Connect with us
DAPA Banner
DAPA Coin
DAPA
COIN PAYMENT ASSET
PRIVACY · BLOCKDAG · HOMOMORPHIC ENCRYPTION · RUST
ElGamal Encrypted MINE DAPA
🚫 GENESIS SOLD OUT
DAPAPAY COMING

Crypto World

What It Signals for ETH’s Outlook

Published

on

Crypto Breaking News

Robinhood’s newly launched Ethereum layer-2, built on Arbitrum technology, has quickly become one of the busiest rollups in the ecosystem—prompting fresh debate over a familiar question in Ethereum scaling: do successful L2s ultimately lift demand for ETH, or do they mainly capture value for themselves?

According to Cointelegraph’s reporting and data it cites, more than $141 million in Ether was bridged to Robinhood Chain in its first two weeks. DeFiLlama’s Ether distribution data also indicates that more than half a million wallets now hold ETH on the network. Activity has spilled into trading as well: Robinhood Chain has reportedly surpassed Ethereum L1 and Coinbase’s Base L2 in 24-hour DEX volume.

Key takeaways

  • Robinhood Chain’s rollout has boosted attention on whether L2 adoption can translate into stronger ETH demand.
  • Bridged Ether and wallet growth on the L2 are clear early signals, but that does not automatically mean higher L1 fee revenue or burn.
  • Industry participants differ on what drives ETH upside: fee-share economics versus ETH’s role as “money” across L2 ecosystems.
  • Even if major institutions build on Ethereum, it remains uncertain how much of that activity requires users to hold ETH directly.

Robinhood Chain’s rapid traction puts institutions in the spotlight

Robinhood Chain launched on July 1 and, per the activity figures cited above, has rapidly drawn users and liquidity. In its first two weeks, the network drew meaningful Ether bridging volumes and grew to more than 500,000 wallets holding ETH on the chain, according to DeFiLlama.

What has drawn more interest than the underlying rollup concept is the sponsor: Robinhood is a publicly listed retail brokerage with tens of millions of customers. Prior waves of L2 growth—often associated with crypto-native teams—failed to materially shift market pricing for ETH, largely because much of the economic action stayed on the rollups rather than flowing back to Ethereum L1.

This time, the narrative is different: Robinhood has brought a mainstream financial brand into the L2 arena, and early signals suggest it is integrating into broader real-world asset (RWA) activity. Within days of launch, Robinhood Chain reportedly accounted for 6.9% of all tokenized stockholders, based on Token Terminal data referenced in the coverage.

Advertisement

Why some see the launch as a stronger “ETH is money” thesis

Ether’s price reaction has added fuel to the optimism. The article notes that Ether rose roughly 15% from $1,582 on July 1 to $1,825 by July 13, citing Coingecko price data.

Commentators linked the price strength to Robinhood Chain as reinforcement of an “ETH is money” argument—one that emphasizes ETH’s role as the base asset underpinning Ethereum settlement and collateral usage rather than just its share of transaction fees.

On July 11, World Liberty Financial’s Eric Trump posted on X that “ETH is pumping hard,” while Tom Lee, chairman of BitMine Immersion Technologies, argued on X that the launch supports the idea that “ETH is money,” pointing to Ethereum’s native gas role and L2 finality on the mainnet.

Developer commentary also leaned toward a milestone framing. Alex Gluchowski, founder and CEO of Matter Labs (the developer behind zkSync), described Robinhood Chain as a milestone showing L2 infrastructure has moved from experimentation by crypto teams to usage by regulated, publicly listed companies. He also characterized Robinhood’s approach as tailoring an Ethereum rollup for privacy, compliance, and performance while inheriting Ethereum’s security and staying connected to its liquidity.

Advertisement

Bitwise’s Max Shannon, quoted in the article, suggested the significance goes beyond prior L2 deployments. He argued it reflects growth of the Ethereum ecosystem among major institutions and arrives as Ethereum broadens its push toward institutional engagement through initiatives referenced in the report.

But value-accrual questions remain unresolved

Even with institutional participation, the core investment question has not been fully answered: how does rising L2 usage translate into measurable economic value for ETH holders?

The coverage highlights a key tension between two ways of thinking about ETH upside. One view treats ETH as a revenue-generating asset tied to L1 fee capture and burn. The other treats ETH as money—gaining value as it becomes the widely accepted collateral and settlement asset across a growing number of L2 systems.

