More than $1 out of every $10 of the world’s tokenized US Treasuries is issued by a company incorporated in the British Virgin Islands.

That places the small Caribbean territory behind only the United States as a key jurisdiction for the rapidly growing asset class, according to BVI Finance.

BVI Finance’s Destination Digital report in June found that BVI entities accounted for approximately $1.5 billion of the $14.98 billion global market for tokenized US Treasuries as of June 1.

A growing list of digital asset firms now call the British Virgin Islands home, including Kraken’s parent company, Payward, Bitstamp (recently acquired by Robinhood), 1inch and Bitfinex.

The territory boasts a stablecoin market cap of about $1.2 billion held in BVI-linked addresses and has roughly 28,000 stablecoin asset holders.

More than 25 virtual asset service providers (VASPs) have been approved under the BVI’s VASP regime, and, according to Bernstein Research, the Islands host 305 tokenized securities — the highest count for any single jurisdiction in the RWA.xyz dataset.

US tokenized securities distributed value by jurisdiction. Source: Destination Digital

The statistics suggest the Virgin Islands has become one of the world’s top crypto hotspots, but the reality is a little more nuanced.

Tokenized assets are designed to be borderless, and crypto projects often have the choice of which offshore jurisdiction to incorporate in.

In most cases, digital asset companies aren’t physically relocating to the Virgin Islands; they’re simply using the territory to incorporate legal entities, such as token issuers, treasury vehicles, holding companies or special purpose vehicles (SPVs).

Crypto companies aren’t just choosing BVI for tax reasons

Andrew Jowett, a partner at Appleby (BVI) Ltd who advises digital asset businesses on corporate structuring, told Cointelegraph that clients researching the BVI typically compare several jurisdictions, such as the Cayman Islands, United Arab Emirates, Singapore and Switzerland.

Despite long-held assumptions about offshore Caribbean tax havens, tax neutrality is no longer the primary driver.

Related: Dubai crypto market hits 50 licensed firms after new VARA approval

“The overriding factor for choosing the BVI has been digital asset regulation and not tax,” Jowett said. The British overseas territory does have attractive tax policies, and imposes no corporate income tax or capital gains tax on BVI companies.

But all the leading crypto hubs now have favorable crypto tax policies, meaning it’s no longer the deciding factor.

The Cayman Islands imposes no corporate income tax or capital gains tax, and the UAE has zero personal income tax or federal corporate tax on qualifying free zone entities.

“Tax neutrality is table stakes,” said Saeed Al-Marri, chief executive of digital asset infrastructure firm Ethra, which is incorporated in the BVI. He added that the BVI provides legal certainty and clarity, factors he said will determine which jurisdictions survive institutional adoption.

LTP is an institutional digital asset infrastructure provider that operates regulated entities in the BVI, Hong Kong, Australia and the UAE. Its founder and chief executive, Jack Yang, told Cointelegraph that while favorable taxation is relevant for cross-border structures, it is secondary to legal and regulatory certainty as tokenization moves further into institutional finance.

“A tax-neutral structure that cannot pass review by banks, custodians, auditors, investment committees, or regulators has limited practical value,” he said.

Number of tokenized securities by jurisdiction. Source: Destination Digital

Orest Gavryliak, chief legal officer at decentralized exchange aggregator 1inch, which is incorporated in the BVI, said that more and more decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols are choosing jurisdictions that provide predictable rules, rather than simply the lowest tax burden.

“Jurisdiction isn’t exactly becoming irrelevant, but its role is changing,” Gavryliak told Cointelegraph. “Protocols are increasingly weighing factors such as regulations, institutional credibility and long-term sustainability.”

Crypto hubs now compete on legal infrastructure

Jurisdictions vying to be “crypto hubs” like Singapore and the UAE increasingly compete via favorable legal infrastructure and licensing regimes, such as Singapore’s Payment Services Act and Dubai’s Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) rulebooks.

The BVI introduced the Virtual Assets Service Providers Act (VASP Act) in 2023, overseen by the BVI Financial Services Commission (FSC).

