Business
British Woman, 67, Overcomes 17-Year Fear of Flying by Listening to BTS Music Even During Turbulence
A woman from Southampton, England, who avoided air travel for nearly two decades because of a severe phobia has found an unlikely remedy for her fear: the music of K-pop group BTS.
Debbie Adamson, 67, said her anxiety around flying traces back to a turbulent trip from Budapest she took as a student decades ago, an experience that left her convinced every subsequent flight might end in disaster. That early fear never faded. In 2006, while preparing for a family trip to Orlando, Florida, with her husband and their three children, Adamson attempted to sabotage the vacation entirely by hiding her passport inside a magazine at the airport. Staff discovered the situation and issued her a replacement travel document, allowing the trip to proceed as planned. Adamson later described spending the following three hours in tears after the plan failed.
Two decades without flying
By 2008, Adamson had reached a breaking point with her aerophobia, the clinical term for an intense fear of flying that researchers estimate affects roughly one in 10 people. She made the decision to stop flying altogether, a choice that held for the next 17 years and shaped where and how her family could travel during that stretch of her life.
Her flying anxiety manifested physically as well as emotionally during the years she still boarded planes. She has described gripping her husband’s hands so tightly during flights that he developed lasting joint pain in them, and said she routinely warned flight attendants about her condition as soon as she boarded, often already in tears before takeoff. She avoided eating or drinking during flights and regularly felt unwell afterward, describing the sensation as an uncontrollable, overwhelming terror rather than ordinary nervousness.
A shift in understanding
Adamson’s relationship with flying began to change last year, after a friend who works as a pilot walked her through how planes actually function, information she said helped ease some of the fear rooted in uncertainty. She also joined an online support group for people who share similar anxieties, a step that gave her more confidence to confront the phobia directly. Motivated by an upcoming milestone, Adamson set a goal of booking a trip to Santorini, Greece, to celebrate her 40th wedding anniversary with her husband.
Before committing to that longer international trip, Adamson and her family returned to Orlando as a test run. It was during that flight that she discovered an unexpected tool for managing her anxiety: listening to music from BTS, the seven-member South Korean pop group composed of RM, Jin, Suga, j-hope, Jimin, V and Jung Kook. She said she made it through the entire flight, including a stretch of turbulence, without the physical distress that had defined her past experiences with air travel.
A carefully curated playlist
To prepare for the flight, Adamson built a dedicated collection of songs meant to keep her calm and distracted throughout the journey. “I made a bulletproof playlist, every single track I love,” Adamson said, describing the approach she used to ensure she stayed engaged with music rather than her anxiety once in the air. She also described closing her eyes during takeoff and holding on tightly, a habit that helped her work through the moment rather than avoid it, and said the experience allowed her to reframe her relationship with the fear itself, recognizing that much of the pressure she felt had come from her own mindset rather than any external threat.
A message for others
Adamson has since spoken publicly about her experience in hopes that it might help others who struggle with similar phobias. She has been careful to note that she does not consider herself fully cured of her fear, but says she now has enough self-awareness to give herself permission not to feel frightened when flying, a shift she describes as significant even if the underlying anxiety hasn’t disappeared entirely. She has also emphasized that there was nothing to be ashamed of in experiencing the phobia in the first place, noting that what had been missing for years was simply an opportunity to understand the fear more logically rather than avoid it altogether.
With her confidence continuing to build, Adamson has said she is now looking ahead to booking additional trips, a marked change from the nearly two decades during which flying felt entirely out of reach.
A common but often misunderstood fear
Aerophobia remains one of the more widely experienced specific phobias, with estimates suggesting it affects a significant share of the general population to varying degrees, ranging from mild discomfort to the kind of debilitating anxiety Adamson described experiencing for years. Mental health professionals commonly recommend a combination of education about flight mechanics, gradual exposure, and coping strategies such as distraction techniques, controlled breathing or calming music as tools that can help people manage the condition, though approaches that work vary considerably from person to person.
Adamson’s story adds to a broader public conversation about flight-related anxiety, an experience shared by numerous public figures and everyday travelers alike, many of whom have spoken openly in recent years about the toll the fear can take and the varied methods they have used to cope with it. For Adamson, the unexpected pairing of a K-pop group’s discography with a decades-long phobia offered a path back to something she had given up on entirely: the ability to travel by air without being overwhelmed by fear.
Business
Chipotle opens first Mexico location as it plans further expansion
PepsiCo CEO Ramon Laguarta discusses how the food and beverage giant is seeing massive paybacks after slashing consumer prices on ‘The Claman Countdown.’
Chipotle Mexican Grill opened its first restaurant in Mexico this month as part of the fast-casual chain’s international growth strategy.
The new location opened on July 16 in San Pedro Garza García, Nuevo León, part of the Monterrey metropolitan area, and is being operated in partnership with restaurant operator Alsea, according to a news release from Chipotle.
“We are entering Mexico with deep respect for the country’s culinary heritage and a commitment to delivering the Chipotle experience with excellence,” Scott Boatwright, CEO of Chipotle, said in a statement.
“Our research has reinforced our belief that there is strong interest in high-quality, freshly prepared food served with the customization and convenience that Chipotle offers.”
CHIPOTLE RIVAL GUZMAN Y GOMEZ MEXICAN KITCHEN CLOSES ALL US RESTAURANTS

