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Crypto World

Will SOL reclaim $80 next after USDC mint sparks breakout?

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Solana daily chart showing price holding above the 20- and 50-day moving averages while testing resistance near the 100-day MA around $80.

Solana price has climbed to around $78 on July 15 after a 250 million USDC mint on the network, combined with softer U.S. inflation data, injected fresh buying momentum across crypto markets.

Summary

  • Solana price jumped toward $78 after a 250 million USDC mint boosted on-chain liquidity and risk appetite improved.
  • Technical charts show a breakout above a descending channel, with $80 emerging as the next key resistance.
  • Rising active addresses, institutional developments, and liquidation clusters support upside, while $70-$75 remains critical support.

The move gathered pace after the USDC Treasury minted 250 million USDC on Solana, adding immediate liquidity to the ecosystem as traders returned to risk assets following the latest U.S. inflation print. Capital quickly rotated into Solana-based decentralized exchanges, helping SOL recover from recent weakness while the wider crypto market also moved higher.

Earlier selling pressure had left Solana trading well below its May highs as geopolitical tensions, institutional distributions and weaker on-chain activity weighed on sentiment.

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Today’s rebound, however, arrives with stronger participation. Daily trading volume has climbed above $2.1 billion, suggesting buyers, rather than short-term speculation alone, have supported the advance.

Technical structure favors another test of $80

The daily chart shows Solana (SOL) price holding above a long-standing support area between $70 and $75 after repeatedly defending that range over recent weeks. Price now trades above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages near $73.3-$74 while remaining below the declining 100-day moving average around $80.3 and well beneath the 200-day moving average near $91. 

Solana daily chart showing price holding above the 20- and 50-day moving averages while testing resistance near the 100-day MA around $80.
Solana daily price chart — July 15 | Source: crypto.news

A sustained close above the 100-day average would expose the psychologically important $80 level before opening room toward the May swing high near $82.

The 4-hour chart adds another constructive development. SOL has broken above a descending channel that had contained price action since early July, while the RSI has recovered to roughly 52 after bouncing from oversold territory. 

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Solana 4-hour chart showing a breakout above a descending channel with RSI above 50 and momentum strengthening toward $80 resistance.
Solana 4-hour price chart — July 15 | Source: crypto.news

The Aroon Up reading near 93 also holds well above the Aroon Down line, suggesting buyers currently control short-term momentum, although resistance remains concentrated just below $80.

Derivatives positioning reinforces that technical picture. CoinGlass liquidation data shows dense short liquidation clusters stacked between $78.5 and $80, with another concentration extending toward $81.5.

Solana liquidation heatmap highlighting dense short liquidation clusters between $78.5 and $80, with major long liquidity concentrated near $76.
Solana liquidation heatmap | Source: CoinGlass

A decisive push through those levels could trigger forced buying from bearish positions, while the largest long liquidation pockets remain clustered around the $76-$76.5 region, making that zone an important area for bulls to defend.

Commenting on the latest setup, analyst Ali Martinez argued that Solana has regained a bullish structure after its SuperTrend indicator flipped positive for the first time since October. He wrote:

“If buying pressure continues to build, $SOL could rally toward $96 or even $121. However, $60 remains the key level to watch.”

Outside the charts, network fundamentals have also improved. Active addresses have climbed toward seven million, while anticipation continues to build ahead of the Alpenglow upgrade, which is expected to reduce transaction finality to around 150 milliseconds later this quarter. 

Solana has also strengthened its institutional footprint through its partnership with SBI Holdings to expand on-chain financial infrastructure in Japan, while tokenized real-world assets on the network have grown to roughly $3.3 billion.

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A break below key support would weaken the bullish outlook

Bullish momentum still faces several hurdles. The declining 100-day moving average around $80 represents the first major technical barrier, and failure to clear that level could keep SOL trapped inside its multi-week consolidation range.

A return below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages would shift attention back to the $75 support area, where leveraged long positions remain concentrated.

Macro risks also remain unresolved. Fresh geopolitical tensions, another rise in Treasury yields, or stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data could reduce expectations for monetary easing and pressure risk assets across the crypto market.

If selling accelerates and Solana loses the $70-$75 support zone, the bullish breakout thesis would weaken considerably, while Ali Martinez’s longer-term invalidation level near $60 would return to focus.