Compared with many larger financial centers, it offers a speedy turnaround, responds to VASP applications within six weeks and aims to complete the review process within six months, according to BVI Finance and FSC guidance.

Jowett said beyond favorable tax regimes, clients prioritize “ease of launch” and efficient corporate structuring, which has long been part of the BVI’s appeal. Companies can be set up quickly, the legal framework is flexible, and ongoing reporting is generally lighter than in onshore jurisdictions.

Related: Cayman Islands Web3 foundations jump 70% as CARF reporting rules arrive

The Virgin Islands has also historically been favored because it offers more corporate confidentiality than many larger financial centers.

While BVI companies are still subject to anti-money laundering (AML) and know-your-customer (KYC) requirements, beneficial ownership information is held by registered agents rather than a public register, which reduces disclosure requirements.

British Virgin Islands. Source: Destination Digital

However, none of the companies interviewed by Cointelegraph cited tax neutrality or greater corporate confidentiality as deciding factors for incorporating in the BVI, pointing instead to legal certainty, regulatory clarity and corporate flexibility.

Incorporating, not physically relocating to the Virgin Islands

Yang told Cointelegraph that LTP does not employ full-time staff “on the ground.” Instead, the entity is overseen by its board and supported by staff from elsewhere in the LTP group. 

The same distinction can be seen elsewhere in the industry. Kraken’s parent company, Payward, is incorporated in the BVI, but the exchange’s operations are primarily based in the United States, while 1inch’s team and operations are spread across multiple jurisdictions. 

The BVI isn’t winning the race to attract glitzy headquarters or large-scale engineering teams. Instead, it has become the legal home for many digital asset businesses, while much of the work happens elsewhere. For jurisdictions competing to attract the industry, that just may be enough.

Magazine: Singapore isn’t a ‘crypto hub’ — it’s something better: StraitsX CEO

Japanese financial services group SBI Holdings has acquired a majority stake in Holdbuild, the parent company of Singaporean crypto platform Coinhako, after receiving regulatory approval from Singapore’s central bank.

The approval from the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) enabled SBI to acquire company shares from existing shareholders through a capital injection, making Coinhako a consolidated subsidiary of SBI, the company announced on Thursday.

Coinhako holds a Major Payment Institution license under MAS through its subsidiary, Hako Technology Pte. Ltd. SBI announced its intent to acquire a majority stake in the Singaporean crypto exchange in February.

SBI said it plans to combine Coinhako’s customer base and regional network with its own financial services and digital asset businesses, including its JPYSC stablecoin initiative.

Related: Coinbase Ventures tops crypto VC list for H1 2026

Financial terms of the transaction were not disclosed. SBI did not immediately respond to Cointelegraph’s request for details on the deal.

The acquisition is part of SBI’s broader expansion in digital assets. Earlier this month, the company led a $76 million Series C funding round for institutional crypto exchange EDX Markets. It also shared plans to acquire Bitbank for $289 million, aiming to create one of Japan’s largest crypto exchanges.

SBI deepens crypto industry involvement in Asia

SBI described Singapore as a key hub in its digital asset strategy and said the acquisition would strengthen its presence in Southeast Asia. SBI said it plans to hold its first overseas branch managers’ meeting in Singapore this summer to strengthen its local business foundation.

SBI has accelerated its digital asset expansion in recent months through acquisitions, investments and tokenization initiatives. This week, the company partnered with Ondo Finance to bring tokenized Japanese stocks and integrate its JPYSC stablecoin for settlement and collateral.

In February, SBI and Startale Group unveiled Strium, a layer-1 blockchain focused on tokenized securities and real-world assets. The network is designed to support 24/7 trading, tokenized equity settlement and institutional financial applications as SBI expands its digital asset infrastructure across Japan and overseas markets.

Magazine: Dubai tops Asian crypto hubs, Taiwan passes crypto laws: Asia Express

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

The part that rattles valuations is the license. K3 is open-weight, with the full model due for public release on July 27. Anyone will be able to download it, run it on their own hardware, and pay nobody.

Anthropic released Fable 5 last month, and OpenAI shipped GPT-5.6 a week ago, both closed and metered. The assumption underwriting hundreds of billions of dollars in AI infrastructure spending is that frontier capability stays scarce, expensive and American.