Chipotle Mexican Grill opened its first restaurant in Mexico this month as part of the fast-casual chain’s international growth strategy. (Chipotle)
Chipotle and Alsea plan to open additional locations in Nuevo León later this year, followed by an expansion into Mexico City in 2027.
The restaurant is the first to open under a development agreement the companies announced in April 2025.
Alsea runs several thousand restaurants from global quick-service, coffee shop and full-service brands in many countries in Latin America and Europe, according to Chipotle.

The new location opened on July 16 in San Pedro Garza García, Nuevo León. (Chipotle)
The new restaurant offers Chipotle’s standard menu of customizable burritos, bowls, tacos, salads and quesadillas. Many ingredients are sourced from regional suppliers, according to the company.
Chipotle said the Monterrey area was selected because of its “strong economy, growing population” and position as a major business hub.
“Bringing Chipotle to Mexico is an important step in our growth and portfolio diversification strategy,” Christian Gurría, CEO of Alsea, said in a statement. “We are introducing an iconic brand with a differentiated value proposition that has resonated with millions of guests around the world, and we are confident it will be warmly welcomed by Mexican consumers.”
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CHIPOTLE TO OPEN MEXICAN LOCATIONS FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 2026

As of March 31, Chipotle operated more than 4,100 restaurants worldwide. (David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
As of March 31, Chipotle operated more than 4,100 restaurants worldwide.
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The restaurant chain expects to open between 350 and 370 new locations in 2026. Its international footprint includes restaurants in Canada, Europe and the Middle East, with additional openings planned in South Korea and Singapore.
Chipotle could not immediately be reached by FOX Business for additional comment.
FOX Business’ Aislinn Murphy contributed to this report.
Business
Exclusive | Sazerac Wants Another Shot at Jack Daniel’s Maker Brown-Forman
Sazerac isn’t taking no for an answer.
The maker of BuzzBallz cocktails and Buffalo Trace bourbon has sent a letter to a group of Brown-Forman BF.B shareholders asking them to reconsider a $15 billion buyout offer that had been rebuffed. The group—Class A shareholders—includes members of the Brown family, descendants of the company’s founder who currently control its voting power.
Copyright ©2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8
Business
Oil slips more than 5% after US pauses strikes on Iran

Oil slips more than 5% after US pauses strikes on Iran
Business
Are Midterm Elections a headwind for stocks?

Are Midterm Elections a headwind for stocks?
Business
Thailand Food Supplement Market to Reach US$ 2.52B by 2033
The Thailand Food Supplement Market is projected to grow from US$2.02 billion in 2023 to US$2.52 billion by 2033, driven by health awareness, an aging population, and rising demand for nutritional products.
The Thailand Food Supplement Market is on an upward trajectory, anticipated to grow from approximately USD 2.02 billion in 2025 to USD 2.52 billion by 2033, maintaining a CAGR of 5.90%. This growth is fueled by rising health consciousness, a shift towards preventive healthcare, and increasing interest in nutritional supplements. Consumers are keen on products that enhance overall wellness, immune function, weight management, and beauty.
The market’s expansion further benefits from an aging population, which drives demand for supplements targeting chronic conditions. There is a notable cultural inclination towards natural and herbal ingredients, integrating traditional Thai medicine into mainstream products. E-commerce platforms and pharmacy channels are also enhancing accessibility to these health products.
Key players such as H MEGA Lifesciences and Giffarine Skyline Unity are addressing local preferences by offering diverse nutritional supplements. The focus on plant-based formulations and personalized nutrition is transforming the market landscape. Companies are strategically leveraging innovations and collaborations to cater to a health-conscious consumer base, ensuring continued growth in Thailand’s vibrant wellness industry.
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Business
Welltower Needs A Miracle To Justify This Price (NYSE:WELL)
ArtMarie/E+ via Getty Images