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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What It Signals for ETH’s Outlook

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Crypto Breaking News

Robinhood’s newly launched Ethereum layer-2, built on Arbitrum technology, has quickly become one of the busiest rollups in the ecosystem—prompting fresh debate over a familiar question in Ethereum scaling: do successful L2s ultimately lift demand for ETH, or do they mainly capture value for themselves?

According to Cointelegraph’s reporting and data it cites, more than $141 million in Ether was bridged to Robinhood Chain in its first two weeks. DeFiLlama’s Ether distribution data also indicates that more than half a million wallets now hold ETH on the network. Activity has spilled into trading as well: Robinhood Chain has reportedly surpassed Ethereum L1 and Coinbase’s Base L2 in 24-hour DEX volume.

Key takeaways

  • Robinhood Chain’s rollout has boosted attention on whether L2 adoption can translate into stronger ETH demand.
  • Bridged Ether and wallet growth on the L2 are clear early signals, but that does not automatically mean higher L1 fee revenue or burn.
  • Industry participants differ on what drives ETH upside: fee-share economics versus ETH’s role as “money” across L2 ecosystems.
  • Even if major institutions build on Ethereum, it remains uncertain how much of that activity requires users to hold ETH directly.

Robinhood Chain’s rapid traction puts institutions in the spotlight

Robinhood Chain launched on July 1 and, per the activity figures cited above, has rapidly drawn users and liquidity. In its first two weeks, the network drew meaningful Ether bridging volumes and grew to more than 500,000 wallets holding ETH on the chain, according to DeFiLlama.

What has drawn more interest than the underlying rollup concept is the sponsor: Robinhood is a publicly listed retail brokerage with tens of millions of customers. Prior waves of L2 growth—often associated with crypto-native teams—failed to materially shift market pricing for ETH, largely because much of the economic action stayed on the rollups rather than flowing back to Ethereum L1.

This time, the narrative is different: Robinhood has brought a mainstream financial brand into the L2 arena, and early signals suggest it is integrating into broader real-world asset (RWA) activity. Within days of launch, Robinhood Chain reportedly accounted for 6.9% of all tokenized stockholders, based on Token Terminal data referenced in the coverage.

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Why some see the launch as a stronger “ETH is money” thesis

Ether’s price reaction has added fuel to the optimism. The article notes that Ether rose roughly 15% from $1,582 on July 1 to $1,825 by July 13, citing Coingecko price data.

Commentators linked the price strength to Robinhood Chain as reinforcement of an “ETH is money” argument—one that emphasizes ETH’s role as the base asset underpinning Ethereum settlement and collateral usage rather than just its share of transaction fees.

On July 11, World Liberty Financial’s Eric Trump posted on X that “ETH is pumping hard,” while Tom Lee, chairman of BitMine Immersion Technologies, argued on X that the launch supports the idea that “ETH is money,” pointing to Ethereum’s native gas role and L2 finality on the mainnet.

Developer commentary also leaned toward a milestone framing. Alex Gluchowski, founder and CEO of Matter Labs (the developer behind zkSync), described Robinhood Chain as a milestone showing L2 infrastructure has moved from experimentation by crypto teams to usage by regulated, publicly listed companies. He also characterized Robinhood’s approach as tailoring an Ethereum rollup for privacy, compliance, and performance while inheriting Ethereum’s security and staying connected to its liquidity.

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Bitwise’s Max Shannon, quoted in the article, suggested the significance goes beyond prior L2 deployments. He argued it reflects growth of the Ethereum ecosystem among major institutions and arrives as Ethereum broadens its push toward institutional engagement through initiatives referenced in the report.

But value-accrual questions remain unresolved

Even with institutional participation, the core investment question has not been fully answered: how does rising L2 usage translate into measurable economic value for ETH holders?

The coverage highlights a key tension between two ways of thinking about ETH upside. One view treats ETH as a revenue-generating asset tied to L1 fee capture and burn. The other treats ETH as money—gaining value as it becomes the widely accepted collateral and settlement asset across a growing number of L2 systems.

Ark Invest’s Lorenzo Valente posted on July 14 that Robinhood Chain generated $816,000 in revenue since launch, with Arbitrum taking a 10% cut and only about 0.15% of the total reportedly paid back to Ethereum. The article also includes pushback from GrowThePie, which argued Valente’s numbers were off by a factor of four and that 0.6% is the correct share.

