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Can cricket replicate the success of the Indian Premier League?

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Few people have experienced the boom in cricket quite like Rashid Khan. Since making his debut for his national side nine years ago, the 26-year-old Afghan spin bowler has played in professional leagues in India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, England, South Africa, Australia, the Caribbean, the UAE, the US and in his home country.

Khan is just one beneficiary of a wave of start-up cricket tournaments around the world, from Australia’s Big Bash League to Major League Cricket in the US, all spurred by the soaring success of the Indian Premier League (IPL), now one of the richest contests in sport.

The IPL’s ascent, fuelled by India’s rapid economic growth and support from the Modi government, has cemented the country as the most dominant force in a sport that traces back to the villages of 16th-century England.

Its outsized revenue has helped fund the game in smaller countries through distributions from the International Cricket Council, the game’s global governing body, which, later this year, will be chaired by Jay Shah, the son of India’s powerful home minister Amit Shah. The IPL has also turned some non-Indian players into international superstars.

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“It’s definitely lifting all boats,” says Nick Hockley, chief executive of governing body Cricket Australia, which runs the Big Bash League. “I think it’s in everyone’s interests that the game is growing globally.”

Organisers of copycat contests are now seeking to emulate the IPL’s approach of using a faster, condensed version of cricket to attract the broadest possible audience.

Corporate sponsors and broadcasters have been quick to sign on, while team owners in the various leagues range from the billionaire Ambani and Glazer families to Microsoft chief executive Satya Nadella and private equity firm CVC Capital Partners. 

One of the youngest tournaments, The Hundred, is seeking to test global investor appetite for cricket, by some metrics the second-most popular sport in the world after football.

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The England and Wales Cricket Board (ECB), which owns the competition, this month kicked off an auction process for stakes in eight-team franchises that the governing body hopes will raise as much as £500mn. The ECB and its rivals want to tap into growing interest in cricket, especially ahead of Los Angeles 2028 when the sport will feature at the Olympics for the first time since 1900. 

T20 World Cup Semi Final South Africa v Afghanistan. Rashid Khan
The popular spread of events has been a boon for top players like Afghanistan’s Rashid Khan © Ash Allen/Reuters

But while the proliferation of events has brought in new fans and been a boon for top players like Khan, the emergence of India as the rising superpower of the game has intensified a debate about its future.

Traditionalists believe the IPL and other short-form franchises siphon players, money and media attention from the original, longer “red ball” version of the game. More crucially, some argue that the growth in supply of cricket has now outpaced demand, and that not all of the current competitions will make it through a looming shakeout — and out of the shadow of the IPL.

“In cricket, there were 17 short-form franchise competitions last year,” says Richard Gould, chief executive of the ECB. “Whether all those things will survive, well, the answer is no. We need to make sure that we’re not engaged in an unsustainable arms race.”


The launch of the IPL in 2008 revolutionised cricket both on and off the field. The made-for-TV Twenty20 version of the sport, in which a typical game lasts about three to four hours instead of a full day, or up to five days in other formats, attracted new audiences with its combination of short, action-packed matches with the dazzle of cheerleaders, music and fireworks. 

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This momentum triggered a financial boom, with the value of the IPL’s media rights soaring to a record $6.2bn for the 2023 to 2027 seasons following a bidding war between Disney and Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance Industries. This made the IPL the world’s second-most valuable sports league on a per-game basis behind the US’s National Football League (NFL), while global investors such as private equity firm CVC have invested in franchises.

Andre Russell of West Indies fields off his own delivery during the ICC Men’s T20 Cricket World Cup West Indies & USA
IPL team owners now own franchises in similar leagues around the world. Andre Russell, for example, plays for the Kolkata Knight Riders and their franchises in Abu Dhabi and Los Angeles © Darrian Traynor/ICC via Getty Images

“The unique selling point of IPL is the quality of cricket we get to see,” says Arun Singh Dhumal, the league’s chair. “The IPL features some of the best cricketers from around the world. This mix of international stars and emerging Indian talent makes the league highly competitive and appealing to fans globally.”

The riches from the IPL have spread through the game. The ICC reported event revenue of $839mn last year thanks to the World Cup in India, up from $603mn four years earlier when the tournament was staged in England and Wales. In 2007, the year before the IPL was launched, the World Cup in the West Indies helped generate ICC event revenue of $286mn.

