere, cutting budgets can be expensive. The Ministry of Justice now accepts that cuts to legal aid ended up costing the taxpayer because of the wasted time produced by defendants not having early legal advice. Faced with a lack of court space after Covid, the government set up temporary Nightingale courts. To run a normal courtroom costs, on average, £280,000 a year. To run a Nightingale court costs between £440,000 and £1.6mn a year; 18 are still going. 

Under Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak, the government did pump extra money into the courts, but it has not been enough. “In cabinet, I found myself having to remind colleagues that England and Wales has the second-largest legal sector in the world. It came as a surprise to people who were otherwise very well informed,” says Alex Chalk, justice secretary under Sunak.   

Frustrated criminal barristers argue that the fame of England’s criminal courts underpins the thriving commercial legal industry. One told me that big commercial law firms should be taxed to pay for improvements to criminal courts. 

In a significant way, courts today are different and probably much better: video links, which did not exist before Covid, are now commonplace. Thanks to technology, barristers can hop between different Crown Courts in a single morning, and prisoners don’t have to be taken by secure vehicle at a cost of hundreds of pounds. But these efficiencies have not saved the system.

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What more could be done? Before he stepped down as lord chief justice last year, Lord Burnett pushed for something more radical — removing the right for defendants to have a jury trial for some offences. Currently, there are some offences, such as speeding, that can only be tried by magistrates, and some, such as murder, that can only be tried by Crown Court judges with juries. There are also some, such as minor theft and drug offences, for which the defendant has the right to choose; most of the time, they choose a jury, because juries are much more likely to let them off. (Assault is an offence dealt with by magistrates, but in 2018 parliament made it a specific offence to assault an emergency worker — one for which the defendant can choose a jury. This now makes up a substantial number of Crown Court cases.)

Jury trials are notoriously inefficient. Shuffling 12 people around the building, explaining the basics of the law to them, accommodating their personal commitments — this all adds time. Trying a case in front of a judge and two magistrates might take, say, half as long. “You’d rattle through cases much more quickly,” says Chalk. Everyone should be entitled to a jury the first time they are accused of dishonesty, “but maybe not the second or third or fourth”. (Rape Crisis, the charity, would go further: it wants judge-only trials for rape cases.)

A similar idea was put forward under New Labour, but failed amid an uproar about the sacredness of jury trial. “Trial by jury is a bit of a red line. Just because they’ve run the system into the ground doesn’t seem like a very good reason [to cross it],” says Will Paynter of 15NBS Chambers. Like most criminal barristers I spoke to, he wanted more resources: more courts, open for more days, and more funding for barristers and solicitors to do the work.

The Bar Council, which represents barristers, has called for fees to rise 15 per cent and for the government to match-fund 100 extra criminal pupillages a year. Fixing the courts would cost maybe £2bn a year — maybe not “huge sums compared to other public services”, says its chair Sam Townend. Townend adds that barristers’ mood is “expectant and cautiously hopeful. We have a prime minister and an attorney-general who have been practising barristers.”

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Sir Keir Starmer is said to take a close interest in courts policy. But neither he nor justice secretary Shabana Mahmood mentioned the backlog in their speeches to Labour conference. The mess in prisons has taken priority. Labour’s pledge of specialised “rape courts” has remained sketchy. 

As with other public services, much hinges on this month’s Budget. A key metric for lawyers is sitting days — one sitting day is one courtroom functioning for one day. The Conservative government had agreed 106,000 sitting days this year. To bring down the backlog, judges pushed for the courts to run at full capacity: 6,000 more days, with inevitable extra costs. Mahmood agreed only to an extra 500. In response, the senior presiding judge warned two weeks ago that “a very large number of trials and other hearings that are scheduled to be heard will now have to be rescheduled”.

Meanwhile, at Snaresbrook when I visited, three courtrooms were sitting unused, and Judge Falk would book in a serial offender on drugs charges for a trial — in January 2027. 

