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Trader Leaves Crypto Forever After Losing $10,000 in LIBRA

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Trader Leaves Crypto Forever After Losing $10,000 in LIBRA

One year has passed since Argentine President Javier Milei backed a project that drove hundreds of thousands of people worldwide to invest in Libra, a meme coin that turned out to be a rug pull.

Alfonso Gamboa Silvestre, a 25-year-old from Chile, was among the many traders who suffered steep losses. The token’s launch and swift demise cost him $10,000. Since that moment, he has left the crypto industry for good. 

A Presidential Endorsement That Drove a Buying Frenzy

On Valentine’s Day last year, Gamboa Silvestre was trading on his computer. The day seemed normal until a notification popped up on his phone from one of the many crypto groups he had on Telegram. 

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He opened the message, which read something along the lines of “Argentina’s president just launched a crypto token.” Gamboa Silvestre ran to X (formerly Twitter) to see whether it was true. 

At first, he thought Milei’s account had been hacked. But after carefully reading the president’s verified tweet and the “Viva La Libertad Project” website he included, Gamboa Silvestre ruled out the possibility. 

So he bought the token. In total, he invested $5,000.

“I made two purchases. First, a smaller one. When I was totally sure it was [Milei’s] tweet, I made a bigger one,” Gamboa Silvestre told BeInCrypto in an interview in Spanish. 

After that, Gamboa Silvestre left the house to go out to dinner with his family, but he couldn’t keep his eyes off his phone. Libra’s price kept dropping, and he didn’t know what to do.

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Choosing what looked best on the menu and averting his family’s worried gaze was hard enough, so he locked himself in the restaurant’s bathroom. 

“At first I thought the token was going to go down, and then it was going to go back up to infinity,” Gamboa Silvestre said. “But that didn’t happen. I saw that it was going down and down, and my February 14th ended up being a nightmare.”

As investors began withdrawing their money en masse, so did Gamboa Silvestre. He ended up doubling his original investment in losses. 

The event also marked his permanent exit from the crypto ecosystem.

From Active Trader To Complete Exit

Gamboa Silvestre first ventured into crypto in 2016, mostly out of curiosity. However, he began to take it seriously in 2022 and became an active trader. 

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The meme coin sector had treated him well at first. 

Gamboa Silvestre was among the first investors in TRUMP and MELANIA, the two tokens launched by US President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump less than 48 hours before Trump assumed the presidency. 

He fared well for himself, and he believed that the story would be similar with Libra.

“I thought that, since Milei had been having different meetings with Donald Trump and Elon Musk, I said, well, this is going down the same path, they’re going to do things right, and I’m going to be able to make money with that,” Gamboa Silvestre recalled. 

But things didn’t turn out that way. Besides the money he lost, Gamboa Silvestre surrendered something that was even more important to him: his love for crypto. 

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“After what happened with Libra, I completely stepped away from that world. I stopped doing something that I really liked that had generated me a lot of profitability during that period,” he said. “In the future, I saw myself only living from that. But I lost all confidence.” 

Today, the only ties that Gamboa Silvestre has left to the industry are his participation in a class action brought against Milei.

Data Disputes Milei’s Claims

Gamboa Silvestre is one of 212 investors seeking reparation for their losses in a lawsuit pending in Argentina. 

Even though Milei has repeatedly dialled down the impact that LIBRA had on investors, the facts tell a different story. 

According to data from Ripio, just one centralized exchange operating in the country, 1,329 citizens lost money. These numbers directly contradicted Milei’s previous claims that only a handful of Argentine investors had been affected. 

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Argentines weren’t the only ones who had lost money. The impact was international, affecting investors anywhere from Bosnia to Lebanon to Australia. 

In the United States, a separate class action lawsuit is moving forward against Hayden Davis, the American investor and CEO of Kelsier Ventures, who has been accused of being the mastermind behind the project.

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Trust Erodes As Investigation Continues

Despite it being a year since Libra launched, Milei has yet to provide a coherent explanation of his level of involvement in the token project.

According to Agustín Rombolá, one of the lawyers representing the complainants in the class action, Milei’s answers have varied greatly over the past year. 

“He first told us it was a casino, that you don’t cry in the casino. Then he told us that he had the right to sell his opinions. And then he told us that he was not working as the president at the moment of the tweet. [After that], he told us he was scammed,” Rombolá told BeInCrypto. 

According to Congressman Maximiliano Ferraro, one of the most outspoken critics in the Libra scandal, Milei has yet to address a key issue regarding his role in the case.

“There are still many questions unanswered. Who approached the President, and how did they give him that [smart contract address] that had more than 40 characters and did not have a public status?” Ferraro said in an interview in Spanish.

