Gracy Chen highlighted the world’s largest asset manager as one example of such a firm seeking to expand distribution of their tokenized ETFs in the region.

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The bank is now offering institutional crypto spot trading in the region, bringing BTC and ETH onto the same eFX rails that institutions use to trade dollars and euros.

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On-chain analyst Willy Woo says the Bitcoin (BTC) 4-year cycle may be ending. In a post on X, he argued the market could adopt the 6-8 year debt cycle of traditional finance (TradFi).

The claim lands with Bitcoin near $78,011 after an August rebound. The coin had lost roughly half its value from the October 2025 peak of $126,198.

Why the Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle May Have Lost Its Engine

Historically, each halving cut the pace of new supply in half and reset Bitcoin’s four-year cycle. That recurring supply shock was strong enough to move the price on a fixed schedule. Woo now believes the mechanism has become too small to matter.

Issuance has run near 0.8% of supply since April 2024, and the 2028 halving will cut it to roughly 0.4%. For comparison, gold miners added about 1.7% to above-ground stock in 2025, based on World Gold Council data. Bitcoin’s supply engine is therefore already weaker than gold’s.

Fidelity Digital Assets reached a similar conclusion in February. Its research found volatility declining even as Bitcoin set record highs, behavior it links to maturation. Spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which existed in no prior halving cycle, add to that structural break.

Inside TradFi’s 6-8 Year Debt Cycle

Crypto traders know the halving as a supply event. The debt cycle, in contrast, is a demand and liquidity event, and it is the rhythm that stock and bond markets already trade on.

Economist Ray Dalio popularized the framework. In his model, the Fed cuts rates after a downturn, and credit becomes cheap. Households and companies borrow and spend, which lifts earnings and asset prices, then pushes inflation higher. The Fed responds with rate hikes, credit tightens, growth stalls, and a recession forces the next round of cuts.

One full loop typically takes several years. Data from the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) puts the average post-war US cycle at about 75 months, or just over six years, from peak to peak. Woo’s 6-8 year range, therefore, sits at the long end of the record.

The last Bitcoin cycle arguably fits this loop as well as the halving one. The Fed cut rates to zero in March 2020, and Bitcoin peaked in November 2021. Hikes began in March 2022, and the bear market followed. Both models explain that sequence, which is why the debate is hard to settle.

However, Woo’s version has a gap. Bitcoin launched in 2009, and the only recession since then was the two-month COVID downturn in 2020, which the Fed met with immediate stimulus.

Woo said on the What Bitcoin Did podcast that Bitcoin has never faced a true business-cycle downturn, and that 2026 could be the first real test. That test may be close. According to CME Group, there is a 60% chance of a 25 bps rate hike during the September FOMC meeting.

The Case Against a New Regime

Cycle purists argue the old script is still running on time. Bitcoin peaked about 18 months after the April 2024 halving, inside the historical window, and then entered a deep drawdown. That is the same sequence that followed the 2017 and 2021 tops, and it has kept the four-year cycle debate alive.

There is also a sample-size problem on both sides. Bitcoin has completed only four cycles, and a 6-8 year orbit cannot be confirmed or refuted before the next decade.

For now, both stories fit Bitcoin’s recent price action. The coin climbed from about $62,900 at the start of August. Even so, it remains roughly 38% down from its all-time highs.

The signposts from here follow the calendar. In the last two cycles, the bottom arrived about a year after the peak, which under the old script points to a low around late 2026 and a recovery into the 2028 halving. A longer orbit would instead show the low drifting into 2027 or beyond, with rallies tracking Fed easing rather than the halving date.

If the halving no longer sets Bitcoin’s clock, the asset becomes a macro trade with a higher beta.

The post Willy Woo Says Bitcoin May Ditch the Halving Cycle and Switch to a 6-8 Year TradFi Cycle appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bitcoin is holding above $78K after a sharp recovery from the $60K area, but the latest price action suggests that buyers have yet to secure a decisive breakout above the upper resistance levels. At the same time, the exchange whale ratio has risen significantly, adding a potentially bearish supply-side signal to the otherwise constructive technical structure.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

The daily chart shows a significant structural improvement following the recovery from the $60K support zone. BTC broke above the $67K area and subsequently reclaimed the $72K zone, which had previously acted as resistance. The price is now trading around $78.5K, comfortably above both major moving averages shown on the chart.

The short-term challenge is the $82K resistance zone. This area coincides with the recent swing highs, making it an important barrier for the buyers. A daily close above this level would strengthen the recovery structure, as it would create a higher high after months of downtrend. Therefore, this potential breakout could open the way toward the $95.6K resistance region.

Momentum has also improved considerably. The daily RSI climbed from oversold territory during the June bottom and is now just below the overbought territory. However, it has started to turn lower after reaching elevated levels, suggesting that momentum is cooling rather than accelerating.

On the downside, the $72K zone is the first major support to monitor. Holding above it would keep the broader recovery intact, while a deeper correction could bring the $67K region back into focus.

Therefore, the daily structure remains cautiously constructive, but BTC needs to clear $82K to confirm that the recent recovery is evolving into a stronger bullish continuation rather than another rejection from resistance.

BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour chart provides a more cautious picture. BTC has been moving inside a falling wedge-like structure since reaching the $82K area in late August. The upper trendline has repeatedly capped advances, while the lower boundary currently sits around $76K.

BTC is now testing the upper boundary of this structure once again. A successful breakout above this resistance line, which is currently near the $78K mark and declining, would be the first indication that buyers are attempting to regain short-term control.

A potential breakout would lead to another push toward the $82K area, which, as mentioned, is currently the most important resistance level on the daily timeframe.

