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Osterweis Capital Management Q3 2026 Strategic Income Outlook
Osterweis Capital Management was founded in 1983 to serve the portfolio management needs of high net worth individuals and institutions. We believe the best way to protect and grow assets is through carefully selected, high conviction portfolios that are designed to capture upside in favorable markets and limit downside during selloffs. We manage equities and fixed income, which are available through mutual funds and separate accounts. Note: This account is not managed or monitored by Osterweis Capital Management, and any messages sent via Seeking Alpha will not receive a response. For inquiries or communication, please use the firm’s official channels. Mutual fund investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible. Distributed by Quasar Distributors, LLC.
Business
Apple’s OLED iPad Mini Reportedly Coming This October as Prices Keep Rising Amid Global RAM Shortage
Apple is reportedly preparing to launch an OLED display upgrade for the iPad Mini as soon as October, according to Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman, marking what would be the most significant redesign for the compact tablet since it was last overhauled in 2021. The upgrade, however, is expected to arrive alongside another price increase for the popular device, continuing a trend that has affected much of Apple’s product lineup this year.
The OLED iPad Mini has been the subject of rumors for months, with Gurman previously reporting that the upgraded display would come paired with a higher price tag. That expectation has only strengthened in recent weeks. Apple raised prices across its Mac and iPad lineup last month, pushing the cost of the current iPad Mini up by $100. Given that context, any new OLED version of the tablet is expected to carry an even steeper price than its predecessor once it launches. Earlier reporting had suggested a starting price increase of roughly $100 for the OLED model specifically, which would put the tablet’s starting cost in the range of $599, though final pricing has not been confirmed.
The broader price pressure facing Apple’s product lineup stems from an unprecedented global memory chip shortage that has rippled across the consumer electronics industry throughout 2026. Apple raised prices on its entire Mac and iPad lineup, along with its home devices and the Vision Pro headset, in late June, citing what the company described as an extraordinary and rapid increase in component costs. In a statement at the time, Apple said, “We have never seen a component price increase this much, this quickly. We have shielded our customers from these increases so far, but we have now reached a point where we need to begin raising prices.” The starting price of the MacBook Air rose to $1,299 from $1,099 as part of that round of increases, while Apple’s lower-cost MacBook rose to $699 from $599.
Apple Chief Executive Tim Cook has described the scale of the memory shortage in stark terms, characterizing the situation as a “hundred-year flood” during discussion of the company’s pricing decisions. The shortage has been driven largely by the explosive growth in demand for memory chips tied to artificial intelligence data center infrastructure, with major memory manufacturers redirecting production capacity away from consumer electronics and toward high-bandwidth memory used in AI applications. According to research firm TrendForce, DRAM prices surged 98% in the first quarter of 2026 alone, with projections for a further increase of 58% to 63% in the following quarter.
The three companies that dominate global memory chip production — Micron, SK Hynix and Samsung, which together control roughly 95% of the market — have increasingly prioritized supply agreements with AI infrastructure companies like Nvidia, which has signed long-term contracts reserving future memory production capacity. That shift has effectively pushed consumer devices like laptops and tablets toward the back of the supply queue, forcing device makers to compete for remaining memory supply at prices dictated by the broader shortage.
Apple was notably among the last major consumer hardware companies to formally pass these rising memory costs on to customers, having absorbed a portion of the increased costs for longer than many of its competitors before ultimately raising prices in June. Other major electronics makers, including manufacturers of gaming consoles and personal computers, had already begun raising prices or reducing specifications on new products earlier in the memory shortage, with Samsung’s Galaxy S26 smartphone notably launching with less storage and a higher price than its predecessor as a direct result of the constrained supply environment.
The OLED iPad Mini is not the only upcoming device expected to be affected by the shortage and Apple’s broader shift toward higher pricing. According to Gurman, Apple is also planning upgrades to both the iPad Air and the base iPad model, with those refreshes expected to arrive early next year. The base iPad is expected to receive a relatively modest update centered on a new processor, without major changes to its overall design. The iPad Air, meanwhile, is expected to eventually receive its own OLED display upgrade, though that transition is reportedly still some time away, with earlier rumors suggesting the Air’s OLED upgrade may not arrive until sometime next year, after an initial refresh expected this spring. Gurman has also indicated that updates to the iPad Pro lineup and Apple Pencil could arrive as soon as next spring, continuing Apple’s gradual rollout of OLED technology across its tablet lineup.