The Dubai-based ICC distributes its financial surplus to members across the world. The Board of Control for Cricket in India (BCCI) takes nearly 40 per cent of those earnings, a reflection of its heft in the global game, compared with about 6 per cent each for Australia and England.

“The IPL is like no other sport in no other country. You go to India, you look at the billboards, it’s either a politician or it’s a cricketer there,” says the ECB’s Gould. “Cricket is India and India is cricket.”

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IPL team owners, including Indian conglomerates Reliance and steelmaker JSW, now own franchises in similar leagues around the world, and are expected to compete for stakes in The Hundred teams over the coming months. 

This overseas expansion has allowed owners of IPL teams to start building global brands and effectively retain players year round, a model that analysts say is transforming cricket — traditionally built around international series — into a predominantly club sport like football. West Indian all-rounder Andre Russell, for example, has played for the Kolkata Knight Riders and their franchises in Abu Dhabi and Los Angeles.

“Having multiple franchises allows us to increase the year-round engagement of our fans, scout and develop local cricketing talent, and also provide international development opportunities for our support staff and management teams”, says Manoj Badale, owner of the Rajasthan Royals IPL team, the Paarl Royals in South Africa and the Barbados Royals in the Caribbean Premier League.


English cricket’s answer to the IPL, The Hundred, made its debut in 2021. The ECB, which owns the competition, opted not to use the Twenty20 format, instead creating an even shorter set-up in which each team tries to score as many runs as possible off 100 balls, a change that squeezed matches into under three hours.

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The competition’s architects saw this as a more attractive proposition for broadcasters. Men’s and women’s games are played back to back, part of its plan to attract a new, younger and more diverse audience. About a third of attendees at The Hundred matches are women, compared with less than 10 per cent for a typical men’s international, the ECB says.

505mnNumber of viewers who watched IPL in 2023

12mnNumber of viewers who watched The Hundred in 2023

However, The Hundred has faced some pushback from long-standing cricket fans, many of whom see the tournament as a gimmick aimed at children rather than a serious rival to the IPL or test cricket, the longest version of the game. During The Hundred, which lasts for a month during the height of the summer cricket season, England’s county championship is put on hold, although one-day cup matches continue.

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Soon investors will give their verdict on The Hundred, which at 12mn viewers in 2023 is dwarfed by the IPL at 505mn. A pitch deck put together with US investment bank Raine Group and Deloitte has been sent out to more than 100 interested parties, detailing bullish projections for future revenues from TV rights and sponsorship. 

Those running the process believe that some of the features that The Hundred shares with big US sports — such as the closed league with a small number of teams and salary caps — will help justify high valuations in a league that this year generated just £47mn in revenue. Even the rosiest projections of future growth put total income at £156mn a year by 2032, compared with the $1.1bn the IPL currently brings in from TV alone.

The Oval Invincibles lift the trophy during The Hundred final between Oval Invincibles Women and Southern Brave Women
The Oval Invincibles win The Hundred final. The tournament made its debut in 2021 © Tom Jenkins/Getty Images

Yet executives across the game in England hope the auction will bring a wave of money from investors in India, the US and elsewhere, including private equity and sovereign wealth funds. They are betting that luring IPL owners to The Hundred could also push up media values overseas by attracting Indian viewers keen to follow their domestic team’s English equivalent.

Some of the money raised by the ECB has been earmarked to help tackle the simmering financial troubles facing English domestic cricket, where some county club teams — the traditional backbone of the game — are grappling with falling revenues and mounting debts. 

“Everybody has seen the success of the IPL. It has been extraordinary, the broadcast deals in particular,” says Daniel Gidney, chief executive of Lancashire Cricket Club, which runs the league’s Manchester Originals. “This is a unique opportunity for US and Indian investors to invest into a heritage cricket asset. Demand already has been off the scale.”

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Yet many in the sport are highly sceptical of what they see as a growing financial bubble as new competitions battle to replicate the IPL’s success.

The popularity of the IPL is built on a series of unique factors, including the enormity of India’s 1.4bn cricket-loving population, a buoyant economy and a lack of popular interest in other sports.

“The IPL is an 800lb gorilla,” says Joy Bhattacharjya, a former Knight Riders team director. “It’s a freak.

“If you look around and ask where are franchises making money elsewhere in the world, you’ll have to ask yourself some serious questions,” he adds. “None of these leagues at this point in time make any financial sense.”