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Henry Mance is the FT’s chief features writer

What should it take to convict a criminal?

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Staged images taken from a doorbell camera (not the author’s) by the FT

The eviction of an intruder from Janine Gibson’s home was just the start of a long legal battle. Read

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Collectors Jean-Philippe and Françoise Billarant have maxed out on Minimalism

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Photograph of an unusually shaped, white-walled modernist building, with two sets of doors open at the front, under a flat shelter, and a quote above the doors reading “Two stones tossed into the wind (causing sparks)”

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“This is our happiness, our joy!” exclaims Françoise Billarant, when I ask her if running a private museum with her husband Jean-Philippe is very demanding.

The couple are in their early eighties, and for almost half a century they have focused exclusively on collecting Minimalist, conceptual and contemporary art. In 2011 they opened Le Silo, a private art space in a former grain storage in a small town 45km north-west of Paris, to show their extensive collection.

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The Billarants’ money comes from the family company Aplix, a maker of hook-and-loop fasteners with 880 global employees and a turnover of a little under €200mn. Today, their daughter Sandrine is chief executive, the third generation in the business.

Photograph of an unusually shaped, white-walled modernist building, with two sets of doors open at the front, under a flat shelter, and a quote above the doors reading “Two stones tossed into the wind (causing sparks)”
Outdoor view of Le Silo, near the small town of Marines, around 45km north-west of Paris © André Morin.

Neither Françoise nor Jean-Philippe’s families were art collectors, they tell me as we drive back from Le Silo. The couple started buying art in the mid-1970s, traditional paintings at the Parisian saleroom Drouot, “just to put something on our walls”, says Jean-Philippe. Their initial enthusiasm for this older art soon waned. He explains: “I thought there must be contemporary artists who will be as significant one day as the Old Masters are now — with the advantage that we can get to know them.” A first foray into contemporary art, the purchase of two pretty pastoral scenes from a Right Bank gallery, ended with them taking them back to the dealer: “They were very pretty — too pretty,” Jean-Philippe laughs.

A turning point was a dinner with the curator Suzanne Pagé, at the time with the Musée d’Art Moderne de la Ville de Paris, and a later meeting with Serge Lemoine, former president of the Musée d’Orsay and a specialist in geometric abstraction. “Gradually, we moved towards conceptual and minimal art. We really taught ourselves. And we bought with our eyes, not our ears,” Françoise says. Jean-Philippe interjects: “Initially we didn’t buy with the idea of forming a collection, it was our way of supporting the artists. But we couldn’t leave the works in crates, so to give them life, we had to put them on display.”

Photograph of a white-walled art gallery containing geometrically shaped sculptures and wall art, and flashes of colour on the walls
Inside Le Silo, the Bilarants’ private collection of modernist and contemporary art © André Morin.

For 30 years they were thinking of showing the collection, but when they had the “time and money” it only took a year to find Le Silo. About 100-120 works are displayed at a time in the building, and every two years the exhibition is changed; Jean-Philippe curates each show. “We have held seven to date, but we still haven’t been able to show everything,” says Françoise. Their Parisian home also shows Minimalist art, “but on a smaller scale”, she says.

Le Silo is open by appointment only; during Art Basel Paris the Billarants are expecting dozens of visitors, whom they take round themselves, communicating their enthusiasm for each piece. The sizeable collection, which numbers just under 1,000 works, is very much a mutual passion, and both know it intimately. There seems to be a great affinity between them, and they correct each other good-naturedly if the other hesitates over, say, a date.