Ark Invest’s Lorenzo Valente posted on July 14 that Robinhood Chain generated $816,000 in revenue since launch, with Arbitrum taking a 10% cut and only about 0.15% of the total reportedly paid back to Ethereum. The article also includes pushback from GrowThePie, which argued Valente’s numbers were off by a factor of four and that 0.6% is the correct share.

Advertisement

Regardless of which proportion is accurate, the broader point remains: even if Robinhood Chain is among the busiest L2s, the portion of fees attributed to Ethereum L1 appears small in the near term. The article adds that, while Robinhood generated more gas fees than any other L2 in the past week (citing a post referencing “Matze” and GrowThePie), Ethereum’s L1 only received $4,400 from that activity.

Gluchowski argued that ETH’s appreciation likely would not hinge on fee revenue alone. Instead, he said the asset’s value could strengthen as ETH becomes more widely used as a base monetary asset across the L2 environment—particularly as value settles through Ethereum and ETH becomes less “just a fee token.” He also suggested that users might pay for activity with stablecoins or not think about gas directly, yet ETH could still benefit from its underlying role in settlement and collateralization.

Institutional builders may not mean users hold ETH directly

Shannon acknowledged that upgrades such as Fusaka have improved Ethereum’s scaling capabilities, but he said rising transaction activity hasn’t yet translated into meaningfully higher L1 fees or ETH burn. In his view, Robinhood Chain won’t “solve this problem,” and neither will the aggregate growth of L2s without a broader shift in developer incentives and in Ethereum’s token economics.

The coverage also flags another practical uncertainty: whether institutional users actually need to hold ETH themselves. As tokenized stocks and other RWAs increasingly trade against stablecoins, some users may interact less with ETH day to day—despite ETH’s role in running settlement and securing the ecosystem behind the scenes.

Advertisement

Robinhood Chain therefore appears to be both a promising signal and a reminder of the gap between adoption and accrual. It demonstrates that a large, regulated financial brand is willing to build on Ethereum’s infrastructure, but it does not yet provide a conclusive pathway for how that activity should translate into stronger demand for ETH from end users.

For investors and builders, the next watch items are straightforward: whether L2 growth continues to expand Ether collateral and usage over time, whether L1 fee and burn effects move meaningfully beyond current baselines, and whether Ethereum’s economics evolve enough to ensure value from institutional L2 activity doesn’t get stranded entirely on the rollups.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

DTCC moves tokenized securities into live trading, marking a milestone for Wall Street’s blockchain push

Published

on

DTCC, Wall Street's clearinghouse, works with blockchains to tokenize corporate actions

DTCC safeguards more than $114 trillion in securities, making it one of the most important pieces of financial market infrastructure. Every day, it records ownership and settles transactions involving stocks, bonds and other securities. Rather than creating new digital assets, DTCC’s system converts existing securities into blockchain-based “digital twins” that retain the same legal ownership, dividend and governance rights as the underlying assets.

That distinction separates DTCC’s approach from many tokenized stock offerings available today.

Some crypto platforms issue tokenized “wrappers” that mirror a stock’s price but do not necessarily provide investors with the legal rights associated with owning the underlying shares.

DTCC’s model instead allows institutions to convert existing securities between traditional electronic records and blockchain-based tokens without changing ownership.

Advertisement

“They’re the ones who are flipping from one settlement regime to the next,” Mark Wendland, CEO of Canton Strategic Holdings, said in an interview. “I cannot understate the importance of a firm like DTC piloting and doing these real transactions given the role they play in U.S. financial markets.”

Throughout the day, participants demonstrated several use cases. JPMorgan converted holdings of the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF into tokenized assets before using tokenized collateral to satisfy central counterparty margin requirements with CME Group. DTCC also processed tokenized Treasury transactions, equity trades and collateral pledges, while the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, one of the world’s largest ETFs, was also tokenized during the event.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

BlackRock joins DTCC’s $114T tokenization push for stocks and Treasurys

Published

on

Tokenized U.S. Treasuries keep RWA lead as tokenized equities accelerate

BlackRock has joined a Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation pilot that has begun tokenizing stocks and U.S. Treasuries within a market infrastructure that safeguards about $114 trillion in assets.