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The proliferation of short-form contests has driven up player salaries, as rival contests seek to outbid each other for talent. The ECB believes The Hundred needs private team owners to bankroll an increase in the competition’s combined salary cap for a men’s and women’s team to £2.6mn in 2025, up from £1.3mn last year — a long way off the IPL’s own spending limit of £10.6mn.

“The players win from franchise leagues,” says Andrew Umbers, managing partner at Oakwell Sports Advisory. “They are what drive commercial revenues, broadcast value.” 

Top male players earned up to £125,000 in this year’s edition of The Hundred, compared with £2.3mn in the IPL, and £400,000 in rival leagues in South Africa and the UAE. Top female players this year earned up to £50,000, up from £15,000 in 2021.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru’s Virat Kohli celebrates after the dismissal of Delhi Capitals’ Jake Fraser-McGurk during the Indian Premier League
Top Indian players like Virat Kohli, right, are currently barred from joining overseas leagues © Idrees Mohammed/AFP via Getty Images

The ECB also wants to increase the pay of the top men players in the month-long tournament to £300,000.

To attract and retain the world’s best men and women players, they need to paid properly, says Gould. “Outside of the IPL, we need to make sure we’re the top payers in the global player market,” he adds.

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There are other challenges. The rapid expansion of leagues has also led to a packed calendar of international and club cricket, with some executives worried viewer interest is becoming saturated.

Places like England, Pakistan and Australia are large enough markets to build up some local momentum, and it is hoped that the benefits of bringing more people into cricket will be felt over the long term, some insiders say.

However, they warn that leagues elsewhere are likely to struggle unless they can find an audience in India.

Indian players are currently barred from joining overseas leagues by BCCI rules, a policy that analysts say helps protect the value of the IPL by ensuring it is the only league where audiences can see top stars such as Virat Kohli or Rohit Sharma. Industry executives dismiss the idea of a relaxation in the BCCI’s rules. 

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Matthew Wheeler, a former professional cricketer and now chief executive of boutique investment firm A&W Capital, foresees a future for cricket where two or three of the current crop of short-form tournaments build a big enough audience to continue attracting international talent, while the rest will have to rely on domestic players and a local audience if they are to keep going.

“If you look at most people who’ve bought a franchise, they love cricket. They get an emotional return. Outside the IPL, how many franchises are wanted by pure investors? I suspect not many,” he says.


The IPL meanwhile is also trying to grow its own international audiences — something that could leave even less space for rival domestic leagues.

Dhumal, the IPL chair, says the league is working on strategies including creating video games and TV shows aimed at drawing in new viewers from around the world, with a view to drumming up interest ahead of the next Olympics.

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“Now that cricket is going to be part of [the] 2028 Olympics, we have a responsibility to take the IPL to other shores and get its reach [to] even wider audiences,” he says.

Some fear that India’s growing stranglehold on cricket, including its influence over the ICC, risks becoming detrimental to the game. The country has, for example, refused to play a bilateral series with Pakistan for over a decade due to geopolitical tensions, costing its smaller neighbour a crucial source of revenue. Pakistani players are also in effect blacklisted from the IPL.

England’s Joe Root unsuccessfully attempts to take a catch and dismiss India’s Rohit Sharma
The Hundred has faced some pushback from long-standing cricket fans, many of whom see the tournament as a gimmick rather than a serious rival to the IPL or test cricket, the longest version of the game © Francis Mascarenhas/Reuters

“India is so powerful in terms of its clout that it can basically get away with whatever decision it wants to take,” says Najam Sethi, a former chair of the Pakistan Cricket Board.

He adds that the Pakistani players are now increasingly inclined to try and play for T20 leagues where they hope to make more money than playing for their country. “Their commitment to Pakistan cricket is being diluted because they get a lot more money from these leagues,” Sethi says.

There are also signs that even the IPL bonanza is peaking. D&P Advisory, a valuation firm, recently estimated that the value of the league has fallen for the first time outside the pandemic, from $11.2bn to $9.9bn this year, due to an expected drop in future media rights.

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A recent merger between Disney’s Indian business and Reliance, whose competition helped push up the value of the last tranche of rights, “has essentially created monopolistic control over television and digital broadcasting”, D&P says.

Analysts said this leaves little prospect of similarly frenzied demand to push up media values in the near future, a cooling down that could add to the sense of uncertainty hanging over the game globally.

As for the question of whether the explosion of short-form cricket will ultimately spell the end of the five-day game, most executives insist that test cricket will remain the pinnacle of the sport for the foreseeable future.