Apple’s decision to raise prices has already had a visible impact on its stock. Shares of the company fell more than 6% on the day the June price increases were announced, marking one of Apple’s largest single-day declines in several months, as investors weighed the potential impact of higher prices on consumer demand against the necessity of offsetting rising component costs.
Broader forecasts for the PC and tablet market have also grown more cautious as a result of the memory shortage and the price increases it has triggered across the industry. Research firm IDC has projected that the global PC market will contract by 11.3% in 2026, a decline researchers have attributed in part to the price sensitivity that rising costs are expected to accelerate among consumers weighing new device purchases.
For now, Apple has held pricing steady on its iPhone, Apple Watch and AirPods lineups, even as it has signaled that further price adjustments to other products remain possible as the memory shortage continues. With the iPhone 18 expected to launch in September, industry watchers have speculated that Apple may eventually be forced to extend price increases to its flagship smartphone line as well, particularly if the memory shortage persists into next year as current forecasts suggest. In the meantime, the OLED iPad Mini’s expected October debut will offer an early test of how consumers respond to Apple’s higher post-shortage pricing on one of its most popular smaller devices.
Business
Form 4 Associated Banc-Corp For: 16 July

Form 4 Associated Banc-Corp For: 16 July
Business
Big Tech Isn’t Doing Its Part to Offset Chip Weakness
Yesterday the PHLX Semiconductor Index ended the session down 2%, but the Nasdaq closed in the green, up 0.6%.
Today the chip index is down roughly 4.4%, but the Nasdaq is also trading lower, down 1%. So, what’s different?
Look no further than Big Tech. Yesterday, most of the Magnificent Seven megacap tech stocks saw notable gains, leading the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF up more than 2.3%.
Business
Fossil to close up to 15 stores in 2026 as turnaround plan shrinks retail footprint
FOX Business’ Madison Alworth speaks with Gary Bierton, co-founder of Classic Football Shirts in New York City, about the surge in World Cup jersey sales for Team USA and other international teams.
Fossil Group plans to close up to 15 stores this year as the watch and accessories company continues trimming its global retail footprint under a broader turnaround plan focused on costs, profitability and balance-sheet strength.
Executives for the Richardson, Texas-based company said on Fossil’s first-quarter earnings call that the company shuttered seven stores during the quarter and expects total closures to reach up to 15 locations in 2026. The closures would leave Fossil with about 185 stores globally by the end of the year, Chief Financial Officer Randy Greben told investors.
The store cuts come as Fossil works to stabilize its business after years of pressure on sales. The company reported first-quarter net sales of $224.8 million, down from $233.3 million a year earlier. Its net loss attributable to Fossil Group narrowed to about $810,000 from $17.6 million in the prior-year quarter, while operating income improved to $12 million from an operating loss of $6.7 million.
BELOVED AMERICAN ICE CREAM CHAIN SHUTTERING DOZENS OF STORES NATIONWIDE

The store cuts come as Fossil works to stabilize its business after years of pressure on sales. (Gary Hershorn/Getty Images)
Fossil had 193 stores worldwide as of April 4, down from 220 a year earlier, according to its latest quarterly filing. The company closed 28 stores and opened one over that period, leaving it with 92 stores in the Americas, 47 in Europe and 54 in Asia.
The company has already made a larger pullback from brick-and-mortar retail. Fossil said in its annual filing that it closed 49 underperforming retail stores in fiscal 2025 as part of a turnaround plan aimed at refocusing the company on its core business, rightsizing its cost structure and strengthening its balance sheet.

