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Polymarket Traders Price in 82% Chance of Clarity Act Passage

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Odds of Clarity Act Passing in 2026.

The probability of the Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026 surged to a record 82% on Polymarket earlier today.

The increase in odds comes ahead of a looming deadline to move the key crypto legislation forward.

Polymarket Signals Growing Confidence in Clarity Act as Negotiations Accelerate 

Data from Polymarket shows that the probability of the Clarity Act becoming law rose sharply over the past 48 hours. Odds climbed from around 60% on February 18 to a peak of 82% earlier today. 

At press time, the figure had eased to 78%, still reflecting a significant jump and signaling growing market confidence in the bill’s prospects.

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Odds of Clarity Act Passing in 2026.
Odds of Clarity Act Passing in 2026. Source: Polymarket

The optimism is not limited to prediction market traders. Industry executives are also projecting strong momentum. 

In an interview with Fox Business, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said there’s a 90% chance that the long-debated Clarity Act will pass by the end of April.

“The White House is pushing hard on this, and that is a big reason why it will get done. It needs to get done for US leadership,” he said.

The rise in retail optimism comes as the White House moves to push negotiations forward. According to Fox Business, a March 1 deadline has been set to advance the legislation ahead of the midterms.

White House Hosts Third Meeting as Clarity Act Deadline Nears

The Clarity Act is focused on establishing a regulatory framework for digital assets. At its core, the bill aims to clearly define regulatory oversight between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The legislation passed the House last July. However, the Senate’s version remains stalled. The primary point of contention between banks and crypto firms centers on stablecoin yields. Last month, Coinbase withdrew its support for the bill after the Senate’s changes. 

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The administration has convened several discussions involving crypto firms and banking representatives, with a third meeting held on Thursday. 

According to journalist Eleanor Terrett, a representative from the crypto industry argued that banks’ concerns may be rooted more in competitive dynamics than in measurable concerns over deposit flight.

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A source representing banks told Terret that, for their part, they are pushing further analysis of how stablecoins could affect traditional deposit bases.

“Bank trade groups will brief their members on today’s discussions and gauge whether there’s room to compromise on allowing crypto firms to offer stablecoin rewards. One source said an end-of-month deadline doesn’t seem unrealistic, with talks set to continue in the coming days,” Terrett said.

As discussions move forward, March 1 stands out as a critical date in the legislative timeline. Despite ongoing disagreements, market analysts still view the bill as broadly positive for the industry.

If passed, it would mark a significant step toward reducing regulatory uncertainty and establishing clearer rules for the crypto sector overall.

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Pakistan Goes Live With Crypto Regulatory Sandbox: Here’s What It Means for Digital Assets

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • Pakistan’s PVARA formally launches a live crypto sandbox to test real-world virtual asset use cases under regulatory oversight. 
  • The sandbox framework targets stablecoins, tokenization, remittances, and on- and off-ramp infrastructure inside a supervised environment. 
  • PVARA Chairman Bilal bin Saqib joined global crypto and finance leaders at the World Liberty Forum in Mar-a-Lago, Florida. 
  • Goldman Sachs, Nasdaq, Franklin Templeton, and Coinbase participated in forum talks centered on stablecoins and financial innovation.

Pakistan launches crypto sandbox to test digital assets in a live, supervised environment built for real-world virtual asset use cases.

The Pakistan Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority formally approved the framework, marking a concrete step toward structured digital asset oversight.

The sandbox covers tokenization, stablecoins, remittances, and on- and off-ramp infrastructure. All operations run under direct PVARA supervision.

Sandbox Guidelines and the application process will be published on the PVARA website shortly, giving interested firms a clear path forward.

A Controlled Framework for Real-World Digital Asset Testing

The crypto sandbox gives companies a working environment to test virtual asset solutions within defined regulatory boundaries.

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PVARA will monitor live operations and review outcomes before building broader compliance rules around them. This approach allows the authority to gather practical market data without reducing its oversight responsibilities.

Rather than regulating from theory alone, Pakistan is now working from observed, real-world results gathered inside a controlled setting.

The sandbox targets several key segments of the virtual asset market. Tokenization, stablecoins, remittance solutions, and on- and off-ramp infrastructure are all within the program’s scope.