Summary

  • DTCC has launched a tokenization pilot with BlackRock, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and nearly 40 financial firms.
  • Microsoft, Circle, QQQ, SPY, and BlackRock Treasury ETF are among the first assets being tokenized.
  • The pilot uses Hyperledger Besu and Canton, while Stellar-based custody tokenization is planned for 2027.

According to a Wall Street Journal report, BlackRock, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Vanguard, the New York Stock Exchange, and nearly 40 financial firms are participating in DTCC’s latest tokenization initiative.

The pilot focuses on securities already held at the clearinghouse, allowing participating firms to test blockchain-based versions of traditional financial assets while keeping them within DTCC’s existing custody framework.

Advertisement

Live tokenization begins with major public market assets

The first phase of the pilot has started with DTCC tokenizing shares of Microsoft and Circle alongside the Invesco QQQ Trust, the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF, and BlackRock’s iShares 0–3 Month Treasury Bond ETF. DTCC has stated that these tokenized assets will be stored at the clearinghouse using blockchain infrastructure.

Participating firms will use the assets in live blockchain transactions covering collateral transfers, repo agreements, and equity trades during the trial. The program is expected to move into its formal operational phase in October after the current testing period.

Separately, DTCC confirmed through a live update that JPMorgan completed the first conversion in the pilot by turning shares of the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF into a tokenized real-world asset.

Advertisement

According to DTCC, the conversion demonstrates that tokenized versions of traditional securities can function inside existing market infrastructure while preserving the same liquidity, investor protections, transparency, and ownership rights as the underlying assets.

Private blockchain leads current rollout while public network plans continue

Rather than using public layer-1 blockchains such as Ethereum or Solana, DTCC has chosen to settle transactions on either its private Hyperledger Besu blockchain or the Canton Network, depending on the infrastructure selected by participating institutions. The approach keeps settlement within permissioned blockchain environments designed for regulated financial markets.

Meanwhile, the project arrives as tokenization continues to gain traction across major financial institutions. The United Kingdom’s Treasury is also advancing a £33 billion tokenization initiative through its Wholesale Digital Markets Taskforce, with BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs among the firms participating in that effort.

Additional plans extend beyond the current pilot. As previously reported by crypto.news, DTCC and the Stellar Development Foundation are preparing DTC custody asset tokenization services on the Stellar public blockchain.

Advertisement

The partners have targeted the first half of 2027 for the launch of live tokenized assets, introducing Stellar as one of the public blockchain networks in DTCC’s developing multi-chain tokenization strategy.

For now, however, the active pilot remains centered on permissioned blockchain infrastructure, giving participating firms an opportunity to test tokenized securities within DTCC’s existing clearing and custody system before the program expands further.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Ostium Perp DEX Hit for $18 Million in Brutal Oracle Exploit

Published

on

Ostium TVL. Source: DefiLlama

Arbitrum’s RWA perpetual platform Ostium lost nearly $18 million USDC today after attackers compromised an oracle signer key and manipulated prices.

The root cause was a compromised oracle signer private key. This allowed the attacker to bypass verification checks and submit favorable future prices. They executed around 20 looped trades through delegated actions, instantly profiting at the protocol’s expense without genuine market exposure.

Exploit Drains One-Third of Vault in Hours

Security firm Blockaid first flagged the incident, indicating that the attacker used a registered PriceUpKeep forwarder and future-dated authorized oracle reports to generate artificial trading profits. This triggered repeated open-and-close loops that drained funds from Ostium’s main liquidity vault.

Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens

On-chain data shows roughly $11.86M–$18M USDC extracted from the vault, representing about 28% of its $63 million TVL at the time of the attack. The primary exploit transaction is publicly verifiable on Arbiscan.

Ostium TVL. Source: DefiLlama
Ostium TVL. Source: DefiLlama

Ostium is a leading decentralized perpetuals exchange focused on real-world assets, including equities, commodities, forex, and indices, built on Arbitrum.

Major Backing Meets Major Setback

The protocol had raised approximately $27.8 million from top-tier investors including General Catalyst, Jump Crypto, Coinbase Ventures, Wintermute, and GSR.

Despite strong institutional support and multiple audits, the incident exposes persistent risks in oracle-dependent RWA infrastructure.

Advertisement

The exploit is under active investigation. Users should monitor official channels for withdrawal guidance and security updates. The event highlights the need for hardened oracle key management and real-time monitoring in hybrid DeFi protocols.