A free Chinese model at the top of a coding leaderboard is a direct argument against that.

Meanwhile, Moonshot’s domestic rivals took it worst, with Z.ai falling about 27% and MiniMax about 16%.

For crypto, the headwinds run through the tape rather than through anything onchain. Bitcoin has spent this entire week taking direction from semiconductors.

Last Friday, it rose 4% on the day South Korea’s Kospi jumped 8% and SK Hynix priced $26.5 billion of American depositary shares. This Friday, it fell because a model release in Beijing made the same trade look expensive.

There is, however, a more concrete exposure underneath.

Bitcoin miners have spent two years repositioning themselves as AI data center landlords, signing long-term leases with model developers on the assumption that demand for training and inference compute keeps rising.

Bitcoin (BTC) endured a brutal first half of 2026, dropping to a multi-year low of $57,717 on July 1, a level not seen since September 2024. The flagship cryptocurrency has declined over 30% so far this year and is trading around $63,300 at the time of writing.

Improving macro conditions and whale accumulation briefly pushed BTC above $65,000 this week. However, it fell back into the red, highlighting the fragility of its recovery during current market conditions.

Bitcoin (BTC) Recovery On Shaky Ground

Bitcoin (BTC) has endured a difficult few months, falling to its lowest level since September 2024 on July 1, when it plunged to a low of $57,717. The flagship cryptocurrency has declined over 30% during the first half of 2026, and chances of a recovery remain low until ETF inflows rebound and prevailing macroeconomic conditions improve. BTC also faces the prospect of a deeper decline as investors pivot to AI stocks.

BTC extended its decline for a third day after Tuesday’s rebound and has slipped below $63,000 after stalling around the $65,000 level. While the flagship cryptocurrency has struggled, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are trading at record levels. This may suggest that the decline is BTC-specific. However, several factors are at play, including geopolitical tensions and crypto-specific factors like ETF outflows, liquidations, and Strategy’s decision to leverage some of its BTC holdings.

What’s Keeping Bitcoin (BTC) Price Action Subdued

Bitcoin (BTC) has been in the doldrums since the start of the year. The flagship cryptocurrency has been declining since hitting its all-time high in October 2025. The bullish narrative around President Trump’s victory and a crypto-friendly administration quickly faded as key crypto-specific legislation stalled. The delay in establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve and passing the CLARITY Act has had a significant impact on investor sentiment and laid bare the friction between the banking sector and the crypto industry.

Institutional demand, one of the primary drivers of BTC’s rally to its all-time high, has also declined. According to data from CoinMarketCap, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded total net inflows of $21.4 billion in 2025. In comparison, they have recorded around $5.8 billion in net outflows year-to-date, a distinct shift in investor sentiment and weakening institutional demand.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) and the threat of quantum computers have also impacted investor sentiment and price action. Capital rotation into AI stocks and initial public offerings of companies like SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic has also pulled BTC lower.

Additionally, Strategy’s decision to sell some of its BTC to fund a dollar reserve has dealt a psychological blow to the market and directly put pressure on the asset’s price. The Bitcoin treasury company has authorized selling up to $1.25 billion in BTC and has already executed two sales. The company sold 32 BTC in May for $2.5 million before liquidating 3,588 BTC for $216 million in July. Unsurprisingly, the large sale was a shock to the market, and the flagship cryptocurrency fell nearly 4% in the aftermath of the transaction.

Can Bitcoin (BTC) Price Action Recover

BTC’s recovery hinges on several factors. The passage of the CLARITY Act could be a significant boost for the market. It establishes a clear market structure to regulate the industry and could boost institutional confidence and drive adoption. The bill has advanced from the Senate Banking Committee but faces a crucial test on the Senate floor.

Spot Bitcoin ETF demand is crucial for a sustainable recovery. ETFs have registered substantial outflows so far as investors pulled capital. However, heavy outflows have slowed as sell-side pressure declines. After recording substantial outflows in June, Bitcoin ETFs have recorded considerable inflows in July, a sign that institutional interest could be returning.