Welltower (WELL) is the largest publicly-traded REIT by market capitalization. The REIT was big before, but the size has surged over the last few years as the share price exploded and the company issued a substantial amount of new equity to take advantage of their high multiple.
Shares trade at 41x forward AFFO consensus estimate. Those forward estimates still include Q2 2026 estimates. If we replaced them with Q2 2027 estimates, the multiple would drop from 41x to 39x. That’s still exceptionally expensive.
Note: This article was pretty short at first, but it kept ballooning like the national debt. I bestow upon you more than you ever really wanted to know about Welltower.
Quick Points
Quick things investors should know about WELL:
- Expect strong growth in AFFO per share over the next couple of years.
- The year-over-year growth rate in AFFO per share will likely come down substantially over the next several years.
- There is significant leverage in their business model. AFFO tends to be a relatively small portion of revenue. The variation there can swing AFFO per share significantly.
- Welltower has an excellent balance sheet. At their AFFO multiple, issuing stock to pay off debt raises AFFO per share. Even issuing stock to buy Treasuries would increase AFFO per share. Given that issuing stock to buy Treasuries or pay down debt would boost AFFO per share, it would be really strange (or stupid) if Welltower was using more debt in their financing model.
- WELL has been shifting their portfolio. They are primarily interested in reducing “outpatient medical” properties and increasing “senior housing operating” properties. You may see this abbreviated as “SHO”. It should be “SHOP”, but that’s the least of the issues here. Those properties tend to trade at cap rates that are dramatically higher than the market-implied cap rate for WELL.
- For WELL to really earn their share price, they need to issue a vast amount of equity at these premium valuations. The valuation is so insane that by far the best thing the REIT can do for shareholders on any given day is to issue more of that equity.
Cap Rates
We talk about cap rates occasionally. A cap rate is the amount of NOI (net operating income) a property is expected to produce relative to the share price.
The formula is simple: NOI / property value = cap rate.
The following image demonstrates cap rates across class A, B, and C assets in the senior housing category:
CBRE Senior Housing Report

Source CBRE Senior Housing report
The very lowest cap rate property within that category is “Class A – Active Adult” at 5.3%.
Let’s compare that to what Welltower reports owning:
Welltower

The huge emphasis by number of beds or units is on independent living and assisted living. Assuming that these are all class A properties (that’s a very optimistic assumption), we would be looking mostly at properties trading around 5.9% to 6.5%. There would also be a material amount of wellness housing around 5.3% and memory care around 8%. Therefore, we might ballpark that a reasonable cap rate across that part of the portfolio is probably around the low to mid 6% range.
This already accounted for 69.6% of portfolio NOI in Q1 2026:
Welltower

Since that’s the substantial majority of the portfolio, we will just focus on using it.
If we really wanted to be harsh, we would value the long-term/post-acute care portfolio (13.4% of NOI) using the “skilled nursing” cap rates where even a “core” property labeled as “class A” still has an average 10.9% cap rate. If we threw that into the equation, we would really want to use a higher cap rate.
Therefore:
- A cap rate in the 6% range would be very generous.
- A cap rate in the 7% range would still be moderately generous.
Valuing Welltower’s Assets
As I’ve mentioned previously, we can do a rough approximation for market implied cap rates by using adjusted EBITDA / total enterprise value.
I did that for Welltower.
We calculated it four ways:
- Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA minus stock compensation
- Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA
- Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA times 1.10 (to simulate 10% growth) minus stock compensation
- Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA times 1.10 (to stimulate 10% growth)
That gives us the following table:
The REIT Forum