Glass shelves against a mirrored alcove with white walls, displaying what looks like old African art sculptures
A collection of African art on display at Francose and Jean-Philippe Billarants’ Paris home © Photographed by Aliocha Boi for the FT
Black desk, slightly worn on the angles, housing a phone , a lamp and a framed photo, by the window of a Paris apartment
An elegant vintage desk in the Billarants’ Paris home © Photographed by Aliocha Boi for the FT

“We know, or knew, almost all the artists we collect — they became friends,” says Jean-Philippe. The collection starts in the 1960s and comprises pieces by the great names of Minimalism — a copper floor piece by Carl Andre (“Mons Veneris”, 1975), two metal boxes by Donald Judd (1969), a wall drawing by Sol LeWitt, a neon by Dan Flavin, as well as newer names — French artists François Morellet, Daniel Buren and the Scottish artist Charles Sandison, with wall pieces made of metal plaques. Also in the collection is “Proposition” (2002), a white-and-black work by the Brazilian couple Angela Detanico and Rafael Lain, who are among the contenders for the Prix Marcel Duchamp (the French equivalent of the UK’s Turner Prize) this year. 

These and many more are displayed in the buff-coloured building, which dates from 1962 and was converted by the architect Dominique Perrault. A Lawrence Weiner text stands above the two doors — “Two Stones Tossed into the Wind (Causing Sparks)” (1988) — which open into a light-filled, airy space with the works carefully spaced out. Propped against one wall are two rusted metal squares by Richard Serra (“Basic Source”, 1987). “They weigh 1.7 tonnes . . . so they are never moved,” says Jean-Philippe.

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An older couple, both with white hair, in front of a wooden-looking sculptural work comprising three rectangular structures
Françoise and Jean-Philippe in front of one the minimalist sculptures at their Paris apartment © Photographed by Aliocha Boi for the FT

Delicately, I ask what the future of Le Silo is. “We have a project which will enable it to remain after we have gone,” says Jean-Philippe. “I can’t tell you more, but there will be an announcement within the year.” I try to guess: a deal with the French state? Tantalisingly, they remain tight-lipped.

As our visit comes to an end, Françoise says, “Time is essential, to build a collection like this.” And we can only hope that it will last into the future, well beyond their own lifetimes.

Le Silo: route de Breancon, 95640 Marines. +331 4321 3816, by appointment only

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Aldi’s Specialbuy cosy winter gadgets to stay warm without touching the thermostat to hit shelves in DAYS

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Aldi's Specialbuy cosy winter gadgets to stay warm without touching the thermostat to hit shelves in DAYS

AS the temperature cools down the deals heat up with Aldi’s cosy winter gadgets set to hit the shelves in days.

The Ambiano Heated Throw is heading to be one of the famed Aldi specialbuys on Thursday 17 October for just £29.99.

The much anticipated Aldi winter gadget offers are coming back this week

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The much anticipated Aldi winter gadget offers are coming back this weekCredit: Getty
The Ambiano Heated Throw will stop you touching the heating as the winter nights draw in

2

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The Ambiano Heated Throw will stop you touching the heating as the winter nights draw inCredit: ALDI

With heating costs being a hot topic of conversation this year, these blankets could be a solution to keeping those bills down.

Many homes are set to be subjected a detrimental change in their energy bill as the cold snap approaches, with some set to rise by £149 each year.

Preparing yourself for the chill can be one way to save money this season.

Running at a remarkable cost of 4p an hour, this electric blanket may be the key to keeping cool about energy bills this Christmas.

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The electric blanket comes in snowy white, cool grey, and toasty charcoal and is even machine washable.

Despite being 160 watts and providing 230 volts of warmth, the cosy throw has a detachable lead that allows it to be popped in the wash with your other winter warmers.

The nine adjustable temperature levels allow you to tailor your blanket to your taste – providing the perfect measure of comfort for you.

To warm up your bed before getting cosy for the frosty nights to come, Aldi recommends using a higher setting to preheat your bed.

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This can create the ultimate comfort for when you’re ready to drift off.

When using it as a throw blanket its recommended to use it at a lower heat.

How does it compare

A quick Google brings up a range of heated blankets that can go from £84.99 at Lakeland to £150 at The White Company.

Not all heated throws will break the bank though with Asda offering an electric teddy fleece for £30.00.

