For a while, the football appeared to have taken over the politics at the 2026 World Cup. Cape Verde taking world champions Argentina to the wire, Paraguay knocking out Germany and Lionel Messi, Erling Haaland, Harry Kane and Kylian Mbappe fighting it out for the top scorer’s Golden Boot — the focus was on the pitch.

But just before Norway upset Brazil and England knocked out co-hosts Mexico in one of the tournament’s best games, Donald Trump put his thumb on the World Cup scales. Reports from multiple sources state that the US President lobbied to have the red card suspension of his country’s top scorer, Folarin Balogun, in effect, overturned.

He was successful, with FIFA ripping up the rulebook that bans red card appeals to say that the “automatic match suspension for USA player Folarin Balogun is suspended for a probationary period of one (1) year.” FIFA cited Article 27, a broad provision that allows them to “fully or partially suspend the implementation of a disciplinary measure.”

The decision was handed down a little more than 48 hours before the US are to face Belgium in the quarterfinals. Trump celebrated with a post on his Truth Social platform that read, “Thank you to FIFA for doing what was right, and reversing a great injustice!”

The close relationship between Trump and FIFA President Gianni Infantino, who created a FIFA Peace Prize to award Trump in December, has faced much scrutiny in the buildup to the tournament and will now come under the microscope again.

What has the US and Belgian reaction been to Balogun decision?

Belgium, as you might expect, are not happy. The Royal Belgian Football Association (RBFA) responded with a strong statement of condemnation, saying they were “astonished” by the decision.

“I didn’t know that 5 July was equal to 1 April [April Fools’ Day] at FIFA,” joked a clearly angry Belgium coach Rudi Garcia in his prematch press conference.

On Monday, The Athletic reported that the RBFA have been granted the right to appeal the decision to a member of the FIFA appeals committee not associated with UEFA, Europe’s football confederation, or the North American equivalent CONCACAF. The judgment on that appeal could land as late as 12 hours before the quarterfinal kicks off.

Garcia’s opposing coach, Mauricio Pochettino, suggested issues had been “conflated” by those with an unspecified “agenda” to justify the decision.

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“If anyone was harmed in this whole situation, it was the United States. Can anyone justify the idea that we weren’t punished? I mean, playing 30 or 35 minutes a man down in a World Cup knockout match? It’s not as if we’re benefiting. Ultimately, we aren’t victims, but we aren’t the villains of this story either.”

How has the rest of the football world reacted to FIFA’s decision?

Those without skin in the game have, almost universally, backed the Belgian standpoint. The US are manifestly not the only side in the tournament frustrated by a call they believe is incorrect. UEFA, which is increasingly at loggerheads with FIFA, said the u-turn “crossed a red line” in a statement released on Monday.

Norway coach, Stale Solbakken, admonished Infantino’s organization even before Trump’s involvement became clear.

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“It is a big mistake by FIFA. It is not a great conclusion. He got a red card and the VAR concluded that it was a red card. That means you are suspended for one game,” he said. “I think what is really bad about that situation is, if the USA beat Belgium, they will always have that extra thing about it. The Belgians will be furious.”

The German FA, in the form of DFB President Bernd Neuendorf, called for an immediate clarification.

“The impression that there has been active political interference in sports must be dispelled swiftly and conclusively. The integrity of the competition and the credibility of FIFA are at stake,” he said, calling on FIFA to clarify Trump’s involvement.

His compatriot, England coach Thomas Tuchel, was among those who questioned whether this case now becomes a precedent.

“Where does this start and where does this end now? Can we overturn it or not overturn it? What’s going on? Where to draw the line is the question that I ask. I have no answer to that,” he said.

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What could happen next in the Balogun case?

Pending the result of Belgium’s appeal, Tuchel’s questions will no doubt be among those considered by every federation left in the tournament, and perhaps even some who are out. If this red card can suddenly be overturned, the thinking goes, why not others? Or a disallowed goal? Or a yellow card leading to suspension for a key match?

Indeed, the French Football Federation (FFF) is considering appealing a dubious yellow card that Bayern Munich midfielder Michael Olise picked up in France’s last-16 match against Paraguay, according to local media reports. Two yellow cards in different matches in the tournament mean a one-match suspension, the same punishment Balogun was set for.

FIFA could be set for a barrage of complaints and appeals. It remains to be seen, though, whether any other head of state or government will get involved, or whether they would have Infantino’s ear in the same way.

With discontent about FIFA high already, one wonders whether the decision could have far-reaching implications for Infantino and his organization.

Has a World Cup red card been overturned before?

Not exactly. Brazil’s Garrincha was sent off against Chile in the semifinal of the 1962 tournament but played as Brazil won the final. However, in those days bans were decided by a committee, rather than an automatic one-match suspension. 

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A closer precedent came shortly before this tournament. Superstar Cristiano Ronaldo received a three-match ban for a red card in a World Cup qualifier before the tournament. However, days after meeting Trump for dinner at the White House in November, the ban was reduced from three matches to one, the other two matches suspended for a one-year probation period, similar to Balogun’s case. Cristiano Ronaldo served the one-match suspension against Armenia and did not miss any of Portugal’s World Cup games.

Edited by: Chuck Penfold