BTC registered a sharp bounce after US CPI data revealed inflation declined 0.4% month-on-month in June, the first monthly decline in six years. Headline inflation fell from 4.2% to 3.5%, while core CPI fell to 2.6%. However, inflationary risks remain thanks to renewed US-Iran tensions. Escalating Middle East tensions could push oil prices higher, raising inflationary risks. The markets have also tempered expectations of a rate hike, with the probability of such a hike falling from 78% to 58%.

Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

Cointelegraph is committed to providing independent, high-quality journalism across the crypto, blockchain, AI, and fintech industries.

All news, reviews, and analyses are produced with full journalistic independence and integrity. For more details on our standards and processes, please read our Editorial Policy.

Lighter is the exchange running perpetual futures inside Robinhood Wallet. It is also the clearest attempt yet to rebuild payment for order flow on a blockchain, backed by the company that made the practice famous.

Most people encountering Lighter will not encounter it by name. They will open Robinhood Wallet, tap into perpetual futures, and trade. Underneath that tap is a separate company running a zero-knowledge rollup, taking half the revenue, and executing a strategy that would be familiar to anyone who followed the GameStop hearings. Lighter is not simply a venue Robinhood integrated. It is a bet that the most valuable thing in trading is not fees but order flow, and that the way to win the perpetual futures market is to give the trading away and sell what the trading reveals. That idea has a name in traditional finance, and the company whose name is synonymous with it is the one funding this.

What Lighter is

Lighter is a decentralized exchange specializing in perpetual futures, built as an Ethereum layer 2 using custom zero-knowledge circuits. It was founded in 2022 by Vladimir Novakovski, and launched its public mainnet in October 2025 after an extended beta.

The technical pitch addresses a real tension in on-chain derivatives. Perpetual exchanges historically had to choose: sacrifice decentralization for speed, or sacrifice speed for trustlessness. Centralized venues match orders fast and ask you to trust them. Fully on-chain venues are verifiable and slow. Lighter uses zero-knowledge rollup architecture to attempt both, processing transactions off-chain for speed while posting cryptographic proofs on-chain, which produces verifiable order matching and liquidations at latency competitive with centralized exchanges.

That matters more for perps than for most products. A perpetual futures position is leveraged and margined, which means liquidation is automatic and mechanical. If you cannot verify that a liquidation was executed correctly, you are trusting the venue at the exact moment the venue has the least incentive to be honest with you. Verifiable liquidation is not a marketing feature. It is the point.

Its token is LIT. The market has valued the project in the region of $2.75 billion fully diluted, which is a valuation built on distribution rather than on current fee revenue, for reasons the rest of this article explains.

The Robinhood relationship

The integration went live with Robinhood Chain’s mainnet on July 1, 2026, announced at the company’s The World is Flat livestream from the Old Royal Naval College in London.

The mechanics: a revamped Robinhood Wallet gives eligible users access to perpetual futures through Lighter. USDG, a dollar stablecoin, serves as both the collateral and the quote asset. Users can deposit Robinhood Chain assets into Lighter’s smart contracts as margin, and the whole experience sits inside Robinhood Wallet, so users never navigate an unfamiliar DeFi interface. When Lighter added Robinhood Chain collateral support, LIT rose roughly 15%.

Two details tell you this is a partnership and not a vendor arrangement. The revenue splits 50/50 between Robinhood and Lighter. And Lighter committed $11 million of its LIT tokens to the Robinhood community, with eligible users earning points on perp trades and double points when trading through Robinhood.

The history behind it runs further than the deal. Robinhood Ventures participated in Lighter’s $68 million funding round in November 2025, which valued the company at roughly $1.5 billion. Tenev serves as an advisor to Lighter and has publicly called it a step forward for decentralized infrastructure. And Novakovski and Tenev share a professional history stretching back over a decade, with Novakovski having mentored Tenev early in his career. Novakovski described the deal as twelve years in the making, which reads as hyperbole until you notice that Robinhood picked a perps partner run by the person who mentored its CEO.