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Argos is also selling a heated blanket in the £35 range.

If you’re looking to cut costs as much as possible, Amazon offers a variety of heated blankets with one going at a spectacular £18.99.

However this doesn’t come with Ambiano Heated Throw’s nine settings.

How much does it cost to run a heated throw?

Aldi claims it costs an extraordinary 4p an hour to run the Ambiano Heated Throw.

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If you want get your bed toasty for a couple hours a night, this would tot up to 56p a week.

For a whole year of using the blankets for two hours you would be spending under £30 in total.

How to save money at Aldi

Aldi doesn’t have a membership program or a point system which offer deals on specific items.

However they offer the Aldi specialbuys in which there are a range of new deals that drop each week, with the winter gadget speical buys coming in on 17 October.

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These deals are specific to Aldi can can be found on their website and in-store as well.

On Sunday 13 October there are a collection of laundry and cleaning deals set to hit the shelves.

Aldi wine dupes

WHY fork out for an expensive bottle of wine when you can virtually get the same taste, but for less?

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Whispering Angel, £17 

Aldi dupe: Chassaux Et Fils Atlantique Rosé, £4.99. Or Aldi’s Sainte Victoire Provence Rosé, £12.49.

Cali Red by Snoop Dogg, £12/£13 

Aldi dupe: The Reprobates Californian Red, £9.99. 

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Dark Horse Merlot, £10 

Aldi dupe: Beachfront Malbec, £6.99

Laurent Perrier Rose champagne, £80 

Aldi dupe: Crémant Du Jura, £8.99

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Aperol Spritz, £17 

Aldi dupe: Aperini Aperitif, £6.99 

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Art Basel Paris heads to the Grand Palais

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Interior of a large French beaux arts building, with high arches made from green-painted metal, lined with glass, like the old Crystal Palace or Kew Gardens,  and bathed in natural light

Just a couple of months after Olympic fencers duelled in the newly renovated Grand Palais, Art Basel Paris opens its first fair there on Wednesday. “We’ve been in a transitional place [the Grand Palais Éphémère] for the past two years, building up to this truly inaugural edition in the most beautiful venue in the world: a place of history, a place of patrimony,” says Clément Delépine, director of Art Basel Paris.

Many of its 195 exhibitors hope that the splendour can help assuage growing art market jitters around the world. Art Basel’s commitment to Paris stands as a symbol of the capital’s art-market kudos since Brexit made trading trickier in London, previously Europe’s long-acknowledged art-market centre. Although Paris still doesn’t boast as high a turnover of art — the latest UBS & Art Basel report puts 2023 sales at $4.6bn compared to $10.9bn in the UK — its trajectory since is on the up, as London’s falls. A separate report, by ArtTactic, found that auction sales in the first half of 2024 were up 12 per cent in Paris compared to the same period last year, while in London they fell by 29 per cent (and 27 per cent globally).

Interior of a large French beaux arts building, with high arches made from green-painted metal, lined with glass, like the old Crystal Palace or Kew Gardens,  and bathed in natural light
“A magical place with gorgeous light’: The Grand Palais, built for the 1900 Paris Exposition, closed for renovation in 2021 and was reopened earlier in 2024 to host fencing and taekwondo at the Paris Olympics © AFP/Getty Images

At the same time, the mood is not as high as it has been. A snap election called by President Macron just before the Games created a sense of national uncertainty that to some extent remains. In the event, the election results caused less upheaval than some had feared. Delépine suggests that the climate is “shockingly positive”, adding that “an agitated political rentrée [after the summer] is not a new phenomenon” in France.

Ahead of Art Basel Paris, Anne-Claudie Coric, executive director of Paris’s Galerie Templon, remains optimistic. She describes the Grand Palais backdrop as “a magical place with gorgeous light”. Her gallery is presenting a mixed booth including work by French artists Abdelkader Benchamma, Philippe Cognée and François Rouan, as well as the American Jim Dine, who lives some of the time in Paris (prices €30,000-€400,000).

