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BitMEX Exchange Announces Shut Down, Ending 11-Year Run

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BitMEX Exchange Announces Shut Down, Ending 11-Year Run

Crypto exchange BitMEX will shut down on September 23, 2026, at 04:00 UTC. The team announced the closure on Thursday, saying the decision was made after a strategic review of the business and the market.

The Seychelles-based firm immediately halted all new account registrations. It told users to close positions and withdraw funds well before the deadline.

What the BitMEX Shutdown Means for Users

BitMEX set a phased wind-down before the final date. From August 26, 04:00 UTC, it will block new positions and allow only reductions.

The exchange will then force-close any open trades. Any positions left open at closure will be automatically closed.

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“All users are on notice that BitMEX may force close positions as described above at its sole discretion, and takes no responsibility for any trading losses that result from users’ inability to close their positions between now and the Closure Time,” the blog read.

Unwithdrawn balances also carry a cost. Users who have completed Know Your Customer (KYC) verification but do not withdraw their assets before the platform’s closure deadline will be subject to a fee. The monthly fee will be based on whichever is higher: $50 equivalent or 1% per year of the remaining account balance.

BitMEX unstaked all BMEX Token (BMEX) holdings and returned them to accounts. It also warned traders about scams tied to the news.

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A Pioneer of Crypto Derivatives Winds Down

The board of HDR Global Trading Limited, owner of the exchange, decided to close it after “strategic review of the business and and the broader crypto industry.”

“We continue to take pride in our robust security posture, which, unlike many of our peers, has resulted in BitMEX experiencing zero funds lost to hacks during its entire operating history of over 11 years,” the team added.

Nonetheless, the exchange carries a heavy legal record. Founders Arthur Hayes, Ben Delo, and Samuel Reed pleaded guilty in 2022 to Bank Secrecy Act violations for “willfully failing to establish, implement, and maintain an anti-money laundering program at BitMEX.

The company itself pleaded guilty in July 2024. BitMEX was fined $100 million and ordered 2 years of probation in January 2025.

President Trump pardoned the company, its three founders, and former executive Gregory Dwyer in March 2025. 

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Bitcoin advocacy group to join US State Department’s ‘digital freedom’ program

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Bitcoin advocacy group to join US State Department’s ‘digital freedom’ program

Bitcoin advocacy group to join US State Department’s ‘digital freedom’ program

The Bitcoin Policy Institute and three partner organizations will be able to send employees to work alongside State Department officials to address issues including digital freedom.

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Ripple bought a bank in pieces. The $4 billion audit

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Ripple wins EU-wide access as ESMA adds it to MiCA register

While the market watched the token, the company spent $4 billion assembling what it was never granted: custody, prime brokerage, corporate treasury, and payment rails, acquisition by acquisition. This is the audit of what the money bought, what it earns, and the uncomfortable question the empire answers about XRP.

Summary

  • Between 2023 and 2025, Ripple spent roughly $4 billion on acquisitions: Metaco ($250 million, custody technology), Standard Custody (a New York trust license), Hidden Road ($1.25 billion, prime brokerage), Rail (stablecoin payments), GTreasury (about $1 billion, corporate treasury software), and Palisade (XRP custody).
  • The pieces assemble into a recognizable shape: safekeeping, brokerage, clearing, treasury management, and settlement, the functional anatomy of an institutional bank, built by purchase while the company’s federal charter application waits at the OCC.
  • The one disclosed performance number is striking: Ripple Prime, the former Hidden Road, reports revenue more than tripled since acquisition, clearing over $3 trillion annually, with RLUSD integrated as cross-margining collateral.
  • The empire’s financing tells its own story: a $500 million round from Fortress, Citadel, Pantera, Galaxy, Brevan Howard, and Marshall Wace, alongside a stated refusal to pursue an IPO, the posture of a company that intends to buy, not be bought or listed.
  • The audit’s honest conclusion doubles as the XRP question: the businesses acquired run on fiat, stablecoins, and traditional assets first, meaning Ripple has methodically built a company that can succeed whether or not its token does.

The most consequential thing Ripple did in the last three years has almost nothing to do with the price chart its community refreshes, and it happened in six press releases most of that community skimmed.

In May 2023, with the SEC case still hanging over it, the company paid $250 million for Metaco, a Swiss custody-technology firm whose software safekeeps digital assets for global banks. Then, piece by piece: Standard Custody, for a New York trust charter. Hidden Road, for $1.25 billion, one of the fastest-growing non-bank prime brokers on earth. Rail, for stablecoin-powered payment plumbing. GTreasury, for roughly $1 billion, a forty-year-old treasury-management platform that moves $12.5 trillion a year for corporates like American Airlines and Volvo. Palisade, for XRP-native custody. Total: about $4 billion, the largest acquisition spree any crypto-native company has executed, and the pieces are not a conglomerate’s random shopping.

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Laid side by side, they form a specific, familiar shape: an institution that keeps assets, brokers them, clears them, manages corporate cash, and settles payments, which is to say, a bank, assembled by purchase while the company’s actual bank-charter application, as this publication’s regulatory coverage has tracked, waits in the OCC’s conditional queue.

This piece is the audit the spree deserves: what each piece is, what the assembled machine demonstrably earns, how the custody thread stitches it together, and what the whole construction says, uncomfortably, about the token whose price is still treated as the company’s scoreboard.

The pieces, in order of acquisition

The sequence matters, because the empire was built in layers and each layer enabled the next.

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Metaco, May 2023, $250 million, was the foundation and the tell. Custody technology is the least glamorous product in crypto and the most institutionally load-bearing: no bank touches digital assets without safekeeping infrastructure its auditors accept, and Metaco’s Harmonize platform was already inside top-tier European banks when Ripple bought it. The acquisition was also the first signal that Ripple’s strategy had changed registers, from selling banks a payments product to selling them the entire operational stack, and it came with integration costs honestly worth recording: Metaco’s founding CEO and product chief departed within a year, amid reports of client banks re-evaluating, the standard friction of a startup acquiring the vendor its customers chose precisely for independence.

Standard Custody, closed in mid-2024, added what technology cannot confer: a New York Department of Financial Services trust charter, the regulatory container that lets a company hold client assets in the most demanding US state jurisdiction, and the license under which the RLUSD stablecoin would later be issued.