Now, as you may notice, numbers from 2.66% to 2.97% happen to be dramatically below 6%. It is even further below 7%!
The Lazy Method
We could’ve avoided this work.
Welltower has a strong balance sheet. Net Debt was only 8.8% of the market capitalization at the end of Q1 2026.
Given that the company is mostly financed with stock, we could’ve done something really lazy. We could’ve just assumed that interest on debt might wash itself off and used FFO (better than AFFO for this precise scenario) divided by the common share price.
- Consensus forward FFO per share is $6.58.
- Math: $6.58 / $236.12 = 2.79%
- Consensus forward FFO per share using Q2 2027 instead of Q2 2026 is $6.83.
- Math: $6.83 / $236.12 = 2.89%
That’s the super lazy way. It doesn’t usually work that well. However, since Welltower didn’t have major items in Q1 2026 that needed adjusting and the company was overwhelmingly funded with common equity, it would still create a rough approximation. In theory someone could use AFFO instead, but they would want to adjust for recurring capitalized expenditures. Those are usually deducted in reaching AFFO, but they are not deducted in these calculations.
Consensus NAV Per Share
Given that we estimate Welltower should have their portfolio valued using a cap rate around 7%, but the market is valuing them using a cap rate below 3%, we can safely say that Welltower is trading at an extreme premium to the value of their real estate. Would you dare to say an absurd premium? I would. Here we go: Welltower is trading at an absurd premium.
The most rational thing they can do presently is issue tens of billions of stock as quickly as possible. Even if some of the cash from share issuance has to sit in Treasury bills for a while, it still increases their growth in AFFO per share and it locks in the high price.
Sometimes I bash on consensus NAV estimates when I catch a clear error. I believe the current estimates ($110.11) are still too high, but as WELL issues more stock, they can still get there.
TIKR

The gap in estimates was pretty big.
TIKR

Sanity Check
I ran the model for EBITDA to enterprise value again. This time I used the consensus NAV figure instead of the share price:
The REIT Forum

Note: Consensus NAV is simply the average.
Based on that math, I think the consensus NAV estimate of $110 is too high.
If we use $80, which is just above the lowest estimate, we get much higher percentages:
The REIT Forum

Given expectations for growth, I’m going to say $80 is too low. I would be inclined to say the best estimate for current NAV is probably somewhere in the $90s.
EBITDA vs. Overhead
For better or worse, using Adjusted EBITDA (especially after forcing stock-based compensation to be recognized) will imply a lower yield than using NOI.
Why? Because NOI does not deduct a bunch of overhead expenses. EBITDA does deduct them. The overhead expenses can be pretty insane.
Record Bloat
I’m just going to leave this here:
Seeking Alpha

I’m not a fan. The board of directors agreed to this payout. For comparison, the total cash distributions (dividends) to shareholders in 2025 was $1,878 million. The payout to the CFO was $167 million. Was his contribution valuable enough to warrant a pay package equal to 8.89% of the total distributions to shareholders?
In my opinion, that makes Welltower a far less attractive REIT. Investors in the REIT get the board of directors that approved that package. Yay!
The Stupidest Chart Ever?
In Welltower’s presentation, they highlighted the coming demand for senior housing and how it is just so affordable. Affordable to people paid like their CFO? Here’s the chart:
Welltower

How did Welltower create that chart? It wasn’t directly revealed in the presentation. But I was able to find some numbers that would work.
Welltower left their presentation from August 2022 online. That document reveals how they came up with their definition of affordability and it references another source that could be used for rent growth. So I did a bit of work.
Affordability
I believe “Affordability” is this equation:
Aggregate net worth of households age 70+ in 2025 / Aggregate net worth of households age 70+ in 2008 = about 4.4x
I was able to replicate that by using the “Distributional Financial Accounts”. If we use the “Net Worth” column and compare the average from 2008 to the average from 2025 (filtered to households over 70 years old), we find that the value in 2025 is 4.358x the value from 2008. That rounds to 4.4x.
Here are some huge problems:
- The value is going to be absolutely dominated by stock portfolio values and starts with 2008 (remember the Great Financial Crisis, that was 2008 for anyone under 30).
- The value is aggregate. When more households enter the category, they push the value up unless they have negative net worth.
- The wealth is becoming even more skewed.
- This calculation is absolutely stupid.
Since they are calculating the aggregate value, the “affordability” goes up as the group size increases even if the additional people are extremely poor. Further, any increase in stock market indexes drives up “affordability”.
Junior High Math
Forgive me for being an analyst and liking precise data. I just need to explain that “+1.8x” and “1.8x” are not the same.
- 1.8x = 180%
- Being +180% means you’re up 180%. That turns $100 into $280.
- Being 180% means you’re up 80%. It turns $100 into $180.
How can we tell that they meant to say 1.8x instead of +1.8x? Look at the height of the bars. See how the “+1.8x” bar is about 80% on the left axis?
Likewise the bar for +4.4x actually stops around 340%.
This should be 6th grade math, but I’ll assume a weaker program and say it might be 7th grade.
No Comparison
- “Affordability” was measured based on the aggregate net worth of households.
- “Rent” was measured based on the individual unit.
If we want to apply similar stupidity to the rent metric, we would need to use the aggregate rent level. So each additional unit would have to raise the cumulative rent.
Rental Growth
Rent has been growing at a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) around 3% to 3.5% if we use a major source like JLL.
JLL