“There is a lot of change happening now in cricket. What the sport is trying to do is find the right balance,” says A&W Capital’s Wheeler. “But aren’t we fortunate to have that choice?”

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Additional reporting by Samuel Agini in London

Data visualisation by Alan Smith

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Here's what the top 0.01% pay in taxes

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Here's what the top 0.01% pay in taxes

CNBC’s Robert Frank reports on the ultra-wealthy’s tax bill.

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World economy faces pressures similar to 1920s slump, warns Christine Lagarde

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The global economy is facing rifts comparable to the pressures that resulted in “economic nationalism”, a collapse in global trade and the Great Depression of the 1920s, the president of the European Central Bank has warned.

“We have faced the worst pandemic since the 1920s, the worst conflict in Europe since the 1940s and the worst energy shock since the 1970s,” said Christine Lagarde on Friday, adding that these disruptions combined with factors such as supply chain problems had permanently changed global economic activity.

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In a speech at the IMF in Washington two days after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points, pushing US equity markets to record highs, the ECB president argued that several parallels “between the “two twenties — the 1920s and 2020s — stand out”, pointing to “setbacks in global trade integration” and technological advances in both eras.

While monetary policy in the 1920s made matters worse as adherence to the gold standard pushed leading economies into deflation and banking crises, “we are in a better position today to address these structural changes than our predecessors were”, stressed Lagarde.

A century ago, she said, central bankers learnt the hard way that pegging the currency to gold and fixed exchange rates was “not robust in times of profound structural change” as it pushed the world into deflation, fuelling “economic malaise” and contributing to a “cycle of economic nationalism”.

Today, central bankers’ tools for preserving price stability “have proved effective”, she said. Lagarde pointed to the quick fall in inflation once central banks started to raise rates in 2022. Consumer prices had shot up following a surge in post-pandemic demand, global supply chain disruptions and big rises in energy prices after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

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She described the episode as an “extreme stress test” for monetary policy.

Central bankers have been able to ease monetary policy in recent months as price pressures abated. Annual inflation in the Eurozone peaked at 10.6 per cent in October 2022 but hit a three-year low of 2.2 per cent in August.

Lagarde said it was “remarkable” that central banks managed to get inflation under control within less than two years while avoiding a rise in joblessness. “It is rare to avoid a major deterioration in employment when central banks raise rates in response to high energy prices. But employment has risen by 2.8mn people in the euro area since the end of 2022,” she said.

However, the ECB president warned against complacency, saying that issues including possible setbacks to globalisation, a partial disintegration of global supply chains, the market power of tech giants such as Google and the “rapid development of artificial intelligence” could all test central bankers.

Uncertainty would “remain high” for monetary policymakers, Lagarde said, adding: “We need to manage it better.”

The ECB will investigate these issues in detail in its looming strategy review, she said. While its 2 per cent medium-term inflation target would not be scrutinised, “we will consider what we can learn from our past experience with too-low and too-high inflation”, she said.

The ECB would also analyse its assessment and disclosure of risks. For example, its baseline inflation scenario could be “balanced . . . with real-time information”, and the central bank could also disclose alternative scenarios.

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Family offices are the most bullish they’ve been in years, survey says

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Family offices are the most bullish they've been in years, survey says

A version of this article first appeared in CNBC’s Inside Wealth newsletter with Robert Frank, a weekly guide to the high-net-worth investor and consumer. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.

Family offices are the most bullish they’ve been in years, putting their cash to work in stocks and alternatives as the Fed starts to cut interest rates, according to a new survey.

Nearly all family offices, 97%, expect positive returns this year, and nearly half expect double-digit gains, according to Citi Private Bank’s 2024 Global Family Office Survey.

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“This is the most optimistic outlook we’ve seen,” said Hannes Hofmann, head of the family office group at Citi Private Bank, which has been conducting the survey for five years. “What we’re clearly seeing is an increase in risk appetite.”

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The survey is the latest sign that family offices — the private investment arms of wealthy families — are emerging from two years of hoarding cash and bracing for recession to start making more aggressive bets on market and valuation growth.

They especially like private equity. Nearly half, 47%, of family offices surveyed say they plan to increase their allocation to direct private equity in the next 12 months, the largest share for any investment category. Only 11% plan to reduce their PE holdings. Private equity funds ranked second, with 41% planning to increase their allocation.

