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USD/JPY: Back To The 1980s

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USD/JPY: Back To The 1980s
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Intuit Stock Slips Today Even After Stabilizing Near Multi-Year Lows on AI Disruption Fears This Year

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Intuit shares slipped slightly Tuesday, easing back from a recent stabilization near 52-week lows as the QuickBooks and TurboTax maker continues working through one of the most punishing stretches in its history as a publicly traded company.

Shares of the Mountain View, California-based financial software giant were trading at $264.78 as of 9:51 a.m. EDT, down $1.61, or 0.61%, on the day. The modest pullback follows a brutal year-to-date slide that has made Intuit one of the worst-performing stocks in the entire S&P 500, with shares down more than 51% so far in 2026 and roughly 62% off the all-time high of $813.70 the stock reached in July 2025. The decline has erased more than $131 billion in market value over the past year, pushing Intuit’s market capitalization down to roughly $73 billion from a peak above $219 billion.

The root of Intuit’s collapse traces back to mounting investor fears that generative artificial intelligence tools could disrupt the company’s core software businesses, particularly TurboTax, its do-it-yourself tax preparation product that accounts for roughly a quarter of Intuit’s total revenue and operating income. Concerns intensified in February following the release of an updated Claude AI model from Anthropic, which the company said could automate a wide range of tasks across customer service, product management, marketing, legal work and data analysis, fueling speculation that AI-native competitors could eventually erode demand for traditional software subscriptions like TurboTax.

Those fears compounded sharply on June 2, when Intuit shares plunged 8.9% in a single session after Goldman Sachs analyst Gabriela Borges downgraded the stock from Neutral to Sell, slashing the 12-month price target to $276 from an earlier estimate of $519, a reversal from projecting roughly 61% upside to forecasting a 14% decline. Borges cited specific concern that a new generation of AI-driven tax platforms, including products like Perplexity Tax, could erode both TurboTax’s pricing power and its market share over the next two years. That single-day decline made Intuit the worst-performing stock in the entire S&P 500 for the year at the time, trailing only real estate analytics firm CoStar Group and medical device maker Insulet among the index’s steepest decliners.

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The downgrade followed roughly a month after Intuit had already rattled investors with a separate announcement: the company disclosed it would cut its full-time global workforce by 17%, or approximately 3,000 roles, while simultaneously lowering its full-year revenue estimates for TurboTax. Shares fell more than 14% on that news alone, part of a broader pattern that has seen Intuit’s stock repeatedly punished throughout the year as the company has tried to recalibrate investor expectations around its AI strategy and its traditional, high-margin tax business simultaneously.

Intuit has continued to defend its broader business performance even amid the stock’s collapse. The company’s third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, reported May 20, showed revenue rising 10.4% year-over-year to $8.56 billion, with growth led by its Global Business Solutions segment and TurboTax Live, the company’s assisted tax-filing offering. Non-GAAP earnings per share beat Wall Street’s consensus estimate for the 19th time in the past 20 quarters, and management used the report to raise its full-year revenue guidance to approximately $21.3 billion, signaling continued confidence in the company’s broader growth trajectory even as the stand-alone, do-it-yourself TurboTax segment has faced industry-wide contraction and elevated customer churn. Shares initially surged roughly 5% following that earnings report, though the gains proved short-lived against the backdrop of the broader AI disruption narrative that has continued to weigh on the stock in the weeks since.

To shore up its balance sheet amid the turbulence, Intuit completed two fixed-rate senior unsecured note offerings on June 11, raising approximately $1.74 billion in net proceeds through $750 million of 4.950% notes due 2031 and $1 billion of 5.500% notes due 2036. The company has said the proceeds may be used for general corporate purposes, including refinancing nearer-term debt maturities, with some analysts characterizing the move as largely routine balance sheet management rather than a signal of financial distress.

