British businesses are staring at another energy cost shock after wholesale gas prices jumped around 5 per cent, triggered by Donald Trump declaring the ceasefire with Iran “over” following a fresh wave of US strikes and renewed attacks on tankers in the strait of Hormuz.

The benchmark Dutch front-month gas contract at the TTF hub rose €2.424 to €49 per megawatt hour, touching €49.76 at one stage, its highest level since 11 June. The British front-month contract climbed 6 pence to 116.75p per therm.

The trigger was Trump’s declaration that the memorandum of understanding intended to end the conflict with Iran was “over”, after both sides resumed hostilities. The US launched a new round of strikes and Tehran hit American bases in the Gulf, while several tankers were attacked in the strait of Hormuz on Tuesday.

For UK firms, the timing is grim. Wholesale energy costs had been easing since mid-June, and oil had only recently slid back to pre-war levels as shipping cautiously returned to the waterway. That recovery now looks to have been unwound in a matter of hours.

Why the strait matters to your energy bill

About a fifth of the world’s liquefied natural gas supplies

typically pass through the strait of Hormuz. Britain does not buy much LNG directly from the Gulf, but gas is priced on a global market, so any squeeze on Qatari cargoes pushes up the wholesale prices that feed through to the fixed and variable contracts UK businesses sign.

Tuesday’s attacks underlined how fragile the reopening was. A Qatari LNG tanker was at risk of exploding and a Saudi crude tanker was damaged near the strait, prompting maritime authorities to raise the threat level for vessels transiting the waterway to severe. The Qatari tanker is awaiting salvage once a fire on board has been extinguished.

Analysts at Engie EnergyScan said: “The attacks, including a Qatari LNG carrier, reignited supply risk concerns, prompting a swift risk premium rebuild as shipping traffic through the strait remains well below normal.”

An October deadline

The International Energy Agency warned on Tuesday that if the strait is not fully reopened before October, global LNG supply could record its first annual decline since 2012. That would land just as the northern hemisphere heads into winter, when demand, and prices, are at their most unforgiving.

That is an uncomfortable prospect for a country already carrying the highest electricity costs in the G7, where gas typically sets the price of power. Every sustained move higher in the wholesale gas market flows through to the electricity bills of manufacturers, hospitality operators and high street firms alike.

What business owners should take from this

The lesson of the past week is that the energy market will reprice violently on a single statement from the White House, in either direction. Firms that assumed the worst was over when US strikes first rattled the ceasefire in May have been caught out twice.

For owners weighing up energy contracts, that argues for caution. Those on variable or out-of-contract rates are the most exposed to further spikes, while anyone banking on a calm autumn to fix at lower prices may find the window has already closed. Stress-testing cash flow against another winter of elevated gas prices is no longer a pessimist’s exercise. It is simply prudent planning.

Jamie Young

Jamie is Senior Reporter at Business Matters, bringing over a decade of experience in UK SME business reporting.
Jamie holds a degree in Business Administration and regularly participates in industry conferences and workshops.

When not reporting on the latest business developments, Jamie is passionate about mentoring up-and-coming journalists and entrepreneurs to inspire the next generation of business leaders.

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Housing affordability is expected to improve with the pace of home price growth slowing to a rate that’s lower than inflation, a new report finds.

Realtor.com on Wednesday released a midyear update to its 2026 housing market forecast that estimates home price growth will slow to 1.2% this year, a rate that’s slower than the original forecast for the year and is slower than the pace of inflation. That means home prices would be effectively declining in real, inflation-adjusted terms.

“Against a backdrop of both familiar and new challenges, the economy has proved resilient. As a result, the first half of 2026 delivered stability more than momentum in the housing market,” said Realtor.com senior economist Danielle Hale.

“The housing market is inching forward as sellers reset expectations, price growth cools, and buyers gain more negotiating power,” Hale said. “Looking ahead, we expect momentum to build through the second half of the year as more sidelined buyers and sellers find terms that will work for both sides.”

WHY AMERICAN ARE FLOCKING TO THIS FLORIDA RETIREMENT HOT SPOT

A real estate agent and a prospective buyer stand outside a home during an open house in Seattle, Washington. (David Ryder/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Mortgage rates are projected to hold steady at 6.3%, the same level they were at when 2025 ended, as a resurgence of inflation caused by the Iran war undercut the prospects of interest cuts in the first of the year that could’ve helped mortgage rates decline.