With interest rates heading down, family offices are also regaining their appetite for stocks. More than a third, 39%, of family offices plan to increase their allocation to developed-market equities, mainly the U.S., while only 9% plan to trim their equity exposure. That comes after 43% of family offices increased their exposure to public stocks last year.

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Public equities remain their largest holding by major asset class, with stocks making up 28% of their typical portfolio — up from 22% last year, according to the survey.

“Family offices are taking money out of cash, and they’ve put money into public equities, private equity, direct investments and also fixed income,” Hofmann said. “But primarily it’s going into risk-on investing. That is a very significant development.”

Fixed income has become another favorite of family offices, as rates start to decline. Half of family offices surveyed added to their fixed-income exposure last year — the largest of any category — and a third plan to add even more to their fixed-income holdings this year.

With the S&P 500 up nearly 20% so far this year, family offices are looking for 2024 to end with strong returns. Nearly half, 43%, expect returns of more than 10% this year. More than 1 in 10 large family offices — those with over $500 million in assets — are banking on returns of more than 15% this year.

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There are risks to their optimism, of course. When asked about their near-term worries about the economy and financial markets, more than half cited the path of interest rates. Relations between the U.S. and China ranked as their second-biggest worry, and market overvaluation ranked third. The survey marked the first time since 2021 that inflation wasn’t the top worry for the family offices surveyed, according to Citi.

One of the big differences that sets family offices apart from other individual investors is their appetite for alternatives. Private equity, venture capital, real estate and hedge funds now account for 40% of the portfolios of the family offices surveyed. That number is likely to keep growing, especially as more family offices make direct investments in private companies.

“It’s a significant allocation that shows family offices are asset allocators who are long-term investors, highly sophisticated and taking a long-term view,” Hofmann said.

One of the biggest themes for their private investments is artificial intelligence. The family offices of Jeff Bezos and Bernard Arnault have both made investments in AI startups, and repeated surveys show AI is the No. 1 investment theme for family offices this year. More than half of family offices surveyed by Citi have exposure to AI in their portfolios through public equities, private equity funds or direct private equity. Another 26% of family offices are considering adding to their AI investments.

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Hoffman said AI has already proven to be different from previous investment innovations such as crypto, and environmental, social and governance, or ESG. Only 17% of family offices are invested in digital assets, while a vast majority say they’re not interested.

“AI is a theme that people are interested in and they’re putting real money into it,” Hofmann said. “With crypto people were interested in it, but at best, they put some play money into it. With ESG, we’re finding a lot of people are saying they’re interested in it, but a much smaller percentage of family offices are actually really putting money into it.”

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Microsoft chooses site of nuclear accident for power

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Microsoft chooses site of nuclear accident for power

America’s Three Mile Island nuclear energy plant, the site of a high-profile accident that discouraged nuclear power development in the US for decades, is preparing to reopen as Microsoft looks for ways to satisfy its growing energy needs.

The tech giant said it had signed a 20-year deal to purchase power from the Pennsylvania plant, which would reopen in 2028 after improvements.

The agreement is intended to provide the company with a clean source of energy as power-hungry data centres for artificial intelligence (AI) expand.

The plan will now go to regulators for approval.

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The owner of the plant, Constellation Energy, said the reactor it planned to restart was adjacent to, but “fully independent” of the unit that had been involved in the 1979 accident, the worst in US history.

It caused no injuries or deaths but it provoked widespread fear and mistrust among the US public.

But nuclear power is the subject of renewed interest as concerns about climate change grow – and companies face increased energy needs tied to advances in artificial intelligence.

In a statement announcing the deal, Constellation boss Joe Dominguez said nuclear plants were the “only energy sources” that could consistently deliver an abundance of carbon-free energy.

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“Before it was prematurely shuttered due to poor economics, this plant was among the safest and most reliable nuclear plants on the grid, and we look forward to bringing it back with a new name and a renewed mission,” he said.

Microsoft called it a “milestone” in its efforts to “help decarbonize the grid”.

On 28 March, 1979, a combination of mechanical failure and human error led to a partial meltdown at the nuclear power plant in central Pennsylvania.

The accident occurred about 04:00 in the Three Mile Island plant’s second unit.

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The plant’s Unit 1 – which would reopen under the Microsoft deal – continued to generate power until closing in 2019.

Its owner at the time, Exelon, which spun out Constellation as an independent business in 2022, said the low cost of natural gas extraction had made nuclear-generated electricity unprofitable.