Abstract painting made from different coloured inks  -- mainly white but also red, orange and yellow -- splashed onto a canvas with a dark background
‘Engramme: Souterrain’ (2023) by Abdelkader Benchamma © Photo © Charles Roussel. Courtesy the artists and Templon, Paris-Brussels- New York

The wider art-market backdrop is not doing anyone any favours, in a year of depleted auction results and slower trade at most fairs so far. Anika Guntrum, the Paris-based managing director for Europe at the art advisory firm Gurr Johns, believes this could play to the strengths of the country’s collecting psyche. “The market here is still very traditional, in the positive sense of the word,” she says. “It is more about preserving and respecting art [versus investing]. We don’t hit the same highs, but also don’t hit the same lows.” Gurr Johns officially opens its Paris offices this week, for which Guntrum has organised a show of Cubist art in its gallery space (opening October 14).

Collecting art, Guntrum continues, “runs deep here; many [younger] collectors grew up with pictures in their parents’ and grandparents’ homes”. As such, Art Basel Paris comes in at the more serious end of the spectrum when it comes to the art on offer. This year a new section called Premise brings together nine galleries, some showing art made before 1900, with an emphasis on overlooked artists. This will include a booth of work by the Moroccan painter Mohamed Melehi (Loft Art Gallery, €18,000-€380,000) and a double-header pairing of the Brazilian artist Chico Tabibuia with Japanese-Brazilian artist Tomie Ohtake, whose work is also currently in the Venice Biennale (Nara Roesler, $25,000-$470,000). “Premise distinguishes us from the other [Art Basel] fairs and is a window for stories that haven’t been heard before,” Delépine says.

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Surreal painting of a well-manicured country landscape, with two horse-like animals, out of scale, tethered to a tree, and a woman draped in what looks like a white-and-black cow skin wearing a hat shaped like a lampshade
‘Green Tea’ (1942) by Leonara Carrington © Digital image, The Museum of Modern Art, New York/Scala, Florence © Adagp

Weighty shows at Paris’s prestigious museums infuse the fair too. The Pompidou’s exhibition celebrating a century of Surrealism, for example, resonates in the booth of Paris-born Emmanuel Di Donna, who has operated a gallery in New York since 2010 and is one of 53 galleries new to the fair this year. From his stock of Surrealist works, he brings paintings by Yves Tanguy, Wifredo Lam, Agustín Cárdenas and Alicia Penalba (prices from about €40,000 for Penalba to over €4mn for Lam). These include Tanguy’s relatively early “Le Bateau” (1925-6), with stylised steam emerging from the boat’s three flattened funnels.

Di Donna is limiting his art-fair showings to just three this year. “The material I handle is at the top end of the secondary market, so I don’t want to spread myself too thin,” he says. Excitement around the grand venue played into his thinking, while Paris is pertinent to the artists on his booth, because “it was their passage through [the city] that forms their language”. Of the wider market mood, he acknowledges some “decision paralysis” on the part of collectors, but says “there is still a lot of money waiting on the sidelines”.

Tall, thin wooden sculpture drawing from African art techniques
‘Figure’ (1955) by Agustín Cárdenas © Courtesy of Di Donna Galleries, New York

Tornabuoni Art also leans into the city’s institutional exhibitions. As well as Surrealist work, its Arte Povera offerings include an enamel canvas by Pino Pascali and a large “Mappa” (1989-91) tapestry by Alighiero Boetti (prices from €60,000 to more than €10mn), chiming with the show dedicated to the 1960s and 1970s Italian art movement at the Pinault Collection’s Bourse de Commerce. At Hauser & Wirth, meanwhile, a two-metre high, 2021 bronze by Barbara Chase-Riboud ($1.9mn), coincides with a remarkable collaboration between eight of the city’s major museums to show her work, including under the pyramid of the Louvre museum.