That’s the broader market growth rates.
- Average rate: Around $5500
- Average rate for WELL’s same property portfolio: $6,259
Location or quality of facilities could be enough to explain the difference.
- The average growth rate for the market was about 4.5%.
- The average growth rate for WELL was about 5.0%.
Once again, those are close enough.
But if WELL was growing rental rates at 5%, how did they increase same property net operating income at a staggering 22.1%?
It wasn’t occupancy. The number of occupied rooms within the same property portfolio increased 4.3%. That’s an impressive increase, but even with 5% growth in rental rates it wouldn’t get us to 22.1%.
Same Property NOI Growth
Same property NOI grew at a staggering 22.1%. We can’t explain that with 5% growth in rental rates.
Was it occupancy? That seems like a clear question, but the answer gets muddy. Occupancy did increase, but it only increased by 372 basis points (from 85.27% to 89.00%). That resulted in a 4.34% increase in the number of occupied rooms. That isn’t enough to drive the gain either.
Absolutely Remarkable Scale
It is pretty common for equity REITs to have NOI margins around 65% to 75%. It varies a bit by property type. However, senior housing operating properties have dramatically lower NOI margins.
Because margins tend to be low, that also means operating expenses tend to be high. Controlling growth in costs can drive substantial growth in net operating income. The cost control for WELL was remarkable.
- Q1 2025: Same property operating expenses per occupied room increased 1.84%
- Q1 2026: Same property operating expenses per occupied room increased 0.35%
That sounds nice to investors, right? It sounds like the expense scales linearly while the revenue keeps growing. It’s precisely the kind of model investors want to see. Revenue increases significantly forever while the expenses only edge slightly higher.
But doesn’t that sound too good to be true?
Unsustainable Scaling
The scaling on operating expenses looks completely unsustainable when we dive into it.
Mind if I just throw tables of data your way? Great, that’s what we’re doing. We’re going to start with the numbers for the Q1 2026 same property pool.
Supplemental

That seems nice, right? Same store NOI is exploding on higher margins. If we assume that higher margins are largely driven by costs being relatively fixed, then we could convince ourselves that this would continue indefinitely.
I’m going to end that dream.
We can see how many units there were. We have the approximate occupancy (rounded to a decimal place). We can create two different tables:
- The first table uses the total number of units in the same property pool.
- The second table uses the approximate number of occupied units in the same property pool.
The tables look like this:
Supplemental