The slower pace of home price growth is expected to help lower monthly mortgage payments on a year-over-year basis, which the updated forecast suggests will decline 1.9% this year – more than the initial projection of a 1.3% dip.

GOVERNMENT REGULATIONS ADD NEARLY $132K TO COST OF NEW HOME, BUILDERS SAY

Existing home sales are expected to tick higher from a year ago. (Paul Bersebach/MediaNews Group/Orange County Register via Getty Images)

By contrast, the average monthly mortgage payment rose 1.9% in 2025 and was up 7% on average from 2013 to 2019.

Existing home sales are expected to see modest improvement from a year ago, rising from 4.06 million in 2025 to an estimated 4.1 million this year – though the growth is projected to be lower than the original forecast of 4.13 million homes sold in 2026.

“Buyers and sellers have shown a lot of staying power this year,” Hale said. “This is a market where people are adjusting and showing up rather than giving up. Sellers are meeting the market with more realistic asking prices, which is helping deals get done.”

RECORD DECLINE IN HOME ASKING PRICES OFFERS BUYERS AN AFFORDABILITY BOOST

New home construction has pulled back in some parts of the country, though the Northeast and Midwest continue to face shortages. (Mario Tama/Getty Images)

Inventory of existing homes for sale is also expected to grow at a slower rate than previously anticipated, rising 3.6% year over year rather than the 8.9% gain projected under Realtor.com‘s initial forecast for this year.

New home sales have softened as mortgage rate buydowns and price cuts that helped encourage buyers to approach builders have lost their pull amid the stabilization of prices.

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Builders have pulled back on permits and new home starts the most sharply in the South and West, which had driven much of the national construction and have recovered more fully from supply shortages.

Across the country, the homebuilding deficit remains at an estimated 4 million homes, with the biggest opportunity in the Northeast and Midwest, which face the most significant shortages.

‘This acquisition gives us the scale and wider expertise to do more for customers’

Tyneside IT service provider Technology Services Group (TSG) has snapped up a Berkshire business in a multimillion-pound deal.

Team Valley-based TSG, a Microsoft Solution Partner focused on SMEs, has acquired Creative Computing Solutions, an established Microsoft Dynamics 365 Business Central partner which offers a particular specialism in the production and media sectors.

Based in Maidenhead, Creative Computing Solutions has around 100 customers and has clients including Hat Trick Productions, whose credits include programmes such as Middlesbrough-based Smoggie Queens, Mastermind, Derry Girls and Have I Got News For You.

The move will see Creative Computing Solutions’ existing customers and employees benefit from TSG’s broader managed IT services capability, expertise, and resources as a leading Microsoft partner.

Creative Computing Solutions’ CEO Justin Farmiloe steps into the TSG management team as CTO as part of the transaction, while the firm’s existing contracts, support arrangements, and the intellectual property of all bespoke customer solutions will remain unchanged.

Customers will continue to benefit from the expertise of the management team and employees they know to ensure a seamless transition and continuity across day-to-day operations. At the same time, customers will gain access to TSG’s wider expertise and services across cloud, infrastructure, business applications, managed IT services, cyber security, data and AI.

The multimillion-pound deal forms part of TSG’s continued growth plans, following its successful management buyout on the back of significant investment from Pictet Alternative Advisors. It marks the third acquisition that TSG has completed following the MBO in July 2024.

The MBO saw CEO Rory McKeand and his leadership team join forces with Pictet in the deal, which marked an exit for founders Sir Graham Wylie and executive chairman David Stonehouse.

TSG now employs around 300 people, delivering customer support to businesses using Microsoft Dynamics, Sage and Pegasus business applications, and broader Microsoft technologies in industries including professional services, healthcare, food and beverage, education and manufacturing. Customers include the likes of Perspective Financial, Day Lewis Pharmacies and McQueen’s Dairies.

Like this story? For more news from the tech sector, visit our dedicated page for the latest news and analysis here.

The acquisition of Creative Computing Solutions is set to double TSG’s Business Central practice, increase the company’s headcount by around 8%, and boost its technical expertise, specialist sector knowledge and Microsoft solutions capability.

Rory McKeand, CEO of TSG, said: “For us, Creative Computing Solutions was a natural fit, offering an established Business Central customer base, the technical expertise our partners expect, and complementary capabilities that will further enhance our offering.

“The most important thing for us is that Creative Computing Solutions’ customers keep what already works. They will continue to have access to the people, support contacts and specialist Business Central expertise they know, while gaining the additional depth TSG can provide across managed IT, cloud, cyber security, business applications, data and AI. They will also benefit from TSG Academy – the most-used Microsoft training platform in the UK, which is absolutely free to our customers.”