Together the two purchases built Ripple Custody, the division whose 250% customer-growth claim and bank clientele, HSBC and DBS among them, marked the quiet mid-2024 traction.

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Then the register changed again, from infrastructure to institutions. Hidden Road, April 2025, $1.25 billion, was the empire’s centerpiece: a non-bank prime broker clearing foreign exchange, derivatives, fixed income, and digital assets for institutional clients, rebranded Ripple Prime, and the single most aggressive move any crypto company has made into the machinery of traditional finance.

Rail, August 2025, added stablecoin-payment orchestration, the plumbing between bank money and on-chain dollars. GTreasury, October 2025, roughly $1 billion, bought the corporate demand side: a treasury-management system embedded in the finance departments of global corporations, processing $12.5 trillion in annual payment volume, which hands Ripple a distribution channel into exactly the CFO offices every stablecoin issuer is trying to reach. And Palisade, in late 2025, closed the loop where it started: custody again, now XRP-native, for the ecosystem’s own asset.

Around the spree, the corporate posture: a $500 million investment round from Fortress, Citadel Securities-adjacent capital, Pantera, Galaxy, Brevan Howard, and Marshall Wace, and President Monica Long’s confirmation that no IPO is planned, the financing profile of a company that wants acquisition currency and privacy, not a ticker.

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What the machine demonstrably earns

An audit needs numbers, and here the record is asymmetric in a way worth stating plainly: Ripple is private, discloses selectively, and most of the empire’s economics are invisible. What has been disclosed is one remarkable line and several suggestive ones.

The remarkable line is Ripple Prime’s. The former Hidden Road reports revenue more than tripled since the acquisition, with over $3 trillion in annual clearing volume, growth attributed to client expansion and to infrastructure only Ripple could attach, including RLUSD integrated as cross-margining collateral, the first stablecoin doing that work inside a major prime broker.

If those figures hold, the $1.25 billion purchase is already among the best acquisitions in crypto history, and the strategic read is bigger than the multiple: a tripling prime brokerage means institutional clients are consolidating flows onto Ripple-owned rails for reasons that have nothing to do with token sentiment, which is precisely the point of owning the rails.

The suggestive lines: Ripple Custody’s growth claims and its 2024-era client roster; BNY Mellon serving as primary reserve custodian for RLUSD since July 2025, an arrangement that places the country’s oldest bank inside Ripple’s stablecoin machinery and, notably, mirrors BNY’s custody of Circle’s USDC, the institutional stamp of the issuer class; RLUSD itself above $1.5 billion in circulation with Mastercard, WebBank, and Gemini settlement integrations; and GTreasury’s $12.5 trillion of processed volume, none of it crypto yet, all of it addressable.

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Against these sit the undisclosed columns: custody revenue, Rail’s economics, GTreasury’s conversion of corporate clients to digital rails, integration costs across six companies in three years, and the burn behind it all.

The honest audit verdict is therefore conditional: the one audited-adjacent number is excellent, the strategy’s coherence is visible, and the full profit-and-loss of the empire remains a private company’s secret, which is exactly how Ripple, IPO-averse and acquisition-hungry, prefers it.

The custody thread, and the charter it is waiting for

Pull one thread through all six purchases and the pattern resolves: custody is not a product line in this empire; it is the connective tissue.

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Metaco safekeeps for banks; Standard Custody licenses the safekeeping; Palisade safekeeps the ecosystem’s own asset; BNY safekeeps the stablecoin’s reserves; Ripple Prime cannot clear a dollar of client business without custody underneath; GTreasury’s corporate cash, if it ever touches tokenized assets, will demand the same.

Every institutional crypto business is, at bottom, a custody business wearing a specialty, because the first question every compliance officer asks is where the assets sit, and Ripple’s spree answers that question at every layer with a Ripple-owned or Ripple-contracted answer.

This is also why the OCC national trust bank application, whose conditional status and December cohort this publication’s charter coverage examined, is the empire’s keystone rather than a side quest: a federal charter would convert the state-by-state licensing patchwork into a single national container, put stablecoin reserves within reach of Federal Reserve access, and complete, with a regulator’s signature, the bank that $4 billion assembled in pieces. The empire can operate without the charter. With it, the pieces fuse.

Which brings the audit to its final and least comfortable finding. Walk the acquired businesses and ask what each needs XRP for. Prime brokerage clears FX, fixed income, and derivatives, with digital assets one product among many and RLUSD, not XRP, doing the new collateral work. Corporate treasury runs on fiat. Rail runs on stablecoins. Custody is asset-agnostic by definition. The empire, in other words, is a bet that Ripple the company can win institutional finance with or without its token winning anything, and the company’s own product emphasis, RLUSD in every recent integration, the stablecoin in the Mastercard settlements, the float economics this publication has traced across the ecosystem, points to where the business logic points.

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The generous reading for XRP holders is optionality: an institution-grade empire creates channels through which the token’s bridge and settlement uses could scale if demand ever materializes, and Palisade plus the XRPL’s tokenization roadmap keep the door open.

The ungenerous reading is the one the ODL numbers, the value-accrual record, and now the acquisition map keep converging on: the company has spent three years and $4 billion methodically reducing its dependence on the asset its community holds, and the market still prices the token as if the company’s success were its own. The audit cannot resolve which reading wins. It can report that only one of them is what the money did.

The peer test: is the empire unique?

Before the funding layer, one calibration the audit owes: whether any peer has attempted this, because uniqueness claims deserve their own check, and the comparison sharpens what Ripple actually built.

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The nearest analogs each fail the comparison in an instructive direction. Coinbase acquired steadily for a decade, but within its own perimeter: exchange technology, custody for its exchange clients, a derivatives license, extensions of a trading venue, not an assembly of unrelated institutional functions. Circle went the concentration route: one product, the stablecoin, one public listing, one strategy of making USDC’s float the entire company, the mirror image of diversification. Kraken and Gemini bought adjacencies; Galaxy built a merchant bank organically; the DAT sector, as our treasury coverage has chronicled, financialized balance sheets without operating businesses at all.

The traditional-finance side offers the closer rhyme: Ripple’s spree resembles nothing in crypto so much as the fintech roll-ups of the 2010s, or, further back, the way pre-crisis banks assembled prime brokerage, custody, and treasury services through serial acquisition, because those functions cross-sell into the same institutional client with compounding lock-in.