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Regardless of which proportion is accurate, the broader point remains: even if Robinhood Chain is among the busiest L2s, the portion of fees attributed to Ethereum L1 appears small in the near term. The article adds that, while Robinhood generated more gas fees than any other L2 in the past week (citing a post referencing “Matze” and GrowThePie), Ethereum’s L1 only received $4,400 from that activity.

Gluchowski argued that ETH’s appreciation likely would not hinge on fee revenue alone. Instead, he said the asset’s value could strengthen as ETH becomes more widely used as a base monetary asset across the L2 environment—particularly as value settles through Ethereum and ETH becomes less “just a fee token.” He also suggested that users might pay for activity with stablecoins or not think about gas directly, yet ETH could still benefit from its underlying role in settlement and collateralization.

Institutional builders may not mean users hold ETH directly

Shannon acknowledged that upgrades such as Fusaka have improved Ethereum’s scaling capabilities, but he said rising transaction activity hasn’t yet translated into meaningfully higher L1 fees or ETH burn. In his view, Robinhood Chain won’t “solve this problem,” and neither will the aggregate growth of L2s without a broader shift in developer incentives and in Ethereum’s token economics.

The coverage also flags another practical uncertainty: whether institutional users actually need to hold ETH themselves. As tokenized stocks and other RWAs increasingly trade against stablecoins, some users may interact less with ETH day to day—despite ETH’s role in running settlement and securing the ecosystem behind the scenes.

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Robinhood Chain therefore appears to be both a promising signal and a reminder of the gap between adoption and accrual. It demonstrates that a large, regulated financial brand is willing to build on Ethereum’s infrastructure, but it does not yet provide a conclusive pathway for how that activity should translate into stronger demand for ETH from end users.

For investors and builders, the next watch items are straightforward: whether L2 growth continues to expand Ether collateral and usage over time, whether L1 fee and burn effects move meaningfully beyond current baselines, and whether Ethereum’s economics evolve enough to ensure value from institutional L2 activity doesn’t get stranded entirely on the rollups.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Watch Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh testify live before Senate banking committee

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Watch Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh testify live before Senate banking committee

[The stream is slated to start at 10 a.m. ET. CNBC Television will start the stream when the event begins. Please refresh the page if you do not see a player above.]

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh testifies Wednesday before the Senate Banking Committee, facing questions over the the economy and how various factors might impact interest rates.

Part of congressionally mandated Capitol Hill appearances for the central bank leader, Warsh spoke Tuesday to the House Financial Services Committee. During his remarks, he reaffirmed the Fed’s commitment to fighting inflation though he gave few clues about the direction of monetary policy.

Legislators tried baiting Warsh into commenting on fiscal and political matters, but he largely avoided the topics, stressing the importance of the Fed staying focused on its assigned responsibilities.

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Read more:
Warsh pledges Fed policy ‘regime change’ to rid inflation ‘tax’ on American people
Kevin Warsh names members of his Federal Reserve task forces, including Marc Andreessen, Doug McMillon
Fed meeting minutes to show ‘family fight’ over rates. The squabble could drag on for a while

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Circle wins legal fight over Heka’s USDC minting and redemption account

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How the GENIUS Act made USDC wall street's stablecoin

Circle has secured a court-backed arbitration win after records made public in a Boston federal court detailed why the stablecoin issuer suspended Heka Funds’ USDC minting and redemption services over suspected market manipulation involving Tether.

Summary

  • Circle has won an arbitration case after an arbitrator ruled it lawfully suspended Heka Funds’ USDC minting and redemption services.
  • Court records said Heka did not disclose Tether’s role as the fund’s main investor and Circle reasonably suspected possible market manipulation.
  • The ruling comes as Circle continues expanding its institutional business with new banking initiatives and partnerships in the United States and South Korea.

Court filings submitted by Circle on Tuesday as part of its petition to confirm a February arbitration award said the company concluded the Malta-based arbitrage fund had failed to disclose Tether’s role as its principal investor and reasonably suspected trading activity that could have manipulated the USDC market.

Retired judge Robert L. Dondero, who served as arbitrator, ruled in Circle’s favor on the remaining contract claims, finding the company acted within the rights granted under its agreements with Heka.

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Hidden Tether ties became central to the dispute

At the center of the case was Heka Funds, managed by London-based Abraxas Capital Management, which opened a Circle account in January 2022 for its Elysium Global Arbitrage Fund.