Lighter frames the Robinhood integration as its first Domain, a template for how the exchange plans to scale: rather than acquiring users directly, it becomes the engine underneath someone else’s front end.

The order flow model

Here is the part that makes Lighter interesting instead of merely well-connected.

Lighter offers zero fees to retail traders. That is not a promotional rate. It is the business model. The revenue comes from the other side: sophisticated firms and high-frequency traders pay for premium accounts that give them access to the venue’s order flow.

Anyone who followed the 2021 retail trading hearings will recognize this immediately. In traditional equity markets, Robinhood does not charge commissions. It routes its customers’ orders to market makers such as Citadel and Virtu, who pay for the privilege. The industry term is payment for order flow, and the economic logic is that retail orders are valuable precisely because they are uninformed. A market maker filling a retail order is unlikely to be trading against someone who knows something. Filling an order from a sophisticated fund is dangerous, because that fund may well know something the market maker does not. Uninformed flow is profitable to intermediate. Informed flow is toxic.

Lighter reproduces that structure on-chain. Aggregate uninformed retail flow by making it free, then monetize access to it. The valuation logic follows: at a multibillion-dollar fully diluted value, the bet is not that Lighter will eventually raise fees. It is that if Lighter becomes the default engine behind Robinhood Wallet’s crypto users, the value of that order flow to market makers rises accordingly. Retail flow crossing over from stock trading is generally less sharp than crypto-native flow, which makes it more valuable to the firms buying access.

That is a genuinely coherent strategy and it is also the reason Lighter’s current fee generation looks thin against competitors running conventional models. The company is not trying to earn on volume. It is trying to own the pipe.

A worked example of the flow trade

The order flow argument is abstract until you price it, so walk the logic the way a market maker would.

Imagine two venues, each routing $200 billion of monthly perpetual futures volume. The first is crypto-native, populated by professional traders, arbitrage desks, and funds running systematic strategies. The second is retail crossover, populated by people who mostly trade equities and take directional views on Bitcoin when it is in the news.

To a market maker, those two order books are not remotely the same asset, and the identical volume figure conceals the difference. On the professional venue, a large share of incoming orders carry information. When a systematic fund lifts your offer, there is a meaningful chance it knows something about the next few seconds that you do not, and you are now holding inventory that is about to move against you. The industry term is toxic flow, and market makers price it by widening spreads, which is the cost of being adversely selected.

On the retail venue, the incoming orders are largely uninformed in the technical sense. Not stupid, and not badly intentioned, simply not carrying private information about the immediate direction of price. A market maker filling those orders can hedge calmly and earn the spread with far less adverse selection. That flow is worth substantially more per dollar of volume, and firms will pay for access to it.

Now the business model resolves. Lighter gives retail trading away for free, because the free trading is what aggregates the valuable flow. It sells premium access to the firms that want to interact with that flow. The more retail volume it aggregates, and the less contaminated that volume is by professional activity, the more the access is worth. Robinhood’s distribution is the input: millions of retail stock traders crossing into perps are close to the ideal population for this model, which is precisely why the partnership exists and why the revenue splits evenly.

That also explains a valuation that looks strange against current fees. At a fully diluted value in the billions, the market is not pricing Lighter’s fee revenue, which is thin by design. It is pricing the possibility that Lighter becomes the default engine behind Robinhood Wallet, at which point the flow it controls becomes considerably more valuable to the firms buying it. The bet is on distribution, not on eventually charging.

The honest counterpoint is that this model has been tested before, at scale, in equities, and it works commercially while generating a permanent argument about whether the customer is the buyer or the product. Nothing about a zero-knowledge proof settles that argument. It only proves that whatever happened, happened as described.

Where it sits in the market

Context matters here, because the perpetuals market is not empty.

Hyperliquid dominates the decentralized perpetuals category and has for some time, having built its position by serving crypto-native traders with high-performance execution. Aster competes on similar ground. Both are fighting for the same audience: sophisticated on-chain traders who care about latency, depth, and fee structure. For more context on the venue Lighter competes against, crypto.news has also examined why HYPE is different inside Hyperliquid’s buyback.

