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XRP shorts dominate as funding drops 80% and OI falls

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XRP Price Glitch Sends XRP to $126 on CNBC Broadcast

XRP slips below support as funding drops ~80% today on bearish leverage.

Daily XRP (XRP) funding rates declined nearly 80% on Thursday, February 19, according to derivatives market data, indicating continued pressure on the cryptocurrency.

Negative funding rates indicate that traders holding short positions are paying those maintaining long positions, a sign that bearish bets currently outweigh bullish exposure, according to market mechanics. The decline was accompanied by a drop in open interest, according to real-time data.

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Negative funding rates suggest the market is positioned for further downside, as the metric reflects the balance between long and short traders.

Deeply negative funding can signal overcrowded positioning, according to market analysts. Historical data shows extreme short bias has sometimes preceded sharp reversals, particularly when price action stabilizes and short sellers are forced to cover positions. A prolonged negative funding environment marked a cyclical bottom for XRP in 2022 during the FTX collapse, according to historical market data.

XRP’s spot price showed a decline on the daily chart, falling below its short-term moving average and a key Fibonacci retracement level, which represents a loss of near-term support. The Relative Strength Index has fallen and is approaching oversold territory, according to technical indicators.

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Market sentiment remains weak, reflected in an “Extreme Fear” reading on the Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Bitcoin dominance data suggests capital is consolidating into larger-cap assets rather than flowing into altcoins such as XRP, according to market metrics.

Technical analysts note that a recovery above the recent short-term resistance zone would signal price stabilization. Current short-term momentum favors bearish positions, as evidenced by the state of funding rates, according to derivatives market data.

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Crypto World

Nexo’s Cumulative Credit Withdrawals Hit $863M All-Time High as Bitcoin Stabilizes

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • Nexo’s cumulative credit withdrawals hit an all-time high of $863 million between 2025 and 2026. 
  • Weekly retail withdrawals on Nexo surged 107%, climbing from $6.73M to $13.92M in just one month. 
  • CryptoQuant’s Estimated Leverage Ratio reset to healthier levels, pointing to reduced systemic risk across crypto markets. 
  • Bitcoin’s stabilization near $67,000 is lowering collateral risks, making crypto-backed borrowing more practical for users.

Nexo’s cumulative credit withdrawals have reached an all-time high of $863 million between 2025 and 2026. This record arrives as Bitcoin stabilizes near $67,000 following a -48% correction between October and February.

The broader crypto market is now shifting from sharp repricing toward steady consolidation. Weekly retail borrowing on Nexo nearly doubled from December 2025 to January 2026. This renewed activity points to growing confidence among crypto-backed liquidity users.

Retail Credit Withdrawals Signal a Market Shift

Nexo’s retail credit withdrawals declined through most of 2025, reflecting a broad risk-off trend. Many clients moved to tighten their balance sheets as crypto prices fell sharply.

However, the pace slowed considerably in late 2025 and early 2026. This leveling off suggests that retail participants have mostly completed their balance sheet tightening.

Weekly retail withdrawals grew from $6.73 million to $13.92 million between December 2025 and January 2026. That jump represents approximately 107% growth in just one month.

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The data shows borrowing demand returned quickly once market conditions began steadying. Clients are clearly more willing to access crypto-backed credit in the current environment.

CryptoQuant’s Estimated Leverage Ratio has also been resetting to healthier levels during this period. Declining leverage across the market often creates a foundation for more sustainable borrowing activity.

As excess leverage clears, participants tend to re-engage credit markets with renewed conviction. This broader trend aligns with the withdrawal data now emerging from Nexo.

Bitcoin’s stabilization near $67,000 plays a direct role in this borrowing recovery. A steadier price environment lowers the risk of rapid collateral liquidation for active borrowers.

When the leading cryptocurrency consolidates, crypto-backed lending becomes a more practical financial tool. Nexo users appear to be responding directly to this change in market conditions.