The highlighting is pretty simple:
- Green indicates where I believe the value should be scaling. Property taxes should primarily scale with the number of units. The government doesn’t care if the unit was occupied. Food should be consumed by actual residents, not empty rooms. Therefore the food should scale primarily with occupied rooms.
- Yellow means I believe the value should be driven by both the number of total units and the number of occupied units. Since utilities apply to common areas and to individual units, the utilities should scale with both.
Lessons from the Table
There are a few things that should stand out:
- The biggest expense by a huge margin is compensation. It is more than half of the total value for same property level expenses. Compensation in total was up 4.58%, but compensation per occupied room was only up 0.23%. This will be the biggest issue.
- Utility rates have been going up, not down. Yet utilities per unit were only up 2.09% and utilities per occupied unit were down 2.15%. I can believe that WELL became more energy efficient, but I don’t believe they can repeat that every year.
- Food price inflation has been a significant challenge for many Americans. Yet the food cost per occupied room barely increased. WELL might be getting more efficient with their menu, but this cost cutting can only go so far.
- Property taxes are only up 3.25%? That is a very small decline. If we really see appreciation in the value of these properties, then local tax assessors are going to want to push the taxes higher. That can often lag for a bit, so the meager growth now doesn’t mean it will stay small.
Compensation
This is the big issue.
A large portion (more than half) of the senior housing portfolio is in “assisted living” and “memory care”. In those facilities particularly, I would expect higher occupancy to drive staffing requirements.
So when I see compensation per occupied unit only increased 0.23%, I’m inclined to think this isn’t just “being more efficient”. It looks to me like increasing the load per employee. That does not simply continue to scale.
Looking back to the period from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025, we see a similar picture.
From Q1 2024 to Q1 2025 the increase in compensation expense per occupied unit in the same property pool was only 0.75%.
If WELL is raising wages in line with CPI and the mix of workers remains similar, then the number of workers per occupied unit must be declining.
How long can that continue? I don’t have a precise time for it to end. But I really don’t believe it will last indefinitely.
Priced Beyond Perfection
The valuation on WELL requires the company to continue putting out incredible growth rates.
Pumping out equity can certainly help. But the same property NOI figures that are so impressive rely on significant growth in margins year after year. WELL doesn’t just need to maintain these larger margins. They need to continue expanding the margins for years. That’s the cost of trading at 40x AFFO.
A Moment of Rage
The documents don’t quite match up.
You’ll find slightly different values for the same property portfolios between:
The “earnings presentation” is also named “Business Update”. I don’t know why. Both documents were released on April 28th, 2026.
Example:
- Same property revenue for Q1 2026 supplemental: $1,722,576
- Same property revenue for Q1 2026 earnings presentation: $1,722,085
Is it a big difference? No. But it is incredibly annoying when it comes to model accuracy.
My Predictions
- I believe WELL will be able to continue driving material growth in revenue per occupied room and even better growth in revenue per total room because of gains to occupancy.
- I believe the growth in NOI margin will slow materially. Margins might still improve for a bit. What I find extremely unlikely is the idea that NOI margins could grow over 300 basis points annually for several years.
- I believe same property NOI growth rates for the senior housing operating portfolio will decline substantially. Margin growth will be a huge factor.
- I believe WELL will continue to rapidly issue stock. Even if the price fell by 33% it would still be wise for them to pump out new shares.
- I believe NAV estimates will rise. They are already above my estimate for where NAV is today, but we will probably see more shares issued and each share increases NAV. The real estate is only worth $90 to $100, but issuing a share for net proceeds over $230 still adds $230 of cash to the REIT.
- In the next year we may see cap rates get a little bit lower for these types of assets. Part of the reason may be Welltower bidding for assets. In that sense Welltower can push the market value for comparable assets higher because they have such an easy access to cash through printing shares.
- I believe WELL will show significant short-term AFFO per share growth, but the growth rate will trend lower over the next several years.
- I believe the AFFO multiple will come crashing down within the next several years.
- I believe the reduction in AFFO multiple will be more powerful than the growth in AFFO, resulting in a lower share price ($239.75 at time of publication for REIT Forum subscribers).
- I believe the resulting lower AFFO multiple will make issuing new stock less accretive, which will further reduce the AFFO growth rate since issuing stock at 40x AFFO is a powerful engine for growing AFFO per share.
- I believe WELL will significantly underperform the major equity REIT index (VNQ) over the next 5 to 10 years because the starting valuation is so high.
- Even if WELL delivers one of the best growth rates among REITs for AFFO per share from 2026 to 2030 (quite possible), that still wouldn’t be enough to justify the current valuation.
Conclusion
Welltower is absurdly overvalued. It has continued climbing this year. The market simply loves seeing rapid growth. Issuing stock at these levels is a great choice. Buying shares is not. There’s not a reasonable route for Welltower to deliver the kind of growth that would be necessary to sustain the stock valuation when the growth fades.
The dividend yield is only 1.3%. This is not an income stock. Investors are here for capital appreciation. But what happens when the growth slows down? Even if WELL could achieve 5 years of outstanding growth and gets AFFO up to $12.00 per share, what happens when it falls off? When shares go back to a normal multiple? If they went back to 20x AFFO (much higher than the average for REITs today), that would be $240.00. Investors wouldn’t be happy about getting a meager yield for 5 years combined with minimal price appreciation.
Can growth continue forever? That seems unlikely:
- The current growth rate is fueled by issuing shares at a wild premium.
- That has been supported by massive growth in same property net operating income.
- The extreme growth in same property net operating income relied on margin expansion.
- WELL doesn’t just need to maintain those wider margins, they need to continue expanding the margins.
- As nice as margin expansion feels, it never goes on forever.
It is clear that Welltower’s valuation is absurdly high regardless of how we measure it:
- Using AFFO multiples, WELL is extremely expensive. Even with strong growth in AFFO per share for the next few years, I don’t believe they can get AFFO to a high enough level to deliver investors with an attractive return once the multiple declines.
- Using revised EBITDA to total enterprise value we see shares trading at a laughably low yield. If investors want to invest in senior housing, they should look elsewhere. The implied cap rates for WELL are insanity that demonstrates the market has completely lost touch with the underlying value of the portfolio.
I don’t see anything worthy of such an extreme valuation.
Other analysts have correctly pointed out that the valuation on WELL is too high. Thus far, the market hasn’t listened. It is still living a fantasy. When it wakes, WELL has enormous downside.
At the time of publishing this report for subscribers, shares of WELL traded at $239.75. About 41.9x consensus AFFO for Q2 2026 through Q1 2027.
Business
United CEO reportedly floated merger with Delta Air Lines
Maria Bartiromo asks Delta Air Lines CEO Ed Bastian to assess the current K-shaped economy, noting strong spending among high-end consumers.
United Airlines reportedly approached Delta Air Lines last year about a potential merger that would have combined two of the largest U.S. carriers.
United CEO Scott Kirby contacted Delta CEO Ed Bastian to pitch the potential tie-up, The Wall Street Journal reported Sunday, citing people familiar with the matter.
According to the outlet, leadership at Delta discussed the proposal and evaluated the potential benefits as part of “preliminary due diligence,” but the talks did not advance, and both airlines ultimately moved on.
RYANAIR PASSENGER RECOUNTS BEING PARTLY SUCKED OUT AIRPLANE WINDOW: ‘I AM LUCKY’