Each use case will be tested against Pakistan’s specific financial and regulatory environment. This targeted structure ensures the framework remains focused and produces results that are directly applicable to domestic market conditions.

Firms that qualify for the sandbox can operate in a live market environment while remaining accountable to the authority.

The full Sandbox Guidelines and application details will be released on the PVARA website in the coming days. Companies working in the virtual asset space should watch the official website closely for submission deadlines and participation requirements.

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PVARA Chairman Attends World Liberty Forum as Pakistan Moves Toward Global Alignment

Bilal bin Saqib, Chairman of PVARA, attended the World Liberty Forum at Mar-a-Lago in Florida earlier this week. The event brought together financial executives, crypto innovators, and policymakers from across the global financial sector.

Discussions centered on the future of finance and digital technology’s growing role in reshaping traditional systems.

Saqib shared updates from the forum directly on social media, describing it as a gathering focused on stablecoins, tokenization, and financial innovation. 

Representatives from Goldman Sachs, Nasdaq, Franklin Templeton, and Coinbase were among the participants in those discussions. The forum reflected a growing global consensus around structured frameworks for digital asset development.

Pakistan’s decision to launch a crypto sandbox to test digital assets aligns with the direction taken by leading financial institutions worldwide.

The domestic framework now gives Pakistani firms a regulated channel to pursue innovations similar to those discussed at the global forum.

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As countries move toward structured virtual asset oversight, Pakistan’s sandbox places it among nations actively shaping the next phase of digital finance regulation.

 

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XRP Binance reserves drop 200m as holders move off exchange

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XRP Binance reserves drop 200m as holders move off exchange

XRP slips ~0.5% in 24h as 200m tokens exit Binance over ten days.

Summary

  • Binance’s XRP exchange supply ratio fell from 0.027 to 0.025 in ten days, implying about 200m XRP moved off the platform into private custody.
  • XRP trades near $1.43, down roughly 0.5% on the day, with about $2.2B in 24h spot volume as centralized‑exchange balances sit near multi‑year lows.
  • 2025 reserve data show the current withdrawal wave has already surpassed last year’s net accumulation, reinforcing a structural trend toward self‑custody and reduced immediate sell‑side liquidity.

XRP (XRP) exchange reserves on Binance have declined over the past ten days, with approximately 200 million tokens withdrawn from the platform.

The token supply ratio on Binance, which measures the proportion of XRP’s total circulating supply held on the exchange, dropped from 0.027 to 0.025 during the period, the data showed. The metric displayed a steady downward trend rather than a single-day movement, according to the analysis.

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Exchange reserve data tracks the movement of digital assets between trading platforms and private wallets. Rising reserves typically indicate holders are transferring assets to exchanges, often in preparation for selling, while declining reserves suggest withdrawals into private custody.

XRP price headwinds

The recent outflow appears to reflect user-driven movement rather than internal exchange reallocation, which cited transparency in Binance’s published custody addresses as enabling distinction between operational adjustments and organic withdrawals.

XRP has declined significantly since the beginning of 2025. Sustained exchange outflows following price corrections have historically indicated renewed investor interest at lower price levels, according to market observers.

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When digital assets leave exchanges, the immediately available supply for selling on trading platforms decreases. While reduced exchange supply does not guarantee price increases, it can affect market structure if demand returns, according to market analysts.

The current level of token withdrawal has already exceeded the total accumulation seen throughout 2025, the data indicated.

Market participants continue to monitor whether the shift toward private storage will translate into price momentum or remain a structural change in holding patterns.

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Top 3 reasons altcoins like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu Coin, XRP are rising today

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here’s why Pepe Coin, Zcash, Morpho, and Dogecoin are rising

Bitcoin and most altcoins, including popular names like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu Coin, and XRP, were in the green today, February 20, as investors bought the dip after some key catalysts.

Summary

  • Bitcoin and most altcoins rose on Friday, with the market capitalization of all tokens rising to over $2.3 trillion.
  • The rally happened after the Supreme Court ruled against Donald Trump’s tariffs.
  • They also rose after the latest US GDP report, which showed that the economy slowed in Q4.

Bitcoin (BTC) jumped to $68,000, while Dogecoin (DOGE), Shiba Inu Coin (SHIB), and Ripple (XRP) rose by over 4%. The market capitalization of all tokens rose by 2.2% to over $2.3 trillion.