Lighter has explicitly chosen not to fight there. Its positioning is the traditional finance bridge, and its distribution advantage is a pipeline to millions of retail stock traders that no crypto-native competitor can access. That is a defensible strategic choice: the crypto-native segment is contested and price-sensitive, while the retail crossover segment is large, uncontested, and, for the reasons above, more commercially valuable per unit of volume.

The wider context is that fees across perpetual decentralized exchanges are trending toward zero. In a market where nobody can charge, whoever captures the most valuable flow wins. Lighter is not making an unusual bet so much as making the traditional finance bet earlier than its competitors.

Robinhood has expanded the surface around it, offering commodity, ETF, and foreign exchange perpetuals with up to 10x leverage to European users, while its Earn product pays roughly 7% APY on USDG through Morpho infrastructure. USDG therefore does double duty: yield when idle, margin when deployed.

Who cannot use it

The restriction list is long and it includes the country where Robinhood has most of its customers.

Perpetual futures through Robinhood Wallet are unavailable to residents of the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Switzerland, the United Arab Emirates, and Singapore, along with other restricted jurisdictions.

The American exclusion is the one worth understanding, because it is the same wall that blocks Stock Tokens. Perpetual contracts occupy an unresolved zone in US financial law. The CFTC has historically treated perps as swaps, which places them under derivatives regulation that most crypto platforms are not structured to satisfy. That question is live: the CME is currently litigating against the CFTC over precisely how a perp should be classified, and the CLARITY Act would hand the agency primary authority over digital commodity spot markets while the agency itself operates with a single commissioner.

So an American Robinhood customer can hold the stock of the company that co-owns the revenue from a perps exchange they are legally barred from using. That is not an accident. It is a map of where American crypto regulation currently stands.

The questions worth asking

Three things about this arrangement deserve more scrutiny than they have received.

Whether on-chain payment for order flow attracts the same criticism. The traditional practice drew sustained regulatory attention on the argument that free trading is not free, that customers pay through worse execution, and that the arrangement creates a conflict between a broker’s duty to its customers and its revenue from the firms buying their orders. None of those critiques become less true because the venue posts zero-knowledge proofs. Verifiable matching proves the trade executed as stated. It does not prove the trade was routed to your benefit.

Whether the relationships are disclosed clearly enough. Robinhood Ventures is an investor in Lighter. Tenev is an advisor to Lighter. Novakovski mentored Tenev. Robinhood takes half the revenue. Each of those is individually unremarkable and publicly reported. Together they describe a venue selected through a network of overlapping interests, integrated as the default option inside an app used by millions, and a retail user tapping the perps tab is unlikely to know any of it.

Whether the traffic is real. Robinhood Chain ran a 90-day gas fee subsidy from launch, which inflates transaction counts and makes comparisons with other chains unreliable during the subsidy window. Perps activity routed through the wallet during that period should be read with the same caution. The honest test arrives when the subsidy expires and the flow either persists or does not.

None of this makes Lighter a bad product. The zero-knowledge architecture is a real answer to a real problem, and verifiable liquidation is worth having. It makes Lighter a product whose economics are worth understanding before you use it, which is a different claim and a more useful one. The trade is free. Something is still being sold.

What to watch

Three concrete signals will settle whether this integration is infrastructure or a distribution experiment.

Whether flow persists after the subsidy. Robinhood Chain ran a 90-day gas fee subsidy from launch. Perps routed through the wallet during that window are trading in artificially cheap conditions. The honest measurement of whether retail crossover users actually want perpetual futures arrives when they start paying real costs, and any volume figure quoted before then carries an asterisk.

Whether premium accounts materialize. The entire valuation thesis rests on sophisticated firms paying for access to Robinhood’s retail order flow. That is a testable claim. If market makers commit at scale, the model works and Lighter’s fully diluted value makes sense. If they do not, Lighter is a zero-fee exchange with no revenue and a large token supply, which is a considerably worse business.

Whether the regulatory position moves. Americans are barred from perps through the wallet because perpetual contracts sit in an unresolved zone of US law, where the CFTC has historically treated them as swaps. Two things could change that: the CME’s litigation against the CFTC over how a perp is classified, and the CLARITY Act, which would hand the agency primary authority over digital commodity spot markets. If perps come onshore, Robinhood’s largest customer base becomes addressable overnight and this integration stops being a foreign product.