That is the design’s actual pedigree, and it explains the piece nobody in crypto tried to copy: GTreasury, a purchase with no crypto content whatsoever, valuable purely as distribution into corporate finance departments, is a move from the banking playbook, not the blockchain one.

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The comparison also isolates the strategy’s genuine risk, the one peer experience prices. Roll-ups fail when they fail, on integration: six companies in three years means six technology stacks, six compliance regimes, and six cultures being welded while clients watch, and the Metaco episode, departed founders, re-evaluating banks, is the standard first chapter of that story.

The empire’s bet is that ownership of complementary rails compounds faster than integration friction corrodes, and the Prime tripling is early evidence for the bet, while the silence from the other five pieces is the evidence still outstanding. Roll-ups are graded, in the end, on one number: whether the whole earns more than the parts cost, and that number is precisely the one a private company never has to show until it chooses its moment.

The funding source, and the structure it explains

One more layer completes the audit, because empires are explained by their financing as much as their purchases, and Ripple’s financing is the strangest part of the story.

The war chest behind the spree was built, in substantial part, on years of programmatic XRP sales, the escrowed billions the company has released and monetized quarter after quarter across a decade, supplemented by equity rounds and, lately, the $500 million injection from Fortress, Citadel-linked capital, Pantera, Galaxy, Brevan Howard, and Marshall Wace. Follow that flow honestly, and the audit’s uncomfortable finding acquires a sharper edge: the capital that bought the fiat-and-stablecoin empire originated, to a meaningful degree, in sales of the token to the market, which means the ecosystem’s holders did not merely watch the diversification; they funded it, transaction by transaction, at whatever prices the sales program achieved.

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There is nothing improper in the structure, the sales were disclosed in their era and the escrow’s existence is the most public fact in the ecosystem, but there is something clarifying in it: a decade of token monetization converted into custody licenses, a prime broker, and a treasury platform is the most concrete answer available to the question of what Ripple believes its durable business is, and the answer is not the token’s price.

The no-IPO posture completes the design. Circle took the opposite path, public listing, quarterly disclosure, a stock that prices its float economics in daylight, and the contrast is instructive: Ripple’s privacy preserves exactly the flexibility the spree requires, acquisition currency without market approval, selective disclosure of only the numbers that flatter, and insulation from the quarter-by-quarter scrutiny that would force the empire’s full P&L, integration costs and all, into the open.

Private status also keeps a specific optionality alive: the company can time any eventual listing, or a sale, to the moment the assembled machine’s earnings are ready to be seen, which is the standard playbook of roll-up builders everywhere.

The endgame options, on this reading, are three, and they are worth naming because the next two years will begin selecting among them: the chartered bank, if the OCC keystone arrives and Ripple becomes a regulated institution with the empire as its operating divisions; the perpetual acquirer, if private capital keeps funding consolidation and the company becomes crypto’s closest analog to a family-held financial group; or the delayed debut, the listing that current denials do not preclude so much as schedule, arriving whenever the Prime tripling and the GTreasury conversions have compounded into a story that prices above the parts.

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Each option is served by the same present posture, which is why the posture is credible: everything about the structure, the privacy, the funding, the sequencing, is consistent with a company building patiently toward a valuation event on its own calendar, denominated in the empire’s earnings, not the token’s chart. The market that still reads Ripple through XRP’s price is reading the one document the company has spent $4 billion writing its way out of.

What to watch

Ripple Prime’s next disclosure. The tripling claim and $3 trillion figure are the empire’s only performance headline; their next update, and any breakdown of digital-asset versus traditional clearing, is the single most informative number Ripple can release. Watch also whether RLUSD collateral usage gets quantified.

The OCC decision. The charter converts the assembled pieces into a federally contained whole. Approval terms, conditions, and timing, tracked against the December cohort our charter coverage mapped, decide whether the empire gets its keystone in 2026.

GTreasury’s conversion rate. The $12.5 trillion platform is the empire’s distribution jewel; the first named corporate moving treasury flows onto Ripple rails, RLUSD or XRPL, would be the proof that the acquisition logic compounds. Silence through 2026 would suggest the corporate demand side is slower than the infrastructure side.

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Any XRP-denominated milestone. The empire’s uncomfortable finding is falsifiable: a disclosed, material XRP settlement volume through Prime, a tokenization franchise on XRPL with real assets, or ODL growth reversing its footnote status would rebalance the ledger. The audit’s conclusion holds until one arrives.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did Ripple actually acquire, and for how much?

Six main pieces totaling roughly $4 billion: Metaco (May 2023, $250 million, bank-grade custody technology), Standard Custody (closed 2024, a New York trust charter), Hidden Road (April 2025, $1.25 billion, prime brokerage, now Ripple Prime), Rail (August 2025, stablecoin payment infrastructure), GTreasury (October 2025, about $1 billion, corporate treasury software processing $12.5 trillion annually), and Palisade (late 2025, XRP-native custody).

What is the strategy behind the spree?

Vertical assembly of institutional finance: safekeeping, brokerage, clearing, corporate treasury, and settlement under one owner, the functional anatomy of a bank, built by purchase. Each layer feeds the others, custody underpins prime brokerage, treasury software distributes stablecoin rails to corporates, and the pending OCC national trust charter would fuse the pieces into a single federally regulated container.

How is the empire performing financially?

Selectively disclosed. The headline is Ripple Prime: revenue reported as more than tripled since acquisition, with over $3 trillion in annual clearing and RLUSD integrated as cross-margining collateral. Supporting signals include RLUSD above $1.5 billion in circulation, BNY Mellon custodying its reserves, and Ripple Custody’s earlier growth claims. Full economics, custody revenue, integration costs, overall profitability, remain private, and the company has stated it has no IPO plans.

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Why does custody matter so much in this structure?

Because every institutional crypto business rests on it: the first compliance question is always where assets sit, and no brokerage, treasury, or settlement product functions without safekeeping beneath it. Ripple bought the technology (Metaco), the license (Standard Custody), the ecosystem-specific version (Palisade), and contracted the reserve layer (BNY), making custody the connective tissue of everything else it acquired.

How does the OCC charter application fit in?

As the keystone. A national trust bank charter would replace state-by-state licensing with one federal container, bring stablecoin reserves toward Federal Reserve accessibility, and formally unite the acquired businesses under bank-grade regulation. The application sits in the conditional queue this publication’s charter coverage has tracked; the empire operates without it, but the charter would complete the design.