According to the arbitration record, Heka disclosed only investor Simon Grima during onboarding, while Tether had become the fund’s dominant capital provider. Testimony from Heka founder Fabio Frontini showed Tether’s investment reached about $800 million by the time of arbitration, accounting for roughly 75% of Elysium’s assets.

Dondero concluded the omission was intentional and wrote that the missing disclosure appeared designed to avoid revealing Tether’s involvement in the fund. Circle Chief Business Officer Kash Razzaghi testified that the company would not have approved the account had it known of Tether’s role when the relationship began.

The trading dispute emerged after Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse in March 2023 temporarily pushed USDC below its dollar peg. According to the filings, Heka bought discounted USDC in secondary markets and redeemed the tokens with Circle at face value after many other arbitrage firms had stopped once the spread narrowed.

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Internal Circle communications presented during arbitration showed executives disagreed over whether the trades represented legitimate arbitrage. Razzaghi described the activity as “a manufactured arb not a market-driven one,” attributing it to Tether waiving its normal fees, while Circle employee David Norton initially argued the trades appeared commercially rational.

Circle allowed Heka to redeem more than $587 million in USDC over a two-week period while testing whether the trading opportunity depended on Heka’s activity. Court records said Norton later changed his position after asking Heka to pause its trades and observing that the market spread tightened instead of widening. Coinbase also informed Circle it was uncomfortable working with Heka because of the fund’s Tether relationship and fee structure, leading the exchange to place restrictions on the account, according to the filings.

Arbitrator upholds Circle’s contractual rights

Court documents showed Circle reduced Heka’s minting and redemption limits to zero in November 2023 before suspending the account on Dec. 1 under Section 9(c) of the parties’ master services agreement after Frontini threatened legal and regulatory action.

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Heka’s request to redeem $100 million in February 2024 was rejected, and the master services agreement expired the following month. Testimony presented during arbitration said Tether invested another $500 million in Elysium during the same month before Heka filed its arbitration claim.

Another issue raised during the proceedings involved Frontini’s application for an account with Circle France shortly before the hearing. According to the arbitration award, he did not disclose the ongoing dispute and submitted a board resolution stating Heka maintained an active Circle relationship, later testifying he expected his U.S. application to fail.

Applying Delaware law, Dondero found Circle did not breach either agreement because the user terms allowed the company to adjust transaction limits and suspend services at its discretion. The arbitrator also ruled Circle was not required to prove market manipulation had occurred, only that it had reached a reasonable conclusion that such activity might be taking place.

Although Circle requested about $5.15 million in legal fees and costs, Dondero awarded only $166,643.25 related to expert work after finding Heka continued pursuing a $49 million lost-profits claim that had already been excluded from the case.

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A Heka spokesperson told the Financial Times the fund had never engaged in market manipulation and had never been the subject of a regulatory investigation involving such conduct. The spokesperson also said Circle sought to make the arbitration record public to divert attention from its refusal to process USDC redemptions.

The disclosure comes as Circle continues expanding its institutional business globally. The company recently received final approval from the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency to establish Circle National Trust and is preparing to host its invitation-only Current Seoul event on July 23, where executives from banks, crypto exchanges, and payments companies are expected to discuss future partnerships as Circle pursues wider USDC adoption in South Korea.

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High-level White House meeting said to be planned to hash out Clarity Act ethics section

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High-level White House meeting said to be planned to hash out Clarity Act ethics section


The most contentious piece of the crypto market structure bill is unresolved in the final weeks of Senate runway, and administration officials are expected to meet on it.

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Japan Enacts Crypto Regulatory Overhaul to Apply Financial Rules

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Crypto Breaking News

Japan has approved revisions to its cryptocurrency law, reshaping how digital assets are treated under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA). According to a report by Nikkei, the changes passed in parliament on Wednesday mark a major regulatory shift away from the country’s earlier approach under the Payment Services Act.

The updated framework aims to place crypto closer to traditional finance, adding market-integrity measures and strengthening oversight for businesses operating in Japan. It also introduces insider trading restrictions and tighter controls around registration and compliance.

Key takeaways

  • Japan’s parliament passed revisions that treat crypto assets as financial assets under the FIEA, moving the sector away from Payment Services Act rules.
  • The overhaul introduces insider trading restrictions for issuers, exchanges, and other market participants who have undisclosed material information.
  • Penalties are expected to increase substantially for companies that operate without proper registration.
  • Registered crypto firms may be reclassified under the law, reflecting a broader effort to align terminology and oversight with traditional financial regulation.