Wall Street’s broader view of the stock has grown more divided as the selloff has deepened. Stifel downgraded Intuit to Hold from Buy on June 17, cutting its price target to $275 from $375, with the firm citing concerns that management may need to lower its near-to-medium-term growth targets given the competitive pressures facing TurboTax. Citi, by contrast, reaffirmed its Buy rating on the stock on June 25, while other analysts have pointed to Intuit’s steep valuation compression, with its forward price-to-earnings ratio falling to roughly 12 against a 20-year historical average closer to 30, as evidence the selloff may have run further than the underlying fundamentals justify. Despite the recent string of downgrades, the broader analyst consensus tracked across 34 firms remains a “Buy” rating, with an average 12-month price target of roughly $486.61, implying substantial potential upside from current trading levels.

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The stock found some relief late last week, climbing alongside a broader rebound in heavily shorted and beaten-down software names as the technology sector stabilized following weeks of pressure tied to fears, sometimes referred to as the “SaaSpocalypse,” that AI tools from companies like OpenAI and Anthropic could fundamentally disrupt traditional subscription software business models. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF jumped more than 3% in that session, helping lift Intuit even as the broader Nasdaq-100 slipped on continued weakness in semiconductor stocks. Even with that bounce, Intuit remained deep in a longer-term technical downtrend, trading well below its 20-day, 50-day, 100-day and 200-day moving averages.

Intuit has continued to push forward with new AI-related product launches despite the stock turbulence, including the May 28 launch of Mailchimp Analytics AI, designed to give brands conversational, AI-powered marketing intelligence and expanded data integrations. The company also continues to pay a quarterly dividend, with its most recent payout set at $1.20 per share and an ex-dividend date of July 9, alongside a forward annual dividend yield of roughly 1.8%.

Adding another layer of scrutiny to the stock, securities law firm Bleichmar Fonti & Auld announced an investigation in late June into Intuit for potential securities fraud tied to the company’s 2026 tax-season disclosures, joining a string of similar investigation announcements from the firm dating back to early June. Intuit’s next quarterly earnings report is expected around Aug. 19, a date that will offer investors their next substantive opportunity to assess whether the company’s AI-driven growth strategy across QuickBooks, Credit Karma and its broader mid-market platform can offset continued pressure on TurboTax pricing and market share heading into the back half of the year.

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TCW Private Asset Income Fund Q1 2026 Commentary

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TCW Private Asset Income Fund Q1 2026 Commentary

TCW is a leading global asset management firm with more than five decades of investment experience and a broad range of products across fixed income, equities, emerging markets, and alternative investments. TCW’s clients include many of the world’s largest corporate and public pension plans, financial institutions, endowments and foundations, as well as financial advisors and high net worth individuals.
Note: This account is not managed or monitored by TCW, and any messages sent via Seeking Alpha will not receive a response. For inquiries or communication, please use TCW’s official channels.

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Franklin Equity Income Fund Q1 2026 Commentary

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Franklin Equity Income Fund Q1 2026 Commentary

Franklin Resources, Inc. [NYSE:BEN] is a global investment management organization with subsidiaries operating as Franklin Templeton and serving clients in over 150 countries. Franklin Templeton’s mission is to help clients achieve better outcomes through investment management expertise, wealth management and technology solutions. Through its specialist investment managers, the company offers specialization on a global scale, bringing extensive capabilities in fixed income, equity, alternatives and multi-asset solutions. With more than 1,300 investment professionals, and offices in major financial markets around the world, the California-based company has over 75 years of investment experience and over $1.4 trillion in assets under management as of June 30, 2023. For more information, please visit franklintempleton.com and follow us on LinkedIn, Twitter and Facebook.

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EEOC sues FedEx, alleges discrimination against blind workers in North Carolina

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EEOC sues FedEx, alleges discrimination against blind workers in North Carolina

The U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) filed a federal lawsuit against Federal Express Corporation on Tuesday, alleging the delivery giant violated federal law by discriminating against blind employees at a North Carolina facility.

The federal agency claims that FedEx, formerly known as FedEx Ground Package Systems, Inc., failed to provide reasonable accommodations to four package handlers and a larger class of blind workers at its Kernersville location

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According to the lawsuit, denying the accommodations prevented the employees from performing their essential job functions and enjoying the same employment privileges as workers without disabilities.