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu Coin, and XRP rose after the Supreme Court ruling 

The main reason why altcoins like DOGE, SHIB, and XRP rose is that the Supreme Court ruled against President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

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In theory, the ruling will have a positive impact on the US economy by lowering inflation. Such a move raises the possibility that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, especially now that the recent data showed that the headline Consumer Price Index dropped in January.

In reality, however, the decision will not have a major impact as Trump has some backup strategies that he will use to implement tariffs on key countries like China, India, and those in the European Union. 

Weak US GDP data and impact on the Federal Reserve 

Bitcoin and other altcoins rose after the US published a weak GDP report. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the economy expanded by 1.4% in the fourth quarter, badly missing the expected 3%. 

The economic growth was much lower than the 4.4% experienced in the third quarter. This slowdown was mostly because of the prolonged government shutdown that happened during the quarter.

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The weak economic report is bullish for cryptocurrencies because it raises the possibility that the Fed will cut interest rates later this year.

Donald Trump gave Iran more time to reach a deal 

Bitcoin and most altcoins also rose after Donald Trump gave Iranian leaders more time to reach a nuclear deal with the United States. He gave them 15 days, meaning that an attack may not happen during the weekend as some analysts were expecting.

Still, most analysts believe that he will ultimately attack the country later this year, a move that will lead to lower crypto prices. As such, there is a risk that the ongoing rebound is a dead-cat bounce, a situation where assets rise briefly and then resume the downtrend.

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Bitcoin, Altcoin Gains Hold But Top Sellers Enforce The Range Ceiling

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Bitcoin, Altcoin Gains Hold But Top Sellers Enforce The Range Ceiling

Key points:

  • Bitcoin bulls are struggling to sustain the intraday rallies, indicating that every minor rise is being sold into.

  • Select major altcoins are showing weakness, signaling a drop to their strong support levels.

Bitcoin (BTC) bulls pushed the price above $68,300 but are struggling to maintain the higher levels. BTC is likely to record its fifth consecutive red monthly candle in the absence of a major rally in the next few days. That is the longest losing streak since 2018/19 when BTC fell for six successive months. A minor positive for the bulls is that the losing streak in 2018/19 was followed by a 131.6% rally over the following five months, per CoinGlass data.

Another indicator signaling a possible rally to the upside is the Bollinger Bands. According to crypto analyst Dorkchicken, the monthly Bollinger Bands are at their “tightest” level on record. All previous such instances have resulted in a bullish breakout, except the breakdown to $16,000 from $20,000 in 2022.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: TradingView

Although signs point to a possible up move, traders should keep a close watch on BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) flows to gauge institutional activity. US spot BTC ETFs have recorded $403.9 million in net outflows this week, according to SoSoValue data. Unless Friday witnesses sharp inflows, reversing losses of the past three days, the ETFs are on track for a five-week outflow streak. A sustained recovery may be difficult without institutional participation.

Could buyers push BTC and select major altcoins above their overhead resistance levels? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

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Bitcoin price prediction

BTC bulls have maintained the price above the immediate support at $65,118, indicating demand at lower levels.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Buyers will have to push the Bitcoin price above the 20-day exponential moving average ($71,247) to gain the upper hand. If they manage to do that, the BTC/USDT pair may climb to the breakdown level of $74,508. Sellers are expected to aggressively defend the $74,508 level, as a break above it suggests the pair may have formed a short-term bottom. The pair may then ascend to the 50-day simple moving average ($82,258).

Sellers will have to yank the price below the $65,118 level to signal strength. The pair may then retest the Feb. 6 low of $60,000, which is likely to attract solid buying by the bulls.

Ether price prediction

Ether (ETH) has been consolidating between the $1,750 and the $2,111 level, indicating uncertainty about the next directional move.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

There is minor support at $1,897, but if the level cracks, the ETH/USDT pair may drop to the $1,750 support. Buyers are expected to fiercely defend the $1,750 level, as a close below it may sink the pair to $1,537.

The bulls will be back in the driver’s seat on a close above the $2,111 resistance. If they can pull it off, the Ether price may rally to the 50-day SMA ($2,665). Sellers may again attempt to halt the recovery at the 50-day SMA, but if the buyers prevail, the pair may surge to $3,045.