As the RWA perpetuals sector grows rapidly, this breach serves as a timely reminder: even well-funded projects remain vulnerable to private-key and oracle attacks.

The post Ostium Perp DEX Hit for $18 Million in Brutal Oracle Exploit appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Aave Brings V4 to Avalanche as Tokenized Asset Market Grows

Published

on

Aave Brings V4 to Avalanche as Tokenized Asset Market Grows

Decentralized lending protocol Aave has launched V4 on Avalanche, marking the first expansion of its latest lending infrastructure beyond Ethereum and setting the stage for future lending markets backed by tokenized real-world assets.

The deployment introduces Aave V4’s Hub & Spoke architecture, which allows specialized lending markets to operate with their own collateral requirements and risk parameters while drawing on shared liquidity across the protocol.

According to Aave, one of the first planned markets on Avalanche will support borrowing against tokenized assets.

The architecture is designed to support a broader range of collateral than previous versions of the protocol, Aave’s statement said. As well, future specialized markets on Avalanche could support tokenized assets including US Treasurys, money market funds, private credit and corporate bonds, each with customized collateral requirements and risk parameters.

Advertisement

Aave is the largest decentralized lending protocol by total value locked, with nearly $14 billion in assets across 23 blockchains, according to DeFiLlama data.

Source: DefiLlama

Related: Aave brings V3 lending and GHO stablecoin to Monad 

Tokenized assets move beyond issuance

The launch comes as financial institutions and blockchain firms are fast building infrastructure and partnerships that allow tokenized assets to be used as collateral across traditional and decentralized finance.

In February, Franklin Templeton partnered with Binance to let institutions use tokenized money market fund shares as off-exchange collateral while keeping the underlying assets in regulated custody.

Advertisement

The following month, Nasdaq announced plans to integrate its collateral management platform with Talos’ digital asset infrastructure to streamline institutional workflows for managing tokenized collateral. The integration is intended to combine collateral management, risk monitoring and trade surveillance within a single platform for institutional digital asset trading.

Market infrastructure providers have also entered the space. In May, DTCC said it would integrate Chainlink technology into its tokenized collateral platform to support near real-time movement, valuation and settlement of tokenized collateral ahead of a planned fourth-quarter launch.

More recently, the push has expanded into institutional lending. On Wednesday, Grove announced a $500 million warehouse lending facility with Galaxy Digital to finance institutional crypto-backed loans using blockchain-based infrastructure.

Tokenized real-world assets have become one of the fastest-growing sectors of the digital asset industry. According to RWA.xyz, more than $34 billion worth of real-world assets are currently tokenized on public blockchains, up from about $12.8 billion a year ago.

Advertisement

Magazine: Is Robinhood Chain’s success bullish or bearish for ETH the asset?

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

US PPI Lands Soft, Fed Rate Hike Odds Lower as Bitcoin Price Reclaims $65,000

Published

on

Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Performances. Source: TradingView

US PPI inflation fell 0.3% in June, the first monthly decline since August 2025. Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed $65,000 and Ethereum (ETH) topped $1,900 as traders cut bets on a July Fed rate hike.

The producer data landed one day after consumer inflation also missed forecasts. Together, the two reports have shifted market expectations decisively against further Federal Reserve tightening this month.

Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Performances. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Performances. Source: TradingView

PPI Inflation Reinforces the Disinflation Trend

Bureau of Labor Statistics data showed headline PPI at 5.5% year-over-year, below the 6.2% consensus. Core PPI eased to 4.7% against a 5.2% forecast. May’s monthly rise was also revised down from 1.1% to 0.6%.

The 0.3% monthly drop was the sharpest since April 2025. Only a month ago, annual PPI stood at 6.5%, its highest level since December 2022.

Advertisement

Energy drove most of the relief. Gasoline prices fell 12%, accounting for nearly two-thirds of the 1.4% slide in final demand goods.

Even after that drop, gasoline remains nearly 43% higher than a year earlier. Services held firmer, with trade margins up 0.4%.

The print builds on the CPI surprise a day earlier, when consumer inflation cooled faster than economists anticipated. Both reports strengthen the case for lower Treasury yields, supporting equities and digital assets alike.

Fed Hike Odds Collapse as Crypto Rallies

CME FedWatch data now shows an 87.7% probability that the Fed holds rates at 3.50% to 3.75% on July 29. Hike odds dropped to 12.3%.