Constellation said it would invest $1.6bn (£1.2bn) to upgrade the facility, which it would seek approval to operate through 2054.

Reopening the plant would create 3,400 direct and indirect jobs and add more than 800 megawatts of carbon-free electricity to the grid, generating billions of dollars in taxes and other economic activity, according to a study by The Brattle Group cited by Constellation.

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Local media reported earlier this month that word of its possible revival had drawn some protesters.

Microsoft is not the only tech company that is turning to nuclear power as its energy needs expand.

Earlier this year, Amazon also signed a deal which involves purchasing nuclear energy to power a data centre. Those plans are now under scrutiny by regulators.

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Podcast: The art of putting things right

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Podcast: The art of putting things right

In this Weekend Essay, Amanda Newman Smith shares a personal story highlighting the importance of excellent customer service, especially when dealing with vulnerable clients. She contrasts negative experiences with a paint company and a clock supplier against a positive resolution with NatWest bank when assisting her elderly mother. This episode underscores the significance of empathy, clear communication, and proactive problem-solving in building trust and loyalty.

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US adopts first guidelines to shore up carbon credit markets

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The US derivatives watchdog has finalised the first federal guidelines for unregulated carbon offsets, as the Biden administration seeks to standardise a disorderly market in a bid to tackle climate change. 

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission adopted measures announced on Friday that ask exchanges to validate carbon offset derivatives, which base their prices on those of financial instruments bought by companies to offset emissions.

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Treasury secretary Janet Yellen issued a statement on Friday praising the new guidelines as a means to “promote the integrity of carbon credits and enable greater liquidity and price transparency”.

The unregulated market for carbon credits is estimated to grow to $100bn by 2030, up from $2bn this year, according to Morgan Stanley. But the voluntary carbon derivatives market has languished, with only a handful of contracts attracting substantial trading volume due to concerns about credibility.

“We actually have a legal responsibility to ensure the health and transparency of both the derivative side, but also the underlying cash market,” CFTC chair Rostin Behnam told the Financial Times.

The guidelines, which were initially proposed in December, seek to crack down on manipulation and price distortions by pushing exchanges to ensure that voluntary carbon credit derivatives comply with CFTC regulation as well as US law. 

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“With any project that has the scale that the carbon market is seeking, you’re going to have error rates, you’re going to have bad actors,” Behnam said. 

The CFTC voted 4-1 in favour of adopting the guidelines, with Summer Mersinger, one of the agency’s two Republican commissioners, voting against.

Boosting the reputation of carbon markets has been a political priority for the administration of US President Joe Biden, which sees carbon credits as a way to lure more private sector money into renewable energy and conservation.

While the credits have been initially popular among companies, they have also attracted criticism for failing to deliver the carbon removals they promise.

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Earlier this summer, Treasury secretary Janet Yellen unveiled guidelines for developers selling credits, and for the companies buying them to offset emissions. Former US climate envoy John Kerry has also thrown his weight behind carbon credit markets, launching a state department-led initiative in 2022 aimed at decarbonising regional power sectors.

Despite the political momentum behind efforts to develop voluntary carbon markets, Behnam cautioned that the energy transition would “take decades”.

“This notion that we’re going to be able to just transition to renewables in the near future and not rely on carbon-based energy sources . . . it’s not reality, right?” said Behnam. “The transition is going to take time.”

The guidance puts the onus on exchanges registered with the agency to ensure the integrity of voluntary carbon credit derivatives.

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Exchanges should consider whether a contract ensures that a project creates emission reductions that would not occur without it. They should also seek to ensure there is no “double-counting”, which occurs when multiple carbon credits are backed by the same trees, for example.

The guidance “will help professionalise and scale voluntary carbon markets,” said Mark Carney, the UN special envoy on climate action and finance and former Bank of England governor. “Other global regulators should now follow the CFTC’s lead.”

Guidance is not the same as regulation, a more powerful tool. But “it was pretty clear that a guidance document would be the best starting point . . . and one that would get support from a broad coalition of stakeholders”, Behnam said.

For years, the unregulated carbon market has suffered from greenwashing concerns, and the guidelines come as the market has narrowed. Derivatives exchange CME Group on August 30 said it would delist one of its futures products for emissions offsets that was launched only two years ago.

Recent surveys of carbon credit users have found worries about carbon offsets’ credibility has discouraged businesses from buying them, MSCI said in a September 19 report.

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