A United Airlines Boeing 777 lands at Newark Liberty International Airport on Jan. 29, 2026, in Newark, New Jersey. United Airlines reportedly approached Delta Air Lines last year about a potential merger. (Gary Hershorn/Getty Images)
A United spokesperson told FOX Business the airline had “nothing to share.” Delta declined to comment.
A merger between United and Delta would have had sweeping implications for the airline industry and likely faced scrutiny from federal antitrust regulators and state attorneys general, according to The Wall Street Journal.
NEW BOEING AIRCRAFT DEVELOPMENT HAMPERED BY BACKLOG OF EXISTING ORDERS, SAYS CEO

A Delta Air Lines Airbus A220-100 approaches John F. Kennedy International Airport with its landing gear down on Nov. 14, 2019, in New York City. United CEO Scott Kirby reportedly contacted Delta CEO Ed Bastian to pitch the potential tie-up. (Nicolas Economou/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
The previously unreported talks come as United works to expand its global reach.
Kirby also reportedly explored a possible merger with American Airlines earlier this year. However, American rejected the proposal, and CEO Robert Isom criticized the idea as “anticompetitive,” the WSJ reported.
UNITED TO OFFER TRAVELERS FREE FLIGHT CHANGES TO AVOID LANDING AT TRUMP INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby speaks at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce’s Global Aerospace Summit in Washington, D.C., on Sept. 9, 2025. Kirby has since downplayed the likelihood that United will pursue a major merger. (Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
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Kirby has since downplayed the likelihood that United will pursue a major merger.
Last month, Kirby told Reuters that United remained open to buying airport slots, gates and other assets, but said a major consolidation deal was unlikely.
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“I think consolidation is unlikely for United,” Kirby said at the International Air Transport Association’s annual meeting in Rio de Janeiro. “That doesn’t mean we won’t still be in the market to buy assets, but consolidation is a low probability.”
Reuters contributed to this report.
Business
S&P500: Breaking In Slow Motion (Technical Analysis) (SP500)
Andrew McElroy is Chief Analyst at Matrixtrade, author of the ebook ‘Fractal Market Mastery’ and producer of the ‘Daily Edge.’ The ‘Daily Edge’ is emailed before each US session and outlines actionable ideas, directional bias, and important levels in the S&P500. It also looks at ‘What’s Hot,’ on any particular day, whether it is commodities, stocks, crypto, or forex. Andrew has developed a top-down proprietary system that starts with his weekend Seeking Alpha article focusing on the higher timeframes. Fractals, Elliott Wave, and Demark exhaustion signals are all incorporated, as are macro drivers and analysis of the market narrative. It is much more than just a few lines on a chart – it is a system developed over 15 years and proven to deliver a consistent edge. An independent trader since 2009, Andrew manages a family portfolio of stocks and ETFs with his wife and fellow Seeking Alpha contributor Macrogirl.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of VOO either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Business
Thailand Investment Update: Major Infrastructure Project Scrapped
Thailand’s news landscape reflects a nation navigating major infrastructure decisions, diplomatic tensions, economic realignment, and public safety concerns, all while maintaining its position as a regional hub for sports, culture, and business innovation.
Major Infrastructure Project Scrapped
In one of the week’s most significant developments, Thailand has decided to scrap its ambitious $29.7-38.3 billion land bridge project designed to bypass the Malacca Strait. According to multiple reports, a government-commissioned study found low commercial viability for the coast-to-coast megaproject connecting the Gulf of Thailand to the Andaman Sea. This represents a substantial policy reversal, as the project had been touted as a potential game-changer for regional shipping logistics. Officials are reportedly considering scaling back the initiative rather than abandoning it entirely, though the original scope now appears unlikely to materialize.
Economic Developments and Foreign Investment