From payment-focused rules to a financial-assets framework

Under Japan’s previous regulatory approach, crypto assets were largely treated through the lens of the Payment Services Act (PSA), which framed digital assets primarily as payment-related instruments. The revisions now classify crypto assets as financial assets under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA), according to Nikkei.

That distinction matters for compliance design. When regulators bring crypto into the FIEA perimeter, firms typically need to follow expectations associated with market conduct, disclosure, and supervision—areas that are more familiar to traditional brokerage and trading environments than to payment processors.

Insider trading limits and stronger market-integrity expectations

The revised rules tighten conduct requirements across the ecosystem. As described in the Nikkei report, issuers, exchanges, and other market participants are prohibited from trading while aware of undisclosed material information.

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The legal structure is intended to mirror insider trading restrictions used in traditional finance (TradFi). For exchanges and other intermediaries, this can change day-to-day controls—such as how material information is documented, who can access it, and how trading is managed around significant corporate events.

While the details of enforcement mechanisms are not laid out in the excerpt provided, the existence of an insider trading rule signals regulators’ intent to treat crypto markets as subject to the same fairness and integrity standards expected in regulated securities and derivatives markets.

Heavier penalties for operating without registration

Japan’s revisions also reportedly increase the consequences for firms that conduct business without the required registration. Nikkei reports that the maximum prison term could rise from three years to 10 years, and fines could increase from roughly 3 million yen (about $19,000) to around 10 million yen.

The report further notes that insider trading violations could lead to penalties of up to five years in prison, fines of up to 5 million yen, or both. In practical terms, these changes elevate legal risk for firms that fail to meet compliance obligations—or for employees who trade or influence trades without controls that align with the new rules.

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For traders and investors, stronger penalties can also shift how firms approach internal governance, potentially affecting market behavior and the reliability of corporate and exchange disclosures over time.

Reclassification of crypto businesses and the “TradFi alignment” trend

Alongside the substantive changes, the revised framework reportedly adjusts the wording used for registered entities. The terminology may move from “cryptocurrency exchange” to “cryptocurrency trading company,” reflecting the broader role regulators now associate with the sector.

Japan’s approach fits a wider global pattern: rather than crafting entirely separate legal regimes for crypto, many jurisdictions are mapping digital asset activity onto existing financial regulation categories. That trend is visible in other policy work described in related coverage from Cointelegraph, including a report noting South Africa’s tax authority draft guidance on how existing tax rules apply to crypto assets.

In the United States, regulators have similarly continued clarifying how existing securities and commodities frameworks can apply to different kinds of digital asset activity, underscoring that the “crypto-as-finance” direction is not unique to Japan.

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What Japan’s shift means for market participants

For crypto exchanges and other intermediaries, the immediate challenge is operational: aligning compliance systems with a legal regime that more closely resembles traditional market regulation. That likely includes stronger oversight processes, clearer documentation around material information, and more robust controls over who may trade and when.

For investors, the change is primarily about predictability. When conduct rules and penalties look closer to those used in established financial markets, participants may have more confidence that trading behavior is subject to comparable integrity standards. The longer-term question is how strictly and consistently the new rules will be applied as the market adapts.

Readers should watch for subsequent guidance on implementation—particularly around registration requirements, compliance expectations for exchanges and issuers, and how authorities will interpret “material information” in practice. Those details will determine how quickly Japan’s crypto market can transition into the new framework and what compliance gaps, if any, remain to be addressed.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Crypto Firms Warned of AML Compliance Risks After MiCA Migration, AMLA Chair Says

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Crypto Breaking News

EU crypto compliance is entering a potentially turbulent phase after the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) transitional period ended on July 1, pushing more businesses—and more customers—into the post-transition licensing environment. Bruna Szego, chair of the EU’s anti–money laundering authority AMLA, warned that a wave of user migration could create operational and compliance strain for virtual asset service providers (VASPs) across the bloc.

Speaking during a briefing with the European Parliament’s Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs on Wednesday, Szego said providers should expect pressure as customers “rush to withdraw” and as licensed firms take on new users. Her comments underline a key risk for the next stage of EU crypto supervision: whether firms can keep anti–money laundering controls effective while business models and customer flows shift quickly.