As the investigation into what happened continues, the financial damage is still being tallied, as is the loss of trust.

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For Gamboa Silvestre and thousands of others, Libra was not just a failed investment but a turning point that reshaped their relationship with crypto altogether.

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Mike McGlone Adjusts Bitcoin Price Target to $28,000 After Backlash

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR

  • Mike McGlone adjusted his Bitcoin price forecast from $10,000 to $28,000 following significant backlash on social media.
  • McGlone had originally warned that Bitcoin could drop to $10,000 if U.S. equities peaked and a recession followed.
  • The revised forecast of $28,000 is based on historical price distribution and fewer negative factors needed to reach that level.
  • Analysts like Jason Fernandes criticized McGlone’s initial prediction, calling it alarmist and unrealistic.
  • Mati Greenspan acknowledged the possibility of a $28,000 Bitcoin price but remained skeptical of its likelihood in the current market.

Bloomberg Intelligence’s Mike McGlone recently adjusted his bitcoin price forecast, raising his downside target to $28,000. This shift followed criticism after his initial prediction of a potential $10,000 Bitcoin price was widely questioned on social media. McGlone’s revised stance comes after market experts accused him of issuing alarmist forecasts that could negatively impact investor decisions.

McGlone Faces Backlash for $10,000 Bitcoin Call

Earlier this week, McGlone warned that bitcoin could drop to $10,000 if U.S. equities reach their peak and a recession follows. He stated that bitcoin, being a high-beta asset, would suffer in a market breakdown, especially after the collapse of the “buy the dip” mentality. This prediction attracted significant criticism, with market analyst Jason Fernandes challenging the forecast on social media platforms like X and LinkedIn.

The backlash grew when Fernandes called McGlone’s $10,000 forecast unrealistic. He argued that such a dramatic drop would require several negative factors to align. Fernandes, in his critique, noted that the bitcoin price could face risks but stated that $28,000 was a more plausible level, particularly with fewer factors needed to drive that price point.

Bitcoin Price Forecast Revised to $28,000

In a subsequent post, McGlone acknowledged the feedback and adjusted his bitcoin price forecast. He pointed to $28,000 as a more likely scenario, citing historical price distribution as the basis for his updated target. Despite this revision, McGlone still maintained a cautious outlook, advising against investing in bitcoin or other risk assets.

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While McGlone’s $28,000 prediction was seen as more reasonable, some market experts like Mati Greenspan remained skeptical. Greenspan suggested that although $28,000 might be possible, the likelihood of it happening was still low. He emphasized the unpredictable nature of markets, stating that while forecasts could be helpful, they should not rule out other possibilities.

Fernandes Challenges McGlone’s Forecast Shift

Fernandes, who had initially criticized McGlone’s $10,000 prediction, continued to voice concerns even after the revision. He highlighted that McGlone’s updated forecast now aligned closer to his own lower-bound estimate of bitcoin’s price range. Fernandes pointed out that a reset in the $40,000 to $50,000 range remained more probable, especially without a systemic liquidity shock.

Despite the change in McGlone’s outlook, the broader discussion highlighted the potential dangers of deterministic predictions in volatile markets like crypto. Analysts warned that alarmist forecasts could influence positioning and potentially lead to unnecessary risks for investors. Fernandes emphasized the need for more balanced approaches when discussing the future of high-risk assets like Bitcoin.

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Epstein eyed Coinbase, XRP, XLM, Circle in pre-mainstream crypto era

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Epstein eyed Coinbase, XRP, XLM, Circle in pre-mainstream crypto era

Epstein’s 2010s emails show Gensler talks, XRP/XLM bets, CBDC and stablecoin funding links.

Summary

  • 2018 emails show Epstein sought crypto talks with Gensler and briefed Summers on early digital currency discussions.
  • Records cite about $3m into Coinbase plus speculative exposure to XRP, XLM, Circle and early stablecoin structures tied to Brock Pierce.
  • Reports mention funding for MIT-linked CBDC pilots and private crypto ventures as crypto policy circles were still nascent.

Newly released documents from the Jeffrey Epstein case contain references to communications involving cryptocurrency policy discussions and Gary Gensler, according to reports published this week.

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The documents include emails dated 2018 that reportedly mention conversations between Epstein and individuals connected to policy and academic circles in the cryptocurrency sector. Gensler, who later served as Chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission, appears among the names referenced in the materials.

According to the reports, the files contain correspondence suggesting Epstein discussed arranging a meeting with Gensler regarding cryptocurrency topics. Emails from 2018 indicate Epstein told former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers that Gensler had arrived early for crypto-related discussions, according to the documents. Summers reportedly responded that he knew Gensler and considered him intelligent.