Conversely, failure to break the wedge and a move below $76K could trigger a deeper correction toward the $72K-$74K area, which has turned into support after getting broken to the upside earlier. Holding this zone would be critical for keeping the recovery alive, as a breakdown could undo all the positive price action BTC has shown over the past couple of weeks.

On-Chain Analysis

The exchange whale ratio measures the proportion of exchange inflows associated with the largest transactions, making it useful for assessing whether large holders are becoming more active in sending BTC to exchanges. A rising reading can indicate increased potential selling pressure, although it does not necessarily mean that whales are immediately selling.

The chart shows the 30-day moving average of Bitcoin’s exchange whale ratio rising sharply during the latest price recovery. It has moved back toward the 0.32 area, which is nearly the highest level visible on the chart, while BTC is trading around $78.5K.

This development is worth monitoring. Bitcoin has recovered substantially from its June lows, but the increasing whale ratio suggests that large transactions toward exchanges have also become more prominent, which could unbalance the supply and demand equation in favor of the sellers. If this elevated reading persists while BTC struggles to break above the $80K-$82K area, it could reinforce the case for a rejection or consolidation.

On the other hand, a decisive breakout above $82K accompanied by a subsequent decline in the whale ratio would provide a more constructive confirmation that the increased whale activity is not translating into significant distribution and that there is enough fresh demand to absorb whales’ distribution.

The post BTC Price Analysis: Bitcoin Rebounds From $76K but Crucial Resistance Remains Above $80K appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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XRP price jumped +4% today, currently trading at $1.38, after touching a low of $1.3409. An interesting move, but the number underneath it is more interesting than the candle itself. Bitwise research analyst Ryan Rasmussen told an audience of roughly 400 wealth managers this week that XRP generated more questions than any other cryptocurrency during a presentation covering Bitcoin, Solana, Hyperliquid, stablecoins and tokenization.

He called the interest level “a lot” in a post-event thread.

A companion audience poll found 67% of attendees currently hold no crypto allocation at all, yet 60% expect prices to be higher by the end of 2026 and plan to allocate within the next year. There is a wide gap between sentiment and action.

ETF inflow data has already been building the case that XRP is shifting from retail speculation toward regulated portfolio exposure, and this poll adds anecdotal weight to that thesis.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

Can XRP Price Hit $2 This Week?

Xrp (XRP)

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XRP’s chart has been compressing into a descending triangle since the August spike to roughly $1.70, and the $1.35–$1.38 zone is doing the heavy lifting right now as primary demand. Volume near this band has historically been elevated, which technicians read as the market’s real decision point rather than noise. The 200-day EMA sits close by, reinforcing $1.33–$1.35 as structural support.

A reclaim of $1.55–$1.60 opens the door to the $1.68–$1.72 swing-high liquidity zone, with $1.86 and the $2.00 psychological level as stretch targets if wealth-manager allocations actually convert to inflows, as recent institutional accumulation data suggests is underway.

Continued consolidation between $1.35 and $1.55 while the market waits for confirmation that the 60% allocation intentions turn into actual purchases.

A break below $1.33 invalidates the triangle and opens a retest of $1.23–$1.25, with $1.15–$1.20 as a deeper floor.

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Bitcoin Hyper Sees XRP-Level Hype But With Bigger Upside Potential?

XRP’s setup validates the institutional-adoption thesis, but a token already carrying a market cap north of $80 billion isn’t built for explosive returns: a move from $1.38 to $2.00 is roughly 45%, respectable, not life-changing. Traders chasing outsized upside are increasingly looking earlier in the risk curve, toward infrastructure plays still in presale.

Bitcoin Hyper positions itself as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with native Solana Virtual Machine integration — a combination that aims to deliver smart contract execution faster than Solana itself while inheriting Bitcoin’s security base. The project has raised $33 millions to date, with tokens priced at $0.0136856 and a staking program offering 35% APY for presale buyers. HYPER is offering an innovative approach to the L” technology.

Its Decentralized Canonical Bridge targets the low-latency BTC transfer problem that has kept Bitcoin largely non-programmable.

Research Bitcoin Hyper directly before the presale window closes.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

The post XRP Price Analysis: Wealth Managers Show Growing Interest in XRP appeared first on Cryptonews.

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After a few days of suppressed price action, the crypto market is on the move again, with bitcoin leading the pack with a surge past $80,000 for the first time in a week.

Most altcoins followed the sharp uptick, leading to more than $140 million in shorts getting wrecked in the past hours alone.

It was just 24 hours ago that the primary cryptocurrency struggled to hold the $77,000 support and dipped to a 10-day low of $76,200 amid the escalating tension in the Middle East.

However, the asset rebounded successfully in the following hours, as reported earlier today, and quickly reclaimed the $77,000 and $78,000 levels. The past hours or so have been even more impressive, as bitcoin just soared past $80,000 for the first time since last Friday, when it was rejected and driven south to $77,000 after Kevin Warsh’s hawkish speech at Jackson Hole.

Many altcoins have joined the ride, posting notable 1-hour and 24-hour gains. ETH is up to almost $2,500 as of now after a 2.6% surge in the past 60 minutes and a 4.4% pump since this time yesterday. BNB has rocketed past $720, while XRP has gained 9% on a daily scale (and 4.3% in the past hour alone).

This price volatility has harmed overleveraged traders. Data from CoinGlass shows that the hourly wrecked positions have risen to $157 million, with more than $142 million coming from shorts. On a daily scale, the total liquidations are over $400 million, and shorts are responsible for $315 million.

Nearly 110,000 traders have been wiped out in the past day, with the single-largest liquidation occurring on Binance, totaling more than $5.2 million.

The post Over $140M in Shorts Wrecked in an Hour as BTC, ETH, XRP Suddenly Explode appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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