Advertisement
Fed target rate probabilities for July 29 after soft PPI inflation data, Source: CME Group
Fed target rate probabilities for July 29 after soft PPI inflation data, Source: CME Group

The repricing came fast. Markets saw a 31% chance of a hike just one week ago, before consecutive soft inflation reports flipped the positioning.

The central bank held rates steady at Chair Kevin Warsh’s first meeting in June, flagging inflation risks from artificial intelligence spending.

Warsh struck a harder tone in congressional testimony a day before the release, saying the central bank has

“No tolerance for persistently elevated inflation,” Kevin Warsh, Federal Reserve Chair said in his testimony.

Bitcoin traded near $65,256 after the release, up 2.5% in 24 hours. Ethereum gained 3.6% to $1,930, its first move above $1,900 since early June.

The rebound liquidated nearly $100 million in crypto shorts within 30 minutes. A similar short squeeze fueled Bitcoin’s recovery in early July, when weak jobs data drove BTC to the $62,000 area.

Advertisement

Still, the relief may prove fragile. Gasoline drove much of June’s decline, and oil has pushed above $85 after President Donald Trump announced a Strait of Hormuz blockade on Monday.

The waterway carries about one-fifth of the world’s oil. A hotter energy print could stall the disinflation story as soon as next month.

The next test for BTC sits at the $66,000 resistance zone that has capped gains since mid-June.

Advertisement

The post US PPI Lands Soft, Fed Rate Hike Odds Lower as Bitcoin Price Reclaims $65,000 appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Chris Murphy brands CLARITY Act Trump’s crypto corruption shield

Published

on

Santiment flags Bitcoin euphoria after CLARITY win

Democratic Senator Chris Murphy has accused the CLARITY Act of protecting President Donald Trump’s crypto business interests, intensifying a Senate fight over the digital asset bill just as lawmakers prepare for a floor vote.

Summary

  • Chris Murphy has accused the CLARITY Act of shielding Trump’s crypto business interests.
  • Senate Democrats are demanding stricter conflict-of-interest rules before backing the bill.
  • The Senate is expected to begin considering the CLARITY Act between July 15 and July 20.

According to statements made during a July 14 Capitol Hill press conference, Murphy argued that the legislation, in its current form, would fail to prevent the president from profiting from an industry that Congress is attempting to regulate.

His remarks came shortly after Trump’s latest financial disclosure reported roughly $1.4 billion in crypto-related income, largely tied to his family’s involvement with World Liberty Financial.

Advertisement

Democratic opposition centers on conflict-of-interest provisions

Speaking at the press conference, Murphy described the CLARITY Act as legislation that would “essentially legalize Donald Trump’s crypto corruption scheme.”

A video of his remarks was later shared on X. Murphy argued there is little justification for creating a new crypto regulatory framework if it does not stop elected officials from benefiting financially from the sector they oversee.

Standing alongside Murphy, Senators Jeff Merkley and Chris Van Hollen repeated calls for stronger ethics rules before the bill advances. The lawmakers said they want explicit provisions preventing the president, vice president, members of Congress, and their immediate families from profiting from crypto businesses that could be affected by future regulation.

The latest criticism follows an earlier push by Senate Democrats. Five days before the press conference, ranking Democrats across five Senate committees, including Senator Elizabeth Warren, requested hearings into Trump’s crypto interests after reviewing his financial disclosures.

Advertisement

According to those lawmakers, the filings indicated that crypto ventures operated by Trump’s family generated most of his reported income.

Those ethics concerns have become a central issue as the Senate debates legislation that would divide oversight of digital assets between the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission while also establishing consumer protection rules and restricting a U.S. central bank digital currency.

Senate vote approaches as negotiations continue

Attention has now shifted to the Senate calendar after Senator Cynthia Lummis confirmed on July 15 that the joint Banking and Agriculture Committee draft has been completed and is ready for introduction on the Senate floor.

Trump has separately urged lawmakers to move quickly on the CLARITY Act, although his financial disclosures have added fresh political pressure to that request. The Senate version has been under negotiation for more than ten months, with discussions over stablecoin yield provisions joining the debate alongside ethics concerns.