Key takeaways

  • AMLA chair Bruna Szego warned that end-of-transition customer movement could intensify operational and compliance pressure on EU crypto VASPs.
  • As MiCA’s transitional period ended on July 1, firms that are not properly authorized were expected to wind down EU activities “immediately,” per ESMA guidance.
  • AMLA has advised both licensed providers onboarding new customers and firms winding down to keep anti–money laundering controls functional through the transition period.
  • AMLA says it will publish a report before year-end assessing money laundering risks and supervisory practices, including differences between EU member states.
  • The authority is also expanding its blockchain analytics capabilities to strengthen oversight of crypto-asset service providers.

Why MiCA’s transition ending raises compliance stress

MiCA’s transitional period was designed to give the market time to adapt to a new regulatory framework. But with the clock now fully expired, Szego suggested the change could trigger behavior that compliance departments may not be able to absorb smoothly at scale.

In her remarks, she focused on two pressure points. First, entities winding down their EU operations may face customer withdrawal surges, which can strain internal processes and monitoring systems. Second, licensed crypto firms that remain active under MiCA may see onboarding volumes increase as they absorb users migrating away from less-compliant platforms.

The practical implication is straightforward: even if firms are formally compliant, rapid customer migration can still challenge the day-to-day execution of know-your-customer and transaction monitoring controls—especially if migration happens faster than expected.

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AMLA’s advisory note and the compliance balancing act

Ahead of the July 1 deadline, AMLA published an advisory note highlighting money laundering risks linked to the end of the transitional period. According to the advisory guidance, firms should take targeted steps depending on where they sit in the transition—either scaling down EU activities or onboarding customers within the licensed perimeter.

Szego emphasized that AMLA expects providers to maintain efficient compliance procedures during the transition rather than treating the changeover as a mere administrative milestone. For winding-down firms, the focus is on ensuring controls do not degrade during periods of change. For licensed providers, the concern is that adding customers rapidly should not dilute anti-money laundering safeguards.

AMLA’s positioning also suggests a supervisory priority: AMLA is effectively drawing attention to “transition risk”—the idea that business continuity and compliance discipline can be hardest during periods of structural adjustment.

ESMA’s wind-down expectation after the deadline

MiCA’s end-state requirement is that crypto asset service providers must be licensed to keep serving EU customers after the transitional period. The deadline was paired with expectations for what unauthorized providers must do next.

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Cointelegraph previously reported on the July 1 transition ending, citing ESMA’s view that service providers still not authorized by then must take “immediate” steps to wind down their EU activities. That regulatory posture matters for Szego’s concern because wind-down periods can produce concentrated customer actions—such as withdrawals—that may test operational readiness.

In other words, even if the licensing rule is clear on paper, the market’s adjustment phase can create real-world friction points that AMLA intends to monitor closely.

What AMLA plans to publish—and what to watch next

AMLA chair Bruna Szego said the authority will publish a report before the end of the year covering money laundering risks in the crypto sector and describing supervisory practices across the EU. She added that AMLA is expanding blockchain analytics capabilities to improve its ability to oversee crypto-asset service providers.

The report is also expected to assess how national authorities supervise crypto-asset service providers and highlight differences in supervisory approaches across member states. For market participants, this matters because uneven enforcement can translate into uneven compliance expectations and timelines—particularly during periods of rapid migration and customer churn.

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Szego indicated AMLA intends to use the findings to coordinate follow-up work with national regulators where needed, aiming for more consistent anti-money laundering oversight throughout the bloc.

For investors, traders, and users, the main question for the coming months is whether licensed platforms can maintain strong onboarding and monitoring standards as they absorb new customers—and whether winding-down firms can handle withdrawal waves without compliance controls becoming secondary. AMLA’s year-end assessment and its growing analytics focus will likely determine how regulators refine expectations for the post-transition phase.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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A timeline of the Ethereum Foundation’s ongoing shakeup

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A timeline of the Ethereum Foundation's ongoing shakeup

Welcome to The Protocol, CoinDesk’s tech newsletter covering the most important stories in blockchain. I’m Margaux Nijkerk, a reporter at CoinDesk.

We’re giving you a deeper look at the biggest trends, breakthroughs and debates shaping blockchain technology each week.

This week, we’re unpacking the timeline of all the changes at the Ethereum Foundation since the year began.