Fossil had 193 stores worldwide as of April 4. (Krisztian Bocsi/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)
Fossil’s turnaround plan also included a corporate workforce reduction and the transition of certain smaller international markets to a distributor model. The company said those moves helped it achieve about $100 million in selling, general and administrative cost savings in fiscal 2025 compared with fiscal 2024.
| Ticker | Security | Last | Change | Change % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOSL | FOSSIL GROUP INC. | 4.00 | -0.03 | -0.74% |
The company is not abandoning stores altogether. CEO Franco Fogliato told investors that Fossil had “significantly scaled back” its downsizing plan because of improved performance in full-price stores. Fossil has also said its 2026 strategy includes reducing the pace of store closures while focusing on profitable growth, operating-model improvements and shareholder value.

Fossil’s products are sold in about 132 countries through company-owned sales subsidiaries and independent distributors. (Roberto Machado Noa/LightRocket via Getty Images)
Still, Fossil has acknowledged risks tied to physical retail. In its annual filing, the company said traffic to its stores depends heavily on the success of the malls and retail centers where they are located. Fossil warned that declining mall traffic, anchor-store closures or the closure of a significant number of malls where it operates could weigh on its results.
Fossil’s products are sold in about 132 countries through company-owned sales subsidiaries and independent distributors. As of Jan. 3, the company operated 88 retail stores and 111 outlet stores, primarily under the Fossil brand.
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FOX Business reached out to Fossil Group for comment.
Business
Star of the West focuses on sustainability

New STAR program designed to create value for farmers.
Business
Netflix (NFLX) earnings Q2 2026
In an aerial view, the Netflix logo is displayed at a company office on May 12, 2026 in Los Angeles, California.
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images
Netflix is set to report quarterly earnings on Thursday as the media industry faces consolidation, spinouts and intensified competition.
Here’s how Netflix is expected to perform for the period ended June 30, according to estimates from analysts polled by LSEG:
- Earnings per share: 79 cents estimated
- Revenue: $12.59 billion estimated
Wall Street has been particularly interested in the progress Netflix has made with its cheaper, ad-supported tier — a theme that’s likely to carry into the second quarter. As streaming subscriber additions have slowed in recent years, advertising has once again become a major revenue driver for media companies.
Earlier this year, Netflix said it was on track to reach $3 billion in advertising revenue in 2026. This would double its ad revenue year over year.
The company has also been facing a slew of new questions in recent months.
Late last year, Netflix made a play for Warner Bros. Discovery‘s film and streaming business before ultimately walking away from the deal. The proposed deal set off a flurry of speculation about if Netflix is now interested in buying other assets.
In general, the media industry has been in a period of upheaval as streaming has changed the longstanding pay TV business and tech players like Google‘s YouTube and TikTok have continued to grab more screen time away from traditional forms of media.
Earlier this year when defending its move to acquire assets from WBD, Netflix management said it was facing intense competition in a broad landscape of viewing choices.
Netflix’s stock has fallen about 40% in the past year, which was further accelerated when it sought to acquire WBD.
Still, Netflix is considered far ahead of the streaming pack when it comes to its subscribers. In January the company said it had 325 million global paid members.
Investors have also been concerned about engagement on Netflix’s platform following recent reports that viewership for Netflix series drops following the first season.
A Keybanc report earlier this week said investor sentiment and concerns are a callback to 2022, when the company reported a loss of subscribers for the first time in more than 10 years. That prompted Netflix to ramp up various business initiatives, including its ad-supported tier and a crackdown on password sharing.
“This time around, we believe levers will likely center around content and product diversification that aid perceived content quality, and support better monetization per hour,” Keybanc analysts said in Sunday’s report.
In April, Netflix said it expects second-quarter revenue to rise 13%, but reiterated its earlier warning that higher content spending would be weighted in the first half of the year due to the timing of releases. The company said at the time that it expects the content amortization growth rate to lower in the second half of the year.
Business
Study finds artificial colors negatively impact consumer purchases

Shoppers seeking insight on new natural sources of color.
Business
Jamie Dimon says AI job loss fears are overblown, touts reskilling
FOX Business host Charles Payne discusses the market shift driven by artificial intelligence on Making Money.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon on Wednesday said there is still a lot of uncertainty over how AI will impact the workforce and people shouldn’t be “breathless” in their concerns as new technologies have historically created new jobs.
Dimon said in a conversation with Sen. Dave McCormick, R-Pa., at the Pennsylvania Defense and Innovation Summit that “we don’t really know” about the impact of AI on the workforce as the emerging technology advances.