Cumulative Withdrawals and the Path to Renewed Confidence

Nexo’s $863 million in cumulative credit withdrawals reflects consistent demand across multiple market cycles. This figure covers borrowing activity through both bullish and bearish price periods.

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It confirms that appetite for crypto-backed liquidity holds up even during extended corrections. The milestone speaks to the resilience of Nexo’s lending model over time.

Open interest across the broader crypto market has declined from prior highs. Funding rates are also normalizing, and liquidation volumes have been subsiding in recent weeks.

These conditions are typical of a market absorbing the final stages of a correction cycle. They create a more stable ground for platforms offering crypto-backed credit solutions.

Selling pressure around Bitcoin has also weakened noticeably in recent weeks. Reduced sell-side activity supports a more stable price for collateral-backed borrowers.

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Borrowers on platforms like Nexo benefit directly when Bitcoin holds within a tighter price range. Credit activity tends to pick up naturally as volatility subsides.

Recent data from Nexo suggests the market may now be entering a new borrowing phase. Weekly withdrawal growth and cumulative figures together tell a coherent recovery story.

Borrowing demand is returning as the correction cycle winds down. The broader crypto credit market appears to be stabilizing after months of contraction.

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Bitcoin Faces 5th Consecutive Red Month: Where Is The Bottom?

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) is forming what may prove to be a fifth consecutive red monthly candle, which would be the longest losing streak since 2018. The silver lining is that data suggests that March may prove to be a profitable month for BTC.

Previous multimonth downtrends were followed by 300% price gains

Historical price data from CoinGlass confirms Bitcoin is now facing its fifth consecutive red month, down 15% this month after closing the previous four months in the red.

The last time this happened was in 2018, when it entered a bear market after reaching record highs in 2017. 

“Last time this happened was in 2018/19 when we saw 6 red months,” analysts at macro investor outlet Milk Road said in an X post on Thursday.

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This led to a reversal with over 316% returns over the following five months, the analysts said, adding:

“If history repeats, the reversal will begin on April 1st.”

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin monthly returns,%. Source: CoinGlass

Analyzing Bitcoin’s quarterly performance during the 2022 bear market provides a more cautious interpretation of BTC price history. The data shows Bitcoin recorded four consecutive red quarters during that year.

Losses stacked across the four quarters, bringing the total losses to 64% as the BTC/USD pair closed the year at $16,500 from an opening price of $46,230. This marked one of the harshest drawdowns in Bitcoin’s history. 

As Cointelegraph reported, many analysts expect 2026 to be a bear market year, and a similar stretch of four losing quarters could extend the weakness below the 15-month low of $60,000.

Bitcoin monthly returns, %. Source: CoinGlass

Analyst Solana Sensei shared a chart that focused on Bitcoin’s weekly performance, with the price printing the fifth candlestick in a row. 

This is the longest streak since 2022, making it the second-longest losing streak on record.

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In 2022, BTC price saw nine red weeks, dropping to $20,500 from $46,800.

BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: Solala Sensei

Therefore, while past monthly performance suggests an impending rebound, quarterly and weekly data from 2022 demonstrate that BTC price declines could last longer than expected.

Related: Bitcoin’s consolidation nears ‘turning point’ as $70K comes in focus: Analyst

The current market is “fundamentally different”

Veteran analyst Sykodelic argues that Bitcoin’s current bear phase is “fundamentally different” for several reasons, including the monthly relative strength index (RSI) having already reached the 2015 and 2018 bear market lows.

Sykodelic said that due to the lack of a true overbought expansion in the monthly RSI during the bull phase, market participants will be misguided to expect a symmetric contraction.

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“This is yet again another situation in which we look a lot more like 2020 than any other period in time,” the analyst said in a post on X, adding:

“I am not seeing anything that tells me we are in the same style bear market as we have had previously, and everyone should be aware of these differences.”

BTC/USD monthly chart. Source: Sykodelic

This suggests the current bear cycle is not following historical patterns, and Bitcoin’s bottom and subsequent recovery could catch many traders off guard.