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Open USD poses new threat to Circle by challenging USDC’s core business model, CoinShares says

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Open USD poses new threat to Circle by challenging USDC’s core business model, CoinShares says

USDC’s circulating supply has fallen to about $73 billion from nearly $80 billion in March, trimming its share of the roughly $312 billion stablecoin market as competition from newly regulated issuers intensifies.

Circle shares fell more than 17% on the day Open USD was announced, though CoinShares said the decline was likely amplified by technical selling linked to the Russell index reconstitution.

Still, the report argued the market may be overreacting. Open USD has yet to launch, important details remain unresolved and Circle retains a significant advantage through USDC’s deep liquidity and years of integrations across exchanges, DeFi and payments.

Open USD is unlikely to pose a major threat to Tether, whose dominance in emerging markets and offshore dollar liquidity gives USDT, the largest stablecoin by far, a different competitive moat, the report added.

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For now, investors should watch whether Circle changes its distribution strategy and whether Open USD can convert its high-profile backing into adoption, CoinShares said. Until then, the project remains a credible, but unproven, challenge to USDC.

CoinShares is not alone in noting the challenge posed by Open USD. Japanese investment bank Mizuho downgraded Circle to underperform from neutral and slashed its price target to $50 from $85 in a note to clients on Tuesday, arguing that the new rival’s business model threatens the stablecoin issuer’s long-term economics.

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Strive bought STRC instead of holding ‘idle cash,’ lost over $4M

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Strive bought STRC instead of holding 'idle cash,’ lost over $4M

Following Michael Saylor’s advertisements likening STRC to a high-yield bank account or money market, Strive swapped $50 million of the cash it had in March for STRC, and soon added another $500,000.

As of a new filing, the asset manager quietly disclosed that its shares were worth just $44.18 million as of July 10, a paper loss of roughly $6.3 million excluding dividends.

Although it published a glowing press release about its purchase, the admission of loss sat otherwise unannounced in an SEC filing, tucked between cash and BTC balances.

Unlike the purchase, no press campaign trumpeted the loss.

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The instrument that Strive pitched as a cash-like hold has lost about 12% of its value relative to cash, and the dividends it received from holding STRC came nowhere close to closing that gap.

Strive used over a third of its cash holdings at the time for its STRC purchase.

All-time stock chart of STRC by Strategy with dividend dates flagged. Source: TradingView

What Strive said it was buying

CEO Matt Cole, who serves at Strive after years managing money at the California pension giant CalPERS, initially sold the trade as prudent treasury management.

Incredibly, he claimed at the time that Strive opted for STRC “instead of holding idle cash earning low yields in money market funds.”

Although STRC is nothing like a money market and has, in fact, lost 28% of its value at its June 26 low, Strive initially claimed that STRC would “provide strong yield dynamics while maintaining stable price behavior.”

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Obviously, it hasn’t.

Unlike a bank account or money market, STRC fluctuates in price daily on the Nasdaq stock exchange. Strategy says it should trade close to its $100 par value due to its fine-tuning of dividend rates, a dubious mechanism Protos has documented at length.

Strive even counted its STRC shares toward its own so-called “reserve” backing dividends on its competing product, SATA, another quasi-stable, dividend-paying stock.

Unlike an insured savings product, neither STRC nor SATA offer guarantees to preserve principal, offer deposit insurance, nor provide rights to redeem at par from the company. 

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Whatever a Nasdaq trader will pay is what the shares are actually worth.

Read more: No amount of cash can fix STRC’s trust problem

Strive starts wishing it had just held cash

Strive’s $5.8 million unrealized loss on its $50 million purchase actually understates the extent to which it bet went poorly. 

To be precise, the company bought 500,000 shares at STRC’s full $100 par in March. It never bothered to bid for a discount — a mistake that cost it dearly.

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Sometime before April 2, Strive quietly added about 5,000 more shares. The extra stake was worth roughly $500,000, lifting the true outlay to about $50.5 million. Indeed, its April 6 filing pegged its holdings at $50.5 million.

From there, STRC began to drift lower, soon collapsing into free fall and shedding roughly a quarter of its value within two weeks. 

As leverage unwound and prices of every BTC treasury company collapsed alongside the asset itself, STRC bottomed at an all-time low of $71.25 on June 26.

At that price, Strive’s 505,000 shares were worth $36 million. That is, in other words, a hole of more than $14 million against the $50.5 million it once held.