“I think people should stop being breathless over it. You know, it’s created a lot of jobs in our company, and yeah, there are areas where it’s reduced jobs a little bit,” Dimon said.
“Technology always creates new jobs. The question is going to be if it happens too fast, somehow, people are adopting it too fast and jobs are being lost – middle-class jobs before they could be retrained to replace,” Dimon said.
JAMIE DIMON SAYS HE UNDERSTANDS WHY PEOPLE HAVE GROWN ‘ANTI-RICH’

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said it’s unclear how AI will impact the workforce and so people shouldn’t panic over it. (Caroline Brehman/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
“We’re talking about work skills, it’s the exact same thing we should be doing anyway. That is how to fix it,” he added.
“People know, at JPMorgan, we’re going to redeploy our own people. We reskill them, retrain them,” Dimon said. “I think there are fixes for that.”
“I think we’re kind of scaring the whole world much more rapidly than we should about it,” he said.
WORKERS WHO DON’T USE AI MORE LIKELY TO BE LAID OFF, SURVEY FINDS

Dimon noted that new technologies have historically led to the creation of new jobs. (Nathan Laine/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
The JPMorgan Chase CEO said that based on experience within his company, he thinks “we all have to be more rational in how we use some of this.”
“Here’s the choice: do you save money over here because you know that you can do less, or do you simply want to do faster? I’m kind of, of the mindset, do what I want to do faster, give you better stuff quicker,” Dimon said.
JPMORGAN NAMES 2 NEW CO-PRESIDENTS, SETTING UP RACE TO SUCCEED JAMIE DIMON
| Ticker | Security | Last | Change | Change % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JPM | JPMORGAN CHASE & CO. | 346.91 | +4.02 | +1.17% |
“So the headcount won’t go down because I want to make you happier, not less happy. So people should just take a deep breath, but the planning should be around jobs – I think that planning will protect us against too rapid job loss from AI if, in fact, it ever happened,” he added.
Business
growth returns as Burnham takes office
The UK economy returned to growth in May, expanding by 0.1 per cent after contracting the previous month, handing Andy Burnham the thinnest of economic cushions as he prepares to enter Downing Street next week.
The monthly figure, published by the Office for National Statistics, was in line with City forecasts. On the more reliable three-monthly measure, gross domestic product rose by 0.7 per cent, ahead of projections of 0.5 per cent but slowing from 0.8 per cent in the previous three-month period. The economy expanded by 0.3 per cent in March.
For small business owners, the detail matters more than the headline. The growth that does exist is being generated almost entirely by services, the sector in which most of Britain’s SMEs operate. Services output rose by 0.3 per cent in May, rebounding from a 0.1 per cent fall in April, with information and communications technology, science and research, and professional services among the best performers.
The picture elsewhere is bleaker. Output in production contracted by 0.5 per cent in May and construction fell by 0.8 per cent, Liz McKeown, the director of economic statistics at the ONS, said. For builders, manufacturers and the supply chains of smaller firms that depend on them, the second quarter has offered little comfort.
The timing is awkward for the incoming prime minister. The economy outperformed at the start of the year, registering quarterly growth of 0.6 per cent, but has slowed sharply since, hit by the rising energy prices that have already pushed up costs for firms across the country. As our coverage of March’s jump in inflation to 3.3 per cent set out, fuel and energy bills are squeezing SME margins in ways that are hard to hedge and harder to pass on.
Forecasters expect annual GDP to expand in the range of 0.9 to 1.1 per cent this year, down from 1.4 per cent last year. That is the backdrop against which Burnham, who has signalled “room for movement” on tax and pledged a business rates cut for pubs and high street firms, will have to make his sums add up.
Ben Caswell, the senior economist at the National Institute for Economic and Social Research, said the “weakness in growth [will] continue into the third quarter”.
He added: “With volatile energy prices, higher inflation on the horizon, and fragile public finances, the new PM inherits a stagflationary economy and will have just under three years to turn around a tough economic situation.”
That word, stagflationary, will land uncomfortably with the eight in ten SME owners who have already told researchers they fear what a Burnham premiership means for their business. A slow-growing economy with inflation on the way up leaves little room for the tax rises his critics expect, or the spending his supporters demand.