What does the empire mean for XRP?

That is the audit’s uncomfortable question. The acquired businesses run primarily on fiat, traditional assets, and RLUSD; prime brokerage’s new collateral is the stablecoin, treasury is fiat, Rail is stablecoin plumbing, custody is asset-agnostic, meaning the company has built a path to institutional success that does not require XRP demand. The bull reading is optionality: the infrastructure could carry token flows if they come. The record so far shows the company investing where the float is.

How does this compare to other crypto companies’ strategies?

No peer has executed anything similar at this scale. Coinbase built and bought within exchange-adjacent lines; Circle concentrated on its stablecoin and rails; the DAT sector financialized balance sheets. Ripple’s spree is closer to a fintech roll-up of traditional market infrastructure, prime brokerage and corporate treasury above all, financed by private capital from firms like Fortress, Citadel, Brevan Howard, and Marshall Wace, and deliberately outside public markets.

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What are the main risks to the strategy?

Integration, the Metaco experience, leadership departures and client re-evaluations, previews the difficulty of stitching six firms together; disclosure, a private empire’s claims cannot be externally verified until it chooses transparency; regulatory timing, with the charter and stablecoin rules both pending; and strategic, the possibility that owning rails does not convert to owning flows if corporates and institutions move slower than $4 billion assumed. This is educational analysis, not investment advice.

Disclaimer: This article is for information and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Figures reflect company statements and reporting that cannot be independently verified against audited financials, and acquisition terms, performance claims, and regulatory outcomes may change. Nothing here is a recommendation regarding any asset or company. Always do your own research. Information is accurate as of July 24, 2026.

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When Will the Strait of Hormuz Open for Good? Analyst Gives Timeline

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When Will the Strait of Hormuz Open for Good? Analyst Gives Timeline

Kpler has pushed its expectation for a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz into 2027, raising the risk of sustained higher oil prices.

Matt Smith, Kpler’s director of commodity research, gave the revised timeline on CNBC. He said there is no endgame in sight after five months of conflict.

Why the Strait of Hormuz Reopening Timeline Slipped

The United States and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding in June, reopening the strait. Tanker traffic then picked up through early July.

Smith said those flows have since slowed to a trickle. Meanwhile, US forces have continued nightly strikes on Iranian military and maritime targets.

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A second chokepoint has now opened. Saudi Arabia had been routing an extra 3.25 million barrels a day into the Red Sea through Bab el-Mandeb.

Smith said that the outlet is now at risk. The Houthis declared a maritime blockade on Saudi shipping and struck two Saudi tankers two days ago.

“And there doesn’t seem like there’s an end game in sight,” Smith said. “We’re looking at our expectations for the Strait of Hormuz reopening… it’s 15 million barrels a day of crude that leaves through there. That is ground to a halt. And we’re pushing that reopening into next year.”

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Brent Climbs While Refined Fuels Take the Bigger Hit

Smith said Brent has risen about 40%, or roughly $30, over the past couple of weeks. The benchmark settled at $100.69 on Thursday, its first close above $100 since May 26. Prices then reversed. Brent fell about 4% on Friday to close near $97 after reports of revived US-Iran talks.

Refined products have fared worse than crude. Smith put diesel near $180 a barrel and gasoline near $140.

He said the concerns he raised about jet fuel in May have been addressed. However, that relief came at the expense of diesel and gasoline, and he expects those strains to worsen.

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Tether funded both sides of Its own chain war

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Tether shuts down Alloy as XAUT becomes bigger gold bet

The world’s largest stablecoin issuer pays roughly $2.9 billion a year in fees to blockchains it does not control. Its answer was to back two competing chains at once: Plasma, the $373 million DeFi-flavored bet, and Stable, the enterprise rail where USDT is the gas. One issuer, two armies, one enemy named Tron, and a strategy that makes sense only when you see whose problem it solves.

Summary

  • Tether’s ecosystem has seeded two purpose-built USDT chains that compete directly with each other: Plasma, live since September with a $373 million token sale, a paymaster model, and roughly $551 million in DeFi TVL, and Stable, live since December with $2 billion in pre-deposits, USDT-as-gas, and an enterprise focus.
  • The motive is a number: analyses put Tether’s annual network-fee bill near $2.9 billion, split largely between Ethereum and Tron, value that leaks to base layers the issuer does not control while its own revenue runs near $5 billion.
  • The two chains embody opposite design philosophies, a subsidized general-purpose DeFi economy with a native token doing traditional work, versus a stripped payments rail where the dollar itself is the fuel, and opposite go-to-market strategies.
  • The real target is not each other but Tron, which still carries roughly 45% of all USDT and earns the fees on the world’s largest remittance flows, a moat neither challenger has meaningfully dented.
  • Funding both sides is not indecision; it is a portfolio: the issuer wins if either chain repatriates the fee leak, wins bigger if both segment the market, and loses only to the status quo it is paying $2.9 billion a year to escape.

Companies do not usually finance both armies in a war, but then no company has ever been positioned quite like Tether. The issuer of USDT sits atop the most profitable simple business in finance, collecting Treasury yield on the reserves behind roughly $150 billion of circulating dollars, and it watches, every day, a substantial slice of its ecosystem’s economics leak sideways: the fees users pay to move USDT accrue not to Tether but to the blockchains USDT lives on, a bill that research houses have tallied near $2.9 billion a year, flowing mostly to Ethereum validators and, above all, to Tron, the chain that quietly became the developing world’s dollar-remittance backbone.

Tether’s response, characteristically, was not one bet but two. Plasma, backed by Tether-adjacent capital and Founders Fund, raised $373 million in an oversubscribed sale and launched in September as a general-purpose stablecoin chain with a native token, a paymaster that makes USDT transfers free, and a DeFi ecosystem that onboarded Aave, Ethena, and Euler on day one. Stable, backed by Bitfinex with Tether’s chief executive advising, drew $2 billion in pre-deposits and launched in December as something sparer: a chain where USDT itself is the gas, transfers are free by protocol rule, and the pitch is enterprise blockspace rather than yield farming.

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Two chains, one family, the same target market, and a rivalry the ecosystem politely declines to name. This piece names it, maps the two designs honestly, and answers the question the arrangement raises: why an issuer would fund its own chain war, and what winning even means when you own both sides.