Advertisement

Industry groups continue to support the legislation despite the political dispute. Coinbase executives have argued that clear crypto rules are necessary to keep U.S. digital asset markets competitive with jurisdictions such as China and the European Union, describing regulatory certainty as a national security issue.

For crypto investors, the legislative timeline remains important because many analysts continue to link institutional participation in digital assets with regulatory certainty in the United States. XRP, in particular, has frequently been viewed by market participants as one of the assets most sensitive to progress on the CLARITY Act because of its long-running regulatory history.

The next phase is expected between July 15 and July 20, when Lummis has indicated the Senate floor process could begin. Whether Senate Majority Leader John Thune schedules the bill quickly, or negotiations over conflict-of-interest provisions delay its consideration, will determine how the legislation moves through its final stage and whether Democratic ethics demands become part of the final package.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Scott Bessent confirms Fort Knox full of gold despite Musk’s claims

Published

on

Scott Bessent confirms Fort Knox full of gold despite Musk's claims

Early in Donald Trump’s second term, his special advisor, Elon Musk, began to promote a conspiracy theory that suggested that Fort Knox didn’t contain the gold it was supposed to.

This was always nonsensical; documents released in Trump’s first term confirm that the Treasury Office of Inspector General conducts “audits of United States Mint Custodial Gold Schedules” on an annual basis.

This audit “includes an inspection of all gold compartments and joint seals to verify the compartments are locked, and the seals are in-tact and have not been tampered with.”

Furthermore, despite Musk promoting the claim that the gold hadn’t been seen since 1974, during Trump’s first term it was actually visited by then Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and then Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, and photos of them inside the vault were released.

Advertisement

Read more: Zero Hedge invited to White House press pool despite lies about Fort Knox gold

Recently, Scott Bessent, the current treasury secretary, went on Jesse Watters’ show on Fox News and confirmed that all the gold is present and accounted for — over $1 trillion worth in total.

Musk, for his part, hasn’t posted about this most recent confirmation, with his last X post about Fort Knox coming in February of last year.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

Advertisement

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bitcoin Reaches $65.5K as Surprise US Inflation Data Lifts BTC to 3-Week High

Published

on

Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin pushed to a fresh three-week high on Wednesday, riding a wave of relief after US inflation data cooled for a second straight session. The move brought BTC/USD to $65,500—its highest level since June 22—while risk assets strengthened as traders recalibrated expectations for Federal Reserve policy.

The rally, however, has not erased caution among market participants. Traders highlighted nearby liquidity hurdles and pointed to historical price behavior around key moving-average levels, suggesting Bitcoin could face renewed selling pressure if it fails to hold above critical zones.

Key takeaways

  • BTC/USD traded up to around $65,500, the highest since June 22, after US Producer Price Index (PPI) data came in cooler than expected.
  • The improving inflation picture supported a more favorable tone for risk assets and reduced certainty around near-term Fed rate hikes, according to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.
  • Despite the breakout attempt, traders emphasized tight order-book liquidity levels around $65.6K and $67.2K that could determine whether the move extends.
  • Analysts noted Bitcoin is nearing a 50-month exponential moving average (EMA), a technical area that has previously corresponded with rejection during bear-market-style setups.

Bitcoin’s move tracks a cooler inflation print

Price action accelerated after the latest US Producer Price Index reading for June. Per data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the year-on-year PPI rate for final demand was 5.5%, following a 0.3% monthly decrease.

In the BLS release, the agency explained that the June movement in the index for final demand reflected price changes across goods and services: “the index for final demand goods… fell 1.4 percent,” while “the index for final demand services moved up 0.2 percent.” The PPI report is available via the BLS official news release.

The PPI data followed Tuesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) surprise to the downside, which had already lifted Bitcoin. As earlier coverage noted, CPI came in weaker than expected despite macro pressures, including the US-Iran conflict and its knock-on effects on oil prices.

Advertisement

Market participants interpreted the combination of PPI and CPI softness as further evidence that inflation pressures are easing, which in turn can influence expectations for how quickly—and how aggressively—the Fed will tighten or hike rates. Economist Mohamed El-Erian described the PPI results as “much better-than-expected” and suggested the numbers could boost equities and temper expectations for further interest-rate hikes, in a post on X: elerianm’s update.

Fed expectations shift as traders reprice rate odds

Beyond Bitcoin-specific dynamics, Wednesday’s strength aligns with a broader shift in interest-rate expectations. CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicated changes to probability assumptions for the September FOMC decision, showing that a 0.25% hike was no longer the single most likely scenario.