For now, the message for business owners is one of watchful pragmatism. Growth has returned, but only just, and it is services firms doing the heavy lifting. Whether the new government lightens their load or adds to it will become clear soon enough. The autumn Budget suddenly looks a long way off, and very close indeed.
Business
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) earnings Q2 2026
UnitedHealth Group on Thursday posted second-quarter earnings that blew past estimates and raised its full-year profit outlook, as the company better manages high medical costs and uses AI to help streamline operations.
The largest private insurer in the U.S. said it expects 2026 adjusted earnings of $19.50 to $20 per share, up from a previous outlook of more than $18.25 per share. UnitedHealth is maintaining its full-year revenue guidance of greater than $439 billion. But CFO Wayne DeVeydt said in an interview that he expects the company to “do better than that” given the second-quarter beat.
Still, he said medical costs in the quarter remained “elevated over historical levels” – an issue that has dogged the broader insurance industry for more than two years.
“These results are not a reflection of trend bending or coming under control, but rather our efforts to start pushing down what is already an elevated number,” DeVeydt said.
Here’s what the company reported for the second quarter compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:
- Earnings per share: $6.38 adjusted vs. $4.90 expected
- Revenue: $112.03 billion vs. $110.85 billion expected
The company’s stock jumped more than 7% in morning trading.
UnitedHealth’s turnaround plan is gaining momentum following restructuring and an executive shuffle designed to counter challenges in the industry. The healthcare giant is working to stabilize margins by shrinking membership, exiting unprofitable contracts and pouring $1.5 billion into artificial intelligence to streamline operations.
DeVeydt said the company is using AI to improve both efficiency and patient care. For example, AI is helping speed up processes like prior authorizations and improve payment accuracy by detecting potential fraud, waste and abuse. That can help lower costs while improving patient care. AI tools are not determining whether care is approved or denied, he said.
“I would say the turnaround, and I would emphasize that on our culture, it’s really happening … that turnaround is translating to strong, strong earnings,” DeVeydt told reporters. “So it shows that when we can do things the way we think they should be done, that we can be both a solution and be profitable.”
But he emphasized that the turnaround is a “multiyear journey.”
The company posted second-quarter net income of $5.48 billion, or $6.04 per share, compared with $3.41 billion, or $3.74 per share, in the same period a year ago. Excluding items like business divestitures, restructuring and the expected reduction of reserves for unprofitable contracts, UnitedHealth earned $6.38 per share.
Revenue climbed to $112.03 billion from $111.62 billion in the prior-year quarter. The company’s insurer, UnitedHealthcare, and its Optum healthcare unit both topped analysts’ sales estimates for the quarter, according to StreetAccount.
UnitedHealth said rising healthcare costs are forcing insurers to raise premiums and adjust benefits, which is contributing to membership losses in both Affordable Care Act exchange plans and privately run Medicare Advantage plans. The company said revenue has remained stable because higher pricing is offsetting the decline in enrollment.
But DeVeydt said that dynamic “is not a good thing for the system long term.”
UnitedHealthcare served 48.5 million people in the second quarter, down 525,000 from the previous quarter. DeVeydt attributed membership declines largely to affordability pressures driven by higher healthcare costs, forecasting a loss of roughly 500,000 ACA exchange members and 1.1 million Medicare Advantage members in 2026.
Insurers, particularly those that run Medicare Advantage plans, have been pinched by an influx of people seeking care they delayed post-pandemic and high-cost specialty drugs like GLP-1s, among other factors.
But UnitedHealth’s medical benefit ratio — a measure of total medical expenses paid relative to premiums collected — came in at 86.7% for the second quarter. That’s an improvement from the 89.4% reported in the year-earlier period. A lower ratio typically indicates that the company collected more in premiums than it paid out in benefits, resulting in higher profitability.
Analysts were expecting a ratio of 88.5% for the quarter, according to StreetAccount.
The results come about a year after UnitedHealth revealed it is facing Department of Justice investigations over its Medicare billing practices.
DeVeydt said the company has no updates but continues to be “supportive” of the probe.
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