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After negative $14 million, negative $6 million is less worse

As of July 10, the price of STRC had “recovered” to make Strive’s $14 million unrealized loss “only” roughly negative $6 million.

That volatility and commensurate risk is sadly comparable to the cost of doing nothing with all of its $50.5 million initial cash position.

Measured against Strive’s $50.5 million cost basis, the company’s unrealized loss excluding dividends is roughly $6.3 million, or 12.5%.

Strive’s loss stood at about $1.8 million, or 3.7%, when Protos checked in early June.

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The numbers are now more than three times as bad.

Dividends haven’t made up for STRC’s crash

To be fair, STRC has paid dividends along the way, so those payments have softened the blow ever so slightly.

Over Strive’s holding period since March, STRC’s annualized dividend rate has been close to 11.5%, and Strive has been holding long enough to collect 4.5 months worth of dividends.

In other words, it’s received roughly 4.4% on its principal — still far from enough to recover from its 12.5% unrealized loss on the lower value of its shares.

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Even after adjusting for dividends received, Strive had still lost over $4 million holding STRC versus simply holding cash as of July 10. STRC closed yesterday a mere 1% higher than July 10, so updating the math to current prices would barely budge.

In summary, Strive’s failed swap of cash for STRC is simply a consequence of believing advertisements from Strategy and its founder. Strategy’s own BTC treasury is deeply underwater to the tune of billions of dollars, and STRC’s slide reflects doubt that Strategy can sustain the stock anywhere close to $100 per share

Companies holding STRC and Strategy’s other securities have paid the price.

Strive told shareholders STRC would be better to hold than idle cash. Idle cash, it turns out, would have at least maintained its dollar value.

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Ripple (XRP) News Today: July 15

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The company behind the popular cryptocurrency XRP has been quite active lately, announcing strategic partnerships and unveiling interesting initiatives.

The token remains the subject of numerous price predictions, with analysts split between ultra bulls and those calling for a brutal crash in the near future.

All the Latest Stuff

On July 4th, the USA celebrated its 250th Independence Day, and Ripple joined the festivities. The company teamed up with a nonprofit dedicated to helping unemployed veterans find high-quality jobs after service. The mission is to assist 200,000 people by 2030, with Ripple matching donations up to $10,000. Earlier today, the firm announced that 25 veterans have been selected to receive a $10K grant.

Another recent development also shows Ripple’s growing presence outside traditional crypto initiatives. It joined the x402 Foundation as a premier member alongside Coinbase and Circle.

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The project focuses on building open-source standards for AI-powered payments, allowing agents to send, receive, and verify transactions across various networks. Speaking on the collaboration was Markus Infranger, senior vice president of RippleX, who said:

“Open standards like x402 help lay the foundation for trusted, interoperable machine-to-machine payments.”

Other major Ripple achievements as of late include its full authorization as a Crypto Asset Service Provider (CASP) in the European Union and the company’s marketing partnership with the Kansas Jayhawks.

The ETFs Lose Momentum

The launch of the first spot XRP ETF in the US, with 100% exposure to the asset, was a long-awaited event and was expected to increase interest in the token. This became reality in November 2025 when Canary Capital introduced its product, while Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, 21Shares, and Grayscale followed suit shortly after.

The financial vehicles were indeed met with great investor enthusiasm, and for many months inflows consistently exceeded outflows. However, there was a sudden turn towards the end of June, and the red days started popping up.

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This indicates that conservative investors, such as pension funds and hedge funds, have started reducing their exposure to XRP, which can negatively impact its price. Data from last week shows that the multi-month green-only streak was finally broken, with over $7 million leaving the funds.

Spot XRP ETFs
Spot XRP ETFs, Source: SoSoValue

XRP Price Outlook

As of press time, the asset trades at around $1.11, representing a 3% increase on a daily scale. Recall that the entire crypto market headed north on July 14 after news that US inflation came in lower than expected.

Crypto X is rammed with analysts who, despite the recent volatility and overall weakness, keep calling for new all-time highs. Among them are Crypto Patel, envisioning an explosion to $9, and Celal Kucuker, projecting a possible rise to $7 later this year.

The bears, though, also have their strong arguments. X user Diana noted that XRP recently briefly lost the $1.08 support, which could trigger a short-term sell-off to as low as $0.87.

The post Ripple (XRP) News Today: July 15 appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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