The fee leak: the war’s actual cause

Start with the number that explains everything, because without it the two-chain strategy looks like a waste and with it the strategy looks obvious.

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USDT’s success created a strange corporate geometry: the asset is Tether’s, the activity is enormous, and the toll booths belong to other people. Every USDT transfer on Ethereum pays gas to Ethereum validators; every transfer on Tron, where nearly half of all USDT lives and where the remittance corridors of Asia, Africa, and Latin America actually run, pays energy and bandwidth costs into Tron’s economy.

Aggregated, analyses of Tether’s ecosystem have put the annual network-fee spend associated with USDT movement at roughly $2.9 billion, against issuer revenues that industry estimates placed near $4.9 billion in the same period, meaning the base layers underneath USDT capture value at a scale approaching the issuer’s own take.

Delphi Digital’s framing of the problem is the cleanest: as issuance spread across chains, the infrastructure supporting USDT ended up largely outside Tether’s control, and the economic value generated by usage is disproportionately captured by the rails, especially Ethereum and Tron.

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For most companies this would be an irritation. For a stablecoin issuer, it is a strategic vulnerability with three faces. Economically, it is margin leaking to landlords. Competitively, it funds a chain, Tron, whose operator is an independent actor with his own token, his own politics, and his own regulatory exposures, none of which Tether chooses. And architecturally, it means the user experience of the world’s most used digital dollar, fees, congestion, gas-token requirements, is set by networks optimizing for other things.

The purpose-built USDT chain is the answer to all three at once: repatriate the fees, own the rail, and design the experience around the dollar. The only question was which design, and Tether’s ecosystem answered: both.

Two chains, two philosophies

The rivals are best understood as opposite answers to one question: how much chain does a stablecoin need?

Plasma’s answer is: a whole one. It is a full EVM Layer 1 with its own token, XPL, doing the traditional native-token jobs, validator staking, settlement asset, and value accrual through the chain’s growth, while a paymaster contract absorbs gas costs so that simple USDT transfers cost users nothing. The design keeps the familiar crypto economy intact: XPL had a $373 million public sale seven times oversubscribed, the chain launched with more than a hundred DeFi integrations, TVL has built to roughly $551 million, sub-second PlasmaBFT finality serves trading as well as payments, Bitcoin anchoring adds a security narrative, and a confidential-transfers module courts payroll and B2B flows.

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https://x.com/cryptodotnews/status/1971621952008999090

Plasma is, in short, a general-purpose chain that subsidizes its stablecoin lane, betting that free USDT transfers pull in users whose other activity, lending, trading, yield, pays the bills and accrues to the token. The paymaster’s economics depend on exactly the patron logic this publication’s gasless-transfers guide dissects: most zero-fee chains in history died when the subsidy ran out, and Plasma’s differentiating claim is that its subsidy is underwritten by an ecosystem with a direct commercial interest in USDT ubiquity.

Stable’s answer is: as little chain as possible. No paymaster indirection, no separate gas asset at all: USDT0, the omnichain dollar, is the fee token; simple transfers are exempt by protocol rule, and the native STABLE token is confined to staking and governance, deliberately invisible to users, the architecture this publication’s companion guides map in detail.

Where Plasma courted DeFi, Stable ships enterprise blockspace, dedicated capacity for institutional payment flows, and its traction metric was not TVL but the $2 billion in pre-deposits that arrived before mainnet. The design concedes the DeFi economy to others and optimizes one thing: dollar movement at payments-grade predictability, on the bet that remittance processors, merchants, and treasuries choose rails the way they choose clearing banks: for boredom, not composability.

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The philosophies produce different vulnerabilities, and honesty requires both. Plasma’s risk is dilution of purpose: a general-purpose chain competing for DeFi against Ethereum, Solana, and every L2, where free USDT transfers are a loss leader for an economy that may never outgrow its subsidy, and where the XPL token must justify itself against exactly the value-accrual skepticism this publication applies everywhere.

Stable’s risk is the mirror: a rail so minimal that its moat is only execution and alignment, with no ecosystem gravity to retain users who arrive, and a token whose value case, as our STABLE guide argues, waits on governance decisions nobody has made. One chain risks being too much; the other risks being too little; and both share the risk that actually matters, which lives in Asia, on the incumbent.

Tron: the enemy both were built to fight

The polite framing says Plasma and Stable address different segments. The impolite truth is that both exist to take the same prize: the roughly 45% of all USDT that lives on Tron and the fee flows it generates.

Tron’s dominance is the most underexamined fact in stablecoin land. It hosts the largest share of the largest stablecoin, it carries the remittance and exchange-settlement flows of the markets where USDT is not a trading chip but a savings technology, and its moat is precisely the kind that whitepapers cannot breach: cash-network effects, integrations in thousands of local exchanges and OTC desks, muscle memory in a hundred million wallets, and fees that, while meaningfully nonzero, are known, tolerated, and priced into every corridor.

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Both challengers aim at it explicitly, Plasma’s remittance-routing pitch is skip Tron’s TRX gas requirement, Stable’s free-transfer pitch is the same sentence with different plumbing, and both discovered what challengers of payment incumbents always discover: users do not migrate for architecture, they migrate when their exchange, their employer, or their remittance app migrates, which makes the war a business-development grind, not a technology contest.

The scoreboard that matters is therefore not TVL or transaction counts, both inflatable, but the share of USDT supply resident on each chain, and by that measure the war has barely begun: Tron’s share has eroded only at the edges, the challengers’ combined float remains a fraction of it, and the incumbent retains the advantage every toll-road owner has, profitability that funds its own retention incentives.

Which is exactly why the two-chain strategy makes sense from the issuer’s chair, and this is the piece’s resolving move. Tether does not need to pick the winning design; it needs the fee leak plugged and the rail owned by family, and funding two philosophies is how a portfolio manager attacks an uncertain market: Plasma tests whether a subsidized DeFi economy can bootstrap payments gravity, Stable tests whether enterprise minimalism can, the two chains’ competition sharpens both faster than monopoly would, and every dollar of USDT float either one wins from Tron or Ethereum converts leaked fees into family economics.

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If both succeed, the market segments, retail-and-DeFi on one, institutional on the other, and the issuer owns the whole stack. If one dies, the survivor inherits its lessons and its float. The only losing scenario is the status quo, and the status quo is the thing costing $2.9 billion a year.