FedEx trucks in San Diego

FILE – FedEx trucks are parked at a distribution center on May 3, 2025 in San Diego, California.  (Kevin Carter / Getty Images)

FEDEX SUES TRUMP ADMINISTRATION FOR FULL TARIFF REFUNDS AFTER SUPREME COURT RULING ON IEEPA

In addition to the discrimination charges, the EEOC suit alleges FedEx failed to maintain required administrative records in compliance with federal law.

Melinda Dugas, the regional attorney for the EEOC’s Charlotte district, said the alleged conduct is a clear violation of the Americans with Disabilities Act, which mandates workplace accommodations for disabilities unless they cause an undue hardship for the employer.

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FedEx Ground truck

FILE – Side view of Fedex Ground shipping truck in San Ramon, California, March 3, 2022. (Smith Collection/Gado/Getty Images / Getty Images)

FEDEX CEO SAYS SHIPPING REGULATIONS CREATING ‘IMPOSSIBLE BURDEN’ FOR COMPANY: ‘WE ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE POLICEMAN’

“Federal law is clear that failure to provide a needed reasonable accommodation for a disability where one is available and can be provided without causing undue hardship is unlawful discrimination,” Dugas said.

Ticker Security Last Change Change %
FDX FEDEX CORP. 313.13 -12.27 -3.77%

The agency noted that it pursued litigation only after prior attempts to reach a pre-litigation settlement through an administrative conciliation process were unsuccessful.

FILE – FedEx is a delivery service with operations around the world.

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In a statement to FOX Business, a FedEx spokesperson said the company is aware of the lawsuit and is “currently reviewing the matter.”

“We are committed to complying with all requirements of the Americans with Disabilities Act and maintaining a workplace that is free from discrimination of any kind,” the spokesperson said.

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Inside China’s Hidden Network of US Agents

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Inside China's Hidden Network of US Agents
  • A Bloomberg Big Take podcast episode featuring David Gura, Drake Bennett, and Jordan Robertson examines a reported covert network of US agents operating inside China. The discussion centers on a case involving an individual named Eileen and explores broader questions of espionage and intelligence gathering.
  • The alleged network is said to include former diplomats, business professionals, and scholars using covert communication methods to relay intelligence. Their activities reflect ongoing geopolitical tensions between the US and China in the realm of intelligence and influence operations.

On today’s Big Take podcast, David Gura, along with Bloomberg’s Drake Bennett and Jordan Robertson, discuss the case of Eileen. They analyze its implications, providing insights into the circumstances and broader impact of the situation. The conversation offers a detailed examination of the case and its significance in current contexts.

There are concerns about a covert network of US agents operating within China, often referred to as China’s “hidden network.” These agents are believed to be engaged in intelligence gathering, espionage, and political manipulation, often working under the radar to avoid detection by Chinese authorities. Their presence raises fears of a clandestine struggle for influence in a high-stakes geopolitical environment.

This network is reportedly composed of individuals with various backgrounds, including former diplomats, business professionals, and scholars, who have access to sensitive information. They may operate through secret communication channels, covert meetings, or using technology to relay intelligence back to the US. The covert nature of these activities complicates efforts to identify and counter them, making it a significant challenge for Chinese security agencies.

The existence of such a vast covert network underscores the ongoing tension between the US and China, especially in the realms of espionage and intelligence. While the full extent and impact of this network remain uncertain, it highlights the complex and often hidden battlefield where influence and information are fiercely contested.

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Kawasaki Heavy falls to five-month low on report of $1.2 billion fundraising plan

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Kawasaki Heavy falls to five-month low on report of $1.2 billion fundraising plan

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Sensex rises over 150 points, Nifty above 23,900 as investors weigh Iran tensions, weak monsoon concerns

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Sensex rises over 150 points, Nifty above 23,900 as investors weigh Iran tensions, weak monsoon concerns
The Indian stock market edged higher on Wednesday, with Sensex and Nifty trading in the green after two days of losses, amid underlying concerns around further escalation in the US-Iran conflict and weaker-than-expected monsoons.

Sensex rose over 150 points, while Nifty 50 above 23,900 on during Wednesday’s trading session. Broader markets extended gains, with Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 indices rising around 0.2% each.