It’s not all heavyweight, however. There’s the second iteration of the Art Basel shop, with its pricey souvenirs, artist editions and the first Art Basel scent, created with Guerlain, and with packaging by the Parisian painter Julie Beaufils. The perfumer has a separate stand in the fair to highlight its collaboration with the Korean artist Lee Ufan, while other luxury brands abound in and around the fair. Louis Vuitton once again hosts its Frank Gehry-designed, art-filled lounge, while new public programme sponsor Miu Miu brings a project by Goshka Macuga to the Palais d’Iéna.

Garish pop art piece featuring four shooting-range torsos, two of which have illustrations of King Kong carrying a woman on the target, one of which has a speech bubble coming out of its mouth which reads “$35”
‘Senza Titolo (King Kong)’ (1964) by Pino Pascali © Courtesy Tornabuoni Art

The fair has also jazzed up its display with an initiative called Oh La La! “We’re not afraid to be cheeky,” says Delépine of the scheme, which sees 33 galleries on the Friday and Saturday replace some of the art on their booths with quirky, talking-point works “about warm feelings — love, sentiment and the erotic”. The plan could avoid the stasis of an event that opens to VIPs two days before the public. Is it a case of getting the crowd to come back to the fair a second time in one week? “I want people to come 20 times,” he says. With all that the city has to offer, it’s quite an ask, though in Art Basel’s much-anticipated new Paris home, they just might.

October 18–20, artbasel.com

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Will Super Micro Computer’s Stock Split Help Rally Its Shares?

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Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) split its shares this month and now they are trading at one-tenth of what they were before the split. For investors, that means a lower share price, and perhaps the ability to own more full shares. Stock splits can sometimes have positive effects on the share price even though they don’t fundamentally change anything about a company’s prospects or improve its earnings numbers.

With shares of Super Micro Computer, also known as just Supermicro, down more than 50% in just the past six months, could the recent split provide the stock a boost, and potentially help stop its tailspin?

Why a stock split may not help Supermicro

A stock split doesn’t solve any problems for a business. Regardless of whether Supermicro stock is trading at $450 or $45, investors can buy fractional shares if they want to invest in it but don’t have the funds necessary to acquire entire shares of the company. And that’s why stock splits normally shouldn’t lead to a rally in the share price; they don’t change valuation multiples to make the stock a better buy.

Some investors may believe that because a stock is priced lower, it’s cheaper and a better buy, but that is a mistake. When talking about valuation, you should always look at per-share earnings and revenue multiples, which take into context the share price. And stock splits don’t change those multiples.

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Stock splits can become positive catalysts if a stock rises significantly in value and then a company opts to do a split. In Supermicro’s case, however, the stock has been crashing of late, and its stock split comes at a time when there’s a lot of negativity and bearishness around the business, which is why a split may not have a positive effect on its share price.

Supermicro’s problems have nothing to do with its share price

For Supermicro, there are much larger concerns for investors than its share price being too high. The company’s margins have been under pressure and the Department of Justice (DOJ) is reportedly looking into the company after a short report in August alleged the company was involved in questionable accounting practices. Management has denied any wrongdoing and the DOJ investigation may not necessarily lead to anything substantive and consequential for the business and its investors.

The bigger issue, however, is that the company’s earnings may not grow at a high rate if Supermicro’s margins don’t improve. In its most recent earnings report, for the quarter ended June 30, the company’s gross margin was just 11%, down from an already fairly low rate of 17% a year ago. Low margins can negate much of the benefit the tech company will get from generating strong server sales and growing its operations, and that’s the biggest reason I’d be concerned about the stock right now.

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Is Supermicro stock a buy?

I don’t believe a stock split is going to save Supermicro stock nor do I think the DOJ probe is going to cripple it. Short reports are often biased and meritless and while they can temporarily send a stock lower, they rarely uncover disastrous findings auditors, analysts, and investors have all missed.