Wars are usually negative-sum for the combatants and profitable for the arms dealer; this one was designed by the arms dealer, which is the fact to keep in view as the ecosystem spends the next year pretending the two chains are not aimed at each other, and at Tron, and, quietly, at the $2.9 billion.

The regulatory shadow both chains share

One more force shapes the war from outside it, and the family’s own coverage of Washington makes it unavoidable: both chains are Tether-ecosystem infrastructure launching into the exact regulatory window in which American law is deciding what offshore-issued dollars may do.

The GENIUS Act’s stablecoin framework, whose missed implementation deadlines this publication has chronicled, and the CLARITY Act’s market-structure fight, live on the Senate floor this very week, together draw the perimeter that will define both chains’ addressable markets. The core exposure is identical for both: USDT remains an offshore-issued dollar under frameworks built to privilege domestically regulated issuance, and every corridor the chains win converts informal USDT usage into visible, systematic flows that regulators can see, name, and gate.

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The chains’ opposite strategies produce opposite versions of the exposure. Stable’s enterprise pitch runs toward the regulated world on purpose, courting institutions whose compliance departments must bless the rail, which makes it the family’s test of whether Tether-aligned infrastructure can pass American diligence at all. Plasma’s retail-and-DeFi economy runs away from that scrutiny by construction, thriving in exactly the permissionless corridors that the illicit-finance provisions of every pending bill target.

One chain bets the family can join the regulated system; the other bets it can outgrow the need to; and the legislation moving through Congress this month will grade both bets before either chain’s technology does. The honest summary for the cluster this piece opens: the fee-leak war is the family’s offensive campaign, and the regulatory perimeter is its defensive one, and the second war, unlike the first, is not one the issuer designed.

The third bidder nobody prices

One actor complicates the family war’s tidy geometry, and the honest map includes it: the incumbent chains are not standing still, and the war’s most likely spoiler is not either challenger failing but the leak becoming cheaper to tolerate.

Tron’s defense is already visible in its pricing behavior: the network has periodically tuned its resource model when migration pressure rises, and its operator retains the toll-road owner’s ultimate weapon, the ability to cut fees toward zero in the corridors under attack while keeping them positive everywhere else, a price-discrimination play incumbents from airlines to telecoms have run against cherry-picking entrants forever. Every basis point Tron shaves narrows the challengers’ pitch, and Tron can shave from profits while the challengers subsidize from war chests, an asymmetry that favors the incumbent in any prolonged price war.

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Ethereum’s defense is structural: the institutional and DeFi USDT that lives there is the stickiest float in the ecosystem, held for composability with the deepest markets in crypto, and no payments-optimized rail competes for it at all, which is why the realistic battlefield is Tron’s remittance float, not Ethereum’s collateral float, and why the challengers’ addressable prize is meaningfully smaller than the headline $2.9 billion suggests.

And there is a fourth trajectory the war could take, the one the arms-dealer framing predicts: the leak becoming the product. Tether’s ecosystem does not strictly need either chain to win the migration war if the chains’ existence disciplines the incumbents’ pricing, converts the issuer from rate-taker to rate-negotiator, and hands the family credible exit infrastructure it can invoke in every commercial conversation with Tron.

Leverage, not conquest, may be the strategy’s real deliverable: the $373 million and the $2 billion pre-deposits purchase, at minimum, the ability to move, and the ability to move is what turns a captive tenant into a negotiating one. On this reading, the two chains are already succeeding, quietly, in the only meeting that matters, and the float-share scoreboard understates a war whose first victory is a better lease.

What to watch

USDT float by chain, quarterly: The war’s only honest scoreboard: the share of total USDT supply resident on Plasma and Stable versus Tron and Ethereum. Transaction counts inflate; resident float is the fee leak actually moving. Watch whether the challengers’ combined share reaches double digits, and whose share it comes from.

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The subsidy postures: Plasma’s paymaster spend against its DeFi economy’s fee generation, and Stable’s emission schedule against its enterprise fee flows: both chains’ free tiers have funding models this publication’s framework can grade, and the first one to show cross-subsidy covering the free lane has found the sustainable shape.

A corridor flip: The event that would actually move the war: a major remittance processor, exchange, or payments app moving a named corridor’s settlement from Tron to either challenger. One real corridor outweighs any TVL milestone, and business-development announcements of that specific shape are the tell.

The issuer’s hand: Canonical USDT issuance decisions, where Tether mints natively versus where USDT0 bridges, are the issuer quietly picking favorites, and any consolidation move, shared infrastructure, a merger, a formal designation of lanes, would be the portfolio manager closing a position. The war ends the way it started: by family decision.

A closing note on the observable that will settle the philosophies faster than any strategy memo: developer behavior. Chains are chosen twice, once by users moving money and once by builders deploying products, and the two chains’ opposite designs make opposite bids for the second constituency. Plasma’s full EVM economy with a hundred day-one DeFi integrations bids for builders with composability and a token to align them; Stable’s enterprise blockspace bids with predictability and a customer base of institutions that pay for boredom.

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The early returns are legible in the metrics each side brags about: TVL and integrations on one side, pre-deposits and enterprise partnerships on the other, and the metric each side avoids, and the first year of divergence will show whether payments infrastructure in crypto follows the platform playbook, where ecosystems win, or the utility playbook, where reliability does.

Tron, for what it is worth, won its position with neither: it won with distribution into exchanges and remittance desks before anyone was watching, which is the quiet reminder that the war’s decisive constituency may be neither users nor builders but the few hundred business-development conversations, with processors, exchanges, and payroll providers, that actually move float at scale. Both challengers know it, which is why the war’s real battles will be invisible, fought in integration roadmaps and settlement agreements, and reported, if at all, one corridor at a time.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Plasma and Stable, in one line each?

Plasma is a general-purpose stablecoin Layer 1, live since September, with a native token (XPL), a paymaster making simple USDT transfers free, and a DeFi ecosystem around $551 million in TVL. Stable is a payments-focused Layer 1, live since December, where USDT0 itself is the gas asset, simple transfers are free by protocol rule, and the focus is enterprise and institutional flows.

Why does Tether’s ecosystem back both?