The last one is the real prize and it explains the patience. Building the perps rail now, with a partner run by the CEO’s mentor, in jurisdictions where it is already legal, means that on the day American rules change the distribution is already wired. Robinhood is not building for the market it has. It is building for the one it expects, which is either foresight or an expensive bet on Congress. Worth noting that the agency holding the decision, the CFTC, currently operates with a single confirmed commissioner out of five seats and has lost roughly a fifth of its staff, while simultaneously writing perps rules, asserting jurisdiction over prediction markets, and preparing to inherit crypto spot markets if the CLARITY Act passes. The timeline for American perps therefore depends less on what Robinhood or Lighter build than on whether one understaffed regulator can produce a rulebook. For a user, the practical takeaway is narrower and more useful: the product exists, it works, it is free, and the reason it is free is that something about your trading is being sold to someone. That is not a scandal. It is the deal, and it is worth knowing you are in it.

Frequently asked questions

Disclaimer: This article is for information and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Perpetual futures are leveraged products carrying substantial risk of loss, including losses exceeding the margin posted, and availability varies sharply by jurisdiction. Nothing here is a recommendation to trade any instrument or use any platform. Always do your own research. Information is accurate as of July 17, 2026.

Key takeaways

• Pi Network (PI) is showing signs of recovery after several days of consolidation and easing selling pressure.
• Rising Open Interest suggests speculative traders are positioning for a potential rebound.
• The upcoming Stellar Protocol v25 mainnet upgrade and improving market sentiment could support PI’s recovery.

Pi Network (PI) posted modest gains on Friday after three consecutive sessions of sideways trading, suggesting that selling pressure may be easing following a sharp correction earlier this month.

Although the token remains in a broader downtrend, increasing derivatives activity and deeply oversold technical indicators are fueling speculation that PI could be preparing for a short-term rebound.

Speculative demand begins to strengthen

Pi Network remains one of the cryptocurrency market’s most speculative community-driven assets, making its price particularly sensitive to shifts in investor sentiment.

After a steep sell-off earlier this month, optimism has started to improve as broader market risk appetite stabilizes.

Another potential catalyst is the Stellar Protocol version 25 mainnet upgrade, scheduled for July 22, which could support sentiment across ecosystems connected to Stellar-based infrastructure.

Meanwhile, derivatives data points to growing speculative interest. According to CoinAnk, Pi Network Open Interest increased to $10.73 million on Friday from $10.44 million a day earlier. 

Open Interest has steadily recovered from $9.11 million recorded on Monday, indicating that traders are gradually returning to the market after the recent correction.

The increase suggests retail investors are beginning to position for a possible recovery, although conviction remains relatively modest.

PI remains oversold despite stabilizing price action

From a technical perspective, Pi Network continues to trade below the key $0.0800 resistance level, leaving the broader trend bearish.

However, the token has managed to hold near the lower boundary of a falling channel, where technical support is reinforced by the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level at $0.06793.

Holding above this area could provide the foundation for a relief rally if buying momentum continues to build.

Technical indicators are beginning to show early signs that the recent decline may be losing momentum.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen to around 17, placing PI deep in oversold territory. While oversold readings do not guarantee a reversal, they often indicate that selling pressure has become stretched.

At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains below the zero line but is showing signs of weakening bearish momentum, suggesting sellers may be losing control.

If PI extends its recovery, the first resistance level is the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $0.09613.

A stronger rebound would then face resistance near $0.110, where the upper boundary of the falling channel could limit further gains unless broader market sentiment improves.

On the downside, the 161.8% Fibonacci extension at $0.06793 remains the most important support level.

A decisive break below that area could expose the 227.2% Fibonacci extension near $0.01463, significantly increasing downside risk.

For now, Pi Network’s deeply oversold technical setup, combined with rising Open Interest and improving market sentiment, suggests that a short-term recovery remains possible, although the broader trend will remain bearish until key resistance levels are reclaimed.