Kotak Mahindra Bank, Adani Ports and Titan shares gained more than 1% each to lead gains on Sensex, while those of Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M), TCS and Trent rose nearly 1% each to follow. Bucking the trend, Bajaj Finserv and HDFC Bank shares declined nearly 1% each at open. This came as India VIX, which measures volatility in market, inched lower at 13.60.

Sectorally, Nifty Consumer Durables and Nifty Realty gained nearly 1% to lead gains, while Nifty Nifty Metal slipped into the red. Around 1,678 stocks advanced on NSE, while 581 declined and 134 remained unchanged.

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Middle East tensions simmer

Iran on Tuesday said that it would not meet the senior US envoys who have travelled to the region after the outbreak of hostilities, increasing worries around how long peace would last between the two countries.
As a result, oil prices inched higher. Brent crude futures rose above $73 per barrel, while those of WTI Crude were trading close to $70 per barrel on Tuesday morning.
Poor monsoon weighing on Dalal Street

VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investments, noted that a major concern weighing on the market now is the poor monsoon which so far has been worse than expected. June has ended with a 40% rain deficit and for July, the IMD has predicted below normal rainfall. If this trend continues the actual rainfall this monsoon season may fall below the IMD’s forecast of 90% of long-term average, according to the analyst, who added that the market has not yet discounted this negative trend.

“Investors may fine tune portfolios to discount the potential negative fallout of poor monsoon. Partial portfolio adjustment in favour of fixed income may be considered. Also churning of portfolios in favour of monsoon-proof sectors like health care, pharmaceuticals, power and select fairly valued defence stocks is advisable,” according to Vijayakumar.

Technical view on Nifty

On the upside, Nifty continues to face resistance around its 100-DMA at 24,130, and a decisive close above this level would confirm a meaningful breakout, said Nilesh Jain, VP- Head of Technical and Derivative research at Centrum Finverse. He added that momentum indicators continue to support the positive bias, with the MACD maintaining a buy crossover above the zero line and the RSI holding above the 50 mark, indicating sustained bullish momentum.

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“The broader technical structure remains constructive, and the buy on dips strategy remains intact as long as the index sustains above its short-term 21-DMA, placed at 23,690,” he said.

(With inputs from agencies)
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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BLS took steps after improper data releases but watchdog wants more

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BLS took steps after improper data releases but watchdog wants more

The Bureau of Labor Statistics has taken steps to address issues that led to the release of key economic data at improper times in 2024, though a watchdog said it has more work to do in establishing safeguards.

A report by the Labor Department’s inspector general looked at a trio of incidents in which economic data was either released early or late, or methodology was shared externally before it was made available to the public. In each case, BLS leaders didn’t learn of the situation until up to an hour after they occurred.

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BLS data for key reports like CPI inflation data and the benchmark revisions to the employment data that underlies the monthly jobs reports carries a great deal of significance for economic decision-makers and financial markets, and untimely or unauthorized releases could give some traders an advantage over their peers.

The report explained that the watchdog had identified shortcomings in procedures around data release processes, and the BLS inadequately emphasized the importance of equitable access to information and safeguarding internally-restricted materials. The IG said that the BLS’ deviations from policy in those cases “negatively affected its reputation and credibility.”

INFLATION ROSE AGAIN IN MAY AS ELEVATED ENERGY PRICES SQUEEZED CONSUMERS

People wait in job fair line

The BLS accidentally released inflation data early and a key employment report late in 2024, in addition to cases of sharing internal data methodology with external sources. (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

In May 2024, the monthly consumer price index (CPI) data was published 31 minutes before it was scheduled to be released, while in August 2024 the publication of BLS’ preliminary benchmark revision to employment data was delayed for 34 minutes even though it was provided to some users who reached out to the agency.

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Additionally, internal or inaccurate methodology information was shared externally three times that year before it was published.

“In response to these incidents, BLS closed gaps in IT safeguards, revised performance standards, strengthened management oversight, and training,” the IG report said.