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XRP price prediction

The failure of the bulls to push XRP (XRP) above the 20-day EMA ($1.50) suggests a lack of demand at higher levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The XRP/USDT pair may slide to the support line, which is a crucial level to watch out for. If the XRP price turns up sharply from the support line and breaks above the 20-day EMA, it suggests that the pair may remain inside the descending channel for some more time. Buyers will have to pierce the downtrend line to signal a short-term trend change.

Contrarily, a break and close below the support line indicates that the bears are in command. The pair may then tumble to $1.11 and subsequently to $1.

BNB price prediction

BNB (BNB) has been gradually sliding toward the $587 to $570 support zone, indicating that the bears are in control.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the BNB price turns down and skids below the support zone, the BNB/USDT pair may start the next leg of the downtrend to the psychological level at $500.

This bearish view will be negated in the near term if the bulls push the price above the $669 resistance. If that happens, the pair may surge to the breakdown level of $730 and then to the 50-day SMA ($797). Such a move suggests that the pair may have bottomed out in the short term.

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Solana price prediction

Solana (SOL) bulls are attempting to maintain the price above the immediate support at $76, but the bounce lacks strength.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

That heightens the risk of a break below the $76 level. If that happens, the SOL/USDT pair may plummet to the Feb. 6 low of $67. Buyers are expected to mount a strong defense at the $67 level, as a close below it may sink the pair to $50.

The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the breakdown level of $95. That indicates the bears are losing their grip. The Solana price may then rally to the 50-day SMA ($114).

Dogecoin price prediction

Buyers are attempting to push Dogecoin (DOGE) above the 20-day EMA ($0.10), but the bears have held their ground.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

A minor positive in favor of the bulls is that they have not given up much ground to the bears. That increases the possibility of a break above the 20-day EMA. If that happens, the DOGE/USDT pair may rally to the breakdown level of $0.12.

Contrary to this assumption, if the Dogecoin price turns down and breaks below $0.09, it suggests that the bulls have given up. That might sink the pair to the critical $0.08 support. 

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Bitcoin Cash price prediction

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) has slipped below the 20-day EMA ($548), indicating that the bears are attempting to take charge.

BCH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the Bitcoin Cash price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the BCH/USDT pair may plummet to the next major support at $500. Buyers are expected to vigorously defend the $500 level, as a close below it may open the doors for a fall to the vital support at $443.

The bulls will have to push and maintain the price above the 50-day SMA ($575) to signal strength. The pair may then jump to $600 and later to $631. Buyers are expected to encounter aggressive selling in the $631 to $670 zone.

Related: Here’s what happened in crypto today

Hyperliquid price prediction

Hyperliquid (HYPE) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($27.89) on Thursday, indicating that the bulls are buying on dips. 

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HYPE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Buyers will have to drive the Hyperliquid price above $32.50 to seize control. The HYPE/USDT pair may then pick up momentum and surge to the $35.50 to $38.42 resistance zone.

On the contrary, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA ($30.01) and breaks below the 50-day SMA, it suggests that the bulls are losing their grip. The pair may then slump toward the $20.82 support, where buyers are expected to step in. 

Cardano price prediction

Buyers are struggling to push Cardano (ADA) above the 20-day EMA ($0.28), but a minor positive is that they have not ceded much ground to the bears.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bulls will again attempt to drive the Cardano price above the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the ADA/USDT pair may march toward the stiff overhead resistance at the downtrend line. Buyers will have to achieve a close above the downtrend line to signal a potential short-term trend change.

Sellers are likely to have other plans. They will strive to tug the price below the support line, indicating the resumption of the downtrend. The next stop on the downside is likely to be $0.15.

Monero price prediction

Monero (XMR) has been consolidating in a downtrend, indicating that the bears have kept up the pressure.

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XMR/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Sellers will attempt to strengthen their position by pulling the Monero price below the $309 level. If they manage to do that, the XMR/USDT pair might drop to the $276 level. Buyers are expected to defend the $276 level with all their might, as a close below it may sink the pair to $247.

On the upside, the bulls will have to drive and maintain the price above the 20-day EMA ($360) to signal strength. The pair may then climb to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $414.