That repricing matters for crypto because Bitcoin frequently trades like a high-beta macro asset during periods when funding conditions are expected to loosen or tightening risks appear to fade. When traders perceive a lower likelihood of additional hikes, appetite for risk tends to improve—often translating into more aggressive bids in liquid assets like BTC.

Additional commentary pointed to falling inflation expectations. The Kobeissi Letter referenced bets tracked via Polymarket’s prediction activity, arguing that inflation expectations continued to decline, based on the service’s users’ outlook.

Advertisement

Order-book levels and moving-average resistance in focus

Even with the upside momentum, traders appeared reluctant to declare the rally fully confirmed. Much of the near-term debate centered on whether Bitcoin can clear immediate liquidity pockets and hold them long enough to trigger sustained buying.

Trader Daan Crypto Trades emphasized that liquidity above the current area sits around the $65.6K region and, more importantly, at $67.2K, describing those levels in an X post: Daan Crypto Trades. In the same update, the trader argued that breaking above the $67.2K liquidity zone could convert the move into “a bigger move,” potentially reopening the path toward the $70K-plus area—positioning Bitcoin inside the middle of its commonly referenced $60K–$80K range.

On the technical side, Rekt Capital highlighted that BTC was approaching its 50-month exponential moving average (EMA). In past market cycles, such moving averages can act as inflection points; the argument, tied to “bear-market history,” is that if price behaves similarly, it may face rejection at or near the EMA rather than continuing cleanly higher.

That caution was echoed by trader Killa, who referenced a statistical pattern from the prior 12 months and suggested BTC could “derisk for the remainder of the month” and potentially push back down if the historical behavior repeats.

Advertisement

What to watch next for confirmation or reversal

For traders, the immediate question is whether Bitcoin can build acceptance above the liquidity zones highlighted by market participants—particularly around $67.2K—and whether it can avoid rejection as it tests the 50-month EMA area noted by analysts. With rate expectations still sensitive to incoming data and Fed messaging, the next inflation or central-bank headline could quickly shift the balance again.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bitcoin (BTC) price rally cools as investors digest inflation data, oil clouds outlook: Crypto Daily

Published

on

Bitcoin (BTC) price rally cools as investors digest inflation data, oil clouds outlook: Crypto Daily

Bitcoin’s rally on Tuesday petered out as investors considered a weaker-than-forecast U.S. inflation figure wasn’t enough to prompt a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut.

While it’s still 3% higher over 24 hours, the largest cryptocurrency has dropped 0.5% since midnight. Ether (ETH), up 4.7% in 24 hours, has also pulled back by 0.5%.

On Polymarket, the perceived odds of a rate increase plunged from 34% to 6.7% after the data came out. Bettors now weigh a 93% chance the Federal Reserve will leave rates unchanged this month, and the CME’s FedWatch shows 30-day fed funds futures prices indicating just a 14.4% chance of an increase.

“Crypto’s reaction to the latest CPI report shows the market is becoming more selective in how it interprets macro signals,” Markus Levin, co-founder of XYO, told CoinDesk. “While falling inflation reduces pressure on markets and improves the outlook for risk assets, traders are no longer assuming that every favourable inflation print will automatically lead to rate cuts or new all-time highs.”

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

South Korea’s new economic roadmap is a massive bet on blockchain technology

Published

on

South Korea’s new economic roadmap is a massive bet on blockchain technology

South Korea plans to update its 76-year-old national asset management system to formally include virtual currencies and intellectual property in the country’s definition of national assets, according to the Ministry of Economy and Finance’s economic policy roadmap released Wednesday.

The proposal contemplates revising the National Property Act, which dates back to 1950, and includes plans to create a broader legal framework for managing state-owned assets. The ministry reiterated plans to start a pilot program for tokenized government bonds in 2027, saying blockchain technology has the potential to reduce transaction costs and speed up transfers.

Officials are also studying the tokenization of state-owned real estate to allow retail investors to participate and share in investment returns, according to the plan.

The announcement builds on South Korea’s broader push to bring blockchain into public finance. Earlier this year, the Finance Ministry said it would begin testing tokenized deposits for government spending in the fourth quarter. The Bank of Korea has already started trials of its central bank digital currency (CBDC) with commercial banks.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2025