Justin Farmiloe, chief technology officer at TSG (formerly CEO of Creative Computing Solutions), said: “Creative Computing Solutions has built its reputation on long-term customer relationships, practical support and deep Business Central expertise. In choosing TSG, it was important to find a partner that understood our customers, our people and the specialist capability we have developed.

“This acquisition gives us the scale and wider expertise to do more for customers, while protecting the relationships and support they trust.”

LONDON — Britain’s benchmark FTSE 100 index fell sharply Wednesday, dropping 95.15 points, or 0.89 percent, to 10,570.73, as escalating tensions in the Middle East pushed oil prices higher and weighed on broader risk sentiment across London’s stock market.

The decline marked a notable reversal from the prior day’s trading, when the FTSE 100 closed 0.13 percent higher at 10,665.88, itself only a modest gain following a strong run earlier in the week. Wednesday’s session opened at 10,651.30 before extending losses through the morning, with the index trading in a range between 10,568.57 and 10,666.09, according to intraday data.

Ahead of Wednesday’s open, futures had pointed to a far more modest decline for the index. According to IG, futures had indicated the FTSE 100 would open just 12.5 points, or 0.1 percent, lower at 10,653.38, a projection that proved considerably more optimistic than how the session ultimately unfolded once trading got underway.

The sharper-than-expected decline came as renewed hostilities between the United States and Iran near the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil prices higher overnight, weighing on broader investor sentiment across European equity markets. The United States carried out fresh airstrikes inside Iran in response to attacks on commercial shipping in the strait, prompting Iran to retaliate with missile and drone strikes against U.S. military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait. The renewed exchange of strikes has raised fresh concerns about potential disruption to one of the world’s most critical energy shipping corridors, through which roughly a fifth of the world’s traded oil and natural gas passes during peacetime.

Wednesday’s losses followed what had otherwise been a relatively strong stretch for the FTSE 100 in recent sessions. The index closed at 10,652.87 the previous Thursday, a 1.67 percent advance that marked its highest level since April 17, driven by a powerful rally across defensive, pharmaceutical and aerospace sectors. Defense contractor BAE Systems led that earlier rally with a gain of more than 6 percent, followed by Babcock International, up around 5.5 percent, and pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca, which climbed nearly 5 percent. That defensive positioning has continued to shape trading through the following week, reflecting the FTSE 100’s relatively limited direct exposure to the technology sector, a characteristic that has increasingly insulated London-listed equities from the sharper swings affecting artificial intelligence and semiconductor stocks in markets like the United States.

Beyond the geopolitical backdrop, fresh economic data released Wednesday offered a mixed picture of conditions in the UK labor market. According to the latest KPMG and Recruitment & Employment Confederation report compiled by S&P Global, the decline in permanent job postings eased markedly in June, while demand for temporary workers strengthened to its fastest pace in more than three years. The permanent placements index rose to 49.1 points in June from 44.1 in May, while the permanent salaries index increased to 53.1 from 52.2, marking the fastest pace of pay growth since January. The temporary wages index also climbed, rising to 52.9 from 51.4.

Currency markets reflected some of the same cautious tone weighing on equities. Sterling was quoted at $1.3355 early Wednesday, down from $1.3376 at Tuesday’s London equities close. Against the euro, the pound also weakened, falling to €1.1693 from €1.1704 the previous day.

Broader Asian markets showed a mixed picture overnight ahead of Wednesday’s European session. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.8 percent despite data from the Ministry of Finance showing the country’s current account surplus widened 20 percent year-on-year in May, to 3.968 trillion yen, or roughly $24.43 billion, from 3.321 trillion yen a year earlier, a figure that came in below the FXStreet-cited consensus forecast of 4.121 trillion yen but exceeded April’s surplus of 3.908 trillion yen. Japanese exports rose 15 percent year-on-year, while imports increased 8.1 percent. In China, the Shanghai Composite slipped 0.1 percent, while the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong bucked the broader regional trend, climbing 2.7 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.5 percent.

Gold prices eased slightly Wednesday, quoted at $4,126.60 an ounce, down from $4,144.14 the previous day, even as China’s central bank continued an extended streak of gold purchases. According to Bloomberg, the People’s Bank of China bought more gold in June, extending its longest buying streak since at least 2015, with bullion holdings rising by 480,000 troy ounces to 75.44 million ounces during the month.