Because the strategic problem, roughly $2.9 billion a year in USDT-related network fees leaking to chains outside the family, above all Tron and Ethereum, matters more than which design solves it. Backing two opposite philosophies is portfolio logic: each tests a different route to repatriating the fee flow, competition sharpens both, and any float either wins converts leaked economics into aligned economics.

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How do the two chains differ technically?

Plasma keeps a conventional chain economy: XPL handles staking and settlement, a paymaster subsidizes the free USDT lane, the EVM ecosystem is fully general, and Bitcoin anchoring plus confidential transfers extend the feature set. Stable removes the separate gas asset entirely, USDT0 pays fees, simple transfers are exempt, the STABLE token is confined to staking and governance, and capacity is marketed as enterprise blockspace.

Are they really competitors, or complementary?

Directly competitive, whatever the diplomatic framing. Both target the existing USDT float and the same migration sources, Tron’s remittance corridors first, and both pitch the identical headline benefit of free dollar transfers. Segmentation into retail-DeFi versus institutional lanes is a possible equilibrium, but it would be an outcome of the competition, not an alternative to it.

Why is Tron the real target?

Tron carries roughly 45% of all USDT, the largest share of the largest stablecoin, concentrated in the remittance and exchange-settlement corridors where USDT functions as everyday money. Its fees are the biggest single component of the ecosystem’s leak, and its moat, integrations, habits, and cash-network effects, is the one both challengers were engineered to attack, so far with only marginal erosion.

What would winning look like for either chain?

Resident USDT float, not activity metrics. A challenger reaching a double-digit share of total USDT supply, or flipping a named remittance corridor’s settlement from Tron, would mark real progress. For the issuer’s ecosystem, winning is broader: any combination of outcomes that moves fee flows from external chains to family-aligned ones, including a split decision where both chains hold different segments.

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What are the main risks to each?

Plasma: the general-purpose trap, competing for DeFi against far larger ecosystems while its free lane depends on subsidy, and an XPL token facing the standard value-accrual skepticism. Stable: the minimalism trap, a rail with no ecosystem gravity, a token whose value case awaits governance decisions, and reliance on enterprise adoption cycles that move slowly. Both: Tron’s incumbency and the possibility that users simply do not migrate.

What does this mean for USDT holders?

Little direct risk and some structural benefit: the chains compete to make USDT cheaper and easier to move, and the omnichain plumbing (USDT0) connecting them is the same system this publication’s guides describe, with the same trust stack. The war’s outcome matters more for XPL and STABLE holders, whose tokens are claims on the respective designs winning, and for the fee economics of Tron and Ethereum, the incumbents being challenged. This is educational analysis, not investment advice.

Disclaimer: This article is for information and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Figures for fees, revenues, TVL, and supply shares are estimates drawn from third-party research and change continuously. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset. Always do your own research. Information is accurate as of July 24, 2026.

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Russia’s largest bank Sberbank plans crypto trading infrastructure by December

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Russia’s largest bank Sberbank plans crypto trading infrastructure by December

Russia’s largest bank, Sberbank, plans to build cryptocurrency trading infrastructure and launch a digital depository by Dec. 1 as Russia moves to bring crypto trading, custody and settlement into its regulated financial system.

The depository, according to Interfax, will record clients’ ownership of cryptocurrency and process most transactions outside the underlying blockchain. Sberbank will operate active wallets for client-initiated deposits, withdrawals and transfers.

The plan follows the Federation Council’s approval of a law regulating cryptocurrency trading through licensed brokers, exchanges, asset managers and depositories.

The framework is set to take effect Sept. 1, though rules requiring transactions to pass through licensed intermediaries will apply from July 2027.

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Public exchange trading will be limited to cryptocurrencies that meet Bank of Russia liquidity thresholds, including an average market capitalization above 5 trillion rubles ($64 billion) and an average daily volume above 1 trillion rubles ($12.8 billion) over 2 years.

Qualified investors will be able to access a broader range of assets. Crypto payments for goods and services inside Russia remain prohibited.

Sberbank started offering qualified investors structured bonds tied to bitcoin last year, and completed a bitcoin-backed lending pilot with miner Intelion Data in December.

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC’s Rally Could Be a Bull Trap as Sub-$60K Target Remains

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Bitcoin is consolidating just above the $60K region after a volatile first half of 2026 that saw the asset collapse from its January highs near $96K. The recent rebound off the June lows has restored some short-term optimism, but the price is now stalling directly beneath a heavy confluence of moving-average resistance.

Whether this becomes the start of a genuine trend reversal or simply another lower high inside the broader downtrend will likely be decided over the next several sessions.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, BTC remains capped below both its 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which are converging near the $70K zone and still slope downward. This is a sign that the higher-timeframe trend has not yet flipped bullish.

Since dropping from $96K in January, Bitcoin has carved out a sequence of lower highs, with the April and May recovery stalling around $82K before rolling over into the June and July low near $58K. However, the asset has since printed a series of short-term higher lows relative to the broader structure amid a clear bullish divergence with the RSI, and the market has reclaimed the $64K mark.

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A sustained close above the confluence of moving averages and the $74K supply zone would be the first real evidence that the downtrend is losing control, potentially opening the door toward the prior resistance zone near $82K.

On the downside, failure to build on this recovery would put the $60K zone back in focus as the immediate support. A breakdown below that level would expose the major demand region around $54K, which remains the key higher-timeframe floor.

BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour chart shows a cleaner picture. Bitcoin bottomed inside the $58K-$60K demand zone in late June and has been climbing steadily within a rising wedge pattern, printing higher lows along the lower trendline.

That advance carried price into the $65K–$67K resistance cluster formed by June highs. However, the latest candles show a rejection from this area, with the price breaking the wedge to the downside and slipping back toward $64K.

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The RSI has also cooled from overbought territory near 70 down toward the 40 zone, reflecting fading momentum rather than outright bearish pressure. A rebound and reclaim of the recent highs around the $67K zone would support a push toward $72K–$74K, while continued rejection and decline here would validate the rising wedge breakdown and likely send the price back to retest the $58K support area, which, as things stand, is the more probable scenario.

Sentiment Analysis

Looking at Bitcoin’s spot average order size, large whale orders have dominated the tape through the entire decline and subsequent recovery since June. This is a marked shift from the retail-heavy order flow seen back in December 2025 near the $90K region.