Despite the infrastructure setback, Thailand’s economic outlook shows resilience in several sectors. The country secured a remarkable $43.6 billion investment surge in the first half of 2026, with investment applications jumping 37% year-over-year, largely driven by artificial intelligence sector growth. Japan’s Mitsubishi Motors announced plans to invest $473 million (16 billion baht) in Thailand’s EV push by 2030, signaling continued confidence in the country’s automotive manufacturing capabilities.
Thailand is also pursuing a $700 million electric vehicle incentive scheme aimed at replacing 80,000 conventional vehicles, part of broader efforts to modernize transportation infrastructure. Meanwhile, China and Thailand are deepening technology cooperation, and plans remain in place for a high-speed rail link to China, with the first phase targeted for completion by 2030.
However, trade tensions loom as the United States prepares to impose new tariffs of up to 12.5% on 60 trading partners, including Thailand, effective this week—prompting comparisons with neighboring Cambodia and Vietnam’s tariff rates.
Regional Trade and Diplomatic Relations
Thailand continues strengthening bilateral ties across Asia. The Philippines and Thailand are deepening economic cooperation as both nations shift foreign policy priorities toward trade expansion, encompassing investment and cross-border partnerships. Additionally, Egypt and Thailand’s foreign ministers met in Manila to discuss boosting economic relations, while China has reaffirmed its neutrality stance regarding regional matters.
For businesses monitoring these developments, Thailand Business News provides ongoing coverage of the country’s evolving trade landscape and investment climate.
Security Concerns in Southern Thailand
A troubling security situation persists in Thailand’s restive south, where five soldiers/rangers were killed in a bomb attack on a security checkpoint. In response, authorities have imposed martial law in the affected southern province. Officials have indicated that Malaysia’s cooperation remains key to achieving lasting peace in the region, highlighting the cross-border dimensions of the ongoing conflict.
Border Tensions with Cambodia
Thailand is also pressing forward with construction of a border fence with Cambodia following clashes earlier in 2025. Military forces have reportedly dug in along the contested border area, with peace remaining elusive despite ongoing diplomatic efforts. This situation adds another layer of complexity to Thailand’s regional security calculus.
Public Safety and Environmental Challenges
Thailand faces multiple public health and environmental challenges. The Department of Disease Control issued warnings after bacterial infections linked to the rainy season claimed over 100 lives. Compounding concerns, the country is bracing for five days of heavy rain, flash floods, and rough seas through late July, requiring heightened emergency preparedness.
On a more positive environmental note, researchers are deploying 3D-printed bioplastic pods to protect and restore seagrass along Thailand’s coastlines, offering innovative solutions to combat habitat destruction from waves and marine life.
Cryptocurrency and Cybersecurity Issues
Thailand’s financial regulatory landscape saw significant developments as the Securities and Exchange Commission filed a criminal complaint against cryptocurrency exchange Bitkub over alleged false disclosures connected to a substantial 1.7-billion-baht hack. Separately, cybersecurity concerns emerged after an AI assistant was reportedly used in a cyberattack targeting Thailand’s Ministry of Finance, highlighting growing digital security challenges facing government institutions.
Cultural and Sporting Highlights
Thailand’s global sporting profile received a boost with Tyson Fury’s dominant victory over Mariusz Wach in Pattaya, positioning the boxer for a potential mega-bout against Anthony Joshua. The fight, though initially unaired, generated substantial international media coverage.
In cultural news, Thailand celebrated its ninth UNESCO World Heritage site designation, while an incident involving rowdy Italian teenagers on Bangkok’s BTS transit system prompted an official apology from the Italian Embassy after the confrontation went viral, sparking public discourse about tourist behavior.
Additionally, Thailand is set to co-host the 2046 FIFA World Cup alongside Japan, South Korea, China, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Singapore, reflecting the nation’s continued ambitions in international sports hosting.
Source : Google News – Search
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