TRUMP ORDERS TERMINATION OF LABOR STATISTICS OFFICIAL AFTER JOBS REPORT AND DOWNWARD REVISIONS

Labor Department headquarters

The Bureau of Labor Statistics said it has revised policies and procedures to prevent unauthorized releases of economic data. (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

“However, we identified additional improvements BLS could make to reduce the risk of improper disclosure of essential economic information,” the inspector general added.

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“BLS still needs to update its testing procedures, clarify its recently updated policies and procedures, and ensure staff’s compliance by improving buy-in, understanding of expectations, and accountability,” the IG explained, adding that it should also finalize its crisis communications plans and perform related exercises to ensure staff are prepared for such scenarios.

Acting BLS Commissioner William Wiatrowski included a letter responding to the report which said that the results of the audit are “generally consistent with the previous reviews” aimed at guarding against early or unauthorized disclosures.

TRUMP VISITS MACK TRUCKS PLANT IN BATTLEGROUND PENNSYLVANIA DISTRICT TO TOUT ECONOMIC AGENDA AS MIDTERMS LOOM

A screen displays the Dow Jones Industrial Average

Economic data carries great importance for financial markets and economic decision-makers, raising the stakes of untimely or unauthorized releases. (Reuters/Jeenah Moon)

Wiatrowski explained that the IG’s report acknowledges several of the corrective measures the BLS has undertaken, saying that in some cases the report and its recommendations “fail to recognize the totality of corrective measures taken or clarifying documentation provided.”

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“The OIG conclusion does not recognize that BLS has already strengthened IT testing, updated customer service policies, procedures and training, updated and disseminated the BLS Crisis Communication Plan to all BLS staff with defined roles and those staff have exercised said plan,” he added.

The report comes as the BLS is scheduled to release the June jobs report on Thursday, rather than the usual Friday due to the observance of Independence Day.

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Economists polled by LSEG are projecting that the economy added 110,000 jobs in June, a figure that would mark the fourth straight month of steady job gains despite representing a deceleration from growth seen in the last three months.

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Helen of Troy: How The Company Is Quietly Beating Tariffs And Slashing Debt (NASDAQ:HELE)

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Helen of Troy: How The Company Is Quietly Beating Tariffs And Slashing Debt (NASDAQ:HELE)

This article was written by

Independent Equity Researcher exploring global market opportunities

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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NIKE, Inc. (NKE) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Q4: 2026-06-30 Earnings Summary

EPS of $0.20 beats by $0.07

 | Revenue of $10.97B (-1.13% Y/Y) beats by $122.60M

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) Q4 2026 Earnings Call June 30, 2026 5:00 PM EDT

Company Participants

Paul Trussell – VP & Treasurer
Elliott Hill – CEO, President & Director
Matthew Friend – Executive VP & CFO

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Conference Call Participants

Adrienne Yih-Tennant – Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division
Robert Drbul – BTIG, LLC, Research Division
Matthew Boss – JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division
Lorraine Maikis – BofA Securities, Research Division
Michael Binetti – Evercore ISI Institutional Equities, Research Division
Aneesha Sherman – Bernstein Institutional Services LLC, Research Division
Irwin Boruchow – Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division

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Presentation

Operator

Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to NIKE, Inc.’s Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2026 Conference Call. For those who want to reference today’s press release, you’ll find it at investors.nike.com. Leading today’s call is Paul Trussell, VP of Corporate Finance and Treasurer. I’d now like to turn the call over to Paul Trussell.

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Paul Trussell
VP & Treasurer

Thank you, operator. Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining us today to discuss NIKE, Inc.’s Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2026 results. Joining us on today’s call will be NIKE, Inc. President and CEO, Elliott Hill; and EVP and CFO, Matt Friend.

Before we begin, let me remind you that participants on this call will make forward-looking statements based on current expectations and those statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. These risks and uncertainties are detailed in NIKE’s reports filed with the SEC. In addition, participants may discuss non-GAAP financial measures and nonpublic financial and statistical information. Please refer to NIKE’s earnings press release or NIKE’s website, investors.nike.com for comparable GAAP measures and quantitative reconciliations.

All growth comparisons on the call today are presented on a year-over-year basis and are currency neutral unless otherwise noted. We will start with prepared remarks and then open

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