This metric tracks the size distribution of executed spot orders, distinguishing retail-sized trades from large block orders typically associated with institutional or high-net-worth participants. Persistent big-whale activity through a drawdown generally signals accumulation rather than capitulation, since larger players tend to scale into weakness rather than chase strength.

The continued presence of big whale orders through both the $58K low and the recovery above $64K suggests accumulation has been underway at these depressed levels. If this behavior persists as price approaches the $72K-$74K resistance, it would lend credibility to the case for a deeper structural reversal. A sudden shift back toward retail-dominated flow near resistance, by contrast, would be a caution flag worth watching, and could point to another potential decline in the coming weeks.

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Wise expected to resubmit US charter application under GENIUS

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Wise expected to resubmit US charter application under GENIUS

Wise expected to resubmit US charter application under GENIUS

The OCC denied the UK company’s application this week citing AML/CFT risks, despite approving similar charters for digital asset companies in the last year.

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North Korea arrests hackers accused of laundering stolen bank funds through crypto

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North Korea arrests hackers accused of laundering stolen bank funds through crypto

North Korean authorities arrested former military hackers accused of stealing state funds from two banks and laundering the proceeds through cryptocurrency.

The group, according to a Daily NK report citing an anonymous source in Pyongyang, allegedly breached the internal systems of the Central Bank of the DPRK and Foreign Trade Bank, diverted foreign currency and state trade funds, and moved the money into overseas crypto wallets.

The report could not be independently verified.

Chinese brokers then converted the assets into U.S. dollars and yuan, Daily NK said. Contacts in the border cities of Sinuiju and Hyesan allegedly exchanged the crypto for cash in real time, with the group splitting transfers into small amounts to avoid detection and using encrypted messaging apps, unregistered phones and Chinese wireless equipment.

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North Korea’s National Intelligence Agency arrested the suspects at a Pyongyang safe house on July 12 after officials detected discrepancies in foreign-currency payment approvals and suspicious overseas IP activity, according to the report.

The laundering route mirrors methods used by North Korean hacking groups to cash out stolen crypto.

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Ethereum Traders are Giving Up Again. The Last Two Times ETH Rallied

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Ethereum (ETH) Price Performance

Ethereum (ETH) social commentary has turned very bearish for the third time in a month, according to Santiment. Two previous low readings preceded price rebounds.

The reading comes as ETH trades near $1,854 and spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) demand strengthens. Santiment treats crowd pessimism as a contrarian marker.

Ethereum (ETH) Price Performance
Ethereum (ETH) Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto Markets

Why Ethereum’s Bearish Sentiment Matters

Santiment tracked the ratio of positive to negative Ethereum commentary across X, Reddit, Telegram, and other crypto channels. The reading fell to 1.089 on July 24, its third bearish extreme in a month.

The two earlier troughs arrived on June 27 and July 11. ETH gained 14% over the following 7 days and 7% over the next 4 days.

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Ethereum Positive vs Negative Commentary Ratio Lows Preceding a Rebound.
Ethereum Positive vs Negative Commentary Ratio Lows Preceding a Rebound. Source: X/Santiment

Nonetheless, Santiment stopped short of calling a reversal.

“The bullish takeaway isn’t that negative sentiment guarantees an instant reversal. It’s that when traders are loudly giving up on Ethereum while ETF flows, L2 activity, and protocol upgrades remain active, the #2 market cap in crypto often gets a cleaner setup for a turn-around…” the firm said.

Ethereum ETF Inflows and On-Chain Data Flash Bullish Signals in July

Notably, the crowd turned bearish, but institutional buyers did not follow. Ethereum ETFs pulled in $103.9 million in the week ending July 24, more than any other spot crypto product. That marked a third straight positive week after inflows of $84 million and $105 million.

Demand is not the only metric improving. CryptoQuant said ETH is “undervalued relative to its cost basis.” 

“It trades near $1,900 — roughly 17% below its realized price of $2,304 — and in the lower half of its realized price band, a zone historically associated with market bottoms and asymmetric upside,” the firm explained.

At the same time, the ETH/BTC exchange inflow ratio now sits near 0.8, down from above 1.5 in August 2025. Earlier bottoms formed nearer 0.4.

XWIN Research also flagged Binance reserves as a key signal. Holdings there have fallen from nearly 5 million ETH in mid-2025 to around 3.8 million. That leaves fewer coins ready to sell.

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“While this does not confirm that Ethereum has reached its final bottom, the combination of declining Binance reserves, improving on-chain metrics, and recovering institutional interest suggests that downside risk is gradually diminishing,” the analyst said.

The post added that a continuation could set up relative strength against Bitcoin.

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The post Ethereum Traders are Giving Up Again. The Last Two Times ETH Rallied appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bitcoin Is Testing a Crucial Level: Breakout or Breakdown Next?

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After a major rally toward a monthly peak, bitcoin’s price has lost momentum and is down to $64,000, which is very close to a level that could provide more insight into which way the asset is going next.

Popular analyst Ali Martinez outlined the two most likely charts depending on whether BTC breaks out or down.

$67K Again or $60K?

The analyst told his over 165,000 followers on X that the primary cryptocurrency has returned to the key support level at $63,800 after failing at $67,000 earlier this week. He believes this critical line will determine the next leg, whether it will head back toward that aforementioned monthly high or crumble down to $60,000 as it did on a few occasions in June and in early July.

Given his recent assessment of the upcoming month, though, the odds are leaning bearish. As reported earlier, Martinez outlined historical data showing that August has been anything but a positive month for the largest cryptocurrency. The last four editions have all been in the red, and only three out of the past 12 have posted gains. The last significant August rally came nine years ago when it pumped by 65% during the 2017 bull run.

On the positive side, CW reported that small whales holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC have seen their positions turn green. The analyst claimed that such developments in the past preceded short-term upticks or more profound rallies.

BTC Still Capped

Rekt Capital noted that all of BTC’s recent breakout attempts have been halted at approximately $65,500 on the weekly scale, which is where the 50-Month EMA is positioned. He warned that BTC may be “developing a new multi-week lower high” after the latest rejection.

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In addition, he noted that the declining buy-side volume hints at another bearish shift, as sellers have stepped up lately.

“The more seller-dominant the volume becomes while Bitcoin is at resistance, the greater the chances for a rejection from here,” he concluded.

The post Bitcoin Is Testing a Crucial Level: Breakout or Breakdown Next? appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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