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Bitcoin Range-Bound Under Pressure as Analysts Eye $55,000

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Bitcoin Range-Bound Under Pressure as Analysts Eye $55,000


The longer Bitcoin remains rangebound, the more likely it is to fall further as the bear market deepens. 

Bitcoin is “range-bound under pressure,” having broken below the “True Market Mean,” slipping into a “defensive range toward the Realized Price,” of around $55,000, reported Glassnode on Wednesday. The on-chain analytics provider remained bearish, noting that demand across spot and derivative markets was weak.

“Spot flows and ETF demand remain weak, accumulation is fragile, and options positioning shows panic hedging fading, but not renewed bullish conviction.”

Glassnode noted that historically, deeper bear market phases have found their lower structural boundary around the Realized Price. This is a measure of the average acquisition cost of all circulating coins, which now stands near $54,900.

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This level is almost 18% lower than current prices and would put the fall from peak to 56.4%, which is much shallower than the last two bear markets.

Market in Controlled Consolidation

The analysts also noted that the Accumulation Trend Score sits near 0.43, well short of the 1.0 level that would signal serious large-entity buying.

Spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), which tracks the difference between market buy orders and market sell orders over time, has turned firmly negative across major exchanges such as Binance and Coinbase, meaning sellers are in control.

Glassnode concluded that the market is “transitioning from reactive liquidation to controlled consolidation.”

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“For a durable recovery to emerge, renewed spot demand, sustained accumulation, and improving liquidity conditions will be required.”

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Bitcoin network activity has also collapsed, according to Santiment, which reported on Wednesday that there have been large declines in new and unique addresses as Bitcoin’s utility declined in 2025.

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“A justification for crypto beginning to see a true long-term relief rally will be when metrics like active addresses and network growth begin to rise.”

“BTC is still strengthening its bear trend,” observed analyst Willy Woo, who said that volatility is a key metric to detect trends. Bitcoin entered its bear market when volatility spiked upwards quickly, he said, before adding:

“Volatility then continues to climb, meaning the bear trend is strengthening. Then volatility finds a peak in the mid to late phase bear market… that’s when the bear trend starts to weaken.”

BTC Price Outlook

Bitcoin continues to weaken, dropping below $66,000 briefly in late trading on Wednesday. It came just shy of $67,000 during the Thursday morning Asian trading session, but had not reclaimed it at the time of writing.

The asset has been trading sideways for the past two weeks, and the path of least resistance appears to be downwards.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin ETFs Extend Losses as Solana Funds Keep Ground

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Bitcoin ETFs Extend Losses as Solana Funds Keep Ground

US-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continued to bleed on Wednesday as market sentiment remained negative and BTC briefly dipped below $66,000.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $133.3 million in net outflows on Wednesday, bringing weekly losses to $238 million, according to SoSoValue data. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) led outflows, with over $84 million exiting.

Trading volumes remained subdued at less than $3 billion, highlighting a persistent lack of activity even as analysts had previously noted potential inflection points amid the slowdown in outflows.

Weekly flows in US spot Bitcoin ETFs in 2026. Source: SoSoValue

If the ETFs fail to recover in Thursday and Friday sessions, this week will mark the first five-week outflow streak for Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs since last March.

Year-to-date, Bitcoin ETFs have seen about $2.5 billion in outflows, leaving assets under management at $83.6 billion.

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Solana ETFs keep bucking the trend after launch in late 2025

While Ether (ETH) and XRP (XRP) ETFs posted modest daily outflows of $41.8 million and $2.2 million, respectively, Solana (SOL) funds continued to buck the trend.

Solana ETFs have recorded a six-day streak of inflows, with year-to-date gains totaling around $113 million. Trading activity, however, remains subdued compared with past months, as February inflows of $9 million so far are well below $105 million in January and December 2025’s $148 million.

Weekly flows in US spot Solana ETFs in 2026. Source: SoSoValue

Since their October 2025 launch, US spot Solana ETFs have accumulated almost $700 million in assets under management, trailing XRP funds, which have amassed $1 billion since their November debut.

Crypto market remains in extreme fear, BTC down 24% year-to-date

The ongoing sell-off in Bitcoin ETFs comes as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index continues to signal persistent negative sentiment.

Even though Bitcoin has slightly recovered from multi-month lows near $60,000 logged in early February, the index has remained mostly in “Extreme Fear” territory.

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The Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Source: Alternative.me

At the time of writing, Bitcoin traded at $67,058 on Coinbase, down about 24% year-to-date. Analysts at major financial institutions, including Standard Chartered, have predicted that BTC could fall as low as $50,000 before potentially recovering to $100,000 later in 2026.

Related: Bitwise, GraniteShares join race for prediction market-style ETFs

According to the crypto analytics platform CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s short-term Sharpe ratio has reached levels historically associated with “generational buying zones.”

“The arrows in the chart illustrate this clearly: each prior extreme negative reading was followed by violent recoveries to new highs,” CryptoQuant analyst Ignacio Moreno De Vicente said.

Magazine: Did a Hong Kong fund kill Bitcoin? Bithumb’s ‘phantom’ BTC: Asia Express

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