No documents released to date have established a direct connection between Epstein and any specific cryptocurrency decision or project, according to available reports. However, records suggest Epstein invested millions in early cryptocurrency ventures, including approximately $3 million in Coinbase in 2014, reports stated.

Some emails reportedly referenced XRP and Stellar, leading to speculation about possible investments in those projects, though the documents do not provide clear confirmation, according to observers.

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Additional claims in the reports suggest Epstein provided funding for U.S. central bank digital currency pilot programs through MIT and certain Federal Reserve Banks. Gensler taught at MIT during that period and worked in academic policy circles before entering government service and participating in the development of U.S. cryptocurrency regulation.

Reports also indicate Epstein explored early stablecoin-related investments, including Circle, through connections associated with Brock Pierce. Pierce reportedly requested Epstein’s assistance in connecting with Lawrence Summers, according to accounts of the correspondence.

The documents suggest Epstein maintained investments in private cryptocurrency ventures while maintaining relationships with academic and policy circles involved in digital currency regulation, according to analysts reviewing the materials. The timing of these connections has drawn attention as they occurred before cryptocurrency markets achieved mainstream adoption.

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Tight Bitcoin Bollinger Bands Signal Big Move: Analyst

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Cryptocurrencies, Retail, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity

A key volatility indicator for Bitcoin (BTC) has narrowed to its tightest measurement on record, a pattern that was followed by a multimonth rally in previous bull and bear markets. Will the Bollinger Bands indicator call the market bottom again?

Record Bitcoin Bollinger Band compression hints at volatility

Analyzing the monthly Bitcoin chart, crypto analyst Dorkchicken noted that BTC’s Bollinger Bands are currently at their “tightest” level on record. Such conditions have repeatedly led to bullish breakouts, with the only prior downtrend from similar conditions occurring in 2022, during the drop to $16,000 from $20,000.

Cryptocurrencies, Retail, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity
Bitcoin Bollinger Bands analysis. Source: Dorkchicken/X

Bollinger Bands measure price volatility, and extreme compression often leads to a sharp expansion. The analyst added that there are higher odds of an upside trend once expansion begins.

On the contrary, Bitcoin trader Nunya Bizniz pointed to an approaching 50- and 200-period simple moving average (SMA) death cross on the three-day chart. A death cross occurs when the shorter-term moving average falls below the longer-term average, signaling weak price momentum. 

Across the past three instances, the pattern marked drawdowns of about 50% over the following one to six months and aligned closely with final cycle capitulation phases.

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Cryptocurrencies, Retail, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity
Bitcoin death cross on the three-day chart. Source: Nunya Bizniz/X

A similar path may imply a potential bottom between March and August near $33,000. The trader also said that BTC has spent 110 days below its short-term holder cost basis of $89,800. During previous cycle lows, the price typically remained under that level for nearly 200 days on average. 

Market analyst Ardi also noted that the long futures exposure from retail traders has increased on each dip to $68,000 from $88,000. Currently, 72% of tracked retail accounts are long into a descending trendline. 

While this reflects early signs of market optimism, each recent surge in long positioning has been followed by a sharp sell-off. With positioning once again elevated, these longs remain vulnerable to liquidation, increasing the risk of a liquidity hunt if the price moves lower.

Cryptocurrencies, Retail, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity
Bitcoin analysis by Ardi. Source: X

Related: Bitcoin ‘roadmap to bottom’ says $58.7K Binance cost basis now crucial

BTC’s Sharpe ratio is interesting, but $70,000 remains the level to crack

Crypto analyst MorenoDV said that Bitcoin’s short-term Sharpe ratio has dropped to -38.38, matching levels last seen in 2015, 2019 and late 2022. 

The Sharpe ratio measures the risk-adjusted return, and deeply negative readings mark periods of deep drawdown and volatility. Each extremely low ratio signal has aligned closely with the major cycle lows, leading to strong BTC rallies, with the analyst noting that the current price range may be a “generational buy zone.” 

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Cryptocurrencies, Retail, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity
Bitcoin Sharpe Ratio. Source: CryptoQuant

Glassnode data calls for confirmation through a stronger BTC demand absorption. Since early February, each move above the $70,000 level has stalled as the net realized profits exceeded $5 million per hour.

Glassnode added that in Q3 2025, profit-taking between $200 million to $350 million per hour did not interrupt the advance to new highs in Q4. 

Cryptocurrencies, Retail, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity
BTC net realized Profit/Loss (24hr). Source: Glassnode

Related: ‘Resilient’ Bitcoin holders defend BTC, but bear floor sits 20% lower: Glassnode