The company can put a lot of concerns to rest by simply posting strong earnings numbers and showing that it can grow both its top and bottom lines at high rates. But it still has to prove that it can do that.

Unless you’re comfortable with the risk that comes with owning Supermicro stock today, the safest option is to take a wait-and-see approach right now. The biggest question mark around the business remains its ability to grow its earnings, because if it can’t do that, it’s going to be hard to justify buying the AI stock.

Don’t miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity

Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.

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On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:

  • Amazon: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2010, you’d have $21,266!*

  • Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you’d have $43,047!*

  • Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you’d have $389,794!*

Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.

See 3 “Double Down” stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 7, 2024

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David Jagielski has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Will Super Micro Computer’s Stock Split Help Rally Its Shares? was originally published by The Motley Fool



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Tesla stock sinks, Bitcoin’s creator, and the next Nvidia: Markets news roundup

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Tesla stock sinks, Bitcoin's creator, and the next Nvidia: Markets news roundup


An HBO documentary says Peter Todd is the Bitcoin creator known as Satoshi Nakamoto. He denies it

Screenshot: Peter Todd’s X account (<a class="link " href="https://x.com/peterktodd" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" data-ylk="slk:Other;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas">Other</a>)
Screenshot: Peter Todd’s X account (Other)

Who created Bitcoin? Is it finally known? Perhaps not.

“Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery,” a new HBO (WBD) documentary that premiered on Tuesday, claims that former Bitcoin developer Peter Todd is Satoshi Nakamoto, who created Bitcoin. Hours before the documentary’s release, the 39-year-old Canadian software designer involved in the early years of developing Bitcoin denied the claim, saying that he was not the creator of Bitcoin.

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Tesla stock sinks 7% after Elon Musk’s robotaxi reveal disappoints investors

Tesla CEO Elon Musk at the Milken Institute’s Global Conference on May 6, 2024 in Beverly Hills, California. - Photo: Apu Gomes (Getty Images)

Tesla CEO Elon Musk at the Milken Institute’s Global Conference on May 6, 2024 in Beverly Hills, California. – Photo: Apu Gomes (Getty Images)

Tesla (TSLA) stock fell during morning trading on Friday, after its highly-anticipated robotaxi reveal failed to impress investors.

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The electric vehicle maker’s shares were down around 7.5% on Friday morning after being down about 6% during pre-market trading. Its shares closed down almost 1% Thursday before the event. Read More

The CEO of disgraced crypto firm FTX actually announced his prison stint on LinkedIn

Photo: Spencer Platt (Getty Images)

Photo: Spencer Platt (Getty Images)

Ryan Salame, the former co-CEO of FTX Digital Markets, has been seeking a two-month delay for the start of his prison sentence due to alleged injuries from a dog. However, it appears he has come to terms with his situation. In a recent LinkedIn post, he announced his new role as an inmate at FCI Cumberland.

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The next Nvidia? Data center stocks could be a goldmine, strategist says

kinjavideo-197295

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Tejas Dessai, director of research at Global X, breaks down what companies to invest in for the next phase of AI expansion

10 cities where low mortgage rates have homeowners locked in ‘golden handcuffs’

Photo: Jeremy Woodhouse (Getty Images)

Photo: Jeremy Woodhouse (Getty Images)

Despite signs that the “lock-in” effect is beginning to fade, many homeowners that snagged rock-bottom mortgage rates during the pandemic are still waiting on rates to fall again before making a move.

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Should You Buy or Sell Nvidia Stock?

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Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) has been one of the best-performing stocks on the market over the past two years, and the catalysts that drove it higher are still present. But after its strong run-up, is Nvidia stock still a smart buy at its current level, or would those who hold shares be advised to sell and take some profits?

There are valid arguments for both views.

The sell argument: How long will this demand wave last?