Corporate dealmaking activity had provided support for London market sentiment earlier in the week, with oil and gas explorer Capricorn Energy rallying sharply after agreeing to a £271 million cash takeover by Genel Energy at 357 pence per share. Financial trading platform CMC Markets also advanced following an increase to its earnings guidance and a subsequent analyst upgrade, while retailer Currys posted full-year earnings broadly in line with analyst estimates and announced the launch of a £50 million share buyback program, adding to what had been a largely constructive run of corporate news flow heading into the current week.

Despite Wednesday’s pullback, the FTSE 100 remains within a broadly positive longer-term trend. The index’s 52-week range spans from 8,803.27 to 10,934.94, with London’s benchmark having gained more than 19 percent over the trailing 12-month period as of recent readings, one of the stronger annual performances among major global developed-market indices. That resilience has been attributed in part to the FTSE 100’s relatively defensive composition, weighted toward sectors such as energy, financials, pharmaceuticals and consumer staples, which have historically provided some insulation during periods of volatility tied to more growth-oriented, technology-concentrated markets elsewhere.

With Middle East tensions continuing to develop and no clear resolution in sight following Wednesday’s exchange of strikes, investors are likely to remain focused on further developments in the region, along with any additional economic data releases, as they assess whether the current pullback represents a temporary pause in the FTSE 100’s broader upward trajectory or the beginning of a more sustained period of volatility tied to rising energy prices and geopolitical risk.

The Trump administration is escalating its crackdown on immigration-related fraud, launching its first major investigation into alleged H-1B and PERM visa abuse, labor trafficking, and the displacement of American workers, Labor Department Inspector General Anthony D’Esposito told FOX Business on Wednesday.

D’Esposito announced the probe exclusively on “Mornings with Maria,” calling it the latest step in the administration’s expanding anti-fraud campaign ahead of Vice President JD Vance‘s nationwide fraud initiative event in Milwaukee set for later in the day.

“This is another example where fraud is fueling violent crime,” he said. “Much of the visa and the human trafficking that we see when it comes to this foreign labor is tied to cartels, is tied to transnational gangs, and this is the work that we should be doing, not only to make America safe again, but to make America more affordable again.”

D’Esposito said investigators have already begun to issue dozens of subpoenas in relation to the fraud investigation.

DR OZ WARNS MEDICARE SCAMMERS ARE STEALING BILLIONS – AND YOUR PERSONAL INFORMATION COULD BE NEXT

Inspector General for the Department of Labor Anthony P. D’Esposito addresses the media at a press conference in connection with an alleged fraud scheme involving SNAP benefits, in Boston, Massachusetts, Feb. 3, 2026. (Reuters/Taylor Coester / Reuters Photos)

An H-1B visa is a non-immigrant work visa that allows companies in the U.S. to hire highly-skilled foreign workers in specialty occupations for an initial period of three years, which can be extended to six years.

“This is not just people working in factories or actual labor,” D’Esposito said of the fraudsters. “These are people working in medical facilities and doctors’ offices that are actually putting people in harm’s way.”

President Donald Trump takes a question from a reporter before signing executive orders in the Oval Office at the White House on September 19, 2025, in Washington, D.C. Trump signed two executive orders, establishing the “Trump Gold Card” and introdu (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images / Getty Images)

ARE AMERICAN WORKERS BEING REPLACED? INSIDE THE H-1B VISA CONTROVERSY

By far the industry most heavily utilizing H-1B visas is the tech industry, which accounts for roughly 60% to 70% of all the new applications in recent years. Other top industries include consulting and professional services, engineering and manufacturing, healthcare and medical research and higher education.

A view of the United States Department of Labor headquarters in Washington, D.C. (Celal Gunes/Anadolu via Getty Images, File / Getty Images)

California, New York and Illinois are among the top five states for applicants for these visas, according to D’Esposito.

He said the Trump administration’s goal is to make sure hardworking Americans “are not seeing their jobs taken away by foreigners or people who are gaming the system or financially benefiting from bringing these individuals into America and putting them into jobs that, quite frankly, they are not qualified to do.”

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Last month, a federal judge struck down President Donald Trump’s $100,000 fee requirement for employers seeking H-1B visas for highly skilled foreign workers, ruling that the administration exceeded its authority by imposing what amounted to a tax that only Congress can authorize or delegate.

Fox News Digital’s Peter Pinedo contributed to this report.

This article was written by

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