Nvidia’s rise has been directly tied to the artificial intelligence (AI) arms race. Its primary products are graphics processing units (GPUs) — parallel processors that excel at handling large and complex computing tasks that are easily broken down into many smaller ones that can be handled independently and simultaneously. Connect GPUs in clusters and you end up with a computing platform that can process certain types of incredibly complex workloads at blistering speeds — and these are just the sorts of workloads that AI systems create.

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As AI companies and cloud computing providers rushed to get in front of the emerging demand for processing power, Nvidia’s sales went through the roof. In the past couple of years, quarterly revenues have often tripled on a year-over-year basis. However, its stellar growth is starting to slow slightly due to tougher annualized comparisons. This growth slowdown makes sense, but the bigger question is, can Nvidia maintain its overall sales at these levels?

Because companies are buying these GPUs to rapidly build their AI computing capacity, there is going to be a time when the demand will be satisfied. At that point, Nvidia’s sales may crater, as companies will only be buying replacement GPUs or making gradual capacity increases. This could be a huge problem for Nvidia, as its revenue levels in its latest quarters are far above where they have been in the past.

NVDA Revenue (Quarterly) Chart

NVDA Revenue (Quarterly) Chart

This also highlights the cyclical nature of the chip business. Nvidia has gone through multiple boom-and-bust cycles in its life as a company. If AI-related demand wanes, investors could be in a rough spot.

But has Nvidia built up enough of a sales base to compensate for that cyclicality?

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The buy argument: New technology will spur further demand past 2025

GPUs don’t last forever. They generally need to be replaced after about three to five years, which means that if the companies that have been building out their computing infrastructure recently want to maintain that processing power over the long term, they will have to regularly fork out massive chunks of money on new hardware.

We’re two years into the AI build-out already, and many companies are still scaling up their AI computing power, so 2025 will be another year of strong demand. That gets investors to 2026, at which point the natural replacement cycle starts for the GPUs that were purchased at the start of the generative AI era. But there could also be more reasons for companies to upgrade.

First, the semiconductor chips within these Nvidia GPUs are produced by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE: TSM). Taiwan Semi is always innovating on the process node front, allowing chip designers like Nvidia to create denser, higher-performance chips.

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TSMC expects that its chips built using its next-generation N2 process node will be 25% to 30% more power efficient than prior-generation chips when configured at the same speeds. Energy costs are a huge operating expense for server farms, so some customers may choose to upgrade for that reason, regardless of whether they need more computing power or not. The N2 manufacturing lines aren’t expected to start production until 2025, which likely means Nvidia GPUs built on them won’t make their way to its customers in quantity until 2026.

Meanwhile, Nvidia is just launching its Blackwell architecture GPUs, which will replace the Hopper architecture upon which it has built its current top-of-the-line chips, and the improvements are astounding. Blackwell’s architecture is four times faster than Hopper’s, allowing AI companies to create more complex models faster.

The combination of all these factors points to demand remaining strong well past 2026. In other words, the market probably isn’t peaking any time soon. This is key, as Nvidia’s forward price-to-earnings ratio has already reached levels that are starting to look reasonable, at least relative to how fast it’s growing.

NVDA PE Ratio (Forward) Chart

NVDA PE Ratio (Forward) Chart

Trading at 45 times forward earnings, Nvidia stock is far from cheap, but it’s putting up strong growth, so this valuation is acceptable.

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Investors’ decisions about whether to buy or sell Nvidia stock today should be based on how they expect the company’s business to be faring in 2026 and beyond. There are enough catalysts out there that Nvidia’s growth should last far beyond 2026, and with the upgrade cycle, it should be able to maintain its newfound revenue levels.

As a result, I think Nvidia’s buy case is greater than its sell case today.

Don’t miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity

Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.

On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:

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  • Amazon: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2010, you’d have $21,266!*

  • Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you’d have $43,047!*

  • Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you’d have $389,794!*

Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.

See 3 “Double Down” stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 7, 2024

Keithen Drury has positions in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nvidia and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Should You Buy or Sell Nvidia Stock? was originally published by The Motley Fool



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